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Volatility in the Turkish wholesale electricity market: an assessment 土耳其电力批发市场的波动:评估
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2023.2173340
Fuat Oguz, Mustafa ÇaĞri Peker
ABSTRACT Electricity prices are determined in wholesale markets. A major issue in determining prices is the distortive effect of high volatility of supply. This paper investigates the volatility of electricity supply in the Turkish energy exchange for the period between 2017 and 2020, by using hourly data. We find that volatility increased substantially during this period and uncertainty became a major issue. High volatility brings non-price variables such as institutional and political preferences to the forefront in terms of the decision-making of suppliers. We also discuss the dominance of bilateral contracts, the design of the renewable support mechanism, and the disappearance of independent traders in the wholesale market as some of the major issues that correlate with high volatility.
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引用次数: 0
Extreme linkages of carbon futures, energy markets, and economic indicators: A copula approach 碳期货、能源市场和经济指标的极端联系:一种联结方法
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2023.2165738
Nader Trabelsi, A. Tiwari, S. Hammoudeh, Noureddine Benlagha
ABSTRACT The interdependence of carbon allowances and different energy sources in extreme market behavior is still unsettled in the literature. Using different types of static and time-varying copulas, this piece of research aims to quantify the dependence structures of Europe-based carbon future returns and selected energy future returns (i.e. coal, electricity, oil, and natural gas), and to investigate whether or not these dependence structures are influenced by economic indicators. Our results show strong evidence that time-varying parameter copulas with extreme tails are the best fit to the dependence structure. We also find that the speculation activity and the uncertainty of the state of the global economy are two important components of this robust dependence structure in the period of oil price crises. These findings are relevant for the implementation of effective policies to make the carbon market operate more efficiently and stably.
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引用次数: 1
Three dimensional multi fracture induced stress model for highly deviated wells 大斜度井三维多裂缝诱发应力模型
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2023.2166165
Shuxing Mu, Yuxuan Liu, Jianchun Guo, Jiangyu Liu, Huifeng Liu, Hao Yu
ABSTRACT At present, the development of some oil and gas fields has gradually shifted from vertical to highly deviated wells. To improve the intensity of reservoir reconstruction, highly deviated wells mostly adopt staged fracturing for reservoir reconstruction. The fracture interference law of multiple fractures in highly deviated wells is not clear, and the fracture steering and stress interference problems in the fracturing process are obviously different from those in horizontal wells, resulting in a lack of a theoretical basis for fracture spacing design. Therefore, it is necessary to study the stresses induced by multiple fractures in highly deviated wells. To reproduce the spatial distribution of multiple fractures in highly deviated wells and analyze the changes in induced stress more accurately, a three-dimensional numerical model of the fracture-induced stress field in highly deviated wells was established based on the finite element method and elasticity theory, which can simulate a fracture-induced stress field under different angles of inclination. The results indicate that the key to mutual exclusion or proximity of the two fractures is whether the fractures overlap in the plane parallel to the fracture height direction. Based on the analysis of the control variables, the first fracturing fracture height is the key factor affecting the induced stress, and the fracturing fracture height has slight effect on the induced stress. As the angle of inclination increases, the probability of the two fractures overlapping in space increases and the critical distance from the induced tensile stress to the induced tensile stress decreases. The influence of the fracture half-length, net pressure, and stress difference on the induced stress is related to whether the spatial projection of the two fractures overlaps. The research results provide a theoretical basis for the optimal design of staged fracturing in highly deviated wells.
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引用次数: 0
Techno-economic analysis of biofuel production from construction and demolition wood waste 利用建筑和拆迁木材废料生产生物燃料的技术经济分析
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-01-09 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2163723
Kimiya Rahmani Mokarrari, S. Aghamohamadi-Bosjin, T. Sowlati, Shaghayegh Akhtari, Krishna Teja Malladi, F. Mirza
ABSTRACT The increase in the amount of waste generated from construction and demolition (C&D) has raised concerns regarding landfill space and greenhouse gas emissions. One of the waste management practices that can remedy these issues is to convert the C&D wood waste into biofuel. The technical aspects, environmental benefits, and economic feasibility of such a practice may vary from one case to another and should be evaluated before implementation. In this study, techno-economic feasibility of establishing a biofuel production plant, which uses C&D wood waste delivered to the City of Vancouver (CoV)’s landfill in British Columbia, Canada is conducted. In addition, the GHG emission reduction of biofuel production compared with landfilling the C&D wood waste is investigated. According to the results, the average GHG emissions from landfilling all the waste is 24,350 tonnes of CO2 eq. while the emissions from biofuel production are 11,156 and 10,539 tonnes CO2 eq. for the biofuel production plant using diesel-based and electric-based equipment pieces, respectively. The GHG emission reductions are then monetized and included in the economic analysis. Results indicate that biofuel production is economically feasible only if the impacts of GHG emission reduction are considered. Moreover, sensitivity analysis and scenario analyses are performed on financial parameters, wood waste supply, biofuel demand, plant capacity, and plant ownership schemes. Based on these analyses, the biofuel selling price is the most impactful financial parameter on the outcome of economic feasibility. A 50% change in the biofuel selling price results in 42% and 45% change in NPV of the project for diesel-based and electric-based equipment, respectively. Furthermore, the ownership scheme, where CoV and a partner split the ownership and the partner operates the plant is the best option, with a net present value of more than $69 million.
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引用次数: 2
Investigating the EKC hypothesis with nanotechnology, renewable energy consumption, economic growth and ecological footprint in G7 countries: panel data analyses with structural breaks G7国家纳米技术、可再生能源消费、经济增长和生态足迹对EKC假设的研究:结构断裂的面板数据分析
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2163724
Mucahit Aydin, P. Koç, Kadriye Izgi Sahpaz
ABSTRACT This study investigates the relationship between nanotechnological innovations, renewable energy consumption, economic growth, and ecological footprint for G7 countries within the framework of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. The study employs panel cointegration tests with structural breaks from 1990–2018. Nanotechnology is expected to reduce environmental degradation by increasing renewable energy consumption and energy saving. In this context, nanotechnological innovations are an essential tool for sustainable development. However, the literature also emphasizes that nanoparticle emissions from nanotechnology can negatively impact human and environmental health in the long term, and these need to be analyzed. In this context, this study is the first to empirically examine the relationship between nanotechnological innovations, renewable energy consumption, economic growth, and ecological footprint within the framework of the EKC hypothesis. The outcomes affirm that all variables are integrated with the long term. The results show that the EKC hypothesis is valid only in the USA. Nanotechnological innovations have a reducing effect on environmental degradation in the USA, whereas; they have an increasing impact on environmental degradation in Italy and the United Kingdom. Renewable energy consumption enhances environmental quality in Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the USA. Based on these empirical findings, the government should pioneer to development of new the lowest nanoparticle-emitting nanotechnologies. And that way, it will be possible to encourage energy savings and renewable energy consumption more safely, and the effectiveness of sustainable development policies will increase.
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引用次数: 18
Analyzing the impact of energy consumption on environmental excellence: A dominating role of economic globalization in North African countries 能源消耗对环境卓越的影响分析:经济全球化在北非国家的主导作用
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2142333
Ayoub Zeraibi, K. Shehzad, Badee uz Zaman, Umer Zaman
ABSTRACT Energy consumption plays a crucial role in achieving the three pillars of the 2030 United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Moreover, the increasing impact of energy use in the development of North Africa motivates the authors to examine its direct impact on environmental degradation. Thus, the key objective of this investigation is to analyze the imperative impact of energy consumption on environmental degradation within the framework of urbanization and economic globalization. A fundamental hypothesis of the study includes that energy consumption and urbanization positively affect environmental degradation. The investigation employed the Cross-Sectional – Autoregressive Distributed Lag model and found that energy consumption significantly increases environmental degradation. However, economic globalization decreases environmental degradation. Moreover, urbanization showed inconsequential findings, but the study found that African countries hold the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality model verifies the causality effect between energy consumption, economic globalization, urbanization, economic growth, and ecological footprints.
能源消费在实现2030年联合国可持续发展目标的三大支柱中发挥着至关重要的作用。此外,能源使用对北非发展的影响越来越大,这促使作者研究其对环境退化的直接影响。因此,本研究的主要目的是分析城市化和经济全球化框架下能源消费对环境退化的迫切影响。本研究的一个基本假设是能源消耗和城市化对环境退化有积极影响。研究采用横截面自回归分布滞后模型,发现能源消耗显著增加了环境退化。然而,经济全球化减少了环境的恶化。此外,城市化显示了无关紧要的结果,但研究发现非洲国家持有环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设。dumitrescue - hurlin因果关系模型验证了能源消耗、经济全球化、城市化、经济增长与生态足迹之间的因果关系。
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引用次数: 2
Drivers and critical paths of carbon emissions in India: a structural path decomposition analysis 印度碳排放的驱动因素和关键路径:结构路径分解分析
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2084185
A. Dwivedi, Archana Soni
ABSTRACT As a fast-growing economy with over 1.35 billion people, India will be critical to achieving future climate targets. The country implemented many policies to limit its carbon emissions. To make targeted policies, it is imperative to evaluate the mutually opposing effects of fast development and climate policies on carbon emissions. We apply environmentally extended input-output analysis, and structural path and decomposition analysis to calculate key emission statistics and drivers of change in critical sectors and production paths. Results reveal that India is a net exporter of emissions and its production and consumption-based emissions have more than doubled between 2000 and 2016. Two sectors, ‘Electricity, gas, and water’ and ‘petroleum, chemical, and non-metallic mineral products,’ function as supplying sectors in most of the critical paths. Although improvements in emission intensity and production structure have helped in reducing emissions, household consumption and investments have increased them.
作为一个拥有13.5亿人口的快速增长经济体,印度对实现未来气候目标至关重要。这个国家实施了许多限制碳排放的政策。为了制定有针对性的政策,必须评估快速发展和气候政策对碳排放的相互对立的影响。我们应用环境扩展的投入产出分析、结构路径和分解分析来计算关键部门和生产路径的关键排放统计数据和变化驱动因素。结果显示,印度是排放净出口国,其生产和消费的排放量在2000年至2016年期间增加了一倍以上。“电力、天然气和水”和“石油、化工和非金属矿产品”这两个部门在大多数关键路径上起着供应部门的作用。虽然排放强度和生产结构的改善有助于减少排放,但家庭消费和投资却增加了排放。
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引用次数: 5
Can intra-regional trade, renewable energy use, foreign direct investments, and economic growth mitigate ecological footprints in South Asia? 区域内贸易、可再生能源使用、外国直接投资和经济增长能否缓解南亚的生态足迹?
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2038730
Muntasir Murshed, M. Nurmakhanova, R. Al-Tal, Haider Mahmood, Mohamed Elheddad, Rizwan Raheem Ahmed
ABSTRACT Environmental degradation has become a severe concern across South Asia. Hence, it is imperative to model the macroeconomic determinants of environmental quality across this region. The traditional fossil fuel dependency of the major South Asian nations is alleged to have persistently deteriorated the quality of the environment across this region. Under such circumstances, it can be hypothesized that intra-regional trade within South Asia can facilitate renewable electricity trade to enhance environmental well-being. Accordingly, this study aims to evaluate the impacts of intra-regional trade integration, renewable energy transition, economic growth, and foreign direct investment inflows on the ecological footprints of selected South Asian economies. The econometric methods used in this study are suited for handling cross-sectionally dependent heterogeneous panel datasets. The overall results reveal that promoting intra-regional trade, stimulating renewable energy transition, expediting economic growth, and impeding inflows of dirty foreign direct investments are imperative for reducing the ecological footprint figures of the South Asian nations of concern. Besides, the results also verify the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for the South Asian panel as well as for Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Nepal, and Bhutan but not for India and Pakistan. Moreover, the pollution haven hypothesis is also verified for both the panel and the individual South Asian countries. In line with these findings, several environmental welfare improvement-related policies are recommended.
环境退化已成为南亚地区的一个严重问题。因此,必须对整个地区环境质量的宏观经济决定因素进行建模。据称,南亚主要国家对化石燃料的传统依赖持续恶化了整个地区的环境质量。在这种情况下,可以假设南亚的区域内贸易可以促进可再生电力贸易,从而提高环境福祉。因此,本研究旨在评估区域内贸易一体化、可再生能源转型、经济增长和外国直接投资流入对选定南亚经济体生态足迹的影响。本研究中使用的计量经济学方法适用于处理横截面依赖的异构面板数据集。总体结果表明,促进区域内贸易,刺激可再生能源转型,加快经济增长,阻止肮脏的外国直接投资流入,对于减少南亚国家的生态足迹数据至关重要。此外,结果还验证了南亚面板以及孟加拉国,斯里兰卡,尼泊尔和不丹的环境库兹涅茨曲线假设,但不包括印度和巴基斯坦。此外,污染避风港假说也得到了小组和个别南亚国家的验证。根据这些调查结果,建议了几项与环境福利改善有关的政策。
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引用次数: 46
The impact of China’s carbon neutrality target on its energy consumption structure by 2050 中国2050年碳中和目标对能源消费结构的影响
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2088896
Tao Zhang, Shuting Zhang, Jin-Dong Qu
ABSTRACT Promoting energy transformation is a major issue in achieving China’s carbon neutrality target. The changes in China’s energy consumption stemming from the policies related to this issue were simulated based on the energy policy simulation model. The results show the following. (1) Implementing related policies will significantly decrease total primary energy consumption, and non-fossil energy will be China’s main source of energy consumption by 2050. (2) The energy consumption corresponding to buildings, transportation, and industry will be electricity-led by 2050, and electricity will mainly be generated with non-fossil energy sources. (3) In 2030, China will reach a carbon peak, and non-fossil energy will account for 43% of the country’s primary energy consumption, comprising electrical (73%), solar (11%), wind (7%), hydro (7%) and biomass (2%) energy. (4) COVID-19 has had a short-term driving effect on this process, as it initially slowed down global economic cooperation, but it has had a hindering effect on the process in the long term.
推进能源转型是实现中国碳中和目标的重大问题。基于能源政策模拟模型,模拟了与此相关的政策对中国能源消费的影响。结果显示如下。(1)相关政策的实施将显著降低一次能源消费总量,到2050年非化石能源将成为中国能源消费的主要来源。(2)到2050年,建筑、交通和工业对应的能源消耗将以电力为主导,并以非化石能源发电为主。(3)到2030年,中国将达到碳排放峰值,非化石能源将占全国一次能源消费的43%,其中包括电力(73%)、太阳能(11%)、风能(7%)、水能(7%)和生物质能(2%)。(4)新冠肺炎疫情对这一进程具有短期推动作用,初期减缓了全球经济合作,但长期具有阻碍作用。
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引用次数: 11
Regulatory and economic challenges in the production of geothermal brine from a mature oil field 成熟油田地热卤水开采的监管和经济挑战
IF 3.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.1080/15567249.2022.2097336
Daria Karasalihović Sedlar, T. Kurevija, M. Macenić, Ivan Smajla
ABSTRACT The paper analyzes the technical solutions, economic feasibility and institutional aspects of geothermal energy use in a district heating system by retrofitting wells on a mature oil field based on the case study. The objective is to describe institutional procedures for brine production from the mature oil field. The research methodology includes the well data and the condition of the existing oil infrastructure analysis, to evaluate the brine production possibility. The methodology also analyzes existing hydrocarbon contracts. Institutional steps to obtain a geothermal concession on the brownfields are proposed. The hypothesis assumes that, with the legislation change, a vertical distribution of concessions for simultaneous production of oil and brine is achievable. The conclusion brings the novelty of this paper as the provision of guidelines for the development of the projects and the start of the production of brine from a mature oil field for the investors and the legal authorities.
摘要:本文以某成熟油田井改造为例,分析了地热能在区域供热系统中的技术方案、经济可行性和制度方面的问题。目的是描述从成熟油田生产盐水的制度程序。研究方法包括井资料和现有石油基础设施状况分析,以评估卤水生产的可能性。该方法还分析了现有的油气合约。提出了在棕地获得地热特许权的制度步骤。该假设假设,随着立法的变化,同时生产石油和盐水的特许权的垂直分布是可以实现的。本文的结论具有一定的新颖性,可为投资商和法律部门提供项目开发和成熟油田开始生产卤水的指导方针。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Energy Sources Part B-Economics Planning and Policy
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