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A Hybrid Neural Network for the Traffic Flow Prediction on the Premise of Missing Data 基于缺失数据的混合神经网络交通流预测
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70070
Junxi Chen, Zhenlin Wei, Jiaxin Zhang

On the basis of a generative adversarial network (GAN) and a convolutional neural network (CNN), this work proposes an ER-GAN-CNN to forecast the traffic flow in the presence of missing data by improving GAN. Due to the occurrence of emergencies and the fault of the relevant equipment, the equipment for passenger flow detection may lose some data, which would have negative impacts on passenger flow prediction. In order to cope with such situations, GAN is introduced to make up for the missing data in this paper. On the basis of complete data and CNN, inception blocks are built thereafter to further predict the passenger flow/traffic flow. The accuracy of the prediction of passenger flow is significantly improved with the help of the ER-GAN-CNN, which is able to provide more accurate and rapid traffic guidance for the drivers.

在生成对抗网络(GAN)和卷积神经网络(CNN)的基础上,本文提出了一种ER-GAN-CNN,通过改进GAN来预测数据缺失情况下的交通流量。由于突发事件的发生和相关设备的故障,客流检测设备可能会丢失一些数据,从而对客流预测产生负面影响。为了应对这种情况,本文引入GAN来弥补数据缺失。在完整数据和CNN的基础上,构建初始块,进一步预测客流/交通流。在ER-GAN-CNN的帮助下,客流预测的准确性显著提高,能够为驾驶员提供更准确、更快速的交通引导。
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引用次数: 0
Autonomous Train Control System Principle: Fully Train-Centric Route Generation and Track Resource Management 自主列车控制系统原理:完全以列车为中心的路线生成和轨道资源管理
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70072
Sehchan Oh, Kyungran Kang, Young-Jong Cho

The current moving block systems still depend on wayside interlocking systems and zone controllers, resulting in complex control flow and limited control efficiency. While recent train-centric solutions have simplified the system and enhanced line capacity, they still require explicit resource requests from the wayside infrastructure controller and necessitate storing all routes in onboard equipment. These limitations constrain system performance and maintainability. This study introduces an autonomous train control principle for fully train-centric route generation and track resource management, eliminating reliance on wayside controllers. The proposed system models track layouts as directed graphs and generates routes through route factorisation and composition, ensuring compliance with railway safety and operational requirements. By utilising train-to-train coordinate transformations, ATCS enables direct management of track resources between trains without intermediaries, significantly improving the system's performance. Furthermore, a novel braking model is introduced, optimising headway distances and improving track utilisation. The proposed principle is evaluated on an actual railway track layout in Korea, and the results demonstrate its feasibility, achieving shorter headways, improved track capacity, and enhanced system maintainability and flexibility when compared to conventional CBTC and train-centric CBTC systems.

目前的移动块体系统仍然依赖于道旁联锁系统和区域控制器,导致控制流程复杂,控制效率有限。虽然最近以列车为中心的解决方案简化了系统并提高了线路容量,但它们仍然需要来自路旁基础设施控制器的明确资源请求,并且需要将所有路线存储在车载设备中。这些限制限制了系统的性能和可维护性。该研究引入了一种自主列车控制原理,用于完全以列车为中心的路线生成和轨道资源管理,消除了对路旁控制器的依赖。建议的系统以有向图的形式模拟轨道布局,并通过路线分解和组合生成路线,确保符合铁路安全和运营要求。通过利用列车到列车的坐标转换,ATCS可以直接管理列车之间的轨道资源,而无需中介,显著提高了系统的性能。此外,还引入了一种新的制动模型,优化车头距,提高轨道利用率。在韩国的实际轨道布局中对所提出的原则进行了评估,结果表明,与传统的CBTC和以列车为中心的CBTC系统相比,该原则的可行性,实现了更短的进度,提高了轨道容量,增强了系统的可维护性和灵活性。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous-Scale Multi-Graph Convolutional Network Based on Kernel Density Estimation for Traffic Prediction 基于核密度估计的异构多图卷积网络交通预测
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-08-06 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70042
Mengyun Xu, Zhichao Wu, Sibin Cai, Yuqing Shi, Jie Fang

Traffic forecasting plays a pivotal role in the advancement of intelligent transportation systems, with significant implications for congestion alleviation and optimal route planning. Existing approaches typically focus on capturing the temporal dynamics of traffic states and the spatial dependencies across road networks to improve prediction accuracy. Nevertheless, two noteworthy limitations persist in these approaches: (1) A lack of consideration for the interaction between spatiotemporal features over varying time scales, which impedes the effective utilization of traffic state information for forecasting future conditions. (2) The inherent stochasticity and distributional imbalances in traffic flow, which introduce uncertainty and contribute to overfitting issues in deep learning models. To address these challenges, we propose a novel method, the heterogeneous-scale multi-graph convolution networks based on kernel density estimation (KDE-HSMGCN). This method integrates two core components: the frequency feature layer and the heterogeneous-scale spatiotemporal layers. The frequency feature layer employs a mapping network to learn and equalize traffic flow distributions, mitigating the effects of distribution imbalance and overfitting during model training. The heterogeneous-scale spatiotemporal layers utilize stacked spatiotemporal layers to capture traffic state information across varying time scales. Experimental evaluations on two diverse traffic datasets demonstrate the superior performance of KDE-HSMGCN in medium and long-term forecasting scenarios.

交通预测在智能交通系统的发展中起着至关重要的作用,对缓解拥堵和优化路线规划具有重要意义。现有方法通常侧重于捕获交通状态的时间动态和跨道路网络的空间依赖性,以提高预测精度。然而,这些方法仍然存在两个值得注意的局限性:(1)缺乏考虑不同时间尺度上时空特征之间的相互作用,这阻碍了有效利用交通状态信息来预测未来状况。(2)交通流固有的随机性和分布不平衡性,给深度学习模型带来了不确定性和过拟合问题。为了解决这些问题,我们提出了一种新的方法——基于核密度估计的异构尺度多图卷积网络(KDE-HSMGCN)。该方法集成了两个核心组件:频率特征层和异构尺度时空层。频率特征层采用映射网络学习和均衡交通流分布,减轻了模型训练过程中分布不平衡和过拟合的影响。异构尺度时空层利用叠加的时空层来捕获不同时间尺度的交通状态信息。在两种不同交通数据集上的实验评估表明,KDE-HSMGCN在中长期预测场景下具有优越的性能。
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引用次数: 0
A Multi-Graph Attentive Network for Traffic Speed Prediction and Diagnosis 交通速度预测与诊断的多图关注网络
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70060
Mingqi Lv, Ming Liu, Yan Zhao, Jianling Lu, Meng Song, Tiantian Zhu, Tieming Chen

Urban traffic speed prediction with high precision is the unremitting pursuit of intelligent transportation systems. The fundamental challenges of traffic speed prediction lie in the accurate modelling of the complex temporal and spatial correlations of transportation systems. Among all the methods, the hybrid “GNN + RNN” models have achieved state-of-the-art results. However, these methods still cannot address the following two challenges. First, in addition to the topology of road networks, the traffic speed could be affected by a variety of other factors, such as road functionality and weather. Second, in addition to predicting traffic speed, it is necessary to diagnose the causes of the prediction results. In this paper, we propose a multi-graph attentive network (MGAN), to predict and diagnose urban traffic speed. We create GNN model by using multiple graphs to encode the factors affecting them from various aspects. And we design a hierarchical attention mechanism to organize and pinpoint the fine-grained effects of different affecting factors for diagnosing the prediction results. The experimental results demonstrate that MGAN achieves state-of-the-art prediction performance on two real-world datasets, outperforming the strongest baseline by at least 5.94%$5.94%$ across three prediction horizons, and is able to intuitively diagnose the prediction results.

高精度的城市交通速度预测是智能交通系统的不懈追求。交通速度预测的基本挑战在于对交通系统复杂的时空相关性进行精确建模。其中,“GNN + RNN”混合模型取得了较好的效果。然而,这些方法仍然无法解决以下两个挑战。首先,除了道路网络的拓扑结构外,交通速度还可能受到各种其他因素的影响,例如道路功能和天气。其次,除了预测交通速度外,还需要诊断预测结果的原因。本文提出了一种多图关注网络(MGAN)来预测和诊断城市交通速度。我们通过使用多个图形从各个方面对影响它们的因素进行编码来创建GNN模型。设计了一种分层注意机制,对不同影响因素的细粒度效应进行组织和定位,以诊断预测结果。实验结果表明,MGAN在两个真实数据集上达到了最先进的预测性能,在三个预测范围内比最强基线至少高出5.94%,并且能够直观地诊断预测结果。
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引用次数: 0
Platform-Based Passenger Flow Prediction in Metro Systems: A Novel CNN-BILSTM-Attention Approach 基于平台的地铁客流预测:一种新颖的CNN-BILSTM-Attention方法
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70069
Yue Gao, Peipei Wang, Ye Zhang, Junwei Wang, Chuanyang Wang

Accurate platform-based passenger flow prediction based on deep learning technology becomes crucial for efficient operation and management; in particular, the prediction integrating external weather factors, temporal dependencies and spatial features is desired but has not been addressed. This paper is different from the previous station-based passenger flow prediction, but reconstructs data recorded by the Automatic Fare Collection System (AFCS) for platform-based prediction. Existing deep learning techniques often struggle with issues such as high computational cost in traffic flow prediction. To address these issues, a novel passenger flow prediction model is proposed that integrates convolutional neural networks (CNN) with bi-directional long short-term memory networks (BILSTM) and an attention mechanism (CNN-BILSTM-Attention). The proposed model takes preprocessed numerical weather features, temporal and spatial features as input. The CNN extracts spatial patterns from passenger flow data, the BILSTM captures temporal dependencies and the attention mechanism dynamically adjusts the importance weights of features at different time slots. By integrating these components, the model effectively captures spatiotemporal patterns while accounting for weather impacts. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach outputs an efficient and accurate prediction.

基于深度学习技术的精准平台客流预测对高效运营管理至关重要;特别是,综合外部天气因素、时间依赖性和空间特征的预测是需要的,但尚未得到解决。本文不同于以往基于车站的客流预测,而是对自动收费系统(AFCS)记录的数据进行重构,实现基于站台的客流预测。现有的深度学习技术经常面临交通流预测计算成本高等问题。为了解决这些问题,提出了一种新的客流预测模型,该模型将卷积神经网络(CNN)与双向长短期记忆网络(BILSTM)和注意机制(CNN-BILSTM- attention)相结合。该模式以预处理后的数值天气特征、时空特征作为输入。CNN从客流数据中提取空间模式,BILSTM捕获时间依赖性,注意机制在不同时隙动态调整特征的重要度权重。通过整合这些组成部分,该模型在考虑天气影响的同时有效地捕获了时空模式。实验结果表明,该方法具有较好的预测效果。
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引用次数: 0
Energy-Efficient Control Optimization of Subway Train with Bidirectional Converter Substations 双向变流器变电站地铁列车节能控制优化
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70065
Chengcheng Fu, Pengfei Sun, Qingyuan Wang, Xiaoyun Feng

The energy consumption of the subway has attracted much attention. Applying bidirectional converter substations (BCS) and researching energy-efficient train control (EETC) strategies can effectively reduce the energy consumption of the subway system. This paper analyzes the coupling model of power supply-train operation with rectifier substations (RS) and BCS. To minimize the energy consumption of substations, an optimal control problem model of EETC is established, and a multi-stage dynamic programming algorithm with state space reduction is designed to solve the train energy-saving speed profile. The EETC results of different line conditions with RS and BCS are presented. The results indicate that the EETC changes with the type of substations, where trains with BCS adopt regenerative braking conditions matched with the inverter turn-on voltage to feed back energy. The relationship between train running time and energy consumption is analyzed, showing that EETC with BCS has superior energy-saving effects and operational efficiency to EETC with RS. Results demonstrate the effectiveness and energy-saving effects of the optimization methods presented in this paper.

地铁的能耗问题引起了人们的广泛关注。采用双向变流器变电站(BCS)和研究节能列车控制(EETC)策略可以有效地降低地铁系统的能耗。本文分析了整流变电站与BCS的供电列车运行耦合模型。以变电站能耗最小为目标,建立了电动势最优控制问题模型,设计了一种状态空间约简的多阶段动态规划算法求解列车节能速度剖面。给出了RS和BCS在不同线路条件下的EETC结果。结果表明,电阻抗随变电所类型的不同而变化,采用与逆变器导通电压相匹配的再生制动工况来反馈能量。分析了列车运行时间与能耗之间的关系,结果表明,采用BCS的EETC在节能效果和运行效率方面优于采用RS的EETC,结果验证了本文提出的优化方法的有效性和节能效果。
{"title":"Energy-Efficient Control Optimization of Subway Train with Bidirectional Converter Substations","authors":"Chengcheng Fu,&nbsp;Pengfei Sun,&nbsp;Qingyuan Wang,&nbsp;Xiaoyun Feng","doi":"10.1049/itr2.70065","DOIUrl":"10.1049/itr2.70065","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The energy consumption of the subway has attracted much attention. Applying bidirectional converter substations (BCS) and researching energy-efficient train control (EETC) strategies can effectively reduce the energy consumption of the subway system. This paper analyzes the coupling model of power supply-train operation with rectifier substations (RS) and BCS. To minimize the energy consumption of substations, an optimal control problem model of EETC is established, and a multi-stage dynamic programming algorithm with state space reduction is designed to solve the train energy-saving speed profile. The EETC results of different line conditions with RS and BCS are presented. The results indicate that the EETC changes with the type of substations, where trains with BCS adopt regenerative braking conditions matched with the inverter turn-on voltage to feed back energy. The relationship between train running time and energy consumption is analyzed, showing that EETC with BCS has superior energy-saving effects and operational efficiency to EETC with RS. Results demonstrate the effectiveness and energy-saving effects of the optimization methods presented in this paper.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.70065","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144688084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Real-Time Multi-Train Trajectory Optimisation and Delay Recovery Using SH-MPC Integrated With Genetic Algorithms 结合遗传算法的SH-MPC实时多列轨道优化与延迟恢复
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70053
Zhu Li, Ning Zhao, Clive Roberts, Lei Chen

This paper introduces a dynamic optimisation system that enhances the management of train delays within automatic train operation (ATO) systems, utilising an innovative integration of shrinking-horizon model predictive control (SH-MPC) with genetic algorithms (GA). This research focuses on optimising train trajectories to efficiently handle various delay scenarios, from temporary speed restrictions to significant halts, ensuring both energy efficiency and punctuality. The proposed SH-MPC addresses diverse delay situations in real time, while the integration with GA overcomes the limitations of long horizon forecasting. The simulation of multiple trains on a real route demonstrates the robustness of the proposed system in adhering to scheduled timetables while reducing energy consumption.

本文介绍了一种动态优化系统,该系统利用缩小地平线模型预测控制(SH-MPC)与遗传算法(GA)的创新集成,增强了自动列车运行(ATO)系统中列车延误的管理。这项研究的重点是优化列车轨道,以有效地处理各种延误情况,从临时速度限制到重大停顿,确保能源效率和准点。提出的SH-MPC解决了实时的各种延迟情况,而与遗传算法的集成克服了长期预测的局限性。通过对实际线路上多列列车的仿真,验证了所提系统在遵守预定时刻表的同时降低能耗方面的鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 0
Rate Splitting Multiple Access in V2X V2X中的分频多址
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70067
Arun Kumar, Sumit Chakravarthy, Rashid Amin, Aziz Nanthaamornphong

This paper investigates the integration of rate-splitting multiple access (RSMA) into cellular vehicle-to-everything (C-V2X) networks to enhance resource allocation and interference management in decentralized, ad-hoc vehicular communication environments. C-V2X facilitates communication among vehicles, infrastructure, and pedestrians, and traditionally relies on orthogonal frequency division multiple access (OFDMA). However, OFDMA's rigidity limits its effectiveness under dynamic interference and imperfect channel state information (CSI) conditions typical of vehicular networks. RSMA, which blends features of spatial division multiple access (SDMA) and non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA), provides a more adaptive framework by splitting messages into common and private parts, thereby improving spectral efficiency and interference handling. To assess RSMA's applicability, the LTEV2Vsim simulator was extended to include RSMA functionality, incorporating features such as reputation-based grouping, group-wise resource synchronization, and simplified beamforming. A dynamic grouping algorithm selects high-reputation vehicles as transmission leaders to form multi-vehicle groups of varying sizes for RSMA-based transmission. For interference modeling, self-interference is excluded from SINR calculations, and beamforming-based inter-vehicle interference is approximated. Simulation results reveal that RSMA outperforms OFDMA in terms of spectral efficiency and adaptability, particularly under conditions of incomplete CSI and varying interference. The findings confirm RSMA's suitability for complex and fast-changing vehicular environments, indicating its potential as a robust multiple access scheme for future C-V2X deployments.

本文研究了将速率分割多址(RSMA)集成到蜂窝车对万物(C-V2X)网络中,以增强分散的自组织车辆通信环境中的资源分配和干扰管理。C-V2X促进了车辆、基础设施和行人之间的通信,传统上依赖于正交频分多址(OFDMA)。然而,OFDMA的刚性限制了其在车用网络动态干扰和信道状态信息不完善条件下的有效性。RSMA融合了SDMA (spatial division multiple access)和NOMA (non-orthogonal multiple access)的特点,通过将消息分成公共部分和私有部分,提供了一种适应性更强的框架,从而提高了频谱效率和干扰处理能力。为了评估RSMA的适用性,对LTEV2Vsim模拟器进行了扩展,使其包含了RSMA功能,并结合了基于声誉的分组、分组资源同步和简化波束形成等特性。采用动态分组算法,选择声誉较高的车辆作为传输leader,形成不同规模的多车辆组,进行基于rsma的传输。在进行干扰建模时,将自干扰排除在信噪比计算之外,并近似计算基于波束形成的车辆间干扰。仿真结果表明,RSMA在频谱效率和适应性方面优于OFDMA,特别是在不完全CSI和变化干扰条件下。研究结果证实了RSMA适用于复杂和快速变化的车辆环境,表明其作为未来C-V2X部署的强大多址方案的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A New Perspective on Defining Dynamic Origin-Destination Data and Predicting it Using Deep Learning Methods 基于深度学习方法的动态始发目的地数据定义与预测新视角
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-07-22 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70068
Wei-Ting Sung, Jin-Yuan Wang

The prediction of dynamic origin-destination (OD) data is critical for facilitating real-time traffic management across traffic networks. Despite numerous efforts to integrate the temporal and spatial characteristics of OD data to capture the nonlinearity and high dynamics of traffic flow, prior studies usually rely on link-level or region-level data for model construction. The temporal relationships among origin traffic flow, destination traffic flow, and OD flow remain insufficiently understood. To address this gap, we propose a novel definition of dynamic OD data using real-world OD datasets. Our framework can incorporate different temporal distributions for each OD pair. Additionally, the framework ensures flow conservation from either the origin or the destination perspective. The performance of the proposed framework is validated through numerical studies using real-world electronic toll collection (ETC) gantry data. A multi-task long short-term memory (LSTM) model predicts OD flows, and both the predictions and the resulting destination traffic distributions are statistically indistinguishable from the observed values. Furthermore, this approach enables the prediction of arrival volumes before trip completion, offering valuable insights for real-time traffic management.

动态OD数据的预测对于实现交通网络的实时交通管理至关重要。尽管许多研究都试图整合OD数据的时空特征来捕捉交通流的非线性和高动态,但之前的研究通常依赖于链路级或区域级数据来构建模型。始发交通流、目的地交通流和OD流之间的时间关系尚不清楚。为了解决这一差距,我们提出了一种使用真实OD数据集的动态OD数据的新定义。我们的框架可以为每个OD对合并不同的时间分布。此外,框架确保从原点或目的地的角度保持流。通过使用实际电子收费(ETC)门限数据的数值研究,验证了所提出框架的性能。多任务长短期记忆(LSTM)模型预测OD流量,预测结果和最终目的地流量分布在统计上与观测值难以区分。此外,这种方法可以在行程完成前预测到达量,为实时交通管理提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
A Self-Attention Enhanced Hypergraph Convolution Network for Traffic Speed Forecasting 交通速度预测的自注意增强超图卷积网络
IF 2.5 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1049/itr2.70061
Yapeng Qi, Xia Zhao, Zhihong Li, Bo Shen

Accurate traffic speed prediction is important in modern society for its effectiveness in route navigation, estimated time of arrival calculations and other practical applications. As the road network is complicated, traffic speed exhibits high-order correlations among regions, namely many-to-many spatial correlations, while also displaying long-term temporal dependencies. However, existing studies have not effectively modelled these characteristics. In this context, this study proposes a self-attention enhanced hypergraph convolution network (SE-HCN) for accurate speed prediction. The proposed SE-HCN consists of four modules. Specifically, we design a relation extraction module, which can obtain the similarity of road sections from geographical information and clustering. Subsequently, the model contains a spatial correlation hypergraph convolutional module and a long-term temporal dependencies transformer module to capture spatio-temporal features comprehensively. Two public real-world datasets - PeMSBAY and PeMSD7-M - were tested to validate the model's performance, and the result demonstrates that our approach achieved state-of-the-art performance.

在现代社会中,准确的交通速度预测在路线导航、估计到达时间计算等实际应用中具有重要意义。由于路网的复杂性,交通速度在区域间表现出高阶相关性,即多对多的空间相关性,同时也表现出长期的时间依赖性。然而,现有的研究并没有有效地模拟这些特征。在此背景下,本研究提出了一种自注意增强超图卷积网络(SE-HCN)用于准确的速度预测。提出的SE-HCN由四个模块组成。具体来说,我们设计了一个关系提取模块,该模块可以从地理信息和聚类中获得路段的相似度。然后,该模型包含空间相关超图卷积模块和长期时间依赖转换模块,以全面捕获时空特征。两个公开的真实世界数据集(PeMSBAY和PeMSD7-M)进行了测试,以验证模型的性能,结果表明我们的方法达到了最先进的性能。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
IET Intelligent Transport Systems
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