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Comparing structural policies for relieving citywide traffic congestion: longitudinal evidence from 96 Chinese cities
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10577-3
Chengcheng Liu, Wenjia Zhang, Nuoxian Huang

Anti-congestion policies, such as urban spatial planning, transport infrastructure, and economic incentives, are often regarded as effective structural measures for relieving citywide traffic congestion. However, few studies have empirically investigated and compared the intervention effects of such structural policies on relieving congestion. Using longitudinal AutoNavi’s big-data-based congestion delay index from 96 congested Chinese cities, we developed panel regression models with random effects to estimate the impact of four types of structural determinants on traffic congestion, including fuel price, road construction, public transportation, and urban spatial characteristics. The empirical results demonstrate that (1) the impacts of urban spatial characteristics and public transportation outweigh the impacts of fuel price and road construction on traffic congestion in terms of significance level and quantity; and (2) higher gasoline prices, road length and capacity expansion, a polycentric urban structure, and mixed land use contribute to alleviating traffic congestion. These findings enable a systematic understanding of the determinants of traffic congestion and provide policy implications in the context of developing countries.

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引用次数: 0
Identifying instant utility using psychophysiological indicators in a transport experiment with ecological validity
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10584-y
Bastian Henriquez-Jara, C. Angelo Guevara, Angel Jimenez-Molina

In this article, we formulate a hybrid model that allows to identify the triggers of instant utilities using psychophysiological indicators (PPIs). Instant utilities are understood as momentary emotions perceived in every instant of an experience. We build the model using transport and environmental variables associated with the experience to explain instant utilities, which are measured by PPIs and stated emotions. The model is estimated with data from a real-life travel experiment, in which SKT (skin temperature), HR (heart rate), HRV (heart rate variation), and EDA (electrodermal activity) were measured with a wristband. In addition, environmental variables such as CO2, noise, brightness, and temperature were collected and used to explain instant utility and to control for variation of PPIs. As emotions can be discomposed into at least two dimensions (valence and activation) we capture this multidimensionality estimating two independent models that explain the valence and activation of stated emotions. To analyse what is gained by including physiological data, these models are compared with baseline models without PPIs. Our main findings are: (1) instant utilities are sensible, for instance, to the travel mode; velocity; crowding; brightness; temperature; and humidity; (2) PPIs help to identify the effect of stimuli that cause small variations in the underlying emotions; and (3) instant utility has heterogeneous effects on PPIs across individuals, implying that it is necessary individuals-specific considerations to infer instant utility from PPIs. We discuss the potential applications of this framework in the evaluation of travel satisfaction and demand estimation.

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引用次数: 0
Spatial–temporal multi-task learning for short-term passenger inflow and outflow prediction on holidays in urban rail transit systems
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10583-z
Hao Qiu, Jinlei Zhang, Lixing Yang, Kuo Han, Xiaobao Yang, Ziyou Gao

The rapid growth of passengers has led to overcrowding in urban rail transit (URT) systems, especially during holidays, posing significant challenges to the safe management and operation of URT systems. Accurate and real-time short-term passenger inflow and outflow prediction on holidays is essential for operation management and resource allocation to alleviate such overcrowding. However, short-term passenger inflow and outflow prediction on holidays is a challenging task influenced by various factors, including temporal dependencies, spatial dependencies, the temporal evolution of spatial dependencies, the interaction between inflow and outflow, and the limited holiday samples. To address these challenges, we propose a Spatial–Temporal Multi-Task Learning (STMTL) for short-term passenger inflow and outflow prediction on holidays in URT systems. STMTL comprises three parts: (1) Multi-Graph Channel Attention Network (MGCA) extracts both static and dynamic spatial dependencies from inter-station interaction graphs and then adaptively integrates multi-graph features. (2) Time Encoding-Gated Recurrent Unit (TE-GRU), utilizes time encoding gates to capture long-term periodic variations and unique fluctuations caused by holidays. (3) Cross-attention block (CAB) captures complex interactions during holidays and facilitates the sharing of spatiotemporal features between passenger inflow and outflow. The effectiveness and robustness of STMTL are validated on two real-world datasets from the Nanning URT system in China during the New Year’s Day period. Experimental results demonstrate that STMTL consistently outperforms several classic and state-of-the-art models. STMTL achieves a 3.87% and 3.39% average improvement over the best-performing baseline models at 15-min and 30-min granularities, highlighting its potential for practical applications in URT systems during holidays.

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引用次数: 0
Research on charging patterns of electric taxis based on high-dimensional cluster analysis: a case study of Hangzhou, China
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10574-6
Ning Wang, Yelin Lyu, Hangqi Tian, Yuntao Guo

The promotion of electric vehicles (EVs) poses challenges to the power grid due to the large-scale and disordered charging behaviors. While previous studies have investigated the charging patterns of EVs, little attention has been paid to electric taxis (ETs). To address this gap, this study proposes a novel combinatorial clustering model to investigate the charging patterns of ETs. This model employs Principle Component Analysis (PCA) for dimensionality reduction, an Canopy + to determine the optimal number of clusters, and concludes with K-means for rapid clustering. It exploits the rich information from the high-dimensional features, such as battery status, time, driving range, and environmental conditions, and enables fast and accurate analysis of large-scale ET charging behavior. The model analyzed a year of charging data from 164 ETs in Hangzhou, identifying six typical patterns. The impact of 20,000 ET charging loads on the power grid was further simulated. The results indicate that increasing the proportion of three types of fast-charging patterns can alleviate the peak and standard deviation of the power load of the grid. This study contributes to a better understanding of the charging behaviors of ETs and provides insights for managing the power demand in the context of urban transportation.

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引用次数: 0
Exploring travel wellbeing and quality of life interaction among commuters in a heterogeneous urban region
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-12-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10573-7
Rimpi Baro, K. V. Krishna Rao, Nagendra R. Velaga

Examining commuting and its connection to wellbeing is a crucial policy concern. Commuting in urban areas is highly stressful and unsafe due to the dearth of transportation supply. Studies examining the cascading phenomenon of commute stress and safety possibly affecting travel wellbeing (TWB) and subsequently impacting quality of life (QOL) are limited. Hence, this study examined the role of trip characteristics, stress and safety perceptions, and residence area characteristics on TWB and how TWB and all these factors further affect the QOL of commuters in a heterogeneous urban region using confirmatory factor analysis and structural equation modeling (SEM). This study further analyzed the equitable distribution of TWB and QOL perceptions across socio-economic groups with the Gini index. A revealed preference survey was conducted in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region, India, and data was collected from 1431 commuters from diverse socio-economic groups. The results indicate that travel time, travel cost, travel discomfort, waiting time, and perceived stress negatively influence TWB, while perceived safety and travel mode are positively associated with TWB. Surprisingly, non-motorized commuters have the lowest TWB levels. Considering direct effects, TWB positively influences QOL, while travel discomfort negatively influences QOL. In indirect effects, perceived stress negatively influences QOL through TWB, whereas perceived safety positively influences QOL through its impact on TWB. The calculated Gini indexes imply equitable distribution of TWB and QOL perceptions among socio-economic groups segmented by income, age, and gender. The policy implications for improving TWB and QOL are discussed accordingly.

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引用次数: 0
A panel analysis of change in personal air travel behaviour in England between 2012 and 2019
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-12-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10571-9
Giulio Mattioli, Joachim Scheiner

Decarbonizing aviation is challenging as few scalable technological alternatives exist, and travel activity is increasing rapidly. It is thus essential to better understand the drivers of air travel behaviour. Previous cross-sectional research has identified a range of factors associated with individual air travel frequency. There is, however, a lack of longitudinal studies identifying the factors associated with change in air travel frequency on the individual level. This is in contrast with research on daily travel and car use, where ‘mobility biographies’ studies have identified the life-course factors associated with travel behaviour change. Our study contributes to filling this gap. We investigate the determinants of change in air travel frequency using data from two waves of the UK Household Longitudinal Survey (2012–2013 and 2018–2019), combined with geographical information at the neighbourhood level. With regression models, we assess the impact of changes in a wide range of factors including socio-demographic and economic situation; residential location; spatial dispersion of social networks; migration status; car ownership; and environmental attitudes. We find significant effects for several variables, including e.g., a negative effect of having children on air travel frequency, and a reduction in the number of flights in the first few years after migrating to the UK. We conclude by discussing how the findings can inform debates on: i) the impact of life-course events on travel behaviour; ii) the causal drivers of air travel frequency; iii) the drivers of air travel growth, and related implications in terms of inequality and ‘institutionalisation’ of air travel.

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引用次数: 0
Using a dynamic spatial difference-in-differences estimator to evaluate the effect of high speed rail and tourist transit service on tourism demand 使用动态空间差分估算器评估高铁和旅游交通服务对旅游需求的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10576-4
Tzu-Ming Liu

This study uses the Dynamic Spatial Difference-in-Differences model (Dynamic SDID) to analyze the impact of the Taiwan High-Speed Rail (THSR) on Taiwan’s tourism demand. To control for spillover effects, the model incorporates the Taiwan Tourist Shuttle service (TSHU) as an alternative transportation option, the interactive effects between TSHU and THSR, and the spatial autocorrelation between TSHU and THSR. The analysis results indicate that controlling for spillover effects is crucial for analyzing the impact of the High-Speed Rail and tourist transit service on Tourism Demand, and the Dynamic SDID is a better analytical model for this purpose. The THSR has a significant positive impact on tourism demand, while its spatial autocorrelation effect is significantly negative. This suggests that the increase in tourist traffic brought about by THSR mainly comes from existing tourists in the surrounding areas rather than generating new tourism demand. The TSHU, on the other hand, has a negative but insignificant impact on tourism demand, but its interaction with THSR has a significant positive effect, indicating that the two services complement each other. Therefore, to enhance Taiwan’s tourism demand, the focus should still be on improving the attractiveness of tourist destinations rather than solely relying on the construction of the High-Speed Rail. Additionally, while the TSHU does not contribute significantly to the development of specific individual tourist destinations, it does facilitate regional tourism development. Therefore, selecting TSHU routes based on actual market conditions can promote the growth of the tourism industry.

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引用次数: 0
Exploring the effects of conformity on travelers’ route choice 探索一致性对旅行者路线选择的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10572-8
Bojian Zhou, Shihao Li, Shaohua Cui, Min Xu

This paper investigates the impact of conformity on traveler’s route choice and evaluates the value of conformity in this context. Drawing from classic theoretical model of conformity, we analyze the factors influencing conformity in route choice. Based on this analysis, we develop an integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model, incorporating latent variables related to conformity, individual characteristics, as well as route-specific attributes. The model parameters are calibrated using data collected from a stated preference (SP) survey in Nanjing, China. Estimation results reveal strong correlations between conformity and travelers’ route choices. The findings of this study carry significant insights for leveraging conformity in the design of navigation software and congestion pricing strategies.

本文研究了顺应性对旅行者路线选择的影响,并评估了顺应性在这方面的价值。我们借鉴符合性的经典理论模型,分析了路线选择中影响符合性的因素。在此分析基础上,我们建立了一个综合选择和潜变量(ICLV)模型,其中包含了与一致性、个人特征以及特定路线属性相关的潜变量。我们使用在中国南京进行的陈述偏好(SP)调查收集的数据对模型参数进行了校准。估计结果显示,一致性与旅客的路线选择之间存在很强的相关性。这项研究的结果为在导航软件和拥堵定价策略的设计中利用顺应性提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating passenger behaviour on the metro platform with Wi-Fi location tracking data: a case study of Singapore
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10570-w
Michelle Cheung, Yan Cheng, Taku Fujiyama

Utilising the existing infrastructure in railway transit to tackle overcrowding requires more understanding of how people use spaces at stations. This study investigated passenger behaviour while waiting for a train on the platform using the data of the Wi-Fi location tracking systems. The trajectories of 129,354 devices were observed in two weeks at two MRT Circle Line stations in Singapore, which have the escalator/stair landings in different positions. A data cleaning process was proposed to overcome the drawbacks of Wi-Fi-based position data. A decomposition method was further developed to separate the walking and staying phases based on data processing. The boarding passengers’ on-platform behaviour was analysed from four aspects: the number of staying phases, the location distributions of different kinds of stays, the location distribution of in-between stays by hour and duration, and the distance and walking speed of the first walking phase. Our results suggested that many passengers (44% and 37% of passengers at the two case study stations) had multiple staying phases, meaning that they did not go directly to their final boarding points after coming to the platform but rather made stops or walkarounds before coming to boarding points. The distributions of locations of the last and in-between stays were significantly different and may influenced by the width, length and layout (such as landing locations) of stations. In addition, the walking speeds of passengers observed on the metro platform were slower than those observed on the streets. These findings indicated that some commonly used assumptions in most simulation models are not true according to the empirical observation. The obtained knowledge would deepen the understanding of the passengers’ on-platform behaviour and thus provide implications for designing railway stations and planning station operations.

要利用现有的轨道交通基础设施来解决拥挤问题,就需要更多地了解人们是如何使用车站空间的。本研究利用 Wi-Fi 定位跟踪系统的数据调查了乘客在站台候车时的行为。研究人员在新加坡两个地铁环线车站的两个星期内观察了 129,354 台设备的运行轨迹,这两个车站的自动扶梯/楼梯着陆点位置各不相同。为了克服基于 Wi-Fi 定位数据的缺点,研究人员提出了一种数据清理方法。在数据处理的基础上,进一步开发了一种分解方法,以分离行走和停留阶段。我们从四个方面分析了登机乘客在站台上的行为:停留阶段的数量、不同类型停留的位置分布、按小时和持续时间划分的中间停留的位置分布以及第一个步行阶段的距离和步行速度。我们的研究结果表明,许多乘客(两个案例研究车站中分别有 44% 和 37% 的乘客)有多个停留阶段,这意味着他们在到达站台后并没有直接前往最终上车点,而是在到达上车点之前进行了停留或绕行。最后停留和中间停留的位置分布差异很大,可能受到车站宽度、长度和布局(如着陆位置)的影响。此外,在地铁站台上观察到的乘客步行速度比在街道上观察到的要慢。这些发现表明,根据经验观察,大多数模拟模型中的一些常用假设并不正确。所获得的知识将加深对乘客在站台上行为的理解,从而为设计铁路车站和规划车站运营提供启示。
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引用次数: 0
Charging behaviour and range anxiety in long-distance EV travel: an adaptive choice design study
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10561-x
Mikkel Thorhauge, Jeppe Rich, Stefan E. Mabit

This paper presents a novel adaptive stated choice experiment to capture range anxiety during long-distance travel. It is assumed that respondents have forward-looking properties allowing them to select from a set of charging alternatives along the route or postpone charging for a later (choice) stage. Data was collected among members of the Danish electric car association. Based on this data, we develop a mixed logit model that reveals several interesting findings. First, we quantify a relationship between the probability to charge and the remaining range. Secondly, we find that range anxiety, and thereby battery utilisation between recharges is indeed a heterogeneous quantity that varies among user groups. Tesla drivers and individuals below 50 years of age are less prone to range anxiety compared to other segments. Finally, the results suggest that charging at the early stages of a trip is indeed likely even when the battery level is high.

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引用次数: 0
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Transportation
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