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Optimal Quota for Trip Reservation at Key Corridors of Urban Road Networks 城市道路网络关键廊道的最优出行预约配额
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1155/atr/9180797
Shumin Yang, Meiping Yun, Junjun Zhan

To alleviate expressway congestion caused by excessive private vehicle use, trip reservation has emerged as a proactive traffic management strategy. However, when too many vehicles are admitted within the same time window, the travel efficiency of reservation users deteriorates, compromising the strategy’s effectiveness. Conversely, admitting too few vehicles leads to underutilization of road resources and degrades the operational performance of adjacent roads. This study addresses this challenge by identifying the optimal reservation quota. A reservation-based travel strategy is proposed for key corridors in urban road networks, comprising expressway segments and their parallel surface streets. The initial quota is determined through a dual-threshold bottleneck breakdown analysis, which estimates the capacity of reservation segments under varying service levels. A bilevel programming model is subsequently developed to allocate traffic flow across the network based on the initial quota. Simulation results reveal that the reservation quota significantly affects the performance of the network. The optimal quota lies between 70% of the theoretical maximum capacity and the prebreakdown threshold, within which the key corridor network maintains moderate traffic conditions. Compared to the no-reservation scenario, the average travel speed of reservation vehicles more than doubles (from 25.86 km/h to above 52.12 km/h), while the average travel delay is reduced by over 77% (from 774.77 s to below 179.01 s). The service level of reservation segments improves to Level C. Moreover, the strategy imposes minimal adverse effects on parallel surface streets, where average speeds decrease by less than 31% but remain above 22 km/h. These findings validate the effectiveness of the key corridors trip reservation system and confirm the optimal reservation quota range.

为了缓解私家车过度使用造成的高速公路交通拥堵,出行预约已成为一种积极的交通管理策略。然而,当同一时间窗口内允许的车辆过多时,预订用户的出行效率会下降,影响策略的有效性。相反,允许的车辆太少会导致道路资源的利用不足,并降低相邻道路的运行性能。本研究通过确定最佳预订配额来解决这一挑战。提出了一种基于预留的城市道路网络关键通道出行策略,包括高速公路段及其平行的地面街道。通过双阈值瓶颈分解分析确定初始配额,该分析估计了不同服务水平下预订段的容量。随后建立了一个双层规划模型,以基于初始配额在网络上分配流量。仿真结果表明,预留配额对网络性能有显著影响。最优配额介于理论最大通行能力的70%和预故障阈值之间,在此范围内,重点廊道网络保持适度的通行状况。与无预约场景相比,预约车辆的平均行驶速度增加了一倍以上(从25.86 km/h增加到52.12 km/h以上),平均行驶延误减少了77%以上(从774.77 s减少到179.01 s以下)。预留路段的服务水平提高到c级。此外,该策略对平行地面街道的不利影响最小,平均速度下降不到31%,但仍保持在22公里/小时以上。这些结果验证了关键通道行程预订系统的有效性,并确定了最优预订配额范围。
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引用次数: 0
Risk Analysis of Accident Severities on Freeway Based on Copula Bayesian Network 基于Copula贝叶斯网络的高速公路事故严重程度风险分析
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1155/atr/9731282
Jun Jing, Xizhi Ding, Wenke Liu, Zhongyi Han, Delan Kong, Runze Liu

Preventing severe injuries in crashes has emerged as a central concern in freeway traffic safety research. To mitigate severe injuries, it is essential that the influential factors affecting accident severity be identified. In this research, accident data were collected from Los Angeles County, California, USA, freeways in the years 2016–2019, aggregating five influencing factors from five perspectives, including temporal factors, environmental factors, accident factors, accident participant factors, and traffic factors. A copula Bayesian network modeling approach was developed which combines a Bayesian network with a copula function to depict the interrelationships among crash severity outcomes and various influencing factors. The approach has the following advantages: (1) It has a more reasonable and interpretable structure. (2) It makes up for the limitation of traditional Bayesian networks that can only analyze discrete features by enabling the handling of both discrete and continuous variables. The copula Bayesian network reasoning analysis further demonstrates that various interconnections exist among different factors, and that accident type, lighting conditions, alcohol involvement, and average occupancy are the most critical contributors to fatal or severe injury accidents.

在高速公路交通安全研究中,防止撞车造成严重伤害已成为一个核心问题。为了减轻严重伤害,必须确定影响事故严重程度的因素。本研究以美国加利福尼亚州洛杉矶县2016-2019年高速公路的事故数据为研究对象,从时间因素、环境因素、事故因素、事故参与者因素和交通因素5个角度对影响事故发生的5个因素进行了汇总。提出了一种将贝叶斯网络与关联函数相结合的耦合贝叶斯网络建模方法来描述碰撞严重程度结果与各种影响因素之间的相互关系。该方法具有以下优点:(1)具有更合理的可解释性结构。(2)通过同时处理离散变量和连续变量,弥补了传统贝叶斯网络只能分析离散特征的局限性。copula贝叶斯网络推理分析进一步表明,不同因素之间存在着多种相互联系,事故类型、照明条件、酒精参与和平均占用率是致命或严重伤害事故的最关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment Method for Driving Risk of Heavy-Duty Trucks at Interchange Ramps 重载卡车在立交匝道上行驶风险评估方法
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1155/atr/7003248
Xiaomin Yan, Chi Zhang, Dibin Wei, Yichao Xie, Tingyu Guo, Bo Wang

The accident rate of interchange ramps based on investigated Chinese cases is approximately two times higher than that of mainline sections, where losses in human lives and economic costs caused by heavy-duty truck (HDT) accidents are far greater than those of sedans. Nevertheless, existing risk assessments overlook the coupled effects of human–vehicle–road–environment factors, primarily focusing on the single-directional driving risk assessment of HDT longitudinal braking or lateral skidding. This study proposes a visual assessment method to evaluate the comprehensive lateral and longitudinal driving risk of HDTs on interchange ramps, utilizing floating vehicle data that incorporate the coupling effects of multiple factors. Based on 800 floating vehicle data samples of HDTs from 11 types of ramps, this study integrates driver experience, moderate adverse environments, and lateral/longitudinal acceleration distribution into the G–G diagram (longitudinal acceleration plotted versus lateral acceleration) to define safety thresholds. A mathematical model was fitted in Table Curve 2D to establish the basis for proposing the Driving Risk Index (DRI) and driving risk grading (DRG). Furthermore, precise geospatial matching and visualization of driving risks are achieved using a geographic information system (GIS). The method is validated from multiple dimensions, including statistical methods, surrogate safety measures, and comparison with existing models. Both empirical and statistical analyses demonstrated a strong correlation between the visualized distribution of DRI and route alignment. Moreover, validated by the coefficient of variation (CV), the model achieves an accuracy rate of 85.9%, exhibiting 28.2% and 15.5% higher performance than the two groups of comparative methods, respectively. This integrated approach from data processing to visualization overcomes traditional limitations and supports ramp optimization and intelligent early-warning systems.

根据中国调查的案例,立交匝道的事故率大约是干线路段的两倍,而干线路段因重型卡车(HDT)事故造成的人员生命损失和经济损失远远大于轿车。然而,现有的风险评估忽略了人-车-路-环境因素的耦合作用,主要集中在HDT纵向制动或横向滑移的单向驾驶风险评估。本研究提出了一种视觉评估方法,利用考虑多因素耦合效应的浮动车辆数据,对高速公路在立交匝道上的横向和纵向综合驾驶风险进行评估。基于来自11种坡道的800辆浮动车辆HDTs数据样本,本研究将驾驶员经验、适度不利环境和横向/纵向加速度分布整合到G-G图(纵向加速度与横向加速度的对比)中,以定义安全阈值。在表曲线2D中拟合数学模型,为提出驾驶风险指数(DRI)和驾驶风险分级(DRG)奠定基础。此外,利用地理信息系统(GIS)实现了驾驶风险的精确地理空间匹配和可视化。该方法从多个维度进行验证,包括统计方法、替代安全措施以及与现有模型的比较。实证分析和统计分析均表明,DRI的可视化分布与路线对齐之间存在较强的相关性。经变异系数(CV)验证,该模型的准确率为85.9%,比两组比较方法分别提高28.2%和15.5%。这种从数据处理到可视化的集成方法克服了传统的限制,并支持斜坡优化和智能预警系统。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering Electric Vehicle Adoption: Innovative Strategies for Optimizing Charging Station Placement Based on Projected Demand 授权电动汽车采用:基于预计需求优化充电站布局的创新策略
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1155/atr/5979939
Bora Cekyay, Özgür Kabak, Ozay Ozaydin, Mine Isik, Peral Toktas-Palut, Y. Ilker Topcu, Şule Onsel-Ekici, Burç Ulengin, Fusun Ulengin

Electric vehicles (EVs) are pivotal for reducing transportation-related emissions; however, the lack of adequate charging infrastructure remains a significant barrier to their widespread adoption. This study presents a comprehensive methodology for optimizing EV charging station placement. It combines a gravity model, scenario analysis, and mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) to ensure a thorough and robust approach. The model aims to maximize accessibility by ensuring both path-level and overall system demand coverage across diverse scenarios, providing reassurance about the validity of the findings. The methodology is tested on the Bursa–İzmir motorway in Turkey, a strategic intercity route with rapidly growing EV penetration. Results reveal that the optimal configuration involves locating charging stations in seven of the nine service areas. This allocation secures a minimum path coverage ratio of 0.903, meaning 90.3% of the route is covered by charging stations, and an overall demand coverage ratio of 0.935, indicating that 93.5% of total demand is covered across all scenarios. A sensitivity analysis further shows that increasing the network to 45 chargers elevates reachability levels to above 97%, indicating the infrastructure scale required for reliable service quality. The findings underscore the practical applicability of the proposed framework, providing policymakers and infrastructure planners with robust, data-driven guidance for charging network expansion. By integrating demand forecasting with resilient optimization, this study advances both methodological and empirical insights, empowering the audience to make informed decisions for sustainable EV adoption.

电动汽车(ev)是减少交通相关排放的关键;然而,缺乏足够的充电基础设施仍然是其广泛采用的重大障碍。本文提出了一种优化电动汽车充电站布局的综合方法。它结合了重力模型、场景分析和混合整数线性规划(MILP),以确保全面和健壮的方法。该模型旨在通过确保不同场景的路径级和整体系统需求覆盖来最大化可访问性,从而保证研究结果的有效性。该方法在土耳其的Bursa -İzmir高速公路上进行了测试,这是一条战略城际路线,电动汽车普及率迅速增长。结果表明,最优配置包括在9个服务区域中的7个设置充电站。该分配确保了最小路径覆盖率为0.903,即充电站覆盖了90.3%的路径,总体需求覆盖率为0.935,即所有场景下的总需求覆盖率为93.5%。敏感度分析进一步表明,将网络增加到45个充电器将可达性水平提高到97%以上,这表明可靠的服务质量所需的基础设施规模。研究结果强调了拟议框架的实际适用性,为政策制定者和基础设施规划者提供了强大的、数据驱动的充电网络扩展指导。通过将需求预测与弹性优化相结合,本研究推进了方法论和实证见解,使受众能够为可持续的电动汽车采用做出明智的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Modeling for Enhanced Truck Parking Information Systems Using Machine Learning 基于机器学习的增强型卡车停车信息系统预测建模
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1155/atr/9968995
Yilun Yang, Jing Dong-O’Brien

The growing demand for truck freight in the United States has intensified the shortage of truck parking, posing safety and operational challenges. While real-time Truck Parking Information and Management Systems (TPIMSs) offer current availability, predictive insights remain limited. This study develops hybrid machine learning and deep learning models to forecast truck parking utilization for both pretrip and en-route decision-making. A site-specific gradient boosting model achieved the best pretrip performance (average root mean square error [RMSE] = 0.154), while a long short–term memory–based truck parking site utilization prediction (TPSUP) model provided accurate en-route predictions (RMSE = 0.0429) with a one-hour horizon. To enhance usability, a “Popular Times” panel was designed to visualize predictions through intuitive, color-coded charts. These tools support safer and more efficient parking decisions, laying the groundwork for a more robust and predictive TPIMS.

美国对卡车货运日益增长的需求加剧了卡车停车位的短缺,带来了安全和运营方面的挑战。虽然实时卡车停车信息和管理系统(tpims)提供了当前的可用性,但预测性见解仍然有限。本研究开发了混合机器学习和深度学习模型来预测卡车停车利用率,用于旅行前和途中决策。站点特定梯度提升模型在出行前表现最佳(平均均方根误差[RMSE] = 0.154),而基于长短期记忆的卡车停车站点利用率预测(TPSUP)模型在1小时范围内提供了准确的路线预测(RMSE = 0.0429)。为了提高可用性,设计了一个“流行时代”面板,通过直观的彩色编码图表将预测可视化。这些工具支持更安全、更高效的停车决策,为更强大、更具预测性的TPIMS奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
YUAR: A Reliable Computer Vision Method for Aircraft Docking and Push-Back Recognition at Airport Gates 一种可靠的计算机视觉方法用于机场登机口的飞机靠泊和推回识别
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1155/atr/2801988
Yuandi Zhao, Sixuan Yang, Linlu Luo, Bizhao Pang

Efficient timing of aircraft docking and push-back operations is crucial for enhancing the efficiency and reliability of civil aviation operations. Traditional methods suffer from significant data loss, high human involvement, and low accuracy, which are prone to inaccuracies that can disrupt airport scheduling and resource allocation. This paper introduces a reliable computer vision approach, YUAR (YOLOv7-UAVMOT Aircraft Recognition), which leverages advanced detection algorithms and machine learning to improve accuracy and reduce human error in monitoring aircraft movements. Utilizing a newly developed Image and Video Dataset of Aircraft on Airport Surface (IV-AAS), YUAR incorporates the YOLOv7-based Aircraft Detection (YAD) algorithm with UAVMOT for dynamic tracking. This integration facilitates a multithreshold frame interpolation method, significantly enhancing the precision of tracking aircraft docking and push-back events. Experiment results show that the system achieves a mean average precision (mAP) of 94.8% and an IDF1 score of 92.7%, demonstrating superior performance compared to existing methods such as YOLOv5 and DeepSORT by reducing identification switches. Additionally, the recognition rate of the docking and push-back times under various operational scenarios reaches 100% with minute-level precision. Our research offers significant implications for Airport Collaborative Decision Making (A-CDM), optimizing the allocation of resources and improving the overall operational efficiency of airports.

有效的飞机对接和推回操作时机是提高民航运营效率和可靠性的关键。传统的方法存在严重的数据丢失、高人为干预和低准确性的问题,这些问题容易导致不准确,从而破坏机场调度和资源分配。本文介绍了一种可靠的计算机视觉方法,YUAR (YOLOv7-UAVMOT飞机识别),它利用先进的检测算法和机器学习来提高精度并减少监测飞机运动的人为错误。利用新开发的机场表面飞机图像和视频数据集(IV-AAS), YUAR将基于yolov7的飞机检测(YAD)算法与UAVMOT相结合,用于动态跟踪。该集成实现了多阈值帧插值方法,显著提高了飞机对接和推回事件的跟踪精度。实验结果表明,该系统的平均精度(mAP)为94.8%,IDF1得分为92.7%,通过减少识别开关,与现有的YOLOv5和DeepSORT等方法相比,性能更加优越。各种操作场景对接和推回次数识别率达到100%,精度达到分钟级。本研究对机场协同决策(A-CDM)、优化资源配置和提高机场整体运营效率具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Coordinated Optimization of Built Environment and Traffic System State Based on GWR–DEA Model 基于GWR-DEA模型的建筑环境与交通系统状态协调优化
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1155/atr/1469973
Hanlin Zhao, Guoqing Fan, Tian Li, Shuqi Liu, Changxing Li, Yifan Li, Mengmeng Zhang

Escalating urban traffic problems are impeding city development, underscoring the critical need to better coordinate built environments (BEs) with traffic system states (TSSs). However, the efficiency measurements in the current data envelopment analysis (DEA) model exhibit excessive dependence on input and output data. The determination of weight constraints is also based on subjective judgment. This causes the varying impacts of critical and noncritical indicators on interaction dynamics to be ignored. This study introduces an enhanced DEA model with spatially adaptive weights calibrated by geographically weighted regression (GWR). We propose a TSS indicator that integrates three critical dimensions: traffic efficiency, traffic safety, and travel comfort. In this study, Jinan City is selected as the research area. The coordination assessments refined by incorporating constraints reveal significant disparities: 7.66% are fully coordinated and 63.7% show coordinated conditions, while 28.61% exhibit limited or no coordination. Compared to conventional DEA, the GWR–DEA model demonstrates marginally improved performance, validating the effectiveness of optimized weighting constraints in spatial coordination analysis.

不断升级的城市交通问题正在阻碍城市发展,这凸显了更好地协调建筑环境(BEs)与交通系统状态(tss)的迫切需要。然而,当前数据包络分析(DEA)模型中的效率度量表现出对输入和输出数据的过度依赖。权重约束的确定也是基于主观判断。这导致关键和非关键指标对交互动力学的不同影响被忽略。本文提出了一种基于地理加权回归(GWR)的增强DEA模型,该模型具有空间自适应权重。我们提出了一个综合交通效率、交通安全和出行舒适度三个关键维度的TSS指标。本研究选择济南市作为研究区域。纳入约束条件后的协调性评价存在显著差异:7.66%是完全协调的,63.7%是协调的,28.61%是有限协调或不协调的。与传统DEA模型相比,GWR-DEA模型的性能略有提高,验证了优化后的权重约束在空间协调分析中的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
AutoML-Enhanced Delay Forecasting With SHAP Interpretability in Highway Work Zones Under Diversion Constraints 导流约束下公路工区具有SHAP可解释性的自动增强延误预测
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1155/atr/2794122
Xiaomin Dai, Qingliang Liu, Wei Ye

The increasing scale of highway reconstruction and expansion projects has intensified traffic management challenges in construction zones, particularly within sparse road networks constrained by limited diversion capacities and elevated freight truck ratios. This study proposes an integrated analytical framework that combines microscopic simulation, automated machine learning (AutoML), and explainable artificial intelligence. Traffic flow dynamics under high truck proportions (72%) were modeled using the VISSIM microsimulation, generating 1320 parameterized scenarios encompassing traffic volume, work zone length, speed limits, and vehicle composition. By leveraging the AutoGluon AutoML framework, we developed an ensemble delay prediction model using optimized feature engineering. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretability analysis further decoded the multifactorial coupling mechanisms influencing traffic organization. The results demonstrate that while complex ensembles achieved the lowest error (RMSE = 1.49), the CatBoost_BAG_L1 model was identified as the optimal model for operational deployment, achieving identical accuracy with a more than 25-fold improvement in computational speed. The SHAP-based interpretation revealed traffic volume as the dominant delay contributor, exhibiting nonlinear dynamics with escalating marginal effects beyond 1400 vehicles/h. Increasing the speed limit to 80 km/h elevated delays by 0.58 units, while work zones exceeding 2 km in length induced length-proportional delay amplification. This methodology advances intelligent decision-making for dynamic lane control and truck scheduling optimization in diversion-constrained environments.

公路改建和扩建项目的规模日益扩大,加剧了施工区域的交通管理挑战,特别是在受有限的导流能力和高货运卡车比率限制的稀疏路网内。本研究提出了一个结合微观模拟、自动机器学习(AutoML)和可解释人工智能的综合分析框架。使用VISSIM微仿真对高卡车比例(72%)下的交通流动态进行建模,生成1320个参数化场景,包括交通量、工作区长度、速度限制和车辆组成。通过利用AutoGluon AutoML框架,我们利用优化的特征工程开发了一个集成延迟预测模型。SHapley加性解释(SHAP)可解释性分析进一步解码了影响交通组织的多因素耦合机制。结果表明,虽然复杂集成实现了最低的误差(RMSE = 1.49),但CatBoost_BAG_L1模型被确定为作战部署的最佳模型,在计算速度提高25倍以上的情况下实现了相同的精度。基于shap的解释表明,交通量是主要的延迟因素,在1400辆/小时以上表现出非线性动态,边际效应不断升级。将限速提高到80公里/小时会使延误增加0.58个单位,而长度超过2公里的工作区域则会引起长度比例的延误放大。该方法为导流受限环境下的动态车道控制和卡车调度优化提供了智能决策。
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引用次数: 0
Correlation Analysis of Influencing Factors of Autonomous Vehicle Accidents Based on Improved Apriori Algorithm 基于改进Apriori算法的自动驾驶汽车事故影响因素相关性分析
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-18 DOI: 10.1155/atr/7024232
Tao Wang, Wenzhi Tang, Juncong Chen, Wenwu Chen

The purpose of this study was to explore the risk factors for autonomous vehicle (AV) crashes and their interdependencies. A total of 659 AV crash data were collected between 2018 and July 2024 from AV crash reports published by the California Department of Motor Vehicles. Characteristics such as crash location and time, driving patterns, vehicle motion, crash type and vehicle damage, and traffic conditions were considered as potential risk factors in the study. Considering the multilevel and multidimensional nature of the crash data, the study adopted an association rule mining (ARM) approach to identify the risk factors that frequently occur in AV crashes. By improving the Apriori algorithm, based on the traditional Apriori algorithm, the association rule judgment index is added, and the accuracy and mining efficiency of association rules are improved. The results show that rear-end collisions in autonomous driving mode are more serious, especially when stopping at intersections, while the rear vehicle chooses to continue driving or slow down. Accident risk is higher at night, with on-street parking and 2-lane conditions in both directions. The occurrence of no-damage and minor crashes is more likely to be influenced by roadway characteristics and traffic conditions, and nonmotorized lanes, on-street parking, and median strips on the roadway play a key role in reducing crash damage. The results of the study inform relevant policies to improve road safety and the efficiency of AVs to enhance the overall safety of road traffic.

本研究的目的是探讨自动驾驶汽车(AV)碰撞的危险因素及其相互依赖性。2018年至2024年7月,从加州机动车辆管理局发布的自动驾驶汽车碰撞报告中,共收集了659起自动驾驶汽车碰撞数据。碰撞地点和时间、驾驶方式、车辆运动、碰撞类型和车辆损坏以及交通状况等特征被认为是潜在的危险因素。考虑到碰撞数据的多层次和多维性,本研究采用关联规则挖掘(ARM)方法来识别自动驾驶碰撞中频繁发生的风险因素。通过对Apriori算法进行改进,在传统Apriori算法的基础上增加关联规则判断指标,提高了关联规则的挖掘精度和效率。结果表明,在自动驾驶模式下,追尾碰撞更为严重,尤其是在十字路口停车时,而后车选择继续行驶或减速。夜间,路边停车和双向双车道的情况下,事故风险更高。无损伤和轻微碰撞的发生更容易受到道路特性和交通条件的影响,非机动车道、路边停车和道路中间带在减少碰撞损伤方面发挥了关键作用。研究结果为相关政策提供信息,以提高道路安全和自动驾驶汽车的效率,从而提高道路交通的整体安全。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the Reasons for Route Deviation at F-Shaped Intersections Based on Navigation Operation Data 基于导航运行数据的f形交叉口路线偏离原因研究
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1155/atr/5545484
Kaicheng Xu, Ting Qiao, Xinyu Yang, Xiaohua Zhao

Driver deviations from planned routes during navigation threaten road safety and reduce traffic efficiency, with F-shaped intersections emerging as a high-risk scenario. This study investigates deviation causes using real-world navigation operation data and hourly aggregated observations. A generalized structural equation model (SEM) with a zero-inflated negative binomial link is applied to disentangle direct effects of external conditions and indirect effects mediated by traffic flow and congestion. Key findings include the following: exit/entrance roads (β = 0.135, p < 0.001) and road type (β = 0.100, p < 0.001) exert the strongest direct effects on deviations, while traffic congestion mediates 12% of the indirect effect of weather conditions on deviations. An actionable design takeaway is that extending advance signage on high-risk segments reduces deviations by 18% [−14%, −22%] at median traffic flow, providing targeted technical support for F-shaped intersection optimization to improve road safety and traffic efficiency.

驾驶员在导航过程中偏离计划路线会威胁道路安全,降低交通效率,其中f形十字路口成为高风险场景。本研究使用真实世界的导航操作数据和每小时汇总的观测数据来调查偏差的原因。应用零膨胀负二项联系的广义结构方程模型(SEM),分析了交通流和拥堵介导的外部条件的直接影响和间接影响。主要发现包括:出口/入口道路(β = 0.135, p < 0.001)和道路类型(β = 0.100, p < 0.001)对偏差的直接影响最大,而交通拥堵介导了天气条件对偏差的12%的间接影响。一个可行的设计结论是,在高风险路段扩展预先标识可以减少18%[- 14%,- 22%]的中位数交通流量偏差,为f形交叉口优化提供有针对性的技术支持,以提高道路安全和交通效率。
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引用次数: 0
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