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The Political Economy of International Regulatory Cooperation 国际规制合作的政治经济学
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20200780
G. Maggi, Ralph Ossa
We examine international regulatory agreements that are negotiated under lobbying pressures from producer groups. The way in which lobbying influences the cooperative setting of regulatory policies, as well as the welfare impacts of international agreements, depend crucially on whether the interests of producers in different countries are aligned or in conflict. The former situation tends to occur for product standards, while the latter tends to occur for process standards. We find that, if producer lobbies are strong enough, agreements on product standards lead to excessive deregulation and decrease welfare, while agreements on process standards tighten regulations and enhance welfare. (JEL F13, F14, F15, L15, L51)
我们研究了在生产商团体的游说压力下谈判达成的国际监管协议。游说如何影响监管政策的合作制定,以及国际协议对福利的影响,关键取决于不同国家生产者的利益是一致的还是相互冲突的。产品标准多出现前一种情况,工艺标准多出现后一种情况。我们发现,如果生产者游说团体足够强大,产品标准协议会导致过度放松管制并降低福利,而过程标准协议会收紧监管并提高福利。(jel f13, f14, f15, l15, l51)
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引用次数: 4
Dividend Taxes and the Allocation of Capital: Comment 股息税与资本分配:评论
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20221432
L. Bach, Antoine Bozio, Arthur Guillouzouic, C. Malgouyres
Boissel and Matray (2022) find that investment increased after 2013 in French firms facing higher dividend taxes. We identify an alteration in the code plotting the event study of the effect of this reform on investment. Using identical data and removing this alteration, we find differential pre-trends between treated and control firms. We also establish that the controls referred to as “size growth,” used in all the difference-in-difference specifications, effectively are controls for lagged investment, i.e., the main outcome variable. Removing such controls attenuates differential pre-trends but leaves no clear event study evidence of a positive effect of dividend taxation on investment. (JEL D22, G31, G35, H25, H32)
Boissel和Matray(2022)发现,面对更高股息税的法国公司,2013年后投资增加。我们确定了代码中的一个变化,绘制了这一改革对投资影响的事件研究。使用相同的数据并去除这种变化,我们发现处理公司和控制公司之间存在不同的前期趋势。我们还建立了被称为“规模增长”的控制,在所有的差中差规范中使用,有效地控制了滞后投资,即主要的结果变量。取消此类控制会减弱不同的前期趋势,但没有留下明确的事件研究证据,证明股息税对投资有积极影响。(凝胶d22, g31, g35, h25, h32)
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引用次数: 1
Retraction of “Dividend Taxes and the Allocation of Capital” 撤回“股息税与资本配置”
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.113.7.2053
Adrien Matray, Charles Boissel
This notice explains the authors’ reasons for retracting the published paper, Boissel and Matray (2022b). The authors are grateful for the data and code policies at the AER that make it possible to be entirely transparent. The code that accompanies the paper (Boissel and Matray 2022a) fully reproduces all of the published results and had been independently replicated under the AER’s policies prior to publication. The errors described in this notice, which are responsible for the retraction, are visible in that code and were brought to the authors’ attention by Bach et al. (2023). Boissel and Matray (2022b) studied the financial and real effects of a dividend tax policy change on firms in France. It contained four main results: first, firms exposed to the tax hike (treated firms) significantly reduced their dividend payouts; second, the increase in internal liquidity led treated firms to significantly increase their capital and labor; third, treated firms grew in other ways including in their average wages and sales; fourth, the investment effects were larger for firms with more profitable opportunities and with higher marginal product of capital ex ante. The authors are retracting the paper because Figure 4 of the published paper, which pertains to the second result on the increase in investment and which plots the event study difference-in-difference coefficients of the within-firm change in year-to-year investment flows by treated firms, relative to control firms, differs from the figure that was conditionally accepted by the handling editor in two ways. First, the firm size control variable in the conditionally accepted manuscript was coded in changes but was incorrectly written in the baseline specification as levels. This error was caught in the replication process when the data were rebuilt from scratch, and the variable was redescribed accordingly in the paper. This change in the baseline specification was not requested by the handling editor, and the authors did not notify the handling editor nor the data editor of the update. The authors used firm capital as a proxy for firm size so that in practice, the specification controlled for the change in capital, i.e., investment, in the pre-period. The authors regret that they did not recognize the significance of the modification at the time. Second, the code that plots Figure 4 in the publicly available code repository includes an alteration of two coefficients by a factor of 1.8, which was incorrect. This alteration affects the rendering of the figure, but not the underlying data. All the results reported in the tables and other figures are unaffected. The error in the rendering of the figure was not intentional. The data and the code for the analysis
本通知解释了作者撤回已发表论文Boissel and Matray (2022b)的原因。作者对AER的数据和代码策略表示感谢,这使得完全透明成为可能。论文附带的代码(Boissel和Matray 2022a)完全再现了所有已发表的结果,并在发表前根据AER的政策进行了独立复制。本通知中描述的错误是导致撤稿的原因,这些错误在该代码中可见,并且由Bach等人(2023)提请作者注意。Boissel和Matray (2022b)研究了法国股息税政策变化对公司的财务和实际影响。它包含了四个主要结果:首先,受增税影响的公司(被征税的公司)显著减少了派息;第二,内部流动性的增加导致被治疗企业显著增加资本和劳动力;第三,接受治疗的公司以其他方式增长,包括平均工资和销售额;第四,对于盈利机会越多、事前资本边际产出越高的企业,投资效应越大。作者撤回论文的原因是,发表论文的图4与投资增加的第二个结果有关,它绘制了被处理公司相对于控制公司的年度投资流动的公司内部变化的事件研究差异系数,与处理编辑在两个方面有条件地接受的数字不同。首先,在有条件接受的稿件中,公司规模控制变量被编码为变更,但在基线规范中被错误地写为级别。这个错误是在从头开始重建数据的复制过程中发现的,并且在论文中对变量进行了相应的重新描述。基线规范中的此更改不是由处理编辑器请求的,并且作者没有将更新通知处理编辑器或数据编辑器。作者使用公司资本作为公司规模的代理,因此在实践中,该规范控制了资本的变化,即投资,在前期。作者感到遗憾的是,他们当时没有认识到修改的重要性。其次,在公开可用的代码存储库中绘制图4的代码包括对两个系数的1.8倍的修改,这是不正确的。这种改变会影响图形的呈现,但不会影响底层数据。表格和其他数据中报告的所有结果不受影响。渲染图中的错误不是故意的。用于分析的数据和代码
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引用次数: 0
When Losses Turn into Loans: The Cost of Weak Banks 当亏损转化为贷款:弱势银行的成本
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20190149
Laura Blattner, Luísa Farinha, Francisca Rebelo
We provide evidence that banks distort the composition of credit supply in order to comply with ratio-based capital requirements in times of economic distress. An unexpected intervention by the European Banking Authority provides a natural experiment to study how banks respond to falling below minimum required capital ratios during an economic downturn. We show that affected banks respond by cutting lending but also by reallocating credit to distressed firms with underreported loan losses. We develop a method to detect underreported losses using loan-level data. The credit reallocation leads to a reallocation of inputs across firms. We calculate that the resulting increase in input misallocation accounts for about 22 percent of the decline in productivity in Portugal in 2012. (JEL E23, E32, G21, G28, G32, G38)
我们提供的证据表明,在经济困难时期,银行扭曲了信贷供应的构成,以符合基于比率的资本要求。欧洲银行管理局(European Banking Authority)出人意料的干预,为研究银行在经济低迷时期资本金比率低于最低要求时的反应提供了一个自然的实验。我们表明,受影响的银行的反应是削减贷款,但也会将信贷重新分配给那些贷款损失被低估的陷入困境的公司。我们开发了一种方法来检测漏报的损失使用贷款水平的数据。信贷再分配导致了企业间投入的再分配。根据我们的计算,由此导致的投入错配的增加约占2012年葡萄牙生产力下降的22%。(凝胶e23, e32, g21, g28, g32, g38)
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引用次数: 10
Occupational Exposure to Capital-Embodied Technical Change 资本内含技术变革的职业暴露
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20211478
J. Caunedo, David Jaume, Elisa Keller
We study differences in exposure to factor-biased technical change among occupations by providing the first measures of capital-embodied technical change (CETC) and of the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor at the occupational level. We document sizable occupational heterogeneity in both measures, but quantitatively, it is the heterogeneity in factor substitutability that fuels workers’ exposure to CETC. In a general equilibrium model of worker sorting across occupations, CETC accounts for almost all of the observed labor reallocation in the US between 1984 and 2015. Absent occupational heterogeneity in factor substitutability, CETC accounts for only 17 percent of it (JEL I26, J16, J24, J31, O33)
我们通过提供资本体现的技术变革(CETC)和职业层面资本与劳动力之间替代弹性的第一个度量,研究了不同职业之间暴露于因素偏倚技术变革的差异。我们在两种测量方法中都记录了相当大的职业异质性,但在数量上,是因素可替代性的异质性促使工人暴露于CETC。在一个工人跨职业分类的一般均衡模型中,CETC几乎解释了1984年至2015年间美国观察到的所有劳动力再分配。要素可替代性不存在职业异质性,CETC仅占17% (JEL I26, J16, J24, J31, O33)。
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引用次数: 7
Optimal Contracting with Altruistic Agents: Medicare Payments for Dialysis Drugs 利他主体的最优契约:透析药物的医疗保险支付
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20210208
M. Gaynor, N. Mehta, Seth Richards-Shubik
We study health-care provider agency and optimal payments, considering an expensive medication for dialysis patients. Using Medicare claims data we estimate a structural model of treatment decisions, in which providers differ in their altruism and marginal costs, and this heterogeneity is unobservable to the government. In a novel application of nonlinear pricing methods, we empirically characterize the optimal contracts in this environment. The optimal contracts eliminate medically excessive dosages and reduce expenditures, resulting in approximately $300 million in annual gains from better contracting. This approach could be applied to a broad class of problems in health-care payment policy. (JEL D64, D86, H51, I11, I13, J33, L21)
我们研究医疗服务提供者代理和最优支付,考虑到昂贵的药物透析患者。利用医疗保险索赔数据,我们估计了治疗决策的结构模型,其中提供者在利他主义和边际成本方面存在差异,而这种异质性对政府来说是不可观察的。在非线性定价方法的新应用中,我们经验地描述了这种环境下的最优契约。最佳合同消除了医疗上的过量剂量并减少了支出,通过改进合同每年可获得约3亿美元的收益。这一方法可适用于保健支付政策中的一系列广泛问题。(jel d64, d86, h51, i11, i13, j33, j21)
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引用次数: 2
Reconciliation Narratives: The Birth of a Nation after the US Civil War 和解叙事:美国内战后一个国家的诞生
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20210413
E. Esposito, T. Rotesi, Alessandro Saia, Mathias Thoenig
We study how the spread of the Lost Cause narrative—a revisionist and racist retelling of the US Civil War—shifted opinions and behaviors toward national reunification and racial discrimination against African Americans. Looking at screenings of The Birth of a Nation, a blockbuster movie that greatly popularized the Lost Cause after 1915, we find that the film shifted the public discourse toward a more patriotic and less divisive language, increased military enlistment, and fostered cultural convergence between former enemies. We document how the racist content of the narrative connects to reconciliation through a “common-enemy” type of argument. (JEL J15, L82, N31, N32, N41, Z13)
我们研究了“失败的原因”叙事(一种对美国内战的修正主义和种族主义重述)的传播如何改变了人们对国家统一和对非裔美国人的种族歧视的看法和行为。回顾《一个国家的诞生》(The Birth of a Nation)的放映,我们发现这部电影将公共话语转向了一种更爱国、更少分裂的语言,增加了军事征兵,并促进了昔日敌人之间的文化融合。《一个国家的诞生》是一部轰动一时的电影,在1915年之后极大地推广了失败的事业。我们记录了叙事中的种族主义内容是如何通过“共同敌人”类型的论点与和解联系在一起的。(jj15, l82, n31, n32, n41, z13)
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引用次数: 8
Nobel Lecture: Banking, Credit, and Economic Fluctuations 诺贝尔演讲:银行、信贷和经济波动
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.113.5.1143
Ben S. Bernanke
Credit markets, including the market for bank loans, are characterized by imperfect and asymmetric information. These informational frictions can interact with other economic forces to produce periods of credit-market stress, in which intermediation is unusually costly and households and businesses have difficulty obtaining credit. A high level of credit-market stress, as in a severe financial crisis, may in turn produce a deep and prolonged recession. I present evidence that financial distress and disrupted credit markets were important sources of the Great Depression of the 1930s and the Great Recession of 2007–2009. Changes in the state of credit markets also play a role in “ garden-variety” business cycles and in the transmission of monetary policy to the economy. (JEL D82, E32, E44, E52, G21, N22)
信贷市场,包括银行贷款市场,具有信息不完全和不对称的特点。这些信息摩擦可能与其他经济力量相互作用,产生信贷市场压力期,在此期间,中介费用异常高昂,家庭和企业难以获得信贷。在严重的金融危机中,高水平的信贷市场压力可能反过来导致深度和长期的衰退。我提供的证据表明,金融困境和信贷市场混乱是上世纪30年代大萧条和2007-2009年大衰退的重要根源。信贷市场状况的变化也在“普通”商业周期和货币政策向经济的传导中发挥作用。(jel d82, e32, e44, e52, g21, n22)
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引用次数: 3
Social Exclusion and Social Preferences: Evidence from Colombia’s Leper Colony 社会排斥和社会偏好:来自哥伦比亚麻风病人聚居地的证据
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20201332
Diego Ramos-Toro
This paper explores the intergenerational consequences of social exclusion on prosociality. A lab-in-the-field approach in the historical region of Colombia’s leper colony reveals that descendants of socially excluded individuals are locally altruistic and extend such altruism to outsiders who have undergone similar circumstances. These individuals also display mistrust toward those who have, historically, been exclusionary—in this case, doctors. The content of historical narratives shared by ancestors who were excluded, which emphasize the endured mistreatment and doctors’ historical misinformation, is one mechanism that partially explains the intergenerational patterns. (JEL D64, H51, I12, I18, N36, N96, Z13)
本文探讨了社会排斥对亲社会性的代际影响。在哥伦比亚麻风病人殖民地的历史地区进行的一项实地实验表明,被社会排斥的个体的后代在当地是利他的,并将这种利他主义扩展到经历过类似情况的外人。这些人也对那些在历史上被排斥的人表现出不信任——在这种情况下,是医生。被排除在外的祖先分享的历史叙述内容强调忍受虐待和医生的历史错误信息,这是部分解释代际模式的机制之一。(jel d64, h51, i12, i18, n36, n96, z13)
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引用次数: 10
Smart Contracts and the Coase Conjecture 智能合约和科斯猜想
IF 10.7 1区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1257/aer.20220357
T. Brzustowski, Alkis Georgiadis-Harris, Balázs Szentes
This paper reconsiders the problem of a durable-good monopolist who cannot make intertemporal commitments. The buyer’s valuation is binary and his private information. The seller has access to dynamic contracts and, in each period, decides whether to deploy the previous period’s contract or to replace it with a new one. The main result of the paper is that the Coase conjecture fails: the monopo-list’s payoff is bounded away from the low valuation irrespective of the discount factor. (JEL D42, D82, D86, L12)
本文重新考虑了不能作出跨期承诺的持久利益垄断者的问题。买方的估价是二元的,而且是他的私人信息。卖方可以访问动态合同,并在每个时期决定是否部署前一时期的合同或用新合同替换它。本文的主要结论是,科斯猜想不成立:不管贴现系数如何,垄断者的收益都与低估值有界限。(凝胶d42, d82, d86, 12)
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引用次数: 4
期刊
American Economic Review
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