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History, Economic Costs, Measures To Be Taken Of Earthquake Occurrences In Varıous Regions Of The World And In Türkiye 历史,经济成本,地震发生的措施在Varıous世界各地和在<s:1> kiye
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02836
Kamil Uslu
Various large and small earthquakes have occurred in our world from the past to the present, and they will continue to do so. . When the earth's plates move against each other, pressure is exerted on the lithosphere. As a result, the plates in the earth's crust exert forces on themselves and each other as they move. When the force is large enough, the shell is forced to break. In our study, information will be presented about the history of earthquakes in the world and in Türkiye, deaths as a result of deadly destructive disasters, the effects of earthquakes on the country's economy, and the measures to be taken from the policies taken by the state regarding earthquakes. As a limitation of the study, earthquake geology and engineering are out of the scope of the study. Since there is no technology to prevent earthquakes, living with the reality of earthquakes and living in accordance with public and private rules can reduce the risk of destructive and deadly disasters.
从过去到现在,我们的世界发生了大大小小的地震,而且还会继续发生。当地球板块相互运动时,岩石圈就受到压力。因此,地壳中的板块在运动时对自身和彼此施加作用力。当力足够大时,壳就被迫破裂。在我们的研究中,将介绍世界和日本地震的历史、致命破坏性灾害造成的死亡人数、地震对国家经济的影响以及国家在地震方面采取的政策所应采取的措施。由于研究的局限性,地震地质与工程不在研究范围之内。由于没有预防地震的技术,生活在地震的现实中,按照公共和私人规则生活,可以减少破坏性和致命灾害的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Sportive and Financial Performance Analysis of Football Clubs by Using MULTIMOOSRAL Method: An Application on Football Clubs Traded in Borsa Istanbul 基于MULTIMOOSRAL方法的足球俱乐部体育与财务绩效分析——以伊斯坦布尔Borsa上市的足球俱乐部为例
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02828
Ferhat Kaya
Since football has become an industry and opened to capital markets, the financial performance of football clubs has become as crucial as their sportive performance. This study aims to analyze the financial and sportive performances of football clubs traded in the capital markets in Turkey, rate their success, and investigate the relationship between performances. In the study, the sportive and financial performances of Beşiktaş, Fenerbahçe, Galatasaray, and Trabzonspor clubs were investigated with the MULTIMOOSRAL method, using the data for the period 2017-2018/2021-2022. Weights were taken equally for 5 sportive criteria and 8 financial criteria used in the study. A correlation test was applied to the rankings calculated separately for each season, and the relationship between sportive and financial performance was examined. No significant relationship was found between sportive and financial performances.
由于足球已经成为一个产业,并向资本市场开放,足球俱乐部的财务表现已经变得和他们的竞技表现一样重要。本研究旨在分析在土耳其资本市场交易的足球俱乐部的财务和体育表现,对其成功进行评级,并调查绩效之间的关系。在本研究中,使用MULTIMOOSRAL方法,使用2017-2018/2021-2022期间的数据,调查了be伊克塔伊塔伊、费内巴、加拉塔萨雷和特拉布松体育俱乐部的体育和财务业绩。研究中使用的5个运动标准和8个财务标准的权重相等。对每个赛季单独计算的排名进行相关性检验,并检验体育与财务绩效之间的关系。体育运动与财务绩效之间没有显著的关系。
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引用次数: 0
The 1994, 1997-98, 2001 and 2008 Crises and their Impacts on the Turkish Economy 1994年、1997-98年、2001年和2008年危机及其对土耳其经济的影响
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02739
Özlen Hiç, Ayşen Hiç Gencer
This article examines the impacts of four major economic and financial crises that significantly affected Turkey’s economic stability and growth: the 1994 crisis, the 1997-98 Asian crisis, the 2001 Turkish crisis, and the 2008 global crisis. The 1994 crisis was triggered by a sudden currency depreciation and resulted in a severe economic contraction. It revealed the vulnerabilities of the Turkish financial system and highlighted the need for structural reforms to improve fiscal discipline and monetary policy. The 1997-98 Asian financial crisis had a ripple effect on Turkey, leading to a sharp decline in exports, capital outflows, and a banking crisis. The Turkish Lira came under intense pressure, and the government had to implement stabilization measures with support from international institutions. The 2001 Turkish economic crisis stemmed from high public debt, banking sector weaknesses, and a loss of investor confidence, which led to a significant depreciation of the Turkish Lira, a banking sector restructuring, and the implementation of economic reforms. The 2008 global financial crisis, originated in the United States. The collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a sharp decline in global demand, leading to a decline in Turkey's exports. The government implemented stimulus measures to mitigate the impacts of the crisis and prevent a severe recession. Overall, these crises exposed vulnerabilities in Turkey's economy and highlighted the importance of implementing structural reforms, improving financial regulations, and maintaining macroeconomic stability. The Turkish economy has demonstrated resilience in recovering from these crises, but ongoing challenges remain in sustaining long-term economic growth and stability.
本文考察了四次严重影响土耳其经济稳定和增长的主要经济和金融危机的影响:1994年危机、1997-98年亚洲危机、2001年土耳其危机和2008年全球危机。1994年的危机是由货币突然贬值引发的,导致严重的经济收缩。它揭示了土耳其金融体系的脆弱性,并强调需要进行结构性改革,以改善财政纪律和货币政策。1997-98年的亚洲金融危机对土耳其产生了连锁反应,导致出口急剧下降,资本外流和银行业危机。土耳其里拉承受着巨大的压力,政府不得不在国际机构的支持下实施稳定措施。2001年土耳其经济危机的起因是公共债务高企、银行业薄弱和投资者信心丧失,导致土耳其里拉大幅贬值、银行业重组和经济改革的实施。2008年的全球金融危机,起源于美国。雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)破产引发全球需求急剧下降,导致土耳其出口下降。政府实施了刺激措施,以减轻危机的影响,防止严重衰退。总的来说,这些危机暴露了土耳其经济的脆弱性,凸显了实施结构性改革、改善金融监管和保持宏观经济稳定的重要性。土耳其经济已经从这些危机中恢复过来,但在维持长期经济增长和稳定方面仍然存在挑战。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Agricultural Price Inflation on Food Security: An Analysis of Countries Surrounding the Black Sea 农产品价格上涨对粮食安全的影响:黑海周边国家的分析
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02806
Mehmet Tevfik İzgi, Faig Mammadov, Oğuzhan Özçelebi
This article examines the impact of inflation in agricultural prices on food security in the countries surrounding the Black Sea, including Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania, the Russian Federation, Turkey, and Ukraine. Concerns about inflation in agricultural prices and food security have increased globally in recent years, especially due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has resulted in problems with agricultural production and logistical constraints, leading to increased food prices worldwide. This study analyzes the impact of agricultural price inflation on food security in the aforementioned countries. The analysis uses the "producer price index" of agricultural products, such as corn, beans, sugar beets, sunflower seeds, and wheat, published by the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) to measure inflation, and "per capita food supply variability" to assess food security. The study examines the complex effects of agricultural product inflation on food security with the help of panel vector error correction model.
本文考察了农产品价格通胀对黑海周边国家粮食安全的影响,这些国家包括保加利亚、格鲁吉亚、罗马尼亚、俄罗斯联邦、土耳其和乌克兰。近年来,全球对农产品价格通胀和粮食安全的担忧有所加剧,特别是由于2019冠状病毒病大流行和俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突,导致农业生产出现问题和后勤限制,导致全球粮食价格上涨。本研究分析了上述国家农产品价格上涨对粮食安全的影响。该分析使用联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)发布的玉米、豆类、甜菜、葵花籽和小麦等农产品的“生产者价格指数”来衡量通货膨胀,使用“人均粮食供应变异性”来评估粮食安全。本研究利用面板向量误差修正模型检验农产品通胀对粮食安全的复杂影响。
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引用次数: 0
Testing for Granger Causality in Heterogeneous Panels with Cross-sectional Dependence: Causal Interrelationships between Export and Growth 横断面依赖异质性面板格兰杰因果检验:出口与增长之间的因果关系
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02849
Şaban Nazlıoğlu, Çağın Karul
This paper proposes a panel Granger causality test for heterogeneous panels with cross-sectional dependence. We define a panel VAR model with unobserved common factors and apply the PANIC procedure to obtain the de-factored data. We then estimate the lag augmented (LA)-VAR models for each cross-section and define the panel statistic based on the meta-analytic approach that combines the p-values of the individual Wald statistics. The Monte Carlo simulations indicate that the test shows good size and power; and appears suitable for the panels where cross-sections may have different unit root or co-integration properties. We finally re-investigate causal interrelationships between export and economic growth in OECD countries by comparing the results from our testing procedure with those from the existing methods. The key finding is that accounting for cross-sectional dependency with factor modelling approach plays a crucial role to determine the direction of causality for country-specific results. A fresh information is that export and economic growth do not cause each other in most of EU countries.
本文提出了具有横截面相关性的异质性面板格兰杰因果检验。我们定义了一个具有未观察到的共同因素的面板VAR模型,并应用PANIC程序来获得分解后的数据。然后,我们估计每个横截面的滞后增强(LA)-VAR模型,并根据结合个体Wald统计量的p值的元分析方法定义面板统计量。蒙特卡罗仿真表明,该测试具有良好的尺寸和功耗;并且似乎适用于截面可能具有不同单位根或协整性质的面板。最后,我们通过比较我们的测试程序与现有方法的结果,重新调查了经合组织国家出口与经济增长之间的因果关系。关键的发现是,用因素建模方法计算横截面依赖性在确定具体国家结果的因果关系方向方面起着至关重要的作用。一个新的信息是,在大多数欧盟国家,出口和经济增长并不互为因果。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Generational Differences on Economic Growth: Examples from Eurasian Countries 代际差异对经济增长的影响:来自欧亚国家的例子
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02863
Gözde Bozkurt, Volkan Öngel
Changes in the population structure shape the sociocultural system and the countries’ economies. Studies show that population growth and demographic changes significantly impact the economic development of nations. However, labor productivity is also an important factor affecting economic growth. Labor productivity refers to the increase in productivity resulting from the efforts and skills of employees and their interactions with other employees. At this point, generational transitions in the labor market stand out within the scope of labor productivity. Considering the technological change in the past three decades, the competencies and skills of the labor market have changed significantly with the emergence of generational differences among individuals involved in the workforce. It is also emphasized by many studies that there are various skill differences, such as technology aptitude, between generations born in the technological development process (digital natives) and generations born before the said process (digital immigrants). In this context, the study aims to investigate the effect of generational changes in the labor market of Eurasian countries on their economic growth. Using the labor force participation rate and economic growth data for 1989 and 2021, the effect of the transition between generations on economic growth was analyzed using unbalanced panel data analysis. According to the findings on economic development, while a statistically significant and positive effect of the ages within the scope of 2006-2012 and 2013-2021 was determined, no significant impact was found for the generations within the range of 1996-2005.
人口结构的变化塑造了社会文化体系和国家经济。研究表明,人口增长和人口结构变化对各国的经济发展产生重大影响。然而,劳动生产率也是影响经济增长的重要因素。劳动生产率是指由于员工的努力和技能以及他们与其他员工的相互作用而产生的生产率的提高。在这一点上,劳动力市场的代际转换在劳动生产率的范围内显得尤为突出。考虑到过去三十年的技术变革,劳动力市场的能力和技能随着劳动力中个人代际差异的出现而发生了重大变化。许多研究还强调,在技术发展过程中出生的几代人(数字原生代)与在技术发展过程之前出生的几代人(数字移民)之间存在各种技能差异,例如技术能力。在此背景下,本研究旨在探讨欧亚国家劳动力市场代际变化对其经济增长的影响。利用1989年和2021年的劳动力参与率和经济增长数据,采用非平衡面板数据分析,分析代际转换对经济增长的影响。根据经济发展的研究结果,虽然确定了2006-2012年和2013-2021年范围内的年龄对经济发展的影响具有统计学意义,但1996-2005年范围内的年龄对经济发展的影响不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Digital Transformation of Small and Medium Enterprises: Institutional Analysis 中小企业数字化转型:制度分析
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02856
Tatyana Gurunyan
The UN Sustainable Development Goals establish the need for the development of micro, small and medium-sized enterprises. In world practice, it has been proven that there is a direct relationship between the digitalization of a business and its profitability. According to the McKinsey Global Institute, data-driven business models significantly increase productivity in digitalized industries. Unfortunately, in terms of business digitalization, the Russian Federation and other EAEU countries still lag behind technologically leading countries. To move more dynamically along the path of digital transformation, entrepreneurs need institutional support. This conclusion was drawn based on the results of the research “Institutional regulation of the digital transformation of small and medium-sized businesses” under an internal grant at the Siberian Institute of Management, a branch of the RANEPA under the President of the Russian Federation in 2022. The study uses a multidisciplinary approach. A survey was conducted among representatives of small businesses in the Novosibirsk Region, the Chelyabinsk Region and the Republic of Kabardino-Balkaria. Expert interviews were received from heads of business associations, representatives of the scientific community, and government authorities. On the basis of Russian and foreign best practices of institutional support for digital transformation, the program "Accelerator of Digital Transformation of Small Business" was proposed, which should be implemented at the level of regions and municipalities. The introduction of the developed recommendations into the practice of institutional regulation in the EAEU countries will contribute to the digital transformation of small businesses. Ultimately, this will improve countries' entrepreneurial ecosystems.
联合国可持续发展目标确立了中小微企业发展的必要性。在世界实践中,已经证明企业的数字化与其盈利能力之间存在直接关系。据麦肯锡全球研究所称,数据驱动的商业模式显著提高了数字化行业的生产率。不幸的是,在商业数字化方面,俄罗斯联邦和其他欧亚经济联盟国家仍然落后于技术领先的国家。为了在数字化转型的道路上更有活力地前进,企业家需要制度性的支持。这一结论是根据西伯利亚管理学院(俄罗斯联邦总统下属的RANEPA分支机构)于2022年获得内部资助的“中小企业数字化转型的制度监管”研究结果得出的。这项研究采用了多学科方法。在新西伯利亚州、车里雅宾斯克州和卡巴尔达-巴尔卡里亚共和国的小企业代表中进行了一项调查。接受了来自商业协会负责人、科学界代表和政府当局的专家采访。在俄罗斯和国外机构支持数字化转型的最佳实践的基础上,提出了“小企业数字化转型加速器”计划,该计划应在地区和市政一级实施。将制定的建议引入欧亚经济联盟国家的制度监管实践,将有助于小企业的数字化转型。最终,这将改善各国的创业生态系统。
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引用次数: 0
Agile Approaches of Businesses in Logistics and Supply Chain 物流和供应链企业的敏捷方法
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02819
Kübra Göksu Köstepen Özbek
Modern logistics requires companies which implement ease of access, quick information processing, and security conditions in their enterprises. The foundation of this transformation lies in transportation processes that prioritize customer demands for reduced transit times, product availability, and efficient delivery. Modern systems encompass transportation exchanges, as well as tools like TMS (Transportation Management Systems), ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning), and Truck & Tracing systems. These systems enable logistics professionals to navigate the entire logistics process chain. In the present day, companies are adopting a project management approach to develop innovative solutions for their operations. According to the Project Management Institute (PMI) market research, project management practitioners widely embrace agile principles as an effective project management technique. By utilizing TMS, ERP, warehouse control systems, and other automated planning, organizing, and control tools for logistics activities, businesses can drive operational improvements. In the future, businesses will establish global networks that leverage cyber-physical systems encompassing machinery, warehouse systems, and production facilities. This research aims to explore how companies are implementing new agile approaches in their logistics and supply chain services, as well as the impact of logistics 4.0 and logistics 5.0 on businesses and customer service. In this research, more samples from the industries are examined and a comprehensive literature review regarding logistics and supply chain are presented.
现代物流要求企业在其企业内实现易于访问、信息处理快速和安全的条件。这种转变的基础在于运输过程,优先考虑客户对减少运输时间、产品可用性和高效交付的需求。现代系统包括运输交换,以及TMS(运输管理系统)、ERP(企业资源规划)和卡车和amp等工具;跟踪系统。这些系统使物流专业人员能够驾驭整个物流流程链。目前,公司正在采用项目管理方法为其运营开发创新的解决方案。根据项目管理协会(PMI)的市场调查,项目管理从业者广泛接受敏捷原则作为一种有效的项目管理技术。通过利用TMS、ERP、仓库控制系统和其他自动化的物流活动计划、组织和控制工具,企业可以推动运营改进。未来,企业将建立全球网络,利用包括机械、仓库系统和生产设施在内的网络物理系统。本研究旨在探讨企业如何在其物流和供应链服务中实施新的敏捷方法,以及物流4.0和物流5.0对企业和客户服务的影响。在本研究中,更多的样本从行业进行了检查,并提出了关于物流和供应链的全面的文献综述。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Stability Index in Eurasian Economies 欧亚经济体的金融稳定指数
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02794
Zehra Yeşim Gürbüz
Today’s financial markets are an important part of market economies and play an important role in the economic growth of countries. Especially the global crisis of 2008 allowed to understand the importance of the stability in the financial system on the real economy. Besides, there is no consensus in the literature for the definition of financial stability. It’s not easy to measure and define the financial stability due to the dependence and interaction between financial system components as well as real economy. Both national and international financial institutions and countries started to redesign their financial systems, increase their resilience against the crisis, review their surveillance and control mechanisms and create their own financial stability indicators. Central banks publish financial stability reports where they try to determine financial stability risks and to evaluate the degree of financial fragility or financial stress. The Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs) of the International Monetary Funds are considered as one of the most used indicators. In this paper, we aim to evaluate the financial stability in the Eurasian Economic Union member countries by an aggregate financial instability index via core FSI’s. These indicators are calculated for deposit takers and consist of twelve indicators that are divided in five main groups which are capital adequacy, asset quality, profitability, liquidity, and market risk sensitivity. The analysis covers the period of 2008-2022 and we then discuss how different crisis such as 2008 financial crisis and the Russia-Ukraine war that emerged during the analysis period affect financial stability in Eurasian countries.
当今的金融市场是市场经济的重要组成部分,在各国经济增长中发挥着重要作用。尤其是2008年的全球危机,让我们认识到金融体系稳定对实体经济的重要性。此外,对于金融稳定的定义,文献中也没有达成共识。由于金融体系各组成部分与实体经济之间的相互依赖和相互作用,对金融稳定性进行衡量和界定并不容易。国内和国际金融机构和各国都开始重新设计其金融体系,增强其抵御危机的能力,审查其监督和控制机制,并制定自己的金融稳定指标。中央银行发布金融稳定报告,试图确定金融稳定风险,评估金融脆弱性或金融压力的程度。国际货币基金组织的金融稳健性指标(FSIs)被认为是最常用的指标之一。本文旨在通过核心金融稳定指数,通过综合金融不稳定指数来评估欧亚经济联盟成员国的金融稳定性。这些指标是为存款接受者计算的,由12个指标组成,分为5个主要类别,即资本充足率、资产质量、盈利能力、流动性和市场风险敏感性。分析涵盖了2008-2022年期间,然后我们讨论了不同的危机,如2008年金融危机和俄罗斯-乌克兰战争,在分析期间出现如何影响欧亚国家的金融稳定。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Performance Evaluation of Tourism Sector in the Post COVID-19 Pandemic Period 后新冠肺炎大流行时期旅游部门财务绩效评价
Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.36880/c15.02848
Nehir Balcı Yıldız, Yeşim Koba
Tourism sector is one of the sectors most affected by the COVID-19 Pandemic, is also among the sectors that have a high positive impact on national income. Understanding the financial performances of companies in the tourism sector, which is considered as the driving force of economic growth in developed and developing countries, after the COVID-19 pandemic period is important for policy makers, investors, companies in the sector, and managers. This study aims at evaluating financial performance of companies in the tourism sector in the post COVID-19 Pandemic period with Gray Relational Analysis. Grey Relational Analysis conducted with liquidity, financial leverage and profitability ratios. In the post-pandemic period, it has been determined that the tourism companies are in good financial position according to their liquidity, financial leverage and profitability ratios. In the financial performance evaluation, the order of importance among the ratios was realized as liquidity ratios, financial leverage ratios and profitability ratios. The order of importance in the financial performance ranking of the sector before the pandemic and during the pandemic period is financial leverage ratios, profitability ratios and liquidity ratios. It is concluded that the liquidity position has more importance for all companies after the pandemic. In the post-pandemic period, the liquidity ratios of companies are above the optimal value. Leverage and profitability ratios are close to pre-pandemic and pandemic.
旅游业是受COVID-19大流行影响最严重的行业之一,也是对国民收入产生积极影响的行业之一。在发达国家和发展中国家,旅游业被视为经济增长的动力。了解新冠肺炎疫情后,旅游业企业的财务业绩对政策制定者、投资者、行业企业和管理者都很重要。本研究旨在利用灰色关联分析评估COVID-19大流行后旅游部门公司的财务绩效。对流动性、财务杠杆和盈利能力比率进行灰色关联分析。在疫情后时期,根据旅游公司的流动性、财务杠杆率和盈利能力,确定其财务状况良好。在财务绩效评价中,各比率的重要程度依次为流动性比率、财务杠杆比率和盈利能力比率。在疫情前和疫情期间,该行业财务业绩排名的重要性依次为财务杠杆率、盈利能力比率和流动性比率。结论是,疫情过后,流动性状况对所有企业都更为重要。在疫情后时期,企业的流动性比率高于最优值。杠杆率和利润率接近大流行前和大流行前。
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引用次数: 0
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Uluslararası Avrasya ekonomileri konferansı
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