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IMPLEMENTATION OF MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES FOR PROGNOSTICS FOR RAILWAY WHEEL FLANGE WEAR 机器学习技术在铁路轮缘磨损预测中的应用
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2128
C. Fourie, J. D. Plessis
Machine learning has become an immensely important technique for automatically extracting information from large data sets. By doing so, it has become a valuable tool in various industries. In this investigation, the use of machine learning techniques for the production of railway wheel prognostics was investigated. Metrorail’s railway wheel wear data was used as a case study for this investigation. The goal was to demonstrate how machine learning can used on the data generated by Metrorail’s routine operations. Three machine learning models were implemented: logistic regression, artificial neural networks, and random forest. The investigation showed that all three models provided prognoses with an accuracy of over 90 per cent, and had an area under curve (AUC) measurement exceeding 0.8. Random forest was the best performing model, with an AUC measurement of 0.897 and an accuracy of 93.5 per cent.
机器学习已经成为从大型数据集中自动提取信息的一种非常重要的技术。通过这样做,它已成为各行各业的宝贵工具。在这项调查中,研究了机器学习技术在铁路车轮预测生产中的应用。本文以地铁轮毂磨损数据为研究对象。目的是演示如何将机器学习用于地铁日常运营产生的数据。实现了三种机器学习模型:逻辑回归、人工神经网络和随机森林。调查表明,所有三种模型提供的预测精度超过90%,曲线下面积(AUC)测量超过0.8。随机森林是表现最好的模型,AUC测量值为0.897,准确率为93.5%。
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引用次数: 0
A FUZZY EVENT TREE METHODOLOGY MODIFIED TO SELECT AND EVALUATE SUPPLIERS 一种改进的模糊事件树方法用于供应商的选择和评价
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2027
Pinar Mizrak Ozfirat
The supplier selection problem be comes more urgent as competition in the market increases. Quality, cost, and the timely delivery of a product mostly depends on the manufacturer’s suppliers and the materials supplied. Therefore manufacturers are very elaborate in selecting their suppliers and work hard to develop supplier selection strategies. In this study, event tree analysis (ETA) is used to solve a manufacturing firm’s supplier selection problem. ETA is a method that is traditionally used for risk analysis problems, combining the probabilities of risk occurrences subject to the necessary precautions. In this study, this structure is used to select and evaluate suppliers. An event tree is developed to analyse each possible supplier, with branching being used according to the supplier selection criteria. The probability of each branch is set as the performance value of the supplier according to the selection criteria. Finally, the supplier is evaluated by combining all performance values on an event tree basis. Fuzzy logic is also incorporated into the event tree methodology to decrease human error and the effect of uncertainty. Fuzzy triangular numbers are used to denote the performance values of suppliers, and fuzzy ranking is used to distinguish the suppliers into classes. The proposed methodology is applied to nine possible suppliers of a specific material. The results reveal that two of the suppliers dominate all the others in the fuzzy ranking.
随着市场竞争的加剧,供应商选择问题变得更加紧迫。产品的质量、成本和及时交付主要取决于制造商的供应商和所提供的材料。因此,制造商在选择供应商时非常谨慎,并努力制定供应商选择策略。在本研究中,事件树分析(ETA)被用来解决制造企业的供应商选择问题。ETA是一种传统上用于风险分析问题的方法,将风险发生的概率与必要的预防措施相结合。在本研究中,该结构用于选择和评估供应商。开发了一个事件树来分析每个可能的供应商,并根据供应商选择标准使用分支。根据选择标准,将每个分支的概率设置为供应商的绩效值。最后,通过在事件树基础上组合所有性能值来评估供应商。模糊逻辑也被纳入到事件树方法中,以减少人为错误和不确定性的影响。模糊三角数用于表示供应商的绩效值,模糊排序用于将供应商分类。拟议的方法适用于某一特定材料的九个可能供应商。结果表明,在模糊排序中,两个供应商在所有其他供应商中占主导地位。
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引用次数: 3
PRIORITISING THE PRACTICES THAT INFLUENCE THE OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE OF MANUFACTURING ORGANISATIONS USING HYBRID AHP-TOPSIS ANALYSIS 使用混合AHP-TOPSIS分析对影响制造组织运营绩效的实践进行优先排序
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2199
Asif Arshad, Asif Mahmood, A. Salam
Organisations cannot put their efforts equally into all the best practices that impact operational performance, due to their limited resources, their ineffective usage, government policies, and inadequate strategic planning. In this contribution, we aim to identify and prioritise the practices with the most impact on operational performance. Twelve practices that steer operational performance were identified through a literature survey. Second, the identified practices were prioritised and evaluated, based on improving operational performance by using a hybrid approach. The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and the technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method were used such that AHP was applied to determine the relative weights of alternatives, and then the final ranking was obtained by conducting a TOPSIS analysis. Empirical data were collected from eight experts and 417 users at operational-level. The results suggest that lean management, total quality management, six sigma, and supply chain management practices rank 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th respectively, signifying the practices with the most influence and making the greatest contribution. This strategic understanding will help researchers and practitioners to frame competitive strategies in order to pay more attention to those practices that have a greater influence on operational performance.
由于资源有限、使用效率低下、政府政策和战略规划不足,组织无法平等地将精力投入到影响运营绩效的所有最佳实践中。在这一贡献中,我们的目标是确定并优先考虑对运营绩效影响最大的做法。通过文献调查,确定了12种指导运营绩效的做法。其次,在使用混合方法提高运营绩效的基础上,对已确定的做法进行了优先排序和评估。采用层次分析法(AHP)和TOPSIS排序法(TOPSIS法)确定备选方案的相对权重,然后通过TOPSIS分析获得最终排名。从8名专家和417名业务用户那里收集了经验数据。结果表明,精益管理、全面质量管理、六西格玛和供应链管理实践分别排名第一、第二、第三和第四,表明这些实践影响最大、贡献最大。这种战略理解将有助于研究人员和从业者制定竞争战略,以便更多地关注那些对运营绩效有更大影响的实践。
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引用次数: 6
UNLOCKING OPPORTUNITIES IN MANUFACTURING OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS: A PROPOSED FRAMEWORK 释放制造运营管理系统的机会:一个拟议的框架
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2210
Cornelius Van der Walt, G. Tosen, K. Govender
Although manufacturing operations management (MOM) could play an important role in the Fourth Industrial Revolution by making manufacturers more competitive, MOM projects are complex and expensive, and their implementation challenging. The aim of this qualitative research was to establish the engagement requisites to ensure beneficial application of MOM technology. Participants in the study included MOM suppliers and clients with 178-year collective experience. From a thematic analysis, it became evident that a sales approach of selling business benefits, as opposed to technology features, is more suitable for fully exploiting the opportunities and benefits of MOM technology. The communication gap between suppliers and clients also emerged as a probable reason for the failure to embrace MOM technology. One way to address this gap is to focus consciously on enhancing empathy between the role-players. A multi-level engagement structure set up on the client’s side could enhance the communication between suppliers and clients, and assist with the consensus buying phenomenon that is manifesting in the contemporary complex sales environment. It became apparent that a framework to engage in the analysis of MOM system opportunities will provide a holistic, integrated, and systemic solution to realising the maximum benefits of MOM technology.
尽管制造运营管理(MOM)可以在第四次工业革命中发挥重要作用,使制造商更具竞争力,但MOM项目既复杂又昂贵,实施起来也充满挑战。这项定性研究的目的是建立参与的必要条件,以确保MOM技术的有益应用。该研究的参与者包括拥有178年共同经验的MOM供应商和客户。从专题分析来看,很明显,销售业务利益的销售方法,而不是技术特性,更适合充分利用MOM技术的机会和好处。供应商和客户之间的沟通差距也可能是未能接受MOM技术的一个原因。解决这一差距的一种方法是有意识地专注于增强角色扮演者之间的同理心。在客户端建立多层次的参与结构可以加强供应商和客户之间的沟通,并有助于在当代复杂的销售环境中体现的共识购买现象。很明显,参与MOM系统机会分析的框架将提供一个整体的、集成的和系统的解决方案,以实现MOM技术的最大效益。
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引用次数: 0
MODULARISATION AS A COMPETITIVE CRITERION IN INDUSTRIES MANUFACTURING MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT IN BRAZIL 模块化是巴西工业制造机械和设备的竞争标准
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2207
F. Nunes, José Antônio Valle Antunes Junior, André Dupont, Gabriel Pires, J. D. Sordi, D. M. Quevedo
This research aimed at identifying the competitive criteria that, together with modularisation, impacted the differentiation strategy in industries manufacturing machinery and equipment in Brazil. This was survey-type research that used structural equation modelling (SEM-PLS) for data analysis. A total of 236 responses were obtained from participants in Brazilian machinery and equipment companies in the area of R&D, including directors, managers, coordinators, and supervisors. From this sample, the results show that applied modularisation positively impacted the competitive criteria related to innovation, quality, and flexibility, whereas, when applied to the delivery costs and performance criteria, it did not contribute to a competitive differential. Since it deals with a non-probabilistic sample by convenience, the present model does not represent the relationship between the constructs in a definitive way, for it concerns a model that address a sample of the machinery and equipment manufacturing industry, referring to ISIC D28, from Brazil.
本研究旨在确定竞争标准,这些标准与模块化一起影响巴西机械和设备制造业的差异化战略。这是使用结构方程建模(SEM-PLS)进行数据分析的调查型研究。巴西机械设备公司在研发领域的参与者共收到236份回复,其中包括董事、经理、协调员和主管。从这个样本中,结果表明,应用模块化对与创新、质量和灵活性相关的竞争标准产生了积极影响,而当应用于交付成本和绩效标准时,它不会产生竞争差异。由于它处理的是非概率样本,因此本模型并没有以明确的方式表示结构之间的关系,因为它涉及的是一个处理机械和设备制造业样本的模型,参考来自巴西的ISIC D28。
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引用次数: 1
USING FAILURE MODES AND EFFECTS ANALYSIS AS A PROBLEM-SOLVING GUIDELINE WHEN IMPLEMENTING SPC IN A SOUTH AFRICAN CHEMICAL MANUFACTURING COMPANY 在南非一家化工公司实施SPC时,使用失效模式和影响分析作为解决问题的指导方针
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2294
L. Appollis, Wynand A Van Dyk, S. Matope
Quality management has ceased to be an operational extra, and has become imperative to doing business in a saturated market environment with demanding clients. It is now a significant component of holistic operational management. The ultimate aim remains customer satisfaction, using the most effective techniques to ensure the most efficient and cost-effective process. Statistical process control (SPC) and statistical quality control have been widely used in quality management to enhance process performance by reducing process variation. However, SPC can only be effective if implemented with a structured problem-solving tool. The diagnostic ability of statistics, coupled with a failure modes and effect analysis (FMEA) as the problem-solving methodology during an out-of-control action plan, creates an environment conducive to improving processes and empowering employees. The failure modes and effect analysis was used to identify and eliminate sources of variation, which led to a reduction in process variation by 63 per cent and a decrease in defects by 160 961 per million opportunities.
质量管理已经不再是一个额外的操作,并且已经成为在一个饱和的市场环境中与苛刻的客户做生意的必要条件。它现在是整体业务管理的一个重要组成部分。最终的目标是客户满意,使用最有效的技术,以确保最有效和成本效益的过程。统计过程控制(SPC)和统计质量控制已广泛应用于质量管理中,通过减少过程变化来提高过程性能。然而,SPC只有在使用结构化问题解决工具的情况下才能有效。统计数据的诊断能力,加上失效模式和效果分析(FMEA)作为失控行动计划期间解决问题的方法,创造了一个有利于改进流程和赋予员工权力的环境。失效模式和影响分析被用来识别和消除变化的来源,这导致过程变化减少了63%,缺陷减少了160 961 / 100万个机会。
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引用次数: 1
12 STUDY ON FACTORS AFFECTING THE PERFORMANCE OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS IN THE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO 12 .影响刚果民主共和国建设项目绩效的因素研究
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/30-4-2193
B. F. Bitamba, S. An
The Congolese construction industry faces many difficulties in dealing with the different factors that affect the proper performance of the construction process. Several key indicators (factors) that influence the construction performance in the Congo were selected for study and discussion. This study aimed to identify and evaluate the most significant key performance indicators that affect construction projects in the Congo, and to classify them using the relative importance index (RII). The most important factors affecting Congolese construction projects were design, client management, contractor productivity, scheduling, and the contract. The experience and skill of the design team were found to affect the design-related factors, whereas delayed payments and delivery of the construction site to the contractor were found to be the most important factors affecting client/owner-related factors. Client and management factors shared an equal average significant value of 0.68, while the productivity scheduling and contract related factors for the contractor shared an equal average value of 0.67. Finally, this work makes some recommendations to the Congolese construction industry in order to ensure proper project performance and successful projects.
刚果建筑业在处理影响施工过程正常进行的各种因素方面面临许多困难。选择影响刚果建设绩效的几个关键指标(因素)进行研究和讨论。本研究旨在确定和评估影响刚果建设项目的最重要的关键绩效指标,并使用相对重要性指数(RII)对其进行分类。影响刚果建筑项目的最重要因素是设计、客户管理、承包商生产力、进度安排和合同。设计团队的经验和技能影响设计相关因素,而延迟付款和向承包商交付施工场地是影响客户/业主相关因素的最重要因素。客户和管理因素的平均显著值为0.68,而承包商的生产力调度和合同相关因素的平均显著值为0.67。最后,本工作对刚果建筑业提出了一些建议,以确保适当的项目绩效和成功的项目。
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引用次数: 4
IMPLEMENTATION FRAMEWORK FOR AUTOMOTIVE TECHNOLOGY: HOW TO INTRODUCE HYBRID AND ELECTRIC VEHICLES INTO AUTOMOTIVE PRODUCTION LINES 汽车技术的实施框架:如何将混合动力汽车和电动汽车引入汽车生产线
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2282
Liebrecht Otto, T. D. V. Schalkwyk, C. Schutte
In 2016 Mercedes-Benz SA introduced hybrid vehicles into their East London factory, pioneering high-voltage automotive manufacturing in the country. When the implementation decision was made, the factory was given less than a year to introduce this potentially dangerous new technology at a level that met stringent international safety and quality standards, against a backdrop of a lack of applicable local legislation. This study creates a framework whereby future high-voltage automotive projects can be introduced safely, effectively, and efficiently. The implementation framework for automotive technology (IFAT) was validated against the data of Mercedes-Benz’s C350e Plug-in Hybrid Project, and aims to support the local automotive industry in its preparations for e-mobility.
2016年,梅赛德斯-奔驰公司将混合动力汽车引入其东伦敦工厂,开创了该国高压汽车制造业的先河。在做出实施决定时,在缺乏适用的地方立法的背景下,工厂有不到一年的时间来引入这种潜在危险的新技术,其水平符合严格的国际安全和质量标准。这项研究创造了一个框架,使未来的高压汽车项目能够安全、有效和高效地引入。汽车技术实施框架(IFAT)根据梅赛德斯-奔驰C350e插电式混合动力项目的数据进行了验证,旨在支持当地汽车行业为电子出行做准备。
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引用次数: 1
INNOVATION FOR INCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT: MAPPING AND AUDITING THE USE OF ICTS IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN PRIMARY EDUCATION SYSTEM 创新促进包容性发展:对南非初等教育系统中信息通信技术的使用情况进行绘图和审计
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2119
P. Hove, S. Grobbelaar
Inclusive education aims to identify and minimise barriers to learning and maximise learner participation in the education system. With a focus on the use of information and communication technologies in the South African primary education system, this study aims 1) to create a framework with which to evaluate the current state of ICT uptake across core functions for a school; 2) to audit the current state of innovation uptake; 3) to use the audit outcomes to identify challenges to the uptake of ICTs; and 4) to identify measures for facilitating an improved uptake of these innovations. The researchers conclude that a need exists for government to ensure consistent ICT uptake and use throughout the education system through a better implementation of standards, policies, and processes that facilitate technology uptake.
全纳教育旨在识别和减少学习障碍,最大限度地提高学习者对教育系统的参与。本研究的重点是南非小学教育系统中信息和通信技术的使用,旨在1)创建一个框架,用于评估学校核心功能中信息通信技术的现状;2)审核创新吸收的现状;3)利用审计结果确定采用ict面临的挑战;4)确定促进更好地吸收这些创新的措施。研究人员得出结论,政府需要通过更好地实施促进技术吸收的标准、政策和流程,确保整个教育系统一致地吸收和使用ICT。
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引用次数: 1
EVALUATING HEALTHCARE PERFORMANCE USING FUZZY LOGIC 使用模糊逻辑评估医疗保健绩效
IF 0.5 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.7166/31-1-2150
M. S. Khan, M. A. Mansour, S. Khadar, Z. Mallick
The basic determining elements of healthcare services are the patient’s satisfaction with the service provided by hospitals, which includes behavioural and sentimental aspects and the quality and efficiency of the hospitals themselves. Patients are sometimes very confused, and so express their views very vaguely. These imprecise responses of patients add to the complexity of evaluating quality. The involvement of multiple criteria, uncertainty, and qualitative factors significantly complicates the evaluation of the quality of a healthcare service. Fuzzy logic is a method by which indistinct or hazy responses can be taken up for quality analysis, such as the prioritisation of hospitals, departments, dimensions, etc. A pilot study was carried out in this study comprising 18 private hospitals with more than 100 beds that were selected in the twin city of Bhubaneswar and Cuttack in the state of Odisha, India. Nine quality dimensions were also selected from those used in the literature. A questionnaire survey was conducted in different departments of the hospitals using the nine dimensions. Patients’ responses on a five-point Likert scale were first analysed statistically. Then ranking the dimensions and the hospitals was carried out using fuzzy analysis. The results could be used by healthcare service providers continually to improve their organisation.
保健服务的基本决定因素是病人对医院提供的服务的满意程度,其中包括行为和情感方面以及医院本身的质量和效率。病人有时很困惑,所以表达他们的观点非常含糊。患者的这些不精确反应增加了评估质量的复杂性。多种标准、不确定性和定性因素的参与使医疗保健服务质量的评估变得非常复杂。模糊逻辑是一种方法,通过这种方法,模糊或模糊的响应可以用于质量分析,例如医院,部门,维度等的优先级。本研究在印度奥里萨邦的布巴内斯瓦尔和卡塔克双城选择了18家拥有100多张床位的私立医院进行了一项试点研究。我们还从文献中选取了9个质量维度。采用九个维度对医院不同科室进行问卷调查。首先对患者在李克特五分制量表上的反应进行统计分析。然后运用模糊分析法对各维度和医院进行排序。研究结果可用于医疗服务提供者不断改进他们的组织。
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引用次数: 3
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South African Journal of Industrial Engineering
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