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Hype in entrepreneurial settings 创业环境中的炒作
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106559
Raghu Garud , Nelson Phillips , Yuliya Snihur , Llewellyn D.W. Thomas , Charlene Zietsma
Although hype is widely discussed in the popular discourse around entrepreneurship, it has received limited attention in the entrepreneurship literature. In this introduction to the special issue on hype and entrepreneurship, we propose that hype in entrepreneurial settings can be usefully explored by considering the stages of the hype cycle that can unfold in these settings. The first stage is hyping, where entrepreneurs frame ideas, products, business models, and ventures using language designed to set exciting future expectations despite (and even because of) the absence of technical validation or evidence of the economic feasibility of the venture. These efforts can trigger a state of hype, which refers to a rapidly intensifying collective vision of the future across audiences leading to an upswing. During the upswing, unrealistic expectations emerge, which, if left unmet, can lead to a downswing when there is a reversal of momentum and even the stigmatization of the hyped assets. Yet, there is always the possibility of a revival of entrepreneurial efforts around what had been hyped but became stigmatized. Noting that not all entrepreneurial phenomena necessarily traverse all stages of the cycle, we discuss some of the triggers and contingencies that can lead to shifts across the different stages of the hype cycle. We also discuss the challenges and opportunities that these stages offer entrepreneurs to the extent they unfold within and across fields. We then introduce the papers that comprise the special issue and conclude with suggestions for future research.
尽管炒作在围绕创业的流行话语中被广泛讨论,但在创业文献中却受到了有限的关注。在这篇关于炒作和创业的特刊的介绍中,我们提出,通过考虑在这些环境中可能展开的炒作周期的各个阶段,可以对创业环境中的炒作进行有益的探索。第一个阶段是炒作,在这个阶段,企业家用旨在设定令人兴奋的未来预期的语言来构建想法、产品、商业模式和企业,尽管(甚至因为)缺乏技术验证或企业经济可行性的证据。这些努力可能会引发一种炒作状态,即观众对未来的集体愿景迅速增强,从而导致票房上升。在上涨期间,不切实际的预期会出现,如果不满足这些预期,就会在势头逆转时导致下行,甚至会让被炒作的资产蒙上污名。然而,围绕那些被大肆宣传但被污名化的东西,创业努力总是有可能复兴的。注意到并非所有的创业现象都必须穿越周期的所有阶段,我们讨论了一些可能导致在炒作周期的不同阶段发生转变的触发因素和偶然事件。我们还讨论了这些阶段为企业家提供的挑战和机遇,以及它们在领域内和跨领域展开的程度。然后,我们介绍了包括特刊的论文,并对未来的研究提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Say it like you mean it: The effect of cross-channel affective consistency on perceived preparedness and authenticity in funding pitches 真心实意地说:跨渠道情感一致性对融资宣传中感知准备和真实性的影响
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106558
Benjamin J. Warnick , Thomas H. Allison , Blakley C. Davis
Entrepreneurs' funding pitches are inherently multimodal, conveying affective content through both verbal (words) and vocal (prosodic intonation) channels. Integrating theory of cross-channel consistency with the two-dimensional model of affect, we theorize that funding performance improves when entrepreneurs' verbal and vocal expressions are affectively consistent in terms of valence and arousal, as such consistency enhances perceptions of their preparedness and authenticity. Using a mixed-methods design, we first analyze over 500 crowdfunding pitch videos with computer-aided text and audio analysis to quantify cross-channel affective consistency (CCAC) and assess its impact on funding performance via perceived preparedness and authenticity. Results show that CCAC—particularly in arousal and the joint alignment of valence and arousal—predicts funding performance. While CCAC increased both perceived preparedness and authenticity, only preparedness further predicted funding performance. A complementary inductive study further revealed distinct manifestations of CCAC (i.e., warmth, enthusiasm, seriousness, and sadness) and inconsistency (i.e., monotone, low-arousal delivery, high-arousal delivery, and humor/dramatization). Notably, consistent sadness decreased funding performance, and one form of inconsistency—high-arousal vocal delivery paired with relatively ordinary, low-arousal language—increased funding performance. Overall, this work advances research on entrepreneurial rhetoric by providing a generalizable framework for multimodal affective expression, highlighting the persuasive value of CCAC, and illuminating the mechanisms through which CCAC shapes funding performance.
企业家的融资推介本质上是多模态的,通过语言(单词)和声音(韵律语调)两种渠道传达情感内容。将跨渠道一致性理论与情感二维模型相结合,我们认为当企业家的言语和声音表达在效价和激励方面具有情感一致性时,融资绩效会得到改善,因为这种一致性增强了他们的准备和真实性的感知。采用混合方法设计,我们首先使用计算机辅助文本和音频分析分析了500多个众筹宣传视频,以量化跨渠道情感一致性(CCAC),并通过感知准备和真实性评估其对融资绩效的影响。结果表明,ccac -特别是唤醒和价性与唤醒的联合排列-预测筹资绩效。虽然CCAC提高了感知准备和真实性,但只有准备才能进一步预测资金绩效。补充归纳研究进一步揭示了CCAC的不同表现(温暖、热情、严肃和悲伤)和不一致(单调、低唤醒传递、高唤醒传递和幽默/戏剧化)。值得注意的是,持续的悲伤会降低融资表现,而一种形式的不一致——高唤醒性的声音与相对普通、低唤醒性的语言相匹配——会提高融资表现。总体而言,本研究通过为多模态情感表达提供一个可推广的框架,突出了CCAC的说服价值,并阐明了CCAC影响融资绩效的机制,从而推动了创业修辞学的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Do entrepreneurs' values make them “Happy”? The role of personal and cultural value for entrepreneurs' wellbeing 企业家的价值观能让他们“快乐”吗?个人和文化价值对企业家福祉的作用
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106554
Pierre-Jean Hanard , Ute Stephan , Uta K. Bindl
Despite increasing attention to entrepreneurs' wellbeing, we know little about the role of entrepreneurs' personal values representing intrinsic and extrinsic motivations for their wellbeing. In this paper, we introduce a contextualized values perspective on entrepreneurs' wellbeing that considers both their personal values and the ways these values interact with cultural values in the regions they operate in. In a multilevel study (3038 entrepreneurs across 143 European regions), we find intrinsic personal values (openness to change) foster positive wellbeing and decrease negative wellbeing, whereas extrinsic personal values (self-enhancement) undermine positive wellbeing and increase negative wellbeing. We also find initial evidence of person–culture congruence effects regarding intrinsic, but not extrinsic, values, with high congruence resulting in higher positive (less negative) wellbeing. Overall, our findings suggest entrepreneurs' wellbeing may be shaped both by “who they are” and “where they operate.”

Executive summary

Despite increasing attention to entrepreneurs' wellbeing, we know little about the role of entrepreneurs' personal values representing intrinsic and extrinsic motivations for their wellbeing. On the one hand, acting on any values (reflecting intrinsic or extrinsic motivation) can be a source of wellbeing. On the other hand, expressing values reflecting extrinsic motivation may undermine wellbeing because of the lack of self-determination associated with extrinsic motivation. Clarifying the wellbeing effects of values representing extrinsic motivation is particularly important in entrepreneurship, because these values are linked to growth, profitability, and innovation which underpin the economic contributions of entrepreneurship. Drawing on Schwartz's theories of personal and cultural values and person-culture value congruence, we introduce a contextualized values perspective on entrepreneurs' wellbeing that considers both their personal values and the ways these values interact with cultural values in the regions they operate in. In a multilevel study (3038 entrepreneurs across 143 European regions), we find the personal values central to entrepreneurial activity can be a double-edged sword for the wellbeing of practicing entrepreneurs, highlighting the role of intrinsic (vs. extrinsic) motivation for entrepreneurs' positive and negative wellbeing. We also find initial evidence of person–culture congruence effects regarding intrinsic, but not extrinsic, values, with high congruence resulting in higher positive (less negative) wellbeing. Overall, our findings suggest entrepreneurs' wellbeing may be shaped both by “who they are” and “where they operate.”
尽管越来越多的人关注企业家的幸福感,但我们对企业家的个人价值观在代表其幸福感的内在和外在动机中的作用知之甚少。在本文中,我们引入了一种情境化的价值观视角来看待企业家的幸福感,该视角既考虑了他们的个人价值观,也考虑了这些价值观与他们经营所在地区的文化价值观的相互作用方式。在一项多层次研究(来自143个欧洲地区的3038名企业家)中,我们发现内在的个人价值观(乐于改变)促进积极的幸福感,减少消极的幸福感,而外在的个人价值观(自我提升)破坏积极的幸福感,增加消极的幸福感。我们还发现了关于内在而非外在价值观的个人文化一致性效应的初步证据,高一致性导致更高的积极(更少的消极)幸福感。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,企业家的幸福感可能受到“他们是谁”和“他们在哪里经营”的双重影响。尽管越来越多的人关注企业家的幸福,但我们对企业家的个人价值观在代表他们幸福的内在和外在动机中的作用知之甚少。一方面,任何价值观(反映内在或外在动机)都可以成为幸福的源泉。另一方面,表达反映外在动机的价值观可能会破坏幸福感,因为缺乏与外在动机相关的自决。阐明代表外在动机的价值观对幸福的影响在创业中尤为重要,因为这些价值观与增长、盈利能力和创新有关,而这些正是创业的经济贡献的基础。借鉴施瓦茨的个人和文化价值观以及个人-文化价值一致性理论,我们引入了一种情境化的价值观视角来看待企业家的幸福感,该视角既考虑了他们的个人价值观,也考虑了这些价值观与他们经营所在地区的文化价值观的相互作用方式。在一项多层次研究中(欧洲143个地区的3038名企业家),我们发现创业活动的核心个人价值观对于实践企业家的幸福来说是一把双刃剑,突出了企业家积极和消极幸福的内在(vs.外在)动机的作用。我们还发现了关于内在而非外在价值观的个人文化一致性效应的初步证据,高一致性导致更高的积极(更少的消极)幸福感。总的来说,我们的研究结果表明,企业家的幸福感可能受到“他们是谁”和“他们在哪里经营”的双重影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does self-employment increase stress? A co-twin control analysis of Finnish and US twins 自主创业会增加压力吗?芬兰和美国双胞胎的同卵对照分析
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106556
Vangelis Souitaris , Nicos Nicolaou , James Waters , Dean Shepherd , Nina Hashem
Entrepreneurs enjoy autonomy and work on projects they are passionate about, which may improve their mental well-being and reduce stress. At the same time, they face several potential stressors, including long working hours. Empirical evidence on whether those who engage in self-employment experience greater stress than those who do not is mixed, which could reflect the failure to consider self-selection into entrepreneurial careers. In this paper, we re-examine the relationship between self-employment and stress, over and above the self-selection bias of individuals' predispositions, using two separate studies of monozygotic twins. In the first study (monozygotic twins from Finland), stress is reported as a perceptual measure. In the second study (monozygotic twins from the United States), we measure cortisol as a physiological indicator of stress. In both studies, we show a positive association between self-employment and stress (both perceived and physiological) above and beyond the impact of genetic and rearing factors. We also show that long working hours mediate the relationship between self-employment and stress.
企业家享有自主权,从事他们热爱的项目,这可能会改善他们的心理健康,减轻压力。与此同时,他们还面临着一些潜在的压力,包括工作时间过长。关于那些从事自主创业的人是否比那些不从事自主创业的人承受更大压力的实证证据参差不齐,这可能反映了在创业生涯中没有考虑自我选择。在本文中,我们重新审视了自我雇佣和压力之间的关系,在个体倾向的自我选择偏差之外,使用两个单独的同卵双胞胎研究。在第一项研究(来自芬兰的同卵双胞胎)中,压力被报道为一种感知测量。在第二项研究(来自美国的同卵双胞胎)中,我们测量了皮质醇作为压力的生理指标。在这两项研究中,我们都表明,在遗传和养育因素的影响之外,自主创业和压力(感知和生理)之间存在正相关关系。我们还表明,长时间的工作介导了自主创业和压力之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Entrepreneurial imagination: A pluralistic scoping review of a sprawling literature 企业家的想象力:对一个庞大的文献的多元范围的回顾
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-10-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106555
Alexander S. Kier , Neil A. Thompson , Todd H. Chiles , Joep P. Cornelissen
Entrepreneurial imagination (EI) lies at the core of entrepreneurship research. Both early and contemporary scholars have emphasized its central role in visualizing and actualizing entrepreneurial opportunities, shaping decision-making, and enabling venture creation. Perhaps because of its salience and significance, EI has been approached from a wide range of definitional, philosophical, theoretical, and methodological perspectives, fostering a conceptually rich yet sprawling and fragmented body of work. Drawing on a scoping literature review of articles published in leading management and entrepreneurship journals, we synthesize the diverse constructs, processes, and conceptualizations associated with EI. We adopt a pluralistic approach, identifying eight distinct theoretical perspectives that have shaped scholars' understanding of EI over time. Rather than seeking to unify these perspectives into a single framework, we provide a multidimensional account of EI that captures its complexity and explore possibilities for cross-pollination as an agenda for future research. By putting complementary and sometimes contrasting perspectives into conversation, especially where they address similar concerns or compensate for each other's limitations, we aim to inspire novel combinations and spark new questions that can meaningfully advance scholarship on EI.
创业想象(EI)是创业研究的核心。早期和当代学者都强调了它在可视化和实现创业机会、塑造决策和实现创业创造方面的核心作用。也许是因为它的显著性和重要性,人们从广泛的定义、哲学、理论和方法论的角度来研究EI,形成了一个概念丰富但又杂乱而分散的工作体系。通过对发表在主要管理和创业期刊上的文章进行范围界定的文献综述,我们综合了与EI相关的各种结构、过程和概念。我们采用多元化的方法,确定了八种不同的理论观点,这些观点随着时间的推移塑造了学者对EI的理解。我们没有试图将这些观点统一到一个单一的框架中,而是提供了一个多维的EI账户,捕捉了它的复杂性,并探索了交叉授粉作为未来研究议程的可能性。通过将互补的,有时是对比的观点放入对话中,特别是当他们解决类似的问题或弥补彼此的局限性时,我们的目标是激发新的组合并激发新的问题,从而有意义地推进EI的学术研究。
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引用次数: 0
Revitalising the periphery: How support organisations drive the inclusive evolution of entrepreneurial ecosystems 振兴外围:支持组织如何推动创业生态系统的包容性演变
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106557
Shuai Qin
<div><div>This study investigates how support organisations for marginalised entrepreneurs (SOMEs), typically peripheral members within entrepreneurial ecosystems (EEs), facilitate the inclusive evolution of EEs. Employing boundary theory and ethnographic research conducted over three years within a refugee entrepreneurship support organisation in Birmingham, UK, this study identifies a four-stage boundary work process: Knowledge brokering, Boundary buffer spacing, Boundary object developing, and Boundary practice institutionalising. These interconnected strategic stages enable SOMEs to reconfigure the knowledge-cognitive, resource-opportunity, and social network exclusionary boundaries of EEs progressively, facilitating EEs' adaptation to marginalised entrepreneurs' diverse needs and pursuits within the overarching growth-orientation of EEs. Theoretically, this study introduces a “periphery-to-centre” model of inclusive evolution, expanding the prevalent centre-driven perspective of EE inclusive evolution, and demonstrates how inclusion could coexist with EE's growth-orientation because of SOMEs' boundary work. The study also unfolds enablers for such effective boundary work, emphasising the effects of SOMEs' dual knowledge capabilities, dual network embeddedness, institutional rhetoric, and the path dependency of evolution.</div></div><div><h3>Executive summary</h3><div>In entrepreneurial ecosystem (EE) research, an important but overlooked issue is how ecosystems can become more inclusive, allowing entrepreneurs from different backgrounds pursuing varied objectives to obtain the necessary support and resources. However, given that EEs often prioritise innovation and high-growth ventures, their ideologies and structures are hardly responsive to diverse entrepreneurs' distinctive pursuits and needs for support, causing their marginalisation. Despite community-based and non-profit support organisations for marginalised entrepreneurs (SOMEs) emerging to address this situation, their strategies and role in EEs' inclusion evolution remain understudied. Addressing this gap is critical as enhanced inclusion not only advances social equity but also strengthens EEs' resilience and innovation through the integration of diverse entrepreneurs and entrepreneurial activities. Leveraging boundary theory to conceptualise SOME's boundary work and how it affects the exclusionary boundaries (knowledge-cognitive, resource-opportunity, and social network boundaries) of EE, this paper develops a four-stage process model based on a three-year ethnographic study of a refugee entrepreneurship support organisation in Birmingham, UK.</div><div>The study conceptualises a “periphery-to-centre” inclusive evolution pathway driven by SOMEs, expanding beyond the dominant “centre-to-periphery” evolutionary perspective prevalent in existing EE literature. SOMEs leverage their distinctive position on the EE's internal periphery to simultaneously understand both marginalised entre
本研究探讨了支持边缘化企业家(som)的组织(通常是创业生态系统(EEs)中的外围成员)如何促进EEs的包容性演变。在英国伯明翰的一个难民创业支持组织中进行了三年多的边界理论和民族志研究,本研究确定了一个四阶段的边界工作过程:知识中介、边界缓冲空间、边界对象开发和边界实践制度化。这些相互关联的战略阶段使中小企业能够逐步重新配置中小企业的知识认知、资源机会和社会网络排他性边界,促进中小企业适应边缘化企业家在中小企业总体增长导向下的多样化需求和追求。从理论上讲,本研究引入了“从外围到中心”的包容性演化模型,拓展了普遍存在的中心驱动的情感表达包容性演化视角,并论证了包容性与情感表达的增长导向如何通过中介机构的边界工作共存。该研究还揭示了这种有效边界工作的促成因素,强调了some的双重知识能力、双重网络嵌入性、制度修辞和进化的路径依赖的影响。在创业生态系统(EE)研究中,一个重要但被忽视的问题是,生态系统如何变得更具包容性,让追求不同目标的不同背景的企业家获得必要的支持和资源。然而,考虑到企业往往优先考虑创新和高增长企业,它们的意识形态和结构很难对不同企业家的独特追求和支持需求做出反应,导致它们被边缘化。尽管出现了以社区为基础的和非营利性的边缘化企业家支持组织(some)来解决这一问题,但它们的战略和在边缘化企业家包容演变中的作用仍未得到充分研究。解决这一差距至关重要,因为加强包容性不仅可以促进社会公平,还可以通过整合不同的企业家和创业活动来增强中小企业的复原力和创新能力。利用边界理论概念化SOME的边界工作,以及它如何影响情感表达的排他性边界(知识认知、资源机会和社会网络边界),本文基于对英国伯明翰一家难民创业支持组织的三年人种学研究,开发了一个四阶段过程模型。该研究概念化了一种由小体驱动的“从外围到中心”的包容性进化途径,超越了现有情感表达文献中普遍存在的“从中心到外围”的主流进化视角。中小企业利用其在企业环境内部边缘的独特地位,同时了解边缘化企业家的独特需求和愿望,以及企业环境的运营动态和价值取向。基于这种双重理解,中小企业不是直接挑战环境企业以增长为导向的价值观,而是战略性地调动这些既定的优先事项,使其创新边界工作合法化,在尊重现有环境企业优先事项的同时逐步重组排他性边界。本研究揭示了该边界工作展开的四个相互关联的阶段,并相应地演变了EEs的排他性边界:(1)知识中介——将中小企业的价值观和需求转化为与EE兼容的话语,使EE成员的知识认知边界发生初步转变,并通过sme建立进入EE的唯一资源渠道;(2)边界缓冲空间——建立具有互补行为体(EE外部的社会服务提供者)的专门子系统,以应对边缘化企业家的独特需求,形成外部驱动的资源和网络边界的临时扩张,同时降低EE成员支持中小企业的感知风险;(3)边界目标发展——创建满足不同利益相关者利益的协作计划,通过EE成员和边缘化企业家之间的双向知识交流,实现内部驱动的结构性边界扩展,促进EE的直接资源和网络访问;(4)边界实践制度化——将积累的边界实践嵌入多个生态系统层面,将临时干预转化为所有维度的自我维持和自我扩展的边界变化。该研究还确定了有效边界工作的关键有利条件:some的双重知识能力;他们与社会服务提供者和EE成员的双重网络;支持经济多样性和制度环境包容性的言论;以及路径依赖因素,早期的边界变化使随后的进化成为可能。 此外,本研究挑战了企业成长导向和包容性之间的二元对立,展示了边界变化如何在不牺牲企业成长目标或迫使边缘化企业家遵守主流成功定义的情况下,创造促进双向适应的结构。这些见解为政策制定者和实践者提供了重要的启示。该研究建议,通过稳定的资金和支持性的言论,支持“从外围到中心”的进化,同时为中小企业提供开展渐进式边界工作的蓝图。
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引用次数: 0
From algorithmic hallucinations to alien minds: Addressing the ideator's dilemma through entrepreneurial work 从算法幻觉到外星思想:通过创业工作解决构想者的困境
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106550
Judy Rady , David Townsend , Rick Hunt
<div><div>In recent years, the rapid adoption of Generative AI tools by entrepreneurs is transforming entrepreneurial ideation processes. Powered by increasingly sophisticated algorithms and massive computing facilities, Gen AI systems are capable of generating extraordinarily creative ideas that often surpass the abilities of human entrepreneurs. Yet, despite these benefits, Gen AI systems also create a series of important epistemic risks for entrepreneurs, most notably: algorithmic hallucinations and ‘alien minds.’ In the near term, the tendency of Gen AI systems to ‘hallucinate’ new ideas that appear plausible but lack a logical or factual basis amplifies the risks that entrepreneurs will invest valuable time, effort, and resources in pursuit of flawed ideas. As the capabilities and intelligence of these systems continue to grow, however, entrepreneurs also face an emerging risk of falsely rejecting breakthrough ideas recommended by ‘alien minds’ they do not understand. For entrepreneurs, the opaque processes through which Gen AI systems generate new ideas create an <em>ideator's dilemma</em> where entrepreneurs do not know if a Gen AI idea is a true, breakthrough innovation or simply a hallucinated mirage. In this study, we extend emerging theory on entrepreneurial work to examine the complementary roles of two distinct types of judgments – <em>possibility and plausibility judgments</em> – in enabling entrepreneurs to evaluate Gen AI ideas. Towards this end, we integrate these judgments into a comprehensive Popperian approach to entrepreneurial work, enabling entrepreneurs to more effectively address the inherent epistemic risks associated with using Gen AI in entrepreneurial ideation. In doing so, our study contributes important new insights regarding the fundamental role of entrepreneurial work in addressing the ideator's dilemma in entrepreneurial ideation processes.</div></div><div><h3>Executive summary</h3><div>Generative AI is fundamentally transforming how entrepreneurs identify and develop new venture opportunities. With 89 % of founders now using at least one AI model and 50 % employing four or more in daily ideation work, these tools have become integral to entrepreneurial innovation. However, this rapid adoption creates unprecedented challenges that demand new frameworks for evaluating AI-generated business concepts.</div><div>The democratization of AI tools creates fundamental challenge for entrepreneurs: if every entrepreneur can generate breakthrough ideas at scale, where lies competitive advantage? Our research reveals that judgment – not idea generation – becomes the scarce resource. As ventures pursue increasingly speculative concepts to maintain competitive edge (evidenced by Y Combinator's shift towards deep tech ventures), the ability to efficiently evaluate and actualize AI concepts becomes paramount.</div><div>At the same time, these fundamental challenges are amplified by the growing sophistication of the reasoning capa
近年来,企业家对生成式人工智能工具的快速采用正在改变创业创意过程。在日益复杂的算法和大规模计算设施的驱动下,新一代人工智能系统能够产生非凡的创意,往往超过人类企业家的能力。然而,尽管有这些好处,新一代人工智能系统也给企业家带来了一系列重要的认知风险,最明显的是:算法幻觉和“外星人思维”。“在短期内,新一代人工智能系统会产生看似合理但缺乏逻辑或事实基础的新想法,这加大了企业家为追求有缺陷的想法而投入宝贵时间、精力和资源的风险。”然而,随着这些系统的能力和智能不断增长,企业家也面临着错误地拒绝他们不理解的“外星头脑”推荐的突破性想法的风险。对于企业家来说,新一代人工智能系统产生新想法的不透明过程造成了一个构想者的困境,企业家不知道新一代人工智能的想法是真正的、突破性的创新,还是仅仅是一种幻觉。在这项研究中,我们扩展了新兴的创业工作理论,以研究两种不同类型的判断——可能性判断和合理性判断——在使企业家评估新一代人工智能想法方面的互补作用。为此,我们将这些判断整合到一个全面的波普主义创业工作方法中,使企业家能够更有效地解决与在创业创意中使用Gen AI相关的固有认知风险。在这样做的过程中,我们的研究对于创业工作在解决创业创意过程中思想者困境的基本作用提供了重要的新见解。生成式人工智能正在从根本上改变企业家识别和开发新风险机会的方式。89%的创始人现在至少使用一种人工智能模型,50%的创始人在日常创意工作中使用四种或更多的人工智能模型,这些工具已经成为创业创新不可或缺的一部分。然而,这种快速采用带来了前所未有的挑战,需要新的框架来评估人工智能生成的商业概念。人工智能工具的民主化给企业家带来了根本性的挑战:如果每个企业家都能大规模地产生突破性的想法,那么竞争优势在哪里?我们的研究表明,判断——而不是创意——成为稀缺资源。随着企业追求越来越多的投机性概念以保持竞争优势(Y Combinator向深度科技企业的转变就是证明),有效评估和实现人工智能概念的能力变得至关重要。与此同时,前沿人工智能系统推理能力的日益复杂也放大了这些基本挑战。为了说明这些挑战,我们向7个领先的新一代人工智能模型提出了一个问题,这些模型都提供了预测,估计人工智能系统在五年内产生超出专业企业家完全理解的风险概念的可能性。目前的系统已经在专门领域展示了这种能力。多模式模型、实时数据和代理系统的集成将加速这一趋势。对企业家来说,这意味着重新定义创业过程。成功的企业将通过卓越的判断、解释和实现能力来实现差异化,而不是在创意产生方面竞争——人工智能在这方面日益占据主导地位。成功的企业家将是那些能够有效地协调人类与人工智能合作、在利用人工智能的超人模式识别能力的同时保持人类能动性的人。构想者的困境:幻觉和外星人的思想基于这些论点,我们的研究的核心贡献之一是探讨我们所说的构想者的困境。考虑到训练方法——尤其是深度强化学习方法的日益使用——领先的人工智能系统正在给在构思过程中使用这些工具的企业家带来两个关键的、相互关联的认知风险:首先,当人工智能系统产生听起来似乎合理的想法时,就会出现算法幻觉,而这些想法缺乏事实或逻辑基础。这可能导致企业家浪费宝贵的资源去追求不可能的想法。其次,企业家在解决“外星思维”问题方面面临着越来越多的挑战——人工智能系统通过推理过程产生真正突破性的概念,这些推理过程非常先进或非常规,以至于人类企业家无法完全理解它们。对于企业家来说,这两种认知风险结合在一起,形成了我们所说的“构想者困境”:企业家无法确定人工智能产生的想法是代表革命性的机会,还是令人信服的海市蜃楼。 随着人工智能系统变得越来越复杂,特别是通过在没有人类监督的情况下运行的深度强化学习方法,这种困境加剧了。最近的发展,如DeepSeek自主发现新的问题解决策略和AlphaDev的反直觉算法突破,表明人工智能系统已经产生了最初看起来不正确但被证明是革命性的解决方案。为了解决构想者的困境,我们的研究扩展了最近在创业领域的工作,通过两种互补的创业判断类型建立了一种波普尔式的方法来解决这些挑战:可能性判断侧重于证伪——严格测试一个想法是否存在必要的条件才能实现。企业家在投入资源之前应该问问“为什么这行不通?”这种方法通过在可能和不可能的新风险概念之间建立清晰的界限,迅速消除了算法幻觉。关键是发展大胆的、可检验的猜想,如果这个概念从根本上是有缺陷的,这些猜想可以被决定性地证伪。合理性判断采用确证来确定实现的充分条件。一旦一个想法通过了可证伪性检验,企业家就会评估如何配置有利因素——市场条件、技术基础设施、管理环境——以便将这个概念推向市场。这个阶段通过将不透明的人工智能推理转化为可操作的商业策略来解决外星人思维问题。我们概述的波普尔方法为导航这种转变提供了一种实用的方法。为了说明这种方法的好处,我们提供了一个关于构想者困境的深入例子,通过一个基于极具推测性的、先进的“新量子物理学”整合的Gen AI理念。“这个想法说明了企业家在评估和审查新一代人工智能想法时所面临的独特认知风险,以识别算法幻觉,同时解决验证先进概念的挑战,这些挑战远远超出了我们目前的能力。”总的来说,我们的研究阐明了如何识别、评估和实现机会的一系列重要的基本转变。为人类和人工智能在创意方面的合作开发了强大框架的初创公司将在新兴经济体中获得不成比例的价值,而那些未能适应的初创公司则有可能被“创意者困境”(Ideator’s Dilemma)所淹没。
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引用次数: 0
The “devil” you don't know: A test of the detriments and benefits of co-founding with strangers 你不知道的“魔鬼”:与陌生人共同创业的利弊测试
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106537
Jason Greenberg , Ethan Mollick
One key to new venture creation and success is getting the “people part” right. Professional investors have a strong preference for funding founding teams of people rather than individuals. This preference is based on the belief that starting a new venture requires a portfolio of experiences, skills, and networks that few individuals possess. Implicit in this thesis is the belief that the benefits of a team outweigh its costs that can accrue with co-founders arising from information asymmetries. Such information asymmetries are greater when founding with strangers given an absence of prior relational experience. Yet, strangers are more likely capable of providing the theorized (unique) value-add of co-founders such as non-redundant networks. Unfortunately, due to data limitations, the literature has not assessed assumptions concerning the pros/cons of co-founding with strangers thereby limiting our ability to get the people part of new ventures “right.” We use unique survey data on more than three thousand new ventures that successfully launched a crowdfunding campaign to assess these assumptions. These survey data include enough teams with strangers and granular measures of team functioning, product/service delivery, and operational status for comprehensive assessments. Results reveal that new ventures including strangers on the team are less likely to deliver the product/service they pitched and are more likely to be non-operational. Direct, descriptive evidence suggests that team-related issues underlie these outcomes.
创业和成功的一个关键是把“人”这部分做好。专业投资者强烈倾向于为创业团队融资,而不是为个人融资。这种偏好是基于这样一种信念,即创业需要经验、技能和人脉的组合,而很少有人拥有这些。这一论点隐含着这样一种信念,即团队的收益超过了联合创始人因信息不对称而产生的成本。这种信息不对称在与陌生人建立关系时更大,因为之前没有关系经验。然而,陌生人更有可能提供联合创始人理论上的(独特的)增值,比如非冗余网络。不幸的是,由于数据的限制,文献并没有评估与陌生人共同创业的利弊假设,从而限制了我们让新企业的人“正确”参与的能力。我们对三千多家成功发起众筹活动的新企业使用独特的调查数据来评估这些假设。这些调查数据包括足够多的有陌生人的团队,以及团队功能、产品/服务交付和运营状态的细粒度度量,以进行全面评估。结果显示,团队中包含陌生人的新企业不太可能交付他们所宣传的产品/服务,而且更有可能无法运营。直接的、描述性的证据表明,与团队相关的问题是这些结果的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Seeing human resources of entrepreneurial firms in new ways 以新视角看待创业型企业的人力资源
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106553
Melissa S. Cardon , Mirjam Knockaert , Frederik Anseel , M. Diane Burton
<div><div>Despite ongoing interest in human resource management (HRM) in entrepreneurial organizations, we believe the moment is ripe to rethink notions of human resource management in ways that take advantage of the distinctive nature of entrepreneurial settings. A critical first step is recognizing that the people creating and building an entrepreneurial organization extend beyond the founders and include people who may or may not be employees. As such, rather than following traditional human resources (HR) research's focus on employees, HR research in entrepreneurial organizations must take a broader perspective. We propose a focus on “joiners”, people who, according to <span><span>Roach and Sauermann (2015)</span></span>, are a “distinct type of nonfounding entrepreneurial actors who are attracted to the startup work setting but have little desire to be founders themselves.” Joiners represent the human resources critical to venture progress. We argue that a research agenda focused on joiners that is pursued through explicitly understanding and engaging with the fundamental assumptions, debates, and conversations from an entrepreneurship perspective will yield novel questions and generate new insights. Through this editorial we hope to catalyze this important work by unpacking who joiners are and how they fit in the entrepreneurial context, highlighting the need for new research at the intersection of HRM and entrepreneurship, and suggesting novel questions, research opportunities, and methodologies related to HRM in entrepreneurial settings.</div></div><div><h3>Executive summary</h3><div>Scholars have advanced our Understanding of human resource management (HRM) in entrepreneurial organizations from multiple perspectives. We believe the moment is ripe to rethink notions of human resource management in ways that take advantage of the distinctive nature of entrepreneurial settings, which will allow us to understand human resources of entrepreneurial firms in new ways. A critical first step is recognizing that the people creating and building an entrepreneurial organization extend beyond the founders and include people who may or may not be employees. We propose a definition of joiners that captures the original spirit of the term and emphasizes the people who are actively choosing an entrepreneurial work setting, remains agnostic to formal employment status, and focuses on the work that is being done: “<em>Joiners are non-founders who contribute physical and/or mental labor to a new venture and are subordinate to the founders</em>”. Our definition is well-suited to the dynamic nature of entrepreneurial firms that are navigating uncertain environments, in which more flexible and less formal labor contributions are needed than merely those provided by employees. By consequence, our definition of joiners includes employees, contractors, interns, freelancers and volunteers and excludes other stakeholders such as tech transfer and other entrepreneur
尽管人们对创业组织中的人力资源管理(HRM)一直很感兴趣,但我们认为,以利用创业环境独特性质的方式重新思考人力资源管理概念的时机已经成熟。关键的第一步是要认识到,创建和建设创业组织的人不仅仅是创始人,还包括可能是员工也可能不是员工的人。因此,创业型组织的人力资源研究必须采取更广阔的视角,而不是遵循传统的人力资源(HR)研究对员工的关注。我们建议关注“joiners”,根据Roach和Sauermann(2015)的说法,这些人是“一种独特类型的非创始创业行为者,他们被创业工作环境所吸引,但自己却没有成为创始人的愿望。”参与者代表了对企业发展至关重要的人力资源。我们认为,从企业家的角度出发,通过明确理解和参与基本假设、辩论和对话来关注参与者的研究议程,将产生新的问题和新的见解。通过这篇社论,我们希望通过揭示谁是参与者以及他们如何适应创业环境来促进这一重要工作,强调在人力资源管理和创业交叉领域进行新研究的必要性,并提出与创业环境中人力资源管理相关的新问题、研究机会和方法。学者们从多个角度加深了我们对创业组织人力资源管理(HRM)的理解。我们认为,重新思考人力资源管理概念的时机已经成熟,我们可以利用创业环境的独特性质,这将使我们能够以新的方式理解创业公司的人力资源。关键的第一步是要认识到,创建和建设创业组织的人不仅仅是创始人,还包括可能是员工也可能不是员工的人。我们提出了一个关于joiners的定义,这个定义抓住了这个术语的原始精神,强调了那些积极选择创业工作环境的人,他们对正式就业状态保持不可知论,并专注于正在完成的工作:“joiners是非创始人,他们为新企业贡献体力和/或脑力劳动,并从属于创始人。”我们的定义非常适合于处于不确定环境中的创业公司的动态特性,在这种环境中,需要比员工提供的劳动力更灵活、更不正式的劳动力贡献。因此,我们对参与者的定义包括员工、承包商、实习生、自由职业者和志愿者,不包括其他利益相关者,如技术转让和其他创业支持组织的员工、董事会成员、投资者、政策制定者、客户和供应商。我们还建议区分“初级接合者”和“次级接合者”可能会有所帮助。第一类人指的是最初与创始人直接接触的一群人,他们正在创造自己的角色,而不是居住在既定的角色中。这些人带来了决定早期创业成功的人力和社会资本。其他后来加入创业企业的个人,特别是那些不受创始人直接监督的人,可以被称为“次要参与者”,或者如果他们实际上被创业公司雇佣,只是作为员工。我们认为,对创业者的研究需要更明确地考虑企业家精神的核心方面的新思维:它涉及不确定性和动态性、资源约束和环境依赖、非正式性,以及机会、企业和系统的社会或人际创造。传统的人力资源观点关注的是公司内部有正式雇佣关系的员工,他们在一个分级报告结构中扮演着明确的角色,在这个结构中有一个主管,一套绩效预期和一揽子奖励。相比之下,企业家的视角考虑的是员工、合同工或非合同工的贡献,他们跨越了新企业角色的模糊界限,报告了模糊的、不断发展的关系,从事着不确定的、不断变化的工作,结果、回报和职业前景都存在风险和未知。我们强调了从人力资源与创业角度关注参与者的具体研究问题,这些问题需要进一步调查,并讨论了此类研究的最合适方法。 总的来说,虽然我们承认并赞扬了许多学者的努力,他们已经探索了与joiner相关的问题,但我们相信,更明确地认识和参与创业视角固有的独特焦点、假设、辩论和对话,以及对谁是joiner采取更广泛的视角,将激发新的问题,并发现创业公司人力资源的新见解。我们鼓励开展工作,促进对参与者和人力资源管理的独特创业知识的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Investor heterogeneity and venture performance 投资者异质性与风险投资绩效
IF 8.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106524
Marwin Mönkemeyer , Kathrin Rennertseder , Henning Schröder
This study explores the relationship between investor heterogeneity and firms’ post-seed funding performance. We find a statistically and economically significant negative association of investor heterogeneity on both a firm’ s likelihood of obtaining new funding and the amount raised in subsequent funding rounds. These findings suggest that greater heterogeneity among investors may impair board efficacy and weaken the quality of venture governance. Moreover, the marginal effect of investor heterogeneity is non-linear and diminishes over the course of a venture’ s funding lifecycle. Our results remain robust after accounting for endogeneity concerns and alternative measures of investor culture.
本研究探讨投资者异质性与公司种子期后融资绩效之间的关系。我们发现投资者异质性对公司获得新资金的可能性和后续融资轮次筹集的金额具有统计学和经济学意义上的显著负相关。这些发现表明,投资者之间的异质性可能会损害董事会的效力,削弱风险治理的质量。此外,投资者异质性的边际效应是非线性的,并在风险投资的整个生命周期中逐渐减弱。在考虑了内生性问题和投资者文化的替代措施后,我们的结果仍然强劲。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Business Venturing
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