首页 > 最新文献

Transportation最新文献

英文 中文
Editorial note on this collection of “data papers” 关于“数据论文”合集的编辑说明
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10697-4
K. W. Axhausen
{"title":"Editorial note on this collection of “data papers”","authors":"K. W. Axhausen","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10697-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10697-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145536722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Vehicle trajectory changes on a closed road network due to major renewal works 由于大型更新工程,封闭道路网的车辆轨迹会改变
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10698-3
Hiroe Ando, Yasuo Asakura, Takuya Maruyama, Shinji Nakagawa
Currently, Japan is entering a phase of infrastructure improvement that requires repair of highways and bridges. However, large-scale renewal work that requires long-term road closure is rare. Therefore, this study analyzes the construction activities on the Hanshin Expressway, which involve road closures, to understand their impact on traffic conditions. Understanding the actual situation is useful for improving prediction models and calibrating simulations. This study focused on vehicle-trajectory data, where the ease of data collection, quantity, and accuracy have improved in recent years. The use of vehicle-trajectory data enables the changing behavior of each vehicle to be tracked when road networks are disrupted. This paper presents a method for detecting the impact of roadworks on vehicle trajectories by comparing normal conditions, lane restrictions, and road closures. Specifically, we proposed a special origin and destination (OD) identification procedure and a route-choice variety index corresponding to changes in the set of selectable routes based on road closures. Subsequently, this was used to identify the characteristics of susceptible ODs based on the traffic flow, travel time, and route choice. The results showed that detours were extensive and spread over many routes during OD trips sandwiched between construction sections. The different levels and types of impact caused by the characteristics of ODs could be useful for traffic management in upcoming renewal projects.
目前,日本正进入基础设施改善阶段,需要修复公路和桥梁。然而,需要长期封闭道路的大规模更新工作很少见。因此,本研究分析阪神高速公路上涉及封路的建设活动,了解其对交通状况的影响。了解实际情况有助于改进预测模型和校准模拟。这项研究的重点是车辆轨迹数据,近年来数据收集的便利性、数量和准确性都有所提高。车辆轨迹数据的使用可以在道路网络中断时跟踪每辆车的变化行为。本文提出了一种通过比较正常情况、车道限制和道路封闭来检测道路工程对车辆轨迹影响的方法。具体而言,我们提出了一个特殊的起点和目的地(OD)识别程序和一个路线选择多样性指数,对应于基于道路封闭的可选择路线集的变化。随后,基于交通流量、出行时间和路线选择,利用该方法识别易感ODs的特征。结果表明,在施工路段之间夹缝的OD行程中,绕行路段广泛且分布在多条路线上。在即将进行的重建工程中,露天场地的特点所造成的不同程度和类型的影响,可能对交通管理有用。
{"title":"Vehicle trajectory changes on a closed road network due to major renewal works","authors":"Hiroe Ando, Yasuo Asakura, Takuya Maruyama, Shinji Nakagawa","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10698-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10698-3","url":null,"abstract":"Currently, Japan is entering a phase of infrastructure improvement that requires repair of highways and bridges. However, large-scale renewal work that requires long-term road closure is rare. Therefore, this study analyzes the construction activities on the Hanshin Expressway, which involve road closures, to understand their impact on traffic conditions. Understanding the actual situation is useful for improving prediction models and calibrating simulations. This study focused on vehicle-trajectory data, where the ease of data collection, quantity, and accuracy have improved in recent years. The use of vehicle-trajectory data enables the changing behavior of each vehicle to be tracked when road networks are disrupted. This paper presents a method for detecting the impact of roadworks on vehicle trajectories by comparing normal conditions, lane restrictions, and road closures. Specifically, we proposed a special origin and destination (OD) identification procedure and a route-choice variety index corresponding to changes in the set of selectable routes based on road closures. Subsequently, this was used to identify the characteristics of susceptible ODs based on the traffic flow, travel time, and route choice. The results showed that detours were extensive and spread over many routes during OD trips sandwiched between construction sections. The different levels and types of impact caused by the characteristics of ODs could be useful for traffic management in upcoming renewal projects.","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145509377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How do app users select a free-floating bicycle? A stated preference survey investigating choice behaviour using generated screenshots 应用程序用户如何选择自由浮动的自行车?使用生成的截图调查选择行为的既定偏好调查
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10692-9
Ziang Yao, Jonas Fahlbusch, Jan-Dirk Schmöcker, Dong Zhang
Since 2015, free-floating bicycle schemes have been flourishing worldwide due to their easy booking and mobile payment systems. Despite numerous publications, there remains a significant gap in understanding how app users select their bikes and how spatial barriers, such as intersections or temporary availability uncertainty (during peak times), influence their choices. In order to explore the factors affecting users’ preferences while using the smartphone app, an online survey was conducted in China in 2022. The study evaluates traveller preferences for bicycle usage based on visual stated preference scenarios in which screenshots with potential bike pick-up locations were presented to the respondents. Mixed logit and nested multinomial logistic regression were applied to 9512 valid observations from 1189 respondents. The findings reveal that walking and cycling distance, reservation time, cost, number of intersections, and risk are estimated to have a significant influence on which bicycle is chosen or whether walking is preferred. All parameters have the expected sign, though we observe significant heterogeneity among users. The nested structure furthermoreprovides evidence that travelers are more likely to change their bicycle choice than their reservation status. For example, extending the time a bike is reservable by 5 min can be as valuable as reducing the walking access time by 50–100 m or increasing the fare by 1 CNY. Our results further highlight the importance of detailed locational decisions where shared bicycles are placed. If the operator is able to place bicycles in locations where many travelers do not have to cross intersections, this can offset price increases.
自2015年以来,由于方便预订和移动支付系统,自由浮动自行车计划在全球范围内蓬勃发展。尽管有许多出版物,但在了解应用程序用户如何选择自行车以及空间障碍(如十字路口或临时可用性不确定性(高峰时段))如何影响他们的选择方面,仍然存在重大差距。为了探索在使用智能手机应用程序时影响用户偏好的因素,2022年在中国进行了一项在线调查。该研究评估了旅行者对自行车使用的偏好,基于可视化的偏好场景,其中向受访者展示了潜在的自行车停放地点的屏幕截图。对1189名被调查者的9512项有效观察结果进行了混合逻辑回归和嵌套多项逻辑回归。研究结果表明,步行和骑自行车的距离、预定时间、成本、路口数量和风险对选择自行车或更倾向于步行有显著影响。所有参数都有预期的符号,尽管我们观察到用户之间的显著异质性。嵌套结构进一步证明,旅行者更有可能改变他们的自行车选择,而不是他们的预订状态。例如,将自行车的可预订时间延长5分钟,其价值相当于将步行时间缩短50-100米,或将车费增加1元。我们的研究结果进一步强调了共享单车放置位置的详细决策的重要性。如果运营商能够将自行车放置在许多旅行者不必穿过十字路口的地方,这可以抵消价格上涨。
{"title":"How do app users select a free-floating bicycle? A stated preference survey investigating choice behaviour using generated screenshots","authors":"Ziang Yao, Jonas Fahlbusch, Jan-Dirk Schmöcker, Dong Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10692-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10692-9","url":null,"abstract":"Since 2015, free-floating bicycle schemes have been flourishing worldwide due to their easy booking and mobile payment systems. Despite numerous publications, there remains a significant gap in understanding how app users select their bikes and how spatial barriers, such as intersections or temporary availability uncertainty (during peak times), influence their choices. In order to explore the factors affecting users’ preferences while using the smartphone app, an online survey was conducted in China in 2022. The study evaluates traveller preferences for bicycle usage based on visual stated preference scenarios in which screenshots with potential bike pick-up locations were presented to the respondents. Mixed logit and nested multinomial logistic regression were applied to 9512 valid observations from 1189 respondents. The findings reveal that walking and cycling distance, reservation time, cost, number of intersections, and risk are estimated to have a significant influence on which bicycle is chosen or whether walking is preferred. All parameters have the expected sign, though we observe significant heterogeneity among users. The nested structure furthermoreprovides evidence that travelers are more likely to change their bicycle choice than their reservation status. For example, extending the time a bike is reservable by 5 min can be as valuable as reducing the walking access time by 50–100 <jats:italic>m</jats:italic> or increasing the fare by 1 CNY. Our results further highlight the importance of detailed locational decisions where shared bicycles are placed. If the operator is able to place bicycles in locations where many travelers do not have to cross intersections, this can offset price increases.","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145509378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Factors associated with public transport use to school and non-school destinations among adolescents 青少年使用公共交通工具前往学校和非学校目的地的相关因素
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10699-2
Maryam Jafari, Alexa Delbosc, Graham Currie
{"title":"Factors associated with public transport use to school and non-school destinations among adolescents","authors":"Maryam Jafari, Alexa Delbosc, Graham Currie","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10699-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10699-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145509380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evolutionary optimization for neural network-based discrete choice modeling: enhancing stability and efficiency 基于神经网络的离散选择建模的进化优化:提高稳定性和效率
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10682-x
Hamid Hasanzadeh, Bobin Wang, Mikael Rönnqvist, Rayane Badji, Aditya Verma
{"title":"Evolutionary optimization for neural network-based discrete choice modeling: enhancing stability and efficiency","authors":"Hamid Hasanzadeh, Bobin Wang, Mikael Rönnqvist, Rayane Badji, Aditya Verma","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10682-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10682-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"105 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145485167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimating the impact of new rail station openings on through-passenger demand: a difference-in-differences approach 估算新铁路车站开业对直达客运需求的影响:差异中的差异方法
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10684-9
Manuel Ojeda-Cabral, Alexander D. Stead
When a new rail station is built on an existing line, it causes an increase in in-vehicle time – typically, between 2 and 4 min – for all existing trips that now stop at the new station. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to investigate the impacts of these small time penalties on through-passenger demand. Cost-benefit appraisals of new stations in the UK have proven highly sensitive to the forecasts of through-passenger demand reductions. We conduct an ex-post analysis of the effect of a new station on through-passenger demand using a Difference-in-Differences approach. We fail to find a statistically significant impact of the station opening on through-passenger demand. If there are such demand impacts, our findings suggest that these are smaller in magnitude than the standard forecasting approach implies. More research is recommended to corroborate and generalise the findings to other contexts, as these have important implications for the planning and appraisal of new stations.
当一个新的火车站建在现有的线路上,它会导致车内时间的增加——通常在2到4分钟之间——所有现有的旅行现在停在新车站。据我们所知,本文是第一个研究这些小时间惩罚对直达旅客需求影响的研究。事实证明,英国新建车站的成本效益评估对直通车乘客需求减少的预测高度敏感。我们采用差异中的差异方法,对新站对直达乘客需求的影响进行事后分析。我们没有发现车站开放对直达车需求的统计显著影响。如果存在这样的需求影响,我们的研究结果表明,这些影响的幅度比标准预测方法所暗示的要小。建议进行更多的研究,以证实这些发现并将其推广到其他情况,因为这些研究对规划和评价新站具有重要意义。
{"title":"Estimating the impact of new rail station openings on through-passenger demand: a difference-in-differences approach","authors":"Manuel Ojeda-Cabral, Alexander D. Stead","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10684-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10684-9","url":null,"abstract":"When a new rail station is built on an existing line, it causes an increase in in-vehicle time – typically, between 2 and 4 min – for all existing trips that now stop at the new station. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first to investigate the impacts of these small time penalties on through-passenger demand. Cost-benefit appraisals of new stations in the UK have proven highly sensitive to the forecasts of through-passenger demand reductions. We conduct an ex-post analysis of the effect of a new station on through-passenger demand using a Difference-in-Differences approach. We fail to find a statistically significant impact of the station opening on through-passenger demand. If there are such demand impacts, our findings suggest that these are smaller in magnitude than the standard forecasting approach implies. More research is recommended to corroborate and generalise the findings to other contexts, as these have important implications for the planning and appraisal of new stations.","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"97 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145455439","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Who travels more and longer in Switzerland? Insights into mode choice, daily travel time, and trip frequency from GPS-based data 谁在瑞士旅行的时间更长?从基于gps的数据中了解模式选择,每日旅行时间和旅行频率
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10687-6
Stefan S. Ivanovic, Milos Balac
Understanding the relationship between socio-economic factors and travel behavior is crucial for developing sustainable and inclusive transportation policies. This study analyzes mode choice, daily trip frequency, and daily travel time in Switzerland using high-resolution GPS data from the TimeUse+ project, which provides detailed mobility records from over 1,000 individuals. Unlike traditional survey-based studies, GPS tracking offers more precise insights into daily mobility patterns by reducing recall bias and capturing short trips often omitted in self-reported data. Our analysis reveals clear differences between weekday and weekend travel: On weekdays, socio-demographic variables (such as gender and age) together with transport supply variables (such as car ownership and public transport subscriptions) significantly shape mobility while on weekends, these effects largely weaken, and lifestyle-driven choices dominate. Notably, adults aged 66 + are the most mobile group on weekdays in terms of trip frequency, while individuals aged 56–65 take fewer but longer trips. Women make fewer trips overall, likely due to higher load of household-related responsibilities. Households with children reduce travel time but not trip frequency highlighting the complex effects of caregiving roles. Car access remains the strongest determinant of mode choice, with lower-income car owners showing higher car dependency than higher-income ones. Public transport subscriptions—especially monthly passes—strongly increase weekday transit use. On weekends, older adults and women show greater openness to sustainable modes like walking and cycling, indicating untapped potential for non-car mobility.
了解社会经济因素与出行行为之间的关系对于制定可持续和包容性的交通政策至关重要。这项研究利用来自TimeUse+项目的高分辨率GPS数据分析了瑞士的模式选择、每日出行频率和每日出行时间,该项目提供了1000多人的详细出行记录。与传统的基于调查的研究不同,GPS追踪通过减少回忆偏差和捕捉经常在自我报告数据中遗漏的短途旅行,为日常出行模式提供了更精确的见解。我们的分析揭示了工作日和周末出行之间的明显差异:在工作日,社会人口变量(如性别和年龄)以及交通供应变量(如汽车拥有量和公共交通订阅)显著地影响着流动性,而在周末,这些影响在很大程度上减弱,生活方式驱动的选择占主导地位。值得注意的是,66岁以上的成年人是工作日出行频率最高的群体,而56-65岁的人出行次数较少,但出行时间更长。总的来说,女性出行的次数更少,可能是因为她们承担了更多与家庭有关的责任。有孩子的家庭减少了出行时间,但没有减少出行频率,这凸显了照顾角色的复杂影响。汽车出行仍然是出行方式选择的最重要决定因素,低收入车主对汽车的依赖程度高于高收入车主。公共交通订阅——尤其是月票——极大地增加了工作日的交通使用量。在周末,老年人和女性对步行和骑自行车等可持续模式表现出更大的开放态度,这表明非汽车出行的潜力尚未开发。
{"title":"Who travels more and longer in Switzerland? Insights into mode choice, daily travel time, and trip frequency from GPS-based data","authors":"Stefan S. Ivanovic, Milos Balac","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10687-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10687-6","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding the relationship between socio-economic factors and travel behavior is crucial for developing sustainable and inclusive transportation policies. This study analyzes mode choice, daily trip frequency, and daily travel time in Switzerland using high-resolution GPS data from the TimeUse+ project, which provides detailed mobility records from over 1,000 individuals. Unlike traditional survey-based studies, GPS tracking offers more precise insights into daily mobility patterns by reducing recall bias and capturing short trips often omitted in self-reported data. Our analysis reveals clear differences between weekday and weekend travel: On weekdays, socio-demographic variables (such as gender and age) together with transport supply variables (such as car ownership and public transport subscriptions) significantly shape mobility while on weekends, these effects largely weaken, and lifestyle-driven choices dominate. Notably, adults aged 66 + are the most mobile group on weekdays in terms of trip frequency, while individuals aged 56–65 take fewer but longer trips. Women make fewer trips overall, likely due to higher load of household-related responsibilities. Households with children reduce travel time but not trip frequency highlighting the complex effects of caregiving roles. Car access remains the strongest determinant of mode choice, with lower-income car owners showing higher car dependency than higher-income ones. Public transport subscriptions—especially monthly passes—strongly increase weekday transit use. On weekends, older adults and women show greater openness to sustainable modes like walking and cycling, indicating untapped potential for non-car mobility.","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"129 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145455434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shifts in shopping trips and multicategory interactions post COVID-19 新冠肺炎后购物行程和多品类互动的变化
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10686-7
Amit Kumar, Vishrut S. Landge, Sumeet Jaiswal
{"title":"Shifts in shopping trips and multicategory interactions post COVID-19","authors":"Amit Kumar, Vishrut S. Landge, Sumeet Jaiswal","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10686-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10686-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145427386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Data-driven predictive modelling of stop-level public transit patterns 站级公共交通模式的数据驱动预测模型
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10689-4
Oluwaleke Yusuf, Adil Rasheed, Frank Lindseth
There is a growing emphasis in urban centres on promoting sustainable mobility modes, particularly public transit systems. This highlights the critical need for predictive modelling frameworks that capture the local spatiotemporal dynamics of public transit to inform policy and planning decisions. This study develops a horizon-agnostic modelling framework using automated passenger count (APC) data from a public bus transit system, integrating machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms to forecast stop-level passenger counts and operational factors. We assess APC data quality, implement a feature-space optimisation pipeline to enhance algorithm-data fit, and use SHAP values to analyse feature attributions for model interpretability. Our analyses reveal a weak but asymmetric relationship between boarding and alighting passenger counts. Tree-based ML algorithms outperform DL algorithms due to the high proportion of categorical features, with Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) achieving the best performance. Furthermore, incorporating non-mobility data (weather, terrain, demographics, land use) improved modelling of passenger dynamics. However, stop-level modelling lacks inductive biases on the spatial structure of transit networks. The proposed framework provides policymakers and planners with data-driven tools to understand the local spatiotemporal dynamics of public transit under external influences, supporting resource allocation for stop placement, line routing, and bus scheduling. By predicting outcomes based on input feature combinations rather than specific temporal horizons, the framework enables scenario analysis for planning applications and can be embedded in digital twins and mobility dashboards to support informed commuting decisions by urban residents.
城市中心越来越强调促进可持续的移动方式,特别是公共交通系统。这凸显了对预测建模框架的迫切需求,这些框架能够捕捉当地公共交通的时空动态,为政策和规划决策提供信息。本研究利用公共公交系统的自动乘客计数(APC)数据,集成机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)算法,开发了一个水平不可知的建模框架,以预测站级乘客计数和运营因素。我们评估了APC数据质量,实现了一个特征空间优化管道来增强算法与数据的拟合,并使用SHAP值来分析模型可解释性的特征属性。我们的分析揭示了登机和下车乘客数量之间微弱但不对称的关系。基于树的机器学习算法由于分类特征的高比例而优于深度学习算法,其中极限梯度增强(Extreme Gradient Boosting, XGBoost)达到了最佳性能。此外,结合非流动性数据(天气、地形、人口统计、土地使用)改进了乘客动态建模。然而,站级模型缺乏对交通网络空间结构的归纳偏差。该框架为政策制定者和规划者提供了数据驱动的工具,以了解外部影响下当地公共交通的时空动态,支持站点设置、线路路由和公交调度的资源分配。通过基于输入特征组合而不是特定的时间范围预测结果,该框架可以为规划应用程序提供场景分析,并可以嵌入到数字孪生和移动仪表板中,以支持城市居民明智的通勤决策。
{"title":"Data-driven predictive modelling of stop-level public transit patterns","authors":"Oluwaleke Yusuf, Adil Rasheed, Frank Lindseth","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10689-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10689-4","url":null,"abstract":"There is a growing emphasis in urban centres on promoting sustainable mobility modes, particularly public transit systems. This highlights the critical need for predictive modelling frameworks that capture the local spatiotemporal dynamics of public transit to inform policy and planning decisions. This study develops a horizon-agnostic modelling framework using automated passenger count (APC) data from a public bus transit system, integrating machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms to forecast stop-level passenger counts and operational factors. We assess APC data quality, implement a feature-space optimisation pipeline to enhance algorithm-data fit, and use SHAP values to analyse feature attributions for model interpretability. Our analyses reveal a weak but asymmetric relationship between boarding and alighting passenger counts. Tree-based ML algorithms outperform DL algorithms due to the high proportion of categorical features, with Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) achieving the best performance. Furthermore, incorporating non-mobility data (weather, terrain, demographics, land use) improved modelling of passenger dynamics. However, stop-level modelling lacks inductive biases on the spatial structure of transit networks. The proposed framework provides policymakers and planners with data-driven tools to understand the local spatiotemporal dynamics of public transit under external influences, supporting resource allocation for stop placement, line routing, and bus scheduling. By predicting outcomes based on input feature combinations rather than specific temporal horizons, the framework enables scenario analysis for planning applications and can be embedded in digital twins and mobility dashboards to support informed commuting decisions by urban residents.","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145427389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Visualizing complex mobility patterns using backbone networks 利用骨干网络可视化复杂的移动模式
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10694-7
Jinpeng Wang, Yujie Hu
{"title":"Visualizing complex mobility patterns using backbone networks","authors":"Jinpeng Wang, Yujie Hu","doi":"10.1007/s11116-025-10694-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-025-10694-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":49419,"journal":{"name":"Transportation","volume":"87 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145427390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Transportation
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1