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Building climate-resilient primary care: A convergent mixed-methods climate vulnerability and capacity assessment in the Cederberg subdistrict, South Africa 建设气候适应型初级保健:南非Cederberg街道气候脆弱性和能力融合混合方法评估
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2025.106106
Robert Mash , Stacey Blows , Sa'ad Lahri , Melissa McRae , Christian Lokotola , Kiran Jobanputra , Patricia Nayna Schwerdtle

Objectives

To evaluate the climate resilience of primary care facilities and services in the Cederberg subdistrict of the Western Cape, South Africa.

Study design

We conducted a convergent parallel mixed-methods study to assess the climate vulnerability and adaptive capacity of a primary care network. Quantitative facility audits and qualitative focus groups were undertaken, with subsequent integration to identify risks and generate context-specific adaptation options.

Methods

The study combined a structured audit of primary care facilities with a rapid qualitative assessment involving focus groups with health workers. Quantitative and qualitative datasets were analysed separately and then synthesised to map vulnerabilities and propose feasible adaptation measures. The subdistrict management team later used the integrated findings to prioritise adaptation actions.

Results

Across six primary care facilities, extreme heat was the most significant hazard, particularly where indoor temperatures rose above 40 °C, contributing to staff fatigue, overcrowding as community members sought refuge, and a higher risk of heat-related illness. Heat was also linked to increased drought and wildfire risk. Irregular and excessive rainfall further disrupted service delivery through flooding, road closures, delays in essential supplies, and increased waterborne and respiratory illness. Coastal facilities faced additional exposure to storm surge and sea-level rise. Environmental and operational sustainability challenges, including reliance on carbon-intensive electricity, waste-related emissions, inconsistent water quality, and limited backup water supply, amplified these climate-related risks. The assessment identified a consolidated set of risks across heat, rainfall, flooding, and sustainability domains, and generated 42 feasible adaptation options across infrastructure; governance; service delivery; workforce; energy; and water, sanitation and waste.

Conclusions

This study demonstrated that facility-level VCA assessments can successfully guide climate resilience planning in African primary care settings. The VCA process identified context-specific hazards, risks and feasible adaptation options across key domains of health system function. The approach provides an adaptable framework for other African settings seeking to strengthen primary care resilience to climate impacts. Transitioning from assessment to implementation will require local capacity to conduct VCAs independently and access to sustainable climate finance to support action.
目的评估南非西开普省Cederberg街道初级保健设施和服务的气候适应能力。研究设计我们进行了一项融合并行混合方法研究,以评估初级保健网络的气候脆弱性和适应能力。进行了定量的设施审计和定性的焦点小组,随后进行整合,以确定风险并产生针对具体情况的适应方案。方法本研究结合了对初级保健设施的结构化审计和涉及卫生工作者的焦点小组的快速定性评估。定量和定性数据集分别进行分析,然后进行综合,以绘制脆弱性地图并提出可行的适应措施。街道管理小组后来利用综合调查结果确定适应行动的优先次序。结果在六家初级保健机构中,极端高温是最严重的危害,特别是室内温度超过40°C时,这会导致工作人员疲劳,社区成员寻求庇护时人满为患,以及患热相关疾病的风险更高。高温还与干旱和野火风险增加有关。不规律和过度降雨通过洪水、道路封闭、基本用品延误以及水传播和呼吸系统疾病的增加进一步扰乱了服务的提供。沿海设施面临着风暴潮和海平面上升的额外风险。环境和运营的可持续性挑战,包括对碳密集型电力的依赖、与废物有关的排放、不稳定的水质以及有限的备用供水,放大了这些与气候相关的风险。该评估确定了高温、降雨、洪水和可持续性领域的综合风险,并提出了42个可行的基础设施适应方案;治理;服务交付;劳动力;能源;还有水、卫生设施和废物处理。本研究表明,设施级别的VCA评估可以成功地指导非洲初级保健机构的气候适应能力规划。VCA过程确定了卫生系统功能关键领域的特定环境危害、风险和可行的适应方案。该方法为寻求加强初级保健抵御气候影响能力的其他非洲环境提供了适应性框架。从评估到实施的过渡将需要地方有能力独立开展vca,并获得可持续气候融资来支持行动。
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引用次数: 0
Association between dairy consumption and Parkinson's disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis 乳制品消费与帕金森病之间的关系:一项系统综述和荟萃分析
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106143
Gaurav Nepal , Dan Yang , Rajeev Ojha , Zhilan Tu

Objectives

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder with no cure and rising global prevalence. Genetic, environmental, and dietary factors may influence risk. Dairy intake, may influence risk through gut microbiome changes and alpha-synuclein spread along the gut–brain axis, though epidemiological evidence is mixed. This meta-analysis examines the association between dairy consumption and PD risk in observational studies.

Study design

This study is a systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature.

Methods

PubMed and EMBASE were searched for original, peer-reviewed observational studies examining dairy intake and PD risk. Pooled risk estimates were calculated using fixed- or random-effects models depending on heterogeneity (I2 threshold: 50 %). Subgroup analyses by dairy type and sex were conducted. This study adhered to PRISMA guidelines.

Results

Nine studies (eight cohort, one case-control) comprising diverse populations from the U.S., Europe, and Asia were included. A total of 15 results from 9 observational studies were analyzed. The combined cohort studies encompassed 634,327 participants with 4285 incident PD cases, while the case-control studies included 617 individuals (368 controls and 249 PD cases). High total dairy intake was significantly associated with increased PD risk (RR = 1.211; 95 % CI: 1.071–1.37; p = 0.002), with a stronger effect in males (RR = 1.282) than females (RR = 1.019). Milk consumption was also associated with increased PD risk (RR = 1.13; 95 % CI: 1.079–1.20; p < 0.001), with consistent sex-specific results. No significant associations were found for yogurt/fermented milk, cheese, butter, or ice cream.

Conclusions

Higher consumption of total dairy and plain milk is associated with an increased risk of developing PD. Further studies involving diverse populations and ethnicities should explore this association, stratified by genetic and sporadic forms of PD.
帕金森病(PD)是一种无法治愈的进行性神经退行性疾病,全球患病率不断上升。遗传、环境和饮食因素可能影响风险。尽管流行病学证据不一,但乳制品摄入可能通过肠道微生物组变化和α -突触核蛋白沿肠-脑轴传播来影响风险。本荟萃分析考察了观察性研究中乳制品消费与PD风险之间的关系。本研究是对已发表文献的系统回顾和荟萃分析。方法spubmed和EMBASE检索了有关乳制品摄入与PD风险的原始、同行评议的观察性研究。根据异质性(I2阈值:50%),使用固定效应或随机效应模型计算合并风险估计。按乳制品类型和性别进行亚组分析。本研究遵循PRISMA指南。结果纳入了来自美国、欧洲和亚洲不同人群的9项研究(8个队列,1个病例对照)。我们分析了来自9项观察性研究的15项结果。合并队列研究包括634,327名参与者,4285例PD病例,而病例对照研究包括617名个体(368名对照组和249例PD病例)。高总乳制品摄入量与PD风险增加显著相关(RR = 1.211; 95% CI: 1.071-1.37; p = 0.002),男性(RR = 1.282)比女性(RR = 1.019)的影响更强。牛奶消费也与PD风险增加相关(RR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.079-1.20; p < 0.001),具有一致的性别特异性结果。酸奶/发酵牛奶、奶酪、黄油或冰淇淋没有发现明显的关联。结论总乳制品和纯牛奶的摄入量增加与患帕金森病的风险增加有关。进一步的研究应涉及不同的人群和种族,通过遗传和散发形式来探索这种关联。
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引用次数: 0
Implementing patient-reported outcome measures: A scoping review of existing guidance across clinical trials, practice and registries 实施患者报告的结果措施:对现有临床试验、实践和注册指南的范围审查
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106138
Randi Thisakya Jayasinghe , Susannah Ahern , Ashika D. Maharaj , Lorena Romero , Rasa Ruseckaite

Objectives

To identify existing guiding documents such as guidelines, frameworks, checklists and recommendations on implementing patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) in clinical trials, clinical practice and clinical registries.

Study design

Scoping Review.

Methods

A literature search of five scientific databases was conducted from database inception to June 2024. Google Scholar and grey literature sites were searched to identify relevant guiding documents. Existing documentation, including guidelines, frameworks, checklists, and recommendations for implementing PROMs in clinical trials, practice, and clinical registries, was included. A narrative synthesis of selected publications was conducted.

Results

In total, 4905 records were identified and assessed for eligibility, and 177 publications underwent full-text screening, resulting in 38 guiding documents in this review. Of the 38, 18 (47 %) were guiding documents for PROMs use in clinical trials, 12 (32 %) in clinical practice, and eight (21 %) in clinical registries. Most guidelines and recommendations were on PROMs implementation in clinical trials and clinical practice, with only a few recommendations published for clinical registries.

Conclusions

This review mostly identified guiding documents for implementing PROMs in clinical trials and practice. There is a gap in the literature regarding guidelines for implementing PROMs in clinical registries. Given the growing recognition of clinical registries and PROMs data for healthcare quality improvement and patient-centred care, an evidence-based standard guideline to implement PROMs in clinical registries efficiently will be beneficial.
目的确定现有的指导文件,如在临床试验、临床实践和临床注册中实施患者报告结果措施(PROMs)的指南、框架、清单和建议。研究设计范围审查。方法对5个科学数据库自建库至2024年6月进行文献检索。b谷歌检索学者和灰色文献网站,以确定相关的指导性文件。现有的文档,包括指南、框架、清单和在临床试验、实践和临床注册中实施prom的建议。对选定的出版物进行了叙述综合。结果共纳入4905篇文献,177篇文献进行了全文筛选,共纳入38篇指导性文献。在这38篇文献中,18篇(47%)是临床试验中使用PROMs的指导性文献,12篇(32%)是临床实践,8篇(21%)是临床注册。大多数指南和建议是关于临床试验和临床实践中PROMs的实施,只有少数建议发表于临床注册。结论本综述主要找到了在临床试验和实践中实施PROMs的指导性文件。关于在临床注册中实施PROMs的指导方针,文献中存在空白。鉴于越来越多的人认识到临床登记和prom数据用于医疗保健质量改进和以患者为中心的护理,在临床登记中有效实施prom的循证标准指南将是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
Antenatal lifestyle interventions to reduce gestational weight gain: Where should we start and how much will it cost? 产前生活方式干预减少妊娠期体重增加:我们应该从哪里开始,需要多少钱?
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106137
Melanie Lloyd , Yanan Hu , Emily Callander , Helena Teede , Zanfina Ademi

Objectives

Antenatal lifestyle interventions are effective in reducing negative outcomes associated with excess gestational weight gain. While strong cost-effectiveness has also been demonstrated, the cost of implementation is potentially a barrier to uptake. We aimed to estimate whether targeted implementation in high risk clinical groups (categorized by age, body mass index (BMI) and gravidity) returns greater health cost savings through a reduction in aggregate incidence of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes.

Study design

Distributional budget impact analysis utilising population level linked data collections.

Methods

Total budget expenditure (cost of intervention minus cost savings from the associated reduction in adverse pregnancy outcomes) of implementing the lifestyle intervention in risk targeted population sub-groups was estimated, stratified by health system (public vs. private funding).

Results

Total annual budget expenditure if the intervention is routinely provided to 80 % of pregnant women in New South Wales and Queensland, Australia, is projected to be AU$11,654,857 for n = 94,539 public patients, and AU$6,527,434 for n = 33,516 private patients. If implemented in the BMI ≥30 kg/m2 group only, expenditure is reduced to AU$643,339 for n = 10,298 public patients, and AU$579,003 for n = 5018 private patients, while for implementation in the Age ≥35 years group, it was AU$1,290,965 (n = 21,071 public) and AU$2,169,851 (n = 12,776 private). The number of adverse pregnancy outcomes averted per women was greatest in the BMI ≥30 kg/m2 group.

Conclusions

Women in the highest BMI category should be prioritised for implementation of effective and cost-effective antenatal lifestyle intervention to reduce the aggregate budgetary impact of adverse pregnancy outcomes.
目的产前生活方式干预可有效减少与妊娠期体重增加过多相关的负面结果。虽然也显示出很强的成本效益,但实施成本可能是采用的障碍。我们的目的是估计在高危临床人群(按年龄、体重指数(BMI)和妊娠情况分类)中有针对性的实施是否通过减少不良妊娠和分娩结局的总发生率而获得更大的健康成本节约。研究设计:利用人口水平相关数据收集进行分布预算影响分析。方法根据卫生系统(公共与私人资助)对风险目标人群亚组实施生活方式干预的总预算支出(干预成本减去相关不良妊娠结局减少的成本节约)进行估计。结果在澳大利亚新南威尔士州和昆士兰州,如果对80%的孕妇常规提供干预,预计每年的预算支出总额为11,654,857澳元(n = 94,539名公立患者)和6,527,434澳元(n = 33,516名私立患者)。如果仅在BMI≥30 kg/m2组中实施,则n = 10,298名公立患者的支出减少到643,339澳元,n = 5018名私立患者的支出减少到579,003澳元,而年龄≥35岁组的支出减少到1,290,965澳元(n = 21,071名公立患者)和2,169,851澳元(n = 12,776名私立患者)。在BMI≥30 kg/m2组中,每个妇女避免的不良妊娠结局数量最多。结论应优先对BMI指数最高的妇女实施有效且具有成本效益的产前生活方式干预,以减少不良妊娠结局的总预算影响。
{"title":"Antenatal lifestyle interventions to reduce gestational weight gain: Where should we start and how much will it cost?","authors":"Melanie Lloyd ,&nbsp;Yanan Hu ,&nbsp;Emily Callander ,&nbsp;Helena Teede ,&nbsp;Zanfina Ademi","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106137","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106137","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Antenatal lifestyle interventions are effective in reducing negative outcomes associated with excess gestational weight gain. While strong cost-effectiveness has also been demonstrated, the cost of implementation is potentially a barrier to uptake. We aimed to estimate whether targeted implementation in high risk clinical groups (categorized by age, body mass index (BMI) and gravidity) returns greater health cost savings through a reduction in aggregate incidence of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes.</div></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><div>Distributional budget impact analysis utilising population level linked data collections.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Total budget expenditure (cost of intervention minus cost savings from the associated reduction in adverse pregnancy outcomes) of implementing the lifestyle intervention in risk targeted population sub-groups was estimated, stratified by health system (public vs. private funding).</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Total annual budget expenditure if the intervention is routinely provided to 80 % of pregnant women in New South Wales and Queensland, Australia, is projected to be AU$11,654,857 for n = 94,539 public patients, and AU$6,527,434 for n = 33,516 private patients. If implemented in the BMI ≥30 kg/m<sup>2</sup> group only, expenditure is reduced to AU$643,339 for n = 10,298 public patients, and AU$579,003 for n = 5018 private patients, while for implementation in the Age ≥35 years group, it was AU$1,290,965 (n = 21,071 public) and AU$2,169,851 (n = 12,776 private). The number of adverse pregnancy outcomes averted per women was greatest in the BMI ≥30 kg/m<sup>2</sup> group.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Women in the highest BMI category should be prioritised for implementation of effective and cost-effective antenatal lifestyle intervention to reduce the aggregate budgetary impact of adverse pregnancy outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":"252 ","pages":"Article 106137"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantifying lifetime productivity loss attributable to cigarette smoking in Taiwan 台湾吸烟导致的终身生产力损失之量化分析
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106149
Wei-Cheng Lo , Tsuey-Hwa Hu , Fuhmei Wang , Ta-Chien Chan , Jing-Shiang Hwang

Objectives

Evaluating long-term health and economic burden of smoking is critical for assessing the effectiveness of tobacco control policies. This study aimed to estimate lifetime productivity loss attributable to smoking among adults in Taiwan.

Study design

Longitudinal cohort study.

Methods

We analyzed data from the MJ cohort, linking medical and demographic information with National Health Insurance Research Database and Taiwan Death Registry database to estimate participants’ monthly earnings and confirm vital status. Lifetime productivity loss was assessed using survival and earnings functions of comparative groups estimated through a rolling extrapolation algorithm, incorporating inverse probability of treatment weighting to address confounders.

Results

Among 215,852 participants aged 30–64 years, those who had smoked had lower baseline employment rates and median monthly incomes. Smoking was associated with reduced life expectancy by 2.0 years (95 % CI: 1.54–2.35) for men and 1.37 years (95 % CI: −0.47 – 2.12) for women, and reduced employment time by 0.70 years (95 % CI: 0.26–1.30) for men and 1.82 years (95 % CI: 0.97–2.44) for women. The estimated average lifetime productivity loss attributable to smoking was US$ 45,572 for men and US$ 61,552 for women. Aggregating across Taiwan's population, this translates to a total lifetime productivity loss of US$ 80,589 million (95 % CI: 56,691 million to 103,743 million). The loss per annum was US$ 4563 million (95 % CI: 3602–5574 million), accounting for 0.6 % of Taiwan's GDP in 2022 (0.49 % from males, 0.11 % from females).

Conclusions

This study provides a data-driven analytical framework and demonstrates substantial lifetime and annual productivity losses attributable to smoking in Taiwan. These findings underscore the economic imperative for strengthening tobacco control measures to mitigate the long-term health and financial burden of smoking.
目的评估吸烟的长期健康和经济负担对于评估控烟政策的有效性至关重要。摘要本研究旨在评估台湾成年人因吸烟而导致的终身生产力损失。研究设计:纵向队列研究。方法分析来自MJ队列的数据,将医疗和人口统计信息与国家健康保险研究数据库和台湾死亡登记数据库联系起来,估计参与者的月收入并确认其生命状况。使用通过滚动外推算法估计的比较组的生存和收益函数来评估终身生产力损失,并结合处理权重的逆概率来解决混杂因素。结果在215,852名年龄在30-64岁的参与者中,吸烟的人的基线就业率和月收入中位数较低。吸烟导致男性预期寿命缩短2.0年(95% CI: 1.54-2.35),女性预期寿命缩短1.37年(95% CI: - 0.47 - 2.12),男性预期寿命缩短0.70年(95% CI: 0.26-1.30),女性预期寿命缩短1.82年(95% CI: 0.97-2.44)。吸烟造成的平均终生生产力损失估计为男性45,572美元,女性61,552美元。如果把台湾人口加起来,这意味着整个生命周期的生产力损失总额为805.89亿美元(95%置信区间:566.91亿至1037.43亿)。每年损失4.563亿美元(95% CI: 3.602 - 5.574亿),占2022年台湾GDP的0.6%(男性占0.49%,女性占0.11%)。结论本研究提供了一个数据驱动的分析框架,并证明了台湾吸烟导致的大量终身和年度生产力损失。这些发现强调了加强烟草控制措施以减轻吸烟造成的长期健康和经济负担的经济必要性。
{"title":"Quantifying lifetime productivity loss attributable to cigarette smoking in Taiwan","authors":"Wei-Cheng Lo ,&nbsp;Tsuey-Hwa Hu ,&nbsp;Fuhmei Wang ,&nbsp;Ta-Chien Chan ,&nbsp;Jing-Shiang Hwang","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106149","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106149","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Evaluating long-term health and economic burden of smoking is critical for assessing the effectiveness of tobacco control policies. This study aimed to estimate lifetime productivity loss attributable to smoking among adults in Taiwan.</div></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><div>Longitudinal cohort study.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We analyzed data from the MJ cohort, linking medical and demographic information with National Health Insurance Research Database and Taiwan Death Registry database to estimate participants’ monthly earnings and confirm vital status. Lifetime productivity loss was assessed using survival and earnings functions of comparative groups estimated through a rolling extrapolation algorithm, incorporating inverse probability of treatment weighting to address confounders.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 215,852 participants aged 30–64 years, those who had smoked had lower baseline employment rates and median monthly incomes. Smoking was associated with reduced life expectancy by 2.0 years (95 % CI: 1.54–2.35) for men and 1.37 years (95 % CI: −0.47 – 2.12) for women, and reduced employment time by 0.70 years (95 % CI: 0.26–1.30) for men and 1.82 years (95 % CI: 0.97–2.44) for women. The estimated average lifetime productivity loss attributable to smoking was US$ 45,572 for men and US$ 61,552 for women. Aggregating across Taiwan's population, this translates to a total lifetime productivity loss of US$ 80,589 million (95 % CI: 56,691 million to 103,743 million). The loss per annum was US$ 4563 million (95 % CI: 3602–5574 million), accounting for 0.6 % of Taiwan's GDP in 2022 (0.49 % from males, 0.11 % from females).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>This study provides a data-driven analytical framework and demonstrates substantial lifetime and annual productivity losses attributable to smoking in Taiwan. These findings underscore the economic imperative for strengthening tobacco control measures to mitigate the long-term health and financial burden of smoking.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":"252 ","pages":"Article 106149"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980462","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Educational disparities in mortality mediated by modifiable behavioral factors: Findings from the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study 可改变的行为因素介导的教育差异对死亡率的影响:来自日本多机构合作队列研究的结果。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106142
Masayoshi Zaitsu , Kazuhiko Watanabe , Mako Nagayoshi , Hiroaki Ikezaki , Takuma Furukawa , Yasufumi Kato , Yuriko N. Koyanagi , Nobuaki Michihata , Chihaya Koriyama , Sadao Suzuki , Daisuke Matsui , Kiyonori Kuriki , Naoyuki Takashima , Masashi Ishizu , Itsuki Kageyama , Takashi Tamura , Kenji Wakai , Keitaro Matsuo , for the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort (J-MICC) Study

Objectives

The extent to which modifiable behavioral factors mediate educational disparities in mortality nationally remains unelucidated. Therefore, we examined whether educational level affects overall and cause-specific mortalities in Japan.

Study design

A multi-centered cohort study.

Methods

This national, multicenter study included 58,831 participants (57 % female) from the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study (mean age: 54 years). Baseline data were collected between 2004 and 2014, with a maximum 12-year follow-up period. Outcomes included mortalities from cancer, cardiovascular disease, and other causes. Participants were categorized by educational level: high school or lower, junior college, and university or higher. The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was estimated using Cox regression, with the university or higher cohort as the reference. Causal mediation analysis was conducted to assess the mediated effect of modifiable behaviors on education-related mortality risk.

Results

Among male participants, the high school or lower cohort exhibited a higher overall mortality rate (adjusted HR: 1.23; 95 % confidence interval = 1.08–1.41) and elevated risks for cancer-related and other causes of death (HRs: 1.18 and 1.75, respectively). This disparity was most pronounced in men aged 35–59 years. Smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, and inadequate leisure-time physical activity accounted for 11 %, 9 %, and 12 % of the educational mortality discrepancy, respectively. Female participants did not exhibit a significant educational mortality disparity.

Conclusions

Educational disparities in mortality persist among the younger male population in Japan, with modifiable behavioral risks identified as key mediators.
目的:可改变的行为因素在多大程度上介导了全国范围内死亡率的教育差异尚不清楚。因此,我们研究了教育水平是否会影响日本的总体死亡率和死因特异性死亡率。研究设计:多中心队列研究。方法:这项全国性、多中心的研究包括来自日本多机构合作队列研究的58,831名参与者(57%为女性)(平均年龄:54岁)。基线数据收集于2004年至2014年,最长随访期为12年。结果包括癌症、心血管疾病和其他原因导致的死亡。参与者按教育程度分类:高中或更低,大专,大学或更高。死亡率的危险比(HR)使用Cox回归估计,以大学或更高的队列为参考。通过因果中介分析,评估可改变行为对教育相关死亡风险的中介作用。结果:在男性参与者中,高中或更低年级的队列表现出更高的总体死亡率(调整后的HR: 1.23; 95%可信区间= 1.08-1.41),癌症相关和其他原因死亡的风险更高(HR: 1.18和1.75)。这种差异在35-59岁的男性中最为明显。吸烟、过度饮酒和闲暇时间体育活动不足分别占教育死亡率差异的11%、9%和12%。女性参与者没有表现出显著的教育死亡率差异。结论:日本年轻男性死亡率的教育差异持续存在,可改变的行为风险被确定为关键中介因素。
{"title":"Educational disparities in mortality mediated by modifiable behavioral factors: Findings from the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study","authors":"Masayoshi Zaitsu ,&nbsp;Kazuhiko Watanabe ,&nbsp;Mako Nagayoshi ,&nbsp;Hiroaki Ikezaki ,&nbsp;Takuma Furukawa ,&nbsp;Yasufumi Kato ,&nbsp;Yuriko N. Koyanagi ,&nbsp;Nobuaki Michihata ,&nbsp;Chihaya Koriyama ,&nbsp;Sadao Suzuki ,&nbsp;Daisuke Matsui ,&nbsp;Kiyonori Kuriki ,&nbsp;Naoyuki Takashima ,&nbsp;Masashi Ishizu ,&nbsp;Itsuki Kageyama ,&nbsp;Takashi Tamura ,&nbsp;Kenji Wakai ,&nbsp;Keitaro Matsuo ,&nbsp;for the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort (J-MICC) Study","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106142","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106142","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>The extent to which modifiable behavioral factors mediate educational disparities in mortality nationally remains unelucidated. Therefore, we examined whether educational level affects overall and cause-specific mortalities in Japan.</div></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><div>A multi-centered cohort study.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This national, multicenter study included 58,831 participants (57 % female) from the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study (mean age: 54 years). Baseline data were collected between 2004 and 2014, with a maximum 12-year follow-up period. Outcomes included mortalities from cancer, cardiovascular disease, and other causes. Participants were categorized by educational level: high school or lower, junior college, and university or higher. The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was estimated using Cox regression, with the university or higher cohort as the reference. Causal mediation analysis was conducted to assess the mediated effect of modifiable behaviors on education-related mortality risk.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among male participants, the high school or lower cohort exhibited a higher overall mortality rate (adjusted HR: 1.23; 95 % confidence interval = 1.08–1.41) and elevated risks for cancer-related and other causes of death (HRs: 1.18 and 1.75, respectively). This disparity was most pronounced in men aged 35–59 years. Smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, and inadequate leisure-time physical activity accounted for 11 %, 9 %, and 12 % of the educational mortality discrepancy, respectively. Female participants did not exhibit a significant educational mortality disparity.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Educational disparities in mortality persist among the younger male population in Japan, with modifiable behavioral risks identified as key mediators.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":"252 ","pages":"Article 106142"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145967672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Regional inequities in colon cancer surgical care: Patterns of treatment delay across U.S. facilities 结肠癌手术护理的地区不平等:美国设施治疗延迟的模式。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2025.106091
Rushabh H. Doshi , Bhav Jain , Rachana Tanksali , Tenzin Dhondup , Shamik Bhat , Nina N. Sanford , Miranda B. Lam , Edward Christopher Dee

Objectives

Timely surgical resection is critical for optimal survival in colon cancer, yet delays remain common. Persistent inequities in access to surgery may contribute to these delays, but how these disparities vary across U.S. regions and over time is not well understood. We aimed to assess regional variation in surgical treatment delays (>8 weeks from diagnosis) for Stage I–III colon cancer in the United States and determine how racial, insurance, and geographic disparities manifest and evolve across regions from 2004 to 2021.

Study design

Retrospective cohort study.

Methods

We analyzed patients treated at Commission on Cancer-accredited facilities across the nine U.S. Census Divisions using data from the National Cancer Database (2004–2021). Adults diagnosed with Stage I-III colon cancer who underwent surgical resection as first-course treatment and had complete demographic, clinical, and facility data available were included. The primary outcome was surgical delay >8 weeks from diagnosis to surgery. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess factors associated with surgical delay and interactions to evaluate variation by U.S. Census Division and over time. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated, with adjusted predicted probabilities for disparities by region and year.

Results

Of 664,312 patients, 48,579 (7.3 %) had surgical delays >8 weeks, increasing from 4.5 % in 2004 to 12.2 % in 2021 (aOR 2.77; 95 % CI, 2.61–2.94). Compared with New England, delays were less common in East South Central (aOR 0.60) and West North Central (aOR 0.67) regions. Higher odds occurred among Black (aOR 1.34), American Indian/Alaska Native/Aleut/Eskimo (aOR 1.24), Asian American (aOR 1.06), Medicaid (aOR 1.19), and Other/Unknown/Government-insured patients (aOR 1.16). Disparities varied by region (p < 0.001), with the largest Black–White gap in West North Central (9.0 % vs 4.9 %) and the smallest in East South Central (5.2 % vs 4.6 %). The Pacific had the steepest delay increase over time.

Conclusions

From 2004 to 2021, colon cancer surgery delays rose nationwide, with substantial regional variation in racial, insurance, and geographic disparities. Targeted strategies are needed to address systemic and regional barriers.
目的:及时手术切除对结肠癌患者的最佳生存率至关重要,但延迟仍然很常见。在获得手术机会方面持续存在的不平等可能导致这些延误,但这些差异在美国不同地区和不同时期的差异尚不清楚。本研究旨在评估美国I-III期结肠癌手术治疗延迟(诊断后8周)的地区差异,并确定2004年至2021年间种族、保险和地理差异如何在各地区表现和演变。研究设计:回顾性队列研究。方法:我们使用来自国家癌症数据库(2004-2021)的数据,分析了在美国九个人口普查局癌症委员会认可的机构接受治疗的患者。被诊断为I-III期结肠癌的成年人接受手术切除作为第一疗程治疗,并有完整的人口统计学、临床和设施数据。主要结局是手术延迟从诊断到手术8周。多变量逻辑回归模型用于评估与手术延迟和相互作用相关的因素,以评估美国人口普查局和随时间的变化。计算优势比(ORs)和95%置信区间(ci),并按地区和年份调整差异的预测概率。结果:在664,312例患者中,48,579例(7.3%)手术延迟8周,从2004年的4.5%增加到2021年的12.2% (aOR 2.77; 95% CI, 2.61-2.94)。与新英格兰地区相比,东南中部地区(aOR为0.60)和西北中部地区(aOR为0.67)的延误较少见。黑人(aOR 1.34)、美洲印第安人/阿拉斯加原住民/阿留申人/爱斯基摩人(aOR 1.24)、亚裔美国人(aOR 1.06)、医疗补助(aOR 1.19)和其他/未知/政府保险患者(aOR 1.16)的赔率较高。差异因地区而异(p结论:从2004年到2021年,结肠癌手术延迟在全国范围内上升,在种族、保险和地理差异方面存在很大的地区差异。需要有针对性的战略来解决系统性和区域性障碍。
{"title":"Regional inequities in colon cancer surgical care: Patterns of treatment delay across U.S. facilities","authors":"Rushabh H. Doshi ,&nbsp;Bhav Jain ,&nbsp;Rachana Tanksali ,&nbsp;Tenzin Dhondup ,&nbsp;Shamik Bhat ,&nbsp;Nina N. Sanford ,&nbsp;Miranda B. Lam ,&nbsp;Edward Christopher Dee","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2025.106091","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2025.106091","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Timely surgical resection is critical for optimal survival in colon cancer, yet delays remain common. Persistent inequities in access to surgery may contribute to these delays, but how these disparities vary across U.S. regions and over time is not well understood. We aimed to assess regional variation in surgical treatment delays (&gt;8 weeks from diagnosis) for Stage I–III colon cancer in the United States and determine how racial, insurance, and geographic disparities manifest and evolve across regions from 2004 to 2021.</div></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><div>Retrospective cohort study.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We analyzed patients treated at Commission on Cancer-accredited facilities across the nine U.S. Census Divisions using data from the National Cancer Database (2004–2021). Adults diagnosed with Stage I-III colon cancer who underwent surgical resection as first-course treatment and had complete demographic, clinical, and facility data available were included. The primary outcome was surgical delay &gt;8 weeks from diagnosis to surgery. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess factors associated with surgical delay and interactions to evaluate variation by U.S. Census Division and over time. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated, with adjusted predicted probabilities for disparities by region and year.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Of 664,312 patients, 48,579 (7.3 %) had surgical delays &gt;8 weeks, increasing from 4.5 % in 2004 to 12.2 % in 2021 (aOR 2.77; 95 % CI, 2.61–2.94). Compared with New England, delays were less common in East South Central (aOR 0.60) and West North Central (aOR 0.67) regions. Higher odds occurred among Black (aOR 1.34), American Indian/Alaska Native/Aleut/Eskimo (aOR 1.24), Asian American (aOR 1.06), Medicaid (aOR 1.19), and Other/Unknown/Government-insured patients (aOR 1.16). Disparities varied by region (p &lt; 0.001), with the largest Black–White gap in West North Central (9.0 % vs 4.9 %) and the smallest in East South Central (5.2 % vs 4.6 %). The Pacific had the steepest delay increase over time.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>From 2004 to 2021, colon cancer surgery delays rose nationwide, with substantial regional variation in racial, insurance, and geographic disparities. Targeted strategies are needed to address systemic and regional barriers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":"252 ","pages":"Article 106091"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145967775","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How early adversity shapes adult physical health: Structural disadvantage and gendered pathways to cardiovascular risk 早期逆境如何影响成年人的身体健康:结构性劣势和心血管风险的性别途径。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106134
Hayun Jang , Jinho Kim

Objectives

Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are well-established predictors of mental health problems, yet their long-term impact on physical health, especially cardiovascular disease (CVD), remains less well understood. Guided by a life course perspective, this study investigates the association between ACEs and adult CVD risk, with a focus on the mediating role of structural disadvantage and gender-specific pathways.

Study design

Using data from Waves I, III, and IV of the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health), we analyzed a sample of 12,224 individuals.

Methods

Longitudinal regression models with school fixed effects were used to estimate the association between ACEs and a 30-year Framingham CVD risk score in adulthood. We examined four mediators measured in early adulthood: educational attainment, personal earnings, incarceration history, and unmet healthcare needs. Multivariate bootstrapped mediation models and gender-stratified analyses were conducted.

Results

ACEs were significantly associated with higher CVD risk in adulthood, even after adjusting for individual, familial, and contextual factors. Structural disadvantage, most notably lower educational attainment, partially explained this association. Incarceration history and unmet healthcare needs also served as mediators. Gender-stratified models revealed distinct pathways: incarceration was a stronger mediator among men, while unmet healthcare needs were more salient for women.

Conclusions

Findings underscore the enduring influence of early adversity on adult cardiovascular health and highlight the importance of structural pathways in shaping health trajectories. Policy interventions targeting educational access, healthcare equity, and criminal justice reform, with attention to gender-specific mechanisms, may help mitigate the long-term health burden of childhood adversity.
目的:不良童年经历(ace)是公认的心理健康问题的预测因素,但其对身体健康,特别是心血管疾病(CVD)的长期影响仍知之甚少。本研究从生命历程的角度出发,探讨了ace与成人心血管疾病风险之间的关系,重点研究了结构性劣势和性别特异性途径的中介作用。研究设计:使用来自全国青少年到成人健康纵向研究(Add Health)第一、三、四阶段的数据,我们分析了12224个人的样本。方法:采用学校固定效应的纵向回归模型来估计ace与30岁成年期Framingham心血管疾病风险评分之间的关系。我们检查了四个在成年早期测量的中介:教育程度、个人收入、监禁史和未满足的医疗保健需求。多变量自举中介模型和性别分层分析。结果:即使在调整了个人、家庭和环境因素后,ace与成年期较高的CVD风险显著相关。结构性劣势,尤其是受教育程度较低,部分解释了这种关联。监禁历史和未满足的医疗需求也起到了调解作用。性别分层模型揭示了不同的途径:监禁在男性中是一个更强的中介,而未满足的医疗保健需求在女性中更为突出。结论:研究结果强调了早期逆境对成人心血管健康的持久影响,并强调了结构途径在塑造健康轨迹中的重要性。针对教育机会、医疗保健公平和刑事司法改革的政策干预措施,并注意针对性别的机制,可能有助于减轻童年逆境带来的长期健康负担。
{"title":"How early adversity shapes adult physical health: Structural disadvantage and gendered pathways to cardiovascular risk","authors":"Hayun Jang ,&nbsp;Jinho Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106134","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106134","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objectives</h3><div>Adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) are well-established predictors of mental health problems, yet their long-term impact on physical health, especially cardiovascular disease (CVD), remains less well understood. Guided by a life course perspective, this study investigates the association between ACEs and adult CVD risk, with a focus on the mediating role of structural disadvantage and gender-specific pathways.</div></div><div><h3>Study design</h3><div>Using data from Waves I, III, and IV of the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health), we analyzed a sample of 12,224 individuals.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Longitudinal regression models with school fixed effects were used to estimate the association between ACEs and a 30-year Framingham CVD risk score in adulthood. We examined four mediators measured in early adulthood: educational attainment, personal earnings, incarceration history, and unmet healthcare needs. Multivariate bootstrapped mediation models and gender-stratified analyses were conducted.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>ACEs were significantly associated with higher CVD risk in adulthood, even after adjusting for individual, familial, and contextual factors. Structural disadvantage, most notably lower educational attainment, partially explained this association. Incarceration history and unmet healthcare needs also served as mediators. Gender-stratified models revealed distinct pathways: incarceration was a stronger mediator among men, while unmet healthcare needs were more salient for women.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Findings underscore the enduring influence of early adversity on adult cardiovascular health and highlight the importance of structural pathways in shaping health trajectories. Policy interventions targeting educational access, healthcare equity, and criminal justice reform, with attention to gender-specific mechanisms, may help mitigate the long-term health burden of childhood adversity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49651,"journal":{"name":"Public Health","volume":"252 ","pages":"Article 106134"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145967683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming climate change adaptation and mitigation into sub-national health systems: Perspectives from primary health care managers in low-resourced settings of Ghana 将气候变化适应和减缓纳入次国家卫生系统主流的促进因素和障碍:来自加纳资源匮乏地区初级卫生保健管理人员的观点。
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2026.106135
Rudolf Abugnaba-Abanga , Dzigbodi Adzo Doke , Maximillian Kolbe Domapielle , Duncan Alemna Adogboba , Kei Ostuki

Objectives

This article explores the perspectives of primary healthcare managers on context-specific facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming climate change adaptation and mitigation into the operations in three primary healthcare (PHC) systems in low-resourced settings of the Upper East Region of Ghana.

Study design

A framework approach utilising inductive coding, guided by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research Index (CFIR Index) dimensions, to examine the perspectives of PHC managers on facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming climate change adaptation and mitigation in PHC operations.

Methods

Between October 31 and November 25, 2022, 18 purposively sampled PHC managers from three PHCs in the Upper East Region of Ghana participated in key informant interviews on facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming the WHO frameworks on building climate resilience and environmentally sustainable health systems. Key-informant interview guides were used to generate the data. Inductive codes were generated along secondary themes of suitability of the framework for PHC, PHC systems and stakeholders, PHC programming attributes and culture, and PHC managers’ identification with the WHO framework.

Results

The WHO framework is perceived as suitable because of its alignment with health systems/PHC vision and its potential to enhance staff safety and client satisfaction. PHC programming attributes and culture, such as positive and open learning environments, strong networks, and well-developed systems and structures, were reported as facilitators. Furthermore, high-risk perception, perceived service improvements, and self-efficacy were reported as facilitators. PHC systems and stakeholders are reported as barriers due to the absence of policy frameworks and incentives, inadequate staff and system capacities, and the cost of mainstreaming.

Conclusion

Mainstreaming climate action into PHC policies, protocols, and programmes with built-in accountability mechanisms and financing is critical for sustained action.
目的:本文探讨了初级卫生保健管理人员的观点,即在加纳上东部地区资源匮乏的三个初级卫生保健(PHC)系统中,将气候变化适应和减缓主流化的具体促进因素和障碍。研究设计:在实施综合框架研究指数(CFIR指数)维度的指导下,采用归纳编码的框架方法,检查初级保健管理人员对初级保健业务中气候变化适应和减缓主流化的促进因素和障碍的看法。方法:在2022年10月31日至11月25日期间,来自加纳上东部地区三家初级保健医院的18名有目的抽样初级保健医院管理人员参加了关于将世卫组织建立气候适应能力和环境可持续卫生系统框架主流化的促进者和障碍的关键信息提供者访谈。使用关键信息提供者访谈指南来生成数据。归纳代码是根据框架对初级保健的适用性、初级保健系统和利益相关者、初级保健规划属性和文化以及初级保健管理者对世卫组织框架的认同等次要主题生成的。结果:世卫组织框架被认为是合适的,因为它符合卫生系统/初级保健愿景,并有可能提高工作人员安全和客户满意度。PHC编程属性和文化,如积极开放的学习环境、强大的网络和完善的系统和结构,被认为是促进因素。此外,高风险感知、感知服务改善和自我效能被报告为促进因素。据报告,初级保健系统和利益攸关方由于缺乏政策框架和激励措施、工作人员和系统能力不足以及主流化的成本而成为障碍。结论:将气候行动纳入初级卫生保健政策、协议和方案的主流,并建立问责机制和融资机制,对持续行动至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of the Israeli sugar sweetened beverage tax implementation and repeal on beverage price and purchases 以色列加糖饮料税的实施和废除对饮料价格和购买的影响
IF 3.2 3区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2025.106118
Naomi Fliss Isakov , Yitzhak Ben Menachem , Michal Yackobovitch Gavan , Caroline Parker , Adi Levy , Ronit Endevelt , Laura Sol Grinshpan , Moran Blaychfeld Magnazi

Objectives

Israel's sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) tax, combining ad-valorem and tiered components, was implemented in January 2022 and repealed after one year. We evaluated the effect of tax implementation and repeal, on beverage price and sales.

Study design

A longitudinal analysis using national sales data.

Methods

Beverages were categorized by sugar content and volume into 6 beverage groups: Large non-taxed, large reduced-tax, large full-tax, small non-taxed, small reduced-tax and small full-taxed beverages. Changes in price and sales across three periods (pre-tax, tax and post-tax) were assessed between groups using Welch ANOVA test (Games-Howell post-hoc analysis, Bonferoni adjustment), and the linear mixed-effects model with restricted maximum likelihood estimation.

Results

With implementation of the tax, the prices of all beverage categories increased by 3.03–38.89 % and remained high after tax repeal by 6.8–13.63 %, compared to pre-tax levels. Negative correlations between the change in beverage price and sales were observed during the tax (r = −0.54, p < 0.001) and post-tax (r = −0.29, p < 0.001) periods. A price increase of ≥17 % was associated with significant sales declines during the year of the tax. Sales of large reduced-tax beverages declined by −30.7 % and those of large full-taxed beverages by −24.1 % following tax implementation. After tax repeal, sales levels gradually increased compared to those during the tax period, but remained below pre-tax levels by −24 % and −13 %, respectively. Small-taxed beverages showed no significant change in sales between study periods.

Conclusions

The Israeli SSB tax implementation and repeal, provides critical insights regarding the significant effectiveness of this public health policy. The tax led to a significant increase in the price of all beverage categories, and reduced sales of large-taxed beverages, which contribute the vast majority of national beverage sales. Tax repeal was followed by a gradual rise in sales of taxed beverages, having a potentially negative effect on public health. An effective policy should consider higher tax rates for smaller packaged beverages. Future studies should address longer follow-up and assessment of individual purchase and consumption practices.
以色列的含糖饮料税(SSB)结合了从价税和分层税,于2022年1月实施,一年后被废除。我们评估了税收的实施和废除对饮料价格和销售的影响。研究设计:采用全国销售数据进行纵向分析。方法将饮料按含糖量和体积分为大杯不含税、大杯减税、大杯全含税、小杯不含税、小杯减税和小杯全含税6组。使用Welch ANOVA检验(Games-Howell事后分析,Bonferoni调整)和限制最大似然估计的线性混合效应模型来评估组间三个时期(税前、税后和税后)的价格和销售变化。结果税后各品类饮料价格较税前上涨3.03 - 38.89%,税后仍保持在较高水平,税后涨幅为6.8 - 13.63%。在征税期间(r = - 0.54, p < 0.001)和税后期间(r = - 0.29, p < 0.001),饮料价格和销售额的变化呈负相关。在征税年度,价格上涨≥17%与显著的销售下降相关。在税收实施后,大型减税饮料的销售额下降了30.7%,大型全额税饮料的销售额下降了24.1%。税收废除后,销售水平与纳税期间相比逐渐增加,但仍分别低于税前水平- 24%和- 13%。在研究期间,低税饮料的销量没有显著变化。结论:以色列SSB税的实施和废除,为这一公共卫生政策的显著有效性提供了重要的见解。该税导致所有饮料类别的价格大幅上涨,并减少了占全国饮料销售绝大部分的高税饮料的销售。税收废除之后,征税饮料的销售逐渐增加,对公众健康产生潜在的负面影响。一个有效的政策应该考虑对小包装饮料征收更高的税率。今后的研究应针对个人购买和消费行为进行更长期的跟踪和评估。
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