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Univariate Probability Density Estimation With Partially Monotone Neural Networks: A Case Study on Shopping Activity Durations 基于部分单调神经网络的单变量概率密度估计——以购物活动持续时间为例
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1155/atr/7174563
Kun Huang, Xin Ye

This study introduces a novel univariate probability density (UPD) model leveraging partially monotone neural networks to analyze activity durations, with a specific focus on shopping trips by noncommuters in Shanghai. The proposed method ensures the monotonicity of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) with respect to time while enabling flexible modeling of complex distributions influenced by exogenous variables. Simulation experiments validate the model’s robustness and accuracy in capturing distributional patterns and variable effects. Empirical analysis using the 2019 Shanghai Household Travel Survey data demonstrates the model’s capability to reveal nuanced relationships between shopping durations and demographic, household, and locational factors. The results provide valuable insights into activity-based modeling and inform urban planning, transportation systems, and policy-making. By enabling realistic sampling and robust scenario analysis, this approach establishes a flexible, data-driven framework for studying activity durations.

本研究引入了一种新颖的单变量概率密度(UPD)模型,利用部分单调神经网络来分析活动持续时间,并特别关注上海非通勤者的购物行程。该方法保证了累积分布函数(CDF)相对于时间的单调性,同时能够灵活地建模受外生变量影响的复杂分布。仿真实验验证了该模型在捕获分布模式和变量效应方面的鲁棒性和准确性。利用2019年上海家庭旅游调查数据进行的实证分析表明,该模型能够揭示购物持续时间与人口、家庭和位置因素之间的微妙关系。研究结果为基于活动的建模提供了有价值的见解,并为城市规划、交通系统和政策制定提供了信息。通过实现真实的采样和健壮的场景分析,该方法为研究活动持续时间建立了一个灵活的、数据驱动的框架。
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative Analysis of Driving Environment Factors Affecting Takeover Time in Conditional Autonomous Driving Systems 条件自动驾驶系统中影响接管时间的驾驶环境因素定量分析
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1155/atr/9590651
Kyeongjin Lee, Sungho Park, Jaehyun (Jason) So, Ilsoo Yun

Understanding the conditions that affect takeover time (TOT) in conditional autonomous driving systems remains a challenging issue. The takeover process requires a seamless transition of control from the autonomous system to the driver when the system encounters situations it cannot manage. This study examines the effects of traffic conditions, road geometry, and weather on TOT using a linear mixed model to quantify their influence. Preliminary findings indicate that factors such as rain, gender, and age significantly extend control transition duration. These insights highlight the need for personalized designs in automated driving systems (ADSs) and takeover request protocols to accommodate diverse driver characteristics and environmental conditions. While the research utilizes a driving simulator, suggesting the need for field validation, it offers a foundational understanding that can enhance the safety and efficiency of conditional automation systems. This study contributes to safer ADS design and supports the commercial viability of conditional autonomous vehicles.

了解影响有条件自动驾驶系统接管时间(TOT)的条件仍然是一个具有挑战性的问题。当自动驾驶系统遇到无法控制的情况时,接管过程需要将控制权无缝地从自动驾驶系统转移到驾驶员手中。本研究考察了交通条件、道路几何形状和天气对TOT的影响,使用线性混合模型来量化它们的影响。初步研究结果表明,降雨、性别和年龄等因素显著延长了控制过渡时间。这些发现强调了自动驾驶系统(ads)和接管请求协议中个性化设计的必要性,以适应不同的驾驶员特征和环境条件。虽然该研究使用了驾驶模拟器,表明需要进行现场验证,但它提供了一个基本的理解,可以提高条件自动化系统的安全性和效率。这项研究有助于更安全的ADS设计,并支持有条件自动驾驶汽车的商业可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Vehicle Lateral Motion Control Based on Fading Sage–Husa Kalman Filter and Robust Model Predictive Control 基于衰落Sage-Husa卡尔曼滤波和鲁棒模型预测控制的车辆横向运动控制
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1155/atr/5542282
Zhi-Yuan Si, Feng-Xia Yuan

Vehicle lateral motion control is one of the critical issues in intelligent vehicle control. We design a vehicle lateral motion controller by combining the adaptive fading Sage–Husa Kalman filter (AFSH-KF) with the robust model predictive algorithm to address the problem of vehicle lateral motion control. Due to the influence of process and measurement noise on the estimation results, the AFSH-KF is employed to estimate the vehicle state parameters to improve the estimation accuracy and compared with the Kalman filter (KF). Simultaneously considering the influence of the uncertainties or perturbations appearing in the feedback loop (vehicle state parameters) on vehicle lateral motion control, a robust model predictive controller (RMPC) is designed for vehicle lateral motion. The performance of the designed controller is verified by co-simulating with MATLAB/Simulink and CarSim in double-lane, S-shape, and Fishhook conditions. The results show that the AFSH-KF can effectively estimate the states (yaw rate and sideslip angle) of the vehicle. Compared to the MPC controller, the RMPC controller significantly reduced the maximum and mean square error of the lateral deviation of the vehicle tracking target trajectory at different speeds.

车辆横向运动控制是智能车辆控制中的关键问题之一。将自适应衰落的Sage-Husa卡尔曼滤波(AFSH-KF)与鲁棒模型预测算法相结合,设计了一种车辆横向运动控制器,解决了车辆横向运动控制问题。由于过程噪声和测量噪声对估计结果的影响,采用AFSH-KF对车辆状态参数进行估计以提高估计精度,并与卡尔曼滤波(Kalman filter, KF)进行比较。同时考虑反馈回路中出现的不确定性或扰动(车辆状态参数)对车辆横向运动控制的影响,设计了针对车辆横向运动的鲁棒模型预测控制器(RMPC)。通过MATLAB/Simulink和CarSim在双车道、s形和鱼钩工况下的联合仿真,验证了所设计控制器的性能。结果表明,该方法能够有效地估计车辆的横摆角速度和侧滑角状态。与MPC控制器相比,RMPC控制器显著降低了车辆在不同速度下跟踪目标轨迹横向偏差的最大值和均方误差。
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引用次数: 0
Collaborative Optimal Train Carriage Flexible Release Strategy and Passenger Flow Control Strategy for the Metro System 地铁系统协同优化列车车厢柔性放行策略及客流控制策略
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1155/atr/9971176
Jinyang Zhong, Hao Huang, Jinyi Pan, Lan Liu, Yibo Shi

In the oversaturated metro system, the mismatch between supply and demand leads to unequal allocation of train capacity at different stations, resulting in a transportation inequity issue. This paper proposes a collaborative optimization method to use train carriage flexible release strategy and passenger flow control strategy, which is described as a mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) model considering the trade-off between equity and efficiency. To solve this model, it is reformulated into a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model, which is solved by the GUROBI solver. An efficient variable neighborhood search algorithm is then proposed to find a high-quality solution to the proposed problem. Finally, two sets of numerical experiments, including a small-scale case and a real-world case of Chengdu metro system, are conducted to verify the proposed model. The experimental results show that the train release scheme and passenger flow control scheme generated by our proposed method can perform well on the trade-off between equity and efficiency.

在过饱和的地铁系统中,供给与需求的不匹配导致不同车站的列车运力分配不平等,从而产生运输不公平问题。本文提出了一种结合列车车厢灵活放行策略和客流控制策略的协同优化方法,该方法被描述为考虑公平与效率权衡的混合整数非线性规划(MINLP)模型。为了求解该模型,将其重新表述为混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型,并用GUROBI求解器对其进行求解。然后提出了一种高效的变量邻域搜索算法来寻找问题的高质量解。最后,以成都地铁系统为例,进行了两组数值实验,验证了模型的正确性。实验结果表明,本文方法生成的列车放行方案和客流控制方案能够很好地兼顾公平性和效率。
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引用次数: 0
Pushing Behavior in Ro-Ro Passenger Ship Evacuations: A Social Force Model Analysis 滚装客船疏散中的推挤行为:一个社会力模型分析
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1155/atr/2652497
Jianzhen Zhang, Qing Liu, Lei Wang

Passenger pushing behavior during emergency evacuations on roll-on/roll-off (Ro-Ro) passenger ships is a critical yet overlooked factor in evacuation modeling. This study investigates the impact of pushing behavior on evacuation dynamics by employing an improved social force model (SFM) that integrates pushing forces and the ship’s inclination angle. Four evacuation scenarios are simulated to evaluate the impacts of pushing behavior and falling incidents. Results show that (1) moderate pushing can slightly shorten evacuation time without significantly increasing the risk of falling; (2) excessive pushing induces localized congestion, elevates the probability of falls, and ultimately prolongs evacuation time—under severe pushing conditions, total evacuation time increased by 45.4% compared with the no-pushing baseline; and (3) ship inclination significantly affects passenger stability, particularly near exit bottlenecks and in narrow passages. The findings enhance the realism of evacuation simulations and provide practical insights for optimizing crowd management strategies on Ro-Ro passenger ships.

在滚装客船紧急疏散过程中,乘客推挤行为是疏散建模中一个重要但被忽视的因素。本研究采用一种改进的社会力模型(SFM),将推力与船舶倾斜角相结合,探讨了推入行为对疏散动力学的影响。模拟了四种疏散情景,以评估推挤行为和坠落事件的影响。结果表明:(1)适度推挤可以略微缩短疏散时间,但不会显著增加坠落风险;(2)过度推挤导致局部拥堵,增加跌倒概率,最终延长疏散时间——在严重推挤条件下,总疏散时间较无推挤基线增加45.4%;(3)船舶倾斜度显著影响乘客稳定性,特别是在出口瓶颈附近和狭窄通道。研究结果增强了疏散模拟的真实感,为优化滚装客船人群管理策略提供了实用见解。
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引用次数: 0
Traffic Management System Based on Deep Learning Techniques at Signalized Intersection: The Case of Antalya 基于深度学习技术的信号交叉口交通管理系统——以安塔利亚为例
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1155/atr/5168739
Seyitali İlyas, Yalçın Albayrak, Sevil Köfteci

This study was conducted to ensure traffic continuity at an adaptive signalized intersection by developing a SUMO-based digital twin of the Heybe Intersection in Antalya, using real traffic data obtained from the Antalya Traffic Control Center (covering 165 days of observations). To address potential sensor failure scenarios, a solution integrating traffic forecasting and reinforcement learning was developed. After applying data cleaning techniques, multiple deep learning models were trained to forecast traffic volumes, and their outputs were used to generate an origin-destination (O/D) matrix that served as input to a Deep Q-Learning (DQL) control model. Three scenarios were evaluated in the simulation: (i) baseline adaptive signal control under normal operating conditions, (ii) the existing system under sensor failure reverting to a fixed-time plan, and (iii) the proposed DQL-based intersection management. Results demonstrated that, under sensor failure conditions, the DQL-based system achieved substantial improvements compared to the fixed-time baseline: the average delay was reduced by 61.3%, the average speed increased by 134.6%, and the level of service improved from E to B. These findings highlight the potential of integrating forecasting models with DQL to enhance the resilience of smart intersections against sensor malfunctions.

为了确保自适应信号交叉口的交通连续性,本研究利用安塔利亚交通控制中心获得的165天的真实交通数据,开发了一个基于sumo的安塔利亚Heybe交叉口数字孪生模型。为了解决潜在的传感器故障情况,开发了一种集成交通预测和强化学习的解决方案。在应用数据清洗技术后,训练多个深度学习模型来预测交通量,并使用它们的输出来生成起点-目的地(O/D)矩阵,该矩阵作为深度q -学习(DQL)控制模型的输入。在模拟中评估了三种场景:(i)正常运行条件下的基线自适应信号控制,(ii)传感器故障下的现有系统恢复到固定时间计划,以及(iii)提出的基于dll的交叉口管理。结果表明,在传感器故障条件下,与固定时间基线相比,基于DQL的系统取得了实质性的改进:平均延误减少了61.3%,平均速度提高了134.6%,服务水平从E提高到b。这些研究结果突出了将预测模型与DQL集成在一起,以增强智能交叉口对传感器故障的恢复能力的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Pricing for Railway Group Tickets in Revenue Management Increasing Revenue and Attracting New Users 收益管理中的铁路团票定价,增加收益,吸引新用户
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1155/atr/5549207
Yu Wang, Lingyun Meng, Zhendong Wang, Malik Muneeb Abid

The purpose of launching railway group tickets for railway enterprises is twofold: (1) increase revenue; (2) attract new users to travel by railway. In order to study how to achieve the above goals through price strategies for group tickets, this paper proposes an optimization approach for railway group ticket pricing in a scenario of multitrains. First, based on the consistent preference of passengers for group tickets, we model the decision-making process of existing passengers purchasing group tickets and calculate the required quantitative boundary of existing passengers for selling out group tickets in order of priority. Then, under the constraints of stochastic demand and shared seat quota between group tickets and individual tickets, a multiobjective nonlinear optimization model with the objectives of maximizing both total expected revenue and expected sales of new users is constructed and solved. The analysis results reveal that there is no unique optimal solution simultaneously maximizing the two objectives. Increasing expected revenue will sacrifice the goal of attracting more incremental passengers to take trains. Limited by the fixed seat allocation, a scientific moderate discount scheme on group tickets can increase the total expected revenue. At this time, selling both group tickets and individual tickets yields higher revenue than only selling individual tickets, thus verifying the rationality of the mixed sales strategy of group tickets and individual tickets. Furthermore, we find an indicator named “elasticity of existing passengers” that has a critical impact on the expected revenue. Railway enterprises should take measures to incentivize the marketing enthusiasm of third-party sales agencies to minimize the elasticity of existing passengers to achieve greater revenue.

铁路企业推出铁路团购票的目的有两个:一是增加收入;(2)吸引新用户乘坐铁路出行。为了研究如何通过团购票价格策略实现上述目标,本文提出了一种多列情况下铁路团购票价格的优化方法。首先,基于旅客对团体票的一致偏好,对现有旅客购买团体票的决策过程进行建模,并按优先级顺序计算出现有旅客售罄团体票所需的数量边界。然后,在随机需求约束和团票与个人票共享座位数约束下,构造并求解了以新用户总期望收益和期望销售额均最大化为目标的多目标非线性优化模型。分析结果表明,不存在唯一的同时使两个目标最大化的最优解。增加预期收入将牺牲吸引更多增量乘客乘坐火车的目标。在固定座位分配的限制下,科学适度的团体票折扣方案可以增加总期望收益。此时,同时销售团体票和个人票的收益高于只销售个人票,从而验证了团体票和个人票混合销售策略的合理性。此外,我们发现一个名为“现有乘客弹性”的指标对预期收入有关键影响。铁路企业应采取措施,激励第三方销售机构的营销积极性,尽量减少现有旅客的弹性,以获得更大的收益。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Insights Into E-Scooter Usage Prediction Through Machine Learning and Deep Learning Techniques 通过机器学习和深度学习技术对电动滑板车使用预测的比较见解
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1155/atr/8794166
Gokhan Yurdakul, Nezir Aydin, Sukran Seker, Hao Yu

Shared micromobility services are experiencing rapid growth, particularly in addressing last-mile transportation needs. The most crucial questions focus on identifying the determinants of user behavior and the factors driving demand for micromobility vehicles. Investigating this topic is thus essential for meeting the demand of micromobility vehicles, ensuring their dynamic and flexible deployment, and optimizing overall system planning. In this study, demand forecasting was performed using a shared electric scooter (e-scooter) dataset and by comparing 19 distinct machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms, including traditional ML algorithms, neural network–based (NN) models , ANN and metaheuristic hybrid models, and ensemble models. Algorithm performance, evaluated using R2 and RMSE metrics, shows that boosting and hybrid models significantly outperform traditional algorithms. In this study, the algorithms were compared not only with RMSE and R2 but also with their running times. Our analysis reveals that GRU, ANN–Grid–Search, ANN–Bayesian, ANN–Randomize–Search, ANN-PSO, and ANN-GA models achieve the highest performance, though this performance is inversely related to their computational cost. When the running time is included in the analysis, the GRU algorithm ranks best (RMSE: 0.945248, R2: 0.174226, runtime: 6.1), followed by ANN-GA and ANN-PSO models. These findings will help e-scooter providers plan effectively and make informed investment decisions.

共享微型交通服务正在快速增长,特别是在解决最后一英里交通需求方面。最关键的问题集中在确定用户行为的决定因素和驱动微型机动车辆需求的因素。因此,研究这一课题对于满足微型机动车辆的需求,保证其动态灵活部署,优化整体系统规划具有重要意义。在本研究中,使用共享电动滑板车(e-scooter)数据集进行需求预测,并通过比较19种不同的机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)算法,包括传统的ML算法、基于神经网络(NN)的模型、人工神经网络和元启发式混合模型以及集成模型。使用R2和RMSE指标评估的算法性能表明,增强和混合模型显着优于传统算法。在本研究中,算法不仅与RMSE和R2进行了比较,而且与它们的运行时间进行了比较。我们的分析表明,GRU、ANN-Grid-Search、ANN-Bayesian、ANN-Randomize-Search、ANN-PSO和ANN-GA模型的性能最高,尽管这种性能与它们的计算成本成反比。当考虑运行时间时,GRU算法(RMSE: 0.945248, R2: 0.174226,运行时间:6.1)排名最佳,其次是ANN-GA和ANN-PSO模型。这些发现将有助于电动滑板车供应商有效地规划并做出明智的投资决策。
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引用次数: 0
The Spillover Effects of High-Speed Railway Networks From the Perspective of Industrial Agglomeration 产业集聚视角下的高速铁路网溢出效应
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1155/atr/6650188
Xiaofeng Wu, Hongchang Li, Xuanxuan Xia, Likang Duan

As an important part of modern transportation infrastructure, high-speed rail (HSR) networks not only reduce the spatiotemporal distance between regions but also generate widespread spillover effects through mechanisms such as population mobility, technological innovation, and market expansion. Based on the city-level panel data from 2008 to 2021, this paper uses a spatial econometric model and a generalized structural equation model (GSEM) to study the spatial spillover effects of HSR networks on the three industrial agglomerations and tests the impact mechanism of HSR networks on industrial agglomeration. We find that HSR networks significantly inhibit the agglomeration of primary and secondary industries while significantly promoting that of the tertiary industry. Regional heterogeneity analysis shows that HSR networks have a negative impact on the secondary industry agglomeration in the eastern region but obviously promote the tertiary industry agglomeration, and their promotion effect on the tertiary industry is also significant in the central and western regions. The results of the mechanism test show that HSR networks significantly affect the agglomeration of the three industries through the path of population mobility, technological innovation, and market scale.

作为现代交通基础设施的重要组成部分,高铁网络不仅缩短了区域间的时空距离,还通过人口流动、技术创新、市场拓展等机制产生了广泛的溢出效应。基于2008 - 2021年的城市面板数据,运用空间计量模型和广义结构方程模型(GSEM)研究了高铁网络对三大产业集聚的空间溢出效应,并检验了高铁网络对产业集聚的影响机制。研究发现,高铁网络显著抑制了第一、第二产业的集聚,同时显著促进了第三产业的集聚。区域异质性分析表明,高铁网络对东部地区第二产业集聚有负向影响,但对第三产业集聚有明显促进作用,对中西部地区第三产业的促进作用也很显著。机制检验结果表明,高铁网络通过人口流动、技术创新和市场规模的路径显著影响三次产业集聚。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating Automatic Braking Mechanisms for Reducing Driver Fatigue in Low-Speed Traffic Conditions: A Systematic Review 评估在低速交通条件下减少驾驶员疲劳的自动制动机制:系统综述
IF 1.8 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1155/atr/5574864
Salmiah Ahmad, Alya Syafikah Mahadi, Hazril Md. Isa, Siti Fauziah Toha, Mohd Azan Mohammed Sapardi

Traffic delays are a common challenge for drivers in large cities worldwide. During these delays, drivers must maintain a safe distance from nearby vehicles while avoiding collisions with pedestrians and motorcyclists. This needs frequently alternate pressing and releasing the brake and accelerator pedals, preserving low speeds. Research indicates that this repetitive action can contribute to driver’s fatigue, which is worse for manual vehicles. Other factors, such as inadequate sleep, prolonged driving, monotonous driving conditions, and heavy workloads, may also induce fatigue, further leading to ignorance of the correct seating posture, which can exacerbate the issue. Studies on driver fatigue and its prevention have been widely conducted by scholars and automotive-based industries, focusing on two subject matters: (i) driver fatigue detection systems using various technologies and (ii) fatigue prevention techniques incorporating autonomous braking systems for high-speed and long-distance driving. This paper focuses on extensively reviewing both subject matters, leading to the best proposed solution that can prevent fatigue from happening during road traffic delays at low-speed driving, as limited studies were found that can suit the traffic and social environment in developing countries, i.e., Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Clearly, the latter subject area focused on incorporating autonomous braking systems in the electronic control unit (ECU) of vehicles, applicable only for high-end vehicles, thus limiting accessibility. This technology can either reduce the physical effort of pedal pressing or take over the task altogether. The review will examine various causes of fatigue and the existing detection methods, compare the automatic braking solutions’ features, and propose a suitable mechanism that could benefit drivers of all types of vehicles, especially from low- to middle-end vehicles, which addresses the real needs among the affected populations with regard to road traffic delay. The outcome of this review comes in the form of a proposal for mitigating the fatigue issue from happening using a unique technique based on the research gap that is adapted to the targeted environment.

交通延误是世界各地大城市司机面临的共同挑战。在这些延误期间,司机必须与附近的车辆保持安全距离,同时避免与行人和摩托车手相撞。这需要经常交替按压和释放刹车和油门踏板,以保持低速。研究表明,这种重复的动作会导致驾驶员疲劳,对手动车辆来说情况更糟。其他因素,如睡眠不足、长时间驾驶、单调的驾驶条件和繁重的工作负荷,也可能引起疲劳,进一步导致对正确坐姿的无知,这可能会加剧问题。学者和汽车行业对驾驶员疲劳及其预防进行了广泛的研究,主要集中在两个主题上:(i)采用各种技术的驾驶员疲劳检测系统;(ii)高速和长途驾驶中采用自动制动系统的疲劳预防技术。本文侧重于广泛审查这两个主题,导致提出的最佳解决方案,可以防止疲劳发生在道路交通延误在低速驾驶,因为有限的研究发现,可以适应发展中国家的交通和社会环境,即马来西亚吉隆坡。显然,后一个主题领域侧重于将自动制动系统整合到车辆的电子控制单元(ECU)中,仅适用于高端车辆,因此限制了可访问性。这项技术既可以减少踩踏板的体力,也可以完全接管这项任务。本次审查将研究各种疲劳原因和现有的检测方法,比较自动制动解决方案的特点,并提出一种适合的机制,可以使所有类型的车辆,特别是中低端车辆的驾驶员受益,从而解决受影响人群在道路交通延误方面的实际需求。这项审查的结果以一项建议的形式出现,该建议基于适应目标环境的研究差距,使用一种独特的技术来减轻疲劳问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Advanced Transportation
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