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Electric or gasoline: a simple model to decide when buying a new vehicle 电动车还是汽油车:购买新车时的简单决策模型
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2949
René Ledesma-Alonso, Guillermo Becerra-Nuñez
In this work, a simple methodology to follow the behavior of motorized urban vehicles, from the point of view of personal finances, is presented. Including the acquisition of a new vehicle, the analysis considers the driving distance per week, the average speed, the time spent at rest due to traffic conditions, the evolution of gasoline and electric energy prices, maintenance and services, and local taxes. Herein, two low-range compact vehicles were chosen and compared: one powered by combustion of gasoline, and the other by electric energy stored in batteries. Historical data and trend projections, according to inflation and prices evolution, are taken into consideration. The developed model may help to select adequately a new vehicle, according to the user’s needs. A good choice depends strongly on the usage and traffic conditions, the electric vehicle being suitable for large weekly driving distances and heavy traffic, whereas the gasoline vehicle is preferred for short distances and light traffic. The expenses of the vehicles are compared through time, with different scenarios envisaged according to the user’s resolution to keep the vehicle for the entire lifespan or to sell it quickly.
本文从个人财务角度出发,介绍了一种跟踪城市机动车行为的简单方法。包括购置新车在内,分析考虑了每周的驾驶距离、平均速度、因交通状况而花费的休息时间、汽油和电能价格的变化、维修和服务以及地方税。在此,我们选择了两款低速紧凑型汽车进行比较:一款以汽油燃烧为动力,另一款以蓄电池储存的电能为动力。根据通货膨胀和价格演变情况,对历史数据和趋势预测进行了考虑。所开发的模型有助于根据用户的需求适当选择新车。一个好的选择在很大程度上取决于使用情况和交通条件,电动汽车适用于每周行驶距离长、交通繁忙的情况,而汽油车则适用于行驶距离短、交通繁忙的情况。对车辆的支出进行了时间比较,根据用户决定在整个使用期限内保留车辆还是迅速出售车辆,设想了不同的方案。
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引用次数: 0
Pledging after nudging improves uptake of plant-based diets: a field experiment in a German university cafeteria 劝说后认捐可提高植物性饮食的吸收率:在德国一所大学食堂进行的实地实验
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2625
Philipp Thamer, Sanchayan Banerjee, Peter John
Meat-based diets are carbon-intensive and incompatible with Paris climate targets. Reducing meat consumption is essential to mitigate climate change. Behavioural nudges, which present structured choices to citizens, have been increasingly used to reduce meat demand. But they face ethical challenges and limits when scaling up. We test if encouraging people to reflect after nudging improves the effectiveness of a nudge. We design and administer a novel randomised controlled trial in a German university cafeteria, lasting for five weeks (Nparticipants = 129,Nmeals = 645). In week 1, we measure baseline dietary behaviours. In week 2, we introduce a labelling nudge in the cafeteria. Subsequently, in weeks 3 & 4, we assign participants randomly to three experimental conditions: a control group that continues to receive the labelling nudge and two treatment groups that get the labelling nudge with an opportunity to reflect, either on the nudge (nudge+ 1) or their own preferences (nudge+ 2). All treatments are discontinued in week 5. In the pooled sample, controlling for period fixed effects, we find that the labelling nudge is not associated with meaningful changes in meat-demand over time. Nonetheless, being encouraged to reflect reduces meat-demand significantly compared to the nudge—the nudge+ 1 reduces chances of buying a meat-based item in the cafeteria by 5% (μ = −0.25, 95% CI = [−0.49,−0.36]) whereas the nudge+ 2 reduces it by 7% (μ = −0.35, 95% CI = [−0.61,−0.08]). These treatment effects attenuate when the interventions are discontinued. We recommend that combining reflection with nudging can improve the uptake of climate-friendly diets, at least in the short-term.
以肉类为主的饮食是碳密集型的,不符合巴黎气候目标。减少肉类消费对减缓气候变化至关重要。向公民提供结构化选择的 "行为引导 "已被越来越多地用于减少肉类需求。但它们在推广时面临道德挑战和限制。我们测试了鼓励人们在劝导后进行反思是否能提高劝导的效果。我们在德国一所大学的食堂设计并实施了一项新颖的随机对照试验,为期五周(参与者人数=129,餐数=645)。第 1 周,我们测量基线饮食行为。第 2 周,我们在食堂引入标签提示。随后,在第 3 周和第 4 周,我们将参与者随机分配到三个实验条件下:一个是继续接受标签提示的对照组,另一个是接受标签提示并有机会对提示(提示+ 1)或自己的偏好(提示+ 2)进行反思的两个治疗组。所有治疗均在第 5 周停止。在综合样本中,我们发现,在控制时间固定效应的情况下,随着时间的推移,标签提示与肉类需求的有意义变化无关。然而,与暗示相比,被鼓励反思会显著降低肉类需求--暗示+ 1会使在食堂购买肉类食品的几率降低5%(μ = -0.25,95% CI = [-0.49,-0.36]),而暗示+ 2会使其降低7%(μ = -0.35,95% CI = [-0.61,-0.08])。在停止干预后,这些治疗效果会减弱。我们建议,至少在短期内,将反思与劝导相结合可以提高气候友好型饮食的吸收率。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing MODIS remote sensing and integrated data for forest fire spread modeling in the southwest region of canada 利用 MODIS 遥感和综合数据为加拿大西南地区的森林火灾蔓延建模
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad248f
Hatef Dastour, Quazi K Hassan
Accurate prediction of fire spread is considered crucial for facilitating effective fire management, enabling proactive planning, and efficient allocation of resources. This study places its focus on wildfires in two regions of Alberta, Fort McMurray and Slave Lake, in Southwest Canada. For the simulation of wildfire spread, an adapted fire propagation model was employed, incorporating MODIS datasets such as land surface temperature, land cover, land use, and integrated climate data. The pixels were classified as burned or unburned in relation to the 2011 Slave Lake wildfire and the initial 16 days of the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire, utilizing defined starting points and the aforementioned specified datasets. The simulation for the 2011 Slave Lake wildfire achieved an weighted average precision, recall, and f1-scores of 0.989, 0.986, and 0.987, respectively. Additionally, macro-averaged scores across these three phases were 0.735, 0.829, and 0.774 for precision, recall, and F1-scores, respectively. The simulation of the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire introduced a phased analysis, dividing the initial 16 days into three distinct periods. This approach led to average precision, recall, and f1-scores of 0.958, 0.933, and 0.942 across these phases. Additionally, macro-averaged scores across these three phases were 0.681, 0.772, and 0.710 for precision, recall, and F1-scores, respectively. The strategy of segmenting simulations into phases may enhance adaptability to dynamic factors like weather conditions and firefighting strategies.
准确预测火灾蔓延被认为是促进有效火灾管理、实现积极规划和高效资源分配的关键。本研究的重点是加拿大西南部阿尔伯塔省麦克默里堡和斯拉夫湖两个地区的野火。在模拟野火蔓延时,采用了一个经过改编的火灾传播模型,并结合了 MODIS 数据集,如地表温度、土地覆盖、土地利用和综合气候数据。利用定义的起点和上述指定数据集,将 2011 年奴隶湖野火和 2016 年麦克默里堡野火最初 16 天的像素划分为已燃烧和未燃烧。2011 年奴隶湖野火的模拟加权平均精度、召回率和 f1 分数分别为 0.989、0.986 和 0.987。此外,这三个阶段的精度、召回率和 F1 分数的宏观平均值分别为 0.735、0.829 和 0.774。对 2016 年麦克默里堡野火的模拟引入了分阶段分析,将最初的 16 天分为三个不同的时期。这种方法使这些阶段的平均精确度、召回率和 F1 分数分别达到 0.958、0.933 和 0.942。此外,这三个阶段的精度、召回率和 F1 分数的宏观平均值分别为 0.681、0.772 和 0.710。将模拟分为不同阶段的策略可提高对天气条件和灭火策略等动态因素的适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding carbon storage dynamics in Ayeyarwady delta's mangrove ecosystem in Myanmar: insights for restoration efforts 了解缅甸伊洛瓦底三角洲红树林生态系统的碳储存动态:对恢复工作的启示
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad23f1
Bikram Pandey, Saroj Koirala, Htay Aung, Rong Li, Arbindra Timilsina, Soe Thaw Thaw Htun, Joacim Kontny, Htun Thiri Naing
Mangroves are highly valued for their ecosystem services, providing a wide range of ecological, social, and economic benefits, including their role as carbon-rich ecosystems. Recent research suggests that preserving mangrove forests can offer a cost-effective strategy for mitigating CO2 emissions. However, extensive deforestation has placed mangrove ecosystems under severe global threats. Currently, the assessment of mangrove restoration outcomes, particularly regarding soil carbon stocks, is inadequate. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the impact of restoration on soil organic carbon (SOC) in Shwe Thaung Yan, Ayeyarwady coastal region of Myanmar. The study aimed to quantify and compare carbon stocks in different soil layers, examine the carbon sequestration potential of various mangrove species, and evaluate the effectiveness of mangrove restoration efforts. Soil samples were collected in 2015 (pre-restoration) and 2021 (post-restoration) at various soil depths and analyzed for SOC concentration, organic matter content, and bulk density using the Loss on Ignition (LOI) procedure. Significant changes in soil properties were observed between 2015 and 2021, with higher SOC and carbon concentrations observed in 2021. The average soil carbon stocks in 2021 (1954.43 ± 33.24 Mg C ha−1) were approximately 2.7 times higher than the estimated carbon stocks in 2015 (732.26 ± 6.99 Mg C ha−1). Furthermore, the study revealed variations in SOC accumulation among different soil depths, with higher carbon stocks found in the upper soil layers. This study highlights the positive impact of mangrove restoration on SOC accumulation and emphasizes the significance of considering soil carbon dynamics in restoration initiatives. The findings offer valuable insights for the conservation and management of mangrove ecosystems, especially concerning their potential for carbon sequestration and their contribution to mitigating climate change.
红树林的生态系统服务价值极高,可提供广泛的生态、社会和经济效益,包括其作为富碳生态系统的作用。最近的研究表明,保护红树林可以为减缓二氧化碳排放提供一种具有成本效益的策略。然而,大面积的森林砍伐使红树林生态系统面临严重的全球性威胁。目前,对红树林恢复成果,尤其是土壤碳储量的评估尚不充分。因此,本研究旨在调查缅甸伊洛瓦底江沿岸地区 Shwe Thaung Yan 红树林恢复对土壤有机碳(SOC)的影响。研究旨在量化和比较不同土壤层中的碳储量,考察各种红树林物种的固碳潜力,并评估红树林恢复工作的成效。研究人员分别于 2015 年(恢复前)和 2021 年(恢复后)在不同土壤深度采集了土壤样本,并使用点火损失(LOI)程序分析了 SOC 浓度、有机质含量和体积密度。在 2015 年和 2021 年之间,土壤性质发生了显著变化,2021 年的 SOC 和碳浓度更高。2021 年的平均土壤碳储量(1954.43 ± 33.24 兆克碳/公顷-1)是 2015 年估计碳储量(732.26 ± 6.99 兆克碳/公顷-1)的约 2.7 倍。此外,研究还揭示了不同土壤深度中 SOC 积累的差异,发现上层土壤的碳储量较高。这项研究强调了红树林恢复对 SOC 积累的积极影响,并强调了在恢复过程中考虑土壤碳动态的重要性。研究结果为红树林生态系统的保护和管理提供了宝贵的见解,尤其是在其固碳潜力及其对减缓气候变化的贡献方面。
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引用次数: 0
A comparative analysis of accelerating humid and dry heat stress in India 印度湿热和干热压力加速的比较分析
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad2490
Jency Maria Sojan, Jayaraman Srinivasan
Extreme humid heat stress poses distinct challenges to human health and productivity that cannot be mitigated solely by heat action plans designed for dry heat stress. This study investigates the trends in extreme heat stress, differentiating between dry and moist heat, in India from 1943 to 2022 using the high-resolution hourly ERA5 reanalysis data. The analysis utilizes the Heat Index (HI) as a key parameter to identify instances of extreme humid heat stress, characterized by HI values exceeding 41 degrees Celsius and relative humidity more than 50%. The findings indicate that certain eastern coastal regions in peninsular India experience extreme humid heat stress from May to June due to persistent high humidity levels. In addition, northwest, northcentral and inland eastern coastal regions encounter extreme dry heat stress preceding the monsoon season, followed by a transition to humid heat stress immediately after the onset of the monsoon. The results also show that there has been a significant increase ofsix times (on average) in the extreme humid heat stress hours per grid over the past 80 years compared to a threefold increase in dry heat stress. Our research underscores the need to shift from exclusively addressing dry heat stress to adopting a comprehensive approach that considers the impacts of humid heat stress.
极端湿热应激对人类健康和生产力构成了独特的挑战,仅靠为干热应激设计的防暑降温行动计划无法缓解这些挑战。本研究利用高分辨率每小时ERA5再分析数据,调查了1943年至2022年印度极端热应力的趋势,并对干热和湿热进行了区分。分析利用热指数(HI)作为关键参数来识别极端湿热应激事件,其特征是热指数值超过 41 摄氏度,相对湿度超过 50%。研究结果表明,由于湿度持续较高,印度半岛某些东部沿海地区在 5 月至 6 月期间会出现极端湿热应激反应。此外,西北部、中北部和东部内陆沿海地区在季风季节来临之前会出现极端干热应激,季风来临之后会立即过渡到湿热应激。研究结果还显示,在过去的 80 年里,每个网格的极端湿热胁迫小时数大幅增加了六倍(平均),而干热胁迫则增加了三倍。我们的研究强调,有必要从只解决干热应激转变为采用一种考虑湿热应激影响的综合方法。
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引用次数: 0
Urban anthropization: community vulnerability and resilience to flood hazards in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo 城市人类化:刚果民主共和国东部社区对洪水灾害的脆弱性和抵御能力
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad23f3
Gilbert Mubalama Mugisho, Davier Pierre Swedi, Pamphile Matabaro Enock, Marc Irenge Kalembu, Fabrice Nfuamba Lukeba, Stany Vwima Ngezirabona
The effects of the 2020 floods in Uvira were exacerbated by urban anthropization and climate change. Floods are causing severe human, material, economic, and environmental losses as well as affecting socioeconomic and ecological systems beyond the affected community’s ability. The purpose of this study was to analyze land use changes in Uvira from 1995 to 2021 and to assess the vulnerability and effectiveness of the community’s resilience strategies in response to both the impact of flooding and the risk of future flooding. Data were collected from victims in the municipalities of Kanvinvira and Mulongwe in the city of Uvira, which were severely impacted by the 2020 floods. This study used a mixed approach that combined the spatial analysis of land use and land change with the anthropization of community perceptions of vulnerability and flood mitigation measures. Spatial analysis revealed that anthropogenic land use increased by 4.73% per year between 1995 and 2021. In comparison to the initial surface covered in 1995, this has increased the surface occupied by human activities by 127.7%. Gender, education, and pre-flood professional activity of the household head, combined with pre-flood house construction quality, property ownership, degree of house damage, and family member death, explained households’ resettlement capacity. The Mann–Whitney U test results revealed that households’ vulnerability and resilience to 2020 floods were influenced by their residence municipality (Kanvinvira and Mulongwe) and lifestyle (living at the host site or reintegrating into the community). During and after floods, disaster victims received assistance from the government and stakeholders (churches, civil society, and non-governmental organizations) to mitigate flood effects, but they were unable to restore the lives of hundreds of flood victims. The study’s findings suggest that provincial and local disaster management authorities, as well as stakeholders, should invest in preventive and sustainable flood risk management. Public awareness of flood prevention and mitigation should be increased through capacity-building training, preparedness, and sensitization. Finally, effective adaptation practices are required to reduce future potential damage.
城市人类化和气候变化加剧了 2020 年乌维拉洪灾的影响。洪水造成了严重的人员、物质、经济和环境损失,对社会经济和生态系统的影响超出了受灾社区的能力范围。本研究的目的是分析乌维拉从 1995 年到 2021 年的土地利用变化,并评估该社区在应对洪水影响和未来洪水风险方面的脆弱性和抗灾战略的有效性。数据是从乌维拉市的坎文维拉和穆隆圭市的灾民那里收集的,这两个城市受到了 2020 年洪水的严重影响。这项研究采用了一种混合方法,将土地利用和土地变化的空间分析与社区对脆弱性和洪灾缓解措施的人类化认知相结合。空间分析表明,1995 年至 2021 年期间,人为土地使用每年增加 4.73%。与 1995 年的初始面积相比,人类活动占用的面积增加了 127.7%。户主的性别、教育程度和洪灾前的职业活动,再加上洪灾前的房屋建筑质量、财产所有权、房屋损坏程度和家庭成员死亡,解释了家庭的安置能力。Mann-Whitney U 检验结果显示,住户在 2020 年洪灾中的脆弱性和抗灾能力受其居住城市(Kanvinvira 和 Mulongwe)和生活方式(居住在安置点或重新融入社区)的影响。洪灾期间和灾后,政府和利益相关方(教会、民间社会和非政府组织)向灾民提供了援助,以减轻洪灾的影响,但这些援助无法挽回数百名洪灾灾民的生活。研究结果表明,省级和地方灾害管理部门以及利益相关者应投资于预防性和可持续的洪水风险管理。应通过能力建设培训、备灾和宣传提高公众的防洪减灾意识。最后,需要采取有效的适应措施,以减少未来可能造成的损失。
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引用次数: 0
Insights into the composition and properties of fly ash emissions from a municipal solid waste power plant 对城市固体废物发电厂飞灰排放物成分和特性的深入研究
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad23f2
Tra Mai Ngo, Van Hung Hoang, Huu Tap Van, Hang Nguyen Thi Thuy, Hong Khuat Thi, Nghiem Thi Ha Lien, Nguyen Trong Nghia, Phan Thi Thanh Hang, Vu Duc Toan, Trinh Thi Tham, Nguyen Thi Hoa
This study examines the fly ash from Soc Son municipal waste power plant (SMPP) and suggests ways to repurpose it to reduce its environmental impact. Fly ash from the Soc Son waste power plant has a gray color, spherical particles with a 5–103 μm diameter, and a high carbon and heavy metal content. Bermorite crystals can absorb and release heavy metals, making monitoring secondary pollutants during incineration crucial. The EDX analysis of fly ash from the Soc Son waste power plant revealed that it was predominantly contaminated with metal elements, with the highest percentage of calcium. The EDX was able to detect heavy metals in incinerator fly ash. The concentration of Zn in the fly ash exceeded QCVN 07:2009/BTNMT standards, indicating the high amounts of some elements that may be hazardous to the environment and human health. Using the SEM/EDX and XRF, the fly ash from the Soc Son landfill power plant was analyzed and discovered that it exceeds permissible limits for dangerous heavy elements. The most common inorganic elements are Ca, followed by Zn, Pb, Cd, and Ag. Fly ash is classed as hazardous waste due to its high concentration of heavy metals, which results from the combustion of municipal solid waste that has not been separated. Vietnam fights municipal solid waste incinerator fly ash production. Some nations stabilize fly ash to remove harmful components and use it in buildings. Stabilized fly ash makes unfired construction bricks and cement manufacturing components and combining fly ash with inorganic trash protects the environment.
本研究探讨了苏山城市垃圾发电厂(SMPP)产生的粉煤灰,并提出了重新利用粉煤灰以减少其对环境影响的方法。苏山垃圾发电厂的粉煤灰呈灰色,球形颗粒直径为 5-103 μm,碳和重金属含量较高。白云石晶体可吸收并释放重金属,因此在焚烧过程中监测二次污染物至关重要。对苏山垃圾发电厂的飞灰进行的 EDX 分析表明,飞灰主要受到金属元素的污染,其中钙的比例最高。EDX 能够检测出焚烧飞灰中的重金属。飞灰中的锌浓度超过了 QCVN 07:2009/BTNMT 标准,表明其中含有大量可能对环境和人体健康有害的元素。使用 SEM/EDX 和 XRF 对苏山垃圾填埋发电厂的粉煤灰进行分析后发现,粉煤灰中的危险重元素超出了允许的限值。最常见的无机元素是钙,其次是锌、铅、镉和银。粉煤灰因含有高浓度重金属而被归类为危险废物,它是由未经分类的城市固体废物燃烧产生的。越南打击城市固体废物焚化炉飞灰生产。一些国家对粉煤灰进行稳定化处理,以去除有害成分,并将其用于建筑。经过稳定化处理的粉煤灰可制成未经烧制的建筑砖块和水泥制造部件,将粉煤灰与无机垃圾结合可保护环境。
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引用次数: 0
The utilization and contribution of timber and non-timber forest products to livelihoods under a changing climate in the Limpopo River Basin 在不断变化的气候条件下林波波河流域木材和非木材森林产品的利用及其对生计的贡献
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-02-07 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad23f0
Ephias Mugari, Nthaduleni S Nethengwe, Anesu Dion Gumbo
Forest products contribute immensely to rural livelihoods and household income. However, their contribution to climate change adaptation in semi-arid areas, and the limited ecosystem management capacities of rural communities are poorly examined. We examined the influence and challenges of cash income derived from forest products on livelihoods and climate change adaptation using data from 130 household surveys, 20 participatory mapping exercises, several in-depth interviews, and field observations in the Limpopo Basin of Botswana. Households derived livelihoods and/or income from Mopane caterpillars, firewood, timber, palm plants, wild fruits, thatch, medicinal plants, natural dyes, natural pastures, and game meat. Mopane caterpillars, firewood, and other forest products featured in the top ten sources of household income and contributed weighted monthly income of BWP 1,647.27 ± 1,519.04, BWP 1,110.02 ± 1,980.05, and BWP 780.56 ± 1,360.32, respectively (US$1 ≈ BWP13.4). A higher proportion of households (62.3%) were in the low-income category, earning income below BWP5,000/month. Income derived from Mopane caterpillars and firewood made a significant difference between low-income and high-income households (p = 0.006). Generally, higher proportions of high-income households adopted climate change adaptation measures than proportions in the low-income category, indicating the influence of cash income on household adaptations. However, significant differences were only observed in cropland expansion, purchasing of supplementary livestock feed, drilling boreholes/wells, and use of drip irrigation (p < 0.05). We discuss the potential threats, such as the unsustainable harvesting of forest products, caused by an increasing need for cash incomes and the interconnectedness with distant urban markets. Such threats add to the institutional and biophysical challenges, further limiting prospects for effective adaptation in the Limpopo Basin of Botswana. We call on the government to capacitate and strengthen traditional authorities—as custodians of local resources—in the regulation, management, and conservation of forest products to make them more sustainable adaptation options.
森林产品为农村生计和家庭收入做出了巨大贡献。然而,人们对其在半干旱地区适应气候变化方面的贡献以及农村社区有限的生态系统管理能力却知之甚少。我们利用在博茨瓦纳林波波河流域进行的 130 项家庭调查、20 项参与式绘图活动、数次深入访谈和实地观察所获得的数据,研究了林产品现金收入对生计和气候变化适应的影响和挑战。这些家庭的生计和/或收入来自莫帕内毛虫、木柴、木材、棕榈树、野果、茅草、药用植物、天然染料、天然牧场和野味。毛虫、木柴和其他林产品是家庭收入的前十大来源,加权月收入分别为 1,647.27 BWP ± 1,519.04 BWP、1,110.02 BWP ± 1,980.05 BWP 和 780.56 BWP ± 1,360.32 BWP(1 美元≈13.4 BWP)。低收入家庭所占比例较高(62.3%),月收入低于 5,000 波瓦。低收入家庭和高收入家庭从毛虫和木柴中获得的收入差异显著(p = 0.006)。一般来说,高收入家庭采取气候变化适应措施的比例高于低收入家庭,这表明现金收入对家庭适应措施的影响。然而,只有在扩大耕地面积、购买牲畜补充饲料、钻井/打井和使用滴灌方面观察到了明显差异(p < 0.05)。我们讨论了潜在的威胁,如对现金收入日益增长的需求以及与遥远城市市场的相互联系所导致的不可持续的森林产品采伐。这些威胁增加了制度和生物物理方面的挑战,进一步限制了博茨瓦纳林波波河流域有效适应的前景。我们呼吁博茨瓦纳政府在森林产品的监管、管理和保护方面加强传统权威机构--当地资源的守护者--的能力,使其成为更具可持续性的适应方案。
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引用次数: 0
Online misinformation during extreme weather emergencies: short-term information hazard or long-term influence on climate change perceptions? 极端天气紧急情况下的网络错误信息:短期信息危害还是对气候变化认知的长期影响?
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad1b67
Stefan Daume
Extreme weather events linked to climate change are becoming more frequent. The online public discourse on and during these events, especially on social media, attracts misinformation that can undermine short-term emergency responses, but can also be aimed at influencing long-term public perceptions of climate change. This contribution reviews existing research on online misinformation with the aim to understand the types, origins, and potential impacts of misinformation during extreme weather events like storms, floods, and wildfires. The screening of 289 publications reveals that there is scarce body of only 13 studies addressing this question. Relevant studies exploring online misinformation during extreme weather events rarely document misinformation immediately relevant for emergency responses and only recently link this to the discussion about climate change. The reviewed research provides however insights to derive a framework that can guide future research into this topic. Specifically, that misinformation in social media during environmental emergencies 1) cuts across domains and merges different areas of public interest, 2) cuts across temporal and geographical scales, and 3) needs to be studied as part of an interconnected online media landscape. Misinformation differs between emergency event types, can undermine the debate about climate change in diverse ways, appeal to completely different audiences and thus will likely require different responses and countermeasures. Structured research with comparable methodologies is urgently needed.
与气候变化有关的极端天气事件越来越频繁。在这些事件发生时和发生期间,尤其是在社交媒体上,网上的公共讨论会吸引错误信息,这些错误信息可能会破坏短期的应急响应,但也可能旨在影响公众对气候变化的长期看法。这篇论文回顾了有关网络误导信息的现有研究,旨在了解风暴、洪水和野火等极端天气事件中误导信息的类型、起源和潜在影响。对 289 篇出版物进行筛选后发现,只有 13 项研究涉及这一问题。探讨极端天气事件期间网上误导信息的相关研究很少记录与应急响应直接相关的误导信息,只有最近才将其与气候变化讨论联系起来。不过,所回顾的研究提供了一些见解,从而得出了一个框架,可以指导今后对这一主题的研究。具体来说,环境突发事件期间社交媒体中的误导信息:1)跨越不同领域,融合了公众关注的不同领域;2)跨越时间和地理尺度;3)需要作为相互关联的网络媒体景观的一部分进行研究。不同类型的紧急事件所涉及的误导信息各不相同,会以不同的方式破坏有关气候变化的讨论,吸引完全不同的受众,因此可能需要采取不同的应对措施。迫切需要采用可比方法开展结构化研究。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting willingness to pay and implement different rooftop strategies to characterize social perception of climate change mitigation and adaptation. 预测支付意愿并实施不同的屋顶战略,以描述社会对减缓和适应气候变化的看法。
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad1b65
Erin Untereiner, S. Toboso-Chavero, Ana Vázquez Fariñas, Cristina Madrid‐López, Gara Villalba, Xavier Gabarrell Durany
With the latest IPCC report, dramatic global climate action must be taken immediately to limit global warming to 1.5 oC, or face more frequent and extreme weather events with catastrophic implications. Cities must invest in climate resilience development; however, government policies are only effective if they are supported by the society in which they serve. As such, this study aims to characterize the social perception of climate resilience development, in particular the implementation of sustainable urban rooftop strategies, to support policy makers and enable individual action. This was accomplished through the analysis of 1,100 answered surveys in Cerdanyola del Vallès (Spain), to assess one’s willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to implement (WTI) rooftop strategies according to: 1. socio-demographical characteristics; 2. social perceptions and beliefs; and 3. surrounding land use and land cover, and vulnerabilities identified through temperature and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) maps. The results of this study found age played a significant role in predictability, with 18-39-year-olds being the most willing to pay and implement the various rooftop scenarios. However, our results uncovered societal inequality as those 85+ were the second group most interested in rooftop agriculture but the most financially restricted. Belief in the viability of rooftop strategies increased respondents WTP and WTI while having access to ones’ rooftop increased willingness to partake in rooftop food cultivation and enhance rooftop greenery. A new finding presented by this study is the quantifiable impact that urban greenery plays on increasing survey respondents WTP and WTI.
根据政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的最新报告,必须立即采取重大的全球气候行动,将全球升温控制在 1.5 摄氏度以内,否则将面临更加频繁和具有灾难性影响的极端天气事件。城市必须投资于气候抗御能力的发展;然而,政府政策只有在其所服务的社会的支持下才能有效。因此,本研究旨在描述社会对气候适应力发展的看法,特别是对实施可持续城市屋顶战略的看法,以支持政策制定者并促进个人行动。为此,我们在 Cerdanyola del Vallès(西班牙)对 1,100 份调查问卷进行了分析,以根据以下因素评估个人的支付意愿(WTP)和实施意愿(WTI):1:1. 社会人口特征;2. 社会观念和信仰;3. 周边土地利用和土地覆盖,以及通过温度和归一化差异植被指数 (NDVI) 地图确定的脆弱性。研究结果发现,年龄在可预测性方面发挥了重要作用,18-39 岁的人最愿意支付和实施各种屋顶方案。然而,我们的研究结果揭示了社会不平等现象,因为 85 岁以上的人是对屋顶农业最感兴趣的第二个群体,但他们在经济上受到的限制最大。对屋顶战略可行性的信念增加了受访者的 WTP 和 WTI,而有机会使用自家屋顶的受访者则增加了参与屋顶粮食种植和提高屋顶绿化的意愿。本研究的一个新发现是,城市绿化对提高调查对象的 WTP 和 WTI 有着可量化的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Research Communications
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