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What Public Comments During Rulemaking Do (and Why) 规则制定过程中的公众意见有什么作用(以及为什么)
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231175686
Brian Libgober, Steven Rashin
Public comments on proposed federal regulations are thought to influence bureaucratic policy choices, but why? While reelection incentives give politicians straightforward reasons for catering to public preferences, regulators lack similarly direct incentives to accede to demands from stake-holders. We argue commenters may adopt several different tactics to try and persuade regulators. Broadly, they may either describe policy consequences or threaten the regulator with sanctions, especially by the Courts or Congress. But which tactics do members of the public – especially firms and interest groups – use during commenting, and why? We explore this question by extensive manual coding of comments submitted by strategic actors during high-stakes financial rulemaking. We find that the vast majority of comments have purely informational content, with very limited threats to involve political principals. These findings should be surprising to a literature that often presumes a model where interest group commenting is a form of bargaining in the shadow of the Courts or Congress. To assess whether this behavior is driven by the benefits of information versus the costs of threatening, we explore how the strategy of outside interests changes across the resource distribution, and analyze the litigation records of firms against these agencies. We conclude with a case study of a high-stakes policy where different kinds of interests used different strategies.
公众对拟议的联邦法规的评论被认为会影响官僚的政策选择,但为什么呢?虽然连任激励给了政客们迎合公众偏好的直接理由,但监管机构却缺乏类似的直接激励来满足利益相关者的要求。我们认为,评论者可能会采用几种不同的策略来试图说服监管机构。一般来说,他们要么描述政策后果,要么威胁监管机构制裁,尤其是由法院或国会制裁。但是,公众——尤其是公司和利益集团——在发表评论时使用了哪些策略?为什么?我们通过对高风险财务规则制定过程中战略参与者提交的意见进行大量手工编码来探讨这个问题。我们发现,绝大多数评论都是纯粹的信息内容,涉及政治因素的威胁非常有限。这些发现应该让文献感到惊讶,因为文献通常假设一种模式,即利益集团的评论是法院或国会阴影下的一种讨价还价形式。为了评估这种行为是由信息收益还是威胁成本驱动的,我们探讨了外部利益策略在资源分配中的变化,并分析了企业对这些机构的诉讼记录。最后,我们以一个高风险政策的案例进行总结,其中不同类型的利益使用不同的策略。
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引用次数: 2
Talk Local to Me: Assessing the Heterogenous Effects of Localistic Appeals 对我说本土化:评估本土化诉求的异质效应
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231173402
B. K. Munis, Richard Burke
Contemporary public opinion in the United States has been characterized by affective polarization and the nationalization of political behavior. In this paper, we examine whether local framing can decrease voters’ reliance on national partisan identities when evaluating their representatives in the United States Congress. Relying on both an experimental study and observational data from senators’ Facebook posts, we find evidence that “talking local” is an effective means for representatives to bypass the “perceptual screen” of partisanship . Candidates who “go local” in their communication style are able to expand their electoral coalition by appealing to independents and outpartisans alike. Observational findings suggest that many politicians, especially those representing competitive districts, are aware of this and “go local” strategically.
当代美国公众舆论呈现出情感两极分化和政治行为民族化的特征。在本文中,我们考察了地方框架是否可以减少选民在评估其在美国国会中的代表时对国家党派身份的依赖。根据一项实验研究和参议员Facebook帖子的观察数据,我们发现证据表明,“谈论本地”是代表绕过党派关系“感知屏幕”的有效手段。在沟通方式上“本地化”的候选人能够通过吸引独立人士和无党派人士来扩大他们的选举联盟。观察结果表明,许多政治家,尤其是那些代表竞争激烈的地区的政治家,意识到了这一点,并在战略上“本地化”。
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引用次数: 0
Legislative Gridlock and Policymaking Through the Appropriations Process 立法僵局与拨款过程中的政策制定
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231173403
J. Ryan, Scott L. Minkoff
Divergent preferences within and across American lawmaking institutions make it difficult to enact legislation. Yet, individual legislators and parties have incentives to effect policy change, even during periods of gridlock. We claim appropriations offer an alternative means of policymaking when legislation is likely to be unsuccessful using authorizations because appropriations bills have an extreme reversion point. Using an original dataset of appropriations laws, we measure the quantity of policy enacted given distributions of House, Senate, and executive preferences. The findings show that a larger gridlock interval and greater distance between the House and Senate medians promote the use of appropriations bills as substantive policymaking vehicles. This effect is especially pronounced when new chamber majorities come to power. We conclude that divergent preferences among lawmaking institutions affect legislative productivity, but winning coalitions can still make substantive policy changes using unorthodox lawmaking processes.
美国立法机构内部和内部的不同偏好使得立法变得困难。然而,即使在僵局时期,个别立法者和政党也有动力实现政策变革。我们声称,当使用授权的立法可能不成功时,拨款提供了一种替代的决策手段,因为拨款法案具有极端的逆转点。使用拨款法的原始数据集,我们衡量了在众议院、参议院和行政部门偏好分布的情况下制定的政策数量。研究结果表明,更大的僵局间隔和参众两院中间人之间更大的距离促进了拨款法案作为实质性决策工具的使用。当新的众议院多数派上台时,这种影响尤其明显。我们得出的结论是,立法机构之间的不同偏好会影响立法生产力,但获胜的联盟仍然可以使用非正统的立法程序做出实质性的政策改变。
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引用次数: 0
When Advocates Become Adjudicators: Tracing the Effects of Prosecutorial and Public Defense Experience on Judicial Decision Making 当辩护人成为审判员:检察和公共辩护经验对司法决策的影响
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231175138
Banks Miller, Brett Curry
We assess the influence professional background – specifically, having been a prosecutor or a public defender – exerts on decision making by federal district court judges. Focusing on search and seizure cases, we analyze nearly 1500 motions to suppress evidence from 2000 to 2022. In addition to controlling for judicial ideology and a judge’s prior experience as a prosecutor or public defender, we utilize matching to address endogeneity concerns related to one’s ability to self-select into one of these positions—which may itself be influenced by that individual’s ideological predispositions. We find that having been a former prosecutor, as well as the length of time that service spans, makes a judge significantly more likely to rule against a motion to suppress. Former public defenders are significantly more likely to grant that suppression motion, though their propensity to do so is not affected by the length of time served in that capacity.
我们评估了专业背景——特别是检察官或公设辩护人——对联邦地区法院法官决策的影响。我们以搜查和扣押案件为重点,分析了2000年至2022年近1500项压制证据的动议。除了控制司法意识形态和法官之前作为检察官或公设辩护人的经验外,我们还利用匹配来解决与一个人自我选择担任其中一个职位的能力相关的内生性问题——这本身可能受到个人意识形态倾向的影响。我们发现,作为一名前检察官,以及任职时间的长短,使法官更有可能对压制动议作出裁决。前公设辩护人更有可能批准镇压动议,尽管他们这样做的倾向不受担任该职位的时间长短的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A Tormenting Dilemma: American Identity and Attitudes Towards Torture 折磨人的困境:美国人对酷刑的认同和态度
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-29 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231173917
Anca Zugravu, Mike Medeiros, Alessandro Nai
Since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, research on attitudes towards the use of torture on suspected terrorists has become common. However, despite acknowledging the identity-rooted relationship between threat and out-group hostility, the possible relationship between identity attachment and attitudes towards torture has been under-explored. Using data from the 2016 American National Election Study, the results of the present study further the understanding of the relationship between identity and support for torture. Two main findings are supported: 1) greater attachment to American Identity increases support for the torture of suspected terrorists, and 2) the perceived threat of terrorism partially mediates the relationship between attachment to the American Identity and attitudes towards torture. Ultimately, the study demonstrates, high attachment to American Identity and the 9/11-generated discursive construction of terrorists as threatening this identity is associated with individuals’ attitudes towards torture.
自9/11恐怖袭击以来,关于对恐怖嫌疑人使用酷刑的态度的研究已经变得普遍。然而,尽管承认威胁与群体外敌意之间的身份根源关系,但身份依恋与对酷刑的态度之间的可能关系尚未得到充分探讨。使用2016年美国全国选举研究的数据,本研究的结果进一步理解了身份与支持酷刑之间的关系。两个主要的发现得到了支持:1)对美国身份的更大的依恋增加了对恐怖分子嫌疑人的酷刑的支持,2)感知到的恐怖主义威胁部分地调解了对美国身份的依恋和对酷刑的态度之间的关系。最后,该研究表明,对美国身份的高度依恋和9/11事件产生的恐怖分子的话语构建威胁着这种身份,这与个人对酷刑的态度有关。
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引用次数: 0
Considerations of American Democracy, Feeling Like a Loser, and Support for Changing the Rules 对美国民主的思考,感觉像个失败者,支持改变规则
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231172905
Todd Donovan, Caroline J. Tolbert, Samuel Harper
We test how perceptions of feeling like a loser in American politics may condition support for changes to how elections are conducted. We report a survey experiment that sheds some light on why people may feel like an electoral loser, then use this measure of losing to predict support for a range of proposals to change elections. The experiment prompted people to consider if they were satisfied with how democracy works and to think about the design and structure of American government. Respondents were then asked if they felt like they were on the winning or losing ‘side’ of politics. The prompt was associated with higher rates of respondents reporting they felt like they were on the losing side. Non-experimental estimates of support for a range of proposed changes to elections find a substantial relationship between this form of feeling like a loser, and supporting changing how elections are conducted. This relationship holds with controls for partisanship and other factors. One implication of this is that the more that some Americans are prompted to think about their government and democracy, the more likely they support changing how it works.
我们测试了在美国政治中感觉自己是失败者的看法如何会成为支持改变选举方式的条件。我们报告了一项调查实验,该实验揭示了为什么人们可能会觉得自己是选举失败者,然后用这种失败的衡量标准来预测对一系列改变选举的提议的支持。这项实验促使人们考虑他们是否对民主的运作方式感到满意,并思考美国政府的设计和结构。然后,受访者被问及他们是否觉得自己站在政治的输赢“一边”。这一提示与较高的受访者表示他们感觉自己处于失败的一方有关。对一系列拟议的选举改革的支持率的非实验性估计发现,这种形式的失败者感觉与支持改变选举方式之间存在着实质性的关系。这种关系与党派之争和其他因素有关。这意味着,一些美国人越是被促使思考他们的政府和民主,他们就越有可能支持改变它的运作方式。
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引用次数: 0
Economics, COVID, Election Forecasting: Did Trump Escape Blame? 经济学,新冠肺炎,选举预测:特朗普逃脱了指责吗?
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-17 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231168584
C. Tien, M. Lewis-Beck
Given Trump’s provocative personal profile, coupled with boasts of his political prowess, one might expect that the electorate would not allocate praise or blame at the ballot box in the usual reward and punishment way. They might blame him more than other candidates or, indeed, they might blame him less. Utilizing election forecasting as a benchmark, in particular the structural model of political economy, we assess whether voters blamed him less for his faltering performance with respect to leading policy issues, particularly the economy and COVID-19. Our findings suggest that, contrary to claims from supporters, voters punished him at least as much as they punished past presidents, when confronted with similar issue contexts. The Trump image of a leader with superior powers has the character of fiction, rather than fact.
考虑到特朗普挑衅性的个人形象,再加上对其政治能力的吹嘘,人们可能会认为选民不会以通常的奖惩方式在投票箱中分配赞扬或指责。他们可能会比其他候选人更多地责怪他,或者,事实上,他们可能会更少地责怪他。利用选举预测作为基准,特别是政治经济的结构模型,我们评估选民是否较少指责他在主要政策问题上表现不佳,尤其是经济和新冠肺炎。我们的调查结果表明,与支持者的说法相反,当面临类似的问题时,选民对他的惩罚至少与他们对前任总统的惩罚一样多。特朗普所塑造的一个拥有卓越权力的领导人形象具有虚构的特征,而非事实。
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引用次数: 0
Health Risks and Voting: Emphasizing Safety Measures Taken to Prevent COVID-19 Does Not Increase Willingness to Vote in Person 健康风险与投票:强调预防新冠肺炎的安全措施不会增加亲自投票的意愿
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-02 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231168354
S. Bokemper, G. Huber, A. Gerber
The COVID-19 pandemic made salient the risks posed by an infectious disease at a polling place. To what degree did such health risks, as with other changes to voting costs, affect the willingness to vote in person? Could highlighting safety measures reduce the association between COVID fears and unwillingness to vote in person? Using both a representative survey of Connecticut voters and a survey experiment, we examine whether concerns about health diminish willingness to vote in person. We find correlational evidence that those who are more worried about COVID-19 are less likely to report they will vote in person, even when considering risk mitigation efforts. We then present causal evidence that mentioning the safety measures being taken does little to offset the negative effect of priming COVID-19 risk on willingness to vote in person. These results contribute to a growing literature that assesses how health risks affect in person voting.
新冠肺炎大流行凸显了投票站传染病带来的风险。与投票成本的其他变化一样,这种健康风险在多大程度上影响了亲自投票的意愿?强调安全措施能减少对新冠肺炎的恐惧和不愿亲自投票之间的联系吗?通过对康涅狄格州选民的代表性调查和一项调查实验,我们检验了对健康的担忧是否会降低亲自投票的意愿。我们发现相关证据表明,那些更担心新冠肺炎的人不太可能报告他们将亲自投票,即使在考虑风险缓解措施时也是如此。然后,我们提出因果证据,证明提及正在采取的安全措施并不能抵消引发新冠肺炎风险对亲自投票意愿的负面影响。这些结果有助于越来越多的文献评估健康风险如何影响亲自投票。
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引用次数: 1
The Gender Gap in Supreme Court Legitimacy 最高法院合法性中的性别差距
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231168353
Christopher N. Krewson, J. Schroedel
Men and women diverge in their political behavior and attitudes. We test whether gender-based variation in political attitudes extends to perceptions of US Supreme Court legitimacy. Using a dataset covering the years 2012–2017, we show that one’s identification as a man or a woman predicts their diffuse support for the Court. In particular, women almost always extend less legitimacy to the Court than men do. This is true within both Republican and Democratic identifiers, and regression analysis shows the gender gap holds when controlling for partisanship, ideology, race, age, education, income, and Supreme Court approval. Additionally, we included a series of questions in a 2021 Cooperative Election Study (CES) module to explore why the gender gap in perceived legitimacy exists. We find that differences in perceptions of the Court’s representation of women and its fairness drive the gender gap in legitimacy.
男性和女性在政治行为和态度上存在分歧。我们测试了政治态度中基于性别的差异是否延伸到对美国最高法院合法性的看法。使用涵盖2012-2017年的数据集,我们表明,一个人的男性或女性身份可以预测他们对法院的广泛支持。特别是,女性向最高法院提供的合法性几乎总是低于男性。这在共和党和民主党的认知中都是如此,回归分析表明,在控制党派、意识形态、种族、年龄、教育、收入和最高法院批准时,性别差距仍然存在。此外,我们在2021年合作选举研究(CES)模块中纳入了一系列问题,以探讨为什么在感知合法性方面存在性别差距。我们发现,对法院妇女代表权及其公平性的看法存在差异,这导致了合法性方面的性别差距。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Effect of Descriptive Norms on Political Tolerance 描述性规范对政治宽容影响的评价
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.1177/1532673X231168347
F. Neuner, Mark D. Ramirez
Recent scholarship has documented changing norms toward political tolerance and an increase in intolerant beliefs in the United States. Descriptive norm theory attributes attitudinal and behavioral changes to beliefs about how we perceive other people think and act. Applied to political tolerance, increasing the perception that society is more or less tolerant should result in corresponding changes among individuals. Neglected from this discussion, however, is the distinction between norms that are applied universally and norms that are applied to specific targets. Four studies show mixed support for descriptive norm theory with norms altering individual tolerance judgments mostly when applied universally. Norms aimed at a particularistic group fail to change tolerance judgments suggesting an important limitation to norm influence. Contrary to expectations, we uncover a reversal effect among Democrats whereby exposure to universalistic norms of intolerance leads to higher levels of tolerance.
最近的学术研究记录了美国政治宽容规范的变化和不宽容信仰的增加。描述性规范理论将态度和行为的变化归因于我们对他人思维和行为的看法。应用于政治宽容,增加社会或多或少宽容的感觉应该导致个人之间相应的变化。然而,这种讨论忽略了普遍适用的规范和适用于特定目标的规范之间的区别。四项研究表明,描述性规范理论在普遍应用时主要改变个体的容忍度判断。针对特定群体的规范不能改变宽容判断,这表明规范影响的重要局限性。与预期相反,我们在民主党人中发现了一种逆转效应,即暴露于普遍的不容忍规范会导致更高的容忍水平。
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引用次数: 0
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American Politics Research
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