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Nontransitive Patterns in Long-Term Football Rivalries 长期足球对抗赛中的非过渡模式
IF 1.8 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1177/15270025241264235
J. van Ours
The phenomenon of nontransitivity in outcomes, typically observed in noneffort games with predetermined probabilities and immediate clarity, extends to team-based, time-consuming games requiring effort that unfold over a long period of time. This study explores this aspect through an empirical analysis of professional football matches in the Netherlands involving three prominent teams: Feyenoord, Ajax, and PSV. Contrary to conventional expectations, the results reveal a nontransitive pattern over more than three decades, indicating that Feyenoord is more likely to triumph over PSV, PSV over Ajax, and Ajax over Feyenoord than the reverse scenarios.
结果的非易变性现象通常出现在概率预先确定且即时清晰的非努力游戏中,但这种现象也会延伸到以团队为基础的、耗时的、需要长期努力的游戏中。本研究通过对荷兰三支著名球队参加的职业足球比赛进行实证分析,探讨了这方面的问题:费耶诺德、阿贾克斯和 PSV。与传统预期相反,研究结果表明,在三十多年的时间里,费耶诺德战胜 PSV、PSV 战胜阿贾克斯、阿贾克斯战胜费耶诺德的可能性大于相反的情况。
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引用次数: 0
The Well-Being and Social Value of Playing Soccer for Women and Men 男女踢足球的福祉和社会价值
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1177/15270025241233552
P. Downward, Pamela Wicker, Tim F. Thormann
This study examines the well-being and social value of playing different forms of soccer for men and women by employing the compensating variation approach to survey data from eight European countries. Framed by the desired objective of Title IX, this research assesses possible gender differences in the social benefits of sport. Social values are higher than the well-being derived from playing soccer, with the values of both being greater for women. Less formal forms of soccer yield generally higher monetary values than the competitive 11-a-side format. As the marginal returns are greater, investment should promote women's engagement and more informal playing opportunities.
本研究通过对八个欧洲国家的调查数据采用补偿变异法,研究了男女踢不同形式足球的福祉和社会价值。以《第九章》的预期目标为框架,本研究评估了在体育运动的社会效益方面可能存在的性别差异。社会价值高于踢足球带来的幸福感,对女性而言,两者的价值都更高。不那么正规的足球运动形式所产生的货币价值通常高于 11 人制的竞技形式。由于边际回报率更高,投资应促进妇女的参与和更多非正式的比赛机会。
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引用次数: 0
Migrants Networks and Survival in the Job: Evidence from Foreign Newcomers on the PGA Tour 移民网络与工作生存:来自美国职业高尔夫球巡回赛外国新人的证据
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1177/15270025241233551
Raja Kali, David Pastoriza, Jean‐François Plante, Ekaterina Turkina
How do migrant social networks matter for performance in the job? We examine this by constructing a nationality-based network of foreign newcomers when they first begin to play in the PGA TOUR and examine the impact of this initial social network on newcomers’ probability of surviving (i.e., keeping their license) at the end of their inaugural PGA TOUR season. We find that the migrant social network matters among the non-elite group of players in the second tier of the PGA TOUR, but not among the elite group of players in the first tier of the PGA TOUR. For the second-tier tour players, we find that density of connections within a nationality cluster has a sizable positive effect on newcomers’ probability of surviving, but no evidence that the centrality of a nationality cluster in the overall PGA TOUR network has an impact on survival.
移民社会网络如何影响工作表现?我们通过构建外国新人刚开始参加美巡赛时的基于国籍的网络来研究这个问题,并研究这个初始社会网络对新人在美巡赛首个赛季结束时的生存概率(即保住执照)的影响。我们发现,在美巡赛第二梯队的非精英球员群体中,移民社会网络很重要,但在美巡赛第一梯队的精英球员群体中,移民社会网络并不重要。对于第二级巡回赛选手,我们发现国籍集群内的联系密度对新人的存活概率有相当大的积极影响,但没有证据表明国籍集群在整个美巡赛网络中的中心地位对存活率有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Updating Beliefs Based on Observed Performance: Evidence From NFL Head Coaches 根据观察到的表现更新信念:来自美国橄榄球联盟主教练的证据
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1177/15270025231222633
Michael A. Roach, Mark F. Owens
We utilize play-by-play data from the National Football League to examine coaching decisions on fourth down and how sensitive they are to information on situational success and their competitive environment. Prior fourth down successes and failures within a game influence coaches in a way consistent with the notion that recent information is more salient to these coaches when making decisions and a belief in in-game momentum. Coaches are more sensitive to fourth down failures than successes, and our findings suggest this sensitivity to prior failures leads to suboptimal fourth down decisions later in the game. This finding is generally driven by the behavior of coaches with a background in coaching offense, suggesting the availability heuristic is particularly potent for managers who are more involved and, perhaps, more accountable for the details of fourth down plays. We suspect these patterns are prevalent in a wide range of managerial contexts.
我们利用全美橄榄球联盟的比赛旁述数据来研究教练在第四次进攻中的决策,以及他们对情境成功信息和竞争环境的敏感程度。在一场比赛中,之前在第四次进攻中的成功和失败对教练的影响是一致的,即教练在做决定时,最近的信息对他们来说更突出,而且他们相信比赛中的势头。与成功相比,教练对第四次进攻失败的敏感度更高,而我们的研究结果表明,这种对先前失败的敏感度会导致在比赛后期做出次优的第四次进攻决策。这一发现通常是由具有进攻教练背景的教练的行为所驱动的,这表明可用性启发式对管理人员尤其有效,因为他们更多地参与到第四攻战术的细节中,或许也更有责任感。我们怀疑这些模式在各种管理环境中都很普遍。
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引用次数: 0
Should I Stay or Should I Go Pro? Early NFL Draft Entry by NCAA FBS Underclassmen 我应该留下还是转行?NCAA FBS 本科生提前参加 NFL 选秀
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1177/15270025231222632
Brad R. Humphreys, Yulia Chikish, Peter von Allmen
Some college players face the tradeoff between continuing their education and entering the draft and forfeiting college eligibility. Little empirical research focuses on this “stay or go pro” decision. We analyze early draft entry decisions made by college football underclassmen with remaining eligibility over the 2007/08-2018/19 seasons. Regression results support both the human capital explanation for early draft entry in that players acquiring more human capital in the previous season by playing in more games increases the likelihood of early entry and the option value perspective in that playing on a more successful team increases the likelihood of early entry.
一些大学生球员面临着继续学业与参加选秀和放弃大学资格之间的权衡。很少有实证研究关注这种 "留校还是转行 "的决定。我们分析了 2007/08-2018/19 赛季中仍有参赛资格的大学橄榄球低年级学生提前参加选秀的决定。回归结果支持对提前参加选秀的人力资本解释,即球员在前一个赛季通过参加更多比赛获得更多人力资本会增加提前参加选秀的可能性;也支持期权价值观点,即在一支更成功的球队打球会增加提前参加选秀的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Umpire Home Bias in Major League Baseball 美国职业棒球大联盟中的裁判主场偏见
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-28 DOI: 10.1177/15270025231222631
Mike Hsu
This paper studies whether Major League Baseball umpires displayed home bias in their pitch calls, using data on pitch call accuracy from the 2010–2019 seasons to isolate evaluator bias from player performances. The main findings are consistent with umpire home bias, as home batters on average received more called balls on actual ball pitches and fewer called strikes on actual strike pitches, which work in their favor. The bias is not entirely explained by umpire, player, or stadium characteristics, nor is it attributable to umpiring inconsistencies.
本文利用 2010-2019 赛季的投球判罚准确性数据,研究了美国职业棒球大联盟裁判在投球判罚中是否表现出主场偏向,从而将评估者偏向与球员表现隔离开来。主要发现与裁判的主场偏见一致,因为主场击球手平均在实际的坏球投球中收到更多的被判罚坏球,而在实际的好球投球中收到较少的被判罚好球,这对他们有利。这种偏差不能完全用裁判、球员或球场的特点来解释,也不能归因于裁判的不一致。
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引用次数: 0
International Competitions, Star Players, and NWSL Attendance 国际比赛、明星球员和 NWSL 出席情况
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1177/15270025231217973
E. F. Stephenson
This paper analyzes match attendance for the National Women's Soccer League over its first seven seasons. Findings include large attendance boosts for matches played after the 2015 and 2019 Women's World Cup tournaments, but a negligible increase following the 2016 Summer Olympics. Large superstar effects for Alex Morgan and Abby Wambach are found as well as smaller effects for Sam Kerr and Carli Lloyd. Megan Rapinoe has a large star effect, but only for matches played following the Women's World Cups.
本文分析了全国女子足球联赛前七个赛季的比赛上座率。研究结果显示,2015 年和 2019 年女足世界杯赛后的比赛上座率大幅提升,但 2016 年夏季奥运会后的上座率增幅微乎其微。亚历克斯-摩根(Alex Morgan)和艾比-万巴赫(Abby Wambach)的巨星效应较大,萨姆-科尔(Sam Kerr)和卡莉-劳埃德(Carli Lloyd)的巨星效应较小。梅根-拉皮诺(Megan Rapinoe)的明星效应较大,但仅限于女足世界杯之后的比赛。
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引用次数: 0
James Patrick Quirk: An Academic Obituary 詹姆斯-帕特里克-柯克:学术讣告
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1177/15270025221120589
Rodney Fort
The work summarizes the contributions of James (Jim) Patrick Quirk to the field of economics, and sub-discipline of sports economics. It also provides a personal account of Jim Quirk as both a mentor and friend.
这部作品总结了詹姆斯-帕特里克-柯克(James (Jim) Patrick Quirk)对经济学领域和体育经济学分支学科的贡献。该书还介绍了吉姆-柯克亦师亦友的个人经历。
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引用次数: 0
An Introduction to the James Quirk Special Issue and the Economics of Combat Sport 詹姆斯-柯克特刊和搏击运动经济学简介
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1177/15270025221112843
Robbie Butler
The purpose of this special issue is two-fold. Firstly, it is a celebration of the contributions and life of James (Jim) Patrick Quirk. Jim’s contributions to the field of economics and sub-discipline of sports economics span almost half a century, and he can rightly be considered one of the forefathers of the subject. The second is to consider an area that, to date, has received little attention in sports economics and is deserving of greater exploration – combat sport. Appropriately, two of the earliest working papers considering combat sport were co-authored by Jim Quirk, and therefore, it is fitting that this area is explored in the realization of this special issue.
本特刊有两个目的。首先,它是对詹姆斯-帕特里克-柯克(James (Jim) Patrick Quirk)的贡献和生平的纪念。吉姆对经济学领域和体育经济学分支学科的贡献跨越了近半个世纪,他可以被正确地视为该学科的先驱之一。其次,我们要探讨的是一个迄今为止在体育经济学中鲜有关注、但却值得深入探讨的领域--格斗体育。吉姆-奎克最早撰写了两篇关于格斗运动的工作文件,因此,在本特刊中探讨这一领域是非常恰当的。
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引用次数: 0
Wages, Talent, and Demand for NCAA Sport After the Alston v. NCAA Antitrust Case 阿尔斯通诉 NCAA 反垄断案后 NCAA 体育运动的工资、人才和需求情况
IF 1.7 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1177/15270025231217970
Shane D. Sanders
From the “landmark” Alston v. NCAA antitrust decision, we examine whether the legally hypothesized fan wage-repugnance effect implies procompetitive benefits in NCAA sports output markets via increased output demand from student-athlete wage restriction. In Alston v. NCAA, the Courts took this benefit as given but failed to recognize the empirically-verified relationship between league talent and fan demand. We assume a legally-hypothesized wage-repugnance line exists and present a theoretical output-demand model functionally dependent upon allocations in a wage-constrained labor-input market. Even given fan repugnance, wage restrictions do not necessarily generate procompetitive benefits. For families of model parameterizations, wage restrictions impose anticompetitive harm.
从 "里程碑式 "的 "Alston 诉 NCAA "反托拉斯判决中,我们研究了法律上假设的球迷工资排斥效应是否意味着 NCAA 体育产出市场通过限制学生运动员工资增加产出需求而获得有利于竞争的利益。在 Alston 诉 NCAA 案中,法院将这一利益视为既定事实,但却没有认识到联盟人才与球迷需求之间的经验验证关系。我们假定存在一条法律上假定的工资-反感线,并提出了一个理论上的产出-需求模型,其功能取决于工资受限的劳动投入市场的分配。即使存在粉丝反感,工资限制也不一定会产生有利于竞争的好处。对于一系列模型参数化而言,工资限制会造成反竞争损害。
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Journal of Sports Economics
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