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Simulating railway punctuality in three Swedish metropolitan regions 模拟三个瑞典大都市地区的铁路准点率
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10716-4
Ingrid Johansson, Hans Sipilä, Carl-William Palmqvist
The railway transport system has seen an increasing demand in recent years, while delays and missed punctuality goals continue to be problems in many countries. To improve punctuality, the amount of primary delays needs to be decreased, and knowledge of the shares of the different types of delay – entry, run, and dwell – is important to identify the most efficient countermeasures. This paper investigates the punctuality in the three Swedish metropolitan regions around Stockholm, Gothenburg, and Malmö, applying Circumscribed Central Composite Design in the calibration of a macroscopic simulation tool. The results show that the ratio of primary to secondary delays varied from 1:1.8 to 1:3.8 between the geographical regions, and that the mix of primary entry, run, and dwell delays can vary substantially between regions. In all cases, the primary delays need to decrease by well over $$40%$$ to reach the goal of $$95%$$ punctuality, highlighting the importance of reducing primary dwell delays to improve punctuality. For simulation purposes, our results highlight that large networks require careful calibration, as key parameters and inputs vary significantly between different parts of the network. Future work includes experimenting with iterated calibration runs, modelling the prediction error between simulated and observed punctuality, simulating a larger network while allowing for regional differences in input settings and distributions, investigating the potential relationship between capacity utilisation and the occurrence of secondary delays, and exploring the possibility of automating the calibration process.
近年来,铁路运输系统的需求不断增加,而延误和未能达到准点目标仍然是许多国家的问题。为了提高准点率,需要减少主要延误的数量,并且了解不同类型延误的份额-进入,运行和停留-对于确定最有效的对策非常重要。本文研究了斯德哥尔摩、哥德堡和Malmö周围三个瑞典大都市地区的准时性,应用限定中心复合设计校准宏观模拟工具。结果表明:各地理区域间主、次延迟的比例在1:8 .8 ~ 1:8 .8之间,主进入、运行和停留延迟的混合在不同地理区域间差异较大;在所有情况下,主要延误需要减少$$40%$$以上才能达到$$95%$$准时性的目标,突出了减少主要停留延误以提高准时性的重要性。出于模拟目的,我们的结果强调大型网络需要仔细校准,因为关键参数和输入在网络的不同部分之间差异很大。未来的工作包括对迭代校准运行进行实验,模拟模拟和观测准时性之间的预测误差,模拟一个更大的网络,同时允许输入设置和分布的区域差异,调查容量利用率与二次延迟发生之间的潜在关系,并探索自动化校准过程的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing users’ preferences between personal and pooled rideshare services using a mixed logit modeling approach 使用混合logit建模方法分析用户在个人和拼车服务之间的偏好
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10714-6
Haotian Su, Nazmul A. Khan, Krishna M. Gurumurthy, Joseph Paul, Rakesh Gangadharaiah, Lisa Boor, Kristin Kolodge, Joshua Auld, Johnell O. Brooks, Yunyi Jia
Ridesharing has become an increasingly popular transportation method over the past decade. Transportation network companies such as Uber and Lyft generally provide two types of rideshare services: personal rideshare, in which users ride alone or with individuals they know, and pooled rideshare, in which users ride with passengers they do not know but share similar routes. Pooled rideshare is capable of reducing energy consumption and traffic in the transportation system in comparison to personal rideshare. Despite the growth in trip volume, ridesharing usage is still low compared to other popular transportation methods in the U.S., particularly traveling in one’s own personal vehicle. Furthermore, pooled rideshare usage is lower than personal rideshare. To understand riders’ preferences, a national survey ( N = 2884) was conducted in the U.S. to investigate users’ choice behaviors in rideshare services examining personal versus pooled rideshare. Each survey respondent completed 20 stated-preference scenarios where participants choose between a personal or pooled rideshare option. Based on the responses, a mixed logit model was developed to capture the choice behavior preferences of the participants. The model unveiled the impact of demographic and trip attribute variables on users’ rideshare preferences. The discussion encompassed insights into demographic backgrounds and trip attributes, accompanied by a set of policy recommendations aimed at enhancing future pooled rideshare utilization.
在过去的十年里,拼车已经成为一种越来越受欢迎的交通方式。Uber和Lyft等交通网络公司通常提供两种类型的拼车服务:一种是个人拼车,用户单独或与他们认识的人一起乘坐;另一种是拼车,用户与他们不认识的乘客一起乘坐,但共享相似的路线。与个人拼车相比,拼车能够减少交通系统的能源消耗和交通流量。尽管出行量在增长,但与美国其他流行的交通方式相比,拼车的使用率仍然很低,尤其是与自己的私家车相比。此外,拼车使用率低于个人拼车。为了了解乘客的偏好,在美国进行了一项全国性调查(N = 2884),调查用户在拼车服务中的选择行为,检查个人与拼车服务。每个受访者都完成了20个陈述偏好的场景,让参与者在个人或拼车选项之间做出选择。在此基础上,建立了一个混合logit模型来捕捉参与者的选择行为偏好。该模型揭示了人口统计和出行属性变量对用户拼车偏好的影响。讨论包括对人口背景和出行属性的见解,以及旨在提高未来拼车利用率的一系列政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of mobility and social networks on social activity-travel participation using location-based social network data 基于位置的社会网络数据:流动性和社会网络对社会活动-旅行参与的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10706-6
Adam Krathaus, Gongda Yu, Irina Benedyk, Panagiotis Ch. Anastasopoulos
This paper investigates the relationship between social networks and the activities they generate, by exploring inter-social-activity durations as a proposed measure of social activity participation frequency. To model the proposed measure, data were collected and processed from a publicly-available dataset sourced from the location-based social networking service Gowalla. The data include information from 3065 Texas Gowalla users, regarding social activity-travel behavior, and performance of modularity- and surprise-based community detection. To account for the longitudinal nature of the data, and for possible spatial instability of the model parameters across two major Texas cities, a grouped-random-parameters hazard-based duration modeling approach with heterogeneity in means is employed, and separate models are estimated for Austin and Dallas users. The results suggest that social activity participation frequency is affected by individual mobility, and by a number of social network effects, such as ego social network size, social group variety, and local closeness centrality. The findings call for a thorough investigation of the transportation system and social network interrelationships.
本文通过探索社会活动持续时间作为社会活动参与频率的衡量标准,研究了社会网络与其产生的活动之间的关系。为了对提议的措施进行建模,数据收集和处理来自基于位置的社交网络服务Gowalla的公开可用数据集。这些数据包括来自3065名德克萨斯州Gowalla用户的信息,包括社交活动-旅行行为,以及基于模块化和惊喜的社区检测的表现。为了考虑数据的纵向性质,以及模型参数在德克萨斯州两个主要城市之间可能存在的空间不稳定性,采用了一种基于风险的随机参数分组持续时间建模方法,并对奥斯汀和达拉斯的用户进行了单独的模型估计。结果表明,社会活动参与频率受个体流动性、自我社会网络规模、社会群体多样性和地方亲密中心性等社会网络效应的影响。研究结果要求对交通系统和社会网络的相互关系进行彻底的调查。
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引用次数: 0
Unravelling heterogeneity of commuters’ travel behavior: an empirical investigation of commuting regularity using license plate recognition data 揭示通勤者出行行为的异质性:基于车牌识别数据的通勤规律实证研究
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10713-7
Wenbin Yao, Waner Li, Tshimanga Kalubi Elie, Shuyue Ma, Chunqin Zhang, Jiaqi Zeng, Xinyi Shen, Sheng Jin
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引用次数: 0
Supply-demand dynamics and allocation equity in charging infrastructure: a user-centered approach 充电基础设施的供需动态和分配公平:以用户为中心的方法
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10712-8
Xinghua Li, Wei Xu, Yuntao Guo, Xinwu Qian, Haobing Liu, Wenjie Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Vibrancy of the space around and between metro stations: Life between Stations and its determinants in Hong Kong 地铁站周围和地铁站之间的空间活力:香港地铁站之间的生活及其决定因素
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10710-w
Yunting Miao, Jiangping Zhou
In high-density cities, metro riders’ activities often extend beyond boundaries of one station’s typical service area (e.g., 800 m around the station), spilling into the urban spaces between adjacent stations. We define this phenomenon—where riders exit Station A, engage in non-metro everyday activities, and re-enter at a neighboring Station B—as Life between Stations (LbS). LbS transforms the urban space around and between stations into a domain of attraction. Using LbS as a proxy for vibrancy—capturing the intensity, diversity, and continuity of human activity in the space—we (a) operationalized the LbS concept and (b) analyzed its spatiotemporal patterns and influencing factors with empirical smart card and open data from Hong Kong. Based on LbS intensity, temporal dynamics, and related riders’ characteristics, we identified six distinct station-pair and/or urban-space groups: Groups 1 & 3 represented vibrant urban cores with abundant leisure and consumption opportunities. Groups 2 & 5 featured mixed-use transit corridors. Groups 4 & 6 corresponded to the urban space with limited amenities and lower degree of centrality in the local transit network. Using machine learning, we identified key factors shaping the vibrancy of all these groups: between-station distance, functional density differences (e.g., dining, shopping, and social amenities) between the two stations, historical factors, and station centrality. Our study thus introduces a novel approach to measuring urban vibrancy around and between metro stations using the increasingly prevalent smart card and open data, offering evidence-based insights for enhancing such vibrancy through conscious urban/transport planning and policy interventions.
在人口密集的城市,地铁乘客的活动通常会超出一个车站典型服务区的边界(例如,车站周围800米),蔓延到邻近车站之间的城市空间。我们将这种现象定义为站间生活(Life between Stations, LbS),即乘客离开A站,从事非地铁日常活动,然后在邻近的b站重新进入。LbS将车站周围和车站之间的城市空间转变为一个吸引人的领域。利用地理位置作为活力的代表——捕捉空间中人类活动的强度、多样性和连续性——我们(a)对地理位置概念进行了操作,(b)利用香港的经验智能卡和开放数据分析了地理位置的时空格局和影响因素。基于LbS强度、时间动态和相关乘客特征,我们确定了6个不同的站点对和/或城市空间组:组1和组3代表了充满活力的城市核心,拥有丰富的休闲和消费机会。第2组和第5组以混合用途的交通走廊为特色。第4组和第6组对应的城市空间设施有限,在当地交通网络中中心度较低。通过机器学习,我们确定了影响所有这些群体活力的关键因素:车站之间的距离、两个车站之间的功能密度差异(例如,餐饮、购物和社会设施)、历史因素和车站中心性。因此,我们的研究引入了一种利用日益普及的智能卡和开放数据来衡量地铁站周围和地铁站之间的城市活力的新方法,为通过有意识的城市/交通规划和政策干预来增强这种活力提供了基于证据的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The mutual influences of teleworking and housing preference: an expectation-based inference 远程办公与住房偏好的相互影响:基于期望的推断
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10711-9
Wei Zhu, Keyuan Chen
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引用次数: 0
A comparative analysis of mobile phone data and travel surveys in understanding travel behaviour 对手机数据和旅游调查的对比分析,了解旅游行为
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10708-4
Suxia Gong, Ismaïl Saadi, Jacques Teller, Mario Cools
This study evaluates the comparability of aggregated mobile phone data (MPD) derived from passive network signalling events and traditional travel survey data for urban transport planning, using the province of Liège as a case study. Our analysis demonstrates that while MPD captures a higher density of origin–destination (OD) connections, it cannot fully replicate all flows observed in surveys, underscoring the need for a complementary approach between the two data sources. Key mobility indicators, including average trip rates, hourly trip volumes, and structural patterns in daily OD matrices, show strong alignment. This structural similarity is rigorously quantified using a Mean Structural Similarity Index with a distance decay effect. Furthermore, Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests confirm comparable trip length distributions between the sources. While MPD-based population estimates closely match official 3:00 AM census counts, discrepancies in specific zones highlight potential pitfalls for real-time population mapping. Our findings confirm that MPD provides a robust and valuable complement to traditional surveys, particularly in contexts with limited or infrequent survey data. The study offers critical insights for integrating MPD into urban policy planning, emphasizing its utility for validation and its caveats for population estimation.
本研究评估了来自被动网络信令事件的汇总移动电话数据(MPD)与用于城市交通规划的传统旅行调查数据的可比性,并以利弗里奇省为例进行了研究。我们的分析表明,虽然MPD捕获了更高密度的起点-目的地(OD)连接,但它不能完全复制调查中观察到的所有流动,这强调了在两个数据源之间采用互补方法的必要性。关键的流动性指标,包括平均出行率、每小时出行量和每日OD矩阵的结构模式,显示出很强的一致性。使用具有距离衰减效应的平均结构相似性指数对这种结构相似性进行了严格量化。此外,Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验证实了源间行程长度分布的可比性。虽然基于mpd的人口估计与官方凌晨3点的人口普查数据非常吻合,但特定区域的差异凸显了实时人口测绘的潜在缺陷。我们的研究结果证实,MPD为传统调查提供了强大而有价值的补充,特别是在调查数据有限或不频繁的情况下。该研究为将MPD整合到城市政策规划中提供了重要的见解,强调了其验证的效用及其对人口估计的警告。
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引用次数: 0
Public transport market segmentation based on space-behavior analysis 基于空间行为分析的公共交通市场细分
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10709-3
Linbo Li, Huajian Gao, Jianan Fu, Yahua Zhang, Ziyuan Li
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引用次数: 0
Modeling activity capacity of multimodal transportation network: a bi-level optimization framework with land use constraints 多式联运网络活动能力建模:考虑土地利用约束的双层优化框架
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10691-w
Tong Zhang, Dawei Li, Yuchen Song, Xiaowei Jiang
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Transportation
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