Kangshuai Zhang, Yunduan Cui, Qi Liu, Hongfeng Shu, Lei Peng
Spread of parking difficulty can be regarded as a special cascading failure process of urban parking systems. A comprehensive understanding of this process can be greatly helpful to build a more robust parking system. Parking network, a specified complex network, is proposed to model, simulate, and analyse the failure process of urban parking systems in this paper. This model is applied to the analysis of parking systems in an abstract city grid and the downtown area of Luohu, Shenzhen. The results demonstrate that the parking network can capture subtle variations among various parking cruising behaviours or strategies from a network perspective. To enhance the utility of the parking network, an auxiliary indicator named “Parking Difficulty Index” is introduced to help assess the failure degree of urban parking system, estimate the optimal timing for parking guidance intervention, and evaluate the effectiveness of various guidance strategies in mitigating parking difficulties.
{"title":"Spread of parking difficulty in urban environments: A parking network perspective","authors":"Kangshuai Zhang, Yunduan Cui, Qi Liu, Hongfeng Shu, Lei Peng","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12525","DOIUrl":"10.1049/itr2.12525","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Spread of parking difficulty can be regarded as a special cascading failure process of urban parking systems. A comprehensive understanding of this process can be greatly helpful to build a more robust parking system. Parking network, a specified complex network, is proposed to model, simulate, and analyse the failure process of urban parking systems in this paper. This model is applied to the analysis of parking systems in an abstract city grid and the downtown area of Luohu, Shenzhen. The results demonstrate that the parking network can capture subtle variations among various parking cruising behaviours or strategies from a network perspective. To enhance the utility of the parking network, an auxiliary indicator named “Parking Difficulty Index” is introduced to help assess the failure degree of urban parking system, estimate the optimal timing for parking guidance intervention, and evaluate the effectiveness of various guidance strategies in mitigating parking difficulties.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"18 8","pages":"1494-1510"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12525","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141359516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In the era of data-driven transportation development, traffic forecasting is crucial. Established studies either ignore the inherent spatial structure of the traffic network or ignore the global spatial correlation and may not capture the spatial relationships adequately. In this work, a Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Network (DSTN) based on Joint Latent Space Representation (JLSR) is proposed for traffic forecasting. Specifically, in the spatial dimension, a JLSR network is developed by integrating graph convolution and spatial attention operations to model complex spatial dependencies. Since it can adaptively fuse the representation information of local topological space and global dynamic space, a more comprehensive spatial dependency can be captured. In the temporal dimension, a Stacked Bidirectional Unidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (SBUGRU) network is developed, which captures long-term temporal dependencies through both forward and backward computations and superimposed recurrent layers. On these bases, DSTN is developed in an encoder-decoder framework and periodicity is flexibly modeled by embedding branches. The performance of DSTN is validated on two types of real-world traffic flow datasets, and it improves over baselines.
{"title":"Dynamic spatial-temporal network for traffic forecasting based on joint latent space representation","authors":"Qian Yu, Liang Ma, Pei Lai, Jin Guo","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12517","DOIUrl":"10.1049/itr2.12517","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the era of data-driven transportation development, traffic forecasting is crucial. Established studies either ignore the inherent spatial structure of the traffic network or ignore the global spatial correlation and may not capture the spatial relationships adequately. In this work, a Dynamic Spatial-Temporal Network (DSTN) based on Joint Latent Space Representation (JLSR) is proposed for traffic forecasting. Specifically, in the spatial dimension, a JLSR network is developed by integrating graph convolution and spatial attention operations to model complex spatial dependencies. Since it can adaptively fuse the representation information of local topological space and global dynamic space, a more comprehensive spatial dependency can be captured. In the temporal dimension, a Stacked Bidirectional Unidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (SBUGRU) network is developed, which captures long-term temporal dependencies through both forward and backward computations and superimposed recurrent layers. On these bases, DSTN is developed in an encoder-decoder framework and periodicity is flexibly modeled by embedding branches. The performance of DSTN is validated on two types of real-world traffic flow datasets, and it improves over baselines.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"18 8","pages":"1369-1384"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12517","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140982018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Deep images can provide rich spatial structure information, which can effectively exclude the interference of illumination and road texture in road scene segmentation and make better use of the prior knowledge of road area. This paper first proposes a new cross-modal feature maintenance and encouragement network. It includes a quantization statistics module as well as a maintenance and encouragement module for effective fusion between multimodal data. Meanwhile, for the problem that if the road segmentation is performed directly using a segmentation network, there will be a lack of supervised guidance with clear physical meaningful information and poor interpretability of learning features, this paper proposes two road segmentation models based on prior knowledge of deep image: disparity information and surface normal vector information. Then, a two-branch neural network is used to process the colour image and the processed depth image separately, to achieve the full utilization of the complementary features of the two modalities. The experimental results on the KITTI road dataset and Cityscapes dataset show that the method in this paper has good road segmentation performance and high computational efficiency.
{"title":"RGB-D road segmentation based on cross-modality feature maintenance and encouragement","authors":"Xia Yuan, Xinyi Wu, Yanchao Cui, Chunxia Zhao","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12515","DOIUrl":"10.1049/itr2.12515","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Deep images can provide rich spatial structure information, which can effectively exclude the interference of illumination and road texture in road scene segmentation and make better use of the prior knowledge of road area. This paper first proposes a new cross-modal feature maintenance and encouragement network. It includes a quantization statistics module as well as a maintenance and encouragement module for effective fusion between multimodal data. Meanwhile, for the problem that if the road segmentation is performed directly using a segmentation network, there will be a lack of supervised guidance with clear physical meaningful information and poor interpretability of learning features, this paper proposes two road segmentation models based on prior knowledge of deep image: disparity information and surface normal vector information. Then, a two-branch neural network is used to process the colour image and the processed depth image separately, to achieve the full utilization of the complementary features of the two modalities. The experimental results on the KITTI road dataset and Cityscapes dataset show that the method in this paper has good road segmentation performance and high computational efficiency.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"18 7","pages":"1355-1368"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12515","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141002445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Quantifying the complexity of traffic scenarios not only provides an essential foundation for constructing the scenarios used in autonomous vehicle training and testing, but also enhances the robustness of the resulting driving decisions and planning operations. However, currently available quantification methods suffer from inaccuracies and coarse-granularity in complexity measurements due to issues such as insufficient specificity or indirect quantification. The present work addresses these challenges by proposing a comprehensive entropy-based model for quantifying traffic scenario complexity across multiple dimensions based on a consideration of the essential components of the traffic environment, including traffic participants, static elements, and dynamic elements. In addition, the limitations of the classical information entropy models applied for assessing traffic scenarios are addressed by calculating magnitude entropy. The proposed entropy-based model is analyzed in detail according to its application to simulated traffic scenarios. Moreover, the model is applied to real world data within a naturalistic driving dataset. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed quantification model is illustrated by comparing the complexity results obtained for three typical traffic scenarios with those obtained using an existing multi-factor complexity quantification method.
{"title":"An entropy-based model for quantifying multi-dimensional traffic scenario complexity","authors":"Ping Huang, Haitao Ding, Hong Chen","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12510","DOIUrl":"10.1049/itr2.12510","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Quantifying the complexity of traffic scenarios not only provides an essential foundation for constructing the scenarios used in autonomous vehicle training and testing, but also enhances the robustness of the resulting driving decisions and planning operations. However, currently available quantification methods suffer from inaccuracies and coarse-granularity in complexity measurements due to issues such as insufficient specificity or indirect quantification. The present work addresses these challenges by proposing a comprehensive entropy-based model for quantifying traffic scenario complexity across multiple dimensions based on a consideration of the essential components of the traffic environment, including traffic participants, static elements, and dynamic elements. In addition, the limitations of the classical information entropy models applied for assessing traffic scenarios are addressed by calculating magnitude entropy. The proposed entropy-based model is analyzed in detail according to its application to simulated traffic scenarios. Moreover, the model is applied to real world data within a naturalistic driving dataset. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed quantification model is illustrated by comparing the complexity results obtained for three typical traffic scenarios with those obtained using an existing multi-factor complexity quantification method.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"18 7","pages":"1289-1305"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12510","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140673332","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Predicting and understanding travellers’ mode choices is crucial to developing urban transportation systems and formulating traffic demand management strategies. Machine learning (ML) methods have been widely used as promising alternatives to traditional discrete choice models owing to their high prediction accuracy. However, a significant body of ML methods, especially the branch of neural networks, is constrained by overfitting and a lack of model interpretability. This study employs a neural network with feature selection for predicting travel mode choices and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis for model interpretation. A dataset collected in Chengdu, China was used for experimentation. The results reveal that the neural network achieves commendable prediction performance, with a 12% improvement over the traditional multinomial logit model. Also, feature selection using a combined result from two embedded methods can alleviate the overfitting tendency of the neural network, while establishing a more robust model against redundant or unnecessary variables. Additionally, the SHAP analysis identifies factors such as travel expenditure, age, driving experience, number of cars owned, individual monthly income, and trip purpose as significant features in our dataset. The heterogeneity of mode choice behaviour is significant among demographic groups, including different age, car ownership, and income levels.
预测和了解旅行者的模式选择对于开发城市交通系统和制定交通需求管理策略至关重要。机器学习(ML)方法因其预测准确性高而被广泛应用,有望替代传统的离散选择模型。然而,大量的 ML 方法,尤其是神经网络分支,都受到过度拟合和缺乏模型可解释性的限制。本研究采用带有特征选择的神经网络来预测出行方式选择,并采用夏普利加法解释(SHAP)分析来解释模型。实验使用了在中国成都收集的数据集。结果表明,神经网络的预测性能值得称赞,比传统的多二项对数模型提高了 12%。同时,利用两种嵌入方法的综合结果进行特征选择,可以缓解神经网络的过拟合趋势,同时建立一个更稳健的模型,避免冗余或不必要的变量。此外,SHAP 分析还确定了旅行支出、年龄、驾驶经验、拥有汽车数量、个人月收入和旅行目的等因素是我们数据集中的重要特征。在不同的人口群体中,包括不同年龄、汽车拥有量和收入水平在内,模式选择行为的异质性非常明显。
{"title":"Predicting travel mode choice with a robust neural network and Shapley additive explanations analysis","authors":"Li Tang, Chuanli Tang, Qi Fu, Changxi Ma","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12514","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1049/itr2.12514","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Predicting and understanding travellers’ mode choices is crucial to developing urban transportation systems and formulating traffic demand management strategies. Machine learning (ML) methods have been widely used as promising alternatives to traditional discrete choice models owing to their high prediction accuracy. However, a significant body of ML methods, especially the branch of neural networks, is constrained by overfitting and a lack of model interpretability. This study employs a neural network with feature selection for predicting travel mode choices and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis for model interpretation. A dataset collected in Chengdu, China was used for experimentation. The results reveal that the neural network achieves commendable prediction performance, with a 12% improvement over the traditional multinomial logit model. Also, feature selection using a combined result from two embedded methods can alleviate the overfitting tendency of the neural network, while establishing a more robust model against redundant or unnecessary variables. Additionally, the SHAP analysis identifies factors such as travel expenditure, age, driving experience, number of cars owned, individual monthly income, and trip purpose as significant features in our dataset. The heterogeneity of mode choice behaviour is significant among demographic groups, including different age, car ownership, and income levels.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"18 7","pages":"1339-1354"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12514","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141556542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Recent years have witnessed the proliferation of traffic accidents, which led wide researches on automated vehicle (AV) technologies to reduce vehicle accidents, especially on risk assessment framework of AV technologies. However, existing time-based frameworks cannot handle complex traffic scenarios and ignore the motion tendency influence of each moving objects on the risk distribution, leading to performance degradation. To address this problem, a comprehensive driving risk management framework named RCP-RF is novelly proposed based on potential field theory under connected and automated vehicles environment, where the pedestrian risk metric is combined into a unified road-vehicle driving risk management framework. Different from existing algorithms, the motion tendency between ego and obstacle cars and the pedestrian factor are legitimately considered in the proposed framework, which can improve the performance of the driving risk model. Moreover, it requires only