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Digital Twin Empowered PV Power Prediction 数字双胞胎助力光伏发电预测
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000351
Xiaoyu Zhang;Yushuai Li;Tianyi Li;Yonghao Gui;Qiuye Sun;David Wenzhong Gao
The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.
准确预测光伏发电量对确保电力系统的经济和安全运行意义重大。为此,本文建立了一个新的数字孪生(DT)授权光伏发电预测框架,该框架能够确保可靠的数据传输,并利用 DT 实现高精度的发电预测。在此框架下,考虑到所收集的光伏数据中可能存在数据污染,采用了生成式对抗网络来还原历史数据集,这为确保从物理空间到数字空间的精确映射提供了先决条件。此外,我们还提出了一种新的由 DT 驱动的光伏功率预测方法。在该方法中,我们建立了一个 DT 模型,其中包括一个反映物理运行机制的数字物理模型和一个捕捉隐藏时空特征的神经网络模型(即卷积和双向长短期记忆模型的并行网络)。所提出的方法可以利用 DT,发挥数字物理模型和神经网络模型的优势,从而提高预测精度。最后,通过一个真实数据集来评估所提出方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Improved Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithm for Sequential Security-Constrained Optimal Power Flow Based on Expert Knowledge and Safety Layer 基于专家知识和安全层的序列安全受限最优电力流的改进型近端策略优化算法
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000232
Yanbo Chen;Qintao Du;Honghai Liu;Liangcheng Cheng;Muhammad Shahzad Younis
In recent years, reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a solution for model-free dynamic programming problem that cannot be effectively solved by traditional optimization methods. It has gradually been applied in the fields such as economic dispatch of power systems due to its strong self-learning and self-optimizing capabilities. However, existing economic scheduling methods based on RL ignore security risks that the agent may bring during exploration, which poses a risk of issuing instructions that threaten the safe operation of power system. Therefore, we propose an improved proximal policy optimization algorithm for sequential security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) based on expert knowledge and safety layer to determine active power dispatch strategy, voltage optimization scheme of the units, and charging/discharging dispatch of energy storage systems. The expert experience is introduced to improve the ability to enforce constraints such as power balance in training process while guiding agent to effectively improve the utilization rate of renewable energy. Additionally, to avoid line overload, we add a safety layer at the end of the policy network by introducing transmission constraints to avoid dangerous actions and tackle sequential SCOPF problem. Simulation results on an improved IEEE 118-bus system verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
近年来,对于传统优化方法无法有效解决的无模型动态编程问题,强化学习(RL)应运而生。由于其强大的自学习和自优化能力,已逐渐被应用于电力系统经济调度等领域。然而,现有的基于 RL 的经济调度方法忽略了代理在探索过程中可能带来的安全隐患,存在下达指令威胁电力系统安全运行的风险。因此,我们提出了一种基于专家知识和安全层的改进型近端策略优化算法,用于确定有功功率调度策略、机组电压优化方案、储能系统充放电调度等,从而实现有序安全约束最优功率流(SCOPF)。专家经验的引入提高了培训过程中执行电力平衡等约束条件的能力,同时引导代理有效提高可再生能源的利用率。此外,为了避免线路过载,我们在策略网络的末端添加了一个安全层,通过引入输电约束来避免危险行为,并解决顺序 SCOPF 问题。在改进的 IEEE 118 总线系统上的仿真结果验证了所提算法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Transient Stability Analysis of Grid-Connected Converters in Wind Turbine Systems Based on Linear Lyapunov Function and Reverse-Time Trajectory 基于线性 Lyapunov 函数和反向时间轨迹的风力涡轮机系统并网变流器瞬态稳定性分析
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000190
Mohammad Kazem Bakhshizadeh;Sujay Ghosh;Guangya Yang;Łukasz Kocewiak
As the proportion of converter-interfaced renewable energy resources in the power system is increasing, the strength of the power grid at the connection point of wind turbine generators (WTGs) is gradually weakening. Existing research has shown that when connected with the weak grid, the stability of the traditional grid-following controlled converters will deteriorate, and unstable phenomena such as oscillation are prone to arise. Due to the limitations of linear analysis that cannot sufficiently capture the stability phenomena, transient stability must be investigated. So far, standalone time-domain simulations or analytical Lyapunov stability criteria have been used to investigate transient stability. However, the time-domain simulations have proven to be computationally too heavy, while analytical methods are difficult to formulate for larger systems, require many modelling assumptions, and are often conservative in estimating the stability boundary. This paper proposes and demonstrates an innovative approach to estimating the transient stability boundary via combining the linear Lyapunov function and the reverse-time trajectory technique. The proposed methodology eliminates the need of time-consuming simulations and the conservative nature of Lyapunov functions. This study brings out the clear distinction between the stability boundaries with different post-fault active current ramp rate controls. At the same time, it provides a new perspective on critical clearing time for wind turbine systems. The stability boundary is verified using time-domain simulation studies.
随着变流器并网型可再生能源在电力系统中所占比例的不断增加,风力发电机(WTG)连接点的电网强度也在逐渐减弱。现有研究表明,当与弱电网连接时,传统的电网跟随控制变流器的稳定性会变差,容易出现振荡等不稳定现象。由于线性分析的局限性,无法充分捕捉稳定现象,因此必须研究瞬态稳定性。迄今为止,人们一直使用独立时域模拟或分析性 Lyapunov 稳定性准则来研究瞬态稳定性。然而,时域模拟被证明计算量过大,而分析方法难以为大型系统制定,需要许多建模假设,而且在估计稳定性边界时往往比较保守。本文提出并演示了一种结合线性 Lyapunov 函数和反向时间轨迹技术来估计瞬态稳定性边界的创新方法。所提出的方法无需进行耗时的模拟,也避免了 Lyapunov 函数的保守性。这项研究明确区分了不同故障后有功电流斜率控制的稳定性边界。同时,它还为风力涡轮机系统的临界清除时间提供了一个新的视角。稳定性边界通过时域仿真研究得到了验证。
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引用次数: 0
Detection and Defense Method Against False Data Injection Attacks for Distributed Load Frequency Control System in Microgrid 微电网分布式负载频率控制系统虚假数据注入攻击的检测与防御方法
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000400
Zhixun Zhang;Jianqiang Hu;Jianquan Lu;Jie Yu;Jinde Cao;Ardak Kashkynbayev
In the realm of microgrid (MG), the distributed load frequency control (LFC) system has proven to be highly susceptible to the negative effects of false data injection attacks (FDIAs). Considering the significant responsibility of the distributed LFC system for maintaining frequency stability within the MG, this paper proposes a detection and defense method against unobservable FDIAs in the distributed LFC system. Firstly, the method integrates a bi-directional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network and an improved whale optimization algorithm (IWOA) into the LFC controller to detect and counteract FDIAs. Secondly, to enable the BiLSTM neural network to proficiently detect multiple types of FDIAs with utmost precision, the model employs a historical MG dataset comprising the frequency and power variances. Finally, the IWOA is utilized to optimize the proportional-integral-derivative (PID) controller parameters to counteract the negative impacts of FDIAs. The proposed detection and defense method is validated by building the distributed LFC system in Simulink.
在微电网(MG)领域,分布式负载频率控制(LFC)系统已被证明极易受到虚假数据注入攻击(FDIAs)的负面影响。考虑到分布式负载频率控制(LFC)系统在维持微电网(MG)内频率稳定方面的重要责任,本文提出了一种针对分布式负载频率控制(LFC)系统中不可观测的 FDIA 的检测和防御方法。首先,该方法将双向长短期记忆(BiLSTM)神经网络和改进的鲸鱼优化算法(IWOA)集成到 LFC 控制器中,以检测和抵御 FDIA。其次,为使 BiLSTM 神经网络能够以最高精度熟练检测多种类型的 FDIA,该模型采用了由频率和功率方差组成的历史 MG 数据集。最后,利用 IWOA 来优化比例-积分-派生(PID)控制器参数,以抵消 FDIA 的负面影响。通过在 Simulink 中构建分布式 LFC 系统,验证了所提出的检测和防御方法。
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引用次数: 0
Improved Leap-frog Method for Time-domain Fault Location 用于时域故障定位的改进型跃迁法
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000175
Izudin Džafić;Rabih A. Jabr
The partial differential equation (PDE) solution of the telegrapher is a promising fault location method among time-domain and model-based techniques. Recent research works have shown that the leap-frog process is superior to other explicit methods for the PDE solution. However, its implementation is challenged by determining the initial conditions in time and the boundary conditions in space. This letter proposes two implicit solution methods for determining the initial conditions and an analytical way to obtain the boundary conditions founded on the signal decomposition. The results show that the proposal gives fault location accuracy superior to the existing leap-frog scheme, particularly in the presence of harmonics.
在时域技术和基于模型的技术中,电报机的偏微分方程(PDE)求解是一种很有前途的故障定位方法。最近的研究工作表明,跃迁过程在 PDE 解法中优于其他显式方法。然而,它的实现面临着确定时间上的初始条件和空间上的边界条件的挑战。本文提出了两种用于确定初始条件的隐式求解方法,以及一种基于信号分解获得边界条件的解析方法。结果表明,该方案的故障定位精度优于现有的跃迁方案,尤其是在存在谐波的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Distributed Stochastic Scheduling of Massive Backup Batteries in Cellular Networks for Operational Reserve and Frequency Support Ancillary Services 蜂窝网络中大规模备用电池的分布式随机调度,用于运行储备和频率支持辅助服务
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000414
Kun Li;Jiakun Fang;Xiaomeng Ai;Shichang Cui;Rongkang Zhao;Jinyu Wen
Base station (BS) backup batteries (BSBBs), with their dispatchable capacity, are potential demand-side resources for future power systems. To enhance the power supply reliability and post-contingency frequency security of power systems, we propose a two-stage stochastic unit commitment (UC) model incorporating operational reserve and post-contingency frequency support provisions from massive BSBBs in cellular networks, in which the minimum backup energy demand is considered to ensure BS power supply reliability. The energy, operational reserve, and frequency support ancillary services are co-optimized to handle the power balance and post-contingency frequency security in both forecasted and stochastic variable renewable energy (VRE) scenarios. Furthermore, we propose a dedicated and scalable distributed optimization framework to enable autonomous optimizations for both dispatching center (DC) and BSBBs. The BS model parameters are stored and processed locally, while only the values of BS decision variables are required to upload to DC under the proposed distributed optimization framework, which safeguards BS privacy effectively. Case studies on a modified IEEE 14-bus system demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in promoting VRE accommodation, ensuring post-contingency frequency security, enhancing operational economics, and fully utilizing BSBBs' energy and power capacity. Besides, the proposed distributed optimization framework has been validated to converge to a feasible solution with near-optimal performance within limited iterations. Additionally, numerical results on the Guangdong 500 kV provincial power system in China verify the scalability and practicality of the proposed distributed optimization framework.
基站(BS)备用电池(BSBB)具有可调度容量,是未来电力系统潜在的需求侧资源。为了提高电力系统的供电可靠性和应急后的频率安全性,我们提出了一种两阶段随机单位承诺(UC)模型,将蜂窝网络中大规模 BSBB 的运行储备和应急后频率支持供应纳入其中,其中考虑了最小备用能源需求,以确保基站供电可靠性。对能源、运行储备和频率支持辅助服务进行了共同优化,以处理预测和随机可再生能源(VRE)情况下的电力平衡和应急后频率安全问题。此外,我们还提出了一个专用的、可扩展的分布式优化框架,以实现调度中心(DC)和 BSBB 的自主优化。BS 模型参数在本地存储和处理,而在所提出的分布式优化框架下,只需将 BS 决策变量的值上传到 DC,从而有效保护了 BS 的隐私。在改进的 IEEE 14 总线系统上进行的案例研究证明了所提方法在促进 VRE 容纳、确保应急后频率安全、提高运行经济性以及充分利用 BSBB 能源和电力容量方面的有效性。此外,经过验证,所提出的分布式优化框架能在有限的迭代时间内收敛到接近最优性能的可行解决方案。此外,中国广东 500 千伏省级电力系统的数值结果也验证了所提出的分布式优化框架的可扩展性和实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Ensemble Wind Power Prediction Interval with Optimal Reserve Requirement 具有最佳储备要求的集合风能预测区间
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000464
Hamid Rezaie;Cheuk Hei Chung;Nima Safari
Wind power prediction interval (WPPI) models in the literature have predominantly been developed for and tested on specific case studies. However, wind behavior and characteristics can vary significantly across regions. Thus, a prediction model that performs well in one case might underperform in another. To address this shortcoming, this paper proposes an ensemble WPPI framework that integrates multiple WPPI models with distinct characteristics to improve robustness. Another important and often overlooked factor is the role of probabilistic wind power prediction (WPP) in quantifying wind power uncertainty, which should be handled by operating reserve. Operating reserve in WPPI frameworks enhances the efficacy of WPP. In this regard, the proposed framework employs a novel bi-layer optimization approach that takes both WPPI quality and reserve requirements into account. Comprehensive analysis with different real-world datasets and various benchmark models validates the quality of the obtained WPPIs while resulting in more optimal reserve requirements.
文献中的风功率预测区间(WPPI)模型主要是针对特定案例研究开发和测试的。然而,风的行为和特性在不同地区会有很大差异。因此,在一种情况下表现良好的预测模型在另一种情况下可能表现不佳。为解决这一缺陷,本文提出了一个集合 WPPI 框架,该框架整合了多个具有不同特征的 WPPI 模型,以提高稳健性。另一个经常被忽视的重要因素是概率风电预测(WPP)在量化风电不确定性方面的作用,而这应该由运行储备来处理。WPPI 框架中的运行储备可增强 WPP 的功效。为此,所提出的框架采用了一种新颖的双层优化方法,将 WPPI 质量和储备要求都考虑在内。通过对不同的真实数据集和各种基准模型进行综合分析,验证了所获得的 WPPI 的质量,同时也提出了更优化的储备要求。
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引用次数: 0
Vickrey-Clark-Groves-Based Method for Eradicating Deceptive Behaviors in Demand Response Transactions 基于 Vickrey-Clark-Groves 的消除需求响应交易中欺骗行为的方法
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000157
Yingjun Wu;Chengjun Liu;Zhiwei Lin;Zhaorui Chen;Runrun Chen;Yuyang Chen
Demand response transactions between electric consumers, load aggregators, and the distribution network manager based on the “combination of price and incentive” are feasible and efficient. However, the incentive payment of demand response is quantified based on private information, which gives the electric consumers and load aggregators the possibility of defrauding illegitimate interests by declaring false information. This paper proposes a method based on Vickrey-Clark-Groves (VCG) theory to prevent electric consumers and load aggregators from taking illegitimate interests through deceptive declaration in the demand response transactions. Firstly, a demand response transaction framework with the price-and-incentive combined mode is established to illustrate the deceptive behavior in the demand response transaction. Then, the idea for eradicating deceptive declarations based on VCG theory is given, and a detailed VCG-based mathematical model is constructed following the demand response transaction framework. Further, the proofs of incentive compatibility, individual rationality, cost minimization, and budget balance of the proposed VCG-based method are given. Finally, a modified IEEE 33-node system and a modified IEEE 123-node system are used to illustrate and validate the proposed method.
基于 "价格与激励相结合 "的需求响应交易在电力消费者、负荷聚合者和配电网管理者之间是可行且有效的。然而,需求响应的激励支付是基于私人信息进行量化的,这就给电力消费者和负荷聚合者提供了通过申报虚假信息骗取非法利益的可能性。本文提出了一种基于 Vickrey-Clark-Groves (VCG) 理论的方法,以防止电力消费者和负荷聚合者在需求响应交易中通过欺骗性申报获取非法利益。首先,建立了价格与激励相结合模式的需求响应交易框架,以说明需求响应交易中的欺骗行为。然后,根据需求响应交易框架,给出了基于 VCG 理论的消除欺骗性声明的思路,并构建了详细的基于 VCG 的数学模型。此外,还证明了所提出的基于 VCG 方法的激励相容性、个体合理性、成本最小化和预算平衡。最后,使用一个改进的 IEEE 33 节点系统和一个改进的 IEEE 123 节点系统来说明和验证所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-Objective Optimization of Integrated Energy Systems Considering Ladder-Type Carbon Emission Trading and Refined Load Demand Response 考虑阶梯式碳排放交易和精细化负载需求响应的综合能源系统多目标优化方案
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000230
Yanhong Luo;Haowei Hao;Dongsheng Yang;Bowen Zhou
In this paper, a novel multi-objective optimization model of integrated energy systems (IESs) is proposed based on the ladder-type carbon emission trading mechanism and refined load demand response strategies. First, the carbon emission trading mechanism is introduced into the optimal scheduling of IESs, and a ladder-type carbon emission cost calculation model based on rewards and penalties is established to strictly control the carbon emissions of the system. Then, according to different response characteristics of electric load and heating load, a refined load demand response model is built based on the price elasticity matrix and substitutability of energy supply mode. On these basis, a multi-objective optimization model of IESs is established, which aims to minimize the total operating cost and the renewable energy source (RES) curtailment. Finally, based on typical case studies, the simulation results show that the proposed model can effectively improve the economic benefits of IESs and the utilization efficiency of RESs.
本文基于阶梯式碳排放交易机制和精细化负荷需求响应策略,提出了一种新型的综合能源系统(IES)多目标优化模型。首先,在综合能源系统优化调度中引入碳排放交易机制,建立基于奖惩机制的阶梯式碳排放成本计算模型,严格控制系统的碳排放。然后,根据电力负荷和供热负荷的不同响应特性,基于价格弹性矩阵和能源供应方式的可替代性,建立了精细化的负荷需求响应模型。在此基础上,建立了 IES 的多目标优化模型,其目标是使总运行成本和可再生能源(RES)削减量最小。最后,基于典型案例研究,仿真结果表明所提出的模型能有效提高 IES 的经济效益和可再生能源的利用效率。
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引用次数: 0
Distributed Robust Optimal Dispatch of Regional Integrated Energy Systems Based on ADMM Algorithm with Adaptive Step Size 基于自适应步长 ADMM 算法的区域综合能源系统分布式稳健优化调度
IF 6.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 Energy Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000204
Zhoujun Ma;Yizhou Zhou;Yuping Zheng;Li Yang;Zhinong Wei
This paper proposes a distributed robust optimal dispatch model to enhance information security and interaction among the operators in the regional integrated energy system (RIES). Our model regards the distribution network and each energy hub (EH) as independent operators and employs robust optimization to improve operational security caused by wind and photovoltaic (PV) power output uncertainties, with only deterministic information exchanged across boundaries. This paper also adopts the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) algorithm to facilitate secure information interaction among multiple RIES operators, maximizing the benefit for each subject. Furthermore, the traditional ADMM algorithm with fixed step size is modified to be adaptive, addressing issues of redundant interactions caused by suboptimal initial step size settings. A case study validates the effectiveness of the proposed model, demonstrating the superiority of the ADMM algorithm with adaptive step size and the economic benefits of the distributed robust optimal dispatch model over the distributed stochastic optimal dispatch model.
本文提出了一种分布式稳健优化调度模型,以加强区域综合能源系统(RIES)中运营商之间的信息安全和互动。我们的模型将配电网和每个能源枢纽(EH)视为独立的运营商,并采用鲁棒优化方法来提高风能和光伏发电(PV)输出不确定性所带来的运行安全性,同时只跨边界交换确定性信息。本文还采用了交替方向乘法(ADMM)算法,以促进多个 RIES 运营商之间的安全信息交互,实现各主体利益最大化。此外,传统的固定步长 ADMM 算法被修改为自适应算法,以解决因初始步长设置不理想而导致的冗余交互问题。一项案例研究验证了所提模型的有效性,证明了具有自适应步长的 ADMM 算法的优越性,以及分布式稳健优化调度模型相对于分布式随机优化调度模型的经济效益。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy
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