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Partisan Differences in Voters’ Desire for Punishment in Response to Politicians’ Moral Transgressions 选民对政治家道德越轨行为的惩罚欲望的党派差异
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241263086
David P. Redlawsk, Annemarie S. Walter
Research shows that politicians are often not electorally punished for immoral behavior. Yet, voters may still desire to see politicians punished outside of the election context for committing moral transgressions. Moreover, these desires may be conditioned by the partisanship of the voter, the transgressor, and voters’ perceptions of moral violation severity. To examine such effects, we conduct a vignette study asking 2997 U. S. respondents to consider politicians’ moral violations. We randomly varied the moral principle violated (Care, Fairness, Loyalty, Authority, Sanctity, and a social norm violation) and the partisanship of the politician (Republic/Democrat/Nonpartisan). When voters perceive the severity of a moral violation to be low, Republicans express a stronger desire to punish than do Democrats. Republicans’ desire for punishment depends on the group of the transgressor, with higher levels of punitiveness desired for out-party transgressors than in-party. However, when voters perceive severity to be moderate or high, Democrats have the stronger desire to punish the politician involved, but they show no in-party bias. Across the moral violations presented, Republicans and Democrats differ in perceptions of severity of politicians’ immoral behavior. Results show partisan voters’ heterogeneity in punitiveness, with the relationship strongly mediated by perceived severity of the moral violation.
研究表明,政治家的不道德行为往往不会受到选民的惩罚。然而,选民可能仍然希望看到政治家因道德失范而在选举之外受到惩罚。而且,这些愿望可能会受到选民的党派倾向、违法者以及选民对道德违规严重程度的看法的影响。为了研究这些影响,我们进行了一项小故事研究,要求 2997 名美国受访者考虑政治家的道德违规行为。我们随机改变违反的道德原则(关爱、公平、忠诚、权威、神圣和违反社会规范)和政治家的党派(共和党/民主党/无党派)。当选民认为违反道德的严重程度较低时,共和党人比民主党人表达出更强烈的惩罚欲望。共和党人的惩罚欲望取决于违法者所属的党派,党外违法者的惩罚欲望高于党内违法者。然而,当选民认为严重程度适中或较高时,民主党人惩罚涉事政治家的愿望更强烈,但他们没有表现出党内偏见。共和党人和民主党人对政治家不道德行为的严重程度的看法不同。结果显示了党派选民在惩罚性方面的异质性,而道德违规行为的严重程度在很大程度上调节了两者之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Voting in the Mall: Ideology, Grievance, and Political Consumerism 商场投票:意识形态、怨恨和政治消费主义
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241263090
Kwadwo Poku-Agyemang, James C. Garand
In this paper we consider how political ideology, attitudes toward historically-marginalized groups, and identification with grievance groups shape Americans’ self-reported participation in political consumerism (i.e., political boycotts and buycotts). Using data from the 2016 and 2020 American National Election Studies (ANES) surveys, we find that ideological intensity has an asymmetrical effect on boycott behavior in 2016, with strong liberals considerably more likely to engage in boycott behavior than strong conservatives. In 2020 the effect of ideological intensity shifts upward dramatically for conservatives, with both liberals and conservatives likely to engage in boycott behavior. We also find mixed results for the effects of attitudes toward and identification with historically-marginalized groups, though we do find that general political participation (and related variables) are strongly related to boycott activity. We discuss the implications of our findings, particularly as they relate to the effects of ideological intensity for liberals and conservatives.
在本文中,我们考虑了政治意识形态、对历史上被边缘化群体的态度以及对申诉群体的认同如何影响美国人自我报告的政治消费主义(即政治抵制和购买抵制)参与情况。利用 2016 年和 2020 年美国全国选举研究(ANES)调查的数据,我们发现意识形态强度在 2016 年对抵制行为有非对称影响,强势自由主义者比强势保守主义者更有可能参与抵制行为。2020 年,意识形态强度对保守派的影响急剧上升,自由派和保守派都有可能采取抵制行为。我们还发现,对历史上被边缘化的群体的态度和认同的影响结果不一,但我们确实发现,一般政治参与(及相关变量)与抵制活动密切相关。我们将讨论研究结果的影响,尤其是意识形态强度对自由派和保守派的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Size and Structure of the Gender Gap in Economic Evaluations 经济评估中性别差距的大小和结构
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241263084
Meghan Condon, Amber Wichowsky
Gender gaps in partisanship, vote choice, and opinion are well documented in the American electorate. In 2016, men’s and women’s subjective economic evaluations—of their own circumstances and the broader economy—also diverged considerably. We investigate the size, structure, and explanations of this gap. Drawing on cross-sectional and panel data, we show that the gap widened to historic levels following Trump’s election, driven by increased optimism among white men and decline among women of color. Though partisan and objective economic differences across race-gendered groups contribute, they do not fully explain the widening divide. We hypothesize that Trump’s election altered Americans’ understanding of the socioeconomic hierarchy, producing new divides in subjective status perceptions. Gendered and racialized divides in subjective perceptions combined with partisanship and economic circumstances to re-open the gender gap in economic attitudes.
在美国选民中,党派、投票选择和观点方面的性别差距是有据可查的。2016 年,男性和女性对自身情况和更广泛经济的主观经济评价也存在很大差异。我们研究了这种差距的规模、结构和原因。利用横截面数据和面板数据,我们表明,在特朗普当选后,白人男性的乐观情绪上升,而有色人种女性的乐观情绪下降,导致差距扩大到历史水平。尽管种族性别群体之间的党派和客观经济差异有所贡献,但它们并不能完全解释差距的扩大。我们假设,特朗普的当选改变了美国人对社会经济等级的理解,在主观地位认知上产生了新的分歧。主观认知中的性别和种族鸿沟与党派和经济环境相结合,重新拉开了经济态度中的性别差距。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Self-Threat and Self-Affirmation in Initiation of Political Conversations 自我威胁和自我肯定在发起政治对话中的作用
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241263079
Lisa P. Argyle, Melanie Freeze
Both in their quantity and their quality, informal political conversations can provide an important bellwether for democratic health. However, not everyone is willing to participate in political conversations in all settings, and systematic imbalances in who chooses not to share political attitudes can distort perceptions of public opinion. Using data from three original surveys, including both observational and experimental analysis, we examine people’s decisions to initiate political discussions using a psychological framework of self-threat and self-affirmation. We find that political conversations pose a higher level of self-threat when disagreement is probable and the relationship with the potential discussion partner is weaker. High levels of self-threat, measured via self-reported anxiety, are associated with a lower willingness to initiate a political conversation. However, self-threat can be counteracted. While it does not reduce the anxiety associated with a threatening situation, self-affirmation increases people’s willingness to initiate a political conversation in higher threat circumstances. This suggests that efforts to find common ground or boost confidence by reflecting on non-political values could increase the pool of people willing to bring up and share their political views.
非正式政治对话无论在数量上还是质量上,都是民主健康的重要风向标。然而,并不是每个人都愿意在所有场合参与政治对话,选择不分享政治态度的人的系统性失衡会扭曲对民意的看法。我们利用三项原创调查的数据,包括观察和实验分析,在自我威胁和自我肯定的心理学框架下研究了人们发起政治对话的决定。我们发现,当可能出现分歧且与潜在讨论对象的关系较弱时,政治对话的自我威胁程度较高。高水平的自我威胁(通过自我报告的焦虑来衡量)与发起政治对话的意愿较低有关。然而,自我威胁是可以抵消的。自我肯定虽然不会降低与威胁情况相关的焦虑,但却会提高人们在高威胁情况下发起政治对话的意愿。这表明,通过反思非政治价值观来寻找共同点或增强信心,可以增加愿意提出并分享其政治观点的人数。
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引用次数: 0
Race or Place: Partisanship Among Black Rural Voters 种族或地方:农村黑人选民的党派倾向
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241263087
Kara Newby
Rural voters are often portrayed as a monolith of White and conservative, although 22% of the rural population are non-White. Rural minorities, specifically Black rural voters, intersect two potentially competing identities informing political partisanship. First, place: there is a growing geographic schism between rural and urban voters, with rural voters aligning more closely with the Republican party. Second, race: there is a political gap between White and Black voters, with Black voters aligning more closely with the Democratic party. Using data from the 2019 and 2020 ANES Studies I investigate the effects of these intersecting identities on political identification accounting for rural resentment. Rural resentment, or feelings of a loss of political power to urban areas, is found among both White and Black rural voters. For Black rural voters, a strong race identity can buffer the effects of rural resentment, keeping them from pushing toward the Republican party.
农村选民往往被描绘成白人和保守派的铁板一块,尽管有 22% 的农村人口是非白人。农村少数群体,尤其是农村黑人选民,在政治党派性方面与两种可能相互竞争的身份相互交织。首先是地域:农村选民和城市选民之间的地域分裂日益加剧,农村选民更倾向于共和党。第二,种族:白人和黑人选民之间存在政治差距,黑人选民更倾向于民主党。利用 2019 年和 2020 年 ANES 研究的数据,我调查了这些交叉身份对政治认同的影响,并考虑了农村怨恨。在白人和黑人农村选民中都发现了农村怨恨,即感觉政治权力流失到了城市地区。对于黑人农村选民来说,强烈的种族认同可以缓冲农村怨恨的影响,使他们不会向共和党靠拢。
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引用次数: 0
Sincere, Strategic, or Something Else? The Impact of Ranked-Choice Voting on Voter Decision Making Processes 真诚、策略还是其他?排名选择投票对选民决策过程的影响
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X241236196
Alan Simmons, Nicholas W. Waterbury
The academic debate on how voters decide which candidates to support often centers on whether they prioritize their personal preferences or consider who can beat the opposing candidate. American research on voting behavior has largely focused on first-past-the-post (FPTP) elections. However, considering jurisdictions are adopting new electoral systems such as ranked-choice voting (RCV) this leads to several questions about the impact of system adoption on voter decision-making. Particularly, does the voter decision-making process differ depending on the system used? To investigate the impact of RCV on voter decision-making across electoral systems we conducted a survey experiment in a federal senate election. Our findings indicate that in comparison to FPTP elections, RCV elections may lead to decreases in both sincere and strategic voting. Instead, RCV appears to increase voter uncertainty around how to decide which candidates to support and leads to voters who appear to be neither sincere nor strategic.
关于选民如何决定支持哪位候选人的学术争论,往往集中在选民是优先考虑个人偏好,还是考虑谁能击败对方候选人。美国对投票行为的研究主要集中在得票最多者当选制(FPTP)选举上。然而,考虑到一些司法管辖区正在采用排序选择投票(RCV)等新的选举制度,这就引出了几个问题,即采用这种制度对选民决策的影响。尤其是,选民的决策过程是否会因采用的系统而有所不同?为了研究 RCV 对不同选举制度下选民决策的影响,我们在联邦参议院选举中进行了一项调查实验。我们的研究结果表明,与 FPTP 选举相比,RCV 选举可能会导致真诚投票和策略投票的减少。相反,RCV 似乎增加了选民在如何决定支持哪位候选人方面的不确定性,导致选民似乎既不真诚也不策略。
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引用次数: 0
Partisan Bias in Episodes of Political Violence 政治暴力事件中的党派偏见
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241236198
Justin Michael Zyla
Imagine two incidents of political violence. In the first, you share political affiliation with the victim. In the second, they reside in the opposite party. How would this minor change – a shifting label, the difference of a word – impact your reaction? This article offers empirical insight through an experiment: U.S. participants read a mock college controversy, where a student sent death threats to, and doxed, a professor. The treatment varied whether the perpetrator described the professor as a Democrat, Republican, or used otherwise non-descript (e.g., “political”) adjectives. A posttreatment survey then measured respondents’ discrete emotions, the penalties they preferred the student receive, and their partisan group identity strength. Participants who read about violence against a copartisan victim showed a statistically significant increase in preferred penalty severity. But violence against an outparty victim mirrored the control, with subjects reacting as if they didn’t know the political affiliation of anyone involved. Posttreatment measures also demonstrated the potential for anxiety (but not anger or partisan strength) to mediate this underlying partisan bias.
设想两起政治暴力事件。在第一起事件中,你与受害者的政治派别相同。在第二起事件中,他们属于对立党派。这种微小的变化--一个标签的改变、一个词的不同--会如何影响您的反应?本文通过一项实验提供了实证见解:美国参与者阅读了一则模拟的大学争论事件:一名学生向一名教授发出死亡威胁,并对其进行诽谤。实验中,肇事者是将该教授描述为民主党人、共和党人,还是使用了其他非描述性(如 "政治")形容词,处理方式各不相同。处理后的调查会测量受访者的离散情绪、他们希望该学生受到的惩罚以及他们的党派团体认同强度。阅读了针对党派受害者的暴力事件的受试者,其所希望的惩罚力度在统计学上有显著增加。但是,针对党外受害者的暴力行为则与对照组相同,受试者的反应就好像他们不知道相关人员的政治派别一样。治疗后的测量结果还表明,焦虑(而非愤怒或党派力量)有可能调解这种潜在的党派偏见。
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引用次数: 0
Rulemakers’ Professional Experience and Rulemaking Efficiency in U.S. Federal Agencies 美国联邦机构规则制定者的专业经验与规则制定效率
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241236197
Huchen Liu
I explore the potential impact of rulemakers’ professional experience on the efficiency of rulemaking by U.S. federal agencies. I highlight two types of professional experience rulemakers may have—inside experience gathered by working in the federal government, if not the same agency, and outside experience gained before entering the civil service or between stints in government. I discuss several plausible mechanisms through which inside and outside experience may affect rulemaking efficiency. Using data combining rulemakers’ career backgrounds with rulemaking life-cycles from 1999 to 2023, I show that outside experience, and not inside experience, is associated with two measures of rulemaking efficiency: a higher likelihood for proposed rules to be promulgated as final and a lower likelihood of unanticipated events—extensions of public comment periods, other delays to the rulemaking timetable, and the withdrawal of rules already issued.
我探讨了规则制定者的专业经验对美国联邦机构规则制定效率的潜在影响。我强调了规则制定者可能拥有的两类专业经验--在联邦政府(如果不是同一机构)工作积累的内部经验,以及在进入公务员系统之前或在政府工作期间获得的外部经验。我讨论了内部和外部经验可能影响规则制定效率的几种可信机制。利用 1999 年至 2023 年规则制定者的职业背景与规则制定生命周期相结合的数据,我表明外部经验(而非内部经验)与规则制定效率的两个衡量指标相关:提议的规则更有可能作为最终规则颁布;出现意外事件的可能性更低--公众评论期的延长、规则制定时间表的其他延迟以及已颁布规则的撤销。
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引用次数: 0
Campus Voting During the COVID-19 Pandemic COVID-19 大流行期间的校园投票
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241230050
Michael McDonald, Enrijeta Shino, Daniel A. Smith, Payton Lussier, Danielle Dietz
How did the pandemic impact turnout of young voters living in university communities? Leveraging the mandatory vacating of Florida college students living on campuses and drawing on administrative data from Florida’s voter file, we argue that on-campus registered young voters who had to leave their university housing in the days prior to Florida’s 2020 Presidential Preference Primary (PPP) were less likely to turn out compared to adjacent off-campus young voters because they lost the opportunity to cast early in-person and Election Day ballots. Using a difference-in-differences (DiD) design, we find that on-campus students, in part because they had early and Election Day voting available to them on campus in the 2020 general election, were more likely than comparable off-campus student-aged registered voters to cast ballots in the November election. Our study has important implications for academic debates concerning the turnout effects of convenience voting reforms and the ability of voters to cast ballots prior to Election Day.
大流行病对居住在大学社区的年轻选民的投票率有何影响?我们利用住在校园里的佛罗里达大学生被强制腾空的情况,并借鉴佛罗里达州选民档案中的行政数据,认为在佛罗里达州2020年总统预选初选(PPP)前几天不得不离开大学宿舍的校内登记的年轻选民与邻近的校外年轻选民相比,投票率较低,因为他们失去了提前亲自投票和选举日投票的机会。利用差异设计(DiD),我们发现校内学生在 2020 年大选中可以在校内提前投票和在选举日投票,因此在 11 月大选中,校内学生比校外同龄学生登记选民更有可能投票。我们的研究对有关便利投票改革的投票率影响以及选民在选举日之前投票的能力的学术辩论具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Non-Religious Identity Salience for Candidate Choice 非宗教身份对候选人选择的影响
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1177/1532673x241230053
Spencer Kiesel
Religion is on the decline in the United States. Americans increasingly report low religiosity, have less attachment to religion, and a rapidly growing number identify as nonreligious. In Congress, the story is different. While a quarter of the public identifies as nonreligious, only one member of Congress does. Why are the nonreligious vastly underrepresented in government? I use a conjoint candidate choice experiment to causally link religious voters’ bias against nonreligious candidates to reduced support for them in electoral settings. I demonstrate that bias against the nonreligious affects electoral decisions and is causally linked to the exclusion of the nonreligious from government. Furthermore, I show that nonreligious voters only exhibit in-group support for candidates who explicitly identify as Atheists, not agnostic or candidates that merely lack a religious identity.
在美国,宗教正在衰落。越来越多的美国人表示宗教信仰程度低,对宗教的依恋减少,越来越多的人认为自己没有宗教信仰。在美国国会,情况则有所不同。四分之一的公众认为自己没有宗教信仰,但只有一名国会议员认为自己没有宗教信仰。为什么无宗教信仰的人在政府中的代表性极低?我利用联合候选人选择实验,将宗教选民对无宗教信仰候选人的偏见与他们在选举中支持率下降的因果关系联系起来。我证明,对非宗教人士的偏见会影响选举决策,并与非宗教人士被排除在政府之外存在因果关系。此外,我还证明了非宗教选民只对明确表示自己是无神论者的候选人表现出群体内支持,而不是不可知论者或仅仅缺乏宗教身份的候选人。
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引用次数: 0
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American Politics Research
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