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Assessment of Post-Fire Forest Loss in Siberia Using Satellite Data and Its Relationship with Characteristics of Fires 利用卫星数据评估西伯利亚火灾后的森林损失及其与火灾特征的关系
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700288
E. G. Shvetsov

Abstract

Here, the effect of the energy characteristics of fires, their seasonality, and duration on the number of fires causing the death of forest stands in Siberia in 2002–2022 was studied. The energy characteristics of fires were assessed using an indicator, such as the fire radiative power (FRP), measured using data from the MODIS radiometer. To assess the degree of disturbance of forest stands and to identify those fires that led to the death of the forest stand, a product of changes in global forest cover, generated from Landsat satellite data, was used. Over the period from 2002 to 2022, the region experienced an increase in both the total burned area and the area of fires resulting in the death of the forest stand. At the same time, an increase in the recorded fire radiative power was observed. The total values of the fire radiative power released during the duration of the fire in the case of fires that caused the death of forest stands (390.2 (σ = 80.5) MW/km2) turned out to be significantly higher (p < 0.01) than the values of fire radiative power for fires that did not lead to the death of forest stands (291.8 (σ = 74.7) MW/km2). The fire radiative power in dark coniferous forests and larch forests was on average 20–25% higher than that for fires in mixed forests dominated by deciduous stands. Fires that were accompanied by the death of forests were commonly recorded in the second half of summer, with a maximum occurring from July to the first decade of August, while fires that did not lead to the death of the forest stand were observed throughout the entire fire season. Moreover, stand-replacement fires were characterized by a longer duration (average duration, 4.8 (σ = 1.0) days) compared to non-stand-replacement fires (3.9 (σ = 0.7) days).

摘要 研究了 2002-2022 年火灾的能量特征、季节性和持续时间对造成西伯利亚林分死亡的火灾数量的影响。利用 MODIS 辐射计的数据测量了火灾辐射功率(FRP)等指标,对火灾的能量特征进行了评估。为了评估林分受干扰的程度,并确定那些导致林分死亡的火灾,使用了根据 Landsat 卫星数据生成的全球森林覆盖率变化产品。在 2002 年至 2022 年期间,该地区的总烧毁面积和导致林分死亡的火灾面积都有所增加。与此同时,所记录的火灾辐射功率也有所增加。导致林分死亡的火灾在火灾期间释放的火辐射功率总值(390.2 (σ = 80.5) MW/km2)明显高于未导致林分死亡的火灾的火辐射功率值(291.8 (σ = 74.7) MW/km2)(p < 0.01)。暗针叶林和落叶松林的火灾辐射功率比落叶混交林的火灾辐射功率平均高出 20-25%。伴随森林死亡的火灾通常发生在夏季后半期,最大发生期为七月至八月的前十年,而未导致林分死亡的火灾在整个火灾季节都有发生。此外,林分替换火灾的特点是持续时间较长(平均持续时间为 4.8 (σ = 1.0) 天),而非林分替换火灾的持续时间为 3.9 (σ = 0.7) 天。
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引用次数: 0
Are Soil Nematode Communities Altered by Tree Introduction and Prolonged Cultivation in the Subarctic Region? 土壤线虫群落是否因亚北极地区引进树木和长期栽培而改变?
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700318
D. S. Kalinkina, A. A. Sushchuk, E. M. Matveeva

Abstract

This study is focused on soil nematode communities in undercrown areas of tree plants introduced to and cultivated for a long time in the botanical garden on Bolshoy Solovetsky Island (Arkhangelsk oblast, Russia). Soil nematode communities of natural forests (pine-, spruce-, and birch stands) are studied as the control. The study has demonstrated that the taxonomic diversity and abundance of nematodes, as well as the proportion of plant parasites in the trophic structure of nematode communities in the soil under introduced trees, are higher compared to natural forests. The ecological indices (structure index SI and enrichment index EI) change nonuniformly and so have poor performance as tools for evaluating the consequences of the plant introductions for the soil ecosystem. Correlation analysis reveals a significant positive relationship between the content of carbon and nitrogen in soil and the absolute and relative abundance and the taxonomic diversity of plant parasites, as well as significant negative relationships between C : N and fungal feeders, as well as between the soil pH and the taxonomic diversity of nematodes and the relative abundance of bacterial feeders and EI. The entomopathogenic nematode Steinernema affine Bovien revealed on the island has been reported for the first time in Russia.

摘要 本研究的重点是 Bolshoy Solovetsky 岛(俄罗斯阿尔汉格尔斯克州)植物园引进并长期栽培的树木冠下区域的土壤线虫群落。天然林(松树林、云杉林和桦树林)的土壤线虫群落作为对照进行研究。研究表明,与天然林相比,引进树木下的土壤线虫群落中线虫的分类多样性和丰度以及植物寄生虫在营养结构中的比例都较高。生态指数(结构指数 SI 和富集指数 EI)的变化不均匀,因此作为评估植物引种对土壤生态系统影响的工具性能较差。相关性分析表明,土壤中的碳和氮含量与植物寄生虫的绝对丰度、相对丰度和分类多样性之间存在显著的正相关关系,C : N 与真菌食料之间存在显著的负相关关系,土壤 pH 值与线虫的分类多样性、细菌食料的相对丰度和 EI 之间也存在显著的负相关关系。岛上发现的昆虫病原线虫 Steinernema affine Bovien 在俄罗斯尚属首次报道。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamics of Species Diversity in Small Mammal Communities in Slope Larch Forests on the Northern Coast of the Sea of Okhotsk 鄂霍次克海北岸山坡落叶松林小型哺乳动物群落物种多样性的动态变化
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700240
E. A. Dubinin

Abstract

In 2010–2023, the dynamics of the population abundance and changes in the proportion of species in the community of small mammals (insectivores and rodents) inhabiting a slope larch forest in the vicinity of the city of Magadan (northern coast of the Sea of Okhotsk) was traced. The census of animals was carried out using Gero traps and cone traps (trap-line methods). In total, we analyzed 4700 trap-nights and 15 720 cone-nights. Altogether, 3384 individuals of 9 species belonging to the families of shrews (Soricidae), squirrels (Sciuridae), mice (Muridae), and hamsters (Cricetidae) were trapped. During the considered period, the relative abundance and the amplitude of its interannual fluctuations decreased in the populations of even-toothed shrews (Sorex isodon) and grey red-backed voles (Craseomys rufocanus). The proportion of Laxmann’s shrews (S. caecutiens) and Korean field mice (Apodemus peninsulae) in the community increased 2.6 and 2.5 times, respectively, while the proportion of even-toothed shrew and grey red-backed vole decreased 2.8 times and 3 times, respectively. As a result, about 50% of the individuals in the samples were Laxmann’s shrews and about 30% were northern red-backed voles (Clethrionomys rutilus). This, in turn, led to an increase in the dominance (the Simpson index increased from 0.21 to 0.34), a decrease in evenness (the Pielou index decreased from 0.87 to 0.61), and a significant decrease in the species diversity of the small mammal community (the Shannon index decreased from 1.7 to 1.3; t = 10.90, p < 0.001).

摘要 2010-2023 年期间,对居住在马加丹市(鄂霍次克海北岸)附近坡地落叶松林中的小型哺乳动物(食虫动物和啮齿动物)群落的种群数量动态和物种比例变化进行了追踪调查。动物普查采用了格罗诱捕器和锥形诱捕器(诱捕线法)。我们总共分析了 4700 个诱捕夜和 15 720 个锥形诱捕夜。共诱捕了鼩鼱科(Soricidae)、松鼠科(Sciuridae)、小鼠科(Muridae)和仓鼠科(Cricetidae)9 个物种的 3384 只个体。在研究期间,偶齿鼩(Sorex isodon)和灰红背田鼠(Craseomys rufocanus)种群的相对丰度及其年际波动幅度均有所下降。群落中拉克斯曼鼩(S. caecutiens)和朝鲜田鼠(Apodemus peninsulae)的比例分别增加了 2.6 倍和 2.5 倍,而偶齿鼩和灰红背田鼠的比例则分别减少了 2.8 倍和 3 倍。因此,样本中约 50%的个体是拉克斯曼鼩,约 30%是北方红背田鼠(Clethrionomys rutilus)。这反过来又导致了优势度的增加(辛普森指数从 0.21 上升到 0.34)、均匀度的下降(皮鲁指数从 0.87 下降到 0.61)以及小型哺乳动物群落物种多样性的显著下降(香农指数从 1.7 下降到 1.3;t = 10.90,p < 0.001)。
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引用次数: 0
Participation of Apomictic Cereals in the Composition of Steppe and Ecotone Phytocenoses in the North of the Lower Volga Region 伏尔加河下游地区北部草原和生态区植物群落组成中的歉收谷类植物
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700203
O. I. Yudakova, E. I. Kaybeleva, E. A. Nyushchenko, T. M. Lysenko, M. Yu. Voronin

Abstract

A geobotanical analysis of 160 steppe and ecotone plant communities with the participation of cereals in the north of the Lower Volga region (within Saratov oblast) has been carried out. The species diversity of apomictic cereals is significantly inferior to the diversity of their amphimictic relatives in the flora of the region and in the studied phytocenoses (24 apomictic and 109 amphimictic species in the flora; 17 and 34 species in the phytocenoses, respectively). At the same time, the dominants of the studied communities are equally represented by both amphimictic (14 species) and apomictic cereals (9 species). It is established that cereals with an amphimictic mode of reproduction dominate in 64 phytocenoses and apomictic cereals dominate in 48 ones. The number of phytocenoses in which apomicts are codominants significantly exceeds the number of plant communities with amphimicts codominance (46 and 22, respectively). The studied plant communities are similar in species richness and evenness. The data indicate successful competition between apomictic cereals and amphimicts and their significant contribution to the composition of steppe and ecotone phytocenoses in the northern Lower Volga region.

摘要 对下伏尔加河地区北部(萨拉托夫州境内)有谷物参与的 160 个草原和生态区植物群落进行了地理植物学分析。在该地区的植物区系和所研究的植物区系中,无花果谷物的物种多样性明显低于其两栖亲缘植物的物种多样性(植物区系中无花果谷物物种为 24 种,两栖谷物物种为 109 种;植物区系中无花果谷物物种为 17 种,两栖谷物物种为 34 种)。同时,所研究群落中的优势物种两栖谷物(14 种)和无两栖谷物(9 种)的数量相当。研究表明,在 64 个植物群落中,以两性生殖方式繁殖的谷物占优势,而在 48 个植物群落中,以无两性生殖方式繁殖的谷物占优势。在植物群落中,无花果是共显性的植物群落数量(分别为 46 个和 22 个)大大超过了双花果共显性的植物群落数量。所研究的植物群落在物种丰富度和均匀度方面都很相似。这些数据表明,有花谷物和两栖类植物之间的竞争非常成功,它们对伏尔加河下游地区北部草原和生态区植物群落的组成做出了重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Valuation of Madhupur Sal Forest Ecosystem Services and Carbon Sequestration Potency in Bangladesh: an Avenue for Mitigating Climate Change Impact 孟加拉国马德胡布尔萨尔森林生态系统服务和碳封存潜力评估:减缓气候变化影响的途径
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524030016
Syeeda Tanjin Ahmed, S. M. Kamran Ashraf, Md Tanbheer Rana, Saleha Khatun Ripta, Mst. Sohela Afroz, S. M. Sanjida Tasnim Urmi, Sumaiya Binte Rahman Asha, Shoumika Binte Shafiqe, Al Rahat, Kazi Kamrul Islam

Abstract

Forested areas provide various services, including crucial carbon sequestration for climate change mitigation. The Madhupur Sal Forest (MSF) in Bangladesh was studied extensively for its ecosystem services and carbon sequestration potential. Research conducted from February to August 2023 in Gaira and Dokhola villages assessed local community benefits and biodiversity. Interviews with 50 respondents and analysis of 20 plots were conducted to study carbon sequestration in the MSF. Twenty identified ecosystem services range from fuel and wood to cultural and economic advantages. Eight tree species, totaling 401 trees, were identified, with Ficus hispida being the most effective in annual carbon sequestration. Shorea robusta showed less efficacy in carbon sequestration, resulting in a total forest capture of 12 004 657.8 pounds per year. The study highlights the MSF’s significant contribution to global climate change mitigation. Emphasis is placed on the need for enhanced carbon sequestration through forest management, reforestation, and afforestation projects in deforested areas. Despite diverse ecosystem services, the MSF faces threats, necessitating collaborative conservation efforts, sustainable management practices, and community involvement for its vitality.

摘要森林地区提供各种服务,包括对减缓气候变化至关重要的碳封存。对孟加拉国的马德胡布尔盐林(Madhupur Sal Forest,MSF)的生态系统服务和碳封存潜力进行了广泛研究。2023 年 2 月至 8 月在 Gaira 和 Dokhola 村开展的研究评估了当地社区的利益和生物多样性。对 50 名受访者进行了访谈,并对 20 块地进行了分析,以研究 MSF 的碳封存情况。确定的 20 项生态系统服务包括燃料、木材、文化和经济优势。确定了 8 个树种,共计 401 棵树,其中榕树(Ficus hispida)在年度碳固存方面最为有效。Shorea robusta 的固碳效果较差,每年的森林碳捕获量为 12 004 657.8 磅。该研究强调了 MSF 对减缓全球气候变化的重大贡献。重点强调了通过森林管理、重新造林和在毁林地区植树造林项目加强碳固存的必要性。尽管 MSF 可提供多种生态系统服务,但它仍面临威胁,因此有必要通过合作保护、可持续管理实践和社区参与来保持其活力。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Chain Alkenones in Sediments of Lake Utichye-3 (Southern Siberia, Khakassia) as a Paleo-Indicator of Climate Change 乌季奇耶-3 湖(南西伯利亚,哈卡斯)沉积物中的长链烯酮作为气候变化的古指标
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700185
A. O. Bulkhin, V. V. Zykov, D. N. Marchenko, I. A. Kalugin, D. Y. Rogozin

Abstract

Long-chain alkenones are produced exclusively by certain species of microalgae Isochrysidales of the order of haptophytes (Haptophyta). These are polyunsaturated methyl and ethyl ketones C35–C42 with 2–4 trans double bonds in the aliphatic chain. The length of the hydrocarbon chain and the degree of unsaturation of double bonds of a given class of lipids can vary depending on the environmental conditions of their producers. This class of substances is well preserved in the bottom sediments (BSs) of seas and lakes and therefore can serve as a paleoindicator of climate change. Currently, studies are being conducted to identify the functional dependences of the composition of long-chain alkenones on the temperature and salinity of water in continental water bodies. In arid regions, saline closed-basin lakes sensitively react by changing the volume of water and its salinity to variations in the “precipitation–evaporation” balance, and, consequently, the sediments of such lakes are sources of information about climate humidity variations in the past. In this work, we analyzed the vertical profile of long-chain alkenones in the upper part of the BSs of the Utichye-3 salt lake located in the steppe region of southern Siberia and compared it with changes in the surface level and salinity of the lake water recorded over a period of about 100 years. It has been shown that the content of long-chain alkenones in sediments can increase during periods of high salinity. Consequently, the composition of alkenones can be used to reconstruct changes in salinity from BSs of closed-basin lakes, and, therefore, to reconstruct dry periods in the history of the climate of the steppe zone of southern Siberia.

摘要 长链烯酮类化合物仅由七鳃鳗目(Haptophyta)中某些种类的微藻(Isochrysidales)产生。它们是多不饱和甲基酮和乙基酮(C35-C42),脂肪链中有 2-4 个反式双键。某一类脂质的碳氢链长度和双键不饱和程度会因生产者的环境条件而异。这类物质在海洋和湖泊的底层沉积物(BSs)中保存完好,因此可以作为气候变化的古指标。目前正在开展研究,以确定长链烯酮的组成对大陆水体的温度和盐度的功能依赖性。在干旱地区,闭盆盐湖对 "降水-蒸发 "平衡的变化敏感地做出反应,改变水量和盐度,因此,这类湖泊的沉积物是过去气候湿度变化的信息来源。在这项研究中,我们分析了位于西伯利亚南部草原地区的乌季奇耶-3 盐湖 BS 上部的长链烯酮的垂直分布,并将其与约 100 年间记录的湖面水位和湖水盐度的变化进行了比较。结果表明,在高盐度时期,沉积物中长链烯酮的含量会增加。因此,烯酮类物质的组成可用于重建封闭盆地湖泊 BS 的盐度变化,从而重建西伯利亚南部草原区气候史上的干旱时期。
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引用次数: 0
Increased Rate of Fixation of Nucleotide Substitutions in the Mitochondrial DNA of Bony Fish Species (Osteichthyes) That Originated from the Arctic or Settled through It 起源于北极或定居于北极的骨鱼(Osteichthyes)线粒体 DNA 中核苷酸替换的固定率增加
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700173
V. S. Artamonova, A. Y. Rolskii, M. V. Vinarski, A. A. Makhrov

Abstract

The problem of differences in the rate of evolution among different animal or plant species has been intensely discussed in recent years, so the question of the validity of a so-called molecular clock hypothesis is very relevant. We have performed a search for publications describing median networks, which include haplotypes of mitochondrial genes for closely related boreal and arctic fish species (or those who settled through the Arctic). In all seven cases included into our analysis, the rate of nucleotide substitutions in Arctic taxa or taxa that settled through the Arctic during their evolutionary history was higher, and this difference was statistically significant. Therefore, the formation of new fish taxa in polar latitudes is accompanied by a rapid evolution of mitochondrial DNA that apparently reflects their adaptation to the new environment. In addition, speciation in Arctic fishes is usually accompanied by multiple chromosome fusions. Therefore, both our data and the data of other researchers provide solid reasons to doubt in the validity of the molecular clock hypothesis.

摘要近年来,关于不同动物或植物物种之间进化速度差异的问题引起了激烈的讨论,因此所谓的分子钟假说的有效性问题非常重要。我们对描述中位网络的出版物进行了搜索,这些中位网络包括了密切相关的北方和北极鱼类物种(或在北极定居的鱼类)的线粒体基因单倍型。在我们分析的所有七个案例中,北极类群或在进化史上经过北极定居的类群的核苷酸替换率都较高,而且这种差异在统计学上具有显著性。因此,极地新鱼类类群的形成伴随着线粒体 DNA 的快速进化,这显然反映了它们对新环境的适应。此外,北极鱼类的物种分化通常伴随着多染色体融合。因此,我们的数据和其他研究人员的数据都为怀疑分子钟假说的正确性提供了可靠的理由。
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引用次数: 0
Weather Data-Based Prediction of the Siberian Moth Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetv.: A Case Study 基于气象数据的西伯利亚蛾 Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetv:案例研究
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700215
D. A. Demidko, A. A. Goroshko, S. M. Sultson, N. N. Kulakova, P. V. Mikhaylov

Abstract

Outbreak prediction is a crucial component of forest pest management. Weather plays a substantial role in outbreaks of leaf-eating insects. Weather-based prediction models in this field are numerous and more or less precise. We have attempted to create such a model for the Siberian moth (SM) Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetv., one of the most harmful defoliators in the southern taiga of Siberia. For the territory of interest (the southern taiga and hemiboreal forests of Tomsk oblast, Kemerovo oblast, and Krasnoyarsk krai), the gradient boosting (XBGoost) model was created with an accuracy of 0.952. Temperatures of the vegetation period in the fourth and fifth years before the onset of outbreak are better predictors.

摘要疫情预测是森林害虫管理的重要组成部分。天气在食叶昆虫的爆发中起着重要作用。该领域基于天气的预测模型很多,而且或多或少都很精确。我们试图为西伯利亚南部泰加林区最有害的落叶害虫之一--西伯利亚蛾(SM)Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetv.建立这样一个模型。在相关地区(托木斯克州、克麦罗沃州和克拉斯诺亚尔斯克边疆区的南部泰加林和半森林),梯度提升(XBGoost)模型的精确度为 0.952。疫情爆发前第四年和第五年植被期的温度是更好的预测因子。
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引用次数: 0
Transformations of the Vegetation Cover on the Southern Kuril Islands under the Impact of Natural and Anthropogenic Factors 南千岛群岛植被在自然和人为因素影响下的变化
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700227
M. G. Opekunova, A. R. Nikulina, A. Yu. Opekunov, I. Yu. Arestova, V. V. Somov, S. Yu. Kukushkin, S. A. Lisenkov

Abstract

The modern typological structure of vegetation inhabiting the southern Kuril Islands has been identified on the basis of computed Bravais correlation coefficients. This structure is represented by eight pleiades: fir forests with Abies sachalinensis; spruce forests with Picea ajanensis; Sasa senanensis thickets (Shikotan Island); elm–maple forests with Acer ukurunduense and Acer mayrii (Kunashir Island); maple–oak forests with Acer mayrii and Quercus crispula (Iturup Island); Juniperus sargentii thickets (Shikotan Island) and communities with Pinus pumila (Iturup and Kunashir Islands); and alder–birch phytocoenoses, reed–tall-grass and coastal meadows, and ruderal vegetation. The species diversity of plants is determined by local species of East Asian origin. The amphipacific group manifested along the coastline demonstrates the affinity of local species and the North American flora. The proportion of foreign species increases on disturbed sites. Indigenous phytocoenoses are represented by fir and spruce forests, as well as Pinus pumila and Juniperus sargentii thickets in the mountains and on the rocks. Under the impact of unfavorable factors, indigenous groups are replaced by birch forests with Betula ermanii and secondary meadows, including ruderal–forb–gramineous coenoses; felling and fire sites are overgrowing with bamboo thickets with Sasa senanensis. Preliminary estimates indicate that the share of disturbed lands on Shikotan reaches 40%, including 30% disturbed by anthropogenic impacts and 10% due to natural factors. On Kunashir, proportions of these lands amount to 16 and 17%, respectively, and, on Iturup, 23 and 16%. It is shown that Sasa senanensis thickets, despite their secondary nature, play a key role in preventing the further degradation of natural complexes, soil erosion, and exogenous geological processes.

摘要 根据计算的布拉维相关系数,确定了南千岛群岛植被的现代类型结构。这种结构由八个褶皱带组成:冷杉林(Abies sachalinensis);云杉林(Picea ajanensis);Sasa senanensis 灌丛(希科坦岛);榆树-枫树林(Acer ukurunduense 和 Acer mayrii)(库纳希尔岛);枫树-橡树林(Acer mayrii 和 Quercus crispula)(伊图鲁普岛);杜松灌丛(什科坦岛)和松树群落(伊图鲁普岛和库纳什尔岛);以及桤木-桦树植物园、芦苇-高草和沿海草甸以及灌丛植被。植物的物种多样性由源自东亚的当地物种决定。海岸线上的两栖类植物表明了当地物种与北美植物区系的亲缘关系。外来物种的比例在受干扰的地方有所增加。冷杉林和云杉林以及山上和岩石上的松柏和桧柏灌丛代表了本地植物群落。在不利因素的影响下,原生群落被桦树林和次生草甸(包括草本-禾本科-禾本科群落)所取代;砍伐和焚烧过的地方长满了竹子丛。初步估计表明,支笏滩的受干扰土地比例达到 40%,其中 30%是人为影响造成的,10%是自然因素造成的。在库纳希尔,这些土地的比例分别为 16% 和 17%,而在伊图鲁普,则分别为 23% 和 16%。这表明,莎莎灌木丛尽管是次生的,但在防止自然综合体进一步退化、土壤侵蚀和外来地质作用方面发挥着关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Hydrological and Climate Conditional Productivity of Ecosystems in the Southeast of Western Siberia 评估西西伯利亚东南部生态系统的水文和气候条件生产力
IF 0.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1134/s1995425524700252
S. G. Kopysov, A. O. Eliseev

Abstract

The spatial divergence of climatic changes necessitates the creation of predictive models of the state of vegetation cover. Our proposed solution for the spatial modeling of the biological productivity of natural ecosystems creates the basis for a further quantitative assessment of the potential absorption of CO2, which is currently considered one of the most urgent environmental issues. In the proposed work, using the methods of geoanalysis of growing conditions, an original technology for modeling the potential spread of biocenoses and their productivity has been developed, reflecting the internal attractor of the development of biocenoses under the influence of local hydrological and climatic conditions of their growth. The methodology was implemented for the southeast of Western Siberia within the framework of publicly available GIS Saga based on a digital terrain model and data from the WorldClim 2.0 climate reanalysis. To forecast data for the period of the third decade of the 21st century, V.V. Paromov’s regional climate forecast was used on the basis of an adaptive model—the exponential smoothing method. The verification of the simulation results was carried out on the basis of the Productivity of Ecosystems of Northern Eurasia database. As a result, spatially distributed data were obtained in the form of rasters with high spatial resolution for the average long-term potential bioproductivity according to reanalysis data for 1970–2000 and predicted data for 2021–2030. Both positive and negative trends of potential bioproductivity for various natural zones of the southeast of Western Siberia due to the spatial divergence of changes in heat and energy resources and precipitation over the territory have been revealed. In general, warming in sufficiently drained areas contributes to an increase in the biological productivity of agro and biocenoses and, in hydromorphic areas, to a decrease.

摘要 气候变化的空间差异要求建立植被状况的预测模型。我们提出的自然生态系统生物生产力空间建模解决方案为进一步定量评估二氧化碳的潜在吸收量奠定了基础,而二氧化碳的潜在吸收量目前被认为是最紧迫的环境问题之一。在拟议的工作中,利用对生长条件进行地理分析的方法,开发了一种对生物群落的潜在扩散及其生产力进行建模的独创技术,反映了生物群落在其生长的当地水文和气候条件影响下发展的内部吸引力。该方法是在基于数字地形模型和 WorldClim 2.0 气候再分析数据的公开 GIS Saga 框架内针对西西伯利亚东南部实施的。为了预测 21 世纪第三个十年期间的数据,在自适应模型--指数平滑法的基础上使用了 V.V. Paromov 的区域气候预测。模拟结果的验证是在欧亚北部生态系统生产力数据库的基础上进行的。因此,根据 1970-2000 年的再分析数据和 2021-2030 年的预测数据,以高空间分辨率栅格形式获得了长期平均潜在生物生产力的空间分布数据。西西伯利亚东南部各自然区潜在生物生产率的正负趋势均已揭示,这是由于该地区热量和能源资源以及降水量的变化在空间上存在差异造成的。一般来说,在排水充足的地区,气候变暖会提高农业和生物多样性的生物生产力,而在水文地区,气候变暖则会降低生物生产力。
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期刊
Contemporary Problems of Ecology
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