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Hierarchical distributed volt/var control of urban power grids with integrated flexible DC traction power supply systems 集成柔性直流牵引供电系统的城市电网分层分布式伏/无控制
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111723
Shilong Cai , Junjie Lin , Xiaoqian Li , Bo Chang , Chao Lu
Flexible DC traction power supply systems (FTPSSs) have been increasingly deployed in urban rail transit. The high converter-level flexibility enables them to supply subway power while simultaneously contributing to volt/var control (VVC) in urban power grids. However, their practical application is hindered by fluctuating reactive power capacity and the complexity of coordinating with other devices. To overcome these issues, a reactive power optimization method exploiting the overload capability of flexible traction substations (FTSSs) is developed to ensure sustained long-term reactive support, and a hierarchical distributed VVC framework is proposed to manage these VVC devices across two timescales. At the upper layer, a parallel alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm is designed to achieve a threefold acceleration in hourly optimization, whereas at the lower layer, second-level real-time control with adaptive power sharing enables communication-free coordination among FTSSs. Case studies on the Beijing Changping District power grid and Beijing Subway system demonstrate that the proposed strategy reduces network losses by 6.6%, suppresses 67.6% of cable-induced reverse reactive power flow, and preserves voltage stability at second-level timescales. The fully distributed architecture further ensures low communication overhead and high computational efficiency, highlighting its practical applicability for modern urban power grids.
柔性直流牵引供电系统(FTPSSs)在城市轨道交通中的应用越来越广泛。高变流器水平的灵活性使它们能够为地铁供电,同时有助于城市电网的电压/无功控制(VVC)。然而,它们的实际应用受到波动的无功容量和与其他设备协调的复杂性的阻碍。为了克服这些问题,提出了一种利用柔性牵引变电站(ftss)过载能力的无功优化方法,以确保持续的长期无功支持,并提出了一个分层分布式VVC框架,以跨两个时间尺度管理这些VVC设备。在上层,设计了并行交替方向乘法器(ADMM)算法,以实现每小时优化的三倍加速,而在下层,采用自适应功率共享的二级实时控制,使FTSSs之间实现无通信协调。通过对北京常平区电网和北京地铁系统的实例研究表明,该策略降低了6.6%的网络损耗,抑制了67.6%的电缆诱导的反向无功潮流,并保持了二级时间尺度的电压稳定。全分布式架构进一步保证了低通信开销和高计算效率,突出了其在现代城市电网中的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
A cyber-resilient multi-agent protection scheme for power distribution systems 配电系统网络弹性多智能体保护方案
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111654
Mohamed M. Elgamal , Bishoy E. Sedhom , Abdelfattah A. Eladl , V. Oboskalov , Akram Elmitwally , Juan C. Vasquez , Amir Abdel Menaem
Modern distribution networks face significant protection challenges, as conventional relays and existing multi-agent system-based relaying schemes struggle with reliable directional discrimination, high-impedance faults, busbar faults, and cyber vulnerabilities—particularly when voltage measurements are unavailable or costly. This paper proposes a fully distributed, cyber-resilient multi-agent protection scheme for power distribution systems using current-only directional overcurrent relays (DOCRs). Fault direction is determined solely by local current measurements, eliminating voltage transformers and enabling cost-effective and low-complexity implementation. Relay agents exchange only 4-digit binary messages with neighboring agents during fault suspicion, resulting in lightweight communication suitable for legacy infrastructure. The proposed scheme accurately detects both close-in line faults and busbar faults, reliably classifies fault types, and maintains robust performance across a wide range of fault resistances, including high-impedance scenarios. To ensure cyber resilience, each relay is equipped with an anomaly detection unit (ADU) that combines Principal Component Analysis Algorithm (PCAA) and Local Outlier Factor Algorithm (LOFA), enabling precise real-time detection and mitigation of false tripping cyberattacks. Under ideal measurement conditions (noise-free), the ADU achieves 100% classification accuracy, while requiring only 15% of the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) model training time and 80% of the Isolation Forest Algorithm (IFA) model’s training time, with significantly faster real-time classification. Under degraded or noisy measurement conditions (35 dB SNR), the ADU maintains 98.5% accuracy, outperforming the MLP (96.8%) and IFA (95%) models. Extensive co-simulation integrating power system dynamics and multi-agent system logic validates fast, selective fault clearing across diverse fault types, resistances, topologies, and cyberattacks. The proposed scheme offers a practical, cost-effective, and inherently secure solution ready for real-world deployment in modern distribution networks and microgrids.
现代配电网面临着重大的保护挑战,因为传统的继电器和现有的基于多代理系统的继电器方案在可靠的方向识别、高阻抗故障、母线故障和网络漏洞方面挣扎,特别是在电压测量不可用或成本高昂的情况下。本文提出了一种全分布式、网络弹性的多智能体保护方案,该方案适用于仅限电流的定向过流继电器(docr)配电系统。故障方向仅由局部电流测量确定,消除了电压变压器,实现了成本效益和低复杂性。在故障怀疑期间,中继代理仅与相邻代理交换4位二进制消息,从而实现适合遗留基础设施的轻量级通信。该方案可准确检测近线故障和母线故障,可靠地分类故障类型,并在包括高阻抗场景在内的广泛故障电阻范围内保持稳健的性能。为了确保网络弹性,每个中继都配备了一个异常检测单元(ADU),该单元结合了主成分分析算法(PCAA)和本地离群因子算法(LOFA),能够精确实时检测和减轻误跳网络攻击。在理想的测量条件下(无噪声),ADU达到100%的分类准确率,而只需要15%的多层感知器(Multilayer Perceptron, MLP)模型训练时间和80%的隔离森林算法(Isolation Forest Algorithm, IFA)模型训练时间,显著加快了实时分类速度。在退化或噪声测量条件下(35 dB信噪比),ADU保持98.5%的精度,优于MLP(96.8%)和IFA(95%)模型。广泛的联合仿真集成电力系统动力学和多代理系统逻辑验证快速,选择性故障清除跨越各种故障类型,阻力,拓扑结构和网络攻击。该方案提供了一种实用、经济、安全的解决方案,可用于现代配电网和微电网的实际部署。
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引用次数: 0
A web-based platform for benchmarking parameter identification algorithms in reduced-order frequency models 一个基于web的平台,用于对降阶频率模型中的参数识别算法进行基准测试
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111720
Luis González Pincheira , Hector Chavez , Artjoms Obushevs , Juan Quiroz , Roberto Pérez
The increasing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems has reduced system inertia, posing significant challenges to frequency stability. Consequently, there is a critical need for low computational cost models that accurately represent dynamic frequency behavior for near real-time applications. However, existing literature lacks unified criteria to compare parameter identification techniques for simplified frequency response models, often relying on simulated data without real-world validation. This paper addresses this gap by proposing a modular web-based application designed to benchmark parameter identification algorithms under identical computational conditions. The developed platform integrates real-time data acquisition, event detection, and model fitting capabilities utilizing the synchrophasor standard. By facilitating the comparison of different identification techniques under both controlled and online conditions using realistic measurement data, the platform provides a standardized evaluation framework. The effectiveness of the proposed tool is validated through practical experiments, demonstrating its capability to assess frequency dynamics accurately. The main results highlight that while different identification techniques can achieve similar curve fitting accuracy, the estimated physical parameters vary significantly due to the practical unidentifiability of the aggregated model. This leads to the conclusion that relying solely on mathematical fitting is insufficient, emphasizing the critical need for comprehensive, standardized validation tools in modern control centers to ensure the reliability of reduced-order models.
随着可再生能源在电力系统中的应用越来越广泛,系统惯性也越来越小,这对频率稳定性提出了重大挑战。因此,迫切需要低计算成本的模型,以准确地表示近实时应用的动态频率行为。然而,现有文献缺乏统一的标准来比较简化频率响应模型的参数识别技术,通常依赖于没有实际验证的模拟数据。本文通过提出一个基于web的模块化应用程序来解决这一差距,该应用程序旨在在相同的计算条件下对参数识别算法进行基准测试。开发的平台利用同步量标准集成了实时数据采集、事件检测和模型拟合功能。通过使用真实的测量数据,促进在受控和在线条件下不同识别技术的比较,该平台提供了一个标准化的评估框架。通过实际实验验证了该工具的有效性,证明了其准确评估频率动力学的能力。主要结果表明,虽然不同的识别技术可以达到相似的曲线拟合精度,但由于聚合模型的实际不可识别性,估计的物理参数差异很大。由此得出结论,仅仅依靠数学拟合是不够的,强调现代控制中心迫切需要全面、标准化的验证工具,以确保降阶模型的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Novel hybrid control of high-speed flywheel energy storage using modular multilevel converter in a DC power system 基于模块化多电平变换器的高速飞轮储能混合控制
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111724
Dan Zhang , Minglong Zhang , Yixuan Liu , Xiaorong Xie
Flywheel energy storage (FES) is characterized by fast energy storage and release, which is suitable for use in DC power systems. In particular, it has unique advantages in the applications to DC rail transit. This paper explores the integration of modular multilevel converters (MMC) with high-speed FES on the DC traction network side of urban rail transit. To solve the problem of voltage balance control of MMC’s sub modules under high-frequency fundamental waves, a novel bubble sorting carrier-phase shift modulation method is proposed to ensure high-precision voltage balance control of MMC under low modulation ratio and high modulation ratio conditions. The algorithm achieves enhanced operational efficiency by optimising the sorting process, which involves minimising unnecessary steps and implementing separate sorting for charging and discharging submodules. In addition, the use of MMC enables stable control of the high-speed flywheel, thereby maintaining the voltage stability of the DC traction network and limiting voltage fluctuations to a reasonable range. Finally, a high-speed simulation platform was built to verify the feasibility of the proposed control strategy under subway braking and starting conditions. Further, to verify the effectiveness of the proposed bubble sort-carrier phase shifted modulation method, an experimental platform was built for validation.
飞轮储能(FES)具有快速储能和快速释放的特点,适用于直流电力系统。特别是在直流轨道交通中的应用具有独特的优势。本文探讨了城市轨道交通直流牵引网侧模块化多电平变流器与高速FES的集成。为了解决高频基波下MMC各子模块的电压平衡控制问题,提出了一种新的气泡分选载波移相调制方法,保证了MMC在低调制比和高调制比条件下的高精度电压平衡控制。该算法通过优化分拣过程,最大限度地减少不必要的步骤,并对充电和放电子模块进行单独分拣,从而提高了操作效率。此外,MMC的使用可以实现高速飞轮的稳定控制,从而保持直流牵引网络的电压稳定,将电压波动限制在合理的范围内。最后,建立了高速仿真平台,验证了该控制策略在地铁制动和启动条件下的可行性。此外,为了验证所提出的气泡排序载波相移调制方法的有效性,建立了实验平台进行验证。
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引用次数: 0
Improved current differential protection scheme for active distribution network integrated with dynamic line rating 结合动态线路额定值的有功配电网电流差动保护改进方案
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111752
Zhihui Dai, Junyi Liu, Zhiheng Ning, Qiyue Yang, Xinya Lu
With the massive access of inverter-interfaced distributed generator (IIDG), the new active distribution network is facing problems such as the inability to effectively utilize new energy and the lack of adaptability of protection schemes. To address these issues, dynamic line rating (DLR) technology is introduced to regulate IIDG output based on real-time environmental data collected by the intelligent distribution network system. Then, considering the problems of protection misoperation and rejection caused by the adjustment of IIDG output, the amplitude and phase compensation according to the measured current on both sides of the line is proposed. Combined with the dynamically adjusted braking coefficient, an improved ratio braking current differential protection scheme for active distribution network with DLR technology is formed to ensure the correct operation of the protection when the external environmental conditions change and adaptively reshape the operating regions of the differential protection. Finally, the simulation model is built on PSCAD / EMTDC, and the results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed scheme for active distribution networks with DLR integration.
随着逆变器接口分布式发电机(IIDG)的大量接入,新型有功配电网面临着不能有效利用新能源和保护方案适应性不足等问题。为了解决这些问题,引入动态线路额定值(DLR)技术,根据智能配电网系统实时采集的环境数据来调节IIDG输出。然后,考虑到IIDG输出调整引起的保护误动作和抑制问题,提出了根据线路两侧的测量电流进行幅度和相位补偿。结合动态调节的制动系数,采用DLR技术形成了一种改进的有源配电网比例制动电流差动保护方案,保证了在外部环境条件发生变化时保护的正确动作,并自适应地重塑了差动保护的动作区域。最后,在PSCAD / EMTDC上建立仿真模型,验证了该方案在DLR集成有源配电网中的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon-aware ramping-driven assessment of multi-duration energy storage requirements under extreme climate events 极端气候事件下多时段储能需求的碳意识斜坡驱动评估
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111754
Lanyi Wei , Xuanyue Hong , Zili Chen , Lichen Liu , Guangzeng Sun , Zhaoyuan Wu
With the rapid growth of renewable penetration, accurately quantifying multi-timescale flexibility requirements has become a central challenge for power system planning. Yet existing flexibility and storage adequacy assessment studies often evaluate climate extremes and carbon constraints separately, and rarely translate climate-driven net-load ramping into differentiated requirements for short- and long-duration storage. This study proposes a carbon-aware, ramping-driven assessment framework for multi-duration energy storage requirements under extreme climate events. We first develop a meteorology-driven net load modeling approach that integrates observations and CMIP6 projections to capture climate-induced renewable suppression and temperature-sensitive demand fluctuations. We then quantify ramping stress across multiple time scales and construct a carbon-constrained multi-timescale storage planning model with a dual-layer temporal decomposition, explicitly separating short-duration (intra-day ramping) and long-duration (inter-day/seasonal balancing) storage dynamics. Case studies for Northeast China show that extreme-event frequency and severity induce nonlinear and coupled shifts in storage demand patterns across time scales: In the extended sensitivity analysis, when extreme-event frequency increases by 15%, long-duration storage duration rises by 23.4%, while short-duration storage power demand and duration decrease by 39.5% and 16.2%, respectively. Carbon emission prices further amplify the sensitivity and volatility of storage requirements, especially under intensified climate extremes. These findings indicate that neglecting ramping-driven climate risks and carbon constraints can substantially underestimate flexibility needs, and provide quantitative support for climate-resilient, carbon-constrained storage deployment and planning.
随着可再生能源渗透率的快速增长,准确量化多时间尺度的灵活性需求已成为电力系统规划的核心挑战。然而,现有的灵活性和储能充分性评估研究往往分别评估极端气候和碳约束,很少将气候驱动的净负荷增加转化为短期和长期储能的差异化需求。本研究提出了一个具有碳意识的、斜坡驱动的评估框架,用于极端气候事件下的多持续时间储能需求。我们首先开发了一种气象驱动的净负荷建模方法,该方法集成了观测和CMIP6预测,以捕捉气候引起的可再生能源抑制和温度敏感的需求波动。然后,我们在多个时间尺度上量化斜坡应力,并构建了一个碳约束的多时间尺度存储规划模型,该模型具有双层时间分解,明确分离了短期(日内斜坡)和长期(日间/季节平衡)存储动态。以东北地区为例,极端事件频率和严重程度导致了电力需求模式在时间尺度上的非线性耦合变化:在扩展敏感性分析中,极端事件频率每增加15%,长时蓄电时间增加23.4%,短时蓄电需求和持续时间分别减少39.5%和16.2%。碳排放价格进一步放大了储能需求的敏感性和波动性,尤其是在极端气候加剧的情况下。这些发现表明,忽视斜坡驱动的气候风险和碳约束可以大大低估灵活性需求,并为气候适应型、碳约束型储能部署和规划提供定量支持。
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引用次数: 0
Ropeway modelling for energy demand and deviations — Case study 能源需求和偏差的索道模型。案例研究
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111728
Andrea Di Martino, Michela Longo, Dario Zaninelli
To reduce emissions produced, transportation sector is pushing towards the electrification of vehicle fleets. Topography or lack of proper charging infrastructure can limit this process. Ropeways systems can contribute to realize electric mobility solutions also in harsh geographic contexts, being considered in the Local Public Transportation (LPT) network. This paper provides an example of modelling applied to a ropeway system aimed to estimate the energy requested to the grid. Based on the actual service operations, two loading conditions were considered, no load and full capacity. Results pointed out the extreme convenience in operating ropeways systems at full capacity, requiring only 59% of the energy compared to the empty-load case. This helped to estimate the amount of energy required per year based on the actual service deployed, with a further discussion on how to improve energy efficiency and its robustness against fluctuations of energy market price.
为了减少排放,交通运输部门正在推动车队的电气化。地形或缺乏适当的充电基础设施会限制这一过程。索道系统也有助于在恶劣的地理环境中实现电动交通解决方案,在当地公共交通(LPT)网络中得到考虑。本文提供了一个用于索道系统的建模实例,旨在估计电网所需的能量。根据实际服务运行情况,考虑了空载和满负荷两种加载情况。结果表明,索道系统在满负荷运行时非常方便,与空载情况相比,只需要5 - 9%的能量。这有助于根据实际部署的服务估计每年所需的能源量,并进一步讨论如何提高能源效率及其对能源市场价格波动的稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
Combined methodology of statistical knowledge and adversarial learning for few-shot renewable scenario generation 基于统计知识和对抗学习的少镜头可再生场景生成方法
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111758
Ke Wang , Yinan Zhou , Yuanxing Xia , Jun Liang , Xiangkuan Wan
Scenario generation plays a critical role in short-term power system operations with high renewable penetration. Data-driven scenario generation typically requires extensive sample data, however, due to confidentiality constraints or limited historical records—such as those associated with extreme weather scenarios—only small datasets may be available, thereby making credible scenario generation challenging. This paper proposes a combined methodology that integrates statistical knowledge and adversarial learning for few-shot renewable scenario generation. Specifically, the framework incorporates statistical knowledge that captures historical fluctuations and power prediction errors, together with conditional generative adversarial networks (CGANs), to generate accurate and reliable day-ahead or intraday look-ahead scenarios. This approach enables exploration of more diverse regions within the data space, generates a broader range of samples, and compensates for the lack of diversity resulting from limited datasets (e.g., one month or less). Case studies are conducted on a provincial power grid in China with abundant wind power resources. Compared with the traditional CGAN, the proposed methodology, when implemented with appropriate parameter settings, improves the coverage of the generated scenarios without increasing the corresponding power interval width.
场景发电在可再生能源普及率高的短期电力系统运行中起着至关重要的作用。数据驱动的情景生成通常需要广泛的样本数据,然而,由于保密性限制或有限的历史记录(例如与极端天气情景相关的历史记录),可能只有小数据集可用,从而使可信的情景生成具有挑战性。本文提出了一种将统计知识与对抗学习相结合的方法,用于少镜头可再生场景的生成。具体而言,该框架结合了捕获历史波动和功率预测误差的统计知识,以及条件生成对抗网络(cgan),以生成准确可靠的日前或日内展望情景。这种方法可以在数据空间中探索更多样化的区域,产生更广泛的样本范围,并弥补有限数据集(例如,一个月或更少)导致的多样性缺乏。以风电资源丰富的中国某省级电网为例进行了研究。与传统的CGAN相比,该方法在适当的参数设置下实现,在不增加相应的功率区间宽度的情况下提高了生成场景的覆盖率。
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引用次数: 0
Transient stability control method for reducing power angle/frequency fluctuations in grid-forming converters during fault ride-through 一种减小电网变流器故障穿越过程中功率角/频率波动的暂态稳定控制方法
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111722
Ma Tinghao , Du Xiong , Du Chengmao
Grid-forming converters controlled by virtual synchronous generator control (GFM-VSG) are gradually becoming integral components of modern power systems. During fault ride-through, the power angle and frequency of the GFM-VSG often exhibit significant fluctuations. Excessive power angle fluctuations can cause transient instability in the GFM-VSG, while excessive frequency fluctuations compromise the safe operation of grid-connected systems. To address this issue, this paper first analyzes the transient stability of the GFM-VSG based on the distribution pattern of its power angle equilibrium points during fault ride-through. Subsequently, a transient stability enhancement method based on angular frequency dynamic PI feedback compensation (AFDPI) is introduced into the active power control loop. Compared to conventional methods, this method features a simpler control structure. The introduced compensation coefficients km and kn require no real-time adjustment, significantly reducing the GFM-VSG’s output frequency and power angle fluctuations during grid faults. Furthermore, this paper mathematically demonstrates that the output power angle of the GFM-VSG converges to a stable equilibrium point (SEP) after implementing the AFDPI control method. Then, based on nonlinear perturbation theory, the dynamic influence mechanism of compensation coefficients on transient power angle trajectories is analyzed. A systematic design criterion for compensation coefficients is derived with the control objectives of minimizing transient power angle and frequency fluctuations. Finally, simulations demonstrate the superiority of this method over others in suppressing frequency and power angle fluctuations, and experiments validate its effectiveness in practical engineering control.
由虚拟同步发电机控制的并网变流器正逐渐成为现代电力系统的重要组成部分。在故障穿越过程中,GFM-VSG的功率角和频率经常出现明显的波动。功率角波动过大会引起GFM-VSG的暂态失稳,而频率波动过大则会危及并网系统的安全运行。为了解决这一问题,本文首先根据故障穿越过程中功率角平衡点的分布规律分析了GFM-VSG的暂态稳定性。随后,将一种基于角频动态PI反馈补偿(AFDPI)的暂态稳定增强方法引入有源功率控制回路。与传统方法相比,该方法具有控制结构简单的特点。引入的补偿系数km和kn无需实时调整,显著降低了GFM-VSG在电网故障时的输出频率和功率角波动。此外,从数学上证明了采用AFDPI控制方法后,GFM-VSG的输出功率角收敛到一个稳定平衡点(SEP)。然后,基于非线性摄动理论,分析了补偿系数对瞬态功率角轨迹的动态影响机理。以暂态功率角和频率波动最小为控制目标,导出了系统的补偿系数设计准则。最后,通过仿真验证了该方法在抑制频率和功率角波动方面的优越性,实验验证了该方法在实际工程控制中的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated energy system planning framework driven by decision-making characteristics and comprehensive operational risk consideration 基于决策特征和综合运行风险考虑的综合能源系统规划框架
IF 5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijepes.2026.111661
Zhuoxiang Wu , Shunfu Lin , Jin Tan , Qiuwei Wu
The optimization models based on representative days improve the feasibility and computational efficiency of integrated energy system (IES) planning. However, most existing representative day selection methods rely heavily on the statistical features of input data and often fail to account for the inherent nonlinear characteristics of the planning models. Moreover, they tend to overlook the extreme scenarios, which can significantly undermine the accuracy and reliability of the planning results. To overcome these challenges, this paper proposes a novel representative day selection method that integrates both decision-making characteristics and comprehensive operational risk of the IES. The method starts by mapping the clustering-based representative decisions from single-day planning models to identify typical representative days. Subsequently, stochastic optimization using representative days results in an initial planning decision. Based on this, a risk-critical day selection model guided by a comprehensive operational risk assessment is established to capture rare but impactful scenarios within the planning horizon. Finally, the risk-critical days are incorporated into the representative day set, with optimized weights assigned to ensure a trade-off between economic efficiency and reliability in IES planning. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed method achieves higher planning accuracy with fewer representative days. Moreover, incorporating risk-critical days significantly reduces the operational risks and enhances the reliability of the final planning decisions.
基于代表性天数的优化模型提高了综合能源系统规划的可行性和计算效率。然而,大多数现有的代表性日选择方法严重依赖于输入数据的统计特征,往往不能考虑规划模型固有的非线性特征。此外,他们往往会忽略极端的情况,这可能会大大破坏规划结果的准确性和可靠性。为了克服这些挑战,本文提出了一种新的代表日选择方法,该方法综合了IES的决策特征和综合运营风险。该方法首先从单日规划模型映射基于聚类的代表性决策,以识别典型的代表性日。随后,利用代表性天数进行随机优化,得到初始规划决策。在此基础上,建立了以综合操作风险评估为指导的风险关键日选择模型,以捕获规划范围内罕见但有影响的场景。最后,将风险关键日纳入代表性日集,并分配优化的权重,以确保IES规划中经济效率和可靠性之间的权衡。实例研究表明,该方法在较少的代表天数内实现了较高的规划精度。此外,纳入风险关键日可以显著降低操作风险,并提高最终规划决策的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
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