首页 > 最新文献

Mathematical Biosciences最新文献

英文 中文
Employing nullclines to balance treatment efficacy and neurotoxicity for sustained tumor control 采用零线药物平衡治疗效果和神经毒性以持续控制肿瘤。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109535
Lois C. Okereke , Ernesto A.B.F. Lima , Anna G. Sorace , Thomas E. Yankeelov
There is increasing interest in identifying therapeutic regimens capable of maintaining tumor burden within well-defined size boundaries with constraints on the amount and frequency of drugs on a patient-specific basis. We have developed coupled systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) capturing the temporal dynamics of tumor burden, treatment effects due to cytotoxic drugs, and neurotoxicity. The models account for tumor cell proliferation and phenotypic heterogeneity, drug availability due to continuous or impulsive drug delivery, drug-induced apoptosis and microglia activation. We utilize nullclines of the system to derive effective dose ranges that stabilize tumor burden and mitigate neurotoxicity. Our results generate bounded treatment regimens that can be validated in the experimental setting. We found that for tumors with a proliferation saturation index (i.e., pre-treatment volume to carrying capacity ratio) between 0.10 and 0.30, containing the tumor in the sense of RECIST can yield up to a 51.8% reduction in drug concentration when compared with regimens designed for tumor eradication. In silico experiments using data from a breast cancer study demonstrate that the nullcline-derived treatments maintained stable disease in the tumors with neurotoxicity maintained below the desired threshold. The methodology developed in this study provides a theoretical formalism to potentially explain several preclinical and clinical observations indicating that low dose therapy can stabilize tumor growth and result in an enhanced quality of life. Importantly, our model identified quantitative biologic indices that can offer practical guidance to the design of personalized regimens that balance treatment efficacy and toxicity.
人们对确定治疗方案越来越感兴趣,这些治疗方案能够将肿瘤负荷维持在明确的大小范围内,并根据患者的具体情况限制药物的数量和频率。我们已经开发了常微分方程(ode)的耦合系统,捕捉肿瘤负荷的时间动态,由于细胞毒性药物和神经毒性的治疗效果。这些模型考虑了肿瘤细胞增殖和表型异质性、连续或脉冲给药导致的药物可获得性、药物诱导的细胞凋亡和小胶质细胞活化。我们利用该系统的零线来得出稳定肿瘤负荷和减轻神经毒性的有效剂量范围。我们的结果产生了有限的治疗方案,可以很容易地在实验环境中验证。我们发现,对于增殖饱和指数(即治疗前体积与承载能力之比)在0.10到0.30之间的肿瘤,与为根除肿瘤而设计的方案相比,在RECIST意义上含有肿瘤可使药物浓度降低51.8%。利用乳腺癌研究数据进行的计算机实验表明,nullcline衍生的治疗方法使肿瘤保持稳定,神经毒性维持在所需阈值以下。本研究中开发的方法提供了一种理论形式,可以潜在地解释一些临床前和临床观察结果,这些观察结果表明,低剂量治疗可以稳定肿瘤生长并提高生活质量。重要的是,我们的模型确定了定量的生物学指标,可以为平衡治疗效果和毒性的个性化方案的设计提供实用指导。
{"title":"Employing nullclines to balance treatment efficacy and neurotoxicity for sustained tumor control","authors":"Lois C. Okereke ,&nbsp;Ernesto A.B.F. Lima ,&nbsp;Anna G. Sorace ,&nbsp;Thomas E. Yankeelov","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109535","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109535","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>There is increasing interest in identifying therapeutic regimens capable of maintaining tumor burden within well-defined size boundaries with constraints on the amount and frequency of drugs on a patient-specific basis. We have developed coupled systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) capturing the temporal dynamics of tumor burden, treatment effects due to cytotoxic drugs, and neurotoxicity. The models account for tumor cell proliferation and phenotypic heterogeneity, drug availability due to continuous or impulsive drug delivery, drug-induced apoptosis and microglia activation. We utilize nullclines of the system to derive effective dose ranges that stabilize tumor burden and mitigate neurotoxicity. Our results generate bounded treatment regimens that can be validated in the experimental setting. We found that for tumors with a proliferation saturation index (i.e., pre-treatment volume to carrying capacity ratio) between 0.10 and 0.30, containing the tumor in the sense of RECIST can yield up to a 51.8% reduction in drug concentration when compared with regimens designed for tumor eradication. <em>In silico</em> experiments using data from a breast cancer study demonstrate that the nullcline-derived treatments maintained stable disease in the tumors with neurotoxicity maintained below the desired threshold. The methodology developed in this study provides a theoretical formalism to potentially explain several preclinical and clinical observations indicating that low dose therapy can stabilize tumor growth and result in an enhanced quality of life. Importantly, our model identified quantitative biologic indices that can offer practical guidance to the design of personalized regimens that balance treatment efficacy and toxicity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"389 ","pages":"Article 109535"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145056604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Calibrating a parameterized stochastic Boolean network model of gene regulation using a single steady-state gene expression profile 校准一个参数化的随机布尔网络模型的基因调控使用一个单一的稳态基因表达谱。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109523
Mohammad Taheri-Ledari , Sayed-Amir Marashi , Mohammad Hossein Ghahremani , Kaveh Kavousi
Boolean networks (BNs), due to their capacity to replicate non-linear dynamics despite their simplicity, have garnered significant interest among researchers. BNs can be used to simulate the effect of perturbations in biological systems, including changes in environmental conditions, genetic mutations, or the introduction of a drug. A major application of dynamic gene regulatory network (GRN) models is to identify how a specific perturbation shifts a GRN’s behavioral mode towards another one. To this end, a gene expression profile, which snapshots the cell transcriptome at (quasi-)steady-state, can be exploited to adjust a stochastic Boolean GRN under a certain condition. Such tailored GRNs hold numerous implications for drug target discovery, novel therapeutic strategies, and personalized medicine. In this study, we introduce a methodology for estimating the parameters of a parameterized stochastic BN model of gene regulation using a single steady-state gene expression measurement. We employ certain simplifying assumptions to reformulate the problem as a system of linear equations, ensuring ergodicity and the existence of a unique solution. However, even under these simplifying conditions, the high time and space demand to solve the problem can be challenging. In the present study, we applied a simulation-based approach to estimating parameters, rather than explicitly deriving and solving the set of linear equations. Finally, we show the applicability and relevance of our approach on a set of randomly generated BNs as well as establishing “personalized” BNs for non-small cell lung cancer cell lines (NSCLC).
布尔网络(BNs),由于其复制非线性动态的能力,尽管他们的简单,已经引起了研究人员的极大兴趣。生物神经网络可以用来模拟生物系统中扰动的影响,包括环境条件的变化、基因突变或药物的引入。动态基因调控网络(GRN)模型的一个主要应用是确定特定扰动如何将GRN的行为模式转变为另一种行为模式。为此,在(准)稳态下快照细胞转录组的基因表达谱可以用于在特定条件下调整随机布尔GRN。这种定制的grn对药物靶点发现、新的治疗策略和个性化医疗具有许多意义。在这项研究中,我们介绍了一种方法来估计参数化随机BN模型的基因调控参数,使用一个单一的稳态基因表达测量。我们采用一些简化的假设将问题重新表述为一个线性方程组,保证遍历性和唯一解的存在性。然而,即使在这些简化的条件下,解决问题的高时间和空间需求也是具有挑战性的。在本研究中,我们采用基于模拟的方法来估计参数,而不是显式地推导和求解一组线性方程。最后,我们展示了我们的方法在一组随机生成的bn上的适用性和相关性,以及为非小细胞肺癌细胞系(NSCLC)建立“个性化”bn。
{"title":"Calibrating a parameterized stochastic Boolean network model of gene regulation using a single steady-state gene expression profile","authors":"Mohammad Taheri-Ledari ,&nbsp;Sayed-Amir Marashi ,&nbsp;Mohammad Hossein Ghahremani ,&nbsp;Kaveh Kavousi","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109523","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109523","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Boolean networks (BNs), due to their capacity to replicate non-linear dynamics despite their simplicity, have garnered significant interest among researchers. BNs can be used to simulate the effect of perturbations in biological systems, including changes in environmental conditions, genetic mutations, or the introduction of a drug. A major application of dynamic gene regulatory network (GRN) models is to identify how a specific perturbation shifts a GRN’s behavioral mode towards another one. To this end, a gene expression profile, which snapshots the cell transcriptome at (quasi-)steady-state, can be exploited to adjust a stochastic Boolean GRN under a certain condition. Such tailored GRNs hold numerous implications for drug target discovery, novel therapeutic strategies, and personalized medicine. In this study, we introduce a methodology for estimating the parameters of a parameterized stochastic BN model of gene regulation using a single steady-state gene expression measurement. We employ certain simplifying assumptions to reformulate the problem as a system of linear equations, ensuring ergodicity and the existence of a unique solution. However, even under these simplifying conditions, the high time and space demand to solve the problem can be challenging. In the present study, we applied a simulation-based approach to estimating parameters, rather than explicitly deriving and solving the set of linear equations. Finally, we show the applicability and relevance of our approach on a set of randomly generated BNs as well as establishing “personalized” BNs for non-small cell lung cancer cell lines (NSCLC).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"389 ","pages":"Article 109523"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145042765","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impacts of competition and phenotypic plasticity on the viability of adaptive therapy 竞争和表型可塑性对适应性治疗生存能力的影响。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109522
B. Vibishan , Paras Jain , Vedant Sharma , Kishore Hari , Claus Kadelka , Jason T. George , Mohit Kumar Jolly
Cancer is heterogeneous and variability in drug sensitivity is widely documented across cancer types. Adaptive therapy is an emerging treatment strategy that leverages this heterogeneity to improve therapeutic outcomes. Current standard treatments eliminate a majority of drug-sensitive cells, leading to relapse by competitive release. Adaptive therapy retains some drug-sensitive cells, limiting resistant cell growth by ecological competition. This strategy has shown some early promise, but current methods largely assume cell phenotypes to remain constant, even though cell-state transitions could permit drug-sensitive and -resistant phenotypes to interchange and thus escape therapy. We address this gap using a deterministic model of population growth, in which sensitive and resistant cells grow under competition and undergo cell-state transitions. The model’s steady-state behaviour and temporal dynamics identify optimal balances of competition and transitions suitable for effective adaptive versus constant dose therapy. Furthermore, under adaptive therapy, models with cell-state transitions show slower oscillations than those without, suggesting that the competition-transitions balance could impinge on population-level dynamical properties. Our analyses also identify key limitations of phenomenological models in therapy design and implementation, particularly with cell-state transitions. These findings elucidate the relevance of phenotypic plasticity for emerging cancer treatment strategies using population dynamics as an investigation framework.
癌症是异质性的,药物敏感性的变化在不同类型的癌症中被广泛记录。适应性治疗是一种新兴的治疗策略,利用这种异质性来改善治疗结果。目前的标准治疗消除了大多数药物敏感细胞,导致竞争性释放复发。适应性治疗保留了一些药物敏感细胞,通过生态竞争限制了耐药细胞的生长。这种策略已经显示出一些早期的希望,但目前的方法很大程度上假设细胞表型保持不变,即使细胞状态的转变可能允许药物敏感和耐药表型的交换,从而逃避治疗。我们使用种群增长的确定性模型来解决这一差距,其中敏感和抗性细胞在竞争下生长并经历细胞状态转变。该模型的稳态行为和时间动力学确定了适合于有效自适应治疗和恒剂量治疗的竞争和过渡的最佳平衡。此外,在适应性治疗下,具有细胞状态转换的模型比没有的模型显示出更慢的振荡,这表明竞争-转换平衡可能会影响种群水平的动态特性。我们的分析还确定了现象学模型在治疗设计和实施方面的关键局限性,特别是在细胞状态转换方面。这些发现阐明了表型可塑性与新兴癌症治疗策略的相关性,使用种群动态作为调查框架。
{"title":"Impacts of competition and phenotypic plasticity on the viability of adaptive therapy","authors":"B. Vibishan ,&nbsp;Paras Jain ,&nbsp;Vedant Sharma ,&nbsp;Kishore Hari ,&nbsp;Claus Kadelka ,&nbsp;Jason T. George ,&nbsp;Mohit Kumar Jolly","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109522","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109522","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cancer is heterogeneous and variability in drug sensitivity is widely documented across cancer types. Adaptive therapy is an emerging treatment strategy that leverages this heterogeneity to improve therapeutic outcomes. Current standard treatments eliminate a majority of drug-sensitive cells, leading to relapse by competitive release. Adaptive therapy retains some drug-sensitive cells, limiting resistant cell growth by ecological competition. This strategy has shown some early promise, but current methods largely assume cell phenotypes to remain constant, even though cell-state transitions could permit drug-sensitive and -resistant phenotypes to interchange and thus escape therapy. We address this gap using a deterministic model of population growth, in which sensitive and resistant cells grow under competition and undergo cell-state transitions. The model’s steady-state behaviour and temporal dynamics identify optimal balances of competition and transitions suitable for effective adaptive versus constant dose therapy. Furthermore, under adaptive therapy, models with cell-state transitions show slower oscillations than those without, suggesting that the competition-transitions balance could impinge on population-level dynamical properties. Our analyses also identify key limitations of phenomenological models in therapy design and implementation, particularly with cell-state transitions. These findings elucidate the relevance of phenotypic plasticity for emerging cancer treatment strategies using population dynamics as an investigation framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"389 ","pages":"Article 109522"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145042781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamics of a pine wilt disease control model with nonlocal competition and memory diffusion 具有非局部竞争和记忆扩散的松材萎蔫病防治模型动力学研究
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109524
Yuting Ding , Pei Yu
Pine wilt disease (PWD) is mainly spread by Monochamus alternatus (in short, M. alternatus). Woodpecker, as the natural predator of M. alternatus, is considered for biological prevention and controlling the PWD. In this paper, we propose a new M. alternatus-woodpecker model with nonlocal competition and memory-based diffusion, which makes the model more realistic for the PWD control. We focus on the dynamics and bifurcations of the model with various combinations of the memory diffusion and nonlocal competition. It is shown that the nonlocal competition can only cause the stable constant steady state to lose stability, while the memory-based diffusion can induce unstable spatially inhomogeneous periodic solutions due to Hopf bifurcation. Consequently, we can explain the spatiotemporal heterogeneity problem in ecology by innovatively using mathematical modelling. Normal form theory with the multiple time scales method is applied to particularly consider Hopf bifurcation, showing complex dynamical behaviours involving various oscillating motions. Finally, numerical simulations are presented with the parameter values chosen from the real forest data of Yuan’an County, Hubei Province, China, confirming the theoretical results of the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of forest diseases and pests, as well as the PWD control.
松材萎蔫病(PWD)的主要传播媒介是交替野鼠(Monochamus alternatus,简称M. alternatus)。啄木鸟作为白桦尺蠖的天敌,被认为是防治白桦尺蠖病的生物手段。本文提出了一种新的具有非局部竞争和基于记忆的扩散的替代啄木鸟模型,使模型更适合于PWD控制。我们重点研究了记忆扩散和非局部竞争的各种组合模型的动力学和分岔。结果表明,非局部竞争只会导致稳定的恒稳态失去稳定性,而基于记忆的扩散则会由于Hopf分岔而导致不稳定的空间非齐次周期解。因此,我们可以创新地利用数学模型来解释生态学的时空异质性问题。应用范式理论和多时间尺度方法特别考虑Hopf分岔,表现出涉及各种振荡运动的复杂动力学行为。最后,采用湖北元安县森林实测数据进行数值模拟,验证了森林病虫害时空异质性的理论结果,以及森林病虫害的防治效果。
{"title":"Dynamics of a pine wilt disease control model with nonlocal competition and memory diffusion","authors":"Yuting Ding ,&nbsp;Pei Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109524","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109524","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Pine wilt disease (PWD) is mainly spread by Monochamus alternatus (in short, M. alternatus). Woodpecker, as the natural predator of M. alternatus, is considered for biological prevention and controlling the PWD. In this paper, we propose a new M. alternatus-woodpecker model with nonlocal competition and memory-based diffusion, which makes the model more realistic for the PWD control. We focus on the dynamics and bifurcations of the model with various combinations of the memory diffusion and nonlocal competition. It is shown that the nonlocal competition can only cause the stable constant steady state to lose stability, while the memory-based diffusion can induce unstable spatially inhomogeneous periodic solutions due to Hopf bifurcation. Consequently, we can explain the spatiotemporal heterogeneity problem in ecology by innovatively using mathematical modelling. Normal form theory with the multiple time scales method is applied to particularly consider Hopf bifurcation, showing complex dynamical behaviours involving various oscillating motions. Finally, numerical simulations are presented with the parameter values chosen from the real forest data of Yuan’an County, Hubei Province, China, confirming the theoretical results of the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of forest diseases and pests, as well as the PWD control.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"389 ","pages":"Article 109524"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145027736","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nonhomogeneous mixing reduces disease prevalence 非均匀混合降低了疾病患病率
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109521
Daozhou Gao , Xin Li
Human movement and spatial heterogeneity shape the spatial distribution of infections. Factors such as physical condition, availability of medical resources, socioeconomic status, and exit-entry screening can lead to variations in movement rate and pattern (or called habitat connectivity in discrete diffusion and dispersal kernel in continuous diffusion) among people with different health states. While the effects of movement rate on disease spread have been extensively studied, the role of movement pattern remains less understood. In this paper, for a susceptible–infected–susceptible (SIS) patch model incorporating either Eulerian, Lagrangian, or hybrid Lagrangian–Eulerian movement, as well as an SIS nonlocal dispersal model, we derive an upper bound on the global disease prevalence that is independent of movement. In a homogeneous environment, the nonhomogeneous mixing of susceptible and infected individuals always reduces disease prevalence. The prevalence attains its maximum when the susceptible and infected populations adopt the same distribution strategy. Numerical simulations further illustrate some new phenomena arising from different movement patterns. These results deepen our understanding on the impact of human movement on disease spread and pathogen evolution, thereby improving control measures to reduce disease burden.
人类活动和空间异质性决定了感染的空间分布。身体状况、医疗资源的可得性、社会经济地位和出入境筛查等因素可导致不同健康状态人群之间的移动速度和模式(离散扩散时称为栖息地连通性,连续扩散时称为分散核)的变化。虽然运动速率对疾病传播的影响已经被广泛研究,但运动模式的作用仍然知之甚少。在本文中,对于包含欧拉、拉格朗日或混合拉格朗日-欧拉运动的易感-感染-易感(SIS)斑块模型,以及SIS非局部扩散模型,我们导出了与运动无关的全球疾病患病率的上界。在同质环境中,易感个体和受感染个体的非同质混合总是会降低疾病患病率。当易感人群和受感染人群采用相同的分配策略时,患病率达到最高。数值模拟进一步说明了不同运动模式下产生的一些新现象。这些结果加深了我们对人类运动对疾病传播和病原体进化影响的认识,从而改进控制措施,减轻疾病负担。
{"title":"Nonhomogeneous mixing reduces disease prevalence","authors":"Daozhou Gao ,&nbsp;Xin Li","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109521","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109521","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Human movement and spatial heterogeneity shape the spatial distribution of infections. Factors such as physical condition, availability of medical resources, socioeconomic status, and exit-entry screening can lead to variations in movement rate and pattern (or called habitat connectivity in discrete diffusion and dispersal kernel in continuous diffusion) among people with different health states. While the effects of movement rate on disease spread have been extensively studied, the role of movement pattern remains less understood. In this paper, for a susceptible–infected–susceptible (SIS) patch model incorporating either Eulerian, Lagrangian, or hybrid Lagrangian–Eulerian movement, as well as an SIS nonlocal dispersal model, we derive an upper bound on the global disease prevalence that is independent of movement. In a homogeneous environment, the nonhomogeneous mixing of susceptible and infected individuals always reduces disease prevalence. The prevalence attains its maximum when the susceptible and infected populations adopt the same distribution strategy. Numerical simulations further illustrate some new phenomena arising from different movement patterns. These results deepen our understanding on the impact of human movement on disease spread and pathogen evolution, thereby improving control measures to reduce disease burden.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"388 ","pages":"Article 109521"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144932070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Go-or-grow-or-die as a framework for the mathematical modeling of glioblastoma dynamics 作为胶质母细胞瘤动力学数学建模的框架
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109520
Aisha Tursynkozha , Duane C. Harris , Yang Kuang , Ardak Kashkynbayev
We investigate a three-dimensional reaction–diffusion model of avascular glioblastoma growth, introducing a new go-or-grow-or-die framework that incorporates reversible phenotypic switching between migratory and proliferative states, while accounting for the contribution of necrotic cells. To model necrotic cell accumulation, a quasi-steady-state approximation is employed, allowing the necrotic population to be expressed as a function of proliferating cell density. Analytical and numerical analyses of the model reveal that the traveling wave speed is consistently lower than that predicted by the classical Fisher–Kolmogorov–Petrovsky–Piskunov equation, highlighting the significance of phenotypic heterogeneity. In particular, we confirm the role of the switching parameter in modulating invasion speed. Approximate wave profiles derived using Canosa’s method show strong agreement with numerical simulations. Furthermore, model predictions are validated against experimental data for the U87WT glioblastoma cell line, demonstrating improved accuracy in capturing tumor invasion when both phenotypic switching and necrosis are included. These findings underscore the importance of the go-or-grow-or-die framework in understanding tumor progression and establish a novel, generalizable framework for modeling cancer dynamics.
我们研究了无血管胶质母细胞瘤生长的三维反应-扩散模型,引入了一个新的要么生长要么死亡的框架,该框架包含了迁移和增殖状态之间的可逆表型转换,同时考虑了坏死细胞的贡献。为了模拟坏死细胞的积累,采用了准稳态近似,允许坏死细胞群以增殖细胞密度的函数表示。分析和数值分析表明,该模型的行波速度始终低于经典Fisher-Kolmogorov-Petrovsky-Piskunov方程预测的速度,突出了表型异质性的重要性。特别地,我们确认了开关参数在调制入侵速度中的作用。用Canosa方法得到的近似波浪剖面与数值模拟结果非常吻合。此外,针对U87WT胶质母细胞瘤细胞系的实验数据验证了模型预测,表明当包括表型转换和坏死时,捕获肿瘤侵袭的准确性提高。这些发现强调了“要么生长,要么死亡”框架在理解肿瘤进展中的重要性,并为癌症动力学建模建立了一个新的、可推广的框架。
{"title":"Go-or-grow-or-die as a framework for the mathematical modeling of glioblastoma dynamics","authors":"Aisha Tursynkozha ,&nbsp;Duane C. Harris ,&nbsp;Yang Kuang ,&nbsp;Ardak Kashkynbayev","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109520","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109520","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate a three-dimensional reaction–diffusion model of avascular glioblastoma growth, introducing a new <em>go-or-grow-or-die</em> framework that incorporates reversible phenotypic switching between migratory and proliferative states, while accounting for the contribution of necrotic cells. To model necrotic cell accumulation, a quasi-steady-state approximation is employed, allowing the necrotic population to be expressed as a function of proliferating cell density. Analytical and numerical analyses of the model reveal that the traveling wave speed is consistently lower than that predicted by the classical Fisher–Kolmogorov–Petrovsky–Piskunov equation, highlighting the significance of phenotypic heterogeneity. In particular, we confirm the role of the switching parameter in modulating invasion speed. Approximate wave profiles derived using Canosa’s method show strong agreement with numerical simulations. Furthermore, model predictions are validated against experimental data for the <span><math><mrow><mi>U</mi><mn>87</mn><mi>W</mi><mi>T</mi></mrow></math></span> glioblastoma cell line, demonstrating improved accuracy in capturing tumor invasion when both phenotypic switching and necrosis are included. These findings underscore the importance of the <em>go-or-grow-or-die</em> framework in understanding tumor progression and establish a novel, generalizable framework for modeling cancer dynamics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"388 ","pages":"Article 109520"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144896291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new optimized regularized Stokeslet model reveals the effects of multicellular protozoan colony configuration on hydrodynamic performance 一个新的优化正则化Stokeslet模型揭示了多细胞原生动物群落结构对水动力性能的影响。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109519
Hongfei Chen , Tom Hata , Ricardo Cortez , Hoa Nguyen , M.A.R. Koehl , Lisa Fauci
Many microbial eukaryotes have unicellular life stages, but can also form multicellular colonies. We explored hydrodynamic consequences of colony morphology, which affects swimming and flux of prey-carrying water to cells in a colony, using the choanoflagellate, Choanoeca flexa, which forms cup-like colonies that can turn inside-out so flagella line the cup’s interior or cover its outside surface. Detailed hydrodynamic models incorporating cell morphologies are not feasible for colonies with many cells. Therefore, we designed a reduced model of each cell using regularized-force-dipoles with parameters optimized (by selecting the regularized delta function from a given class) to match the flow-field of a detailed model of a cell. Calculated swimming speeds and water flux to flagella-in colonies match those measured for living C. flexa. For a given shape (flat bowls, hemispheres, spherical cups) of flagella-in colony, models showed that swimming speed and water flux towards the colony increases with cell density, although flux per cell is independent of density. Denser packing of cells at the front of flagella-in colonies increases swimming speed and flux to cells at all positions in the colonies. Flagella-in colonies swim more slowly, but produce higher water flux per cell than do flagella-out colonies of the same configuration, suggesting that flagella-out colonies are better swimmers, whereas flagella-in colonies are better feeders. A model flagella-out colony with morphology matched to a real C. flexa requires a flagellar force 5–10 times greater than that for flagella-in colonies to achieve the measured swimming speed, suggesting flagella beat differently on flagella-out colonies.
许多真核微生物具有单细胞生命阶段,但也可以形成多细胞菌落。我们探索了菌落形态的流体动力学结果,它影响游泳和携带猎物的水到菌落细胞的通量,使用Choanoeca flexa, Choanoeca flexa形成杯状菌落,可以从内到外翻转,因此鞭毛排列在杯子的内部或覆盖其外部表面。包含细胞形态的详细流体动力学模型对于具有许多细胞的菌落是不可行的。因此,我们使用正则化力偶极子设计了每个细胞的简化模型,并优化了参数(通过从给定类中选择正则化δ函数),以匹配细胞详细模型的流场。计算出的游动速度和到达鞭毛群的水流通量与活的弯曲梭菌的测量结果相符。对于给定形状(扁平碗状、半球形、球形杯状)的鞭毛群体,模型显示,游动速度和流向群体的水通量随着细胞密度的增加而增加,尽管每个细胞的通量与密度无关。鞭毛集落前部细胞的密集堆积增加了游动速度和集落中所有位置细胞的通量。在相同的结构下,鞭毛内的菌落比鞭毛外的菌落游得更慢,但每个细胞产生更高的水通量,这表明鞭毛外的菌落是更好的游泳者,而鞭毛内的菌落是更好的捕食者。一个形态与真实弯弯菌相匹配的模型鞭毛群需要比鞭毛群大5-10倍的鞭毛力才能达到测量的游动速度,这表明鞭毛在鞭毛群上的跳动不同。
{"title":"A new optimized regularized Stokeslet model reveals the effects of multicellular protozoan colony configuration on hydrodynamic performance","authors":"Hongfei Chen ,&nbsp;Tom Hata ,&nbsp;Ricardo Cortez ,&nbsp;Hoa Nguyen ,&nbsp;M.A.R. Koehl ,&nbsp;Lisa Fauci","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109519","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109519","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many microbial eukaryotes have unicellular life stages, but can also form multicellular colonies. We explored hydrodynamic consequences of colony morphology, which affects swimming and flux of prey-carrying water to cells in a colony, using the choanoflagellate, <em>Choanoeca flexa</em>, which forms cup-like colonies that can turn inside-out so flagella line the cup’s interior or cover its outside surface. Detailed hydrodynamic models incorporating cell morphologies are not feasible for colonies with many cells. Therefore, we designed a reduced model of each cell using regularized-force-dipoles with parameters optimized (by selecting the regularized delta function from a given class) to match the flow-field of a detailed model of a cell. Calculated swimming speeds and water flux to flagella-in colonies match those measured for living <em>C. flexa</em>. For a given shape (flat bowls, hemispheres, spherical cups) of flagella-in colony, models showed that swimming speed and water flux towards the colony increases with cell density, although flux per cell is independent of density. Denser packing of cells at the front of flagella-in colonies increases swimming speed and flux to cells at all positions in the colonies. Flagella-in colonies swim more slowly, but produce higher water flux per cell than do flagella-out colonies of the same configuration, suggesting that flagella-out colonies are better swimmers, whereas flagella-in colonies are better feeders. A model flagella-out colony with morphology matched to a real <em>C. flexa</em> requires a flagellar force 5–10 times greater than that for flagella-in colonies to achieve the measured swimming speed, suggesting flagella beat differently on flagella-out colonies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"389 ","pages":"Article 109519"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144984281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mathematical model of replication–mutation dynamics in coronaviruses 冠状病毒复制-突变动力学的数学模型
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109518
K.B. Blyuss, Y.N. Kyrychko
RNA viruses are known for their fascinating evolutionary dynamics, characterised by high mutation rates, fast replication, and ability to form quasispecies — clouds of genetically related mutants. Fast replication in RNA viruses is achieved by a very fast but error-prone RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRP). High mutation rates are a double-edged sword: they provide RNA viruses with a mechanism of fast adaptation to a changing environment or host immune system, but at the same time they pose risk to virus survivability in terms of either virus population being dominated by mutants (error catastrophe), or extinction of all viral sequences due to accumulation of mutations (lethal mutagenesis). Coronaviruses, being a subset of RNA viruses, are unique in having a special enzyme, exoribonuclease (ExoN), responsible for proofreading and correcting errors induced by the RdRP. In this paper we consider replication dynamics of coronaviruses with account for mutations that can be neutral, deleterious or lethal. Compared to earlier models of replication of RNA viruses, our model also explicitly includes ExoN and its effects on mediating viral replication. Special attention is paid to different virus replication modes that are known to be crucial for controlling the dynamics of virus populations. We analyse extinction, mutant-only and quasispecies steady states, and study their stability in terms of different parameters, identifying regimes of error catastrophe and lethal mutagenesis. With coronaviruses being responsible for some of the largest pandemics in the last twenty years, we also model the effects of antiviral treatment with various replication inhibitors and mutagenic drugs.
RNA病毒以其迷人的进化动力学而闻名,其特点是高突变率、快速复制和形成准物种的能力——基因相关突变体云。RNA病毒的快速复制是通过一种非常快速但容易出错的RNA依赖RNA聚合酶(RdRP)来实现的。高突变率是一把双刃剑:它们为RNA病毒提供了一种快速适应不断变化的环境或宿主免疫系统的机制,但同时它们也对病毒的生存能力构成了风险,要么是病毒种群被突变体主宰(错误突变),要么是由于突变积累而导致所有病毒序列灭绝(致命突变)。冠状病毒是RNA病毒的一个子集,其独特之处在于具有一种特殊的酶,即外核糖核酸酶(ExoN),负责校对和纠正RdRP诱导的错误。在本文中,我们考虑了冠状病毒的复制动力学,考虑了可能是中性的、有害的或致命的突变。与早期的RNA病毒复制模型相比,我们的模型还明确包括外显子及其介导病毒复制的作用。特别关注不同的病毒复制模式,这些模式对于控制病毒种群的动态至关重要。我们分析了灭绝、纯突变和准物种的稳定状态,并研究了它们在不同参数下的稳定性,确定了错误突变和致命突变的机制。由于冠状病毒是过去二十年来一些最大规模流行病的罪魁祸首,我们还模拟了使用各种复制抑制剂和诱变药物进行抗病毒治疗的效果。
{"title":"Mathematical model of replication–mutation dynamics in coronaviruses","authors":"K.B. Blyuss,&nbsp;Y.N. Kyrychko","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109518","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109518","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>RNA viruses are known for their fascinating evolutionary dynamics, characterised by high mutation rates, fast replication, and ability to form quasispecies — clouds of genetically related mutants. Fast replication in RNA viruses is achieved by a very fast but error-prone RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRP). High mutation rates are a double-edged sword: they provide RNA viruses with a mechanism of fast adaptation to a changing environment or host immune system, but at the same time they pose risk to virus survivability in terms of either virus population being dominated by mutants (error catastrophe), or extinction of all viral sequences due to accumulation of mutations (lethal mutagenesis). Coronaviruses, being a subset of RNA viruses, are unique in having a special enzyme, exoribonuclease (ExoN), responsible for proofreading and correcting errors induced by the RdRP. In this paper we consider replication dynamics of coronaviruses with account for mutations that can be neutral, deleterious or lethal. Compared to earlier models of replication of RNA viruses, our model also explicitly includes ExoN and its effects on mediating viral replication. Special attention is paid to different virus replication modes that are known to be crucial for controlling the dynamics of virus populations. We analyse extinction, mutant-only and quasispecies steady states, and study their stability in terms of different parameters, identifying regimes of error catastrophe and lethal mutagenesis. With coronaviruses being responsible for some of the largest pandemics in the last twenty years, we also model the effects of antiviral treatment with various replication inhibitors and mutagenic drugs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"388 ","pages":"Article 109518"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144879013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling and dynamics of Brucella infection-induced macrophage apoptosis inhibition 布鲁氏菌感染诱导巨噬细胞凋亡抑制的模型和动力学
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109515
Huidi Chu , Meng Fan , Huaiping Zhu
Brucella is an intracellular bacterium that causes the widespread zoonotic disease brucellosis. Within their hosts, Brucella has evolved various immune evasion strategies, including the ability to survive and replicate within host cells, especially within macrophages. This leads brucellosis from an acute phase to a chronic phase that is difficult to cure. In order to explore the key factors for the survival of Brucella and the mechanisms of persistent chronic infection, a mathematical model is developed to characterize the interactions between Brucella and macrophages, which incorporates a saturable apoptosis-inhibiting function within an infected host. The dynamics are well investigated in mathematics such as the invariance and boundedness, the existence and stability of equilibria, the bifurcation dynamics, and the threshold criteria for the clearance of Brucella infection. In particular, it is elaborated that the model can undergo forward and backward bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation, and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation of codimension 2 by applying the central manifold theorem and normal form theory. Numerical analyses indicate that the presence of bistability complicates the clearance processes of Brucella. In addition, the infection rate of Brucella and the baseline apoptosis rate of infected macrophages are identified as key factors in determining Brucella clearance, the persistence of chronic infection, and the occurrence of undulating fever. The main findings highlight that increasing immune clearance capacity and reducing the virulence of Brucella are critical for controlling Brucella infections.
布鲁氏菌是引起广泛传播的人畜共患疾病布鲁氏菌病的细胞内细菌。在宿主体内,布鲁氏菌已经进化出各种免疫逃避策略,包括在宿主细胞内生存和复制的能力,特别是在巨噬细胞内。这导致布鲁氏菌病从急性期发展为难以治愈的慢性期。为了探索布鲁氏菌存活的关键因素和持续慢性感染的机制,建立了一个数学模型来表征布鲁氏菌与巨噬细胞之间的相互作用,巨噬细胞在感染宿主内具有饱和凋亡抑制功能。动力学在数学中得到了很好的研究,如不变性和有界性,平衡的存在性和稳定性,分岔动力学,以及清除布鲁氏菌感染的阈值标准。特别地,利用中心流形定理和范式理论,阐述了该模型可以进行余维2的正向分岔、后向分岔、Hopf分岔和Bogdanov-Takens分岔。数值分析表明,双稳定性的存在使布鲁氏菌的清除过程复杂化。此外,布鲁氏菌感染率和感染巨噬细胞的基线凋亡率是决定布鲁氏菌清除率、慢性感染持续性和波动热发生的关键因素。主要研究结果强调,提高免疫清除能力和降低布鲁氏菌的毒力是控制布鲁氏菌感染的关键。
{"title":"Modeling and dynamics of Brucella infection-induced macrophage apoptosis inhibition","authors":"Huidi Chu ,&nbsp;Meng Fan ,&nbsp;Huaiping Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109515","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109515","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Brucella is an intracellular bacterium that causes the widespread zoonotic disease brucellosis. Within their hosts, Brucella has evolved various immune evasion strategies, including the ability to survive and replicate within host cells, especially within macrophages. This leads brucellosis from an acute phase to a chronic phase that is difficult to cure. In order to explore the key factors for the survival of Brucella and the mechanisms of persistent chronic infection, a mathematical model is developed to characterize the interactions between Brucella and macrophages, which incorporates a saturable apoptosis-inhibiting function within an infected host. The dynamics are well investigated in mathematics such as the invariance and boundedness, the existence and stability of equilibria, the bifurcation dynamics, and the threshold criteria for the clearance of Brucella infection. In particular, it is elaborated that the model can undergo forward and backward bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation, and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation of codimension 2 by applying the central manifold theorem and normal form theory. Numerical analyses indicate that the presence of bistability complicates the clearance processes of Brucella. In addition, the infection rate of Brucella and the baseline apoptosis rate of infected macrophages are identified as key factors in determining Brucella clearance, the persistence of chronic infection, and the occurrence of undulating fever. The main findings highlight that increasing immune clearance capacity and reducing the virulence of Brucella are critical for controlling Brucella infections.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"388 ","pages":"Article 109515"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144840862","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Distributions of prevalence and daily new cases in a stochastic linear SEIR model 随机线性SEIR模型中流行率和每日新病例的分布
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q2 BIOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109508
Manting Wang, P. van den Driessche, Laura L.E. Cowen, Junling Ma
Model parameters are typically estimated by calibrating the model to new case counts. This is important for understanding disease dynamics and guiding control measures. For parameter estimation, it is essential to identify the distribution of new cases and establish an appropriate likelihood function. This study employs a stochastic linear SEIR model to approximate the distributions of the number of infectious individuals and the number of daily new cases. We show that the probability-generating function (PGF) of the number of infectious individuals can be approximated as the product of PGFs of two birth-and-death processes. We theoretically derive formulas for the mean and variance of both the number of infectious individuals and daily new cases. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the distribution of the infectious population size can be approximated by a binomial or negative binomial distribution, depending on the relationship between its mean and variance. The distribution of daily new cases can also be well approximated by a binomial or negative binomial distribution, depending on the distribution of the infectious population. Specifically, if the number of infectious individuals follows a binomial distribution, the number of daily new cases is also binomial; if it follows a negative binomial distribution, the number of daily new cases is negative binomial as well. These findings provide a robust theoretical basis for parameter estimation and epidemic forecasting.
模型参数通常是通过将模型校准到新的病例数来估计的。这对于了解疾病动态和指导控制措施非常重要。对于参数估计,必须确定新病例的分布并建立适当的似然函数。本研究采用随机线性SEIR模型来近似计算感染个体数和每日新病例数的分布。我们证明了感染个体数量的概率生成函数(PGF)可以近似为两个出生和死亡过程的概率生成函数的乘积。我们从理论上推导出感染个体数和每日新病例数的均值和方差的公式。此外,我们证明了传染性种群大小的分布可以近似为二项分布或负二项分布,这取决于其均值和方差之间的关系。根据感染人群的分布,每日新病例的分布也可以很好地近似为二项分布或负二项分布。具体来说,如果感染个体的数量服从二项分布,则每日新增病例数也是二项分布;如果它遵循负二项分布,则每日新增病例数也是负二项分布。这些发现为参数估计和疫情预测提供了有力的理论依据。
{"title":"Distributions of prevalence and daily new cases in a stochastic linear SEIR model","authors":"Manting Wang,&nbsp;P. van den Driessche,&nbsp;Laura L.E. Cowen,&nbsp;Junling Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109508","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.mbs.2025.109508","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Model parameters are typically estimated by calibrating the model to new case counts. This is important for understanding disease dynamics and guiding control measures. For parameter estimation, it is essential to identify the distribution of new cases and establish an appropriate likelihood function. This study employs a stochastic linear SEIR model to approximate the distributions of the number of infectious individuals and the number of daily new cases. We show that the probability-generating function (PGF) of the number of infectious individuals can be approximated as the product of PGFs of two birth-and-death processes. We theoretically derive formulas for the mean and variance of both the number of infectious individuals and daily new cases. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the distribution of the infectious population size can be approximated by a binomial or negative binomial distribution, depending on the relationship between its mean and variance. The distribution of daily new cases can also be well approximated by a binomial or negative binomial distribution, depending on the distribution of the infectious population. Specifically, if the number of infectious individuals follows a binomial distribution, the number of daily new cases is also binomial; if it follows a negative binomial distribution, the number of daily new cases is negative binomial as well. These findings provide a robust theoretical basis for parameter estimation and epidemic forecasting.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51119,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences","volume":"388 ","pages":"Article 109508"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2025-08-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144829841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Mathematical Biosciences
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1