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Response of the water level of the Balkash Lake to the distribution of meteorological and hydrological droughts under the conditions of climate change 气候变化条件下巴尔喀什湖水位对气象和水文干旱分布的反应
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.271
S. Alimkulov, Lyazzat Makhmudova, E. Talipova, G. Baspakova, D. Tigkas, Isakan Gulsaira
Hydrological droughts occur due to a variety of hydrometeorological phenomena, such as a lack of precipitation, reduced snow cover, and high evaporation. The values of these factors vary depending on the climate and the severity of drought events. Droughts caused by a lack of precipitation and continuing in the warm season have a longer periodicity. This important statement raises the question of whether climate change may exacerbate the phenomenon of drought. Therefore, understanding the changes in the formation of hydrological droughts is key to foreseeing possible changes in the future. This scientific study analyses the spread of hydrometeorological droughts in the Ile-Balkash basin using standardized precipitation indices and the drought index of river runoff. Lake Balkash plays an important role in the hydrological cycle and is a valuable freshwater resource, especially in dry years. Prolonged droughts in the area have serious consequences, such as deterioration of water quality and loss of wetlands, which are important to the ecological system and migratory birds. The analysis shows that during the period of instrumental observations, several extreme hydrological droughts were observed in this area (1943–1946, 1973–1975, and 1983–1987), which emphasizes the relevance and importance of scientific research on the problem of drought.
水文干旱是由于各种水文气象现象造成的,如降水不足、积雪减少和蒸发量大。这些因素的数值因气候和干旱事件的严重程度而异。因降水不足而造成的干旱在暖季持续的周期较长。这一重要论述提出了气候变化是否会加剧干旱现象的问题。因此,了解水文干旱形成的变化是预测未来可能发生的变化的关键。这项科学研究利用标准化降水指数和河流径流干旱指数分析了伊勒-巴尔卡什盆地水文气象干旱的蔓延情况。巴尔喀什湖在水文循环中发挥着重要作用,是宝贵的淡水资源,尤其是在干旱年份。该地区长期干旱会造成严重后果,如水质恶化和湿地丧失,而湿地对生态系统和候鸟迁徙非常重要。分析表明,在仪器观测期间,该地区出现了几次极端水文干旱(1943-1946 年、1973-1975 年和 1983-1987 年),这突出表明了对干旱问题进行科学研究的现实意义和重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Microsprinkler irrigation in combination with nutrient management influences crop and water productivity and water-nutrient dynamics in large cardamom-growing soils in the hilly sub-Himalayan region of India 微喷灌与养分管理相结合,影响印度喜马拉雅山下丘陵地区种植豆蔻的大面积土壤的作物和水生产力以及水-养分动力学
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.683
Rodrick Lepcha, S. Patra, R. Poddar, Arindam Sarkar, Ratneswar Ray, S. Alharbi, Mohammad Javed Ansari, A. Hossain
A field experiment designed with three tiers of irrigation viz., I0: rainfed, I1: 100% crop evapotranspiration (1.0 ETc) and I2: 0.75 ETc and four tiers of soil nutrition viz., N0: control (no farmyard manure and fertilizer), N1: 100% recommended dose of fertilizer (RDF) as FYM, N2: 50% RDF as FYM +50% RDF as chemical fertilizers and N3: 100% RDF as chemical fertilizers was conducted for four consecutive years (2015–2018) on large cardamom at the hilly terrain of Gitdubling lower beyong busty in Kalimpong Block II in Darjeeling district of WB India. The results showed that I1N3 treatment combination providing microsprinkler irrigation at 1.0 ETc and full RDF (20:40:40::N:P2O5:K2O kg ha−1) recorded highest growth, yield attributes, fresh yield (665.2 kg ha−1) and dry yield (282.0 kg ha−1) of capsules, greatest water productivity (1.8 × 100 kg m−3) and largest soil availability and leaf accumulation of N, P and K. The soil water distribution along the phenological stages was inconsistent and followed the trend according to the rainfall amounts; however, the contents increased with an increase in soil depth and irrigation regime. The predictive regressive models showed the linear relationships between the dry capsule yield and irrigation water and total water use by the plant.
田间试验设计了三个灌溉等级,即:I0:雨水灌溉;I1:100%作物蒸散量(1.0 ETc);I2:0.75 ETc;以及四个土壤营养等级,即连续四年(2015-2018 年),在印度西伯利亚大吉岭地区卡林邦第二区块 Gitdubling lower beyong busty 的丘陵地带对大豆蔻进行了研究。结果表明,提供 1.0 ETc 微喷灌和全 RDF(20:40:40::N:P2O5:K2O kg ha-1)的 I1N3 处理组合,蒴果生长、产量属性、鲜产量(665.2 kg ha-1)和干产量(282.0 kg ha-1)最高,水分生产率(1.各物候期的土壤水分分布不一致,随降雨量的变化而变化;但土壤水分含量随土壤深度和灌溉制度的增加而增加。预测回归模型显示,干蒴果产量与灌溉水量和植物总用水量之间存在线性关系。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-resilient urban drainage planning: an approach using a GIS-based SCS-CN model 抵御气候变化的城市排水规划:使用基于地理信息系统的 SCS-CN 模型的方法
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.616
Md. Habibul Huq, Md Mafizur Rahman, G. M. J. Hasan
Inexorable urbanization continues apace across the world and urban flooding in megacities is now frequently evidenced due to extreme rainfall events due to climate change (CC). Climate-resilient urban drainage planning is critical towards making sustainable cities or any new urbanization. This paper presents an approach through an insightful assessment of climate resilient urban drainage applying GIS-based Soil Conservation Service-Curve Number (SCS-CN) model of a new urban growth of megacity Dhaka, Bangladesh. A precise DEM (Digital Elevation Model) of the study area has been used for catchment delineation using ArcSWAT. Localized climate anomalies of rainfall of around 11% have been identified during monsoon from statistical downscaling and included in the cumulative rainfall event of 5 days. The effect of historical and CC-induced rainfall have been used to identify and map the peak discharges of sub-catchments considering the return period of 5-day cumulative rainfall for 10, 25, and 100 years of the urban catchment for both existing and future land-use scenarios accounting for the change in CN. The varying results of the peak discharges of the sub-catchments for resilient drainage planning is not only dependent on the increase in rainfall but also the combined response of the land-use and soil profile.
不可阻挡的城市化进程在全球范围内持续快速发展,由于气候变化(CC)导致的极端降雨事件,特大城市的城市内涝现象已屡见不鲜。具有气候适应能力的城市排水规划对于建设可持续发展的城市或任何新型城市化都至关重要。本文介绍了一种方法,即应用基于地理信息系统(GIS)的土壤保持服务-曲线编号(SCS-CN)模型,对孟加拉国达卡特大城市的新城市发展进行气候适应性城市排水的深入评估。使用 ArcSWAT 对研究区域的精确 DEM(数字高程模型)进行了流域划分。通过统计降尺度确定了季风期间约 11% 的局部降雨气候异常,并将其纳入 5 天的累积降雨事件中。考虑到城市集水区 10 年、25 年和 100 年 5 天累积降雨量的回归期,并考虑到 CN 的变化,利用历史降雨和 CC 引起的降雨的影响来确定和绘制子集水区的峰值排水量。用于弹性排水规划的子流域峰值排水量的不同结果不仅取决于降雨量的增加,还取决于土地利用和土壤剖面的综合响应。
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引用次数: 0
Data assimilation with machine learning for constructing gridded rainfall time series data to assess long-term rainfall changes in the northeastern regions in India 利用机器学习进行数据同化,构建网格降雨时间序列数据,以评估印度东北部地区的长期降雨变化
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.644
Vishal Singh, J. Bansal, Deepti Rani, Pushpendra Kumar Singh, Manish Kumar Nema, Sudhir Kumar Singh, Sanjay Kumar Jain
Data scarcity and unavailability of observed rainfalls in the northeastern states of India limit prediction of extreme hydro-climatological changes. To fill this gap, a data assimilation approach has been applied to re-construct accurate high-resolution gridded (5 km2) daily rainfall data (2001–2020), which include seasonality assessment, statistical evaluation, and bias correction. Random forest (RF) and support vector regression were used to predict rainfall time series, and a comparison between machine learning and data assimilation-based gridded rainfall data was performed. Five gridded rainfall datasets, namely, Indian Monsoon Data Assimilation and Analysis (IMDAA) (12 km2), APHRODITE (25 km2), India Meteorological Department (25 km2), PRINCETON (25 km2), and CHIRPS (25 and 5 km2), have been utilized. For re-constructed rainfall datasets (5 km2), the comparative seasonality and change assessment have been performed with respect to other rainfall datasets. CHIRPS and APHRODITE datasets have shown better similarities with IMDAA. The RF and assimilated rainfall (AR) have superiority based on bias and extremity, and AR data were recognized as the best accurate data (>0.8). Precipitation change analysis (2021–2100) performed utilizing the bias corrected and downscaled CMIP6 datasets showed that the dry spells will be enhanced. Considering the CMIP6 moderate emission scenario, i.e., SSP245, the wet spell will be enhanced in future; however, when considering SSP585 (representing the extreme worst case), the wet spells will be decreased.
印度东北部各邦观测到的降雨量数据稀少且不可用,这限制了对极端水文气候变迁的预测。为填补这一空白,采用数据同化方法重新构建了精确的高分辨率网格化(5 平方公里)日降雨量数据(2001-2020 年),其中包括季节性评估、统计评估和偏差校正。使用随机森林(RF)和支持向量回归预测降雨时间序列,并对机器学习和基于数据同化的网格降雨数据进行了比较。利用了五个网格降雨量数据集,即印度季风数据同化与分析(IMDAA)(12 平方公里)、APHRODITE(25 平方公里)、印度气象局(25 平方公里)、PRINCETON(25 平方公里)和 CHIRPS(25 和 5 平方公里)。对于重新构建的降雨数据集(5 平方公里),与其他降雨数据集进行了季节性比较和变化评估。CHIRPS 和 APHRODITE 数据集与 IMDAA 的相似性更高。根据偏差和极值,RF 和同化降雨(AR)具有优势,AR 数据被认为是最准确的数据(>0.8)。利用偏差校正和降尺度 CMIP6 数据集进行的降水变化分析(2021-2100 年)显示,干旱将加剧。考虑到 CMIP6 的中度排放情景,即 SSP245,未来的雨量将增加;但考虑到 SSP585(代表极端最坏情况),雨量将减少。
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引用次数: 0
Ensemble modelling of ice volume dynamics of Chhota Shigri Glacier in Himachal Pradesh from 2017 to 2022 喜马偕尔邦 Chhota Shigri 冰川 2017 年至 2022 年冰量动态的集合建模
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.074
Diksha Sinha, Hemant Singh, D. Varade
Glaciers are the source of freshwater for many perennial rivers around the world. Out of 215,000 glaciers apart from the polar ice sheets, the Himalayas constitute about 54,000 glaciers and are often referred to as the third pole on the Earth. In recent decades, the Himalayan glaciers have been experiencing increased recession as a consequence of climate change. Subsequently, understanding the dynamics of glacier ice parameters and volume becomes significant. In this study, an ensemble model of laminar-flow-based and basal-shear-stress-based models on the Chhota Shigri Glacier was investigated to understand the dynamics of glacier ice thickness over 6 years, from 2017 to 2022. The glacier volume was determined from the ensembled ice thickness. Our results indicate that the ensemble model yields the minimum ice thickness measurement of 102 ± 17.38 m and the maximum of 112 ± 19.04 m for the years 2017 and 2019, respectively. The estimated results show a correlation of 81% with a global ice thickness dataset. The ensemble approach provides better estimates for ice thickness accounting for more parameters affecting the glacier dynamics. From 2017 to 2022, the Chhota Shigri Glacier volume has been observed to show a slightly negative trend.
冰川是世界各地许多常年河流的淡水来源。除极地冰原外,喜马拉雅山脉有 21.5 万个冰川,其中约有 5.4 万个冰川,常被称为地球上的第三极。近几十年来,由于气候变化,喜马拉雅山冰川的衰退加剧。因此,了解冰川冰层参数和体积的动态变化变得非常重要。在这项研究中,对乔塔-希格利冰川上基于层流模型和基于基底剪切应力模型的集合模型进行了研究,以了解从 2017 年到 2022 年 6 年间冰川冰层厚度的动态变化。冰川体积是根据集合冰层厚度确定的。结果表明,集合模型得出的 2017 年和 2019 年冰层厚度最小测量值分别为 102 ± 17.38 米和 112 ± 19.04 米。估计结果与全球冰层厚度数据集的相关度为 81%。考虑到更多影响冰川动力学的参数,集合方法提供了更好的冰厚度估计值。据观测,从 2017 年到 2022 年,乔塔希格里冰川的体积呈现出轻微的负增长趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change in the upper Paraguay Basin and hydrological impacts on the Pantanal 上巴拉圭盆地的气候变化和对潘塔纳尔的水文影响
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.081
Filipe Henrique Miranda Ferreira, Wilson Cabral Sousa Júnior, Danielle Almeida Bressiani, Walter Manoel Mendes Filho, Demerval Aparecido Gonçalves
This study analyzed the impact of climate change on the hydrological conditions of the Upper Paraguay Basin, which has as its outlet the river channel in the municipality of Cáceres – Mato Grosso, Brazil, close to the plateau/Pantanal plain divide. Using the SWAT+ hydrological model and projections from the HADGEM and MIROC models, different flow scenarios were simulated under radiative concentration thresholds (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5. The results showed an average annual reduction of 44.07% in HADGEM 4.5, 51.00% in HADGEM 8.5, 37.35% in MIROC 4.5, and 39.12% in MIROC 8.5 inflows. The results are crucial for the management of water resources, the operation of the Paraguay-Paraná Waterway, and the resilience of the ecosystem, helping decision-making and management considering the predicted climate and hydrological changes.
本研究分析了气候变化对上巴拉圭盆地水文条件的影响,该盆地的出水口是巴西马托格罗索州卡塞雷斯市的河道,靠近高原/泛美平原分界线。利用 SWAT+ 水文模型以及 HADGEM 和 MIROC 模型的预测,模拟了辐射浓度阈值 (RCP) 4.5 和 8.5 下的不同流量情况。结果显示,HADGEM 4.5 的年均流量减少了 44.07%,HADGEM 8.5 的年均流量减少了 51.00%,MIROC 4.5 的年均流量减少了 37.35%,MIROC 8.5 的年均流量减少了 39.12%。这些结果对于水资源管理、巴拉圭-巴拉那水道的运行以及生态系统的恢复能力至关重要,有助于在考虑到预测的气候和水文变化的情况下进行决策和管理。
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引用次数: 0
Building resilience to multiple climate change-related risks in QwaQwa using the community capitals approach 利用社区资本方法在 QwaQwa 建设抵御多种气候变化相关风险的能力
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.385
F. Muyambo, J. Belle, Y. Nyam, Israel Orimoloye
QwaQwa, in South Africa, experiences high exposure to multiple climate change impacts. The area is particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. As such, this paper aims to assess community resilience, estimate the risk of multiple climate change impacts in QwaQwa, and propose strategies to reduce risk and build resilience. Data were collected using a household survey and key informant interviews with a sample of 349 participants. An indicator method, based on the Community Capitals Framework, was used to measure resilience and estimate risk. The composite resilience indicators were weighted using Principal Component Analysis. The Cronbach's alpha (α) test indicated a very good internal consistency in the scaled items. The results indicated that medium resilience to climate change impacts in QwaQwa was mostly driven by access to all six capitals measured in this study: natural, human, social, financial, political, and infrastructural capitals. The multi-hazard risk estimate resulted in a very high index of 4.1. These results were validated at a stakeholder workshop. Strategies that use nature-based solutions, training and education for people of all ages, sectors and professions, and increased community and local government cooperation were deemed essential for boosting resilience and reducing disaster risks in the area.
南非的 QwaQwa 遭受多种气候变化影响的程度很高。该地区特别容易受到气候变化的影响。因此,本文旨在评估 QwaQwa 的社区抗灾能力,估计多种气候变化影响的风险,并提出降低风险和增强抗灾能力的策略。数据收集采用了家庭调查和关键信息提供者访谈的方式,抽样调查了 349 名参与者。采用基于社区资本框架的指标法来衡量抗灾能力和估计风险。采用主成分分析法对复原力综合指标进行加权。Cronbach's alpha (α) 检验表明,标度项目的内部一致性非常好。结果表明,QwaQwa 对气候变化影响的中等抗御能力主要取决于对本研究测量的所有六种资本(自然资本、人力资本、社会资本、金融资本、政治资本和基础设施资本)的利用情况。多重灾害风险估算得出的指数非常高,为 4.1。这些结果在利益相关者研讨会上得到了验证。与会人员认为,利用基于自然的解决方案、对各年龄段、各行业和各职业的人员进行培训和教育以及加强社区和地方政府合作等战略对于提高该地区的抗灾能力和降低灾害风险至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying challenging barriers to farmer's adaptation to climate change in Bo district, Sierra Leone: A review 确定塞拉利昂博城地区农民适应气候变化的挑战性障碍:综述
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.634
Morie Elogima Kendekpa Alie, Mohamed Yateh, Jean Pierre Bavumiragira, Zhenliang Liao
The global trend of climate change presents substantial obstacles to the agricultural sector in Africa, impacting farmers’ livelihoods and jeopardizing food security. Sierra Leone, similar to numerous other African nations, confronts substantial obstacles in effectively responding to the consequences of climate change, with a special emphasis on the agricultural domain. The article examines the formidable obstacles farmers face in Sierra Leone as they strive to adjust to the impacts of climate change. A detailed literature review and empirical evidence identify four main barriers: economic, knowledge and information, institutional and policy, and social and cultural aspects. Farmers face economic problems investing in adaptable technologies and recovering from climate-related losses due to restricted financial resources, financial institution availability, and insurance coverage. Limited access to reliable climate data and scientific research hinders informed decision-making and adaptive strategy prioritization. Institutional and policy challenges including limited institutional capacity for climate change adaptation planning and implementation and policy gaps and inconsistencies hinder farmers’ climate adaptation efforts. Social and cultural variables including traditional attitudes and traditions also resist change and impede climate-resilient actions. Financial support, targeted extension services, farmer-to-farmer learning, enhanced institutions, policy integration into agricultural policies, and community engagement are suggested.
全球气候变化趋势给非洲农业部门带来了巨大障碍,影响了农民的生计,危及粮食安 全。塞拉利昂与许多其他非洲国家一样,在有效应对气候变化后果方面面临巨大障碍,农业领域尤其如此。文章探讨了塞拉利昂农民在努力适应气候变化影响时面临的巨大障碍。详细的文献综述和经验证据确定了四个主要障碍:经济、知识和信息、制度和政策以及社会和文化方面。由于财政资源、金融机构可用性和保险范围有限,农民在投资适应性技术和从与气候相关的损失中恢复时面临经济问题。获取可靠气候数据和科学研究的途径有限,阻碍了知情决策和适应战略的优先排序。制度和政策方面的挑战,包括气候变化适应规划和实施的制度能力有限,以及政策差距和不一致,阻碍了农民的气候适应努力。包括传统态度和传统在内的社会和文化变数也会抵制变革,阻碍抵御气候变化的行动。建议提供财政支持、有针对性的推广服务、农民之间的学习、强化机构、将政策纳入农业政策以及社区参与。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering sea level patterns in Caspian Sea altimetry data 从里海测高数据中发现海平面模式
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.088
Alireza A. Ardalan, Asiyeh Hashemifaraz
This study introduces a technique to uncover concealed patterns in satellite altimetry data, reflecting sea level variations in inland water bodies. We applied the methodology to the Caspian Sea, using altimetry data from four satellite missions over 27 years (1993–2020): TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason1, Jason2, and Jason3. The approach involves two steps: estimating sea level trends and identifying breakpoints that indicate trend shifts; and leveraging time lags between breakpoints at various locations to classify water drainage areas according to their degree of influence on each period. By revealing concealed patterns in the altimetry data, this technique can provide insights to understand the impacts of global warming and local climate changes on sea level fluctuations in the Caspian Sea. We hope that our study can facilitate subsequent interdisciplinary research on the intricate interplay between climate change and hydrological processes in inland water bodies.
本研究介绍了一种在卫星测高数据中发现隐蔽模式的技术,这种模式反映了内陆水体的海平面变化。我们将该方法应用于里海,使用了 27 年(1993-2020 年)内四次卫星任务的测高数据:TOPEX/Poseidon 号、Jason1 号、Jason2 号和 Jason3 号卫星。该方法包括两个步骤:估算海平面趋势并确定表明趋势转变的断点;利用不同地点断点之间的时滞,根据其对每个时期的影响程度对排水区进行分类。通过揭示测高数据中的隐蔽模式,该技术可为了解全球变暖和局部气候变化对里海海平面波动的影响提供启示。我们希望我们的研究能够促进后续的跨学科研究,了解气候变化与内陆水体水文过程之间错综复杂的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative evaluation of four actual evapotranspiration models over different ecosystems and climate zones in China 对中国不同生态系统和气候区的四种实际蒸散模型进行比较评估
IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.2166/wcc.2024.724
Mengjia Yuan, Guojing Gan, Jingyi Bu, Yanxin Su, Hongyu Ma, Xianghe Liu, Yanchun Gao
To better understand the discrepancies in evapotranspiration (ET) simulations between ET models, we intercompared four models in China: Priestley–Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PT-JPL), Penman–Montieth–Leuning Version 2 (PML-V2), Sigmoid Generalized Complementary Function (SGCF), Mapping Evapotranspiration at High Resolution with Internalized Calibration (METRIC). Data from 18 flux sites were used to evaluate the model performance at daytime (when incident shortwave radiation is greater than 20 W/m2) scales. To compare more fairly, we took the intersection of the outputs from four models for the analyses in the main text. All models yielded acceptable results, with PML-V2 or SGCF performing best at most sites. The average coefficient of determination and root mean square error among all sites of LE (latent heat of ET) were 0.72 and 51.71 W/m2 for PT-JPL, 0.80 and 46.65 W/m2 for PML-V2, 0.79 and 41.13 W/m2 for SGCF, 0.70 and 51.09 W/m2 for METRIC. PT-JPL and PML-V2 underestimated ET at most sites, whereas SGCF overestimated, potentially due to uncertainties in the vegetation indices and ET constraint parameters. Compared to measurements, PT-JPL underestimated the proportion of transpiration to evapotranspiration (0.81 versus 0.59), while PML-V2 overestimated (0.81 versus 0.90). Furthermore, all models performed best in the semi-arid zone dominated by grassland sites.
为了更好地理解不同蒸散模型之间在蒸散模拟上的差异,我们对中国的四种模型进行了相互比较:普利斯特里-泰勒喷气推进实验室(PT-JPL)、彭曼-蒙蒂-勒宁第二版(PML-V2)、西格玛广义互补函数(SGCF)、高分辨率内化校正蒸散绘图(METRIC)。我们使用了 18 个通量站点的数据来评估模型在白天(入射短波辐射大于 20 W/m2 时)的性能。为了更公平地进行比较,我们取了四个模型输出结果的交集,用于正文中的分析。所有模型都得出了可接受的结果,其中 PML-V2 或 SGCF 在大多数站点的表现最佳。在所有站点中,LE(蒸散发潜热)的平均判定系数和均方根误差分别为:PT-JPL 为 0.72 和 51.71 W/m2;PML-V2 为 0.80 和 46.65 W/m2;SGCF 为 0.79 和 41.13 W/m2;METRIC 为 0.70 和 51.09 W/m2。PT-JPL 和 PML-V2 低估了大多数站点的蒸散发,而 SGCF 则高估了蒸散发,这可能是由于植被指数和蒸散发约束参数的不确定性造成的。与测量结果相比,PT-JPL 低估了蒸腾作用占蒸散作用的比例(0.81 对 0.59),而 PML-V2 则高估了蒸散作用占蒸散作用的比例(0.81 对 0.90)。此外,所有模型在以草地为主的半干旱地区都表现最佳。
{"title":"Comparative evaluation of four actual evapotranspiration models over different ecosystems and climate zones in China","authors":"Mengjia Yuan, Guojing Gan, Jingyi Bu, Yanxin Su, Hongyu Ma, Xianghe Liu, Yanchun Gao","doi":"10.2166/wcc.2024.724","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2024.724","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 \u0000 To better understand the discrepancies in evapotranspiration (ET) simulations between ET models, we intercompared four models in China: Priestley–Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PT-JPL), Penman–Montieth–Leuning Version 2 (PML-V2), Sigmoid Generalized Complementary Function (SGCF), Mapping Evapotranspiration at High Resolution with Internalized Calibration (METRIC). Data from 18 flux sites were used to evaluate the model performance at daytime (when incident shortwave radiation is greater than 20 W/m2) scales. To compare more fairly, we took the intersection of the outputs from four models for the analyses in the main text. All models yielded acceptable results, with PML-V2 or SGCF performing best at most sites. The average coefficient of determination and root mean square error among all sites of LE (latent heat of ET) were 0.72 and 51.71 W/m2 for PT-JPL, 0.80 and 46.65 W/m2 for PML-V2, 0.79 and 41.13 W/m2 for SGCF, 0.70 and 51.09 W/m2 for METRIC. PT-JPL and PML-V2 underestimated ET at most sites, whereas SGCF overestimated, potentially due to uncertainties in the vegetation indices and ET constraint parameters. Compared to measurements, PT-JPL underestimated the proportion of transpiration to evapotranspiration (0.81 versus 0.59), while PML-V2 overestimated (0.81 versus 0.90). Furthermore, all models performed best in the semi-arid zone dominated by grassland sites.","PeriodicalId":49150,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Water and Climate Change","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8,"publicationDate":"2024-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141105799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Water and Climate Change
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