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Review of Resilience Evaluation Methods in Operational Highway Tunnel 运营公路隧道抗灾能力评估方法综述
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1155/2024/9273719
Junhao Tong, Weikang Zhang, Changjun Li, Dongyang Yuan, Huiyuan Lou, Qiang Wang, Haozheng Wang, Junli Zhai

The research on tunnel resilience has garnered increasing attention in recent years. Owing to prolonged exposure to natural or anthropogenic factors, the resilience level of many highway tunnels is continuously declining, rendering them susceptible to sudden accidents and challenging to restore postincident. Currently, although several scholars have employed diverse evaluation methods in their research on tunnel resilience, there is a lack of summarization and integration of these methods. In addition, there is also a dearth of a unified evaluation index system and framework for different types of natural or man-made disasters, which are crucial for advancing the development of tunnel resilience evaluation. This study commences with an introduction to the origin of resilience and the definition of tunnel resilience, and comprehensively summarizes commonly employed evaluation methods. Subsequently, this study centers on the resilience evaluation methods in tunnel engineering and analyzes their strengths and weaknesses. Besides, the distribution of resilience metrics in current researches is analyzed and the detailed explanations for the diverse choices are provided. According to the results and deficiencies of existing research, combined with the author’s perspectives, the index systems, evaluation frameworks, and resilience improvement strategies are proposed, which can be applied to the resilience evaluation of various operational highway tunnels under diverse disaster scenarios. Furthermore, this study also presents a case study on the evaluation of tunnel fire resilience to validate the applicability of the research findings. These findings aim to provide a guide for the operation and maintenance management of the operating tunnels and improve the scientific decision-making level of tunnel maintenance.

近年来,有关隧道复原力的研究日益受到关注。由于长期暴露在自然或人为因素的影响下,许多公路隧道的恢复力水平不断下降,使其容易受到突发事故的影响,且事故后的恢复工作具有挑战性。目前,虽然一些学者在隧道抗灾能力的研究中采用了多种评价方法,但缺乏对这些方法的总结和整合。此外,针对不同类型的自然或人为灾害,也缺乏统一的评价指标体系和框架,而这些对于推进隧道抗灾能力评价的发展至关重要。本研究首先介绍了抗灾能力的起源和隧道抗灾能力的定义,并全面总结了常用的评价方法。随后,本研究围绕隧道工程中的弹性评价方法,分析了其优缺点。此外,还分析了当前研究中弹性指标的分布情况,并详细解释了不同选择的原因。根据现有研究的成果和不足,结合作者的观点,提出了指标体系、评价框架和弹性改进策略,可应用于不同灾害场景下各种运营公路隧道的弹性评价。此外,本研究还提出了一个隧道火灾复原力评估案例,以验证研究成果的适用性。这些研究成果旨在为运营隧道的运营维护管理提供指导,提高隧道维护的科学决策水平。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Emission Reduction Policies along an Urban Arterial Highway Using the AIMSUN Model 利用 AIMSUN 模型评估城市干线公路的减排政策
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6309854
Meshack W. Okebe, Silvester O. Abuodha, Meshack O. A. Ochieng

The rapid growth of cities and the increasing traffic congestion have made vehicle emissions worse, especially in developing countries. Governments worldwide are now relying on regulations and policies to manage and reduce these emissions effectively. This change in approach towards emission control is also happening in developing nations. In this study, the effects of these policy measures are quantified using a calibrated integrated traffic and emission model (AIMSUN), and two hypothetical scenarios were analyzed: one scenario is where electric vehicles (EVs) replace traditional internal combustion EVs (ICEVs) in the study area and another scenario is assuming strict implementation of Euro 4/IV emission standards. The results showed that shifting towards a higher proportion of EVs leads to significant reductions in emissions but requires increased battery consumption, highlighting the trade-off between reducing emissions and higher energy demand. Implementing Euro 4/IV standards could considerably reduce emissions, especially from motorcycles and trucks. It suggests that focusing on these categories with a phased implementation approach could bring significant environmental benefits. Policymakers in developing countries should adopt a rounded approach instead of implementing strict policies. It is crucial for them to carefully weigh the pros and cons of policy instruments before making any decisions. This study shows how traffic micro-simulation modeling coupled with emission models can be used in evidence-based decision-making.

城市的快速发展和日益拥堵的交通使汽车尾气排放更加严重,尤其是在发展中国家。世界各国政府目前正依靠法规和政策来有效管理和减少这些排放。这种排放控制方法的变化也发生在发展中国家。在本研究中,使用校准过的综合交通和排放模型(AIMSUN)对这些政策措施的影响进行了量化,并分析了两种假设情景:一种情景是电动汽车(EV)取代研究地区的传统内燃电动汽车(ICEV),另一种情景是假设严格执行欧 4/IV 排放标准。结果表明,提高电动汽车的比例可显著减少排放量,但需要增加电池消耗量,这凸显了减少排放量与增加能源需求之间的权衡。实施欧 4/IV 标准可以大大减少排放,尤其是摩托车和卡车的排放。这表明,以这些类别为重点,采用分阶段实施的方法,可以带来显著的环境效益。发展中国家的政策制定者应采取综合方法,而不是实施严格的政策。在做出任何决定之前,他们必须仔细权衡政策工具的利弊。本研究表明,交通微观模拟模型与排放模型相结合,可用于循证决策。
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引用次数: 0
A Route Diversity–Based Approach for Estimating Vulnerability of Stations in a Multimodal Public Transport Network 基于路线多样性的多式公共交通网络站点脆弱性估算方法
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6995651
Jianlin Jia, Yuwen Huang, Wanting Zhang, Yanyan Chen, Zhuo Liu

Multimodal public transport network (MPTN) plays an important role in relieving road traffic pressure for metropolitan area. Nevertheless, the impact of an accident happened in an individual station may not only disrupt the station itself or the single lines that go through the station but also spread over the whole network. Therefore, identifying the vulnerable stations is essential for improving the MPTN management against the systematic risk caused by accidents. In this paper, we proposed a route diversity-based approach to measure the vulnerability of stations in MPTN based on the complex network theory. The route constraint parameters were established to reflect the travel time restriction in constructing the set of passengers’ acceptable routes. In addition, an algorithm was formulated to rapidly calculate the route diversity index and meanwhile avoid the “overlapping routes” problem. A simple virtual network was used as a numerical example to compare the proposed approach with the vulnerability evaluation approaches based on degree centrality and betweenness centrality. Finally, the proposed approach was applied to the MPTN of Beijing to explain its effectiveness and potential applications. The results show that the proposed method can efficaciously estimate vulnerable nodes compared with degree centrality and betweenness centrality. Meanwhile, the acceptable routes between any OD pairs in the MPTN are 1–10 according to the constrained parameter. In addition, the average number of acceptable routes between OD pairs of Beijing MPTN is 3.649. By ranking the stations according to their vulnerability, it can be found that the top 5 vulnerable stations are all external traffic hubs or the stations around famous commercial areas. The results suggest that these stations are significant for external transport as well as crucial for internal urban transportation systems. The research output could contribute to the MPTN management in accident prevention and emergency handling.

多式联运公共交通网络(MPTN)在缓解大都市区道路交通压力方面发挥着重要作用。然而,发生在单个车站的事故所造成的影响可能不仅会破坏车站本身或途经车站的单条线路,还会波及整个网络。因此,识别易受影响的车站对于改进 MPTN 管理以防范事故造成的系统性风险至关重要。本文基于复杂网络理论,提出了一种基于线路多样性的方法来衡量 MPTN 中车站的脆弱性。在构建乘客可接受路线集时,建立了路线约束参数以反映旅行时间限制。此外,还制定了一种算法来快速计算路线多样性指数,同时避免 "路线重叠 "问题。以一个简单的虚拟网络为例,比较了所提出的方法与基于度中心性和度间中心性的脆弱性评估方法。最后,将提出的方法应用于北京的 MPTN,以解释其有效性和潜在应用。结果表明,与度中心性和间度中心性相比,所提出的方法能有效地估计易受攻击的节点。同时,根据约束参数,MPTN 中任意 OD 对之间的可接受路由为 1-10。此外,北京 MPTN 的 OD 对之间的平均可接受路由数为 3.649。根据车站的易损性进行排序,可以发现易损性排名前 5 位的车站均为对外交通枢纽或著名商业区周边的车站。结果表明,这些车站不仅对对外交通意义重大,对城市内部交通系统也至关重要。该研究成果可在事故预防和应急处理方面为 MPTN 管理做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Improving the Urban Transport System Resilience Through Adaptive Traffic Signal Control Enabled by Decentralised Multiagent Reinforcement Learning 通过分散式多代理强化学习实现自适应交通信号控制,提高城市交通系统的复原力
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1155/2024/3035753
Xiangmin Yang, Yi Yu, Yuxiang Feng, Washington Yotto Ochieng

The principle of system resilience is its ability to withstand disruptions and maintain an equilibrium state. In urban network systems, adaptive traffic signal control (ATSC) has been an effective countermeasure to mitigate traffic flow disturbance and improve resilience. This research has explored the usage of a decentralised advantage actor-critic (a2c) algorithm-based ATSC in mitigating disruptions, particularly nonrecurring congestion caused by car accidents. A reward function has also been proposed, combining deduced resilience metric, safety indicator time to collision (TTC) and system performance. A virtual simulation environment was created using simulation of urban mobility (SUMO) to facilitate the evaluation of the proposed approach. In the grid simulation environment, an overall 5.8% improvement is achieved, exceeding benchmark algorithms in three metrics, especially performance with a margin of over 5.2%. Robustness against different levels of car accidents are proven as well. Further evaluation is also implemented based on a real-world case study and demonstrates an improvement of 20.08%, highlighting the correlation of proposed method’s efficiency on the traffic flow rate and road structure.

系统复原力的原理是系统能够承受干扰并保持平衡状态。在城市网络系统中,自适应交通信号控制(ATSC)一直是缓解交通流干扰和提高弹性的有效对策。这项研究探索了基于分散优势行为批判(a2c)算法的自适应交通信号控制在缓解干扰方面的应用,特别是由车祸引起的非经常性拥堵。研究还提出了一种奖励函数,将推导出的弹性指标、安全指标碰撞时间(TTC)和系统性能结合起来。为了便于对所提出的方法进行评估,我们使用城市交通仿真(SUMO)创建了一个虚拟仿真环境。在网格仿真环境中,该方法的整体性能提高了 5.8%,在三项指标上超过了基准算法,尤其是性能提高了 5.2%。针对不同程度的汽车事故的鲁棒性也得到了证明。基于实际案例研究还进行了进一步的评估,结果表明该方法提高了 20.08%,凸显了建议方法的效率与交通流量和道路结构的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Classification and Prediction of Vehicle Lane-Changing Crash Risk Levels Based on Video Trajectory Data 基于视频轨迹数据的车辆变道碰撞风险等级分类与预测
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1155/2024/9437594
Shijie Gao, Lanxin Jiao, Haiyue Wang, Xiu Pan, Yixian Li, Jiandong Zhao

To investigate the potential lane-changing collision risks that may arise between vehicles during lane changes and those in the original lane, a model for vehicle lane-changing collision risk is constructed specifically for this scenario, and a research analysis is conducted. First, based on vehicle trajectory data, a sample set capturing the relationships between vehicles traveling in a straight line and those changing lanes laterally is extracted and built. Interpolation methods are then applied to fill in missing values, outliers are eliminated, and data noise is smoothed during preprocessing. After preprocessing, a total of 468 vehicle pairs and 265,392 data points are obtained. Second, a real-time collision time model is established based on the preprocessed data, and collision risk probabilities are calculated accordingly. Then, the collision risks are classified into four levels based on whether the vehicle on the side actually changes lanes and the severity of the collision risks. Finally, a light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) learning method is adopted to predict the risk levels and analyze the main factors that significantly impact the severity of collision risks. The results indicate that the longitudinal distance between the target vehicle and the preceding vehicle is the most critical influencing factor, followed by the speed of the target vehicle itself, and then the speed difference between the target vehicle and the preceding vehicle. The influence of other factors is relatively similar and does not have a significant impact.

为了研究变道过程中车辆与原车道车辆之间可能产生的潜在变道碰撞风险,我们专门针对这一场景构建了车辆变道碰撞风险模型,并进行了研究分析。首先,基于车辆轨迹数据,提取并建立了一个样本集,该样本集捕捉了直线行驶车辆与横向变道车辆之间的关系。然后,在预处理过程中采用插值方法填补缺失值、消除异常值并平滑数据噪声。经过预处理后,共获得 468 对车辆和 265 392 个数据点。其次,根据预处理数据建立实时碰撞时间模型,并据此计算碰撞风险概率。然后,根据侧面车辆是否实际变道以及碰撞风险的严重程度,将碰撞风险分为四个等级。最后,采用光梯度提升机(LightGBM)学习方法预测风险等级,并分析对碰撞风险严重程度有显著影响的主要因素。结果表明,目标车辆与前车之间的纵向距离是最关键的影响因素,其次是目标车辆本身的速度,然后是目标车辆与前车之间的速度差。其他因素的影响相对类似,影响不大。
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引用次数: 0
Development of Modified Temporal Safety Performance Function Considering Various Time Flows 开发考虑到各种时间流的修正时态安全性能函数
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1155/2024/7970454
Yeji Sung, Seunghwan Kim, Juneyoung Park, Ling Wang

Safety performance functions (SPFs) have become valuable tools for estimating the relationships between crashes and various causal factors when constructing crash-prediction models. However, the commonly used independent variable, the annual average daily traffic (AADT) is data on a yearly basis, which has limitations in capturing the temporal characteristics of traffic flows influenced by the passage of time. Accordingly, there have also been many studies using 15 min data to reflect real-time, which is an important time unit to understand changes in highway traffic flow. However, such a short time unit has the limitation of high instability and randomness. In light of this, this study recognizes the importance of the 15 min time interval and proposes a new approach by developing a modified hourly model that aggregates data at fine-grained 15 min intervals (00, 15, 30, and 45 min, both at the beginning and end), instead of the traditional hourly data that starts and ends at the peak of each hour to compensate for the existing limitations. The analysis focused on South Korea’s nationwide highways, and models were developed based on both statistical and machine-learning approaches to compare their performances for selecting the final model. Additionally, a modified temporal SPF is introduced to predict crashes by assigning weights based on a Dirichlet distribution to models with overlapping time intervals aggregated in 15 min increments. This innovative approach overcomes the limitations of existing 15 min models, where the number of crashes is too small for effective training if the model is simply developed by dividing the time. The anticipated outcome is that the proposed model will demonstrate excellent performance and serve as an effective tool for predicting highway crash risks.

在构建碰撞预测模型时,安全性能函数(SPF)已成为估算碰撞事故与各种因果关系的重要工具。然而,常用的自变量--年平均日交通量(AADT)是按年计算的数据,在捕捉受时间影响的交通流的时间特征方面存在局限性。因此,也有许多研究使用 15 分钟的数据来反映实时情况,这是了解公路交通流量变化的一个重要时间单位。然而,如此短的时间单位具有不稳定性和随机性强的局限性。有鉴于此,本研究认识到 15 分钟时间间隔的重要性,并提出了一种新的方法,即开发一种改进的小时模型,以细粒度的 15 分钟时间间隔(00、15、30 和 45 分钟,包括开始和结束时间)来汇总数据,而不是以每小时的高峰开始和结束的传统小时数据,以弥补现有的局限性。分析的重点是韩国全国的高速公路,并基于统计和机器学习方法开发了模型,比较其性能以选择最终模型。此外,还引入了修改后的时间 SPF,通过为以 15 分钟为增量的重叠时间间隔模型分配基于 Dirichlet 分布的权重来预测碰撞事故。这种创新方法克服了现有 15 分钟模型的局限性,即如果简单地通过划分时间来建立模型,碰撞事故的数量太少,无法进行有效的训练。预期结果是,拟议的模型将表现出卓越的性能,并成为预测高速公路碰撞风险的有效工具。
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引用次数: 0
Longitudinal Hierarchical Control of Autonomous Vehicle Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning and PID Algorithm 基于深度强化学习和 PID 算法的自动驾驶汽车纵向分层控制
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1155/2024/2179275
Jialu Ma, Pingping Zhang, Yixian Li, Yuhang Gao, Jiandong Zhao

Longitudinal control of autonomous vehicles (AVs) has long been a prominent subject and challenge. A hierarchical longitudinal control system that integrates deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) and proportional–integral–derivative (PID) control algorithms was proposed in this paper to ensure safe and efficient vehicle operation. First, a hierarchical control structure was employed to devise the longitudinal control algorithm, utilizing a Carsim-based model of the vehicle’s longitudinal dynamics. Subsequently, an upper controller algorithm was developed, combining DDPG and PID, wherein perceptual information such as leading vehicle speed and distance served as input state for the DDPG algorithm to determine PID parameters and output the desired acceleration of the vehicle. Following this, a lower controller was designed employing a PID-based driving and braking switching strategy. The disparity between the desired and actual accelerations was fed into the PID, which calculated the control acceleration to enact the driving and braking switching strategy. Finally, the effectiveness of the designed control algorithm was validated through simulation scenarios using Carsim and Simulink. Results demonstrate that the longitudinal control method proposed herein adeptly manages vehicle speed and following distance, thus satisfying the safety requirements of AVs.

长期以来,自动驾驶汽车(AV)的纵向控制一直是一个突出的课题和挑战。本文提出了一种集成了深度确定性策略梯度(DDPG)和比例积分派生(PID)控制算法的分层纵向控制系统,以确保车辆安全高效地运行。首先,利用基于 Carsim 的车辆纵向动力学模型,采用分层控制结构设计纵向控制算法。随后,结合 DDPG 和 PID,开发了上层控制器算法,将前方车速和距离等感知信息作为 DDPG 算法的输入状态,以确定 PID 参数并输出所需的车辆加速度。随后,设计了一个下级控制器,采用基于 PID 的驾驶和制动切换策略。期望加速度和实际加速度之间的差异被输入 PID,PID 计算出控制加速度,以实施驾驶和制动切换策略。最后,通过使用 Carsim 和 Simulink 进行仿真,验证了所设计控制算法的有效性。结果表明,本文提出的纵向控制方法能够很好地管理车速和跟车距离,从而满足自动驾驶汽车的安全要求。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Factors Influencing Public Acceptance of Air Taxis in South Korea 影响韩国公众接受空中出租车的因素分析
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1155/2024/6555597
Ansun Park, Seungmin Lee

Air taxis, a core service within urban air mobility (UAM), have the potential to enhance user satisfaction and address societal challenges such as traffic congestion and environmental pollution. However, the success of this service is often hindered by various concerns. To ensure successful implementation, we investigate the factors influencing public acceptance of air taxis. This study distinguishes itself from previous research in three key aspects. First, it introduces a novel classification of the factors into individual and societal dimensions. Second, it is among the first to apply a value-based adoption model to understand the intention to adopt air taxis, including UAM. Third, it uniquely considers the Korean perspective, unlike most existing studies that focus on Western cultural contexts. To identify the consumers’ perceptions, we conducted interviews with experts and surveyed a sample of 1,000 members of the general public in Korea. Our findings suggest that perceived value for society, as well as perceived value for individual users, significantly influences adoption intention. We discuss both academic insights and practical implications for policy and industry, supporting the commercialization of Korean UAM (K-UAM) promoted by the Korean government.

空中出租车是城市空中交通(UAM)的一项核心服务,具有提高用户满意度和应对交通拥堵和环境污染等社会挑战的潜力。然而,这项服务的成功往往受到各种问题的阻碍。为确保成功实施,我们调查了影响公众接受空中出租车的因素。本研究在三个关键方面有别于以往的研究。首先,它引入了一种新颖的分类方法,将因素分为个人和社会两个维度。其次,它是首批应用基于价值的采用模型来理解采用空中出租车(包括 UAM)意图的研究之一。第三,它独特地考虑了韩国人的视角,这与大多数关注西方文化背景的现有研究不同。为了确定消费者的看法,我们对专家进行了访谈,并对韩国的 1000 名普通民众进行了抽样调查。我们的研究结果表明,对社会的感知价值和对个人用户的感知价值对采用意向有重大影响。我们讨论了学术见解以及对政策和行业的实际影响,支持韩国政府推动的韩国无人机市场(K-UAM)商业化。
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引用次数: 0
Decision-Making and Path Planning for Head-On Collision Avoidance on Curved Roads 在弯曲道路上避免迎面碰撞的决策和路径规划
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1155/2024/8171722
Masoud Abdollahinia, Ali Ghaffari, Shahram Azadi

Deviating to the left on two-way roads can result in fatal head-on collisions. This article presents an intelligent decision-making and path-planning algorithm aimed at avoiding collision with a vehicle that has deviated from the opposing lane. The path-planning process utilizes the model predictive control (MPC) approach, employing a linear kinematic prediction model with a horizon of 2 seconds. Considering that the deviated vehicle may abruptly return to its original lane at any moment, its motion is associated with significant uncertainty. To address this challenge, the path-planning algorithm directs the ego vehicle (EV) under specific constraints to ensure that both the left and right sides of the road are symmetrically reachable in future time steps. This enables the decision-making algorithm to select the safer direction for evasive maneuver at the appropriate moment. The motion prediction of the threat vehicle (TV) is conducted until the potential collision time, taking into account its motion history, and is utilized in the decision-making process. Once the maneuver direction is determined, the collision-free path planning continues using the MPC method. To evaluate the algorithm, six simulations are conducted, modeling various distant and close encounter states of the vehicles on roads with left- and right-hand curves. The simulation results indicate the flexibility and appropriate performance of the algorithm in planning safe and maneuverable paths.

在双向道路上向左偏离可能导致致命的正面碰撞。本文介绍了一种智能决策和路径规划算法,旨在避免与偏离对向车道的车辆发生碰撞。路径规划过程利用了模型预测控制(MPC)方法,采用了一个线性运动预测模型,视距为 2 秒。考虑到偏离车道的车辆随时可能突然返回原车道,其运动具有很大的不确定性。为了应对这一挑战,路径规划算法在特定的约束条件下引导自我车辆(EV),以确保在未来的时间步骤中,道路的左右两侧都能对称到达。这样,决策算法就能在适当的时刻选择更安全的方向进行规避机动。威胁车辆(TV)的运动预测一直进行到可能发生碰撞的时间,同时考虑到其运动历史,并在决策过程中加以利用。确定机动方向后,继续使用 MPC 方法进行无碰撞路径规划。为了评估该算法,我们进行了六次模拟,模拟了车辆在左弯和右弯道路上的各种远距离和近距离相遇状态。模拟结果表明,该算法在规划安全和可操控路径方面具有灵活性和适当的性能。
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引用次数: 0
The “Visual-Behavior” Chain and Risk Prediction Model for Sedan Drivers Under the Influence of Container Trucks: A Case Study of Yangshan Port Freight Corridor 集装箱卡车影响下轿车驾驶员的 "视觉-行为 "链和风险预测模型:洋山港货运通道案例研究
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1155/2024/5564381
Yi Li, Zhitian Wang, Fengchun Yang, Minghui Li

With the development of the Shanghai International Shipping Center, the diversity of vehicle types on the highways and arterial roads near Yangshan port is continually increasing. Within such a container port corridor, large container trucks are primarily utilized for mainline transportation. Their larger size and significant inertia would increase psychological pressure on sedan drivers, and elevate their behavior risk. To investigate the effects of container trucks on drivers’ visual characteristics and driving behavior as well as to predict driving risk, firstly, this research conducted field tests in four scenarios surrounding the port. Visual characteristics and behavior data of sedan drivers were collected. Secondly, a “Visual-behavior” chain model was established. The relationship between drivers’ visual characteristics, driving behavior, and driving risk was illustrated from the perspective of time-series behavior patterns. Thirdly, three driving risk prediction models were built with Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and ARIMA-LSTM. The results indicate that the ARIMA-LSTM model shows the most effective prediction performance. This research provides a field-data comparative analysis of the driving risks influenced by a high proportion of container trucks. The findings contribute to understanding the unique mixed traffic visual environment around large-scale container ports.

随着上海国际航运中心的发展,洋山港附近高速公路和干线公路上的车辆类型不断增多。在这样的集装箱港口通道内,大型集装箱卡车主要用于干线运输。其较大的体积和明显的惯性会增加轿车驾驶员的心理压力,提高其行为风险。为了研究集装箱卡车对驾驶员视觉特征和驾驶行为的影响,并预测驾驶风险,本研究首先在港口周边的四个场景中进行了实地测试。收集了轿车司机的视觉特征和行为数据。其次,建立了 "视觉-行为 "链模型。从时间序列行为模式的角度说明了驾驶员视觉特征、驾驶行为和驾驶风险之间的关系。第三,建立了自回归综合移动平均法(ARIMA)、长短期记忆法(LSTM)和 ARIMA-LSTM 三种驾驶风险预测模型。结果表明,ARIMA-LSTM 模型的预测效果最好。本研究通过现场数据对比分析了受高比例集装箱卡车影响的驾驶风险。研究结果有助于理解大型集装箱港口周围独特的混合交通视觉环境。
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