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Predicting subway passenger flows under incident situation with causality 具有因果关系的事故情况下地铁客流预测
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-026-10722-0
Xiannan Huang, Shuhan Qiu, Quan Yuan, Chao Yang
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引用次数: 0
How living in a car-reduced neighbourhood decreases car ownership and increases multimodality: a case–control study from Germany 生活在汽车减少的社区如何减少汽车拥有量并增加多模式:来自德国的病例对照研究
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-026-10721-1
Simon Werschmöller, Sina Steele, Martin Lanzendorf
As part of the social-ecological transformation of urban mobility, car-reduced neighbourhoods offer a promising approach for facilitating car-independent lifestyles. To foster sustainable transport, they implement ‘pull’ measures like subsidized shared mobility alongside ‘push’ measures such as parking space reduction and pricing to discourage car use and ownership. Because the effects of these car-reduced neighbourhoods on residents’ travel behaviour remain understudied, this paper evaluates their impact by examining car ownership levels and multimodal travel patterns. Using a case–control study, we compare residents of the car-reduced Lincoln neighbourhood in Darmstadt, Germany, with other recent movers within the same municipality (N = 952). To isolate the specific impact of residential location, the potential effects of residential self-selection and relocation are considered by incorporating travel-related attitudes, socio-demographic characteristics, and mobility tool ownership. Our findings indicate that living in a car-reduced neighbourhood significantly reduces multi-car ownership and, among residents who have a high affinity for sharing, also increases car-free households. Furthermore, residents of the car-reduced neighbourhood are more likely to adopt multimodal travel patterns that do not involve regular car use compared to those living in the inner city. The study underscores the potential of residential area design in fostering sustainable travel behaviour.
作为城市交通社会生态转型的一部分,减少汽车的社区为促进无车生活方式提供了一种有希望的方法。为了促进可持续交通,他们实施了“拉动”措施,如补贴共享出行,以及“推动”措施,如减少停车位和定价,以鼓励人们使用和拥有汽车。由于这些汽车减少的社区对居民出行行为的影响尚未得到充分研究,因此本文通过检查汽车拥有率和多式联运模式来评估其影响。采用病例对照研究,我们比较了德国达姆施塔特林肯街区汽车减少的居民与同一城市内其他最近搬家的居民(N = 952)。为了隔离居住位置的具体影响,考虑了与旅行相关的态度、社会人口特征和流动工具所有权,住宅自我选择和搬迁的潜在影响。我们的研究结果表明,生活在减少汽车数量的社区,大大减少了多辆汽车的拥有量,而在那些高度喜欢共享汽车的居民中,也增加了无车家庭。此外,与居住在市中心的居民相比,汽车减少社区的居民更有可能采用不经常使用汽车的多式联运方式。该研究强调了住宅区设计在促进可持续旅行行为方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization strategies on urban residents’ traveling modes with carbon tax incentives 碳税激励下城市居民出行方式优化策略
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-026-10725-x
Mei Liu, Hongyi Chen, Yuting Mo, Jiahui Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the dynamics between shared E-bikes and buses: a multi-factor analysis for policy decision-making 了解共享电动自行车和公共汽车之间的动态:政策决策的多因素分析
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-026-10723-z
Xueqi Ding, Yuqian Zhang, Yanjie Ji
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引用次数: 0
How do E-Bikes measure up? Analyzing speed differences and network impacts of São paulo’s bikesharing system 电动自行车如何衡量?分析圣保罗共享单车系统的速度差异和网络影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-026-10724-y
Thiago Vinicius Louro, Anna Beatriz Grigolon, Alejandro Tirachini, André Luiz Cunha, Karst T. Geurs
Speed is a pivotal factor in cycling mobility, influencing travel times, convenience, accessibility, and mode choice. However, empirical models of cycling speed, particularly for electric bicycles, remain limited. This study aims to examine the impact of infrastructure and topographic determinants on cycling speeds and network performance of electric bicycles, compared to conventional bicycles. Using a comprehensive GPS-based dataset from São Paulo’s Tembici bikesharing system, we employ linear mixed-effects models to analyze detailed variations in cycling speeds at the tracking point level, and linear regression at the trip level to assess overall trip dynamics. Novel variables, such as car traffic data from Uber, are incorporated, along with interactions between road segment length and cycling infrastructure type. Results show that electric bicycles consistently achieve higher speeds than conventional bikes, especially on challenging terrains and longer trips, due to motor assistance. Car speed significantly reduces speed for both conventional and electric bicycles. Segregated cycling infrastructure significantly increases speeds, with the greatest benefits observed for e-bikes on steep gradients. At intersections and traffic lights, e-bikes show greater sensitivity to stops in the segment-based analysis, but they recover more quickly at the trip level. E-bikes also led to a 14.2% improvement in the global efficiency of the cycling network, a measure of how effectively the network supports movement between all pairs of nodes, and our analysis of betweenness centrality showed that e-bikes change the importance of specific routes, making longer roads more critical. These findings underscore the importance of targeted investments in cycling infrastructure, particularly segregated lanes, to optimize e-bike performance, and support sustainable urban transport systems.
速度是自行车出行的关键因素,影响出行时间、便利性、可达性和方式选择。然而,自行车速度的经验模型,特别是电动自行车的经验模型仍然有限。本研究旨在考察基础设施和地形因素对电动自行车的骑行速度和网络性能的影响,并与传统自行车进行比较。利用来自圣保罗Tembici共享单车系统的基于gps的综合数据集,我们采用线性混合效应模型来分析跟踪点水平上骑行速度的详细变化,并在行程水平上使用线性回归来评估整体出行动态。新的变量,如来自优步的汽车交通数据,以及路段长度和自行车基础设施类型之间的相互作用被纳入其中。结果表明,由于电机辅助,电动自行车的速度始终高于传统自行车,特别是在具有挑战性的地形和长途旅行中。汽车速度大大降低了传统自行车和电动自行车的速度。隔离的自行车基础设施显著提高了速度,在陡坡上骑电动自行车的好处最大。在十字路口和红绿灯处,电动自行车在基于路段的分析中对停车更敏感,但在行程层面上恢复得更快。电动自行车还使自行车网络的全球效率提高了14.2%,这是一种衡量网络如何有效地支持所有对节点之间的运动的指标,我们对中间性中心的分析表明,电动自行车改变了特定路线的重要性,使较长的道路变得更加重要。这些发现强调了有针对性地投资自行车基础设施的重要性,特别是隔离车道,以优化电动自行车的性能,并支持可持续的城市交通系统。
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引用次数: 0
Time-use behaviour in the United Kingdom: a comparative analysis of pre-COVID19 and during COVID19 英国的时间使用行为:covid - 19之前和covid - 19期间的比较分析
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-026-10720-2
Ali Najmi, Maryam Bostanara, Nazmul Arefin Khan, Joshua Auld, Taha Hossein Rashidi
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引用次数: 0
Personal activity queue inference: assessing activity stress and loads of travelers 个人活动队列推断:评估旅行者的活动压力和负荷
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10717-3
Roger B. Chen, Ahmadreza Soroush Azizzadeh
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引用次数: 0
Simulating railway punctuality in three Swedish metropolitan regions 模拟三个瑞典大都市地区的铁路准点率
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10716-4
Ingrid Johansson, Hans Sipilä, Carl-William Palmqvist
The railway transport system has seen an increasing demand in recent years, while delays and missed punctuality goals continue to be problems in many countries. To improve punctuality, the amount of primary delays needs to be decreased, and knowledge of the shares of the different types of delay – entry, run, and dwell – is important to identify the most efficient countermeasures. This paper investigates the punctuality in the three Swedish metropolitan regions around Stockholm, Gothenburg, and Malmö, applying Circumscribed Central Composite Design in the calibration of a macroscopic simulation tool. The results show that the ratio of primary to secondary delays varied from 1:1.8 to 1:3.8 between the geographical regions, and that the mix of primary entry, run, and dwell delays can vary substantially between regions. In all cases, the primary delays need to decrease by well over $$40%$$ to reach the goal of $$95%$$ punctuality, highlighting the importance of reducing primary dwell delays to improve punctuality. For simulation purposes, our results highlight that large networks require careful calibration, as key parameters and inputs vary significantly between different parts of the network. Future work includes experimenting with iterated calibration runs, modelling the prediction error between simulated and observed punctuality, simulating a larger network while allowing for regional differences in input settings and distributions, investigating the potential relationship between capacity utilisation and the occurrence of secondary delays, and exploring the possibility of automating the calibration process.
近年来,铁路运输系统的需求不断增加,而延误和未能达到准点目标仍然是许多国家的问题。为了提高准点率,需要减少主要延误的数量,并且了解不同类型延误的份额-进入,运行和停留-对于确定最有效的对策非常重要。本文研究了斯德哥尔摩、哥德堡和Malmö周围三个瑞典大都市地区的准时性,应用限定中心复合设计校准宏观模拟工具。结果表明:各地理区域间主、次延迟的比例在1:8 .8 ~ 1:8 .8之间,主进入、运行和停留延迟的混合在不同地理区域间差异较大;在所有情况下,主要延误需要减少$$40%$$以上才能达到$$95%$$准时性的目标,突出了减少主要停留延误以提高准时性的重要性。出于模拟目的,我们的结果强调大型网络需要仔细校准,因为关键参数和输入在网络的不同部分之间差异很大。未来的工作包括对迭代校准运行进行实验,模拟模拟和观测准时性之间的预测误差,模拟一个更大的网络,同时允许输入设置和分布的区域差异,调查容量利用率与二次延迟发生之间的潜在关系,并探索自动化校准过程的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing users’ preferences between personal and pooled rideshare services using a mixed logit modeling approach 使用混合logit建模方法分析用户在个人和拼车服务之间的偏好
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10714-6
Haotian Su, Nazmul A. Khan, Krishna M. Gurumurthy, Joseph Paul, Rakesh Gangadharaiah, Lisa Boor, Kristin Kolodge, Joshua Auld, Johnell O. Brooks, Yunyi Jia
Ridesharing has become an increasingly popular transportation method over the past decade. Transportation network companies such as Uber and Lyft generally provide two types of rideshare services: personal rideshare, in which users ride alone or with individuals they know, and pooled rideshare, in which users ride with passengers they do not know but share similar routes. Pooled rideshare is capable of reducing energy consumption and traffic in the transportation system in comparison to personal rideshare. Despite the growth in trip volume, ridesharing usage is still low compared to other popular transportation methods in the U.S., particularly traveling in one’s own personal vehicle. Furthermore, pooled rideshare usage is lower than personal rideshare. To understand riders’ preferences, a national survey ( N = 2884) was conducted in the U.S. to investigate users’ choice behaviors in rideshare services examining personal versus pooled rideshare. Each survey respondent completed 20 stated-preference scenarios where participants choose between a personal or pooled rideshare option. Based on the responses, a mixed logit model was developed to capture the choice behavior preferences of the participants. The model unveiled the impact of demographic and trip attribute variables on users’ rideshare preferences. The discussion encompassed insights into demographic backgrounds and trip attributes, accompanied by a set of policy recommendations aimed at enhancing future pooled rideshare utilization.
在过去的十年里,拼车已经成为一种越来越受欢迎的交通方式。Uber和Lyft等交通网络公司通常提供两种类型的拼车服务:一种是个人拼车,用户单独或与他们认识的人一起乘坐;另一种是拼车,用户与他们不认识的乘客一起乘坐,但共享相似的路线。与个人拼车相比,拼车能够减少交通系统的能源消耗和交通流量。尽管出行量在增长,但与美国其他流行的交通方式相比,拼车的使用率仍然很低,尤其是与自己的私家车相比。此外,拼车使用率低于个人拼车。为了了解乘客的偏好,在美国进行了一项全国性调查(N = 2884),调查用户在拼车服务中的选择行为,检查个人与拼车服务。每个受访者都完成了20个陈述偏好的场景,让参与者在个人或拼车选项之间做出选择。在此基础上,建立了一个混合logit模型来捕捉参与者的选择行为偏好。该模型揭示了人口统计和出行属性变量对用户拼车偏好的影响。讨论包括对人口背景和出行属性的见解,以及旨在提高未来拼车利用率的一系列政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of mobility and social networks on social activity-travel participation using location-based social network data 基于位置的社会网络数据:流动性和社会网络对社会活动-旅行参与的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10706-6
Adam Krathaus, Gongda Yu, Irina Benedyk, Panagiotis Ch. Anastasopoulos
This paper investigates the relationship between social networks and the activities they generate, by exploring inter-social-activity durations as a proposed measure of social activity participation frequency. To model the proposed measure, data were collected and processed from a publicly-available dataset sourced from the location-based social networking service Gowalla. The data include information from 3065 Texas Gowalla users, regarding social activity-travel behavior, and performance of modularity- and surprise-based community detection. To account for the longitudinal nature of the data, and for possible spatial instability of the model parameters across two major Texas cities, a grouped-random-parameters hazard-based duration modeling approach with heterogeneity in means is employed, and separate models are estimated for Austin and Dallas users. The results suggest that social activity participation frequency is affected by individual mobility, and by a number of social network effects, such as ego social network size, social group variety, and local closeness centrality. The findings call for a thorough investigation of the transportation system and social network interrelationships.
本文通过探索社会活动持续时间作为社会活动参与频率的衡量标准,研究了社会网络与其产生的活动之间的关系。为了对提议的措施进行建模,数据收集和处理来自基于位置的社交网络服务Gowalla的公开可用数据集。这些数据包括来自3065名德克萨斯州Gowalla用户的信息,包括社交活动-旅行行为,以及基于模块化和惊喜的社区检测的表现。为了考虑数据的纵向性质,以及模型参数在德克萨斯州两个主要城市之间可能存在的空间不稳定性,采用了一种基于风险的随机参数分组持续时间建模方法,并对奥斯汀和达拉斯的用户进行了单独的模型估计。结果表明,社会活动参与频率受个体流动性、自我社会网络规模、社会群体多样性和地方亲密中心性等社会网络效应的影响。研究结果要求对交通系统和社会网络的相互关系进行彻底的调查。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation
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