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Machine learning prediction of factors affecting Major League Baseball (MLB) game attendance: algorithm comparisons and macroeconomic factor of unemployment 影响美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB)比赛上座率因素的机器学习预测:算法比较和宏观经济失业因素
Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-06-2023-0129
Juho Park, Junghwan Cho, Alex C. Gang, Hyun-Woo Lee, Paul M. Pedersen
PurposeThis study aims to identify an automated machine learning algorithm with high accuracy that sport practitioners can use to identify the specific factors for predicting Major League Baseball (MLB) attendance. Furthermore, by predicting spectators for each league (American League and National League) and division in MLB, the authors will identify the specific factors that increase accuracy, discuss them and provide implications for marketing strategies for academics and practitioners in sport.Design/methodology/approachThis study used six years of daily MLB game data (2014–2019). All data were collected as predictors, such as game performance, weather and unemployment rate. Also, the attendance rate was obtained as an observation variable. The Random Forest, Lasso regression models and XGBoost were used to build the prediction model, and the analysis was conducted using Python 3.7.FindingsThe RMSE value was 0.14, and the R2 was 0.62 as a consequence of fine-tuning the tuning parameters of the XGBoost model, which had the best performance in forecasting the attendance rate. The most influential variables in the model are “Rank” of 0.247 and “Day of the week”, “Home team” and “Day/Night game” were shown as influential variables in order. The result was shown that the “Unemployment rate”, as a macroeconomic factor, has a value of 0.06 and weather factors were a total value of 0.147.Originality/valueThis research highlights unemployment rate as a determinant affecting MLB game attendance rates. Beyond contextual elements such as climate, the findings of this study underscore the significance of economic factors, particularly unemployment rates, necessitating further investigation into these factors to gain a more comprehensive understanding of game attendance.
目的 本研究旨在找出一种准确率较高的自动机器学习算法,供体育从业人员用来确定预测美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB)观众人数的具体因素。此外,通过预测 MLB 各联盟(美国联盟和国家联盟)和分区的观众人数,作者将确定提高准确性的具体因素,并对其进行讨论,为体育界的学者和从业人员提供营销策略方面的启示。设计/方法/途径本研究使用了六年的 MLB 每日比赛数据(2014-2019 年)。所有数据均作为预测因子收集,如比赛表现、天气和失业率。此外,还获得了上座率作为观测变量。结果由于微调了 XGBoost 模型的调整参数,RMSE 值为 0.14,R2 为 0.62,该模型在预测上座率方面表现最佳。模型中影响最大的变量是 "排名",为 0.247,影响最大的变量依次是 "星期"、"主队 "和 "日/夜场"。结果显示,作为宏观经济因素的 "失业率 "的影响值为 0.06,天气因素的总影响值为 0.147。除了气候等环境因素外,本研究的结果还强调了经济因素(尤其是失业率)的重要性,因此有必要对这些因素进行进一步调查,以便更全面地了解比赛上座率。
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引用次数: 0
Categorizing behavioral and formed concepts in sports marketing research 体育营销研究中的行为和形成概念分类
Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-10-2022-0188
Tobias Müller, Florian Schuberth, Jörg Henseler
PurposeSports marketing and sponsorship research is located at the intersection of behavioral and design research, which means that it analyzes the current world and shapes a future world. This dual focus poses challenges for formulating and testing theories of sports marketing.Design/methodology/approachThis article develops criteria for categorizing theoretical concepts as either behavioral or formed as different ways of expressing ideas of sports marketing research. It emphasizes the need for clear concept categorization for proper operationalization and applies these criteria to selected theoretical concepts of sports marketing and sponsorship research.FindingsThe study defines three criteria to categorize theoretical concepts, namely (1) the guiding idea of research, (2) the role of observed variables, and (3) the relationship among observed variables. Applying these criteria to concepts of sports marketing research manifests the relevance of categorizing theoretical concepts as either behavioral or formed to operationalize concepts correctly.Originality/valueThis study is the first in sports marketing to clearly categorize theoretical concepts as either behavioral or formed, and to formulate guidelines on how to differentiate behavioral concepts from formed concepts.
目的体育营销和赞助研究位于行为研究和设计研究的交叉点,这意味着它既分析当前世界,又塑造未来世界。设计/方法学/方法本文制定了将理论概念分为行为概念和形成概念的标准,作为表达体育营销研究观点的不同方式。研究结果本研究定义了三个理论概念分类标准,即(1)研究的指导思想;(2)观察变量的作用;(3)观察变量之间的关系。将这些标准应用于体育营销研究的概念,体现了将理论概念划分为行为概念或形成概念以正确操作概念的相关性。原创性/价值本研究首次在体育营销领域将理论概念明确划分为行为概念或形成概念,并就如何区分行为概念和形成概念制定了指导原则。
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引用次数: 0
Elite versus grassroots sports events sponsorship in China: an exploration of sponsors’ motives and objectives 中国精英体育赛事赞助与草根体育赛事赞助:赞助商动机与目标探讨
Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-04-2023-0065
Qian Wang, Stéphan Fuchs, Guillaume Bodet
PurposeThis study explores the motives and objectives of sports sponsorship in China, taking into account the sports, social and cultural contexts. It also adopts a comparative approach to examine the sponsorship of elite and grassroots sports events in China.Design/methodology/approachThis study adopts a qualitative approach, employing semi-structured interviews with representatives of nine companies sponsoring elite and/or grassroots sports events in Western China. The data were analyzed through reflexive thematic analysis.FindingsIn China, sponsors are frequently driven to sponsor elite sport events by a sense of obligation and responsibility to the country, whereas their motives to sponsor grassroots sport events is primarily influenced by sincerity and goodwill. Chinese companies consider brand awareness, exposure and the relationship with the government and authorities as key factors for sponsorship, and use sponsorship to achieve market-related objectives.Originality/valueCompanies’ sponsorship motives and objectives have received significant attention in the literature, but mainly in Western countries. In the context of China, this study identifies how sponsors utilize social networks to shape their motives and objectives. It also reveals certain patterns common with the current literature, as well as specificities such as how the roles of the government and authorities are linked to the contingent economic and social context of the country. Furthermore, the differences between elite and grassroots sports events sponsorship are explained.
目的 本研究结合体育、社会和文化背景,探讨中国体育赞助的动机和目标。本研究采用定性研究方法,对赞助中国西部精英和/或草根体育赛事的九家公司的代表进行了半结构化访谈。研究结果在中国,赞助商赞助精英体育赛事往往是出于对国家的义务和责任感,而赞助草根体育赛事的动机则主要受到诚意和善意的影响。中国企业将品牌知名度、曝光率以及与政府和主管部门的关系视为赞助的关键因素,并通过赞助来实现与市场相关的目标。在中国,本研究明确了赞助商如何利用社交网络来塑造其动机和目标。本研究还揭示了与当前文献相同的某些模式,以及一些特殊性,如政府和当局的角色如何与国家的经济和社会背景相联系。此外,还解释了精英体育赛事赞助与草根体育赛事赞助之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Elite versus grassroots sports events sponsorship in China: an exploration of sponsors’ motives and objectives 中国精英体育赛事赞助与草根体育赛事赞助:赞助商动机与目标探讨
Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-04-2023-0065
Qian Wang, Stéphan Fuchs, Guillaume Bodet
PurposeThis study explores the motives and objectives of sports sponsorship in China, taking into account the sports, social and cultural contexts. It also adopts a comparative approach to examine the sponsorship of elite and grassroots sports events in China.Design/methodology/approachThis study adopts a qualitative approach, employing semi-structured interviews with representatives of nine companies sponsoring elite and/or grassroots sports events in Western China. The data were analyzed through reflexive thematic analysis.FindingsIn China, sponsors are frequently driven to sponsor elite sport events by a sense of obligation and responsibility to the country, whereas their motives to sponsor grassroots sport events is primarily influenced by sincerity and goodwill. Chinese companies consider brand awareness, exposure and the relationship with the government and authorities as key factors for sponsorship, and use sponsorship to achieve market-related objectives.Originality/valueCompanies’ sponsorship motives and objectives have received significant attention in the literature, but mainly in Western countries. In the context of China, this study identifies how sponsors utilize social networks to shape their motives and objectives. It also reveals certain patterns common with the current literature, as well as specificities such as how the roles of the government and authorities are linked to the contingent economic and social context of the country. Furthermore, the differences between elite and grassroots sports events sponsorship are explained.
目的 本研究结合体育、社会和文化背景,探讨中国体育赞助的动机和目标。本研究采用定性研究方法,对赞助中国西部精英和/或草根体育赛事的九家公司的代表进行了半结构化访谈。研究结果在中国,赞助商赞助精英体育赛事往往是出于对国家的义务和责任感,而赞助草根体育赛事的动机则主要受到诚意和善意的影响。中国企业将品牌知名度、曝光率以及与政府和主管部门的关系视为赞助的关键因素,并通过赞助来实现与市场相关的目标。在中国,本研究明确了赞助商如何利用社交网络来塑造其动机和目标。本研究还揭示了与当前文献相同的某些模式,以及一些特殊性,如政府和当局的角色如何与国家的经济和社会背景相联系。此外,还解释了精英体育赛事赞助与草根体育赛事赞助之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Categorizing behavioral and formed concepts in sports marketing research 体育营销研究中的行为和形成概念分类
Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-10-2022-0188
Tobias Müller, Florian Schuberth, Jörg Henseler
PurposeSports marketing and sponsorship research is located at the intersection of behavioral and design research, which means that it analyzes the current world and shapes a future world. This dual focus poses challenges for formulating and testing theories of sports marketing.Design/methodology/approachThis article develops criteria for categorizing theoretical concepts as either behavioral or formed as different ways of expressing ideas of sports marketing research. It emphasizes the need for clear concept categorization for proper operationalization and applies these criteria to selected theoretical concepts of sports marketing and sponsorship research.FindingsThe study defines three criteria to categorize theoretical concepts, namely (1) the guiding idea of research, (2) the role of observed variables, and (3) the relationship among observed variables. Applying these criteria to concepts of sports marketing research manifests the relevance of categorizing theoretical concepts as either behavioral or formed to operationalize concepts correctly.Originality/valueThis study is the first in sports marketing to clearly categorize theoretical concepts as either behavioral or formed, and to formulate guidelines on how to differentiate behavioral concepts from formed concepts.
目的体育营销和赞助研究位于行为研究和设计研究的交叉点,这意味着它既分析当前世界,又塑造未来世界。设计/方法学/方法本文制定了将理论概念分为行为概念和形成概念的标准,作为表达体育营销研究观点的不同方式。研究结果本研究定义了三个理论概念分类标准,即(1)研究的指导思想;(2)观察变量的作用;(3)观察变量之间的关系。将这些标准应用于体育营销研究的概念,体现了将理论概念划分为行为概念或形成概念以正确操作概念的相关性。原创性/价值本研究首次在体育营销领域将理论概念明确划分为行为概念或形成概念,并就如何区分行为概念和形成概念制定了指导原则。
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引用次数: 0
Transforming sport consumption: exploring motivated sport fans innovativeness in the context of AR live sport streaming 改变体育消费:探索 AR 体育直播背景下体育迷的创新动力
Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-09-2023-0180
Sungkyung Kim, Argyro Elisavet Manoli

Purpose

This study delves into the psychological processes underlying sport fans' post-purchase innovativeness behaviour. This exploratory research aims to establish a theoretical framework that elucidates the formation of sport fans' word-of-mouth (WOM) behaviours, particularly emphasising the structural relationship between motivated consumer innovativeness and satisfaction in using AR live-streaming services.

Design/methodology/approach

Utilising an online survey and convenience sampling, the study garnered a total of 243 usable responses from three online baseball fan communities in South Korea. Confirmatory factor analysis was employed to assess the psychometric properties of the constructs. Subsequently, a structural equation model was used to probe the influence of motivated consumer innovativeness on WOM, with a particular focus on the mediating role of satisfaction.

Findings

Three dimensions of motivated sport fans innovativeness – functional, hedonic and cognitive – showed a positive association with WOM, partly mediated by satisfaction. In contrast, socially motivated sport fans innovativeness did not directly lead to WOM but influenced it solely through satisfaction. The full mediating role of satisfaction in the relationship between socially motivated fans innovativeness and WOM was found.

Originality/value

This research stands out as one of the scant studies exploring motivated sport fans innovativeness in the context of AR live sport streaming. The findings not only corroborate but also augment the extant literature by empirically confirming that three dimensions of motivated fans innovativeness, coupled with satisfaction, are pivotal antecedents to WOM intention.

目的 本研究探讨了体育迷购买后创新行为的心理过程。本探索性研究旨在建立一个理论框架,以阐明体育迷口碑(WOM)行为的形成,尤其是强调消费者创新动机与使用 AR 直播服务的满意度之间的结构关系。设计/方法/途径本研究采用在线调查和便利抽样的方法,从韩国的三个在线棒球迷社区共获得 243 份可用回复。研究采用了确认性因子分析来评估构念的心理测量特性。研究结果体育迷创新动机的三个维度--功能性、享乐性和认知性--与 WOM 呈正相关,部分受满意度的影响。与此相反,社会动机型体育迷的创新性并不直接导致 WOM,而是完全通过满意度对其产生影响。满意度在社会动机型体育迷的创新性与 WOM 之间的关系中起着完全的中介作用。原创性/价值这项研究是探索 AR 体育直播背景下体育迷创新性的少数研究之一。研究结果通过实证证实,体育迷创新动机的三个维度以及满意度是 WOM 意向的关键前因,这不仅印证了现有文献,而且也是对现有文献的扩充。
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引用次数: 0
Dimensions and outcomes of experiential quality in the fitness industry: the case of Turkey 健身行业体验质量的维度和结果:土耳其案例
Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-06-2023-0130
Ali Sevilmiş, Mehmet Doğan, Pablo Gálvez-Ruiz, Jerónimo García-Fernández

Purpose

The user experience during the use of activities and services is a fundamental aspect for sports managers and can provide a competitive advantage. The purpose of this study was to identify the dimensions of experiential quality and the relationship of this construct with customer trust and customer satisfaction in achieving behavioral intention.

Design/methodology/approach

Using a convenience sampling technique, a total of 322 gym users in Turkey participated. A two-step approach was used to test both the model and the research hypotheses [confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) and structural equation modeling (SEM)].

Findings

The interaction quality, physical environmental quality, outcome quality and enjoyment quality were positively related to experiential quality. Similarly, the experimental quality was positively related to customer satisfaction and customer trust. Finally, customer satisfaction was related to behavioral intentions.

Originality/value

This study provides empirical evidence about the importance of experiential quality to gain a competitive advantage in the context of fitness centers.

目的 用户在使用活动和服务过程中的体验是体育管理者的一个基本方面,可以提供竞争优势。本研究旨在确定体验质量的维度,以及该维度与客户信任度和客户满意度在实现行为意向方面的关系。研究结果互动质量、物理环境质量、结果质量和享受质量与体验质量呈正相关。同样,实验质量与顾客满意度和顾客信任度呈正相关。原创性/价值本研究提供了经验证据,证明了体验质量对于健身中心获得竞争优势的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
What makes esports consumers watch streamers' esports live-streaming contents? Extending the theory of planned behavior 是什么让电竞消费者观看流媒体的电竞直播内容?扩展计划行为理论
Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-07-2023-0132
Wooyoung (William) Jang, Wonjun Choi, Min Jung Kim, Hyunseok Song, Kevin K. Byon

Purpose

This study aimed to understand better what makes esports fans engage with streamers' live-streaming of esports gameplay. This study used the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) and additionally adopted streamer identification and esports game identification as moderating variables.

Design/methodology/approach

Data were collected from streamers' esports content streaming viewers over 18 years of age using an online survey in Amazon M-Turk (N = 307). Based on past esports live-streaming weekly watching hours, which range from 1 to 45 h, the participants were divided into lower (n = 152) and higher (n = 155) frequency groups. PLS-SEM and bootstrapping techniques were used to test the moderated mediation relationships among the constructs.

Findings

This study found a negative moderating effect of past watching experience on the relationship between attitudes and behavioral intention, and it positively moderated the path between perceived behavioral control and behavioral intention. Also, it was found statistically significant direct impacts of streamer identification (STI) and esports game identification (EGI) on attitude and subjective norms. While the indirect impact of STI on behavioral intention through attitude was statistically significant, there were no significant indirect impacts of EGI on attitude and behavioral intention through subjective norms.

Originality/value

Theoretically, this study extends the TPB model by exploring the two identifications (i.e. streamers and esports games) as antecedents of the focal TPB factors (i.e. attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavioral control) and the moderating effect of prior experience based on high/low weekly watching frequencies. Practically, content creators of esports live-streaming and live-streaming platform managers can use the study’s findings to develop strategies to nurture their current and future viewership.

目的 本研究旨在更好地了解是什么让电竞爱好者参与到流媒体的电竞游戏直播中。本研究采用了计划行为理论(Theory of Planned Behavior,TPB),并将流媒体认同和电竞游戏认同作为调节变量。根据过去每周观看电竞直播的时长(1 到 45 小时不等),参与者被分为低频组(n = 152)和高频组(n = 155)。本研究发现,过去观看经验对态度和行为意向之间的关系具有负向调节作用,对感知行为控制和行为意向之间的路径具有正向调节作用。此外,研究还发现流媒体认同(STI)和电竞游戏认同(EGI)对态度和主观规范的直接影响在统计学上具有显著性。虽然 STI 通过态度对行为意向的间接影响在统计上有显著性,但 EGI 通过主观规范对态度和行为意向的间接影响没有显著性。原创性/价值从理论上讲,本研究通过探索两种认同(即流媒体和电竞游戏)作为 TPB 焦点因素(即态度、主观规范和感知行为控制)的前因,以及基于每周观看频率高/低的先前经验的调节作用,扩展了 TPB 模型。在实践中,电竞直播内容创作者和直播平台管理者可以利用本研究的发现来制定战略,以培养他们当前和未来的观众群。
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引用次数: 0
Providing a framework and guidelines for sport organizations to understand and predict sport consumer behavior 为体育组织了解和预测体育消费者行为提供框架和指南
Pub Date : 2024-01-29 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-05-2023-0087
Galen Trail

Purpose

The purpose of this commentary is to discuss a framework (the Revised Model of Sport Consumer Behavior – R-MSCB; Trail, 2019) to accomplish the following objectives. (1) Provide a framework for sport marketers and sport organizations to use in their own market research. (2) Designate the processes needed to generate results and knowledge that sport organizations, sport marketers and associated corporate partners can use to improve marketing campaigns. (3) Provide suggestions for analytic techniques and measurement constructs/instruments that will facilitate market research within the sport industry.

Design/methodology/approach

The author created a 140-item questionnaire for the pre-survey and a 50-item questionnaire for the post-survey. The pre-survey was given at the beginning of the season, and the post-survey was given at the end of the season. The research group has generated a sequence of 13 studies and has collected pre-survey responses from over 7,800 people across 4 continents, 8 sports and 13 teams (data collections), with more teams still planned and over 2,000 post-season survey responses with data collection continuing.

Findings

This project, with its 13 studies, will provide sport organizations with the theories/frameworks, knowledge and processes to do their own market research in a more effective and efficient manner and will show sport organizations how to understand the complexities of sport consumer behavior, the motivations behind it and how it varies extensively across individuals. The author will show sports organizations how to collect data from their consumers using valid and reliable measures and constructs that will allow them to segment their consumers, how to effectively market to those segments and how to establish long-lasting relationships that make a satisfied and loyal customer.

Originality/value

This paper provides the framework and guidelines so that sport marketers and researchers can identify specific variables, constructs and relationships that will further their own objectives when attempting to explain sport consumer behavior. Using their own market research, they can implement the results/output in association with the Communications Strategy Model to create more effective and efficient marketing and communications campaigns and consequently drive key performance indicators (KPIs) and improve revenue streams.

目的本评论旨在讨论一个框架(体育消费者行为修订模型--R-MSCB;特雷尔,2019 年),以实现以下目标。(1) 为体育营销人员和体育组织提供一个框架,供其在市场研究中使用。(2) 指定产生体育组织、体育营销人员和相关企业合作伙伴可用于改进营销活动的结果和知识所需的流程。(3) 为分析技术和测量结构/工具提供建议,以促进体育产业内的市场研究。前置调查在赛季开始时进行,后置调查在赛季结束时进行。研究小组共进行了 13 项研究,收集了来自 4 个大洲、8 个运动项目和 13 支球队的 7 800 多份前调查答卷(数据收集),还计划收集更多球队的数据,并收集了 2 000 多份赛季后调查答卷,数据收集工作仍在继续。研究结果该项目及其 13 项研究将为体育组织提供理论/框架、知识和流程,使其能够以更有效、更高效的方式开展自己的市场研究,并将向体育组织展示如何理解体育消费者行为的复杂性、背后的动机以及不同个体之间的广泛差异。作者将向体育组织展示如何使用有效、可靠的措施和结构从消费者那里收集数据,从而对消费者进行细分,如何有效地对这些细分市场进行营销,以及如何建立持久的关系,从而培养出满意、忠诚的客户。原创性/价值本文提供了框架和指导原则,使体育营销人员和研究人员在试图解释体育消费者行为时,能够确定具体的变量、结构和关系,从而进一步实现自己的目标。他们可以利用自己的市场调研结果/产出,结合传播战略模型,创建更有效、更高效的营销和传播活动,从而推动关键绩效指标(KPI)的实现并改善收入来源。
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引用次数: 0
How customer knowledge management helps retain fitness club members: a mediating effect of relationship quality 客户知识管理如何帮助留住健身俱乐部会员:关系质量的中介效应
Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1108/ijsms-07-2023-0136
Kenneth Shiu Pong Ng, Yan Feng, Ivan Ka Wai Lai, Lois Zi-Yu Yang

Purpose

This study aims to develop a conceptual model to understand how customer knowledge management (CKM) affects fitness club membership renewal through the mediation of relationship quality.

Design/methodology/approach

Data were collected outside of fitness clubs using a systematic sampling method. A total of 224 valid responses were collected. Structural equation modelling was used to evaluate the relationship between the constructs of the research model.

Findings

The results indicate that both knowledge from customers and knowledge for customers have a positive influence on customer satisfaction and customer trust. Among them, knowledge for customers has a stronger influence on customer satisfaction while knowledge from customers has a greater influence on customer trust. Additionally, three dimensions of relationship quality (customer satisfaction, customer trust and customer commitment) positively influence membership renewal intention with customer commitment exhibiting the greatest influence on it.

Originality/value

This study combines the theories of CKM and relationship quality management to explain why members will renew their service contracts. By using fitness clubs as an example, this research extends the authors' understanding of how knowledge from and for customers can influence customers' attitudes and behavioural intentions towards service companies.

目的 本研究旨在建立一个概念模型,以了解客户知识管理(CKM)如何通过关系质量的中介作用影响健身俱乐部会籍的续订。共收集到 224 份有效回复。研究结果表明,来自顾客的知识和为顾客提供的知识都对顾客满意度和顾客信任度有积极影响。其中,为客户提供的知识对客户满意度的影响更大,而来自客户的知识对客户信任度的影响更大。此外,关系质量的三个维度(顾客满意、顾客信任和顾客承诺)对会员续约意向有积极影响,其中顾客承诺对会员续约意向的影响最大。本研究以健身俱乐部为例,扩展了作者对来自客户和为客户提供的知识如何影响客户对服务公司的态度和行为意向的理解。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Sports Marketing and Sponsorship
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