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Estimating groundwater recharge across Africa during 2003–2023 using GRACE-derived groundwater storage changes 利用 GRACE 得出的地下水储量变化估算 2003-2023 年期间整个非洲的地下水补给量
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102046
Vagner G. Ferreira , Hao Yang , Christopher Ndehedehe , Hongyan Wang , Ying Ge , Jia Xu , Min Xia , Ikechukwu Kalu , Miao Jing , Nathan Agutu

Study Region:

Africa, with its diverse climatic zones from the humid Congo Basin to the arid Sahara Desert, where groundwater is influenced by climate variability, land use, and human activities.

Study Focus:

The main objective is to estimate groundwater recharge across Africa from 2003 to 2023 using a novel approach that uses GRACE-derived groundwater storage changes.

New Hydrological Insights for the Region:

This study provides new insights into the spatial patterns and temporal variability of groundwater recharge across Africa, highlighting the influence of climate variability on the continent’s groundwater resources. Key findings include distinct regional differences in recharge, with higher values in humid regions like the Congo Basin and lower values in arid regions like the Sahara Desert. Substantial interannual variability in recharge is largely driven by year-to-year variations in precipitation and modulated by major modes of climate variability, especially the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. The sensitivity of groundwater recharge to hydroclimatic extremes, with droughts causing significant declines and wet periods leading to above-average replenishment. Regions with low recharge rates or high variability, such as Northern Africa, are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts and unsustainable groundwater abstraction. The findings emphasize the need for sustainable groundwater management strategies that consider the spatial and temporal variability of recharge, as well as the potential impacts of climate change on groundwater resources.
研究区域:非洲,从潮湿的刚果盆地到干旱的撒哈拉沙漠,气候区各不相同,地下水受到气候多变性、土地利用和人类活动的影响。研究重点:主要目的是使用一种新方法,利用 GRACE 衍生的地下水存储变化,估算 2003 年至 2023 年整个非洲的地下水补给量。对该地区水文的新认识:这项研究提供了对整个非洲地下水补给的空间模式和时间变化的新认识,突出了气候多变性对非洲大陆地下水资源的影响。主要发现包括:补给量存在明显的地区差异,刚果盆地等湿润地区的补给量较高,而撒哈拉沙漠等干旱地区的补给量较低。补给量的巨大年际变化在很大程度上受降水量年际变化的驱动,并受主要气候变异模式(尤其是太平洋十年涛动)的调节。地下水补给量对极端水文气候的敏感性,干旱会导致补给量大幅下降,而潮湿时期则会导致补给量高于平均水平。补给率低或变化大的地区,如北非,特别容易受到气候变化的影响和不可持续的地下水抽取。研究结果强调,可持续的地下水管理战略需要考虑补给的时空变化以及气候变化对地下水资源的潜在影响。
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引用次数: 0
Attribution analysis of hydrological drought after the impoundment of the Danjiangkou reservoir in the Hanjiang River Basin 汉江流域丹江口水库蓄水后水文干旱的归因分析
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102038
Cheng Li , Yanping Qu , Tianliang Jiang , Furen Jiang , Qianfeng Wang , Xuejun Zhang , Xiaohua Xu

Study region

Hanjiang River Basin, China

Study focus

Under the joint influences of human activities and climate change, droughts frequently occur in the Hanjiang River Basin (HRB). Quantifying the driving forces contribution on hydrological drought is crucial to enhance the early warning ability. This study employed the standardized streamflow index (SSI) to assess hydrological drought. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was utilized to reconstruct natural streamflow based on hydrological and meteorological data. By comparing the variations of drought characteristics in simulated and observed scenarios, the impacts of human activities and climate change to hydrological drought were quantified.

New hydrological insights for the study region

The SWAT model is capable of effectively simulating the natural streamflow conditions of the HRB with NSE>0.7, R2>0.8, logNSE>0.7 and |PBIAS|<20 %. Hydrological drought has intensified as a prolonged duration and greater severity affected by human activities and climate change. During the whole impact period (1968–2022), the duration and severity increased by 66.22 % and 81.16 % compared to baseline period (1956–1967). The year 1991 is detected as the mutation point. From 1968–1990 climate change has been the main factor in exacerbating hydrological drought. Since 1991, the influence of human activities has gradually exceeded the influence of climate change. These findings provide valuable insights for watershed integrated water resources management and water security.
研究区域中国汉江流域研究重点在人类活动和气候变化的共同影响下,汉江流域干旱频发。量化水文干旱的驱动力对提高预警能力至关重要。本研究采用标准化流量指数(SSI)来评估水文干旱。根据水文和气象数据,利用水土评估工具 (SWAT) 模型重建了自然溪流。SWAT 模型能够有效地模拟 HRB 的自然流场条件,NSE>0.7、R2>0.8、logNSE>0.7 和 |PBIAS|<20 %。受人类活动和气候变化的影响,水文干旱加剧,持续时间延长,严重程度增加。与基线期(1956-1967 年)相比,整个影响期(1968-2022 年)的持续时间和严重程度分别增加了 66.22% 和 81.16%。1991 年是突变点。从 1968 年到 1990 年,气候变化是加剧水文干旱的主要因素。自 1991 年起,人类活动的影响逐渐超过气候变化的影响。这些发现为流域水资源综合管理和水安全提供了宝贵的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of national and international gridded meteorological products for rainfall-runoff modelling in Northern Italy 评估用于意大利北部降雨-径流建模的国家和国际网格气象产品
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102031
Gökhan Sarigil, Mattia Neri, Elena Toth

Study region

Northern Italy.

Study focus

Gridded meteorological products provide spatially-distributed meteorological forcings, facilitating hydrological modeling in large-scale experiments. However, their accuracy, in particular as far as precipitation is concerned, varies considerably in space and time, and rigorous validation of these products is essential before their application. This study conducts a large-scale evaluation of five meteorological datasets in Northern Italy through i) a direct comparison of precipitation and temperature estimates and ii) an indirect validation, assessing their ability to reproduce streamflow when used to force the CemaNeige-GR6J hydrological model. The tested datasets include two gauged-based products, namely SCIA (the reference gridded dataset from the Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research) and E-OBS, two products based on reanalyses (the global ERA5-Land and the national MERIDA) and a gauged-corrected global satellite precipitation product (CHIRPS).

New hydrological insights for the region

Gauge-based datasets provide the best streamflow simulations when the underlying station density is high: SCIA, based on a uniform and dense gauge network across the entire study area, confirms to be the best choice as the climatic reference dataset, while the use of E-OBS is not recommended in Piedmont due to the low number of stations. In areas with low station density, reanalyses may yield to more accurate results: among reanalysis-based products, the Italian MERIDA dataset outperforms ERA5-Land. Finally, CHIRPS results to be the least accurate precipitation dataset.
研究地区意大利北部。研究重点网格气象产品提供了空间分布的气象诱因,有助于大规模实验中的水文建模。然而,这些产品的准确性,尤其是降水的准确性,在空间和时间上存在很大差异,因此在应用之前必须对这些产品进行严格验证。本研究对意大利北部的五个气象数据集进行了大规模评估,包括 i) 降水量和温度估算值的直接比较;ii) 间接验证,评估这些数据集用于强制 CemaNeige-GR6J 水文模型时再现溪流的能力。测试的数据集包括两个基于测量的产品,即 SCIA(意大利环境保护与研究所的参考网格数据集)和 E-OBS,两个基于再分析的产品(全球 ERA5-Land 和国家 MERIDA)以及一个经过测量校正的全球卫星降水产品(CHIRPS):SCIA 基于整个研究区域统一而密集的测站网络,被证实是气候参考数据集的最佳选择,而在皮埃蒙特,由于测站数量较少,不建议使用 E-OBS。在站点密度较低的地区,再分析可能会产生更准确的结果:在基于再分析的产品中,意大利 MERIDA 数据集的性能优于 ERA5-Land。最后,CHIRPS 是最不准确的降水数据集。
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引用次数: 0
Attribution mechanism of drought propagation time with changes in climate and underlying surface 干旱传播时间随气候和地表下层变化的归因机制
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-11-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102041
Kai Zhou , Yimin Wang , Jianxia Chang

Study region

Thirteen catchment regions of the Yellow River basin, located in northern China.

Study focus

Drought is a natural phenomenon characterized by a water deficiency that impacts various aspects of the hydrological cycle. Water deficit signals propagate through the hydrological system and are manifested in the sequential occurrence of meteorological drought, agricultural drought, and hydrological drought. The climate and underlying surface continuously influence the propagation of drought. Hence, it is imperative to investigate the attribution mechanism of drought propagation under the influence of climate and underlying surface.

New hydrological insights for the region

This study provides a theoretical attribution analysis framework for drought propagation time, including statistical and physical mechanisms. From the point of view of statistical analysis, this study found that the difference between meteorological drought and hydrological drought trend statistics was significantly correlated with the propagation time. And from the analyses of the water-energy coupled equation show that the contribution of climate and underlying surface to runoff was significantly correlated with the propagation time. From the point of view of physical mechanisms, hydrometeorological and underlying surface factors are important variables affecting drought propagation time, and the results of regression analyses provide empirical formulas for drought propagation time. Unlike previous studies, this study delved into the attribution mechanism of drought propagation time through regional comparisons. These findings are expected to be helpful for local drought management efforts and mitigation of associated losses.
研究区域位于中国北方的黄河流域的十三个集水区。研究重点干旱是一种自然现象,其特点是缺水,影响水文循环的各个方面。缺水信号在水文系统中传播,表现为气象干旱、农业干旱和水文干旱的相继发生。气候和底层地表不断影响着干旱的传播。本研究提供了干旱传播时间的理论归因分析框架,包括统计机制和物理机制。从统计分析的角度,本研究发现气象干旱与水文干旱趋势统计的差异与传播时间显著相关。而从水能耦合方程的分析来看,气候和下垫面对径流的贡献与传播时间显著相关。从物理机制的角度来看,水文气象和下垫面因素是影响干旱传播时间的重要变量,回归分析的结果提供了干旱传播时间的经验公式。与以往研究不同的是,本研究通过区域比较深入探讨了干旱传播时间的归因机制。预计这些研究结果将有助于当地的干旱管理工作和减轻相关损失。
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引用次数: 0
A framework to nowcast soil moisture with NASA SMAP level 4 data using in-situ measurements and deep learning 利用现场测量和深度学习对 NASA SMAP 第 4 级数据进行土壤湿度预报的框架
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102020
Hassan Dashtian , Michael H. Young , Bissett E. Young , Tyson McKinney , Ashraf M. Rateb , Dev Niyogi , Sujay V. Kumar

Study Region

Southeast Texas, USA.

Study Focus

NASA's Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) product, particularly the Level 4 (SMAPL4) data, provides high-resolution and extensive coverage of surface and root zone soil moisture (SM), essential for weather and climate research. However, a latency of 2.5–4.0 days in SMAPL4 data limits its real-time hydrologic and weather prediction applications. To address this, we developed a model integrating deep learning (DL) techniques (Long Short-Term Memory, Fully Connected Neural Network) with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to nowcast SM data in real-time. The model is trained on multi-source SM observations, including near real-time in-situ and satellite data, and deployed over a 56,000+ km² area in southeast Texas.

New Hydrological Insights for the Region

Our DL methodology nowcasts SM accurately in both time and space through real-time assimilation of multi-source data, mitigating SMAP's latency and offering near real-time soil moisture estimates. The nowcasted SM aligns closely with actual SMAPL4 data, capturing spatial and temporal variations. SMAP underestimates the spatio-temporal variability of soil moisture compared to in-situ data, highlighting the necessity for diverse data integration. The proposed framework can improve the real-time flood and drought monitoring and offers insights for various hydrological applications. Nowcasting error mapping identifies regions with higher uncertainties, guiding future model improvements.
研究地区美国得克萨斯州东南部。研究重点美国国家航空航天局的土壤水分主动被动(SMAP)产品,特别是第 4 级(SMAPL4)数据,提供了高分辨率和广泛覆盖的地表和根区土壤水分(SM),对天气和气候研究至关重要。然而,SMAPL4 数据 2.5-4.0 天的延迟限制了其实时水文和天气预报应用。为解决这一问题,我们开发了一种将深度学习(DL)技术(长短期记忆、全连接神经网络)与主成分分析(PCA)相结合的模型,用于实时预报 SM 数据。我们的深度学习方法通过对多源数据的实时同化,在时间和空间上对土壤水分进行了准确的预报,减轻了 SMAP 的延迟,并提供了接近实时的土壤水分估算。现在预测的土壤水分与实际的 SMAPL4 数据密切吻合,捕捉到了空间和时间上的变化。与原位数据相比,SMAP 低估了土壤水分的时空变化,这凸显了多样化数据整合的必要性。所提出的框架可改善实时洪水和干旱监测,并为各种水文应用提供见解。预报误差绘图可确定不确定性较高的区域,从而指导未来模型的改进。
{"title":"A framework to nowcast soil moisture with NASA SMAP level 4 data using in-situ measurements and deep learning","authors":"Hassan Dashtian ,&nbsp;Michael H. Young ,&nbsp;Bissett E. Young ,&nbsp;Tyson McKinney ,&nbsp;Ashraf M. Rateb ,&nbsp;Dev Niyogi ,&nbsp;Sujay V. Kumar","doi":"10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102020","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102020","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Study Region</h3><div>Southeast Texas, USA.</div></div><div><h3>Study Focus</h3><div>NASA's Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) product, particularly the Level 4 (SMAPL4) data, provides high-resolution and extensive coverage of surface and root zone soil moisture (SM), essential for weather and climate research. However, a latency of 2.5–4.0 days in SMAPL4 data limits its real-time hydrologic and weather prediction applications. To address this, we developed a model integrating deep learning (DL) techniques (Long Short-Term Memory, Fully Connected Neural Network) with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to nowcast SM data in real-time. The model is trained on multi-source SM observations, including near real-time in-situ and satellite data, and deployed over a 56,000+ km² area in southeast Texas.</div></div><div><h3>New Hydrological Insights for the Region</h3><div>Our DL methodology nowcasts SM accurately in both time and space through real-time assimilation of multi-source data, mitigating SMAP's latency and offering near real-time soil moisture estimates. The nowcasted SM aligns closely with actual SMAPL4 data, capturing spatial and temporal variations. SMAP underestimates the spatio-temporal variability of soil moisture compared to in-situ data, highlighting the necessity for diverse data integration. The proposed framework can improve the real-time flood and drought monitoring and offers insights for various hydrological applications. Nowcasting error mapping identifies regions with higher uncertainties, guiding future model improvements.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48620,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies","volume":"56 ","pages":"Article 102020"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142572715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disentangling hydrodynamic drivers of the Southern Venice (Italy) coastal aquifer via frequency decomposition analysis: Insights, challenges, and limitations 通过频率分解分析解密意大利威尼斯南部沿海含水层的水动力驱动因素:见解、挑战和局限性
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102039
Mattia Gaiolini , Fabrizio Rama , Micòl Mastrocicco , Marta Cosma , Sandra Donnici , Luigi Tosi , Nicolò Colombani

Study region

Shallow coastal aquifer located in the southern part of the Venice lagoon (Italy).

Study focus

This study aims to improve the understanding of coastal aquifers’ hydrodynamics by implementing systematic time-series analyses of data. A collection of non-intrinsically consistent time series from hydrological (surface water and groundwater) and meteo-mareographic monitoring networks was obtained from different institutions. Each signal was broken down through a frequency decomposition analysis, isolating the main driving forces to focus on phenomena that occur at different time and spatial scales.

New hydrological insights for the region

Results highlighted that the aquifer is highly connected with the Venice lagoon, with a clear fluctuation of piezometric heads induced by tidal major constituents, decreasing landward. Besides, the effects exerted by reclamation canals and pumping stations were also determined and found to increase landward. Despite the relatively simple behaviour of piezometric heads, the groundwater salinity is influenced by additional local factors, like probe depth, wells’ screen length, and vertical salinity distribution along the aquifer. These findings suggested how to make use of limited and sparse data to enhance the conceptual model of coastal aquifer hydrodynamics, while highlighting the limitations of existing monitoring networks. This outcome justified the need for an intrinsically-consistent network of dedicated multi-level samplers to avoid intra-borehole mixing and reliably characterize the groundwater salinity distribution.
研究重点 这项研究旨在通过对数据进行系统的时间序列分析,加深对沿海含水层水动力的了解。从不同机构获得了来自水文(地表水和地下水)和气象监测网络的非内在一致的时间序列。结果表明,含水层与威尼斯泻湖高度相连,潮汐主要成分引起的压水头波动明显,并向陆地方向递减。此外,还测定了填海运河和抽水站的影响,发现其向陆地方向增大。尽管压水头的行为相对简单,但地下水盐度还受到其他局部因素的影响,如探头深度、水井滤网长度和含水层沿线的垂直盐度分布。这些发现提出了如何利用有限和稀少的数据来改进沿岸含水层水动力概念模型,同时也突 出了现有监测网络的局限性。这一结果证明,有必要建立一个内在一致的多层次专用采样器网络,以避免钻孔内混 合,可靠地描述地下水盐度分布特征。
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引用次数: 0
Advanced long-term actual evapotranspiration estimation in humid climates for 1958–2021 based on machine learning models enhanced by the RReliefF algorithm 基于RReliefF算法增强的机器学习模型的1958-2021年湿润气候长期实际蒸散量高级估算方法
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102043
Ahmed Elbeltagi , Salim Heddam , Okan Mert Katipoğlu , Abdullah A. Alsumaiei , Mustafa Al-Mukhtar

Study region

Chengdu, Wuhan, Chongqing, and Kunming regions in China.

Study focus

Accurate estimation of crop water use or actual evapotranspiration (AET) remains a key obstacle in the effective design of irrigation schedules, plans, and design. This is due to the non-linear nature of this phenomenon. To address this issue and guarantee more accurate ET predictions, this study attempts the following: i) to assess the performance of five machine learning (ML) models optimized by the RReliefF algorithm in estimating actual ET values for each month in four Chinese provinces under various agroclimatic conditions; and ii) to select the optimal model based on statistical metrics while minimizing discrepancies between the estimated and actual ET values. AET was estimated using support vector machine (SVM), ensemble bagged and boosted trees, robust linear regression (RLR), and Matern 5/2 Gaussian process regression (M-GPR) models.

New hydrological insights for the region

The M-GPR model outperformed the other models and generated the best values for all statistical measures for training and testing stages: R2 (0.979, 0.982), RMSE (5.56, 5.09), MAE (3.29,3.16). In comparison, the RLR model exhibited the lowest training and testing performances metrics. The results of this study demonstrate the capacity of the M-GPR model to accurately predict long-term AET values. This model is best suited for further research on AET prediction at the stations under investigation, which could improve irrigation and boost agricultural productivity.
研究地区中国成都、武汉、重庆和昆明地区。研究重点准确估算作物用水量或实际蒸散量(AET)仍然是有效设计灌溉计划、规划和设计的关键障碍。这是由于这种现象的非线性性质造成的。为解决这一问题并保证更准确的蒸散发预测,本研究尝试进行以下工作:i) 评估经 RReliefF 算法优化的五个机器学习(ML)模型在估算中国四个省份不同农业气候条件下每月实际蒸散发值时的性能;ii) 根据统计指标选择最优模型,同时最大限度地减少估算值与实际蒸散发值之间的差异。使用支持向量机 (SVM)、集合袋装树和提升树、鲁棒性线性回归 (RLR) 和 Matern 5/2 高斯过程回归 (M-GPR) 模型估算了蒸散发量:R2(0.979,0.982)、RMSE(5.56,5.09)、MAE(3.29,3.16)。相比之下,RLR 模型的训练和测试性能指标最低。研究结果表明,M-GPR 模型能够准确预测长期 AET 值。该模型最适合用于对所调查站点的 AET 预测进行进一步研究,从而改善灌溉条件,提高农业生产率。
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引用次数: 0
A diagnostic framework to reveal future clean water scarcity in a changing climate 揭示不断变化的气候条件下未来清洁水稀缺状况的诊断框架
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102040
Shanlin Tong , Rui Xia , Jie Chen , Wenpan Li , Yan Chen , Chong-Yu Xu

Study region

The Yangtze River basin.

Study focus

Clean water scarcity is one of the major constraints for human sustainable development. Previous diagnosis of water scarcity has focus on fluctuations in the amount of water needed by humans, while ignoring the imbalance between water supply and demand that is exacerbated by changes in water quality under the context of climate change. This study proposes a diagnosis framework for clean water scarcity analysis under future climate projections by combining climate and socioeconomic projections, hydrological system, environmental requirement and human water withdrawal simulations, and water quality projections. This framework is demonstrated in analyzing the clean water scarcity for near (2031–2060) and far (2070–2099) futures.

New hydrological insights for the region

The results show that by the end of this century, the clean water stress index will decrease substantially, and the number of people potentially threatened by clean water scarcity is expected to decrease from 294.8 million to 159.1 million. Clean water scarcity is expected to ease as freshwater resources increase in the future. Based on scenario simulations, the results further reveal that mitigation measures for clean water scarcity are mainly affected by natural factors in near and far futures. These findings support that the proposed framework can provide a new perspective for assessing and explaining the multifaceted influences of climate change on clean water scarcity.
研究区域长江流域。研究重点清洁水短缺是人类可持续发展的主要制约因素之一。以往的缺水诊断主要关注人类需水量的波动,而忽视了气候变化背景下水质变化加剧的水资源供需失衡。本研究结合气候和社会经济预测、水文系统、环境要求和人类取水模拟以及水质预测,提出了未来气候预测下清洁水稀缺性分析的诊断框架。结果表明,到本世纪末,洁净水压力指数将大幅下降,可能受到洁净水短缺威胁的人口数量预计将从 2.948 亿减少到 1.591 亿。随着未来淡水资源的增加,清洁水稀缺的情况预计会有所缓解。根据情景模拟,结果进一步显示,在近期和远期,清洁水稀缺的缓解措施主要受自然因素的影响。这些结果证明,所提出的框架可以为评估和解释气候变化对清洁水稀缺的多方面影响提供一个新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-objective synergy and competition relationship of water and sediment regulation of the Heishanxia reservoir in upstream of the Yellow River Basin 黄河流域上游黑山峡水库水沙调控的多目标协同与竞争关系
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102045
Jieyu Li , Hang Li , Yuanjian Wang , Gang Liu , Fei Yang , Qiang Wang , Donglin Li

Study region

Heishanxia Reservoir, upstream of the Yellow River Basin.

Study focus

The complicated management of the Yellow River Basin stems primarily from an uncoordinated relationship between water and sediment. The un-built Heishanxia Reservoir has been designated as one of seven pivotal projects, and its regulating effect remains to be thoroughly studied. First, nine typical inflow water and sediment scenarios were constructed based on probability inference. Then, a multi-objective water and sediment regulation model of Heishanxia Reservoir was established with the objectives of maximum erosion quantity (EQ) of the channel, maximum ecological satisfaction rate (ESR), and maximum power generation (PG). Finally, the multi-dimensional regulating effect was revealed, and the synergy-competition relationships among EQ, ESR and PG were analyzed.

New hydrological insights for the region

The operation of Heishanxia can increase the discharge during the flood season in the downstream Ning-Meng Channel, and the average annual EQ is 0.19×108 t more than the current condition. Further, the ESR decreases slightly during the high-flow and normal-flow years and increases slightly during the low-flow years. The PG in the upper reaches of the Yellow River has increased by approximately 10 %. Among the three objectives, EQ and ESR, as well as EQ and PG, demonstrate a competitive relationship, whereas ESR and PG exhibit a synergistic relationship. Reservoir inflow plays a major role in the changes of synergy-competition relationship.
研究区域黄河流域上游的黑山峡水库。研究重点黄河流域的复杂管理主要源于水与泥沙之间不协调的关系。尚未建成的黑山峡水库被列为七大枢纽工程之一,其调节作用仍有待深入研究。首先,基于概率推理构建了九种典型的入库水沙情景。然后,以河道侵蚀量(EQ)最大、生态满足率(ESR)最大和发电量(PG)最大为目标,建立了黑山峡水库多目标水沙调节模型。黑山峡的运行可增加下游宁蒙河道汛期下泄流量,年平均侵蚀量比现状增加 0.19×108 t。此外,ESR 在丰水年和常丰水年略有减少,在枯水年略有增加。黄河上游的 PG 增加了约 10%。在这三个目标中,EQ 和 ESR 以及 EQ 和 PG 呈现竞争关系,而 ESR 和 PG 则呈现协同关系。在协同与竞争关系的变化中,水库流入量起着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Hydro-chemical tracers and hydro-chemical modeling assessing groundwater leakage for a karst aquifer in Yarkon-Taninim basin, Israel 水化学示踪剂和水化学模型评估以色列亚尔康-塔尼尼姆盆地岩溶含水层的地下水渗漏情况
IF 4.7 2区 地球科学 Q1 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102033
Michael Zilberbrand , Vladimir Mirlas , Alexander Gimburg , Yaakov Anker

Study region

Yarkon-Taninim groundwater basin, Israel.

Study focus

A Paleocene-Eocene thermal episode caused an anomaly of barium and silica concentrations in the Eocene aquitard that were used as natural tracers for identifying and quantifying leakage into the Turonian – Upper Cenomanian aquifer through the Senonian-Paleocene (Mount-Scopus Group) strata. Increased concentrations of both Ba2+ and SiO2 in Turonian – Upper Cenomanian aquifer groundwater were supposed to be a sign of downward leakage from the Eocene aquitard. Within the Menashe syncline where these tracers pointed to the leakage, it was estimated by the balance method. Using this estimate, the area-averaged hydraulic conductivity of the intermedium layer was assessed from the Darcy’s law by using this layer thickness and a hydraulic gradient between the Avdat-Group aquitard and the Turonian – Upper Cenomanian aquifer. The calculation and integration of its results over the balance area by a grid with 1×1 km2 cells was performed by using the GIS-based ARGUS ONE software. Cl- and SO42- concentrations in the leakage have been estimated by using the mixing model considering the assessed leakage. PHREEQC software was used for solubility calculation of amorphous silica, quartz and barite at different temperatures, pH and salinities and for calculation of saturation indices of Ba-bearing minerals.

New hydrological insights for the region

Previously the Senonian layers within synclines in the Yarkon-Taninim basin, which is the primary source of the groundwater supply in Israel, were supposed to be impermeable. This study has shown that the main leakage is concentrated in the Menashe syncline vicinity north of the Yarkon-Taninim basin. The two tracers first provided a possibility of the leakage assessment within the Menashe syncline: more than 2.3*106 – 11.4*106 m3 yr−1 (leakage rate of 5.4*10−5 – 2.6*10−4 m day−1 at the Eocene outcrops of the syncline). The average regional permeability of the Senonian aquiclude within the Menashe syncline was estimated in the range 7.7*10−5 – 3.8*10−4 m day−1, essentially higher as compared to the values for the Bet-Govrin syncline. The salinity of the slow leakage was assessed to be low; therefore, it will not damage the high-quality groundwater in the Turonian – Upper Cenomanian aquifer that is exploited for the potable water supply.
研究重点 古新世-始新世的热事件导致始新世含水层中的钡和二氧化硅浓度异常,这些钡和二氧化硅被用作天然示踪剂,用于确定和量化通过塞诺尼-古新世(斯科普斯山组)地层渗漏到图伦纪-上新世含水层的情况。都龙纪-上新统含水层地下水中 Ba2+ 和 SiO2 浓度的增加,被认为是始新世含水层向下渗漏的迹象。在这些示踪剂表明存在渗漏的梅纳谢突岩中,用平衡法对渗漏进行了估算。根据这一估算结果,利用中间层厚度和阿夫达特组含水层与都伦-上新统含水层之间的水力梯度,根据达西定律评估了中间层的区域平均水力传导率。利用基于地理信息系统的 ARGUS ONE 软件,通过 1×1 平方公里的网格对平衡区进行了计算和整合。考虑到评估的泄漏量,使用混合模型估算了泄漏中的 Cl- 和 SO42- 浓度。PHREEQC 软件用于计算无定形二氧化硅、石英和重晶石在不同温度、pH 值和盐度下的溶解度,以及计算含钡矿物的饱和指数。这项研究表明,主要的渗漏集中在亚尔康-塔尼尼姆盆地北部的梅纳谢突岩附近。两种示踪剂首先提供了对梅纳谢突岩内部渗漏评估的可能性:超过 2.3*106 - 11.4*106 立方米/年-1(在突岩的始新世露头处,渗漏率为 5.4*10-5 - 2.6*10-4 米/天-1)。据估计,梅纳谢向斜内的塞诺尼安含水层的平均区域渗透率为 7.7*10-5 - 3.8*10-4 米/天-1,基本上高于 Bet-Govrin 向斜的数值。经评估,缓慢渗漏的盐度较低;因此,它不会对用于饮用水供应的图伦纪--上塞努曼纪含水层中的优质地下水造成损害。
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Journal of Hydrology-Regional Studies
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