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Evaluating battery electric vehicle policies: a benefit-cost analysis framework 评估纯电动汽车政策:一个收益成本分析框架
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10690-x
V. Anilan, Akshay Vij, Jeff Connor, Helen Barrie, Ali Ardeshiri
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引用次数: 0
How ride-hailing services influenced vehicle use and ownership across the Boston metropolitan region 叫车服务如何影响波士顿大都会地区的车辆使用和所有权
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10688-5
Michael A. N. Montilla, Matthew Hui, Daniel G. Chatman
A number of research studies have found that ride-hailing services like Uber and Lyft have increased the total amount of driving within metropolitan areas. In this study, we examined how the rollout of Uber across the Boston region affected auto use and ownership by analyzing vehicle level data, in contrast to previous research which has relied mostly on aggregate travel measures, questionnaires, or stated-preference surveys. Using vehicle registration and inspection data including odometer readings, we tracked changes to the daily vehicle miles traveled (VMT) of 1.7 million vehicles in the Boston region over five years as Uber launched there. We applied fixed-effects panel regression methods controlling for a number of factors, using a panel of vehicles as well as a separate panel of Census tracts to enable analysis of auto ownership per capita and vehicle turnover. Our methods account for secular increases in VMT that occurred during Uber’s launch, and for changes occurring in both VMT and vehicle ownership over time. In contrast to studies finding a strong association between ride-hailing and increased VMT, we found that Uber availability was not statistically related to changes in VMT or auto ownership in the cities of Boston and Cambridge, and outside those core cities was related to a minor 0.6 percent VMT increase, and to very slightly lower rates of vehicle turnover and ownership. The much smaller effects we find using these improved data and methods suggest a need for continued evaluation of the impacts of ride-hailing companies on U.S. cities.
许多研究发现,像优步和Lyft这样的叫车服务增加了大都市地区的驾驶总量。在这项研究中,我们通过分析车辆级别数据,研究了优步在波士顿地区的推出对汽车使用和所有权的影响,与之前主要依赖于汇总出行措施、问卷调查或陈述偏好调查的研究形成了对比。我们利用包括里程表读数在内的车辆登记和检查数据,追踪了优步在波士顿地区推出服务以来的五年里,170万辆汽车的每日行驶里程(VMT)的变化。我们采用固定效应面板回归方法控制了许多因素,使用车辆面板以及人口普查区的单独面板来分析人均汽车拥有量和车辆周转率。我们的方法考虑了Uber推出期间行驶里程的长期增长,以及行驶里程和车辆拥有量随时间的变化。与发现叫车服务与车辆行驶里程增加之间存在强烈关联的研究相反,我们发现,在波士顿和剑桥等城市,Uber的可用性与车辆行驶里程或汽车拥有率的变化在统计上没有关系,而在这些核心城市之外,Uber的可用性与车辆行驶里程的小幅增长0.6%有关,车辆周转率和拥有率也略有下降。使用这些改进的数据和方法,我们发现的影响要小得多,这表明有必要继续评估网约车公司对美国城市的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating quality of service for bicyclists on rural highways: insights from a comprehensive user survey and mixed-logit analysis 评估农村高速公路上骑自行车者的服务质量:来自综合用户调查和混合logit分析的见解
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10620-x
Ana Tsui Moreno, Yangqian Cai, Santiago Linares-Ramirez, Scott S. Washburn, Ahmed Al-Kaisy, Jorge Barrios, Bastian Schroeder

Cycling on rural highways presents comfort and safety concerns due to the large speed differentials between bicyclists and automobiles. A shortcoming of the current operational methods for rural highways is the limited consideration of quality of service for non-motorized users. This research aims to determine which variables are most relevant to bicyclists cycling (or not) on rural highways and their operational cycling preferences. An online survey collected 982 responses from individuals who cycle on rural highways in the United States. Eight choice tasks were presented with six factors: pavement quality, automobile traffic level, posted speed limit, roadside design, context class, and grade. These factors were obtained from a preliminary survey targeting highway analysis and design practitioners. The results of a mixed-logit model analysis suggest that the presence of a shoulder and its width are the most critical factors to a cyclist’s perceived quality of service on a rural highway. We found that the difference between rural-town and suburban contexts was minor compared to rural contexts. The results demonstrate how cyclist types influence their overall willingness to cycle and their preferences for scenario-specific attributes. This opens the discussion to include different sets of thresholds to assess service levels as a function of cyclist type, following the level of traffic stress approach, and separate perception models by cyclist type. These results should inform recommendations for future research on improving existing evaluations related to bicycling on rural highways.

在农村高速公路上骑自行车,由于自行车和汽车之间的速度差异很大,因此存在舒适性和安全性问题。目前农村公路运营方法的一个缺点是对非机动用户的服务质量考虑有限。本研究旨在确定哪些变量与骑自行车的人在农村高速公路上骑(或不骑)和他们的骑行偏好最相关。一项在线调查收集了982名在美国农村公路上骑车的人的回复。8个选择任务由6个因素组成:路面质量、汽车交通水平、张贴限速、路边设计、环境类别和等级。这些因素是从一项针对公路分析和设计从业人员的初步调查中获得的。混合logit模型分析的结果表明,肩的存在及其宽度是骑自行车者在农村高速公路上感知服务质量的最关键因素。我们发现,与农村环境相比,农村-城镇和郊区环境之间的差异很小。研究结果表明,骑自行车的类型如何影响他们的整体骑行意愿和他们对特定场景属性的偏好。这开启了讨论,包括不同的阈值集来评估服务水平作为骑自行车者类型的函数,遵循交通压力水平方法,并根据骑自行车者类型分离感知模型。这些结果应为今后研究改进有关在农村公路上骑自行车的现有评价提供建议。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling weekly representative activity patterns of population groups: a bioinspired multiple sequence alignment approach 人口群体的每周代表性活动模式建模:一种生物启发的多序列比对方法
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10618-5
Md. Rifat Hossain Bhuiyan, Muhammad Ahsanul Habib

This research introduces a multi-module framework to derive weekly representative travel patterns from single-day travel diaries. The methodology first uses hierarchical clustering to group samples with similar activity patterns, followed by progressive multiple sequence alignment to construct day-level representative patterns. These day-level patterns are then merged based on their similarity to create week-level representative activity patterns, ultimately producing archetypal weekly pseudo-diaries. The proposed approach accounts for sequential patterns, activity transitions, and cross-day similarities, providing deeper insights into travel behavior beyond traditional statistical methods. Analyzing weekly activity patterns from this longitudinal data revealed significant insights into travel behavior, including distinct work and non-work patterns across the week. For working groups, shorter work durations on Fridays were observed, and the weekly work duration for teleworkers was found to be lower than that of workplace workers. Although the detailed exploration of weekly activity and time-use patterns provides valuable policy insights, this research primarily focuses on advancing activity-based travel demand modeling by introducing a mathematically robust approach to capturing sequential and temporal activity patterns.

本研究引入多模组架构,从单日旅行日记中推导出每周代表性的旅行模式。该方法首先使用分层聚类对具有相似活动模式的样本进行分组,然后使用渐进的多序列比对来构建日级别的代表性模式。然后,这些日级别的模式根据它们的相似性被合并,以创建周级别的代表性活动模式,最终产生原型的每周伪日记。所提出的方法考虑了顺序模式、活动转换和跨日相似性,提供了超越传统统计方法的更深入的旅行行为洞察。从这些纵向数据中分析每周活动模式,揭示了对旅行行为的重要见解,包括一周内不同的工作和非工作模式。对于工作群体来说,周五的工作时间更短,而且远程工作者的每周工作时间也低于职场工作者。尽管对每周活动和时间使用模式的详细探索提供了有价值的政策见解,但本研究主要侧重于通过引入一种数学上稳健的方法来捕获顺序和时间活动模式,从而推进基于活动的旅行需求建模。
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引用次数: 0
What influences cycling infrastructure preferences? A stated-preference survey 是什么影响了人们对骑行基础设施的偏好?国家偏好调查
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10624-7
Lucas Meyer de Freitas, Kay W. Axhausen

We examine the difference in preferences among different cyclist groups, being the first to examine differences in cycling infrastructure preferences among s-pedelec, e-bike and conventional bike riders. We also examine how the cycling frequency of individuals shapes these preferences. To do so we develop a stated-preference choice experiment varying cycling infrastructure and car traffic features impacting cycling for both main and neighborhood streets. We find that while the sign of the preferences is the same for all cyclist types and is consistent with previous findings from the literature on cycling infrastructure preferences, e-bikers and especially s-pedelec riders do have a lower willingness to pay (WTP) for improvements of cycling infrastructure and are more comfortable in sharing the street space with cars. E-bikers do have similar preferences as conventional cyclists for the most important safety-related elements, i.e. for cycling paths instead of cycling lanes on main streets and “cycling-street” designation of neighborhood streets. For these same features, the WTP decreases with cycling frequency, less frequent cyclists valuing such elements more. At the same time, those who cycle less have a lower WTP for car traffic related features.

我们研究了不同骑行人群偏好的差异,首次研究了s-pedelec、电动自行车和传统自行车骑行者在骑行基础设施偏好上的差异。我们还研究了个人的骑行频率是如何影响这些偏好的。为此,我们开发了一个状态偏好选择实验,改变了影响主要街道和社区街道骑行的自行车基础设施和汽车交通特征。我们发现,尽管所有骑自行车的人的偏好都是相同的,并且与之前关于自行车基础设施偏好的文献研究结果一致,但骑电动自行车的人,尤其是s-pedelec骑自行车的人,确实对改善自行车基础设施的支付意愿(WTP)较低,并且更愿意与汽车共享街道空间。在最重要的安全相关元素上,电动自行车骑行者确实与传统自行车骑行者有着相似的偏好,例如,在主要街道上选择自行车道而不是自行车道,以及在社区街道上指定“自行车街”。对于这些相同的特征,WTP随着骑行频率的增加而降低,较少骑行的人更重视这些元素。与此同时,骑车较少的人对于汽车交通相关特征的WTP较低。
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引用次数: 0
User acceptance of autonomous combined transport systems in Germany: a cross-conceptual view 德国用户对自主联合运输系统的接受度:一个跨概念的观点
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10625-6
Johannes Staritz, Susanne Gillig, Marvin Auf der Landwehr, Hanno Friedrich, André Ludwig, Christoph von Viebahn

The concept of autonomous combined transport utilizes autonomous vehicles for simultaneous passenger and goods transportation and is associated with a reduction in road traffic through bundling effects and economies of scale. Yet, its potential benefits particularly hinge on penetration and utilization rates. To date, few studies have explored user acceptance of systems that integrate passenger and freight flows. In this context, a research gap that is particularly evident pertains to the user acceptance of different concepts within autonomous combined transport. Extending the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology (UTAUT2), this paper examines the effects of six psychological constructs on the behavioral intention to use an autonomous combined transport system. Surveying 1040 respondents from Germany, two distinct combined transport concepts—scheduled and on-demand—were examined to identify key acceptance factors and operational peculiarities. Results from structural equation modelling show that the acceptance of autonomous combined transport systems depends on both, the operational concept as well as the purpose of use, with socio-demographic characteristics featuring different indirect effects per concept. Moreover, we find that performance expectancy, effort expectancy, price value, personal attitude, and trust are significant predictors of behavioral intention across both concepts, while the average order frequency of a potential user has a negative indirect impact on behavioral intention. Results show that an extended UTAUT2 model can conceptualize factors influencing autonomous combined transport acceptance, emphasizing the importance of investigating a user’s behavioral intention based on the specific operational concept.

自动联运的概念是利用自动驾驶车辆同时进行客运和货物运输,并通过捆绑效应和规模经济减少道路交通。然而,它的潜在效益尤其取决于渗透率和利用率。迄今为止,很少有研究探讨用户对整合客货流的系统的接受程度。在这种情况下,一个特别明显的研究差距涉及到用户对自主联合运输中不同概念的接受程度。本文扩展了技术接受与使用统一理论(UTAUT2),研究了六种心理构形对使用自主联合运输系统行为意向的影响。调查了来自德国的1040名受访者,研究了两种不同的联合运输概念——定期运输和按需运输——以确定关键的接受因素和操作特点。结构方程模型的结果表明,自主联运系统的接受程度取决于运营概念和使用目的,每个概念的社会人口特征具有不同的间接影响。此外,我们发现绩效期望、努力期望、价格价值、个人态度和信任在两个概念中都是行为意图的显著预测因子,而潜在用户的平均订购频率对行为意图具有负向的间接影响。结果表明,扩展的UTAUT2模型可以概念化影响自主联运接受度的因素,强调了基于具体操作概念调查用户行为意图的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-period bus frequency optimization and fleet rebalancing based on equity over time 基于股权的多周期公交频率优化和车队再平衡
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10623-8
Esta Qiu, David Rey, Travis Waller

The equity-efficiency tradeoff is a perpetual challenge in public transport planning. There is a strong need to integrate equity considerations into transit planning, while respecting the long-term financial sustainability of the public transport system. We introduce an ‘Equity over Time (EoT)’ multi-period, biobjective, bilevel frequency optimization framework, to integrate fairness metrics into bus allocation, while incorporating practical considerations such as fleet rebalancing costs and transfers. By changing the recipient of benefits or penalties over time, the multi-period allocation perspective allows the model to improve the tradeoff between efficiency and equity. We use Pareto-front analysis to demonstrate the improved tradeoffs between efficiency and equity of the EoT approach, then show through numerical experiments that the EoT framework is able to achieve better or equal solutions than its single period counterpart in all instances. We propose a customized matheuristic combining pattern generation and scheduling to solve larger instances. Numerical experiments show that the heuristic is on average 99.03% faster than the exact method for instances that return a solution. The EoT framework is then applied to the southern suburbs in Canberra, Australia. We introduce an Efficiency-Equity Tradeoff Index to support the selection of a suitable planning horizon duration.

在公共交通规划中,公平与效率之间的权衡是一个永恒的挑战。迫切需要将公平考虑纳入过境规划,同时尊重公共交通系统的长期财政可持续性。我们引入了一个“时间公平(EoT)”多期、双目标、双层频率优化框架,将公平指标整合到总线分配中,同时结合实际考虑因素,如车队再平衡成本和转移。通过随着时间的推移改变收益或惩罚的接受者,多期分配视角允许模型改善效率与公平之间的权衡。我们使用Pareto-front分析来证明EoT方法在效率和公平之间的改进权衡,然后通过数值实验表明,EoT框架能够在所有实例中获得比其单周期对应的更好或相等的解决方案。我们提出了一种结合模式生成和调度的定制数学方法来解决更大的实例。数值实验表明,对于返回解的实例,启发式算法比精确方法平均快99.03%。EoT框架随后被应用到澳大利亚堪培拉的南部郊区。我们引入了效率-权益权衡指数来支持选择合适的规划期限。
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引用次数: 0
Does easy mean happy? Exploring the impact of ease of travel on travel satisfaction 轻松意味着快乐吗?探索旅行便利度对旅行满意度的影响
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10622-9
Jonas De Vos, Daniel Oviedo, Alireza Ermagun, Ahmed El-Geneidy

Many studies have examined the determinants of travel satisfaction. However, how the perceived ability to travel, i.e., ease of travel (EoT), influences travel satisfaction has not been analysed in a comprehensive way. In this study, we will analyse how EoT, which is comprised of travel motivation, travel skills, travel options and travel quality, impacts satisfaction with travel to campus of 2593 students and staff members of University College London (UCL). One-way ANOVAs show that respondents with high levels of EoT are more satisfied with their trips to campus compared to those with lower EoT levels. Based on linear regressions (per mode and all modes combined), we found that all EoT elements seem to positively affect travel satisfaction, even after controlling for socio-demographics and trip characteristics. This indicates that EoT may be regarded as an important predictor of travel satisfaction. Apart from EoT, also age, mode choice, weather conditions and levels of crowding and congestion were found to significantly impact travel satisfaction. Somewhat surprisingly, effects of travelling alone, trip duration, and travel disabilities on travel satisfaction – which were often found in existing studies – were weak, suggesting that these effects may be partly explained/moderated by variations in EoT elements. In order to make public transport and active travel trips more satisfying, we recommend policy makers to focus on (1) improving the quality of public transport services and active travel infrastructure, and (2) helping people to improve their skills required to easily walk, cycle or use public transport.

许多研究调查了旅行满意度的决定因素。然而,旅游感知能力,即旅游便利度(EoT)对旅游满意度的影响并没有得到全面的分析。在本研究中,我们将分析由旅游动机、旅游技能、旅游选择和旅游质量组成的EoT如何影响伦敦大学学院(UCL) 2593名学生和员工的校园旅游满意度。单因素方差分析显示,与EoT水平较低的受访者相比,EoT水平高的受访者对自己的校园旅行更满意。基于线性回归(每个模式和所有模式组合),我们发现,即使在控制了社会人口统计学和旅行特征之后,所有EoT元素似乎都对旅行满意度产生了积极影响。这表明EoT可以被视为旅游满意度的重要预测因子。除了出行时间外,年龄、出行方式选择、天气状况和拥挤程度也会显著影响出行满意度。有些令人惊讶的是,在现有研究中经常发现的独自旅行、旅行持续时间和旅行残疾对旅行满意度的影响很弱,这表明这些影响可能部分地被EoT元素的变化所解释/缓和。为了使公共交通和主动出行出行更令人满意,我们建议政策制定者将重点放在(1)提高公共交通服务和主动出行基础设施的质量;(2)帮助人们提高步行、骑自行车或使用公共交通所需的技能。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring variabilities of multi-week activity-travel patterns: a deep embedded clustering approach 探索多周活动-旅行模式的可变性:一种深度嵌入聚类方法
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10619-4
Xiao Fu, Zhoujian Yao, Yi Zhang, Zhiyuan Liu

A good understanding of activity-travel pattern (ATP) variabilities in transit networks can help government or transit operators improve the accuracy of travel demand forecasts and adjust transport supply. Previous studies on ATP variabilities are often limited to a short period and cannot comprehensively reflect the interpersonal and intrapersonal variabilities. In addition, the traditional clustering methods lack sufficient learning ability for high-dimensional feature space, and clustering variables are simple aggregated indicators. In this study, we propose an ATP inference algorithm that reconstructs multi-week individuals’ discrete trips into an ATP, and the ATP is modeled as stochastic process. Various indicators regarding the standard deviation (SD) of travel time, the SD of number of trips, and the entropy of ATPs are applied, and the entropy rate of ATPs is explicitly considered to take account of the order of activity/travel choices. The intrapersonal variability of ATPs is obtained through these indicators. The interpersonal variability of ATPs is investigated by dividing people into groups based on their ATPs through a deep embedded clustering approach, which refers to a deep neural network formed by integrating the stacked denoising autoencoder with the basic clustering algorithm. The proposed deep embedded clustering is tested using massive smart card data collected from the metro system in Nanjing, China. Comparative experiments validated that the variabilities of multi-week ATPs investigated by the deep embedded clustering approach can help realize a more accurate ATP prediction.

对交通网络中活动-出行模式(ATP)变化的良好理解可以帮助政府或交通运营商提高出行需求预测的准确性,并调整交通供应。以往对ATP变异性的研究往往局限于较短的时间,不能全面反映人际和个人的变异性。此外,传统聚类方法对高维特征空间缺乏足够的学习能力,聚类变量是简单的聚合指标。在本研究中,我们提出了一种ATP推理算法,该算法将多个星期的个体离散旅行重建为ATP,并将ATP建模为随机过程。应用了出行时间标准差(SD)、出行次数标准差(SD)和atp熵等各种指标,并明确考虑了atp熵率,以考虑活动/出行选择的顺序。atp的个人变异性是通过这些指标得到的。该方法采用深度嵌入聚类方法,将叠置去噪自编码器与基本聚类算法相结合而形成的深度神经网络,并根据人们的atp进行分组,研究atp的人际变异性。采用从南京地铁系统收集的大量智能卡数据对所提出的深度嵌入式聚类进行了测试。对比实验验证了深度嵌入聚类方法研究多周ATP的可变性有助于实现更准确的ATP预测。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding shared e-scooters from a civic stakeholder perspective 从公民利益相关者的角度理解共享电动滑板车
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10621-w
Yuting Zhang, John D. Nelson, Corinne Mulley, Jennifer Kent

The popularity of e-scooters has introduced both new challenges and opportunities for urban mobility. This paper explores shared e-scooters’ development and regulation internationally through a civic (non-profit-oriented) stakeholder lens. Nine international expert interviews were conducted spanning different types of organisations. Data were analysed using NVivo software. A stakeholder framework was used to identify and examine the needs of stakeholder groups, to aid understanding of behaviours, conflicts, and collaborations within the shared e-scooter ecosystem. The findings suggest that successful partnerships in the e-scooter sector require proactive government leadership, a competitive yet sustainable operator environment, and technological advancements. Clear responsibility distribution in regulation among government bodies and addressing public safety concerns are crucial. This paper also details the interests and interactions among typical stakeholders in a shared e-scooter scheme. By presenting diverse perspectives and experiences from different regions, this paper provides comprehensive insights into the current status and potential future developments of shared e-scooters. The findings offer an evidence base for proposing recommendations to engage stakeholders effectively and foster positive outcomes for shared e-scooter schemes.

电动滑板车的普及给城市交通带来了新的挑战和机遇。本文从公民(非营利性)利益相关者的角度探讨了共享电动滑板车的国际发展和监管。在不同类型的组织中进行了九次国际专家访谈。数据分析采用NVivo软件。使用利益相关者框架来识别和检查利益相关者群体的需求,以帮助理解共享电动滑板车生态系统中的行为、冲突和合作。研究结果表明,电动滑板车领域的成功合作需要积极的政府领导、有竞争力但可持续的运营环境以及技术进步。明确政府机构之间的监管责任分配和解决公共安全问题至关重要。本文还详细介绍了共享电动滑板车方案中典型利益相关者之间的利益和互动。本文通过不同地区的不同视角和经验,对共享电动滑板车的现状和潜在的未来发展提供了全面的见解。研究结果为提出建议提供了证据基础,以有效地吸引利益相关者,并促进共享电动滑板车计划的积极成果。
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引用次数: 0
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