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Who travels more and longer in Switzerland? Insights into mode choice, daily travel time, and trip frequency from GPS-based data 谁在瑞士旅行的时间更长?从基于gps的数据中了解模式选择,每日旅行时间和旅行频率
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10687-6
Stefan S. Ivanovic, Milos Balac
Understanding the relationship between socio-economic factors and travel behavior is crucial for developing sustainable and inclusive transportation policies. This study analyzes mode choice, daily trip frequency, and daily travel time in Switzerland using high-resolution GPS data from the TimeUse+ project, which provides detailed mobility records from over 1,000 individuals. Unlike traditional survey-based studies, GPS tracking offers more precise insights into daily mobility patterns by reducing recall bias and capturing short trips often omitted in self-reported data. Our analysis reveals clear differences between weekday and weekend travel: On weekdays, socio-demographic variables (such as gender and age) together with transport supply variables (such as car ownership and public transport subscriptions) significantly shape mobility while on weekends, these effects largely weaken, and lifestyle-driven choices dominate. Notably, adults aged 66 + are the most mobile group on weekdays in terms of trip frequency, while individuals aged 56–65 take fewer but longer trips. Women make fewer trips overall, likely due to higher load of household-related responsibilities. Households with children reduce travel time but not trip frequency highlighting the complex effects of caregiving roles. Car access remains the strongest determinant of mode choice, with lower-income car owners showing higher car dependency than higher-income ones. Public transport subscriptions—especially monthly passes—strongly increase weekday transit use. On weekends, older adults and women show greater openness to sustainable modes like walking and cycling, indicating untapped potential for non-car mobility.
了解社会经济因素与出行行为之间的关系对于制定可持续和包容性的交通政策至关重要。这项研究利用来自TimeUse+项目的高分辨率GPS数据分析了瑞士的模式选择、每日出行频率和每日出行时间,该项目提供了1000多人的详细出行记录。与传统的基于调查的研究不同,GPS追踪通过减少回忆偏差和捕捉经常在自我报告数据中遗漏的短途旅行,为日常出行模式提供了更精确的见解。我们的分析揭示了工作日和周末出行之间的明显差异:在工作日,社会人口变量(如性别和年龄)以及交通供应变量(如汽车拥有量和公共交通订阅)显著地影响着流动性,而在周末,这些影响在很大程度上减弱,生活方式驱动的选择占主导地位。值得注意的是,66岁以上的成年人是工作日出行频率最高的群体,而56-65岁的人出行次数较少,但出行时间更长。总的来说,女性出行的次数更少,可能是因为她们承担了更多与家庭有关的责任。有孩子的家庭减少了出行时间,但没有减少出行频率,这凸显了照顾角色的复杂影响。汽车出行仍然是出行方式选择的最重要决定因素,低收入车主对汽车的依赖程度高于高收入车主。公共交通订阅——尤其是月票——极大地增加了工作日的交通使用量。在周末,老年人和女性对步行和骑自行车等可持续模式表现出更大的开放态度,这表明非汽车出行的潜力尚未开发。
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引用次数: 0
Shifts in shopping trips and multicategory interactions post COVID-19 新冠肺炎后购物行程和多品类互动的变化
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10686-7
Amit Kumar, Vishrut S. Landge, Sumeet Jaiswal
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引用次数: 0
Data-driven predictive modelling of stop-level public transit patterns 站级公共交通模式的数据驱动预测模型
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10689-4
Oluwaleke Yusuf, Adil Rasheed, Frank Lindseth
There is a growing emphasis in urban centres on promoting sustainable mobility modes, particularly public transit systems. This highlights the critical need for predictive modelling frameworks that capture the local spatiotemporal dynamics of public transit to inform policy and planning decisions. This study develops a horizon-agnostic modelling framework using automated passenger count (APC) data from a public bus transit system, integrating machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms to forecast stop-level passenger counts and operational factors. We assess APC data quality, implement a feature-space optimisation pipeline to enhance algorithm-data fit, and use SHAP values to analyse feature attributions for model interpretability. Our analyses reveal a weak but asymmetric relationship between boarding and alighting passenger counts. Tree-based ML algorithms outperform DL algorithms due to the high proportion of categorical features, with Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) achieving the best performance. Furthermore, incorporating non-mobility data (weather, terrain, demographics, land use) improved modelling of passenger dynamics. However, stop-level modelling lacks inductive biases on the spatial structure of transit networks. The proposed framework provides policymakers and planners with data-driven tools to understand the local spatiotemporal dynamics of public transit under external influences, supporting resource allocation for stop placement, line routing, and bus scheduling. By predicting outcomes based on input feature combinations rather than specific temporal horizons, the framework enables scenario analysis for planning applications and can be embedded in digital twins and mobility dashboards to support informed commuting decisions by urban residents.
城市中心越来越强调促进可持续的移动方式,特别是公共交通系统。这凸显了对预测建模框架的迫切需求,这些框架能够捕捉当地公共交通的时空动态,为政策和规划决策提供信息。本研究利用公共公交系统的自动乘客计数(APC)数据,集成机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)算法,开发了一个水平不可知的建模框架,以预测站级乘客计数和运营因素。我们评估了APC数据质量,实现了一个特征空间优化管道来增强算法与数据的拟合,并使用SHAP值来分析模型可解释性的特征属性。我们的分析揭示了登机和下车乘客数量之间微弱但不对称的关系。基于树的机器学习算法由于分类特征的高比例而优于深度学习算法,其中极限梯度增强(Extreme Gradient Boosting, XGBoost)达到了最佳性能。此外,结合非流动性数据(天气、地形、人口统计、土地使用)改进了乘客动态建模。然而,站级模型缺乏对交通网络空间结构的归纳偏差。该框架为政策制定者和规划者提供了数据驱动的工具,以了解外部影响下当地公共交通的时空动态,支持站点设置、线路路由和公交调度的资源分配。通过基于输入特征组合而不是特定的时间范围预测结果,该框架可以为规划应用程序提供场景分析,并可以嵌入到数字孪生和移动仪表板中,以支持城市居民明智的通勤决策。
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引用次数: 0
Visualizing complex mobility patterns using backbone networks 利用骨干网络可视化复杂的移动模式
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10694-7
Jinpeng Wang, Yujie Hu
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating battery electric vehicle policies: a benefit-cost analysis framework 评估纯电动汽车政策:一个收益成本分析框架
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10690-x
V. Anilan, Akshay Vij, Jeff Connor, Helen Barrie, Ali Ardeshiri
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引用次数: 0
How ride-hailing services influenced vehicle use and ownership across the Boston metropolitan region 叫车服务如何影响波士顿大都会地区的车辆使用和所有权
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10688-5
Michael A. N. Montilla, Matthew Hui, Daniel G. Chatman
A number of research studies have found that ride-hailing services like Uber and Lyft have increased the total amount of driving within metropolitan areas. In this study, we examined how the rollout of Uber across the Boston region affected auto use and ownership by analyzing vehicle level data, in contrast to previous research which has relied mostly on aggregate travel measures, questionnaires, or stated-preference surveys. Using vehicle registration and inspection data including odometer readings, we tracked changes to the daily vehicle miles traveled (VMT) of 1.7 million vehicles in the Boston region over five years as Uber launched there. We applied fixed-effects panel regression methods controlling for a number of factors, using a panel of vehicles as well as a separate panel of Census tracts to enable analysis of auto ownership per capita and vehicle turnover. Our methods account for secular increases in VMT that occurred during Uber’s launch, and for changes occurring in both VMT and vehicle ownership over time. In contrast to studies finding a strong association between ride-hailing and increased VMT, we found that Uber availability was not statistically related to changes in VMT or auto ownership in the cities of Boston and Cambridge, and outside those core cities was related to a minor 0.6 percent VMT increase, and to very slightly lower rates of vehicle turnover and ownership. The much smaller effects we find using these improved data and methods suggest a need for continued evaluation of the impacts of ride-hailing companies on U.S. cities.
许多研究发现,像优步和Lyft这样的叫车服务增加了大都市地区的驾驶总量。在这项研究中,我们通过分析车辆级别数据,研究了优步在波士顿地区的推出对汽车使用和所有权的影响,与之前主要依赖于汇总出行措施、问卷调查或陈述偏好调查的研究形成了对比。我们利用包括里程表读数在内的车辆登记和检查数据,追踪了优步在波士顿地区推出服务以来的五年里,170万辆汽车的每日行驶里程(VMT)的变化。我们采用固定效应面板回归方法控制了许多因素,使用车辆面板以及人口普查区的单独面板来分析人均汽车拥有量和车辆周转率。我们的方法考虑了Uber推出期间行驶里程的长期增长,以及行驶里程和车辆拥有量随时间的变化。与发现叫车服务与车辆行驶里程增加之间存在强烈关联的研究相反,我们发现,在波士顿和剑桥等城市,Uber的可用性与车辆行驶里程或汽车拥有率的变化在统计上没有关系,而在这些核心城市之外,Uber的可用性与车辆行驶里程的小幅增长0.6%有关,车辆周转率和拥有率也略有下降。使用这些改进的数据和方法,我们发现的影响要小得多,这表明有必要继续评估网约车公司对美国城市的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating quality of service for bicyclists on rural highways: insights from a comprehensive user survey and mixed-logit analysis 评估农村高速公路上骑自行车者的服务质量:来自综合用户调查和混合logit分析的见解
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10620-x
Ana Tsui Moreno, Yangqian Cai, Santiago Linares-Ramirez, Scott S. Washburn, Ahmed Al-Kaisy, Jorge Barrios, Bastian Schroeder

Cycling on rural highways presents comfort and safety concerns due to the large speed differentials between bicyclists and automobiles. A shortcoming of the current operational methods for rural highways is the limited consideration of quality of service for non-motorized users. This research aims to determine which variables are most relevant to bicyclists cycling (or not) on rural highways and their operational cycling preferences. An online survey collected 982 responses from individuals who cycle on rural highways in the United States. Eight choice tasks were presented with six factors: pavement quality, automobile traffic level, posted speed limit, roadside design, context class, and grade. These factors were obtained from a preliminary survey targeting highway analysis and design practitioners. The results of a mixed-logit model analysis suggest that the presence of a shoulder and its width are the most critical factors to a cyclist’s perceived quality of service on a rural highway. We found that the difference between rural-town and suburban contexts was minor compared to rural contexts. The results demonstrate how cyclist types influence their overall willingness to cycle and their preferences for scenario-specific attributes. This opens the discussion to include different sets of thresholds to assess service levels as a function of cyclist type, following the level of traffic stress approach, and separate perception models by cyclist type. These results should inform recommendations for future research on improving existing evaluations related to bicycling on rural highways.

在农村高速公路上骑自行车,由于自行车和汽车之间的速度差异很大,因此存在舒适性和安全性问题。目前农村公路运营方法的一个缺点是对非机动用户的服务质量考虑有限。本研究旨在确定哪些变量与骑自行车的人在农村高速公路上骑(或不骑)和他们的骑行偏好最相关。一项在线调查收集了982名在美国农村公路上骑车的人的回复。8个选择任务由6个因素组成:路面质量、汽车交通水平、张贴限速、路边设计、环境类别和等级。这些因素是从一项针对公路分析和设计从业人员的初步调查中获得的。混合logit模型分析的结果表明,肩的存在及其宽度是骑自行车者在农村高速公路上感知服务质量的最关键因素。我们发现,与农村环境相比,农村-城镇和郊区环境之间的差异很小。研究结果表明,骑自行车的类型如何影响他们的整体骑行意愿和他们对特定场景属性的偏好。这开启了讨论,包括不同的阈值集来评估服务水平作为骑自行车者类型的函数,遵循交通压力水平方法,并根据骑自行车者类型分离感知模型。这些结果应为今后研究改进有关在农村公路上骑自行车的现有评价提供建议。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling weekly representative activity patterns of population groups: a bioinspired multiple sequence alignment approach 人口群体的每周代表性活动模式建模:一种生物启发的多序列比对方法
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10618-5
Md. Rifat Hossain Bhuiyan, Muhammad Ahsanul Habib

This research introduces a multi-module framework to derive weekly representative travel patterns from single-day travel diaries. The methodology first uses hierarchical clustering to group samples with similar activity patterns, followed by progressive multiple sequence alignment to construct day-level representative patterns. These day-level patterns are then merged based on their similarity to create week-level representative activity patterns, ultimately producing archetypal weekly pseudo-diaries. The proposed approach accounts for sequential patterns, activity transitions, and cross-day similarities, providing deeper insights into travel behavior beyond traditional statistical methods. Analyzing weekly activity patterns from this longitudinal data revealed significant insights into travel behavior, including distinct work and non-work patterns across the week. For working groups, shorter work durations on Fridays were observed, and the weekly work duration for teleworkers was found to be lower than that of workplace workers. Although the detailed exploration of weekly activity and time-use patterns provides valuable policy insights, this research primarily focuses on advancing activity-based travel demand modeling by introducing a mathematically robust approach to capturing sequential and temporal activity patterns.

本研究引入多模组架构,从单日旅行日记中推导出每周代表性的旅行模式。该方法首先使用分层聚类对具有相似活动模式的样本进行分组,然后使用渐进的多序列比对来构建日级别的代表性模式。然后,这些日级别的模式根据它们的相似性被合并,以创建周级别的代表性活动模式,最终产生原型的每周伪日记。所提出的方法考虑了顺序模式、活动转换和跨日相似性,提供了超越传统统计方法的更深入的旅行行为洞察。从这些纵向数据中分析每周活动模式,揭示了对旅行行为的重要见解,包括一周内不同的工作和非工作模式。对于工作群体来说,周五的工作时间更短,而且远程工作者的每周工作时间也低于职场工作者。尽管对每周活动和时间使用模式的详细探索提供了有价值的政策见解,但本研究主要侧重于通过引入一种数学上稳健的方法来捕获顺序和时间活动模式,从而推进基于活动的旅行需求建模。
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引用次数: 0
What influences cycling infrastructure preferences? A stated-preference survey 是什么影响了人们对骑行基础设施的偏好?国家偏好调查
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10624-7
Lucas Meyer de Freitas, Kay W. Axhausen

We examine the difference in preferences among different cyclist groups, being the first to examine differences in cycling infrastructure preferences among s-pedelec, e-bike and conventional bike riders. We also examine how the cycling frequency of individuals shapes these preferences. To do so we develop a stated-preference choice experiment varying cycling infrastructure and car traffic features impacting cycling for both main and neighborhood streets. We find that while the sign of the preferences is the same for all cyclist types and is consistent with previous findings from the literature on cycling infrastructure preferences, e-bikers and especially s-pedelec riders do have a lower willingness to pay (WTP) for improvements of cycling infrastructure and are more comfortable in sharing the street space with cars. E-bikers do have similar preferences as conventional cyclists for the most important safety-related elements, i.e. for cycling paths instead of cycling lanes on main streets and “cycling-street” designation of neighborhood streets. For these same features, the WTP decreases with cycling frequency, less frequent cyclists valuing such elements more. At the same time, those who cycle less have a lower WTP for car traffic related features.

我们研究了不同骑行人群偏好的差异,首次研究了s-pedelec、电动自行车和传统自行车骑行者在骑行基础设施偏好上的差异。我们还研究了个人的骑行频率是如何影响这些偏好的。为此,我们开发了一个状态偏好选择实验,改变了影响主要街道和社区街道骑行的自行车基础设施和汽车交通特征。我们发现,尽管所有骑自行车的人的偏好都是相同的,并且与之前关于自行车基础设施偏好的文献研究结果一致,但骑电动自行车的人,尤其是s-pedelec骑自行车的人,确实对改善自行车基础设施的支付意愿(WTP)较低,并且更愿意与汽车共享街道空间。在最重要的安全相关元素上,电动自行车骑行者确实与传统自行车骑行者有着相似的偏好,例如,在主要街道上选择自行车道而不是自行车道,以及在社区街道上指定“自行车街”。对于这些相同的特征,WTP随着骑行频率的增加而降低,较少骑行的人更重视这些元素。与此同时,骑车较少的人对于汽车交通相关特征的WTP较低。
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引用次数: 0
User acceptance of autonomous combined transport systems in Germany: a cross-conceptual view 德国用户对自主联合运输系统的接受度:一个跨概念的观点
IF 4.3 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11116-025-10625-6
Johannes Staritz, Susanne Gillig, Marvin Auf der Landwehr, Hanno Friedrich, André Ludwig, Christoph von Viebahn

The concept of autonomous combined transport utilizes autonomous vehicles for simultaneous passenger and goods transportation and is associated with a reduction in road traffic through bundling effects and economies of scale. Yet, its potential benefits particularly hinge on penetration and utilization rates. To date, few studies have explored user acceptance of systems that integrate passenger and freight flows. In this context, a research gap that is particularly evident pertains to the user acceptance of different concepts within autonomous combined transport. Extending the unified theory of acceptance and use of technology (UTAUT2), this paper examines the effects of six psychological constructs on the behavioral intention to use an autonomous combined transport system. Surveying 1040 respondents from Germany, two distinct combined transport concepts—scheduled and on-demand—were examined to identify key acceptance factors and operational peculiarities. Results from structural equation modelling show that the acceptance of autonomous combined transport systems depends on both, the operational concept as well as the purpose of use, with socio-demographic characteristics featuring different indirect effects per concept. Moreover, we find that performance expectancy, effort expectancy, price value, personal attitude, and trust are significant predictors of behavioral intention across both concepts, while the average order frequency of a potential user has a negative indirect impact on behavioral intention. Results show that an extended UTAUT2 model can conceptualize factors influencing autonomous combined transport acceptance, emphasizing the importance of investigating a user’s behavioral intention based on the specific operational concept.

自动联运的概念是利用自动驾驶车辆同时进行客运和货物运输,并通过捆绑效应和规模经济减少道路交通。然而,它的潜在效益尤其取决于渗透率和利用率。迄今为止,很少有研究探讨用户对整合客货流的系统的接受程度。在这种情况下,一个特别明显的研究差距涉及到用户对自主联合运输中不同概念的接受程度。本文扩展了技术接受与使用统一理论(UTAUT2),研究了六种心理构形对使用自主联合运输系统行为意向的影响。调查了来自德国的1040名受访者,研究了两种不同的联合运输概念——定期运输和按需运输——以确定关键的接受因素和操作特点。结构方程模型的结果表明,自主联运系统的接受程度取决于运营概念和使用目的,每个概念的社会人口特征具有不同的间接影响。此外,我们发现绩效期望、努力期望、价格价值、个人态度和信任在两个概念中都是行为意图的显著预测因子,而潜在用户的平均订购频率对行为意图具有负向的间接影响。结果表明,扩展的UTAUT2模型可以概念化影响自主联运接受度的因素,强调了基于具体操作概念调查用户行为意图的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation
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