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Empirical study on the performance of various machine learning models in predicting stock price movements as a binary classification task 关于各种机器学习模型在二元分类任务中预测股价走势性能的实证研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/55/20241403
Keqian Liu, Ang Li, Xinran Lin, Zhuobin Mao, Weiyang Zhang
This paper examines the accuracy of stock price rise-or-fall predictions of seven different machine learning algorithms, including support vector machines and random forests, for three industry types: securities, banks, and Internet companies. The purpose of the research is to explore the effects of different models in the stock market, so as to help people choose the optimal machine learning model in predicting different types of stocks. The study produced nine features based on the study by Patel et al for prediction. By collecting 9 types of stock data from companies in different industries, we performed necessary preprocessing on the data, fitted the model, tuned the parameters of the model and get the prediction result. Through the result, we found that the random forest algorithm has obvious advantages in binary classification prediction of stock prices. Linear discriminant analysis (LDA), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA) and logistic regression also have good fitting effects in this type of problem. K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) and Naive Bayes algorithms exhibit poor prediction accuracy.
本文针对证券、银行和互联网公司三种行业类型,研究了支持向量机和随机森林等七种不同机器学习算法对股价涨跌预测的准确性。研究的目的是探索不同模型在股票市场中的效果,从而帮助人们在预测不同类型股票时选择最优的机器学习模型。该研究在帕特尔等人的研究基础上产生了九种预测特征。通过收集不同行业公司的 9 种股票数据,我们对数据进行了必要的预处理,拟合了模型,调整了模型参数,得到了预测结果。通过结果,我们发现随机森林算法在股票价格二元分类预测中具有明显的优势。线性判别分析(LDA)、二次判别分析(QDA)和逻辑回归对这类问题也有很好的拟合效果。K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) 和 Naive Bayes 算法的预测准确率较低。
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引用次数: 0
Research on credit risk assessment optimization based on machine learning 基于机器学习的信用风险评估优化研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/69/20241497
Xuyang Zhang, Lidong Xu, Ningxin Li, Jianke Zou
Credit business is a vital part of the bank's core business, which has an extremely important impact on the bank's income and development. In the operation of credit business, credit risk assessment is particularly crucial, and accurate risk assessment can minimize risks while maximizing the bank's returns. We propose a method to optimize credit risk assessment using machine learning techniques. In this work, we employ a random forest machine learning model to process and analyze large amounts of loan application data. By using correlation analysis, information enrichment, etc., the characteristics that have the most impact on credit risk assessment are screened. Subsequently, the model was constructed using a random forest algorithm. Random forests improve the generalization ability and accuracy of the model by building multiple decision trees and introducing randomness between these trees. In the experimental analysis part, we compare the performance of various models on the German credit dataset, and the results show that the deep learning model outperforms the traditional machine learning model in most indicators, verifying the effectiveness of our method.
信贷业务是银行核心业务的重要组成部分,对银行的收入和发展有着极其重要的影响。在信贷业务的运营中,信贷风险评估尤为关键,准确的风险评估可以将风险降到最低,同时实现银行收益的最大化。我们提出了一种利用机器学习技术优化信贷风险评估的方法。在这项工作中,我们采用随机森林机器学习模型来处理和分析大量的贷款申请数据。通过相关性分析、信息富集等方法,筛选出对信用风险评估影响最大的特征。随后,使用随机森林算法构建模型。随机森林通过建立多棵决策树并在这些树之间引入随机性来提高模型的泛化能力和准确性。在实验分析部分,我们比较了各种模型在德国信贷数据集上的表现,结果表明深度学习模型在大多数指标上都优于传统的机器学习模型,验证了我们方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the dual source inventory system of perishable product warehouse using recurrent neural networks 利用递归神经网络研究易腐产品仓库的双源库存系统
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/55/20241440
Fangyu Sun
For a long time, the academic community has been searching for the best strategy to replenish inventory from multiple suppliers. To address these optimization problems,inventory managers need to decide how much to order from each vendor in the case of net inventory and outstanding orders in order to minimize the expected backlog,holding and procurementocsts jointly.Especially in terms of perishable products, there are many factors to consider. Scholars have been studying this issue for a long time, and there are many factors that need to be considered, such as how to minimize procurement costs. This article incorporates dynamic inventory and dynamic demand into the design of recurrent neural networks from the perspective of neural networks. The results indicate that using deep neural network optimization methods can obtain high-quality solutions and open up a new approach for effective management of complex high-dimensional inventory dynamics
长期以来,学术界一直在寻找从多个供应商补充库存的最佳策略。为了解决这些优化问题,库存管理者需要决定在净库存和未完成订单的情况下,向每个供应商订购多少库存,以便使预期的积压、持有和采购成本共同最小化。学者们对这一问题的研究由来已久,需要考虑的因素很多,如如何使采购成本最小化等。本文从神经网络的角度出发,将动态库存和动态需求纳入递归神经网络的设计中。结果表明,利用深度神经网络优化方法可以获得高质量的解决方案,为有效管理复杂的高维库存动态开辟了一条新途径
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引用次数: 0
Improvement research of Invariant Collaborative Filtering 不变协作过滤的改进研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/55/20241422
Luyang Yu, Shanglin Han, Muheng He, Zekai Yang, Xinyue Hu
The rapid expansion of e-commerce has led to product oversaturation on online platforms. To help users find their preferred products in a more efficient and accurate way, many e-commerce platforms have introduced personalized recommendation systems. Collaborative filtering is one of the most successful techniques, while its improvement, Invariant Collaborative Filtering (Inv-CF), aims to address the popularity bias problem of traditional CF models by capturing unbiased preferences that remain constant despite the change in popularity distributions. However, Inv-CF model still experiences some problems such as ignoring the influence of attention, causing performance less effective when analyzing the representation of implicit feedback. This paper explores the enhancement of Inv-CF, a recommendation system model designed to mitigate the influence of popularity bias. We defined the experimental framework and evaluated the performance of the improved Inv-CF on two benchmark datasets, Yahoo! R3 and COAT. And the results demonstrate significant performance gains over the original Inv-CF, highlighting the effectiveness of the proposed enhancements. In conclusion, this paper presents improvements to the Inv-CF model's loss functions, addressing issues related to popularity bias in collaborative filtering.
电子商务的迅猛发展导致了在线平台上产品的过度饱和。为了帮助用户更高效、更准确地找到自己喜欢的产品,许多电子商务平台都推出了个性化推荐系统。协作过滤是最成功的技术之一,而它的改进版--不变协作过滤(Inv-CF)--旨在通过捕捉在流行度分布变化时保持不变的无偏偏好,解决传统协作过滤模型的流行度偏差问题。然而,Inv-CF 模型仍存在一些问题,如忽略了注意力的影响,导致在分析隐式反馈表示时性能不佳。本文探讨了 Inv-CF 模型的增强问题,这是一个旨在减轻流行度偏差影响的推荐系统模型。我们定义了实验框架,并在雅虎 R3 和 COAT 这两个基准数据集上评估了改进后的 Inv-CF 的性能。结果表明,与原始 Inv-CF 相比,性能有了显著提高,凸显了所提改进的有效性。总之,本文提出了对 Inv-CF 模型损失函数的改进,解决了协同过滤中与流行度偏差相关的问题。
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引用次数: 0
A review of decision-making frameworks for autonomous vehicles 自动驾驶汽车决策框架综述
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/79/20241588
Zewen Guo
This review has discussed framework of the decision making in automatic vehicles which is rarely adopted in current researches. Autonomous driving, a step forward in assisted driving technology and the rapid advancement of automotive electronics, has become an essential means to address traffic issues in the future. This area has been a major focus for research on technology worldwide. The history of human transportation has been significantly altered by autonomous driving in recent years. This paper will concisely outline the evolution of this technology and its associated components. On this basis, this paper also reviews the development in different sorts of decision making. It also analyses characteristics, as well as their advantages and disadvantages of some typical application among the different decision making. Summarizing the current predicaments of automated driving, this paper looks to what lies ahead for autonomous driving technology's future development.
本综述讨论了当前研究中很少采用的自动驾驶汽车决策框架。自动驾驶是辅助驾驶技术的进步,也是汽车电子技术的飞速发展,已成为未来解决交通问题的重要手段。这一领域一直是全球技术研究的重点。近年来,自动驾驶技术极大地改变了人类交通的历史。本文将简明扼要地概述这一技术及其相关组件的演变过程。在此基础上,本文还将回顾不同决策类型的发展。本文还将分析不同决策中一些典型应用的特点及其优缺点。在总结了自动驾驶技术目前所面临的困境后,本文展望了自动驾驶技术未来的发展前景。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis and trend prediction of COVID-19 pandemic data based on big data visualization 基于大数据可视化的 COVID-19 流行病数据分析与趋势预测
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/69/20241513
Xinyuan Lu
Since the outbreak of COVID-19 at the end of 2019, this global public health crisis has profoundly impacted the socio-economic conditions and daily life of countries worldwide. To effectively combat the pandemic, scientists and public health experts rely on vast amounts of data to track the progression of the disease, evaluate the effectiveness of control measures, and predict future trends. Big data technology plays a crucial role in the analysis of pandemic data and trend forecasting. This paper will explore the methods of analyzing COVID-19 pandemic data and the application of trend forecasting.
自 COVID-19 于 2019 年底爆发以来,这场全球公共卫生危机已深刻影响了世界各国的社会经济状况和日常生活。为了有效应对这一疫情,科学家和公共卫生专家依靠海量数据来追踪疫情进展、评估控制措施的有效性并预测未来趋势。大数据技术在大流行病数据分析和趋势预测方面发挥着至关重要的作用。本文将探讨 COVID-19 大流行数据的分析方法和趋势预测的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the landscape of recommendation systems: Evolution, algorithms, applications, and future prospects 揭开推荐系统的面纱:演变、算法、应用和未来前景
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/79/20241272
Yanzhe Wu, Zhan Yang
The purpose of this review paper is to explore the development history, core algorithms, application domains, and future trends of recommendation systems. In the era of information overload, recommendation systems are essential tools that have proven to be highly successful in diverse fields, such as e-commerce, social media, and movie recommendations. The paper examines various types of recommendation systems, including collaborative filtering, content filtering, and deep learning methods, analyzing their strengths and limitations. By delving into the intricate details of these systems, this study provides valuable insights into the advancements and challenges in recommendation technology. Understanding the evolution and capabilities of recommendation systems is crucial in harnessing their potential and improving user experiences in the dynamic digital landscape.
本综述旨在探讨推荐系统的发展历史、核心算法、应用领域和未来趋势。在信息过载的时代,推荐系统是不可或缺的工具,在电子商务、社交媒体和电影推荐等不同领域都取得了巨大成功。本文研究了各种类型的推荐系统,包括协同过滤、内容过滤和深度学习方法,分析了它们的优势和局限性。通过深入研究这些系统错综复杂的细节,本研究为了解推荐技术的进步和挑战提供了宝贵的见解。在动态的数字环境中,了解推荐系统的演变和功能对于发挥其潜力和改善用户体验至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Classification of pneumonia caused by Covid-19 based on deep learning model 基于深度学习模型的 Covid-19 引起的肺炎分类
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/79/20241401
Shaopeng Cheng
With the unexpected spread of Covid-19 in 2019, such disease took away millions of peoples lives. Therefore, investigating and curing Covid-19 become a very mandatory issue in different areas, such as biology, medicine, and statistics. This paper investigates different models of CNN in deep learning of computers in analyzing X-ray pictures of normal pneumonia and Covid-19 caused pneumonia patients. The database is from Kaggle and contains over 8000 images of X-rays of the chest. Besides, this paper discusses the imaging process technology, such as ConvNeXt, to edit X-ray images more convenient for computers to analyze and dispose of. According to the comparison of the sequential model and DenseNet model in CNN, the sequential model has better performance and accuracy. In the conclusion part, this paper also investigates whether better image processing work can improve the performance of models. Overall, these results shed light on guiding further exploration of both analyzing and distinguishing Covid-19 patients and normal pneumonia patients in order to decrease the work of hospitals and cure different patients in time.
随着 Covid-19 在 2019 年的意外传播,这种疾病夺走了数百万人的生命。因此,研究和治疗 Covid-19 成为生物学、医学和统计学等不同领域的一个非常重要的课题。本文研究了计算机深度学习中的 CNN 在分析正常肺炎和 Covid-19 引起的肺炎患者的 X 光图片时的不同模型。数据库来自 Kaggle,包含 8000 多张胸部 X 光图片。此外,本文还讨论了 ConvNeXt 等成像处理技术,以编辑 X 光图像,更方便计算机分析和处置。根据 CNN 中顺序模型和 DenseNet 模型的比较,顺序模型具有更好的性能和准确性。在结论部分,本文还研究了更好的图像处理工作是否能提高模型的性能。总之,这些结果为进一步探索分析和区分 Covid-19 患者和正常肺炎患者提供了指导,以减少医院的工作量,及时治愈不同的患者。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Models: Regression, Decision Trees, and Clustering 预测模型:回归、决策树和聚类
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/79/20241551
Xiang Huang
This paper explores three fundamental machine learning techniqueslinear regression, k-means clustering, and decision treesand their applications in predictive modeling. In the era of data proliferation, machine learning stands at the intersection of computer science and artificial intelligence, playing a pivotal role in algorithm and model development for enhanced predictions and decision-making. The study delves into the intricacies of these techniques, starting with a focus on linear regression, a supervised learning algorithm for establishing relationships between independent and dependent variables. The process involves data preparation, exploration, feature selection, model building, and evaluation. A practical example demonstrates the application of linear regression in analyzing the relationship between income and happiness. The exploration then extends to k-means clustering, an unsupervised learning algorithm used for grouping unlabeled datasets into distinct clusters. The iterative nature of k-means involves assigning data points to clusters based on centroid proximity, contributing to efficient data exploration. A graphical representation illustrates the step-by-step process of data point grouping and centroid recalibration. The advantages of k-means, including computational efficiency and simplicity, are discussed, along with considerations such as sensitivity to initialization and the manual specification of the number of clusters. The paper concludes with an examination of decision trees, versatile algorithms used for both classification and regression tasks. Decision trees construct hierarchical structures based on features, facilitating straightforward decision-making processes. A practical example illustrates how decision trees assess credit risk based on credit history and loan term. The strengths of decision trees, such as visual representation and non-linear pattern capture, are outlined, alongside considerations like overfitting. In summary, this paper provides insights into the strengths, limitations, and applications of linear regression, k-means clustering, and decision trees. These techniques offer valuable tools in data analysis and prediction, with their effectiveness dependent on specific problem domains and datasets. The study contributes to a comprehensive understanding of these machine learning methods and suggests future research directions, including exploring advanced variations and real-world applications.
本文探讨了三种基本的机器学习技术线性回归、均值聚类和决策树及其在预测建模中的应用。在数据激增的时代,机器学习处于计算机科学和人工智能的交叉点,在算法和模型开发中发挥着举足轻重的作用,以增强预测和决策能力。本研究深入探讨了这些技术的复杂性,首先关注线性回归,这是一种用于建立自变量和因变量之间关系的监督学习算法。这一过程包括数据准备、探索、特征选择、模型建立和评估。一个实例展示了线性回归在分析收入与幸福感之间关系中的应用。然后,探索延伸到 k-means 聚类,这是一种无监督学习算法,用于将未标记的数据集划分为不同的聚类。k-means 的迭代性质包括根据中心点的接近程度将数据点分配到聚类中,从而有助于高效的数据探索。图表说明了数据点分组和中心点重新校准的逐步过程。论文讨论了 k-means 的优势,包括计算效率和简便性,以及对初始化和手动指定聚类数量的敏感性等注意事项。论文最后对决策树进行了研究,决策树是一种通用算法,可用于分类和回归任务。决策树基于特征构建层次结构,有助于直接的决策过程。一个实例说明了决策树如何根据信用记录和贷款期限评估信用风险。本文概述了决策树的优势,如可视化表示和非线性模式捕捉,以及过拟合等注意事项。总之,本文深入探讨了线性回归、均值聚类和决策树的优势、局限性和应用。这些技术为数据分析和预测提供了宝贵的工具,其有效性取决于特定的问题领域和数据集。这项研究有助于全面了解这些机器学习方法,并提出了未来的研究方向,包括探索高级变体和实际应用。
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引用次数: 0
An improved DWA algorithm in agricultural robot 改进的农业机器人 DWA 算法
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.54254/2755-2721/79/20241597
Yucheng Zhang
The study of robot research necessitates the exploration of path planning. The goal of this paper is to enable multiple robots with different functions to reach the designated place quickly and accurately in the orchard environment. In comparison, avoiding collisions, deadlocks, and other complications. This paper has chosen to employ the upgraded A-star algorithm in the global layer as its strategy. An improved DWA algorithm is used in the local layer. In addition, the Voronoi graph method is introduced to limit the search area and solve the obstacle avoidance problem of multiple robots. The left-turn method is applied to the deadlock problem of multiple robots. Finally, the obstacle avoidance efficiency in a multi-obstacle environment is simulated to verify the algorithm's effectiveness.
机器人研究必须对路径规划进行探索。本文的目标是使具有不同功能的多个机器人在果园环境中快速、准确地到达指定地点。相比之下,避免碰撞、死锁和其他复杂情况。本文选择在全局层采用升级版 A-star 算法作为策略。在局部层采用了改进的 DWA 算法。此外,还引入了 Voronoi 图法来限制搜索区域,解决多机器人避障问题。左转法被应用于多个机器人的死锁问题。最后,模拟了多障碍物环境下的避障效率,以验证算法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
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Applied and Computational Engineering
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