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TO-MambaLDM: Multi-physics informed Mamba-enhanced latent diffusion for cooling structure topology optimization TO-MambaLDM:用于冷却结构拓扑优化的多物理场通知mamba增强潜在扩散
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104292
Wei Zhang , Kaicheng Yu , Lihua Lu , Lijie Su , Swee Leong Sing
To enable high-precision 3D in vitro fabrication of medical hydrogel scaffolds, improving the stability and temperature-control performance of the cooling system in 3D printing equipment is essential. The channel layout of the liquid-cooling plate is therefore critical. Conventional topology optimization can produce feasible designs, but it typically depends on repeated finite element analyses, leading to high computational cost and slow convergence. Here, we propose TO-MambaLDM, a multiphysics-driven generative topology optimization framework that integrates a latent diffusion model with a state–space architecture. Compared with existing data-driven and diffusion- or Transformer-based generative design methods, TO-MambaLDM explicitly incorporates thermo–fluid operating conditions into the generative process and enhances long-range dependency modeling to improve physical consistency and connectivity. The framework captures thermo–fluid–structural coupling by conditioning the latent space with multi-channel field maps and boundary matrices. Mamba models long-range dependencies, while diffusion generates high-resolution, physically consistent designs. A manufacturability loss promotes channel connectivity and fabrication feasibility. Experiments show that TO-MambaLDM achieves a reconstruction accuracy of IoU = 0.93 and reduces temperature and pressure MSEs to 7.4 and 7.2, respectively, outperforming multiple baseline models, with improvements of 18.0% and 11.1% in temperature and pressure prediction accuracy. Transfer learning further verifies its ability to generate manufacturable, high-performance cooling structures across diverse inlet–outlet configurations. TO-MambaLDM establishes a unified, physically grounded paradigm for rapid cooling structure design in additive manufacturing, electronics cooling, and energy systems.
为了实现医用水凝胶支架的高精度体外3D制造,提高3D打印设备冷却系统的稳定性和温控性能至关重要。因此,液冷板的通道布局至关重要。传统的拓扑优化可以产生可行的设计,但通常依赖于重复的有限元分析,导致计算成本高,收敛速度慢。在这里,我们提出了TO-MambaLDM,这是一个多物理场驱动的生成拓扑优化框架,它将潜在扩散模型与状态空间架构集成在一起。与现有的数据驱动和基于扩散或变压器的生成设计方法相比,to - mambaldm明确地将热流体操作条件纳入生成过程,并增强了远程依赖建模,以提高物理一致性和连通性。该框架通过多通道场图和边界矩阵调节潜在空间来捕获热-流-结构耦合。曼巴模型建立了长期的依赖关系,而扩散则产生了高分辨率的、物理上一致的设计。可制造性损失提高了通道连通性和制造可行性。实验表明,to - mambaldm的重建精度为IoU = 0.93,将温度和压力的mse分别降低到7.4和7.2,优于多基线模型,温度和压力的预测精度分别提高了18.0%和11.1%。迁移学习进一步验证了其在不同进出口配置下产生可制造的高性能冷却结构的能力。TO-MambaLDM为增材制造、电子冷却和能源系统中的快速冷却结构设计建立了统一的物理基础范例。
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引用次数: 0
First things first: Effects of sequential AR/VR exposure on skill acquisition in industrial training 重要的是:顺序AR/VR暴露对工业培训中技能习得的影响
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2026.104328
Varun Phadke , Casper Harteveld , Kemi Jona , Mohsen Moghaddam
This paper explores the distinctive and collective affordances of augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) for industrial training, with a focus on their integrated use and deployment strategies. AR and VR applications were developed to conduct a two-stage, between-subjects user study on a real-life cold spray additive manufacturing task, with varying orders of exposure to AR/VR training. Results reveal nuanced adaptation patterns, indicating that VR-first training reduces the cognitive load during subsequent AR-guided training, thereby enhancing confidence and task efficiency. Conversely, AR-first training supports procedural grounding but presents challenges when transitioning to the immersive spatial demands of VR training. Interestingly, task completion times were found to be independent of the order of exposure, highlighting the flexibility of deployment strategies. Clustering analysis further identifies distinct participant response patterns, offering deeper insights into workload, learning effectiveness, retention, and types of errors. These findings emphasize the importance of leveraging task understanding before the deployment of AR and VR to maximize learning outcomes in complex psychomotor tasks.
本文探讨了增强现实(AR)和虚拟现实(VR)在工业培训中的独特和集体能力,重点是它们的综合使用和部署策略。开发了AR和VR应用程序,对现实生活中的冷喷涂增材制造任务进行了两阶段的受试者之间的用户研究,并进行了不同顺序的AR/VR培训。结果揭示了细微的适应模式,表明vr先行训练减少了后续ar引导训练中的认知负荷,从而增强了信心和任务效率。相反,ar优先培训支持程序基础,但在过渡到VR培训的沉浸式空间需求时提出了挑战。有趣的是,任务完成时间与暴露的顺序无关,突出了部署策略的灵活性。聚类分析进一步确定不同的参与者响应模式,从而更深入地了解工作量、学习效率、保留和错误类型。这些发现强调了在部署AR和VR之前利用任务理解的重要性,以最大限度地提高复杂精神运动任务的学习效果。
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引用次数: 0
Review of condition monitoring approaches for ball screws 滚珠丝杠状态监测方法综述
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104206
Himanshu Gupta , Tauheed Mian , Pradeep Kundu
Ball screws are critical components primarily used in feed drives for machine tools and manufacturing systems, as well as in electromechanical actuators (EMAs). These are linear motion systems, enabling the conversion of rotary motion into precise linear motion. The performance and efficiency of these motion systems heavily rely on the safe operation of the ball screws. Their failures can result in costly downtime or catastrophic consequences. Condition monitoring (CM) approaches have been developed to detect these failures on time and estimate their remaining useful life (RUL). Although these approaches have been extensively reviewed for components like bearings, gears, and motors, a comprehensive evaluation explicitly focused on ball screw systems is still lacking. This paper addresses this gap by presenting an in-depth review of existing approaches for ball screw CM. It examines the different ball screw failure modes and physics-based, data-driven, and hybrid approaches for their CM. Further, the challenges associated with the existing approaches are discussed, along with potential solutions and future research directions.
滚珠丝杠是主要用于机床和制造系统的进给驱动以及机电致动器(ema)的关键部件。这些是线性运动系统,能够将旋转运动转换为精确的线性运动。这些运动系统的性能和效率在很大程度上依赖于滚珠丝杠的安全运行。它们的故障可能导致代价高昂的停机时间或灾难性的后果。状态监测(CM)方法已被开发用于及时检测这些故障并估计其剩余使用寿命(RUL)。尽管这些方法已经被广泛地用于轴承、齿轮和电机等部件,但明确针对滚珠丝杠系统的全面评估仍然缺乏。本文通过对滚珠丝杠CM的现有方法进行深入的回顾来解决这一差距。它研究了不同的滚珠丝杠失效模式,以及基于物理的、数据驱动的和混合的CM方法。此外,还讨论了与现有方法相关的挑战,以及潜在的解决方案和未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Physics-informed band structure-integrated Continuous-time inhomogeneous Markov chains for stochastic occupancy modeling 基于物理信息的带结构集成连续时间非齐次马尔可夫链随机占用模型
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104204
Hanbei Zhang , Christian Ankerstjerne Thilker , Fu Xiao , Henrik Madsen , Rongling Li , Tianyou Ma , Kan Xu
Understanding and predicting occupancy patterns are crucial for enhancing the efficiency of building energy systems and supporting occupant-centric building design. Traditional discrete-time inhomogeneous Markov chain (DTIMC) models have been widely used for stochastic occupancy modeling; however, the assumption that state transition probabilities can change arbitrarily results in high model complexity and a potential of over-fitting. This study introduces a novel band structure-integrated continuous-time inhomogeneous Markov chain (CTIMC) modeling method based on the physical process of occupancy movement. The proposed method impose physical constrains on state transitions to confined neighboring states within infinitesimal time intervals, significantly reducing the quadratic model complexity to linear and improving interpretability and generalization ability. An extended band structure is further developed to account for the condition with rapid and drastic occupancy variation. The models are validated using a nine-month, high-resolution occupancy data exhibiting drastic occupancy variation pattern, which are divided into training and testing set. Results on the testing set show that the proposed band-structure-integrated CTIMC method outperforms the traditional DTIMC method in terms of daily log-likelihood. Notably, under high-complexity conditions, when the number of scaling coefficients exceeds 7, the DTIMC model exhibits severe overfitting, yielding log-likelihood values between –568 and –426. In contrast, the CTIMC model maintains robust under the same conditions, achieving substantially higher log-likelihoods in the range of –124 to –107. These findings highlight the potential of physical informed CTIMC models for robust stochastic occupancy modeling.
理解和预测使用模式对于提高建筑能源系统的效率和支持以使用人为中心的建筑设计至关重要。传统的离散非齐次马尔可夫链(DTIMC)模型被广泛用于随机占用模型;然而,状态转移概率可以任意改变的假设导致了模型的高复杂性和过拟合的可能性。提出了一种基于占位运动物理过程的条带结构集成连续非齐次马尔可夫链(CTIMC)建模方法。该方法在无穷小的时间间隔内对状态转移到受限相邻状态施加物理约束,显著降低了二次模型的线性复杂度,提高了可解释性和泛化能力。进一步发展了扩展带结构,以解释占用变化迅速和剧烈的情况。模型使用9个月的高分辨率入住率数据进行验证,这些数据显示了入住率的剧烈变化模式,分为训练集和测试集。测试集上的结果表明,基于频带结构的CTIMC方法在日对数似然方面优于传统DTIMC方法。值得注意的是,在高复杂性条件下,当标度系数超过7时,DTIMC模型表现出严重的过拟合,产生的对数似然值在-568到-426之间。相比之下,CTIMC模型在相同条件下保持鲁棒性,在-124至-107范围内实现了高得多的对数似然。这些发现突出了物理知情CTIMC模型在稳健随机占用模型中的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and predicting delay risks in prefabricated construction: an explainable ensemble learning approach 预制建筑延迟风险的识别与预测:一种可解释的集成学习方法
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104219
Yishuai Tian, Yiran Chen, Yan Ning
Schedule delays remain a persistent challenge in prefabricated construction. Existing studies have used statistical and machine learning models to predict delay severity but overlook differences in project attributes and construction phases. To address these limitations, this study identifies and predicts schedule delays, examines the relationships between risk factors and delay severity, and provides informed support for schedule delay management. Delay risk indicators were identified through literature review and expert validation, integrating 15 delay risk factors and 5 project attributes. Using a dataset of 992 prefabricated projects, this study develops an explainable stacking ensemble learning model for schedule delay prediction, optimized by the Self-adaptive Entropy–Assortative Mating with Refugia for Snake Optimizer Algorithm (SEAR-SOA). The model outperforms optimized single learners and conventional ensemble approaches under multiple validation schemes, achieving an R2 of 0.931. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) reveal that the most influential factors are prefabricated components, scope modifications, and building function. Delay risk is higher when complex components are used in factory or commercial buildings, particularly when scope changes or design errors occur. Delays are more likely to occur during late-stage construction under external disruptions, while early-stage risks vary across projects. A decision support system was developed to provide real-time predictions. This framework provides interpretable delay risk predictions for proactive mitigation.
进度延迟仍然是装配式建筑的一个持续挑战。现有的研究使用统计和机器学习模型来预测延迟严重程度,但忽略了项目属性和施工阶段的差异。为了解决这些限制,本研究确定并预测了进度延迟,检查了风险因素与延迟严重程度之间的关系,并为进度延迟管理提供了知情支持。通过文献回顾和专家验证,综合15个延迟风险因素和5个项目属性,确定了延迟风险指标。利用992个预制项目的数据集,建立了一个可解释的堆栈集成学习模型,用于进度延迟预测,该模型采用自适应熵配配蛇优化算法(SEAR-SOA)进行优化。在多种验证方案下,该模型优于优化的单学习器和传统的集成方法,R2为0.931。Shapley加性解释(SHAP)揭示了影响最大的因素是预制构件、范围修改和建筑功能。当工厂或商业建筑中使用复杂组件时,延迟风险更高,特别是当范围变化或设计错误发生时。在外部干扰下,延迟更有可能发生在后期建设中,而早期风险因项目而异。开发了决策支持系统以提供实时预测。该框架为主动缓解提供了可解释的延迟风险预测。
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引用次数: 0
Automatic operational modal analysis for high arch dams using enhanced SSI-COV with adaptive MVMD and improved FCM clustering algorithm 基于自适应MVMD增强SSI-COV和改进FCM聚类算法的高拱坝运行模态自动分析
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104257
Huokun Li , Siyu Zeng , Bo Liu , Gang Wang , Yiyuan Tang , Wentao Wang , Wei Huang
Operational modal analysis provides critical value for structural health monitoring of arch dams, where ambient vibration-derived modal parameters characterize operational dynamic properties. This paper presents an automated method for high-fidelity identification of modal parameters. The proposed method enhances the covariance-driven stochastic subspace identification (SSI-COV) algorithm by introducing the adaptive multivariate variational mode decomposition (MVMD), the three-dimensional stabilization diagram, and an improved fuzzy c-means (FCM) clustering algorithm. Initially, the adaptive MVMD algorithm is utilized to decompose the multichannel vibration response signals. The multichannel signals are adaptively denoised by extracting and superposing sensitive signal components. Subsequently, the modal parameters of the high arch dam are obtained using the SSI-COV, and a three-dimensional stabilization diagram is developed for the automatic determination of the model order. Finally, an improved FCM clustering algorithm that integrates the local outlier factor for abnormal poles and the coati optimization algorithm for global optimization of the initial cluster centers is proposed to group physical modes, thereby facilitating automatic modal parameter estimation. Validation employs a four-DOF numerical model, a physical arch dam model, and a prototype arch dam. Results demonstrate effective noise suppression and reliable automatic modal identification under varying water discharge conditions, providing a new idea supporting continuous long-term observation of dynamic characteristics in high arch dams.
运行模态分析对拱坝结构健康监测具有重要意义,环境振动模态参数是拱坝运行动力特性的表征。本文提出了一种高保真的模态参数自动辨识方法。该方法通过引入自适应多元变分模态分解(MVMD)、三维稳定图和改进的模糊c均值(FCM)聚类算法,对协方差驱动的随机子空间识别(SSI-COV)算法进行了改进。首先,采用自适应MVMD算法对多通道振动响应信号进行分解。通过提取和叠加敏感信号分量,对多通道信号进行自适应降噪。随后,利用SSI-COV获得了高拱坝的模态参数,并建立了三维稳定图,实现了模型阶数的自动确定。最后,提出了一种改进的FCM聚类算法,该算法结合了异常极点局部离群因子和初始聚类中心全局优化的coati优化算法,对物理模态进行了分组,从而实现了模态参数的自动估计。采用四自由度数值模型、物理拱坝模型和原型拱坝进行验证。结果表明,在不同排水条件下,高拱坝的噪声抑制和模态自动识别是有效的,为高拱坝动力特性的连续长期观测提供了新的思路。
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引用次数: 0
REACT: Runtime-Enabled active collision-avoidance technique for autonomous driving REACT:用于自动驾驶的运行时主动避碰技术
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104248
Heye Huang , Hao Cheng , Zhiyuan Zhou , Zijin Wang , Haoran Wang , Qichao Liu , Xiaopeng Li
Achieving rapid and effective active collision avoidance in dynamic interactive traffic remains a core challenge for autonomous driving. This paper proposes REACT (Runtime-Enabled Active Collision-avoidance Technique), a lightweight, closed-loop framework designed to unify risk assessment with interpretable active control. By leveraging energy transfer principles and human-vehicle–road interaction modeling, REACT dynamically quantifies runtime risk and constructs a spatially continuous risk field. The system incorporates physically grounded safety constraints such as directional risk and traffic rules to identify high-risk zones and generate interpretable avoidance behaviors. A hierarchical warning mechanism and lightweight runtime design ensure real-time responsiveness and onboard deployability. Evaluations across four representative high-risk scenarios including car-following braking, cut-in, rear-approaching, and intersection conflict demonstrate REACT’s capability to accurately identify critical risks and execute proactive avoidance. Its risk estimation aligns closely with human driver cognition (i.e., warning lead time < 0.4  s), achieving 100 % safe avoidance with zero false alarms or missed detections. Furthermore, it exhibits low-latency performance (< 50 ms latency), strong foresight, and generalization. The lightweight architecture achieves state-of-the-art accuracy, highlighting its potential for real-time deployment in safety–critical autonomous systems.
在动态交互交通中实现快速有效的主动避碰仍然是自动驾驶面临的核心挑战。本文提出了REACT(运行时激活主动避碰技术),这是一个轻量级的闭环框架,旨在将风险评估与可解释的主动控制统一起来。REACT利用能量传递原理和人-车-路交互建模,动态量化运行时风险,构建空间连续的风险场。该系统结合了物理接地安全约束,如方向风险和交通规则,以识别高风险区域,并产生可解释的规避行为。分层警告机制和轻量级运行时设计确保了实时响应和机载部署能力。对四种典型高风险场景(包括汽车跟随制动、切入、追尾和交叉路口冲突)的评估表明,REACT能够准确识别关键风险并执行主动规避。它的风险估计与人类驾驶员的认知密切相关(即预警提前时间<; 0.4 s),实现100%的安全避免,零误报或漏检。此外,它还具有低延迟性能(50毫秒延迟)、强预见性和通用性。轻量级架构实现了最先进的精度,突出了其在安全关键型自主系统中实时部署的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Building façade delamination quantification framework based on infrared instance segmentation and dual-modality vision calibration 建立基于红外实例分割和双模视觉标定的图像分层量化框架
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2026.104341
Ziyu Wang , Zhenfen Jin , Xiaolan Zhuo , Jiangpeng Shu , Ziyue Zeng , Rongrong Wei , Lijun Ye
Building façade delamination quantification is critical for damage severity assessment and maintenance. While infrared thermography combined with deep learning reduces manual inspection costs, it fails to achieve precise detection and quantification results due to noise and insufficient spatial details in infrared images. To address these issues, this paper proposes a comprehensive framework. A multi-stage iterative infrared delamination network (IR-DNet) centered on dual-weighted features is designed for delamination segmentation. To tackle infrared data scarcity and real data collection costs, IR-DNet is trained on laboratory and simulated data while ensuring generalization to field scenarios. Additionally, a dual-modality vision calibration method is developed: after image registration, visible images serve as complementary information to correct perspective distortion and calibrate the scale factor, with the resulting parameters shared between modalities, thus creating an information fusion pipeline. The corrected infrared images are then fed into IR-DNet for segmentation and quantification. Field test yields an average quantification error of 6.02%, verifying the practical value for damage severity judgment and maintenance decisions.
建筑立面分层量化对损伤程度评估和维修至关重要。红外热成像与深度学习相结合,虽然降低了人工检测成本,但由于红外图像中的噪声和空间细节不足,无法实现精确的检测和量化结果。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了一个全面的框架。设计了一种以双加权特征为中心的多级迭代红外分层网络(IR-DNet)进行分层分割。为了解决红外数据稀缺和实际数据收集成本的问题,IR-DNet在实验室和模拟数据上进行了训练,同时确保了对现场场景的推广。此外,提出了一种双模态视觉校准方法,在图像配准后,以可见图像作为互补信息,校正透视失真,校准比例因子,并在模态之间共享得到的参数,形成信息融合管道。然后将校正后的红外图像送入IR-DNet进行分割和量化。现场试验平均量化误差为6.02%,验证了对损伤严重程度判断和维修决策的实用价值。
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引用次数: 0
A novel multi-task sequential network integrating wear information for tool breakage monitoring 基于磨损信息的刀具破损监测多任务序列网络
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2026.104342
Shenping Mei , Xuandong Mo , Mingyuan Xia , Xiaofeng Hu
Tool breakage monitoring (TBM) during machining processes is crucial for ensuring manufacturing safety and product quality. Although data-driven methods have made significant progress in the field of TBM, existing studies generally overlook the intrinsic correlation between tool breakage and wear processes, as the probability and severity of tool breakage vary with wear accumulation. Meanwhile, conservative process parameters in industrial practices lead to a scarcity of breakage samples, and the normal samples caused by fluctuations in working conditions exhibit multiple pattern distributions, which further increase monitoring difficulties. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel multi-task sequential network that integrates wear information to achieve tool breakage monitoring. Unlike traditional multi-task learning (MTL), this method jointly learns tool wear prediction and breakage monitoring tasks in a sequential manner. The two tasks share a feature extraction module, and the predicted continuous wear value is fed as conditional information into the subsequent breakage monitoring module, enabling the monitoring model to adapt to different wear states. Additionally, the weighted multi-scale distance (WMSD) loss function designed for the breakage monitoring module integrates Euclidean distance, angular difference, and Latent feature distance, enhancing the capability to model the distribution pattern of normal samples and strengthening its robustness. Experimental findings indicate that the proposed method achieved favorable results on both the actual machining dataset of aerospace engine casings and the PHM2010 dataset, validating its effectiveness and broad applicability in practical scenarios.
加工过程中刀具破损监测是保证生产安全和产品质量的重要手段。虽然数据驱动方法在TBM领域取得了重大进展,但现有研究普遍忽略了刀具断裂与磨损过程之间的内在相关性,刀具断裂的概率和严重程度随着磨损的积累而变化。同时,工业实践中工艺参数的保守性导致破损样品的稀缺,而工作条件波动导致的正常样品呈现多模式分布,进一步增加了监测难度。针对这些问题,本文提出了一种集成磨损信息的多任务序列网络来实现刀具破损监测。与传统的多任务学习(MTL)不同,该方法以顺序的方式共同学习刀具磨损预测和破损监测任务。这两个任务共用一个特征提取模块,并将预测的连续磨损值作为条件信息馈送到后续的破损监测模块中,使监测模型能够适应不同的磨损状态。此外,针对破损监测模块设计的加权多尺度距离(WMSD)损失函数集成了欧氏距离、角差和潜特征距离,增强了对正态样本分布模式的建模能力,增强了其鲁棒性。实验结果表明,该方法在航空发动机机壳实际加工数据集和PHM2010数据集上均取得了较好的结果,验证了该方法的有效性和在实际场景中的广泛适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Unknown intervention-aware neural Granger causal discovery via Kullback–Leibler divergence constraint 基于Kullback-Leibler散度约束的未知干预感知神经Granger因果发现
IF 9.9 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2025.104285
Chenze Wang , Tianyi Yin , Han Wang , Xiaohan Zhang , Gaowei Xu , Jingwei Wang , Min Liu
The widely studied problem of inferring causal structures in time series data, particularly through Granger causality (GC), has gained prominence in various applications due to its compatibility with deep neural network-based predictive modeling. However, most existing approaches presuppose a single causal structure within multivariate time series and neglect the impact of unknown intervention targets, leading to limitations in complex real-world scenarios. Here, we focus on identifying causal structures from time series with unknown interventions and propose a neural network-based GC method. First, we construct global and interventional causal neural networks based on the causal probability matrix (CPM), enabling dual-scale GC discovery: coarse-grained across unknown intervention environments and fine-grained within each. Then, a novel interactive training framework using a Kullback–Leibler divergence constraint is proposed to provide the perception of unknown interventions and exchange of causal information. The proposed method demonstrates superior performance compared to various baselines on both synthetic and real-world interventional time series datasets.
在时间序列数据中推断因果结构的问题,特别是通过格兰杰因果关系(GC),由于其与基于深度神经网络的预测建模的兼容性,在各种应用中得到了突出的研究。然而,大多数现有方法在多元时间序列中预设单一因果结构,忽略了未知干预目标的影响,导致在复杂的现实场景中存在局限性。在这里,我们专注于从未知干预的时间序列中识别因果结构,并提出了一种基于神经网络的GC方法。首先,我们基于因果概率矩阵(CPM)构建了全局和介入因果神经网络,实现了双尺度GC发现:在未知干预环境中进行粗粒度发现,在每个未知干预环境中进行细粒度发现。然后,提出了一种基于Kullback-Leibler散度约束的交互式训练框架,以提供未知干预的感知和因果信息的交换。在合成和实际干预时间序列数据集上,与各种基线相比,所提出的方法表现出优越的性能。
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引用次数: 0
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Advanced Engineering Informatics
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