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Calibration of CAMS PM2.5 data over Hungary: A machine learning approach 校准匈牙利上空的 CAMS PM2.5 数据:机器学习方法
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad6239
Achraf Qor-el-aine, A. Béres, Gábor Géczi
Air pollution is a major environmental problem, and reliable monitoring of particulate matter (PM) concentrations is critical for assessing its impact on human health and the environment. The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) offers vital data on PM2.5 concentrations by applying a worldwide modelling system. This study compares in-situ PM2.5 measurements and raw CAMS data at 0.1°x 0.1° resolutions for 2019 and 2020 in Hungary. It proposes a calibration method to improve the accuracy of CAMS PM2.5 data at the scale of air monitoring stations. In the study, the accuracy of the raw CAMS PM2.5 data is assessed based on the chosen air quality stations. Then, to improve the precision, we employed machine learning algorithms (LightGBM, Random Forest (RF), and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR)) for calibration. Initial assessment of the raw CAMS PM2.5 data showed positive hourly Spearman correlation coefficient values (SR between 0.64 and 0.87 for the 14 air quality stations used), indicating a positive relationship between the datasets but a systemic underestimation. Our findings highlight LightGBM as the most effective method, consistently demonstrating elevated correlation SR and R² values reaching up to 0.95 and 0.93, respectively, and very good RSR and NSE values (lower than 0.5 and higher than 0.75 for RSR and NSE, respectively). In contrast, RF yields mixed results, and MLR exhibits variable performance. By correcting underestimation and lowering modelling biases, the calibrated PM2.5 data better matches ground-based observations, which can be promising for using the obtained model for accurate predictions at individual air monitoring stations.
空气污染是一个重大的环境问题,对颗粒物(PM)浓度的可靠监测对于评估其对人类健康和环境的影响至关重要。哥白尼大气监测服务(CAMS)通过应用全球建模系统,提供了 PM2.5 浓度的重要数据。本研究比较了 2019 年和 2020 年匈牙利 0.1°x 0.1° 分辨率下的 PM2.5 原位测量值和原始 CAMS 数据。研究提出了一种校准方法,以提高空气监测站范围内 CAMS PM2.5 数据的准确性。在研究中,根据所选的空气质量监测站评估了 CAMS PM2.5 原始数据的准确性。然后,为了提高精度,我们采用机器学习算法(LightGBM、随机森林(RF)和多元线性回归(MLR))进行校准。对 CAMS PM2.5 原始数据的初步评估显示,每小时斯皮尔曼相关系数为正值(所使用的 14 个空气质量站的 SR 值介于 0.64 和 0.87 之间),表明数据集之间存在正相关关系,但存在系统性低估。我们的研究结果表明,LightGBM 是最有效的方法,其相关性 SR 和 R² 值分别高达 0.95 和 0.93,RSR 和 NSE 值也非常好(RSR 和 NSE 值分别低于 0.5 和高于 0.75)。相比之下,RF 的结果好坏参半,而 MLR 则表现不一。通过纠正低估和降低建模偏差,校准后的 PM2.5 数据与地面观测数据更加吻合,这对于利用所获得的模型对单个空气监测站进行精确预测大有裨益。
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引用次数: 0
The divergence and driving factors of corporate environmental information disclosure in China 中国企业环境信息披露的分歧与驱动因素
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c4
liwen shen, Wenchu Qian, Yongliang Yang
Corporate environmental information disclosure (EID) has been a widely acknowledged issue in the field of ecological environment research. This paper explores the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of EID in China from 2008 to 2022, and discusses the industry and regional heterogeneity. It reveals significant differences in EID between heavy and non-heavy polluting industries, as well as among different economic regions, revealing that there is still significant potential for improvement in corporate environmental governance. Further, this paper establishes a two-way fixed effects model and empirically investigates the effects of internal and external driving factors on EID. In addition, Lasso regression model is used to screen the vital driving factors and analyze their relative importance. The empirical results show that enterprise size, management age, operating capacity, supervisory board size, and debt capacity have relatively more substantial explanations for changes in EID, which are more critical driving factors. The contribution of the study is to provide valuable reference for constructing corporate EID indicator system, and to points out the direction for the sustainable development of enterprises in different industries and regions. At the same time, it has theoretical guiding significance for finding the factors that promote EID and strengthening regional environmental governance.
企业环境信息披露(EID)一直是生态环境研究领域广受关注的问题。本文探讨了 2008 年至 2022 年中国企业环境信息披露的时空演变特征,并讨论了行业和地区的异质性。研究发现,重污染行业与非重污染行业之间以及不同经济区域之间的 EID 存在显著差异,揭示了企业环境治理仍有很大的改进空间。此外,本文还建立了双向固定效应模型,实证研究了内部和外部驱动因素对 EID 的影响。此外,本文还采用拉索回归模型来筛选重要的驱动因素,并分析其相对重要性。实证结果表明,企业规模、管理层年龄、运营能力、监事会规模和负债能力对 EID 的变化具有相对更实质性的解释,是更为关键的驱动因素。本研究的贡献在于为构建企业 EID 指标体系提供了有价值的参考,为不同行业和地区的企业可持续发展指明了方向。同时,对寻找促进 EID 的因素、加强区域环境治理具有理论指导意义。
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引用次数: 0
Deforestation drivers in northern Morocco: an exploratory spatial data analysis 摩洛哥北部毁林驱动因素:探索性空间数据分析
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad5ad6
Hamid Boubekraoui, Yazid Maouni, Abdelilah Ghallab, Mohamed Draoui and Abdelfettah Maouni
Formulating effective policies to address or mitigate deforestation requires a comprehensive understanding of the contributing factors. This study examines the drivers of deforestation from 2001 to 2020 in the Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima (TTA) region, a northern Moroccan area distinguished by the country’s highest deforestation rate. Through an extensive review of existing literature and employing Geist and Lambin’s deforestation framework, we identified five key causes: infrastructure extension, agricultural expansion, logging, wildfires as direct causes, and demographic factors as an indirect cause. Data on deforestation and its contributing factors were sourced from diverse databases, including Global Forest Change (GFC), Global Land Analysis and Discovery (GLAD), Burned Area Product (MODIS Fire_CCI51), World Population, Forest Proximate People (FPP), and National Forest Inventory (NFI) datasets. Pixel-level analysis of GFC data indicated that wildfires are the primary driver of deforestation in the region, accounting for 35.2%, followed by agricultural expansion (30.6%), logging (13.2%), and infrastructure extension (10.1%). The remaining 10.9% of losses were attributed to other disturbances, such as illegal extraction, pests, and dieback. Spatial patterns were further analyzed through Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) methods at a 1 km2 gridded scale, revealing strong clustering for all studied factors. Spatial relationships were explored using the bivariate local Moran’s index, which highlighted the highest spatial dependence between deforestation and fires (I = 0.21). Correlations between deforestation and other factors, including agricultural expansion, logging, infrastructure extension, and demographic pressure, were assessed at 0.18, 0.17, 0.08, and 0.05, respectively. Landscape pressures (LSP), encompassing deforestation, agricultural expansion, fires, infrastructure extension, and demographic pressure, were analyzed using the local Geary index, revealing a positive correlation in approximately 59% of spatial units. Last, a composite map of LSP clusters and an explanatory diagram illustrating dominant patterns in the TTA region were generated based on the results from local Geary’s multivariate and local Moran’s univariate tests.
要制定有效的政策来解决或减缓毁林问题,就必须全面了解各种因素。本研究探讨了 2001 年至 2020 年丹吉尔-德图安-胡塞马(TTA)地区森林砍伐的驱动因素,该地区是摩洛哥北部森林砍伐率最高的地区。通过广泛查阅现有文献并采用盖斯特和兰宾的森林砍伐框架,我们确定了五个主要原因:基础设施扩建、农业扩张、伐木、野火是直接原因,人口因素是间接原因。有关森林砍伐及其诱因的数据来自不同的数据库,包括全球森林变化(GFC)、全球土地分析与发现(GLAD)、烧毁面积产品(MODIS Fire_CCI51)、世界人口、森林近似人(FPP)和国家森林资源清查(NFI)数据集。对全球森林覆盖率数据的像素级分析表明,野火是该地区森林砍伐的主要驱动因素,占 35.2%,其次是农业扩张(30.6%)、伐木(13.2%)和基础设施扩展(10.1%)。其余 10.9% 的损失归因于其他干扰因素,如非法采伐、虫害和枯死。通过探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)方法,在 1 平方公里的网格尺度上对空间模式进行了进一步分析,结果显示所有研究因素都具有很强的聚类性。利用二元局部莫兰指数探讨了空间关系,结果表明,森林砍伐与火灾之间的空间依赖性最高(I = 0.21)。森林砍伐与其他因素(包括农业扩张、伐木、基础设施扩展和人口压力)之间的相关性分别为 0.18、0.17、0.08 和 0.05。景观压力(LSP)包括森林砍伐、农业扩张、火灾、基础设施扩展和人口压力,使用当地 Geary 指数进行分析,结果显示约 59% 的空间单位存在正相关关系。最后,根据当地 Geary 多变量检验和当地 Moran 单变量检验的结果,绘制了一张 LSP 群组综合图和一张说明 TTA 地区主要模式的解释图。
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引用次数: 0
Stress tolerance activity and Diversification of Endophytic fungi from the medicinal plant Abutilon indicum 药用植物 Abutilon indicum 的耐压活性和内生真菌的多样性
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c5
Haseena M, S. Arumugam, Suresh Gopal, Saleh H. Salmen, Hossam M Aljawdah, Murugan A. Munusamy
This study aimed to assess the diversity of endophytic fungi isolated from Abutilon indicum using morphological and molecular techniques. The isolates were exposed to various levels of salinity, temperatures, and heavy metals, including Ag2+ and Zn2+, at concentrations of 3.6 and 11.5 mM. Thirty root segments were isolated from each plant and cultured on potato dextrose agar plates. Four endophytic fungi were randomly isolated from infected root segments, belonging to the genera Aspergillus, Meyerozyma, and Penicillium. The phylogenetic analysis revealed significant diversity among the isolates of Aspergillus welwitschiae, Aspergillus indologenus, Meyerozyma carpophila, and Penicillium citrinum, with a 99% similarity in their sequences. Most isolates were able to thrive under salt stress conditions at NaCl concentrations of 200 mM (26%), 400 mM (24%), 600 mM (21%), 800 mM (13%), and 1000 mM (16%). Tolerant to temperature, endophytes could survive in the range of 25°C to 35°C but could not survive above 50°C. Heavy metals tolerance of 89% of these isolates led to a significant decrease in biomass production when exposed to Ag2+. Endophytic fungal isolates showed decreased sensitivity to Zn2+, but between 33% and 60% showed strong growth in conditions with high levels of Zn2+. These findings revealed that endophytic fungi of A. welwitschiae enhanced growth when exposed to various stress conditions. Our findings indicate that the presence of fungal endophytes in different stress conditions leads to significant growth, and this could be useful for phytoremediation purposes.
本研究旨在利用形态学和分子技术评估从苘麻中分离的内生真菌的多样性。分离的真菌暴露于不同程度的盐度、温度和重金属,包括浓度为 3.6 和 11.5 mM 的 Ag2+ 和 Zn2+。从每种植物中分离出 30 个根段,并在马铃薯葡萄糖琼脂平板上进行培养。从受感染的根段中随机分离出四种内生真菌,分别属于曲霉属、梅洛兹菌属和青霉属。系统进化分析表明,韦氏曲霉属、吲哚曲霉属、鲤鱼曲霉属和柠檬青霉属的分离物之间存在显著的多样性,其序列相似度高达 99%。大多数分离菌株都能在盐胁迫条件下生长,NaCl 浓度分别为 200 mM(26%)、400 mM(24%)、600 mM(21%)、800 mM(13%)和 1000 mM(16%)。对温度的耐受性,内生菌可在 25°C 至 35°C 的范围内存活,但在 50°C 以上则无法存活。89% 的内生真菌分离物对重金属具有耐受性,当暴露于 Ag2+ 时,其生物量显著下降。内生真菌分离物对 Zn2+ 的敏感性降低,但 33% 至 60% 的分离物在高浓度 Zn2+ 条件下生长旺盛。这些研究结果表明,当暴露在各种胁迫条件下时,A. welwitschiae 的内生真菌会促进其生长。我们的研究结果表明,在不同的胁迫条件下,真菌内生菌的存在会导致显著的生长,这可能有助于植物修复目的。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling Awareness and Knowledge of Orphan Plants: Catalysts for Sustainable Transformation in Al Zarqa Basin, Jordan 提高对 "孤儿植物 "的认识和了解:约旦扎尔卡盆地可持续转型的催化剂
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c1
W. Alahmad, Tamara S Al Qudah, Anas Khasawneh, Ra'ed A. Al Otoom, Maysa A. Al-Atoom, Wajed Al Ahmad, Rani Alsomadi
The awareness of orphan plants and underutilized species that have agricultural, nutritional, and medicinal importance is critical to the sustainable civilization of people. The lack of knowledge of the orphan plant's importance stems from insufficient outreach and educational efforts and this may increase the underappreciation of these plants' ecological relevance which will affect the sustainable environment in the determined region. In this study, Al Zarqa basin region located in the northern part of Jordan was selected as a study case. This is due to it has rich plant biodiversity with many endangered plant species. This study aimed to assess the awareness levels of the civil people in the Al Zarqa basin regarding orphan plants and identify key factors influencing the community's understanding of these underutilized species. In this study, local youth volunteers distributed an e-questionnaire, and 1000 participants from seven villages were engaged. Different parameters that measure people's awareness regarding orphan plants were evaluated. Data were collected and statistically analyzed to show the range of the people's awareness. Data showed the predominant of the samples used were male representation (66%), aged 18-45, engaged in agricultural and handicraft activities, with diverse educational backgrounds, and monthly incomes of 300-500 JD. Limited awareness (23.3%) of "orphan plants" was linked to lower academic levels in the studied areas. Perceived benefits varied, with 36.1% acknowledging moderate advantages and 25.6% perceiving high benefits. Despite recognizing utility, participants lacked specificity in benefits or classification. The study concludes that the region exhibits a dearth of knowledge about orphan plants, necessitating educational initiatives to raise awareness and advocate for the agricultural and medicinal potential of underutilized plant species, contributing to the socioeconomic advancement of residents in the agriculturally endowed Zarqa Basin.
对具有农业、营养和药用重要性的孤生植物和未充分利用物种的认识对于人类的可持续文明至关重要。由于外联和教育工作不足,人们对孤生植物的重要性缺乏了解,这可能会导致人们对这些植物的生态相关性认识不足,从而影响所确定地区的可持续环境。本研究选择了位于约旦北部的扎尔卡盆地地区作为研究案例。这是因为该地区拥有丰富的植物生物多样性,其中不乏濒危植物物种。本研究旨在评估扎尔卡盆地居民对无主植物的认识水平,并确定影响社区了解这些未充分利用物种的关键因素。在这项研究中,当地青年志愿者分发了一份电子问卷,来自七个村庄的 1000 名参与者参与了调查。对衡量人们对无主植物认识的不同参数进行了评估。收集的数据经过统计分析,显示了人们的认知范围。数据显示,所使用的样本中男性占绝大多数(66%),年龄在 18-45 岁之间,从事农业和手工艺活动,具有不同的教育背景,月收入在 300-500 日元之间。对 "无主植物 "的认识有限(23.3%),这与研究地区的教育水平较低有关。参与者对 "无主植物 "的益处认识不一,36.1% 的人认为有中等益处,25.6% 的人认为有较高益处。尽管参与者认识到了植物的效用,但他们对植物的益处或分类并不明确。研究得出结论,该地区对无主植物缺乏了解,因此有必要开展教育活动,提高人们对未充分利用的植物物种的农业和药用潜力的认识并进行宣传,从而促进农业资源丰富的扎尔卡盆地居民的社会经济发展。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the antecedents of Chinese people's pro-environmental behavior: the role of self-construal and news attention 了解中国人环保行为的前因:自我概念和新闻关注的作用
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c2
Li Li, Cuiyou Song
This study aims to extend the attitude-intention-behavior model by adding the individual (interdependence self-construal) and contextual (news attention on new media platforms) factors as antecedents to understand the formation process of Chinese individuals' pro-environmental behavior. Results of the structural equation modeling (SEM) analysis based on web survey data of 723 Chinese individuals showed that interdependent self-construal had a significant direct association with people's attention to environmental news messages on new media platforms. Such news attention is then positively associated with their attitudes toward pro-environmental behaviors. In turn, pro-environmental attitude positively predicted their environmental intentions. Finally, people's behavioral intentions positively led to their actual pro-environmental behaviors. Besides, the results demonstrate that interdependent self-construal is also directly and positively associated with people's intention of acting environmentally. Theoretical and practical implications were discussed.
本研究旨在扩展 "态度-意向-行为 "模型,增加个体(相互依赖的自我建构)和情境(新媒体平台上的新闻关注)因素作为前因,以理解中国个体亲环境行为的形成过程。基于 723 名中国人的网络调查数据的结构方程模型(SEM)分析结果显示,相互依赖的自我建构与人们对新媒体平台上环境新闻信息的关注有显著的直接关联。这种新闻关注与人们的环保行为态度呈正相关。反过来,亲环境态度又会积极地预测人们的环境意向。最后,人们的行为意向正向引导了他们的实际亲环境行为。此外,研究结果表明,相互依存的自我概念也与人们的环保行为意向直接正相关。讨论了理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the social risks of flooding for coastal societies: A case study for Prince Edward Island, Canada 评估洪水对沿海社会造成的社会风险:加拿大爱德华王子岛案例研究
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c8
Tianze Pang, Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah, Q. Dau, X. Wang
With the worldwide growing threat of flooding, assessing flood risks for human societies and the associated social vulnerability has become a necessary but challenging task. Earlier research indicates that islands usually face heightened flood risks due to higher population density, isolation, and oceanic activities, while there is an existing lack of experience in assessing the island-focused flood risk under complex interactions between geography and socioeconomics. In this context, our study employs high-resolution flood hazard data and the principal component analysis (PCA) method to comprehensively assess the social risk of flood exposure and social vulnerability in Prince Edward Island (PEI), Canada, where limited research has been delivered on flood risk assessments. The findings reveal that exposed populations are closely related to the distribution of flood areas, with increasingly severe impact from current to future climate conditions, especially on the island’s north shore. Exposed buildings exhibit a concentrated distribution at different levels of community centers, with climate change projected to significantly worsen building exposure compared to population, possibly due to the urban agglomeration effect. The most populated cities and towns show the highest social vulnerabilities in PEI, and the results reflect a relatively less complex economic structure of islands. Recommendations for research and management in the coming stage include the necessity of particular climate actions, recognizing community centers as critical sites for flood hazard responses, and incorporating flood hazards into urban planning and management to mitigate the impacts of continuous urbanization on ecosystem services for flood prevention.
随着全球范围内洪水威胁的日益加剧,评估人类社会的洪水风险及相关的社会脆弱性已成为一项必要但极具挑战性的任务。早期的研究表明,由于人口密度较高、与世隔绝以及海洋活动等原因,岛屿通常面临着更高的洪水风险,而在地理和社会经济之间复杂的相互作用下,目前还缺乏评估以岛屿为重点的洪水风险的经验。在此背景下,我们的研究采用高分辨率洪水灾害数据和主成分分析(PCA)方法,全面评估了加拿大爱德华王子岛(PEI)的洪水暴露社会风险和社会脆弱性。研究结果表明,暴露在洪水中的人口与洪水区域的分布密切相关,在当前和未来的气候条件下,洪水的影响越来越严重,尤其是在该岛的北岸。暴露在洪水中的建筑物集中分布在不同级别的社区中心,与人口相比,气候变化预计将显著加剧建筑物的暴露程度,这可能是城市聚集效应所致。在爱德华王子岛,人口最多的城镇显示出最高的社会脆弱性,其结果反映出岛屿的经济结构相对不那么复杂。下一阶段的研究和管理建议包括:采取特定气候行动的必要性;认识到社区中心是应对洪水灾害的关键地点;将洪水灾害纳入城市规划和管理,以减轻持续城市化对生态系统防洪服务的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Where Ideology Meets Private Interest: The Three-part Composition of Climate Obstruction in the United States. 意识形态与私人利益的结合:美国气候阻碍的三部曲。
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c6
Galen Hall, Loredana Loy, Robert J. Brulle, Kennedy Schell-Smith, Ming-May Hu, Stina Trollback
A network of organizations working to oppose climate action, called the climate change countermovement (CCCM), has long been a critical yet highly opaque subject of study for social scientists concerned with climate politics. We leverage a new combined dataset of boards of directors, financial contributions, and texts produced by CCCM members to characterize its sources of support and social structure. We show that foundations tend to make more frequent and larger donations to CCCM nonprofits when they are linked through a board member. We also show that CCCM nonprofits which are more distant from each other in the social network of board members produce different climate change discourses. Community detection methods robustly detect three communities within the CCCM: conservative think tanks (CTT), oil and gas trade associations, and utility, coal, and manufacturing trade associations, each with unique goals within the countermovement. The findings suggest that the climate countermovement is an interface among these communities which together ensure that climate action obstruction is achieved on different but complementary fronts, through both discursive and more concrete policy efforts. This paper also introduces a new way of understanding organized climate obstruction and makes significant methodological contributions in the study of social movements and countermovements.
长期以来,对于关注气候政治的社会科学家来说,一个致力于反对气候行动的组织网络--气候变化反运动(CCCM)--一直是一个至关重要但又极不透明的研究课题。我们利用一个新的综合数据集,包括董事会、财政捐款和 CCCM 成员撰写的文章,来描述其支持来源和社会结构。我们发现,当基金会通过董事会成员与 CCCM 非营利组织建立联系时,基金会往往会向 CCCM 非营利组织提供更多更频繁的捐款。我们还发现,在董事会成员的社会网络中,距离较远的 CCCM 非营利组织会产生不同的气候变化言论。社群检测方法在 CCCM 中稳健地检测出三个社群:保守派智库(CTT)、石油和天然气贸易协会以及公用事业、煤炭和制造业贸易协会,每个社群在反运动中都有独特的目标。研究结果表明,气候反运动是这些团体之间的一个界面,它们共同确保通过言论和更具体的政策努力,在不同但互补的战线上实现对气候行动的阻挠。本文还介绍了一种理解有组织气候阻挠的新方法,并在社会运动和反运动研究的方法论方面做出了重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying the impact of earthquakes on urban energy consumption and carbon emissions in Tokyo from a nexus perspective 从关联角度量化地震对东京城市能源消耗和碳排放的影响
IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad5c60
Xujie Hu and Wanglin Yan
Unexpected events can have profound impacts on urban resource supply and consumption. The Great East Japan Earthquake (3.11 hereafter) triggered not only the planned blackout in the Tokyo Metropolitan Region soon after the disaster but also the energy shift to fossil fuels to recover from the disfunction of Fukushima nuclear power plants. Previous research has mainly focused on the direct energy consumption and carbon emissions of different sectors while the intensity and extensity of the impact on industries and the environment have never been empirically addressed. This study explores energy-use efficiency and carbon emissions in Tokyo from 2011 to 2015 through a lens of nexus using environmentally extended input-output analysis and community-wide carbon analytic approaches. Results show that the energy consumption is the largest exporter and importer of carbon emissions, whereas energy losses and carbon emissions caused by energy conversion and transmission are almost twice as much as those caused by the direct parts. Strong nexus effects among building and material, transportation, and energy consumption were observed. The 3.11 greatly impacted the energy structure and carbon emission patterns because of the increased consumption of coal for electricity. The share of energy consumption and carbon emissions by raw materials for construction also increased because of the increased demand for the reparation and reconstruction of buildings and transport systems. This structural change provided new scientific evidence for governments to implement decarbonization policies while preparing for unprecedented events.
突发事件会对城市资源供应和消费产生深远影响。东日本大地震(以下简称 "3.11")不仅引发了灾后不久东京首都圈的计划性停电,还引发了为恢复福岛核电站故障而向化石燃料的能源转移。以往的研究主要集中在不同部门的直接能源消耗和碳排放上,而对产业和环境影响的强度和广度却从未进行过实证研究。本研究采用环境扩展投入产出分析和全社会碳分析方法,从关联视角探讨了 2011 年至 2015 年东京的能源利用效率和碳排放。结果表明,能源消耗是最大的碳排放出口国和进口国,而能源转换和传输造成的能源损失和碳排放几乎是直接部分造成的能源损失和碳排放的两倍。建筑与材料、交通和能源消耗之间存在着强烈的关联效应。3.11 极大地影响了能源结构和碳排放模式,因为电力煤炭消耗增加。由于建筑物和交通系统的修复和重建需求增加,建筑原材料的能源消耗和碳排放份额也随之增加。这一结构性变化为各国政府实施去碳化政策提供了新的科学依据,同时也为前所未有的事件做好了准备。
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引用次数: 0
A Hotspot and Mechanism of Enhanced Bottom Intrusion on the Southern New England Shelf 新英格兰南部大陆架海底侵入增强的热点和机制
IF 2.5 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1088/2515-7620/ad61c7
Ke Chen
Understanding the occurrence of the intrusion of open ocean water onto the continental shelf has scientific significance and societal relevance as the intrusion can significantly disrupt the marine ecosystem and fisheries. High-resolution numerical modeling is used to investigate the spatiotemporal occurrence and mechanisms of highly anomalous bottom intrusions on the southern New England shelf. Based on multi-year numerical simulations, this study reveals a hotspot of cross-isobath bottom intensified intrusions at a topographic trough. Examination of multiple events portrays a robust mechanism of locally enhanced bottom intrusions. Persistent upwelling-favorable winds set up an enhanced pressure gradient field at the topographic trough and drive the intrusion a large-distance onshore. Numerical experiments with and without the topographic trough show that the localized pressure gradient results from a combination of the shelf orientation and local bathymetry, the latter being less decisive. Although highly anomalous waters on the shelf relate to wind forcing, correlations between the wind stress anomaly and bottom salinity anomaly at the location of the enhanced intrusion is modest, implying the need to incorporate other environmental factors to develop more deterministic prediction models for subsurface conditions on the shelf. The results have important implications for marine environment and fisheries management.
了解开阔洋水侵入大陆架的情况具有重要的科学意义和社会意义,因为这种侵入会严重破坏海洋生态系统和渔业。高分辨率数值建模用于研究新英格兰南部大陆架高度异常海底入侵的时空发生和机制。基于多年数值模拟,该研究揭示了地形低谷处跨等深线海底强化侵入的热点。对多个事件的研究描绘了局部强化底侵的强大机制。持续的上升流顺风在地形槽处形成了一个增强的压力梯度场,并推动了大距离的陆上入侵。有地形槽和无地形槽的数值实验表明,局部压力梯度是陆架方向和局部水深的综合结果,后者的决定性作用较小。虽然陆架上的高度异常水域与风力有关,但风压异常与入侵增强位置的底层盐度异常之间的相关性不大,这意味着需要结合其他环境因素,为陆架的地下条件开发更确定的预测模型。研究结果对海洋环境和渔业管理具有重要意义。
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Environmental Research Communications
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