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Method on Efficient Operation of Multiple Models for Vision-Based In-Flight Risky Behavior Recognition in UAM Safety and Security 基于视觉的飞行中风险行为识别方法在无人机安全和安保中的高效运行
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1155/2024/7113084
Byeonghun Kim, Byeongjoon Noh, Kyowon Song

The rapid development of urban air mobility (UAM) has emphasized the need for in-flight control and passenger safety management. Recently, with the significant spread of technology in the field of computer vision, research has been conducted to manage passenger safety and security with vision-based approaches. Previous research predominantly focuses on single-task vision models, which limits their ability to comprehensively recognize various situations. In addition, conventional vision-based deep learning models require substantial computational power, potentially reducing the operational sustainability of UAMs with limited electrical resources. In this study, we propose a novel cabin surveillance framework for passenger safety and security. The proposed method achieves high accuracy by using a single model optimized for a specific task and ensures maximum computational efficiency through a scheduler that executes the appropriate models based on the situation. It can effectively perform roles such as detecting prohibited items and recognition of dangerous/abnormal behavior. Moreover, it simplifies the management of the involved models by adding new models or updating the existing ones, and it provides a sustainable system by reducing energy consumption. Through comprehensive experiments on various benchmarks, we validated the effectiveness of each model and verified the practicality of the proposed framework in terms of time complexity and resource usage through practical tests.

城市空中交通(UAM)的快速发展凸显了对飞行控制和乘客安全管理的需求。最近,随着计算机视觉领域技术的大幅普及,人们开始研究如何利用基于视觉的方法来管理乘客安全和安保。以往的研究主要集中在单一任务的视觉模型上,这限制了其全面识别各种情况的能力。此外,传统的基于视觉的深度学习模型需要大量的计算能力,这可能会降低电力资源有限的无人驾驶航空器的运行可持续性。在本研究中,我们提出了一种用于乘客安全和安保的新型客舱监控框架。所提出的方法通过使用针对特定任务优化的单一模型来实现高精度,并通过根据情况执行适当模型的调度程序来确保最高计算效率。它能有效发挥检测违禁物品和识别危险/异常行为等作用。此外,它还能通过添加新模型或更新现有模型来简化相关模型的管理,并通过降低能耗来提供一个可持续的系统。通过在各种基准上进行综合实验,我们验证了每个模型的有效性,并通过实际测试验证了所提框架在时间复杂性和资源使用方面的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Two-Echelon Pickup and Delivery Problem Using Public Transport in City Logistics 城市物流中使用公共交通的双梯队取货和送货问题
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1155/2024/1203246
Shuai Wang, Xiaoning Zhu, Pan Shang, Wenqian Liu, Xiao Lin, Lóránt Tavasszy

The rapid increase in e-commerce and the emergence of combined passenger/freight systems in urban areas have raised the question of how best to integrate public transport services into door-to-door deliveries. This paper develops a variant of the pickup and delivery problem, called the two-echelon pickup and delivery problem using public transport (2E-PDP-PT). In the 2E-PDP-PT, the transportation network is split into two echelons. Different vehicles are utilized across the first and second echelons to ensure distribution efficiency. Parcels are delivered by public transport with free capacity or via trucks between satellites in the first echelon, and logistics vehicles are operated in the second echelon. The satellites are located at the echelon borders to transfer commodities between echelons. The 2E-PDP-PT aims to minimize total delivery costs and improve public transport capacity utilization. We formulate a new mathematical model based on a space-time network and adopt an adaptive large neighborhood search (ALNS) algorithm for the 2E-PDP-PT. The effectiveness of the ALNS algorithm is validated using newly generated small-scale instances. Furthermore, we investigate large-scale instances based on the Beijing Yizhuang transportation network. The computations show that an average total delivery cost savings of 4.5% is feasible. In addition, we analyze the impact of demand distributions and compare the ALNS algorithm and the LNS algorithm. Finally, we conclude that dynamically integrating public transport into freight transport services can benefit both logistics companies and public transport operators.

电子商务的迅速发展和城市地区客货运系统的出现,提出了如何将公共交通服务最好地融入门到门送货服务的问题。本文提出了取货和送货问题的一种变体,称为使用公共交通的双货柜取货和送货问题(2E-PDP-PT)。在 2E-PDP-PT 中,运输网络被分成两个梯队。第一梯队和第二梯队使用不同的车辆,以确保配送效率。在第一梯队的卫星之间,包裹由具有免费运载能力的公共交通工具或卡车运送,而物流车辆则在第二梯队运行。卫星位于梯队边界,用于梯队之间的商品转运。2E-PDP-PT 的目标是最大限度地降低总交付成本,提高公共运输能力的利用率。我们基于时空网络建立了一个新的数学模型,并针对 2E-PDP-PT 采用了自适应大邻域搜索(ALNS)算法。新生成的小规模实例验证了 ALNS 算法的有效性。此外,我们还研究了基于北京亦庄交通网络的大规模实例。计算结果表明,平均节省 4.5% 的总配送成本是可行的。此外,我们还分析了需求分布的影响,并比较了 ALNS 算法和 LNS 算法。最后,我们得出结论:将公共交通动态整合到货运服务中,物流公司和公共交通运营商都能从中受益。
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引用次数: 0
An Efficient Approach for Identifying Potential Bus Passenger Demand Based on Multisource Data 基于多源数据识别潜在公交乘客需求的高效方法
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1155/2024/5368577
Lianghua Li, Shouqiang Xue, Yun Xiao

Big data provide massive samples and resources for exploring the operating rules of public transportation. This article proposes a method that combines multiple data sources to identify potential bus passenger flows, aiming to address the issue of insufficient identification accuracy with a single data source. First, the spatially weighted K-means algorithm and improved DBSCAN algorithm are designed to partition traffic zones and residents’ travel flow OD is extracted based on mobile phone signaling data. Second, using bus IC card data and vehicle trajectory data, a method for identifying bus passenger boarding and alighting stops based on spatiotemporal clustering is proposed and the bus passenger flow OD for each traffic zone is calculated. By comparing the resident travel flow OD with the bus passenger flow OD, we set a threshold for the potential bus passenger demand proportion. Finally, the analysis is conducted using actual data from a city in central China. The city is divided into 43 traffic zones, with the maximum bus passenger flow proportion between zones being 14.9%, the minimum being 5.0%, and the average being 7.2%. The initial threshold for the potential bus passenger demand proportion is thus set to 7.2%, and a sensitivity analysis is conducted by gradually decreasing the threshold in increments of 0.5% to 6.7%, 6.2%, 5.7%, and 5.2%. The corresponding potential bus passenger demand OD pairs between traffic zones are identified as 419, 358, 245, 151, and 51. Urban managers should focus on the 51 pairs with relatively large potential flows to gradually optimize and balance the development of the bus network based on actual conditions. The method proposed provides important theoretical and practical support for effectively optimizing urban bus networks. However, there are limited indicators for identifying potential passenger flows; in the future, more multidimensional indicators will be taken into consideration.

大数据为探索公共交通的运行规律提供了海量样本和资源。本文提出了一种结合多种数据源识别潜在公交客流的方法,旨在解决单一数据源识别准确率不足的问题。首先,设计了空间加权 K-means 算法和改进的 DBSCAN 算法来划分交通区域,并基于手机信令数据提取居民出行流量 OD。其次,利用公交 IC 卡数据和车辆轨迹数据,提出基于时空聚类的公交乘客上下车站点识别方法,并计算出各交通区域的公交客流 OD。通过比较居民出行流量 OD 与公交客流 OD,设定潜在公交客流需求比例阈值。最后,我们利用中国中部某城市的实际数据进行了分析。该城市被划分为 43 个交通区域,区域间公交客流比例最大为 14.9%,最小为 5.0%,平均为 7.2%。因此,将潜在公交客流需求比例的初始临界值设定为 7.2%,并以 0.5%的增量逐步降低临界值至 6.7%、6.2%、5.7% 和 5.2%,进行敏感性分析。交通区之间相应的潜在公交乘客需求 OD 对分别为 419、358、245、151 和 51。城市管理者应重点关注潜在客流相对较大的 51 对,根据实际情况逐步优化和平衡公交线网的发展。所提出的方法为有效优化城市公交网络提供了重要的理论和实践支持。然而,潜在客流的识别指标有限,未来将考虑更多的多维指标。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Parking Space Availability in IoT-Enabled Smart Parking Management Systems 物联网智能停车管理系统中基于机器学习的车位可用性预测
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1155/2024/8474973
Anchal Dahiya, Pooja Mittal, Yogesh Kumar Sharma, Umesh Kumar Lilhore, Sarita Simaiya, Ehab Ghith, Mehdi Tlija

Parking space management has become a critical challenge in urban areas due to increasing vehicle numbers and limited parking infrastructure. This paper presents a comprehensive study of machine learning (ML) models in IoT-enabled environments focusing on proposing an ML-based model for predicting available parking space. The study evaluates the performance of various models including K-nearest neighbors (KNNs), support vector machines (SVMs), random forest (RF), decision tree (DT), logistic regression (LR), and Naïve Bayes (NB) based on “precision, recall, accuracy, and F1-score performance metrics”. The results obtained by implementing ML models on the data with 65% and 85% threshold values are compared to draw meaningful conclusions regarding their performance in predicting parking space availability. Among the evaluated models, random forest (RF) demonstrates superior performance with high precision, recall, accuracy, and F1-score values. It showcases its effectiveness in accurately predicting parking space availability in the IoT-enabled environment. On the other hand, models such as K-nearest neighbors (KNNs), decision tree (DT), logistic regression (LR), and Naïve Bayes (NB) show relatively lower performance in complex parking scenarios. The paper concludes that the use of advanced predictive models, particularly random forest, significantly enhances the accuracy and reliability of IoT-enabled parking management systems and also reduces the waiting time of the vehicles, leading to more efficient resource utilization, reduced traffic congestion in real-time scenarios, and better user satisfaction in the IoT-enabled environment.

由于车辆数量不断增加而停车基础设施有限,停车位管理已成为城市地区面临的一项严峻挑战。本文对物联网环境中的机器学习(ML)模型进行了全面研究,重点是提出一种基于 ML 的可用停车位预测模型。研究基于 "精确度、召回率、准确度和 F1 分数性能指标 "评估了各种模型的性能,包括 K 近邻(KNN)、支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)、决策树(DT)、逻辑回归(LR)和奈夫贝叶斯(NB)。通过比较在阈值为 65% 和 85% 的数据上实施 ML 模型所获得的结果,就这些模型在预测停车位可用性方面的性能得出了有意义的结论。在所评估的模型中,随机森林(RF)以较高的精确度、召回率、准确度和 F1 分数表现出卓越的性能。它展示了在物联网环境中准确预测停车位可用性的有效性。另一方面,K-近邻(KNN)、决策树(DT)、逻辑回归(LR)和奈夫贝叶斯(NB)等模型在复杂的停车场景中表现相对较差。本文的结论是,使用先进的预测模型,特别是随机森林,可显著提高物联网支持的停车管理系统的准确性和可靠性,还能减少车辆的等待时间,从而提高资源利用效率,减少实时场景下的交通拥堵,并提高物联网环境下的用户满意度。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability Analysis of Horizontal Curves Using Geometric Design Consistency Assessment Criterion 利用几何设计一致性评估标准对水平曲线进行可靠性分析
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1155/2024/4085522
Hossein Saedi, Ali Abdi Kordani, Seyed Mohsen Hosseinian

Road accidents have always been one of the important reasons for fatalities and financial losses. Since road accidents on rural highways cause more serious injuries than those on urban highways, providing a suitable method to increase safety in the curves can be a significant contributor to preventing these damages. Although speed is one of the most important variables affecting highway safety, numerous studies have been performed on the reliability analysis of horizontal curves without taking the speed variable into account. The aim of this research is reliability (probability of noncompliance) assessment in the horizontal curve design using geometric design consistency criteria. The radius, superelevation, and operating speed of 19 horizontal curves were collected by field research on the Mashhad-Torbat Heydarieh highway in Iran. Three different approaches were defined based on the geometric design consistency criterion of a single horizontal curve, and consecutively, the probability of noncompliance was calculated using these approaches. According to the obtained results, this study showed that radius enhancement increases the probability of noncompliance and the consistency level of the geometric design. Finally, the high values of the probability of noncompliance (failure) indicate that the geometric design guidelines need calibration in the design of horizontal curves, especially for higher radii.

道路事故一直是造成人员伤亡和经济损失的重要原因之一。与城市公路相比,农村公路上的交通事故造成的伤害更为严重,因此,提供一种合适的方法来提高弯道的安全性,对于防止这些损失具有重要意义。虽然速度是影响公路安全的最重要变量之一,但已有许多关于水平曲线可靠性分析的研究没有将速度变量考虑在内。本研究的目的是利用几何设计一致性标准评估水平曲线设计的可靠性(不符合要求的概率)。通过对伊朗 Mashhad-Torbat Heydarieh 高速公路进行实地考察,收集了 19 条水平曲线的半径、高程和运行速度。根据单个水平曲线的几何设计一致性标准定义了三种不同的方法,并连续使用这些方法计算了不符合标准的概率。研究结果表明,半径增大会增加不符合标准的概率,并提高几何设计的一致性水平。最后,不合规概率(失败)的高值表明,在水平曲线设计中需要校准几何设计准则,特别是在半径较大的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Super-Efficiency-Malmquist Model-Based Efficiency Evaluation of Logistics Distribution Center considering Truck Traffic Restriction 基于超效率马尔奎斯特模型的考虑卡车交通限制的物流配送中心效率评估
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1155/2024/8989408
Jiao Yao, Xiurong Wu, Hao Li, Beibei Xie, Cong Zhang

Combining the super-efficiency model based on data envelopment analysis (DEA) with the Malmquist index model, this paper evaluated the efficiency of the logistics distribution center comprehensively considering the truck traffic restriction and provided decision suggestions to improve the efficiency of the logistics distribution center. This paper takes 20 logistics distribution centers as the research objects and uses economic factors, transportation factors, quality of distribution center business activities, and quality of customer service as the primary input indicators; selects eight indicators such as construction cost, transportation cost, labor cost, road facilities, accessibility, business demand, number of laborers, and customer satisfaction as the secondary input indicators; chooses distribution time and profit as the output indicators; and measures the static efficiency of logistics distribution centers from two perspectives, including the traditional unconstrained super-efficiency model and the truck- restricted conditions, using the super-efficiency model of data envelopment analysis (DEA). The Malmquist index model was used to measure the dynamic efficiency and change trend efficiency of the logistics distribution center, and a unified and comprehensive analysis was also made. The results of the case study show that the average efficiency of the logistics distribution center in the driving and nondriving restriction area is 0.872 and 0.914, respectively, and the average efficiency in the driving restriction area is about 4.5% lower than that of the nondriving restriction area, and variance is 1.58 times of the latter. Therefore, it can be concluded that the measures of truck driving restriction have an impact on the efficiency of the logistics distribution center, and the results of the super-efficiency model with the restriction constraint have a greater impact on the logistics efficiency of the logistics distribution center than the traditional unconstrained super-efficiency model. According to the evaluation results, suggestions on reasonable assignment of labor and other resources input are put forward for logistics distribution centers in areas where driving is restricted to improve efficiency.

本文结合基于数据包络分析(DEA)的超效率模型和马尔奎斯特指数模型,综合考虑货车限行因素,对物流配送中心的效率进行了评价,并提出了提高物流配送中心效率的决策建议。本文以 20 个物流配送中心为研究对象,以经济因素、运输因素、配送中心业务活动质量、客户服务质量为一级输入指标;选取建设成本、运输成本、人工成本、道路设施、可达性、业务需求、劳动力数量、客户满意度等 8 个指标为二级输入指标;选择配送时间和利润作为产出指标,利用数据包络分析(DEA)的超效率模型,从传统的无约束超效率模型和货车受限条件等两个角度来衡量物流配送中心的静态效率。并利用 Malmquist 指数模型对物流配送中心的动态效率和变化趋势效率进行了统一的综合分析。案例研究结果表明,物流配送中心在限行区和非限行区的平均效率分别为 0.872 和 0.914,限行区的平均效率比非限行区低约 4.5%,方差是后者的 1.58 倍。因此,可以得出结论:货车限行措施对物流配送中心的效率有影响,与传统的无约束超效率模型相比,有约束超效率模型的结果对物流配送中心的物流效率影响更大。根据评价结果,对限制驾驶地区的物流配送中心提出了合理分配劳动力和其他资源投入的建议,以提高效率。
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引用次数: 0
Examining Causation of Fatal Traffic Crashes Involving Commercial Vehicles over the Last Decade in China 过去十年中国商用车辆致命交通事故的成因分析
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1155/2024/1903508
Hongwen Xia, Rengkui Liu, Pengfei Cui, Wei Zhou, Wenhui Luo

Fatal traffic crashes involving commercial vehicles exhibit distinct characteristics and mechanisms compared to general traffic crashes, influenced by numerous factors that impact the resulting fatalities. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of significant commercial vehicle crashes in China over a nine-year period (2014–2022), exploring an extensive range of factors including driver behavior, road conditions, vehicle characteristics, and environmental aspects. Utilizing a hierarchical Bayesian ordered probit model that incorporates both categorical and random effects, the research offers nuanced insights into the probabilistic outcomes of fatal traffic crashes. The model’s hierarchical structure enables the exploration of unobserved heterogeneities at individual and group levels. Key findings indicate that driver’s behaviors like speeding and overloading significantly escalate the likelihood of fatal traffic crashes, particularly those resulting in 10 or more fatalities. The study also highlights the role of road class in fatal crashes, with primary and secondary roads being associated with higher risks of more severe fatal crashes. The analysis extends to the impact of vehicle type, noting a distinct increase in the probabilities of fatal crashes with passenger vehicles, while freight vehicles exhibit a more complex relationship with fatal crashes severity. The insights from this study underscore the urgent need for enhanced enforcement of speed limit and vehicle weight regulations, particularly through the deployment of advanced monitoring technologies on highways frequented by commercial vehicles, and targeted infrastructure improvements on primary and secondary roads. This approach offers a novel analytical framework for evaluating commercial traffic crashes, assisting policymakers in devising targeted safety interventions to reduce the incidence of commercial vehicle crashes.

与一般交通事故相比,涉及商用车辆的致命交通事故呈现出不同的特点和机制,受众多因素的影响而导致死亡。本研究对中国九年内(2014-2022 年)发生的重大商用车碰撞事故进行了全面分析,探讨了包括驾驶员行为、道路条件、车辆特征和环境因素在内的广泛因素。该研究利用包含分类效应和随机效应的分层贝叶斯有序概率模型,对致命交通事故的概率结果进行了深入分析。该模型的分层结构能够在个人和群体层面探索未观察到的异质性。主要研究结果表明,驾驶员的超速和超载等行为会大大增加发生致命交通事故的可能性,尤其是造成 10 人或以上死亡的事故。研究还强调了道路等级在致命交通事故中的作用,主干道和次干道发生更严重致命交通事故的风险更高。分析还延伸到车辆类型的影响,注意到客运车辆发生致命碰撞事故的概率明显增加,而货运车辆与致命碰撞事故严重程度的关系更为复杂。这项研究的启示强调,迫切需要加强限速和车辆重量法规的执行力度,特别是通过在商用车辆经常行驶的高速公路上部署先进的监控技术,以及有针对性地改善主干道和次干道的基础设施。这种方法为评估商用车辆交通事故提供了一个新颖的分析框架,有助于决策者制定有针对性的安全干预措施,以减少商用车辆交通事故的发生。
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引用次数: 0
Vulnerability Analysis of China-Europe Railway Express Network Based on Improved Nonlinear Load-Capacity Model 基于改进的非线性负载能力模型的中欧铁路快运网络脆弱性分析
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1155/2024/5910244
Chao Zhu, Xiaoning Zhu

The China-Europe Railway Express (C-ER Express) provides a transcontinental rail container service between China and Europe. As most C-ER Expresses are affected by frequent natural disasters and public health incidents, it faces the increasing risk of network vulnerability. When previous studies investigated the evolution of network vulnerability through local information, they often overlook the complexity of the network’s multidimensional characteristics. The nonlinear load-capacity (NLC) model proposed in this paper integrates local and global information of the network. This approach enables a detailed investigation into how condition thresholds and different types of nodes influence network vulnerability. Firstly, a feature matrix is constructed for C-ER Express based on the topological measures, freight information, and external environment scores. Then, the autoencoder is used to extract the low-dimensional dense information, and the DBSCAN is used to classify C-ER Express into distinct clusters. Secondly, The NLC model integrates feature coefficient to describe the initial capacity of nodes. Subsequently, the failure load is redistributed proportionally to neighboring nodes and remaining normal nodes based on time-varying load and initial capacity of nodes. Finally, the improved NLC model is applied to the C-ER Express under different simulation scenarios. Simulation results show that a reasonable condition threshold can mitigate the impact of small-scale node failures on the network. The DBSCAN attack strategy can effectively identify the node types and prevent the network from chain reactions brought by different types of node failures. This research study is expected to provide some reference value for relevant research about vulnerability analysis of the C-ER Express network.

中欧铁路快线(C-ER Express)在中国和欧洲之间提供横贯大陆的铁路集装箱服务。由于大多数中欧快线经常受到自然灾害和公共卫生事件的影响,其面临的网络脆弱性风险日益增加。以往的研究在通过本地信息研究网络脆弱性的演变时,往往忽略了网络多维特性的复杂性。本文提出的非线性负载-容量(NLC)模型整合了网络的局部和全局信息。通过这种方法,可以详细研究条件阈值和不同类型的节点如何影响网络的脆弱性。首先,根据拓扑测量、货运信息和外部环境评分为 C-ER Express 构建特征矩阵。然后,使用自动编码器提取低维密集信息,并使用 DBSCAN 将 C-ER Express 划分为不同的聚类。其次,NLC 模型整合了特征系数来描述节点的初始容量。然后,根据时间变化的负载和节点的初始容量,将故障负载按比例重新分配给邻近节点和剩余的正常节点。最后,将改进的 NLC 模型应用于不同仿真场景下的 C-ER Express。仿真结果表明,合理的条件阈值可以减轻小规模节点故障对网络的影响。DBSCAN 攻击策略能有效识别节点类型,防止网络因不同类型的节点故障而产生连锁反应。本研究有望为 C-ER Express 网络脆弱性分析的相关研究提供一定的参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Intelligent Vehicle Operation Risk Assessment and Early Warning Based on Predictive Risk Field 基于预测风险场的智能车辆运行风险评估与预警研究
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1155/2024/7504378
Ruibin Zhang, Yingshi Guo

In order to enhance the driving safety of intelligent vehicles in complex road scenarios, a method for vehicle operation risk assessment and early warning based on the predictive risk field is proposed. The temporal feature vector composed of the spatiotemporal state characteristics of the ego vehicle and surrounding traffic participants is taken as input data for the Attention-Bidirectional Long-Short Term Memory (Attention-BiLSTM) model, which is trained to establish the desired mapping relationship. By predicting the motion state of the target vehicle and utilizing an improved risk field model based on the target vehicle of heading angle, the predictive risk field is obtained. This allows for the assessment of the ego vehicle operational risks. The risk warning model is integrated to provide risk early warning, and the safety path for the ego vehicle is planned based on the interaction between the predictive risk field equipotential lines and the cubic spline curves. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed vehicle operation risk assessment and early warning model is effective in providing early warnings and safe path references for the ego vehicle in complex urban road test scenarios.

为了提高智能车辆在复杂道路场景下的驾驶安全性,提出了一种基于预测风险场的车辆运行风险评估与预警方法。由目标车辆和周围交通参与者的时空状态特征组成的时空特征向量作为注意力-双向长短期记忆(Attention-BiLSTM)模型的输入数据,通过训练该模型来建立所需的映射关系。通过预测目标车辆的运动状态,并利用基于目标车辆航向角的改进型风险场模型,可获得预测性风险场。这样就可以评估目标车辆的运行风险。整合风险预警模型以提供风险预警,并根据预测风险场等势线和三次样条曲线之间的相互作用规划自我车辆的安全路径。实验结果表明,所提出的车辆运行风险评估和预警模型能够在复杂的城市道路测试场景中有效地为小我车辆提供预警和安全路径参考。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Modeling of Travel Demand Accounting for Multicollinearity and Different Sampling Strategies: A Stop-Level Case Study 考虑多重共线性和不同采样策略的旅行需求空间建模:停止水平案例研究
IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1155/2024/7967141
Samuel de França Marques, Cira Souza Pitombo, J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández

Stop-level ridership data serve as a basis for various studies toward increasing bus patronage and promoting sustainable land use planning. To address limitations found in previous studies, this study proposes a novel approach based on Geographically Weighted Principal Component Analysis (GWPCA) and Ordinary Kriging to predict the stop-level boarding or alighting data along bus lines in São Paulo (Brazil), considering four different sampling methods. The main contributions are as follows: by accounting for the spatial heterogeneity of the predictor dataset, the GWPCA can identify the most important factor affecting transit ridership even in bus stops with no information on boarding and alighting; the spatial modeling of stop-level ridership data using GWPCA components as explanatory variables allows visualizing the spatially varying effects from predictors on ridership, supporting the land use planning at a local level; GWPCA coupled with kriging simultaneously addresses the multicollinearity of predictor data, its spatial heterogeneity, and the spatial dependence of the stop-level ridership variable, thus enhancing the goodness-of-fit measures of the transit ridership prediction in unsampled stops; and a balanced sample on predictor data and well-spread in the geographic space might be preferred to accurately estimate missing stop-level ridership data. In addition to solve the lack of stop-level ridership data, supporting a reliable bus system planning, the proposed method indicates what predictors should be addressed by policymakers to stimulate a transit-oriented development. The method can be successfully applied to other travel demand variables facing a lack of data such as traffic volume in road segments and mode choice at the household level.

站级乘客数据是各种研究的基础,这些研究旨在提高公交乘客量并促进可持续土地利用规划。针对以往研究中发现的局限性,本研究提出了一种基于地理加权主成分分析(GWPCA)和普通克里金法的新方法,以预测圣保罗(巴西)公交线路沿线的站台乘客上下车数据,并考虑了四种不同的采样方法。主要贡献如下通过考虑预测数据集的空间异质性,GWPCA 可以识别影响公交乘客量的最重要因素,即使在没有上下车信息的公交站点也是如此;使用 GWPCA 成分作为解释变量对站点级乘客量数据进行空间建模,可以直观地显示预测因素对乘客量的空间变化影响,从而为地方层面的土地利用规划提供支持;GWPCA 与克里金法相结合,可同时解决预测数据的多重共线性、空间异质性和站点级乘客量变量的空间依赖性问题,从而提高未采样站点的公交乘客量预测的拟合优度;同时,为准确估计缺失的站点级乘客量数据,可优先选择预测数据均衡且在地理空间上分布均匀的样本。除了解决缺少站点级乘客数据的问题,为可靠的公交系统规划提供支持外,所提出的方法还指出了政策制定者应关注哪些预测因素,以刺激公交导向型发展。该方法还可成功应用于其他缺乏数据的出行需求变量,如路段交通量和家庭层面的模式选择。
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Journal of Advanced Transportation
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