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Exploring commuters’ mode preference to autonomous vehicles based on a personalized travel experience survey 基于个性化出行体验调查,探索乘客对自动驾驶汽车的模式偏好
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10529-x
Huanmei Qin, Binhai Yu, Yonghuan Zhang

With the rapid development of autonomous driving technology and the sharing economy, autonomous driving has significant potential to offer a broader range of travel choices for travelers. To explore different commuters’ autonomous vehicles—related behavioral decisions and choice preference, this study designed a personalized travel experience survey and established travel choice models incorporating individual perceptions and attitudes for two groups. It was found that commuters’ perceptions of autonomous vehicles were significantly improved by travel experience. Travel time is the most concerned factor in travel mode choice for private car commuters, while travel cost is the most important factor for public transport commuters. Therefore, enhancing operational efficiency and reducing the energy consumption of autonomous vehicles could effectively encourage commuters to adopt new travel modes. Improving travelers’ travel experiences and positive attitudes towards using autonomous vehicles is conducive to the adoption of private autonomous vehicles by private car commuters and the choice of shared autonomous vehicles by public transport users. By promoting people’s acceptance of ride-sharing and awareness of its benefits through user experience, publicity, and guidance, a substantial increase in the adoption of shared autonomous vehicles can be achieved among both commuter groups. Suitable thresholds for crucial factors, including travel time and cost, perception, and attitudes towards ride-sharing, were determined for both groups to facilitate their mode transfer among traditional travel modes and autonomous vehicles. The research findings can provide a reference for anticipating travel demand and guiding the formulation of transport policies for future transportation systems.

随着自动驾驶技术和共享经济的快速发展,自动驾驶技术具有为旅行者提供更广泛旅行选择的巨大潜力。为探究不同通勤者与自动驾驶汽车相关的行为决策和选择偏好,本研究设计了个性化出行体验调查,并建立了包含两组个体认知和态度的出行选择模型。研究发现,通勤者对自动驾驶汽车的感知会因出行体验而显著改善。私家车乘客在选择出行方式时最关心的因素是出行时间,而公共交通乘客最关心的因素是出行成本。因此,提高自动驾驶汽车的运行效率和降低能耗可以有效鼓励乘客采用新的出行方式。改善乘客的出行体验和对使用自动驾驶汽车的积极态度,有利于私家车乘客采用私人自动驾驶汽车,也有利于公共交通用户选择共享自动驾驶汽车。通过用户体验、宣传和引导,提高人们对共享出行的接受度和对其益处的认知度,可以大幅提高两个通勤群体对共享自动驾驶汽车的采用率。针对这两个群体的出行时间和成本、对共享出行的认知和态度等关键因素,确定了合适的阈值,以促进他们在传统出行方式和自动驾驶汽车之间进行模式转换。研究结果可为预测出行需求和指导未来交通系统的交通政策制定提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the effect of social media communication on urban mobility 揭示社交媒体传播对城市交通的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10512-6
Carlos Martínez-de-Ibarreta, Jenny A. Cifuentes, Carlos M. Vallez, Alejandro Betancourt

Conventional methods to understand urban transportation mode choice primarily revolve around assessing the relation costs/benefits among the different mobility alternatives. However, emerging research has emphasized the significance of comprehending intricate social processes that shape decision-making in urban mobility. This study delves into the impact of social networks on aggregated travel behavior, using a comprehensive dataset encompassing multiple data sources such as Twitter/X messages, bicycle sharing system (BSS) and traffic counts, weather and socio-demographic information. Focusing specifically on the city of Madrid, Spain, the dataset covers an extensive period, capturing daily data from 2018 to 2021. To gain deeper insights into the underlying influences, a combination of panel regression models and a topic modeling approach were employed for analysis. The study’s findings highlight the significant impact of social media communication on transportation behavior, revealing a positive correlation between higher social media message volume and increased usage of public and sustainable transportation options like subways and BSS, while private car usage decreased. Although there is message salience, i.e., a sudden surge in tweet numbers leads to a temporary shift in behavior, the findings suggest that municipalities can effectively influence transportation behavior by strategically communicating messages related to sustainable transportation through social networks.

了解城市交通模式选择的传统方法主要围绕评估不同交通选择之间的成本/收益关系。然而,新出现的研究强调了理解影响城市交通决策的复杂社会过程的重要性。本研究通过使用包含多种数据源(如 Twitter/X 消息、共享单车系统(BSS)和交通流量统计、天气和社会人口信息)的综合数据集,深入研究了社交网络对综合出行行为的影响。数据集特别关注西班牙马德里市,涵盖了从 2018 年到 2021 年的大量日常数据。为了深入了解潜在的影响因素,研究采用了面板回归模型和主题建模相结合的方法进行分析。研究结果凸显了社交媒体传播对交通行为的重大影响,揭示了社交媒体信息量增加与地铁和 BSS 等公共和可持续交通方式使用率增加之间的正相关关系,而私家车使用率则有所下降。虽然存在信息显著性,即推文数量的突然激增会导致行为的暂时转变,但研究结果表明,市政当局可以通过社交网络有策略地传播与可持续交通相关的信息,从而有效地影响交通行为。
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引用次数: 0
Role of environmental awareness & self-identification expressiveness in electric-vehicle adoption 环保意识和自我认同表达能力在电动汽车使用中的作用
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10515-3
Sohaib Mustafa, Yangyan Shi, Dur e Adan, Wen Luo, Eias Al Humdan

Global warming is a serious threat to humanity, and greenhouse gases are behind it. CO2 is one of the main greenhouse gasses that cause global warming. The second most important reason behind CO2 emission is the transport sector. Electric-powered Vehicles introduced by the automobile sector are regarded as the main alternative to cope with this issue. Despite their advantages, EV adoption rates vary by country, and the expected reductions in energy shortages and pollution are not fully achieved. We took the opportunity to assess the consumer EV adoption intention by using the Value-based technology adoption model. We integrated Environmental awareness (EA) and Self-identification expressiveness (SIE) as new factors in this model to assess the role of EA and SIE in EV adoption intentions. We have collected the response of 704 EV users from China and applied the SEM-ANN dual-stage hybrid model to test proposed hypotheses and rank the variables according to their importance. Study findings revealed that Environmental awareness is a significant predictor of EV adoption but is not the most important factor. Study results also revealed that the perceived benefits of EV adoption and perceived sacrifices for its adoption have a significant impact on the perceived value of EV, and this value leads to the adoption intentions. PV is revealed as a significant mediator in our proposed model. We conclude that people need to educate about environmental issues and the benefits of using EVs to achieve the CO2 reduction and EV sale target. The study has several theoretical and practical implications for the government and the electric vehicle manufacturing industry.

全球变暖是对人类的严重威胁,而温室气体正是其幕后黑手。二氧化碳是导致全球变暖的主要温室气体之一。二氧化碳排放的第二大原因是交通部门。汽车行业推出的电动汽车被认为是应对这一问题的主要选择。尽管电动汽车具有诸多优势,但各国的电动汽车采用率不尽相同,预期的减少能源短缺和污染的目标也没有完全实现。我们利用基于价值的技术采用模型来评估消费者采用电动汽车的意向。我们将环境意识(EA)和自我认同表达能力(SIE)作为新因素纳入该模型,以评估 EA 和 SIE 在电动汽车采用意向中的作用。我们收集了 704 名中国电动汽车用户的反馈,并应用 SEM-ANN 双阶段混合模型检验了提出的假设,并根据变量的重要性对其进行了排序。研究结果显示,环境意识是电动汽车采用的一个重要预测因素,但不是最重要的因素。研究结果还显示,采用电动汽车的感知利益和采用电动汽车的感知牺牲对电动汽车的感知价值有显著影响,而这种价值会导致采用意向。在我们提出的模型中,感知价值是一个重要的中介因素。我们的结论是,人们需要了解环境问题和使用电动汽车的好处,以实现二氧化碳减排和电动汽车销售目标。这项研究对政府和电动汽车制造业具有若干理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Electric vehicle adoption intentions among UK residents parking in shared and public spaces 在共享和公共空间停车的英国居民采用电动汽车的意向
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10518-0
Hannah Budnitz, Toon Meelen, Tim Schwanen

A lack of charging opportunities is cited as one of the main barriers to the adoption of plug-in battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Charging opportunities are even more limited for the millions of households across Europe without the space to charge a vehicle at home, but research has not previously targeted these households. This study aims to fill this gap by assessing whether and how such residential parking constraints shape norms, attitudes and perceived behavioural control over charging, and thus intentions to adopt a BEV. Data from a nationally representative survey of car drivers in the UK without a private driveway or garage captures the perspective of these individuals who have different characteristics from early adopters of BEVs. The results show that personal norms around the environmental benefits of BEVs and positive attitudes towards BEV technology have the greatest influence on intentions to adopt, whilst social norms and perceived behavioural control over charging are less influential. The results also show that high income men are most likely to hold positive social norms that boost their intentions to adopt BEVs, whilst geographical context affects both social norms and perceived behavioural control over charging. In summary, the psychological approach applied shows that a more inclusive transition to BEVs is best supported by policies that first focus on emphasising their environmental benefits and that they are fun and economical to drive, and then look to increase social expectations and awareness of BEVs and charging infrastructure.

缺乏充电机会被认为是采用插电式电池电动汽车(BEV)的主要障碍之一。对于欧洲数百万没有空间在家中为车辆充电的家庭来说,充电机会更为有限,但以前的研究并没有针对这些家庭。本研究旨在通过评估这种住宅停车限制是否以及如何影响对充电的规范、态度和感知行为控制,进而影响采用 BEV 的意愿,来填补这一空白。对英国没有私人车道或车库的汽车驾驶者进行的一项具有全国代表性的调查数据捕捉到了这些人的视角,他们与早期采用 BEV 的人具有不同的特征。结果表明,围绕 BEV 环境效益的个人规范和对 BEV 技术的积极态度对采用意向的影响最大,而社会规范和对充电的感知行为控制的影响较小。研究结果还显示,高收入男性最有可能持有积极的社会规范,从而提高他们采用 BEV 的意愿,而地理环境则会影响社会规范和对充电的感知行为控制。总之,所采用的心理学方法表明,要想以更具包容性的方式过渡到纯电动汽车,最好的办法是制定相关政策,首先强调纯电动汽车的环境效益以及驾驶乐趣和经济性,然后努力提高社会对纯电动汽车和充电基础设施的期望和认识。
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引用次数: 0
Current and future European culture of mobility: insights from in-depth conversations with thinkers 当前和未来的欧洲流动文化:与思想家深入对话的启示
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10519-z
Maxime Hachette, Alain L’Hostis, Daniel Cassolà, Andreu Ulied, Ghadir Pourhashem, Silvia Gaggi

This paper deals with the foundations of current and past mobility cultures, identifies emerging trends and main drivers that contribute to the shaping of the future European mobility cultures, and focuses on the role of communication. The methodology adopted to better understand this complex concept involved 3 major steps: first a literature exploration, then a foresight involving strategic application of forward-looking approaches in shaping and informing public policy decisions which needed, and finally backcasting exercise to mainly build future scenarios. During these steps, we aimed to identify, involve and create a community of high level experts and thinkers in various fields: philosophy, psychology, sociology, geography, urbanism, architecture, economics, poetry, art. This involvement led to 29 scientific discussions of 3 types: 15 Talks with 16 experts, 5 Explorative Conversations with 11 experts and 9 Generative Dialogues with 11 experts. We have also organized 3 focus groups and 5 workshops to deepen our thinking on specific topics and involve a larger group of experts: Mobility values, Imagining future scenarios on mobility cultures, Public interest definition, Design a roadmap and outline feasible strategies. A survey of European citizens was carried out to involve them in an open consultation of the vision. Experts and thinkers were interviewed to stimulate discussion on how they understand mobility cultures and what drives it, to identify trends in mobility cultures and how they perceive mobility’s future. The idea was also to confront different or conflicting ideas and to identify the nuances and uncertainties, particularly with regard to the trends and future mobility cultures. As a result, we developed a vision not only of current and past mobility cultures, but especially of the expected and likely mobility future. We created 4 (extreme) political and societal scenarios for the mobility future and named them according to Greek divinities: Hercules, Themis, Hermes, and Gaia. The final results are a combination of several elements from different scenarios. The most desired future mobility clearly tends towards the Themis and Gaia cultural values of equity and well-being, while the Hermes cultural value of efficiency is perceived as driving the most likely future. This mismatch between expected and desired futures clearly expresses tensions between elements of mobility cultures. This gap points to a direction for future European mobility policy, away from efficiency and towards alternative values of sufficiency, care, and justice. Although we intended to cover the whole of Europe, Western Europe has remained relatively over-represented.

本文论述了当前和过去流动文化的基础,确定了有助于塑造未来欧洲流动文化的新趋势和主要驱动力,并重点论述了传播的作用。为更好地理解这一复杂的概念,我们采用的方法包括三个主要步骤:首先是文献探索,然后是前瞻,包括战略性地应用前瞻性方法来制定所需的公共政策决定并为其提供信息,最后是反向预测,主要是构建未来情景。在这些步骤中,我们的目标是确定、吸纳和创建一个由哲学、心理学、社会学、地理 学、城市规划、建筑学、经济学、诗歌和艺术等不同领域的高级专家和思想家组成的社 区。这种参与促成了 3 种类型的 29 次科学讨论:与 16 位专家进行了 15 次会谈,与 11 位专家进行了 5 次探索性对话,与 11 位专家进行了 9 次生成性对话。我们还组织了 3 个焦点小组和 5 个研讨会,以深化我们对特定主题的思考,并让更多专家参与其中:流动价值观、对未来流动文化情景的想象、公共利益定义、设计路线图并概述可行战略。对欧洲公民进行了一项调查,让他们参与对愿景的公开咨询。对专家和思想家进行了访谈,以激发他们对流动文化的理解和驱动因素的讨论,确定流动文化的趋势,以及他们如何看待流动文化的未来。我们的想法还包括面对不同或相互冲突的观点,找出细微差别和不确定因素,特别是在流动文化的趋势和未来方面。因此,我们不仅对当前和过去的流动文化进行了展望,而且还对预期的和可能的未来流动文化进行了展望。我们为未来的流动性创造了 4 种(极端)政治和社会情景,并根据希腊神灵为其命名:海格力斯(Hercules)、忒弥斯(Themis)、赫尔墨斯(Hermes)和盖亚(Gaia)。最终结果综合了不同情景中的若干元素。最理想的未来交通显然倾向于公平和福祉的忒弥斯和盖亚文化价值,而效率的赫尔墨斯文化价值则被认为是最有可能的未来的驱动力。预期未来与理想未来之间的这种不匹配清楚地表明了流动文化要素之间的紧张关系。这种差距为欧洲未来的流动性政策指明了方向,即从效率转向充足、关爱和公正等其他价值观。尽管我们的目标是覆盖整个欧洲,但西欧的代表性仍然相对较高。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling and analyzing the impact of on-street parking on traffic flow: a study of the main highway in Debre Markos Town, Ethiopia 路边停车对交通流量影响的建模与分析:埃塞俄比亚 Debre Markos 镇主要公路研究
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10513-5
Gedefaye Geremew

Insufficient parking has emerged as a critical global transportation concern, particularly in central business districts, leading to congestion in urban transport networks with significant social, economic, and environmental implications. In Debre Markos city, the demand for taxis and travel is swiftly rising due to population growth. However, existing road facilities are inadequate, reducing road capacity, mobility, and exacerbating traffic congestion. On-street parking, encompassing parking occupancy, double parking, differences in peak hours between restaurant activity and passing traffic, lack of driver discipline, and the reduced maneuverability of older vehicles, all contribute to narrowing the available road width, thus impeding traffic flow. This study aims to bridge this knowledge gap by investigating the traffic congestion caused by on-street parking and its impacts on traffic flow. Study results indicate that on-street parking significantly reduces road capacity by 24.1% due to legal parking activities and an additional 25.89% due to illegal double parking. Removing on-street parking could enhance road capacity by 49.9% and reduce travel time by 36%. Additionally, the model reveals a strong relationship between on-street parking and the delay of vehicle movement toward parking locations, with each increase in parking occupancy decreasing average travel speed by 0.03 km/h. This study emphasizes the necessity for proactive policies to address parking issues and uphold urban street service levels amid increasing traffic demands. Local authorities can use the model as a guide for implementing parking prohibition policies, including utilizing dead-end roads for short-term parking, enhance enforcement of parking regulations, integrate parking management with urban planning, and implementing parking management measures to alleviate congestion.

停车位不足已成为全球交通领域的一个重要问题,尤其是在中心商业区,这会导致城市交通网络拥堵,对社会、经济和环境产生重大影响。在德布雷马科斯市,由于人口增长,出租车和出行需求迅速上升。然而,现有道路设施不足,降低了道路通行能力和流动性,加剧了交通拥堵。路边停车,包括停车位占用、双人停车、餐饮活动与过往车辆高峰时段的差异、驾驶员缺乏纪律性以及老旧车辆机动性降低等,都导致可用路面宽度变窄,从而阻碍了交通流量。本研究旨在通过调查路边停车造成的交通拥堵及其对交通流量的影响,弥补这一知识空白。研究结果表明,由于合法停车活动,路边停车大大降低了 24.1%的道路通行能力,而非法双排停车则额外降低了 25.89%。取消路边停车可使道路通行能力提高 49.9%,行车时间减少 36%。此外,模型显示路边停车与车辆驶向停车地点的延迟之间存在密切关系,停车位占用率每增加一次,平均行驶速度就会降低 0.03 公里/小时。这项研究强调,在交通需求日益增长的情况下,有必要采取积极的政策来解决停车问题,并维持城市街道的服务水平。地方政府可以利用该模型作为实施禁止停车政策的指南,包括利用死胡同进行短期停车、加强停车法规的执行力度、将停车管理与城市规划相结合、实施停车管理措施以缓解交通拥堵。
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引用次数: 0
Walking cities that are (un)walkable: exploring everyday lived realities in low-income neighbourhoods in Accra 步行(不)适宜步行的城市:探索阿克拉低收入社区的日常生活现实
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10503-7
Seth Asare Okyere, Louis Kusi Frimpong, Festival Godwin Boateng, Stephen Leonard Mensah, Daniel Oviedo, Matthew Abunyewah, Michihiro Kita

The urban majority in Africa do a great deal of walking, yet we do not fully understand the lived realities of the so-called captive walkers, who have no option but to walk. This study explores the everyday lived accounts of urban residents as they navigate the walking environment in two low-income neighbourhoods in Accra, Ghana’s capital. The study adopted a qualitative approach drawing on 2 focus group discussions, 60 interviews with residents in the Dome and Accra Newtown neighbourhoods in Accra, and 10 institutional interviews. The findings show that residents viewed walking as a means of enhancing social relations, health, and spatial awareness. Lived accounts show that walking is stressful and dangerous because of the design and behavioral barriers in the walking environment. While highlighting the value of community-level responses to walking barriers, this paper calls for a more nuanced understanding of the everyday lived experiences of walking, reconsidering walkability challenges as intricately linked to, not separate from, urban development challenges and engaging captive walker perspectives as the basis for driving equitable and inclusive principles in the agenda for sustainable urban mobilities in Africa and Global South generally.

非洲城市中的大多数人经常步行,但我们并不完全了解所谓的 "被俘虏的步行者 "的生活现实,他们除了步行别无选择。本研究探讨了城市居民在加纳首都阿克拉两个低收入社区的步行环境中的日常生活。研究采用了定性方法,包括 2 次焦点小组讨论、对阿克拉圆顶区和阿克拉新城镇居民的 60 次访谈以及 10 次机构访谈。研究结果表明,居民认为步行是增进社会关系、健康和空间意识的一种手段。生活描述显示,由于步行环境中的设计和行为障碍,步行既紧张又危险。本文在强调社区层面应对步行障碍的价值的同时,呼吁对日常步行生活经验进行更细致的了解,重新考虑步行能力挑战与城市发展挑战之间的错综复杂的联系,而不是割裂开来,并将步行者的观点作为推动非洲和全球南部可持续城市交通议程中公平和包容性原则的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Car energy efficiency and emissions in the built environment 建筑环境中的汽车能效和排放
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10491-8
Chris Djie ten Dam, Francisco J. Bahamonde-Birke, Dick Ettema, Gert Jan Kramer, Vinzenz Koning

To mitigate climate change and safeguard energy security, it is necessary to limit car dependence, reduce car weights, and shift to alternative car powertrains. This study therefore looked into the real-world specific energy consumption and (hbox {CO}_{{2}}) emissions of cars in the Netherlands. Next, it analyzed how sociodemographic and built environment variables influence energy-relevant car type choices with a multilevel discrete choice modeling framework. At a first stage, this framework considered the number of cars owned. Conditional on that decision, it simultaneously considered choices between different car fuel types and weight categories. The results showed that small, lower-income households with few male or older members in non-green (urban) environments were more likely to own light (efficient) vehicles. Remote households had a preference for light and diesel vehicles. In contrast, households with private parking tended to own heavy and electric vehicles. Finally, owning multiple cars was correlated with both non-urban living and heavy car preferences. The combined effect was a mild preference for energy efficient vehicles in urban areas. Previous studies that omitted vehicle energy efficiency thus slightly underestimated urban planning’s environmental impact. However, our results indicate that the built environment has a greater effect on travel energy use through the number of cars owned than through car specific energy consumption. The bias in the official vehicle energy data was also much larger than the total influence of the built environment on car specific energy consumption.

为了减缓气候变化和保障能源安全,有必要限制对汽车的依赖,减轻汽车重量,并转向替代性汽车动力系统。因此,本研究调查了荷兰汽车在现实世界中的具体能耗和(hbox {CO}_{2}})排放量。接下来,研究采用多层次离散选择建模框架,分析了社会人口和建筑环境变量如何影响与能源相关的汽车类型选择。在第一阶段,该框架考虑了拥有汽车的数量。以这一决定为条件,它同时考虑了不同汽车燃料类型和重量类别之间的选择。结果显示,在非绿色(城市)环境中,男性或老年成员较少的低收入小家庭更有可能拥有轻型(高效)汽车。偏远地区的家庭则偏好轻型车和柴油车。相比之下,有私人停车场的家庭倾向于拥有重型车和电动车。最后,拥有多辆汽车与非城市生活和重型汽车偏好相关。综合来看,城市地区对节能汽车的偏好程度较低。因此,以往忽略车辆能效的研究略微低估了城市规划对环境的影响。然而,我们的研究结果表明,建筑环境通过汽车保有量对出行能耗的影响比通过汽车具体能耗对出行能耗的影响更大。官方汽车能耗数据的偏差也远远大于建筑环境对汽车具体能耗的总体影响。
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引用次数: 0
A modified radiation model based on the characteristics of airline network under large-scale disruptions 基于大规模干扰下航空网络特征的修正辐射模型
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10509-1
Rui Wang, Zhao Zhang

The radiation model is widely used in traffic demand forecasting. However, when applying the radiation model in the aviation field, it overestimates short-distance travel demand, does not consider flight capacity constraints, and cannot respond well to large-scale disruptions such as COVID-19. Based on the principle of the radiation model, this paper modifies the radiation model using the adjacency matrix of the airline network, along with the total passenger inflow and outflow for each city, flight capacity, and effective distance. The modified radiation model’s performance is verified using the 2018 and 2020 Chinese air passenger flow datasets under normal conditions and large-scale disruptions. The study compared the performance of the modified radiation model with the original radiation model and the opportunity priority selection model on an airline network that includes major cities. The results indicate that the modified radiation model is superior to the original radiation model and opportunity priority selection model in modeling airline networks. Additionally, the passenger travel distances provided by the modified radiation model are more accurate. The modified radiation model can better estimate air traffic demand in airline networks and withstand significant disruptions to airline network traffic.

辐射模型被广泛应用于交通需求预测。然而,将辐射模型应用于航空领域时,它高估了短途旅行需求,没有考虑航班容量限制,不能很好地应对 COVID-19 等大规模干扰。根据辐射模型的原理,本文利用航空网络的邻接矩阵以及各城市的旅客流入流出总量、航班运力和有效距离对辐射模型进行了修正。利用 2018 年和 2020 年中国航空客流数据集,在正常情况下和大规模中断情况下验证了修改后辐射模型的性能。研究比较了修改后的辐射模型与原始辐射模型和机会优先选择模型在包括主要城市在内的航空网络上的性能。结果表明,修改后的辐射模型在航空网络建模方面优于原始辐射模型和机会优先选择模型。此外,修改后的辐射模型提供的乘客旅行距离也更加准确。修改后的辐射模型可以更好地估计航空网络中的航空交通需求,并能承受航空网络交通的重大干扰。
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引用次数: 0
Who drops off web-based travel surveys? Investigating the impact of respondents dropping out of travel diaries during online travel surveys 谁会放弃网络旅行调查?调查在线旅行调查期间受访者退出旅行日记的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-024-10510-8
Kaili Wang, Yicong Liu, Sanjana Hossain, Khandker Nurul Habib

Household travel surveys collect core datasets for modelling passenger travel demand. However, the decline in survey completion rate has become a concern in recent years. Among all components, the travel diaries are the most challenging part of CAWI travel surveys and suffer significant dropouts of participation. Therefore, an investigation is necessary to understand the influential factors contributing to participation dropouts while reporting their travel dairies and subsequent non-response bias on data quality. This study utilizes binary logit models to capture the relationship between respondents’ drop-off behaviours while filling out travel diaries, their socioeconomic characteristics and different travel diary designs. The study also develops a generalizable analysis framework to measure the impact of non-response bias on data quality. The analysis framework incorporates a trip generation model with microsimulation and bootstrapping techniques. The results show that a diary design with stable repetitions is preferred by respondents and results in less non-response bias in the final dataset. This study also proposes recommendations for future travel surveys.

住户出行调查收集了模拟乘客出行需求的核心数据集。然而,近年来调查完成率的下降已成为一个令人担忧的问题。在 CAWI 旅行调查的所有组成部分中,旅行日记是最具有挑战性的部分,参与调查的辍学率很高。因此,有必要开展一项调查,以了解在报告其旅行日记时导致参与退出的影响因素,以及随之而来的对数据质量的非响应偏差。本研究利用二元对数模型来捕捉受访者在填写旅行日记时的放弃行为、他们的社会经济特征和不同旅行日记设计之间的关系。研究还建立了一个可推广的分析框架,以衡量非响应偏差对数据质量的影响。该分析框架结合了旅行生成模型、微观模拟和引导技术。结果表明,受访者更倾向于采用稳定重复的日记设计,并能减少最终数据集中的非响应偏差。本研究还对未来的旅行调查提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation
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