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Evaluating the climate change–induced vulnerability of the Pichavaram Mangrove ecosystem through a stakeholder-centric multiscale approach 通过以利益相关者为中心的多尺度方法评估皮查瓦兰红树林生态系统由气候变化引起的脆弱性
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.373
A. Kathirvelpandian, Ahamed Rasheeq, Ganesan Kantharajan, T. Kumawat, T. T. A. Ajith Kumar, U. Sarkar
Mangrove-inhabited coastal areas are seriously threatened by climate change that disturbs the sustenance of dependent native communities. This study assesses the status of climate variables to identify and evaluate climate change–induced vulnerabilities to fishers and recommend mitigation measures at a regional scale in the Pichavaram Mangroves, a Ramsar wetland of international importance in India. The time series climate data (1951–2021) revealed an insignificant increase in annual rainfall (p< 0.05) and a significant increasing trend (p> 0.05) for mean annual temperature. The results of the stakeholder-based approach (n = 240) indicate that mangrove dwellers experience ecological and health-based vulnerabilities and estuarine fishers face community and nutritional issues. Fishers of this wetland are prone to resources (60.5) and user-based vulnerabilities (59.03). The overall vulnerability index places fishers of the mangrove/estuary (T.S.Pettai: 54.13; Killai: 53.04; Pichavaram: 52.91) more vulnerable than the marine region (Mudasalodai: 49.84). This study suggests social networking, skill development, awareness of welfare schemes, ecotourism and sustainable fishing, climate research for developing mitigation strategies, and fisheries enhancement to combat climate change impacts. Furthermore, building resilience among the stakeholders and resource management through a citizen science approach is crucial to lessen climate change vulnerability in coastal wetlands in India, and elsewhere.
栖息着红树林的沿海地区正受到气候变化的严重威胁,气候变化扰乱了依赖气候变化生存的本地社区。本研究对气候变量的状况进行了评估,以确定和评估气候变化对渔民造成的影响,并就印度具有国际重要性的拉姆萨尔湿地 Pichavaram 红树林的区域范围内的缓解措施提出建议。时间序列气候数据(1951-2021 年)显示,年降雨量增长不明显(p< 0.05),年平均气温呈显著上升趋势(p> 0.05)。以利益相关者为基础的方法(n = 240)的结果表明,红树林居民面临生态和健康方面的脆弱性,河口渔民面临社区和营养问题。该湿地的渔民容易受到资源(60.5)和用户(59.03)的影响。从总体脆弱指数来看,红树林/河口地区的渔民(T.S.Pettai:54.13;Killai:53.04;Pichavaram:52.91)比海洋地区的渔民(Mudasalodai:49.84)更脆弱。这项研究建议建立社会网络、发展技能、提高对福利计划、生态旅游和可持续渔业的认识、开展气候研究以制定减缓战略,以及加强渔业以应对气候变化的影响。此外,通过公民科学方法在利益相关者和资源管理中建立复原力,对于降低印度和其他地方沿海湿地的气候变化脆弱性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 models for temperature and precipitation simulation over the Yarlung Tsangpo-Brahmaputra River Basin CMIP5 和 CMIP6 模型对雅鲁藏布江-布拉马普特拉河流域温度和降水模拟的比较
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.393
Linyan Chen, Xuan Ji, Zhangchao Xu, Peng Qin, Chuangjian Yang, Siyi Yan, Cezong Sun, Yangfan Zheng, Yuanping Zhang
This study compares simulations from 13 CMIP5 and CMIP6 homologous models and their multi-model ensemble (MME) for temperature and precipitation over the Yarlung Tsangpo-Brahmaputra River Basin (YBRB). The results showed that (1) the MME estimations are superior to most single models, indicating TCH is effective for reducing model uncertainty. (2) CMIP5 and CMIP6 were more applicable during spring and autumn for maximum and minimum temperatures (Tasmax, Tasmin) and precipitation over the YBRB. Moreover, CMIP5 and CMIP6 showed better performance for precipitation in the downstream floodplain, for Tasmax on the Tibetan Plateau, and for Tasmin in the whole YBRB. (3) CMIP5 and CMIP6 can better simulate the spatial distribution of temperature rather than precipitation (temporal correlation coefficient (TCC) of Tasmax and Tasmin: 0.72–0.89; TCC of precipitation: 0.43–0.6). Both perform poorly in simulating interannual variation in temperature and precipitation (all anomaly correlation coefficients (ACC) <0.60). (4) The bias of CMIP6 for temperature and precipitation is mostly lower than CMIP5, but still has a cold bias over YBRB (Tasmax: −7.98 to −14.88 °C, Tasmin: −6.24 to −21.45 °C) and wet bias on Tibetan Plateau (0.56–2.00 mm), dry bias on Himalayan belt (−0.69 to −7.56 mm), and floodplain (−0.46 to −6.98 mm).
本研究比较了 13 个 CMIP5 和 CMIP6 同源模式及其多模式集合(MME)对雅鲁藏布江-布拉马普特拉河流域(YBRB)温度和降水的模拟结果。结果表明:(1) MME 估算结果优于大多数单一模式,表明 TCH 能有效减少模式的不确定性。(2)CMIP5 和 CMIP6 更适用于春秋两季雅鲁藏布江流域的最高和最低气温(Tasmax、Tasmin)以及降水量。此外,CMIP5 和 CMIP6 在下游洪泛区降水、青藏高原降水(Tasmax)和整个雅鲁藏布江大峡谷降水(Tasmin)方面表现更佳。(3) CMIP5 和 CMIP6 能够更好地模拟温度的空间分布而不是降水(Tasmax 和 Tasmin 的时间相关系数(TCC):0.72-0.89;降水的时间相关系数(TCC):0.43-0.6):0.43-0.6).两者在模拟气温和降水的年际变化方面都表现不佳(所有异常相关系数(ACC)均小于 0.60)。(4)CMIP6 对气温和降水的偏差主要低于 CMIP5,但在 YBRB 仍有冷偏差(Tasmax:-7.98 至 -14.88 ℃,Tasmin:-6.24 至 -21.45 ℃),青藏高原有湿偏差(0.56-2.00 毫米),喜马拉雅山带(-0.69 至 -7.56 毫米)和洪泛平原(-0.46 至 -6.98 毫米)有干偏差。
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引用次数: 0
Rising groundwater levels in Dare County, North Carolina: implications for onsite wastewater management for coastal communities 北卡罗来纳州达雷县地下水位上升:对沿海社区现场废水管理的影响
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.735
M. O’Driscoll, Charles P. Humphrey, G. Iverson, Jared Bowden, Jane Harrison
Onsite wastewater treatment systems (OWTS) are a common wastewater treatment approach in coastal communities. Vertical separation distance (VSD) requirements between the drainfield and groundwater aim to ensure aerated soils for wastewater treatment. When the VSD declines, OWTS can fail. This study evaluated groundwater response to sea level rise (SLR) and the implications for OWTS. A groundwater monitoring network (13 wells) was used to evaluate groundwater depth in Dare County, North Carolina. Groundwater levels were measured with water level meters and pressure transducers. Trends in groundwater depth and SLR were analyzed to evaluate the influence of SLR on groundwater depth. From 1984 to 2022, mean groundwater levels have risen (∼7.6 mm/year) in response to SLR. Currently, sites at <2.7 m land elevation are most likely to have groundwater depths <1 m and inadequate VSD. Based on current precipitation and NOAA intermediate SLR projections, groundwater depth projections suggest that OWTS at lower elevations are more likely to experience groundwater inundation by 2040–2060. SLR has resulted in reduced VSD causing diminished wastewater treatment capacity in low-lying areas. OWTS VSD requirements are typically static due to regulatory constraints. Future management approaches should consider adapting to rising coastal groundwater levels because of increasing wastewater contamination risks.
现场废水处理系统 (OWTS) 是沿海社区常用的废水处理方法。排水沟与地下水之间的垂直分离距离 (VSD) 要求旨在确保废水处理所需的通气土壤。当 VSD 下降时,OWTS 就会失效。本研究评估了地下水对海平面上升(SLR)的响应以及对 OWTS 的影响。利用地下水监测网络(13 口井)评估了北卡罗来纳州达雷县的地下水深度。使用水位计和压力传感器测量了地下水位。分析了地下水深度和可持续土地退化的趋势,以评估可持续土地退化对地下水深度的影响。从 1984 年到 2022 年,地下水的平均水位随着可持续土地退化而上升(每年上升 7.6 毫米)。目前,陆地海拔高度小于 2.7 米的地点地下水深度最有可能小于 1 米,且 VSD 不足。根据目前的降水量和 NOAA 的可持续土地退化中期预测,地下水深度预测表明,到 2040-2060 年,海拔较低的 OWTS 更有可能被地下水淹没。可持续土地退化导致 VSD 减少,从而削弱了低洼地区的污水处理能力。由于法规限制,OWTS 的 VSD 要求通常是静态的。由于废水污染风险增加,未来的管理方法应考虑适应沿海地下水位上升的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated approaches for flash flood susceptibility mapping: spatial modeling and comparative analysis of statistical and machine learning models. A case study of the Rheraya watershed, Morocco 绘制山洪灾害易发区地图的综合方法:空间建模以及统计和机器学习模型的比较分析。摩洛哥 Rheraya 流域案例研究
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.726
Akram Elghouat, A. Algouti, Abdellah Algouti, Soukaina Baid, Salma Ezzahzi, Salma Kabili, Saloua Agli
Flash floods are highly destructive disasters, posing severe threats to lives and infrastructure. In this study, we conducted a comparative analysis of bivariate and multivariate statistical models and machine learning to predict flash flood susceptibility in the flood-prone Rheraya watershed. Six models were utilized, including frequency ratio (FR), logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), and naïve Bayes (NB). We considered 12 flash flood conditioning variables, such as slope, elevation, distance to the river, and others, as independent variables and 246 flash flood inventory points recorded over the past 40 years as dependent variables in the modeling process. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic was used to validate and compare the performance of the models. The results indicated that distance to the river was the most contributing factor to flash floods in the study area. Moreover, the RF outperformed all the other models, achieving an AUC of 0.86, followed by XGBoost (AUC = 0.85), LR (AUC = 0.83), NB (AUC = 0.76), KNN (AUC = 0.75), and FR (AUC = 0.72). The RF model effectively pinpoints highly susceptible zones, which is critical for establishing precise flash flood mitigation strategies within the region.
山洪是破坏性极大的灾害,对生命和基础设施构成严重威胁。在本研究中,我们对二元和多元统计模型以及机器学习进行了比较分析,以预测易受洪水侵袭的里拉亚流域的山洪易发性。我们使用了六种模型,包括频率比(FR)、逻辑回归(LR)、随机森林(RF)、极梯度提升(XGBoost)、K-近邻(KNN)和天真贝叶斯(NB)。在建模过程中,我们将坡度、海拔、河流距离等 12 个山洪条件变量作为自变量,将过去 40 年中记录的 246 个山洪清单点作为因变量。利用接收器操作特征曲线下面积(AUC)来验证和比较模型的性能。结果表明,与河流的距离是造成研究区域山洪暴发的最大因素。此外,RF 的性能优于所有其他模型,AUC 达到 0.86,其次是 XGBoost(AUC = 0.85)、LR(AUC = 0.83)、NB(AUC = 0.76)、KNN(AUC = 0.75)和 FR(AUC = 0.72)。RF 模型有效地确定了高易发区,这对于在该地区制定精确的山洪缓解策略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing climate change impacts on irrigation water requirements in the Lower Mahanadi Basin: A CMIP6-based spatiotemporal analysis and future projections 评估气候变化对下马哈纳迪盆地灌溉用水需求的影响:基于 CMIP6 的时空分析和未来预测
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.152
Pushpanjali Kumari, Rahul Kumar Jaiswal, Harendra Prasad Singh
High climate change stress escalates agriculture risks, particularly in nations like India heavily reliant on farming. Previous studies focused on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase (CMIP3) and (CMIP5) scenarios for large river basins, but the heightened risk of local climate changes poses a significant threat to smaller basins, notably affecting crops. This study investigates the spatiotemporal dynamics of climate change impacts on paddy crop irrigation in India's Lower Mahanadi Basin, utilizing the latest general circulation models (GCMs) from the CMIP6, focuses on two emission scenarios, SSP585 and SSP370. Thirteen models were analysed, top six were selected based on statistical criteria like PBIAS, NSE, R2, RSR, and RMSE. Models project climate changes for near- (2025–2050), mid- (2051–2075), and far-future (2076–2100) periods against a baseline (1981–2014), investigating spatiotemporal variations in rainfall, temperature, and irrigation water requirements (IWRs) in the region. In both scenarios, future mean seasonal rainfall is expected to increase compared with the baseline. SSP370 projects a 23.7% rise in minimum rainfall, while maximum rainfall varies by 11.5%. SSP585, on the other hand, projects a 9.53% decrease in maximum IWR and a 28.9% increase in maximum rainfall compared with the baseline. Both scenarios anticipate a 3–4 °C temperature increase in the far-future.
气候变化带来的巨大压力加剧了农业风险,尤其是在像印度这样严重依赖农业的国家。以往的研究侧重于大型流域的耦合模式相互比较项目第三阶段(CMIP3)和第五阶段(CMIP5)情景,但局部气候变化风险的增加对小型流域构成了重大威胁,特别是对农作物的影响。本研究利用 CMIP6 最新的大气环流模型(GCMs),以 SSP585 和 SSP370 两种排放情景为重点,研究了气候变化对印度下马哈纳迪流域水稻灌溉影响的时空动态。对 13 个模型进行了分析,并根据 PBIAS、NSE、R2、RSR 和 RMSE 等统计标准选出了前 6 个模型。模型预测了以基线(1981-2014 年)为基准的近期(2025-2050 年)、中期(2051-2075 年)和远期(2076-2100 年)的气候变化,研究了该地区降雨、温度和灌溉需水量(IWRs)的时空变化。在这两种情景下,与基线相比,未来平均季节降雨量预计都会增加。SSP370 预测最小降雨量增加 23.7%,最大降雨量增加 11.5%。而 SSP585 预测,与基线相比,最大 IWR 减少 9.53%,最大降雨量增加 28.9%。两种情景都预计远期气温将上升 3-4 °C。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Resources Using Machine Learning Algorithms 社论:利用机器学习算法评估气候变化对水资源的影响
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.002
Majid Niazkar, M. Zakwan, M. Goodarzi, Mohammad Azamathulla Hazi
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of different El Niño events in the decaying summer on the oceanic source of summer rainfall for eastern China: A perspective from stable isotope 衰减夏季不同厄尔尼诺事件对中国东部夏季降水海洋源的影响:稳定同位素的视角
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.062
Peiyi Peng, Yiming Zhang, Jie Chen, Xunchang J. Zhang, Xiuzhen Li, Di Xu
Extreme precipitation in eastern China (EC) is closely related to the diversity of the decaying phases of El Niño (warm-pool El Niño, i.e., WP El Niño and cold-tongue El Niño, i.e., CT El Niño), but little attention is paid to how the El Niño event variability influences precipitation sources for EC from an isotopic perspective. Stable isotopes are ideal physical tracers that can distinguish different sources of precipitation and quantify their relative contributions to precipitation. Accordingly, this study investigates spatiotemporal variations of water vapor flux and oceanic fraction to precipitation during different ENSO events by an isotopic mixing model. The results show that spatiotemporal patterns of moisture divergence for the decaying phase of WP El Niño are different from that of CT El Niño. The oceanic fraction anomalies present similar spatiotemporal trends with advection fraction anomalies. The spatiotemporal variations of precipitation source anomalies for different El Niño events are closely related to atmospheric circulations, i.e., the intensity and location of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). These findings provide isotopic insights into the precipitation sources by El Niño events in EC. Future studies may further focus on the mechanisms producing extreme precipitation between the two kinds of El Niño.
中国东部的极端降水与厄尔尼诺衰减阶段(暖池厄尔尼诺,即WP厄尔尼诺和冷舌厄尔尼诺,即CT厄尔尼诺)的多样性密切相关,但很少有人从同位素的角度关注厄尔尼诺事件的变化如何影响中国东部的降水来源。稳定同位素是理想的物理示踪剂,可以区分不同的降水来源,并量化它们对降水的相对贡献。因此,本研究通过同位素混合模式研究了不同厄尔尼诺/南方涛动事件期间降水中水汽通量和海洋部分的时空变化。结果表明,WP 厄尔尼诺衰减阶段的水汽时空分异模式与 CT 厄尔尼诺不同。海洋分量异常与平流分量异常呈现类似的时空趋势。不同厄尔尼诺事件降水源异常的时空变化与大气环流,即西太平洋副热带高压的强度和位置密切相关。这些发现为了解厄尔尼诺事件在欧共体的降水来源提供了同位素信息。未来的研究可能会进一步关注两种厄尔尼诺现象之间产生极端降水的机制。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing soil erosion and its drivers in agricultural landscapes: a case study in southern Bahia, Brazil 评估农业景观中的土壤侵蚀及其驱动因素:巴西巴伊亚州南部的案例研究
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.147
Mathurin François, Maria Carolina Gonçalves Pontes, R. N. De Vasconcelos, Ulisses Costa de Oliveira, Heraldo Peixoto da Silva, Deborah Faria, E. Mariano‐Neto
Erosion is a worldwide threat to biodiversity conservation and agricultural yield, and it is linked to deforestation. In this study, we aim to assess soil loss in landscapes of the Cachoeira River watershed, in southern Bahia, northeastern Brazil. We estimate the role of forests in diminishing soil erosion using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE). We compare real and simulated scenarios in which the forest was replaced by agricultural use, also comparing estimates of erosivity factor (R factor) derived from remote sensing and climatological station data. Real and simulated annual soil losses varied from 0 to 167.87 t/year and from 0 to 351.81 t/year along the watershed, respectively. However, only 0.04 and 1.67% of this area is highly and severely exposed to erosion, using data from climatological stations and remote sensing, respectively. We showed that soil loss in the simulated deforested scenario was approximately two times higher than the real annual soil loss, indicating the importance of forest cover to mitigate soil erosion. Moreover, soil loss was 10.5 times greater when using precipitation data from remote sensing compared to climatological stations. Conclusively, the practice of agroforestry can be used as an alternative to avoid erosion.
水土流失是对生物多样性保护和农业产量的世界性威胁,它与森林砍伐有关。在这项研究中,我们旨在评估巴西东北部巴伊亚州南部卡乔埃拉河流域的土壤流失情况。我们使用修订的通用土壤流失方程(RUSLE)估算了森林在减少土壤侵蚀方面的作用。我们比较了森林被农业用途取代的真实情景和模拟情景,还比较了从遥感和气候站数据中得出的侵蚀因子(R因子)估算值。实际和模拟的流域土壤年流失量分别为 0 至 167.87 吨/年和 0 至 351.81 吨/年。然而,根据气候站和遥感数据,该流域仅有 0.04% 和 1.67% 的区域受到严重侵蚀。我们的研究表明,模拟毁林情景下的土壤流失量约为实际年土壤流失量的两倍,这表明森林植被对减轻土壤侵蚀的重要性。此外,使用遥感降水数据时,土壤流失量是气候站数据的 10.5 倍。总之,农林业可作为避免水土流失的替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of soil erosion and sediment yield in the Peddavagu watershed, India, using a revised universal soil loss equation model (RUSLE) and GIS techniques 利用修订的通用土壤流失方程模型 (RUSLE) 和地理信息系统技术评估印度 Peddavagu 流域的土壤侵蚀和沉积物产量
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-12 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.010
Padala Raja Shekar, Aneesh Mathew
The present investigation was carried out within the Peddavagu watershed, which is located in India. The necessary datasets, including soil, land-use land cover (LULC), rainfall, and digital elevation model (DEM) parameters, were processed and analysed within a geographic information system (GIS) framework. To evaluate soil loss within the watershed, the present investigation employed the revised universal soil loss equation (RUSLE) model analysis. Subsequently, the sediment yield (SY) is estimated based on the sediment delivery ratio (SDR) in the watershed. The average annual soil loss was estimated at 17.91 tonnes/hectare/year, which is a high soil erosion risk. The model's accuracy suggests a very good (82.1%) outcome for the RUSLE model results. Moreover, the study region revealed that sub-watersheds (SW) 9 and SW 3 exhibited the maximum and minimum average annual soil loss. The watershed's SDR was 0.210. Annually, 3.76 tonnes/hectare/year of sediment were transported to the outlet. The investigation region revealed that SW 9 and SW 5 exhibited the maximum and minimum average annual SY. The observed actual data indicated a yield of 3.66 tonnes/hectare/year, while the model anticipated a yield of 3.76 tonnes/hectare/year. This resource offers significant insights for policymakers and decision-makers on sustainable watershed management techniques.
本调查在印度佩达瓦古流域进行。在地理信息系统 (GIS) 框架内处理和分析了必要的数据集,包括土壤、土地利用-土地覆被 (LULC)、降雨量和数字高程模型 (DEM) 参数。为评估流域内的土壤流失情况,本次调查采用了经修订的通用土壤流失方程(RUSLE)模型分析。随后,根据流域内的沉积物输送比 (SDR) 估算沉积物产量 (SY)。年平均土壤流失量估计为 17.91 吨/公顷/年,土壤侵蚀风险较高。该模型的准确性表明 RUSLE 模型的结果非常好(82.1%)。此外,研究区域显示,子流域 (SW) 9 和 SW 3 的年平均土壤流失量最大,最小。该流域的 SDR 为 0.210。每年有 3.76 吨/公顷/年的泥沙被输送到出水口。调查区域显示,SW 9 和 SW 5 的年平均 SY 值最大和最小。观测到的实际数据显示产量为 3.66 吨/公顷/年,而模型预计产量为 3.76 吨/公顷/年。这一资源为政策制定者和决策者提供了可持续流域管理技术方面的重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation and attribution analysis of runoff–sediment in the Upper Basin of Fenhe River, China 中国汾河上游流域径流-泥沙模拟及归因分析
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.518
Jie Liu, Ke Chang, Xueping Zhu, Xueyao Wang, Binbin Lin, Wenjun Cai
High-precision simulation of runoff–sediment is a significant challenge due to the combined impacts of climate change and human activities. In this paper, runoff–sediment processes were simulated, and their impact attribution was analyzed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model in the upper Fenhe River basin of the Loess Plateau, China. A SWAT model was constructed to assess its applicability during the historical baseline period, which reflects low human activity. However, the simulation results for the comprehensive impact period, using the calibrated historical baseline model, were unsatisfactory. Consequently, a method was proposed to enhance the accuracy of simulation results by considering the presence of soil-retaining dams. This method incorporates large and small soil-retaining dams as reservoirs and ponds, respectively, into SWAT. The results indicate that the accuracy of runoff and sediment simulation reaches a satisfactory level. The attribution analysis results show that human activities have a greater impact on runoff and sediment than climate change, with land use change and soil-retaining dams being particularly significant. The construction of soil-retaining dams plays a more significant role in reducing runoff and sediment. These findings provide valuable insights into the management and utilization of runoff and sediment in river basins.
由于气候变化和人类活动的共同影响,高精度模拟径流-沉积是一项重大挑战。本文利用水土评估工具(SWAT)模型模拟了中国黄土高原汾河上游流域的径流-沉积过程,并分析了其影响归因。建立 SWAT 模型的目的是评估其在反映人类活动较少的历史基线期的适用性。然而,使用校准过的历史基线模型对综合影响期的模拟结果并不令人满意。因此,我们提出了一种方法,通过考虑土坝的存在来提高模拟结果的准确性。该方法将大型和小型固土坝分别作为水库和池塘纳入 SWAT。结果表明,径流和泥沙模拟的精度达到了令人满意的水平。归因分析结果表明,人类活动对径流和泥沙的影响大于气候变化,其中土地利用变化和保土坝的影响尤为显著。在减少径流和泥沙方面,拦土坝的建设起着更加重要的作用。这些发现为河流流域径流和泥沙的管理和利用提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Water and Climate Change
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