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A two-stage learning framework for imbalanced semi-supervised domain generalization fault diagnosis under unknown operating conditions 用于未知运行条件下不平衡半监督领域泛化故障诊断的两阶段学习框架
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102878
Chuanxia Jian, Heen Chen, Yinhui Ao, Xiaobo Zhang
The diagnosis of mechanical faults under unknown operating conditions has been extensively investigated. In real industrial scenarios, fault diagnosis often faces challenges such as class imbalance, scarcity of class labels, and domain shifts. Existing methods cannot simultaneously address these issues. Therefore, this study proposes an imbalanced semi-supervised domain generalization-based fault diagnosis (ISDGFD) learning paradigm and develops a two-stage learning framework to tackle these issues. In the first stage, labeled data is preprocessed to address class imbalance, key features are extracted using a multi-scale convolutional neural network with a self-attention mechanism, and domain-invariant and class-aware features are initially learned through multi-domain adversarial learning and supervised learning, respectively. In the second stage, reliable pseudo-labeled samples are selected and a weighted pseudo-labeled loss is used to retrain the model, further enhancing generalization capability. Extensive experiments were conducted on the CWRU and HUST datasets. The proposed method achieved average scores of 0.85 in Recall, 0.87 in F-score, and 0.92 in Accuracy on the CWRU dataset, and 0.8052 in Recall, 0.7747 in F-score, and 0.8398 in Accuracy on the HUST dataset. These results outperform those of existing state-of-the-art semi-supervised Domain Generalization-based Fault Diagnosis (DGFD) methods and are comparable to the results of fully-supervised imbalanced DGFD methods, demonstrating its effectiveness for ISDGFD under unknown operating conditions.
人们对未知运行条件下的机械故障诊断进行了广泛研究。在实际工业场景中,故障诊断往往面临类别不平衡、类别标签稀缺和领域偏移等挑战。现有方法无法同时解决这些问题。因此,本研究提出了一种基于不平衡半监督领域泛化的故障诊断(ISDGFD)学习范式,并开发了一个两阶段学习框架来解决这些问题。在第一阶段,对标记数据进行预处理以解决类不平衡问题,使用具有自注意机制的多尺度卷积神经网络提取关键特征,并分别通过多域对抗学习和监督学习初步学习域不变特征和类感知特征。在第二阶段,选择可靠的伪标记样本,利用加权伪标记损失对模型进行再训练,进一步提高泛化能力。在 CWRU 和 HUST 数据集上进行了广泛的实验。所提方法在 CWRU 数据集上的平均召回率为 0.85,F-score 为 0.87,准确率为 0.92;在 HUST 数据集上的平均召回率为 0.8052,F-score 为 0.7747,准确率为 0.8398。这些结果优于现有最先进的基于领域泛化的半监督故障诊断(DGFD)方法,并与全监督不平衡 DGFD 方法的结果相当,证明了它在未知运行条件下进行 ISDGFD 的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A visual identification method with position recovering and contour comparison for highly similar non-planar aviation angle pieces 对高度相似的非平面航空角件进行位置恢复和轮廓比较的视觉识别方法
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102901
Qiang He , Jun Yang , Haoyun Li , Yang Hui , Aiming Xu , Ruchen Chen , Zhengjie Xue , Junkun Qi
The assembly quality of angle-piece connectors in aviation equipment significantly affects its structural stability and flight safety. In the production environment, there are many highly similar angle pieces mixed together, making it difficult for workers to distinguish them. Additionally, the complex non-planar structure of the angle pieces and the extremely small differences between them render conventional identification methods ineffective. This paper proposes a new visual identification method for highly similar non-planar aviation angle pieces based on position recovering and contour comparison. Our method integrates overhead and side-view information, effectively separating non-planar regions in angle piece images and accurately extracting the characteristic contours of planar regions. By using the fillet features of the angle pieces for position recognition and adjustment, the method addresses the issue of difficult position recovering of small-sized angle pieces, achieving precise identification of their types. The results indicate that for 30 types of highly similar angle pieces with minimum dimension differences of 0.1 mm and minimum angle variances of 0.1 degrees, the method proposed achieves a position recovering error of less than 1 % and a correct identification rate of 94.33 %. This demonstrates practical significance for the automation of angle pieces production in aviation equipment.
航空设备中角件连接器的装配质量对其结构稳定性和飞行安全有重大影响。在生产环境中,许多高度相似的角件混杂在一起,工人很难将它们区分开来。此外,角件复杂的非平面结构和角件之间极小的差异也使得传统的识别方法难以奏效。本文提出了一种基于位置恢复和轮廓对比的全新视觉识别方法,用于识别高度相似的非平面航空角片。我们的方法整合了俯视和侧视信息,能有效分离角片图像中的非平面区域,并准确提取平面区域的特征轮廓。该方法利用角片的圆角特征进行位置识别和调整,解决了小尺寸角片位置难以恢复的问题,实现了角片类型的精确识别。结果表明,对于 30 种最小尺寸相差 0.1 毫米、最小角度相差 0.1 度的高度相似角件,所提出的方法实现的位置恢复误差小于 1%,正确识别率达到 94.33%。这对航空设备角件的自动化生产具有重要的现实意义。
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引用次数: 0
A temperature-sensitive points selection method for machine tool based on rough set and multi-objective adaptive hybrid evolutionary algorithm 基于粗糙集和多目标自适应混合进化算法的机床温度敏感点选择方法
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102844
Jie Pei , Ping Yan , Han Zhou , Dayuan Wu , Jian Chen , Runzhong Yi
Reasonable deployment of temperature sensors is the key to accurately monitoring the temperature field of machine tools and improving the accuracy of thermal error prediction and compensation models. To determine the optimal deployment location of sensors, this paper proposes a temperature-sensitive points selection method tightly coupled with rough set and multi-objective optimization. Firstly, the importance of each temperature measurement point to the thermal error is calculated based on the rough set, and information entropy is introduced to amplify the importance difference among adjacent measurement points at the same heat source. Then, with the temperature measurement points groups as the variables, the number of temperature measurement points in the group, and the information importance of the group as the objectives, a multi-objective attribute reduction model is established, which transforms the temperature-sensitive points selection problem into a discrete multi-objective optimization problem. Finally, a multi-objective adaptive hybrid evolutionary algorithm is proposed, which designs a population initialization method based on mutual information and interval probability, and dynamic adaptive evolutionary parameters to achieve optimal temperature-sensitive points selection. Experiments on the high-speed dry hobbing machine verify the superiority and effectiveness of the proposed method.
合理布局温度传感器是准确监测机床温度场、提高热误差预测和补偿模型精度的关键。为了确定传感器的最佳部署位置,本文提出了一种与粗糙集和多目标优化紧密结合的温度敏感点选择方法。首先,基于粗糙集计算各温度测点对热误差的重要性,并引入信息熵来放大同一热源相邻测点间的重要性差异。然后,以温度测点组为变量,以测点组中温度测点的数量和测点组的信息重要性为目标,建立多目标属性还原模型,将感温点选择问题转化为离散多目标优化问题。最后,提出了一种多目标自适应混合进化算法,该算法设计了基于互信息和区间概率的种群初始化方法,并设计了动态自适应进化参数,以实现最佳感温点选择。在高速干式滚齿机上的实验验证了所提方法的优越性和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
An automatic generation approach of process model based on feature knowledge and geometric modeling 基于特征知识和几何建模的工艺模型自动生成方法
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102881
Pengyu Wang , Weichao Liu , Youpeng You , Shuang Qian
Traditional process planning applies knowledge to convert design information within the part model into process information. This information is then displayed by manually drawing two-dimensional (2D) process cards from multiple views, illustrating the geometric design and the process details. However, this method has revealed several issues, including poor efficiency, information misinterpretation, and the potential for manual drawing errors. This traditional approach hampers the integration of manufacturing information across engineering software. It exacerbates the digital divide between computer-aided design (CAD), computer-aided process planning (CAPP), and computer-aided manufacturing (CAM). To address these issues, this study proposes an automated approach for creating three-dimensional (3D) process models based on feature knowledge and geometric modeling. The 3-axis milling features are recognized as the machining objects from the boundary representation (B-Rep) part model. Geometric and parameter knowledge for modeling is derived from the machining step. In the proposed approach, two geometric modeling methods are investigated to construct feature state volumes (FSVs). The first method utilizes FSV modeling to simulate the shape of unmachined features before rough machining, while the second method utilizes FSV modeling to construct the shape of machined features before finishing machining. The case studies illustrate that the proposed approach can construct FSVs for various machining states and autonomously generate process models. In digital manufacturing, this approach assists process planners in intuitively evaluating the reasonableness of process routes. Additionally, it provides the essential driving geometry required for the autonomous generation of tool paths.
传统的工艺规划应用知识将零件模型中的设计信息转换为工艺信息。然后通过手工绘制多视图的二维(2D)工艺卡来显示这些信息,说明几何设计和工艺细节。然而,这种方法也暴露出一些问题,包括效率低下、信息误读以及可能出现手工绘图错误。这种传统方法阻碍了制造信息在工程软件中的整合。它加剧了计算机辅助设计 (CAD)、计算机辅助工艺规划 (CAPP) 和计算机辅助制造 (CAM) 之间的数字鸿沟。为解决这些问题,本研究提出了一种基于特征知识和几何建模创建三维(3D)工艺模型的自动化方法。三轴铣削特征从边界表示(B-Rep)零件模型中识别为加工对象。用于建模的几何和参数知识来自加工步骤。在所提出的方法中,研究了两种几何建模方法来构建特征状态卷(FSV)。第一种方法利用 FSV 建模模拟粗加工前未加工特征的形状,第二种方法利用 FSV 建模构建精加工前已加工特征的形状。案例研究表明,所提出的方法可以为各种加工状态构建 FSV,并自主生成工艺模型。在数字化制造中,这种方法可以帮助工艺规划人员直观地评估工艺路线的合理性。此外,它还提供了自主生成刀具路径所需的基本驱动几何图形。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic heterogeneous resource allocation in post-disaster relief operation considering fairness 灾后救援行动中考虑公平性的动态异构资源分配
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102858
Yuying Long , Peng Sun , Gangyan Xu
Efficient and fair resource allocation is essential in post-disaster relief operations to save lives and mitigate losses. However, due to the highly dynamic and uncertain relief supplies and rescue demands, as well as the complex interdependent relationships among heterogeneous relief resources, the practice of relief resource allocation frequently suffers from low efficiency or unfairness, thus delaying the response activities or even causing social tensions. To address these problems, this paper investigates the heterogeneous relief resource allocation problem and develops a dynamic solution method for efficient and fair allocations. Specifically, a heterogeneous resource allocation model is built to maximize efficiency considering the tight collaboration among resources. A Gini-based fairness evaluation metric is proposed for assessing allocation fairness, and an analysis of the balance between fairness and efficiency is conducted. Then, a dynamic resource allocation method is designed based on the rolling horizon framework, with an Adaptive Dynamic REsource Allocation Method (A-DREAM) developed to balance allocation fairness and efficiency in dynamic scenarios. The performance of the proposed method is verified through systematic experimental case studies, and potential factors affecting allocation fairness are investigated. Finally, the managerial implications for practical relief operations are also derived through sensitivity analysis.
在灾后救援行动中,高效、公平的资源配置对于挽救生命、减少损失至关重要。然而,由于救灾物资和救援需求的高度动态性和不确定性,以及异质救灾资源之间复杂的相互依存关系,救灾资源分配实践中经常出现效率低下或不公平的问题,从而延误救灾活动,甚至引发社会矛盾。针对这些问题,本文研究了异质救灾资源分配问题,并开发了一种高效公平分配的动态求解方法。具体而言,考虑到资源之间的紧密协作,本文建立了一个异构资源分配模型,以实现效率最大化。提出了一种基于基尼系数的公平性评价指标来评估分配的公平性,并对公平性和效率之间的平衡进行了分析。然后,基于滚动地平线框架设计了一种动态资源分配方法,并开发了一种自适应动态资源分配方法(A-DREAM),以平衡动态场景下的分配公平性和效率。通过系统的实验案例研究验证了所提方法的性能,并研究了影响分配公平性的潜在因素。最后,还通过敏感性分析得出了对实际救援行动的管理影响。
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引用次数: 0
Latent space alignment based domain adaptation (LSADA) for fault diagnosis of rotating machinery 基于潜空间配准的域适应(LSADA)用于旋转机械的故障诊断
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102862
Yong Chae Kim , Jin Uk Ko , Jinwook Lee , Taehun Kim , Joon Ha Jung , Byeng D. Youn
Fault diagnosis of rotating machinery is essential to minimize damage and downtime in industrial fields. With the development of artificial intelligence, deep-learning-based fault diagnosis has gained significant attention. However, changes in the data distribution from machinery operating under different conditions have led to insufficient diagnostic accuracy. Additionally, the lack of labeled data in industrial settings hampers the performance of these deep-learning algorithms. To address these issues, unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA)-based fault diagnosis methods have been increasingly explored for robust diagnosis under varying conditions. Traditional UDA methods, however, struggle to adapt to hard-to-adapt classes as they focus only on reducing global distribution discrepancies, leading to misclassification and reduced performance for these classes. In this paper, we propose a latent space alignment based domain adaptation (LSADA) approach to overcome this limitation. LSADA reduces local distribution discrepancies by sequentially aligning minority regions and minimizing the distance between source and target data in high-dimensional latent space. Additionally, the feature extractor and predictor in LSADA are synchronized by generating reliable pseudo labels from unlabeled target data. The proposed method is validated using both open-source and experimental datasets, demonstrating that LSADA outperforms existing UDA-based fault-diagnosis algorithms. Moreover, a physical analysis of the method addresses the black-box issue, a common limitation of deep-learning approaches.
旋转机械的故障诊断对于尽量减少工业领域的损坏和停机时间至关重要。随着人工智能的发展,基于深度学习的故障诊断受到了广泛关注。然而,在不同条件下运行的机械数据分布的变化导致诊断准确性不足。此外,工业环境中标注数据的缺乏也影响了这些深度学习算法的性能。为了解决这些问题,人们越来越多地探索基于无监督领域适应(UDA)的故障诊断方法,以便在不同条件下进行稳健诊断。然而,传统的 UDA 方法很难适应难以适应的类别,因为它们只关注减少全局分布差异,从而导致对这些类别的错误分类和性能降低。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于潜空间配准的领域适应(LSADA)方法来克服这一局限。LSADA 通过依次对齐少数区域和最小化高维潜空间中源数据与目标数据之间的距离来减少局部分布差异。此外,LSADA 中的特征提取器和预测器通过从未标明的目标数据中生成可靠的伪标签来实现同步。我们利用开源数据集和实验数据集对所提出的方法进行了验证,结果表明 LSADA 优于现有的基于 UDA 的故障诊断算法。此外,对该方法的物理分析解决了深度学习方法的常见局限--黑箱问题。
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引用次数: 0
Explainable AI for engineering design: A unified approach of systems engineering and component-based deep learning demonstrated by energy-efficient building design 用于工程设计的可解释人工智能:通过节能建筑设计展示系统工程和基于组件的深度学习的统一方法
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102843
Philipp Geyer , Manav Mahan Singh , Xia Chen
Data-driven models created by machine learning (ML) have gained importance in all fields of design and engineering. They have high potential to assist decision-makers in creating novel artifacts with better performance and sustainability. However, limited generalization and the black-box nature of these models lead to limited explainability and reusability. To overcome this situation, we developed a component-based approach to create partial component models by ML. This component-based approach aligns deep learning with systems engineering (SE). The key contribution of the component-based method is that activations at interfaces between the components are interpretable engineering quantities. In this way, the hierarchical component system forms a deep neural network (DNN) that a priori integrates interpretable information for explainability of predictions. The large range of possible configurations in composing components allows the examination of novel unseen design cases outside training data. The matching of parameter ranges of components using similar probability distributions produces reusable, well-generalizing, and trustworthy models. The approach adapts the model structure to SE methods and domain knowledge. We examine the performance of the approach in the field of energy-efficient building design: First, we observed better generalization of the component-based method by analyzing prediction accuracy outside the training data. Especially for representative designs that are different in structure, we observed a much higher accuracy (R2 = 0.94) compared to conventional monolithic methods (R2 = 0.71). Second, we illustrate explainability by demonstrating how sensitivity information from SE and an interpretable model based on rules from low-depth decision trees serve engineering design. Third, we evaluate explainability using qualitative and quantitative methods that demonstrate the matching of preliminary knowledge and data-driven derived strategies and show correctness of activations at component interfaces compared to white-box simulation results (envelope components: R2 = 0.92..0.99; zones: R2 = 0.78..0.93).
机器学习(ML)所创建的数据驱动模型在设计和工程的各个领域都越来越重要。它们在协助决策者创造性能更佳、可持续性更强的新型人工制品方面潜力巨大。然而,这些模型的有限通用性和黑箱性质导致其可解释性和可重用性有限。为了克服这种情况,我们开发了一种基于组件的方法,通过 ML 创建部分组件模型。这种基于组件的方法将深度学习与系统工程(SE)相结合。基于组件的方法的主要贡献在于,组件之间接口的激活是可解释的工程量。这样,分层组件系统就形成了一个深度神经网络(DNN),先验地整合了可解释的信息,从而实现预测的可解释性。组成组件的可能配置范围很大,因此可以在训练数据之外检查未见过的新设计案例。使用相似的概率分布来匹配组件的参数范围,可生成可重复使用、具有良好泛化能力且值得信赖的模型。该方法可根据 SE 方法和领域知识调整模型结构。我们在节能建筑设计领域检验了该方法的性能:首先,通过分析训练数据之外的预测准确性,我们观察到基于组件的方法具有更好的泛化能力。特别是对于结构不同的代表性设计,与传统的整体方法(R2 = 0.71)相比,我们观察到更高的准确率(R2 = 0.94)。其次,我们通过展示来自 SE 的灵敏度信息和基于低深度决策树规则的可解释模型如何服务于工程设计来说明可解释性。第三,我们使用定性和定量方法来评估可解释性,这些方法展示了初步知识与数据驱动的衍生策略的匹配性,并与白盒模拟结果(包络元件:R2 = 0.92...0.99;区域:R2 = 0.78...0.93)相比,展示了组件界面激活的正确性。
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引用次数: 0
Interpreting what typical fault signals look like via prototype-matching 通过原型匹配解读典型故障信号的样子
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102849
Qian Chen , Xingjian Dong , Zhike Peng
Neural networks, with powerful nonlinear mapping and classification capabilities, are widely applied in mechanical fault diagnosis to ensure safety. However, being typical black-box models, their application is restricted in high-reliability-required scenarios. To understand the classification logic and explain what typical fault signals look like, the prototype matching network (PMN) is proposed by combining the human-inherent prototype-matching with the autoencoder (AE). The PMN matches AE-extracted feature with each prototype and selects the most similar prototype as the prediction result. This novel PMN has three interpreting paths, which explains the classification logic, depicts the typical fault signals and pinpoints the crucial fault-related frequency causing high similarity with matched prototype in model’s view. Conventional diagnosis and domain generalization experiments demonstrate its competitive diagnostic performance and distinguished advantages in representation learning. Besides, the learned typical fault signals (i.e., sample-level prototypes) showcase the ability for denoising and extracting subtle key features that experts find challenging to capture. This ability broadens human understanding and provides a promising solution to feedback from interpretable research into the knowledge of fault diagnosis.
神经网络具有强大的非线性映射和分类能力,被广泛应用于机械故障诊断,以确保安全。然而,作为典型的黑箱模型,其应用仅限于高可靠性要求的场景。为了理解分类逻辑并解释典型故障信号的外观,通过将人类固有的原型匹配与自动编码器(AE)相结合,提出了原型匹配网络(PMN)。原型匹配网络将自动编码器提取的特征与每个原型进行匹配,并选择最相似的原型作为预测结果。这种新颖的 PMN 有三条解释路径,解释了分类逻辑,描述了典型的故障信号,并从模型的角度指出了导致与匹配原型高度相似的关键故障相关频率。传统诊断和领域泛化实验证明了其具有竞争力的诊断性能以及在表征学习方面的突出优势。此外,学习到的典型故障信号(即样本级原型)展示了去噪和提取专家难以捕捉的微妙关键特征的能力。这种能力拓宽了人类的理解范围,为将可解释研究反馈到故障诊断知识中提供了一种有前途的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Depth-informed point cloud-to-BIM registration for construction inspection using augmented reality 利用增强现实技术进行建筑检测的深度信息点云到 BIM 注册
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102867
Han Liu , Donghai Liu , Junjie Chen
Augmented reality (AR) is increasingly being used to assist construction inspection onsite. Underpinning this AR-assisted inspection is a technique called registration, which aims to align the physical world with a digital building information model (BIM) so that the as-built can be intuitively compared with the as-designed. Despite its importance, how to precisely and efficiently register BIM to the physical world still remains a challenge. This paper contributes to tackling the challenge by proposing a novel depth-informed point cloud-to-BIM registration (D-PC2BIM) algorithm. The idea is to enhance registration performance by estimating the depth of a sparse point cloud to inform interpolation of the missing points and to extract the endpoints that matter most in a registration. A novel integration algorithm is proposed to improve the success rate of final registration. Experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, which outperformed existing approaches with higher accuracy and faster speed. The contribution of the study resides in the development of the D-PC2BIM algorithm and a demonstration of its applicability in enabling construction inspection using AR.
增强现实(AR)正越来越多地用于辅助现场施工检测。这种 AR 辅助检查的基础是一种称为注册的技术,其目的是将物理世界与数字建筑信息模型(BIM)对齐,从而可以直观地将 "建成 "与 "设计 "进行比较。尽管这项技术非常重要,但如何精确、高效地将 BIM 注册到物理世界仍然是一项挑战。本文提出了一种新颖的深度信息点云到 BIM 注册(D-PC2BIM)算法,有助于应对这一挑战。其思路是通过估计稀疏点云的深度来为缺失点的插值提供信息,并提取注册中最重要的端点,从而提高注册性能。为了提高最终配准的成功率,我们提出了一种新颖的整合算法。实验证明了所提算法的有效性,它以更高的精度和更快的速度超越了现有方法。本研究的贡献在于开发了 D-PC2BIM 算法,并展示了该算法在使用 AR 进行建筑检测方面的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Improved air traffic flow prediction in terminal areas using a multimodal spatial–temporal network for weather-aware (MST-WA) model 利用气象感知多模式时空网络(MST-WA)模型改进航站区空中交通流量预测
IF 8 1区 工程技术 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102935
Yang Zeng , Minghua Hu , Haiyan Chen , Ligang Yuan , Sameer Alam , Dabin Xue
Accurately predicting air traffic flow in terminal areas is critical for balancing demand and capacity, particularly under challenging weather conditions. However, the complex interactions between weather patterns and air traffic make reliable predictions difficult. To address this issue, we propose a novel approach called the Multimodal Spatial-Temporal network for Weather-Aware prediction (MST-WA), designed to enhance air traffic flow prediction (ATFP) in terminal areas. Our method begins by constructing a spatial–temporal graph that captures the topology of the terminal area, including airports, routes, and fixes as nodes. A weather-aware module is then introduced, leveraging a Residual Network (ResNet) and attention mechanism to model the deep spatial–temporal correlations in the Weather Avoidance Field (WAF). The proposed model architecture integrates five key branches: arrival flow, departure flow, graph network topology, weather conditions, and flow constraint control, with predictions generated via an attention-based Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. Experimental results using real-world data from Guangzhou Baiyun Airport, China, show that MST-WA outperforms baseline models in ATFP. Furthermore, a case study in convective weather scenarios demonstrates the model’s adaptability and effectiveness. We believe that the proposed model can serve as a valuable tool for air traffic controllers, enhancing decision-making and improving overall air traffic management.
准确预测航站区的航空交通流量对于平衡需求和容量至关重要,尤其是在天气条件恶劣的情况下。然而,天气模式和空中交通流量之间复杂的相互作用使得可靠的预测变得困难。为解决这一问题,我们提出了一种名为 "天气感知预测多模式时空网络"(MST-WA)的新方法,旨在加强航站区的空中交通流量预测(ATFP)。我们的方法首先构建一个时空图,捕捉航站区的拓扑结构,包括作为节点的机场、航线和固定点。然后引入天气感知模块,利用残差网络(ResNet)和注意力机制来模拟天气规避场(WAF)中的深度时空相关性。所提出的模型架构集成了五个关键分支:到达流、出发流、图网络拓扑、天气条件和流量约束控制,并通过基于注意力的长短期记忆(LSTM)网络生成预测。利用中国广州白云机场的实际数据进行的实验结果表明,MST-WA 在 ATFP 方面优于基准模型。此外,对流天气场景下的案例研究也证明了该模型的适应性和有效性。我们相信,所提出的模型可作为空中交通管制员的宝贵工具,增强决策能力,改善整体空中交通管理。
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引用次数: 0
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Advanced Engineering Informatics
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