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Modeling travelers’ joint car ownership and car type choice behavior: The role of autonomous vehicle safety-security perceptions 旅行者共同拥有汽车和汽车类型选择行为的建模:自动驾驶汽车安全感知的作用
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101230
Umer Mansoor , Yu Gu , Anthony Chen
Car ownership and car type choice are critical components of transportation planning, yet the interplay between these decisions and the impact of emerging vehicle technologies, such as autonomous vehicles (AVs), remain underexplored. As AVs become more prevalent, travelers’ perceptions and behaviors regarding their safety and security may affect their adoption. This study investigates how travelers’ risk perceptions (safety, security, and range anxiety) shape their joint decisions to own a car and select a vehicle type within a multimodal transportation system. We propose a discrete choice modeling-based equilibrium analysis framework that integrates a dogit model to capture captivity effects in car ownership decisions and a nested logit model to account for similarities among car types. The framework is formulated as a mathematical programming problem, ensuring solution existence and uniqueness. Numerical experiments on a toy network and a real-world case study reveal that reductions in travelers’ risk perceptions toward AVs lead to significant increases in AV adoption, highlighting the critical role of public trust in transitioning to AV-dominated markets. By explicitly linking risk perceptions to long-term transportation planning, this model equips policymakers with a tool to design strategies that address behavioral barriers to AV adoption while balancing efficiency and safety objectives.
汽车拥有量和车型选择是交通规划的关键组成部分,但这些决策与新兴汽车技术(如自动驾驶汽车)的影响之间的相互作用仍未得到充分探讨。随着自动驾驶汽车的普及,旅行者对自身安全的看法和行为可能会影响自动驾驶汽车的采用。本研究调查了旅行者的风险感知(安全、保障和里程焦虑)如何影响他们在多式联运系统中拥有汽车和选择车辆类型的共同决策。我们提出了一个基于离散选择建模的均衡分析框架,该框架集成了一个dogit模型来捕捉汽车所有权决策中的圈养效应,一个嵌套logit模型来解释汽车类型之间的相似性。该框架被表述为一个数学规划问题,保证了解的存在唯一性。在玩具网络上的数值实验和现实案例研究表明,旅行者对自动驾驶汽车风险认知的降低导致自动驾驶汽车采用率的显著增加,突出了公众信任在向自动驾驶汽车主导的市场过渡中的关键作用。通过明确地将风险认知与长期交通规划联系起来,该模型为政策制定者提供了设计策略的工具,以解决自动驾驶采用的行为障碍,同时平衡效率和安全目标。
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引用次数: 0
A deep reinforcement learning approach for real-time bus operation control using departure timetabling, stop-skipping, and re-routing 一种深度强化学习方法,用于实时公交运行控制,使用发车时间表,跳停和重新路由
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101165
Zhe Wang, Zhixiang Fang
Bus operation control is an effective way to enhance bus line operational efficiency and provide high-quality intra-city transit services. Traditional bus operation control approaches predominantly focus on static control, while the dynamic nature of transit ridership necessitates real-time control approaches. This study proposes a novel multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) approach to address the real-time bus operation control problem, using a hybrid strategy that combines departure timetabling, stop-skipping, and re-routing. In this approach, the single-line bus operational process is modelled as a Markov Decision Process (MDP), where the reward function considers both bus operational costs and passenger waiting time. Using a real-world transportation dataset in Xiamen, China, the experiments verified that our approach is able to reduce the passenger waiting time without higher operational costs and exhibit robustness on bus lines with heavy ridership demand and uneven ridership distribution. This study presents a pioneering endeavour in integrating DRL and transportation geographic information system into bus operation control. The real-time control mechanism enables bus lines to dynamically adapt to ridership demand fluctuations and maintain passenger satisfaction across diverse scenarios.
公交运营控制是提高公交线路运营效率、提供高质量城际公交服务的有效途径。传统的公交运行控制方法主要侧重于静态控制,而公交客流量的动态性需要实时控制方法。本研究提出了一种新的多智能体深度强化学习(DRL)方法来解决实时公交运行控制问题,该方法使用了一种结合发车时间表、跳停和改道的混合策略。在此方法中,将单线公交运营过程建模为马尔可夫决策过程(MDP),其中奖励函数同时考虑公交运营成本和乘客等待时间。使用中国厦门的真实交通数据集,实验验证了我们的方法能够在不增加运营成本的情况下减少乘客等待时间,并且在客流量需求大且客流量分布不均匀的公交线路上表现出鲁棒性。本研究是将DRL与交通地理资讯系统整合到公车营运控制的开创性尝试。实时控制机制使公交线路能够动态适应乘客需求波动,并在不同场景下保持乘客满意度。
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引用次数: 0
E-scooters in Qatar: Public perception, adoption intentions, and implications for urban mobility policy 卡塔尔的电动滑板车:公众认知、采用意向以及对城市交通政策的影响
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101215
Zahid Hussain , Wael K.M. Alhajyaseen , Mohammad N.H. Naser , Qinaat Hussain , Charitha Dias , Miho Iryo-Asano
Despite growing global interest in e-scooters as micromobility solutions, limited research has explored factors influencing their adoption in car-dependent, high-income contexts with extreme summer climates. This study addresses this gap through nationwide web-based survey in Qatar, where high private vehicle dependency, summer temperatures exceeding 45 °C, and limited cycling infrastructure as well as limited cycling culture create unique challenges for micromobility integration. The final sample consisted of 2736 respondents (339 e-scooter users and 2397 non-users), capturing usage patterns, demographic information, and non-users’ perceptions of public acceptance and intention to use e-scooters. Among current users, e-scooters were predominantly used for leisure and commuting, with males and notably, individuals without driving licenses using them frequently. Usage patterns differed between ownership types, with shared/rental users predominantly using e-scooters for leisure, while owned e-scooter users primarily used them for commuting. To examine non-users’ perspectives, structural equation modeling was used to assess influence of different factors on usage intention and perceived public acceptance. Findings revealed that regulatory and infrastructure support, along with social influence and preference, were the most significant predictors, while cost and service quality barriers negatively influenced usage intention. Importantly, perceived public acceptance strongly influenced personal intention to use, demonstrating that social legitimacy substantially shapes adoption even in car-oriented contexts. Sociodemographic analysis revealed that car ownership and higher income negatively predicted adoption, while non-license holders, non-Arab residents, and employed individuals showed significantly higher adoption potential. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners in developing targeted interventions to promote safe and sustainable integration of e-scooters. Such interventions include improved infrastructure, effective regulations, competitive pricing, enhanced service quality, and community engagement initiatives. While grounded in Qatar’s context, these findings can be generalized to urban environments globally characterized by high motorization rates, cultural preferences for private vehicles, challenging climatic conditions, and infrastructure limitations.
尽管全球对电动滑板车作为微型交通解决方案的兴趣日益浓厚,但在依赖汽车、高收入、夏季极端气候的环境中,影响电动滑板车采用的因素的研究有限。本研究通过在卡塔尔进行的基于网络的全国性调查解决了这一差距,卡塔尔高度依赖私家车,夏季气温超过45°C,有限的自行车基础设施以及有限的自行车文化为微交通一体化带来了独特的挑战。最终样本包括2736名受访者(339名电动滑板车用户和2397名非用户),获取使用模式、人口统计信息以及非用户对公众接受和使用电动滑板车的意愿的看法。在目前的用户中,电动滑板车主要用于休闲和通勤,男性,特别是没有驾照的个人经常使用它们。不同所有权类型的用户使用模式不同,共享/租赁用户主要将电动滑板车用于休闲,而自有电动滑板车用户主要将其用于通勤。为了检验非使用者的观点,我们使用结构方程模型来评估不同因素对使用意愿和感知公众接受度的影响。调查结果显示,监管和基础设施支持以及社会影响和偏好是最重要的预测因素,而成本和服务质量障碍对使用意愿产生负面影响。重要的是,感知到的公众接受程度强烈地影响了个人的使用意图,这表明即使在以汽车为导向的环境中,社会合法性也在很大程度上影响了使用。社会人口统计分析显示,拥有汽车和高收入负向预测采用率,而没有驾照的人、非阿拉伯居民和有工作的人则显示出更高的采用率潜力。这些发现为政策制定者和城市规划者制定有针对性的干预措施以促进电动滑板车的安全和可持续整合提供了有价值的见解。这些干预措施包括改善基础设施、有效监管、竞争性定价、提高服务质量以及社区参与倡议。虽然基于卡塔尔的背景,但这些发现可以推广到全球的城市环境,这些城市的特点是高机动化率、对私家车的文化偏好、具有挑战性的气候条件和基础设施的限制。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and operational interventions for healthy cruise ship design using agent-based modelling 基于主体模型的健康游轮设计的空间和操作干预
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101232
Jiayu Pan , Leonel Aguilar , Michal Gath-Morad , Ronita Bardhan , Koen Steemers
Cruise ship environments have been identified as high-risk settings for communicable disease outbreaks. The severe COVID-19 outbreaks aboard several cruise ships have further intensified concerns about transmission in these confined, densely populated environments. Although some behavioural interventions have been studied, the influence of spatial and operational design on transmission risk remains under explored.
To address this gap, this study applies agent-based modelling (ABM) to simulate passenger movement patterns on mixed-use cruise ship decks as a surrogate for infection transmission. By modelling individual movement behaviours and collisions (close-contact exposure) within the mixed-use decks, the ABM approach supports the development of spatial design and operational strategies that can reduce transmission risk and improve the efficiency and healthiness of onboard circulation. We conducted verification and parametric tests to assess model performance and designed three experiments to evaluate the effects of varying occupancy levels, infection prevalence, spatial layouts and access restriction strategies with 1181 simulation runs, the simulation results are complemented by spatial analyses of deck plans to inform evidence-based recommendations for safer cruise ship environments.
We identified three key spatial drivers of disease transmission risk on cruise ships. First, higher occupancy density and compact layouts significantly increased close-contact events, as passengers navigated narrow, poorly connected corridors. Second, the effectiveness of quarantine interventions depended not just on their presence but on their spatial placement: centrally located restrictions amplified congestion, while peripheral placement helped alleviate it. Third, simple passive design changes—such as widening corridors or enhancing internal connectivity—reduced movement bottlenecks and collisions, without requiring behavioural adaptation. Together, these findings demonstrate that spatial configuration is not merely a backdrop but a powerful determinant of health resilience in high-occupancy environments.
游轮环境已被确定为传染病暴发的高风险环境。几艘游轮上发生的COVID-19严重疫情进一步加剧了人们对在这些狭窄、人口稠密的环境中传播的担忧。虽然已经研究了一些行为干预措施,但空间和操作设计对传播风险的影响仍有待探讨。为了解决这一差距,本研究应用基于主体的建模(ABM)来模拟混合用途游轮甲板上的乘客运动模式,作为感染传播的替代品。通过模拟混合用途甲板内的个人运动行为和碰撞(近距离接触暴露),ABM方法支持空间设计和操作策略的发展,可以减少传播风险,提高船上循环的效率和健康。我们进行了验证和参数测试来评估模型的性能,并设计了三个实验来评估不同的入住率、感染流行率、空间布局和访问限制策略对1181次模拟运行的影响,模拟结果与甲板平面图的空间分析相补充,为更安全的游轮环境提供循证建议。我们确定了邮轮上疾病传播风险的三个关键空间驱动因素。首先,较高的占用密度和紧凑的布局显著增加了近距离接触事件,因为乘客在狭窄、连接不良的走廊上航行。其次,隔离措施的有效性不仅取决于它们的存在,还取决于它们的空间位置:中心位置的限制加剧了拥堵,而外围位置的限制有助于缓解拥堵。第三,简单的被动设计改变——比如拓宽走廊或加强内部连接——减少了移动瓶颈和碰撞,而不需要行为适应。总之,这些发现表明,在高占用率环境中,空间配置不仅是一个背景,而且是健康恢复力的一个强大决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
Correlates of pregnant women’s active and passive mobility: A smartphone-based tracking study in Barcelona, Spain 孕妇主动和被动活动的相关性:西班牙巴塞罗那一项基于智能手机的跟踪研究
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101196
Karl Samuelsson , Ioar Rivas , Marta Cirach , Bruno Raimbault , Alan Domínguez , Yu Zhao , Toni Galmés , Antònia Valentin , Maria Foraster , Mireia Gascon , Cecilia Persavento , Maria Dolores Gomez Roig , Elisa Llurba , Efstathios Boukouras , Oriol Marquet , Monika Maciejewska , Mark J. Nieuwenhuijsen , Xavier Basagaña , Jordi Sunyer , Achilleas Psyllidis , Payam Dadvand
Understanding the factors that shape daily mobility during pregnancy is essential for inclusive transportation planning that promotes active travel for all. Using smartphone-based Global Positioning System data from 860 pregnant women in Barcelona, Spain, we evaluated the correlates of active and passive travel in early and late pregnancy. We identified 33 correlates from 48 candidate variables including personal characteristics, the residential physical environment, the social environment, and temporal factors. The most important correlate across pregnancy was non-European ethnic origin, being associated with 10–15 min less daily active travel. In early pregnancy, commuting distance was the most important correlate, being positively associated with passive travel, while the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with less passive travel. In late pregnancy, residential walkability and having a university degree were positively associated with active travel. The neighbourhood education level was associated with more active travel, particularly during weekends. We discuss key priorities for supporting active travel during pregnancy.
了解影响怀孕期间日常出行的因素对于制定包容性交通规划、促进所有人积极出行至关重要。利用来自西班牙巴塞罗那860名孕妇的基于智能手机的全球定位系统数据,我们评估了怀孕早期和晚期主动和被动旅行的相关性。我们从48个候选变量中确定了33个相关变量,包括个人特征、居住物理环境、社会环境和时间因素。怀孕期间最重要的关联是非欧洲血统,与每天少10-15分钟的活动旅行有关。在怀孕早期,通勤距离是最重要的相关因素,与被动出行呈正相关,而COVID-19大流行与被动出行减少相关。在怀孕后期,居住可步行性和拥有大学学位与积极旅行呈正相关。社区教育水平与更积极的旅行有关,尤其是在周末。我们讨论了支持怀孕期间积极旅行的关键优先事项。
{"title":"Correlates of pregnant women’s active and passive mobility: A smartphone-based tracking study in Barcelona, Spain","authors":"Karl Samuelsson ,&nbsp;Ioar Rivas ,&nbsp;Marta Cirach ,&nbsp;Bruno Raimbault ,&nbsp;Alan Domínguez ,&nbsp;Yu Zhao ,&nbsp;Toni Galmés ,&nbsp;Antònia Valentin ,&nbsp;Maria Foraster ,&nbsp;Mireia Gascon ,&nbsp;Cecilia Persavento ,&nbsp;Maria Dolores Gomez Roig ,&nbsp;Elisa Llurba ,&nbsp;Efstathios Boukouras ,&nbsp;Oriol Marquet ,&nbsp;Monika Maciejewska ,&nbsp;Mark J. Nieuwenhuijsen ,&nbsp;Xavier Basagaña ,&nbsp;Jordi Sunyer ,&nbsp;Achilleas Psyllidis ,&nbsp;Payam Dadvand","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101196","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101196","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the factors that shape daily mobility during pregnancy is essential for inclusive transportation planning that promotes active travel for all. Using smartphone-based Global Positioning System data from 860 pregnant women in Barcelona, Spain, we evaluated the correlates of active and passive travel in early and late pregnancy. We identified 33 correlates from 48 candidate variables including personal characteristics, the residential physical environment, the social environment, and temporal factors. The most important correlate across pregnancy was non-European ethnic origin, being associated with 10–15 min less daily active travel. In early pregnancy, commuting distance was the most important correlate, being positively associated with passive travel, while the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with less passive travel. In late pregnancy, residential walkability and having a university degree were positively associated with active travel. The neighbourhood education level was associated with more active travel, particularly during weekends. We discuss key priorities for supporting active travel during pregnancy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 101196"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145651526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analyzing sequential activity and travel decisions with interpretable deep inverse reinforcement learning 用可解释的深度逆强化学习分析顺序活动和旅行决策
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101171
Yuebing Liang , Shenhao Wang , Jiangbo Yu , Zhan Zhao , Jinhua Zhao , Sandy Pentland
Travel demand modeling has shifted from aggregated trip-based models to behavior-oriented activity-based models because daily trips are essentially driven by human activities. To analyze the sequential activity-travel decisions, deep inverse reinforcement learning (DIRL) has proven effective in learning the decision mechanisms by approximating a reward function to represent preferences and a policy function to replicate observed behavior using deep neural networks (DNNs). However, most DIRL applications emphasize prediction accuracy and treat the learned functions as black boxes, offering limited behavioral insight. To address this gap, we propose an interpretable DIRL framework that adapts an adversarial IRL approach for modeling sequential activity-travel behavior. Interpretability is achieved in two ways: (1) we distill the learned policy into a surrogate interpretable Multinomial Logit (MNL) model, enabling the extraction of behavioral drivers from model parameters; and (2) we derive short-term rewards and long-term returns from the learned reward function, quantifying immediate preferences and overall decision outcomes across activity sequences. Applied to real-world travel survey data from Singapore, our framework uncovers meaningful behavioral patterns. The MNL-based surrogate model reveals that travel decisions are shaped by activity schedules, travel time, and socio-demographic attributes, particularly employment type. Reward and return analysis distinguish returners with regular patterns from explorers with irregular ones. Regular patterns yield higher long-term returns, while females and elderly individuals exhibit lower returns, indicating disparities in individual activity patterns. These findings bridge the gap between theory-driven behavioral models and data-driven machine learning, offering actionable insights for transport policy and urban planning.
旅行需求模型已经从基于汇总旅行的模型转变为基于行为导向的基于活动的模型,因为日常旅行本质上是由人类活动驱动的。为了分析序列活动-旅行决策,深度逆强化学习(DIRL)已被证明在学习决策机制方面是有效的,它通过使用深度神经网络(dnn)近似表示偏好的奖励函数和复制观察行为的策略函数来学习决策机制。然而,大多数DIRL应用程序强调预测的准确性,并将学习到的函数视为黑盒,提供有限的行为洞察力。为了解决这一差距,我们提出了一个可解释的DIRL框架,该框架采用对抗性的IRL方法来建模顺序活动-旅行行为。可解释性通过两种方式实现:(1)我们将学习到的策略提炼成一个代理可解释的多项Logit (MNL)模型,从而能够从模型参数中提取行为驱动因素;(2)我们从学习奖励函数中获得短期奖励和长期回报,量化了跨活动序列的即时偏好和总体决策结果。应用于来自新加坡的真实旅行调查数据,我们的框架揭示了有意义的行为模式。基于mnl的代理模型表明,旅行决策受活动计划、旅行时间和社会人口属性(尤其是就业类型)的影响。奖励与回报分析区分了规律模式的返回者和不规则模式的探索者。规律模式产生较高的长期回报,而女性和老年人表现出较低的回报,表明个体活动模式的差异。这些发现弥合了理论驱动的行为模型和数据驱动的机器学习之间的差距,为交通政策和城市规划提供了可行的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Exposure to green and blue spaces during travel does not have immediate effect on subjective happiness and stress: evidence from a GPS survey in England 英国一项GPS调查的证据显示,在旅行中接触绿色和蓝色的空间不会对主观幸福感和压力产生直接影响
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101191
Milad Malekzadeh , Darja Reuschke , Jed A. Long
How wellbeing can be improved in cities, has attracted increasing attention. This paper studies urban stress and happiness in relation to daily travel behaviour through a large app-based geographic ecological momentary assessment study conducted in three English cities: Birmingham, Leeds, and Brighton and Hove. The key questions are whether, and to what extent, environmental factors—specifically, green and blue spaces, and weather conditions—affect urban travellers’ happiness and stress levels immediately following travel. GPS data from 606 participants were collected and combined with survey questions asking participants to score their current happiness and stress levels at the end of trips. Environmental data were linked to the GPS location data. The results indicate that exposure to green and blue spaces during trips had no immediate effect on happiness or stress levels. However, active transportation modes, such as walking and biking, were associated with higher happiness and lower stress compared to car use. These findings suggest that while exposure to green and blue spaces may provide long-term environmental values within an urban context; promoting active travel modes could yield more immediate benefits for urban wellbeing.
如何提高城市居民的幸福感,已经引起了越来越多的关注。本文通过在伯明翰、利兹、布莱顿和霍夫三个英国城市进行的基于应用程序的地理生态瞬时评估研究,研究了与日常出行行为相关的城市压力和幸福感。关键的问题是,环境因素——特别是绿色和蓝色的空间,以及天气条件——是否以及在多大程度上影响城市旅行者旅行后的幸福感和压力水平。研究人员收集了606名参与者的GPS数据,并将其与调查问题相结合,调查问题要求参与者在旅行结束时对他们目前的幸福感和压力水平进行评分。环境数据与GPS定位数据相关联。结果表明,在旅行中接触绿色和蓝色空间对幸福感或压力水平没有直接影响。然而,与使用汽车相比,步行和骑自行车等积极的交通方式能带来更高的幸福感和更低的压力。这些发现表明,在城市环境中,接触绿色和蓝色空间可能提供长期的环境价值;推广积极的出行方式可以为城市福利带来更直接的好处。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling interdependent choices of remote working centers and transportation with attitudes through latent variables 通过潜在变量对远程工作中心和交通的相互依赖选择进行建模
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101176
Jieyuan Lan , Tao Feng
The paper aims to investigate the interdependent choice behavior of individuals regarding Remote Working Centers (RWCs) and transportation modes, focusing particularly on latent factors like attitudes and personality traits. Using stated preference data from Tokyo, Japan, an integrated choice and latent variable (ICLV) model was applied. The results reveal that RWCs with six square meters of workspaces, minimal distractions, and no nearby amenities increase the probability of using RWCs. Work commitment, opportunity loss, workplace attire, timesaving attitude, workplace attachment, and workplace aversion significantly influence RWC usage. Individuals having higher work commitment, greater concerns about opportunity loss, higher workplace attire, and stronger workplace attachment and aversion are more likely to use RWCs, while timesaving people prefer working from home. Transportation choices also vary, with workplace attire investments favoring driving, and timesaving attitudes leaning toward walking or rail. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders to promote teleworking, alleviating traffic and reducing environmental impacts.
本研究旨在探讨个体对远程工作中心和交通方式的相互依赖选择行为,重点关注态度和人格特质等潜在因素。使用来自日本东京的陈述偏好数据,应用综合选择和潜在变量(ICLV)模型。结果显示,拥有6平方米工作空间、干扰最小、附近没有设施的rwc增加了使用rwc的可能性。工作承诺、机会损失、工作着装、节省时间态度、工作依恋和工作厌恶显著影响RWC的使用。工作投入度高、更担心机会流失、更讲究职场着装、更强烈的职场依恋和厌恶感的人更有可能使用rwc,而节省时间的人更喜欢在家工作。交通工具的选择也各不相同,职场着装投资倾向于开车,而节省时间的态度倾向于步行或坐火车。这些发现为政策制定者和利益相关者促进远程办公、缓解交通和减少环境影响提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
How can metro-integrated multimodal travel substitute for ride-hailing trips in the era of mobility as a service? 在移动即服务的时代,地铁综合多式联运如何取代网约车?
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101214
Wenxiang Li , Bo Liu , Weiwei Liu , Yang Yang
The rapid growth of ride-hailing services has reshaped urban mobility but also intensified congestion, emissions, and car dependency, raising concerns about sustainability. The metro-integrated multimodal travel (MIMT), enabled by Mobility as a Service (MaaS) platforms, offers promising low-carbon alternatives by integrating metro systems with convenient access and egress modes such as ridesplitting, buses, cycling, and walking. This study aims to develop a pratical analytical framework to assess the substitution potential of MIMT for ride-hailing trips in the era of MaaS. First, a trip reconstruction method is proposed to generate ten types of MIMT alternatives under identical origin–destination (OD) conditions. Second, a multidimensional evaluation model is established to quantify substitution benefits by jointly considering cost savings, carbon emission reductions, and time delays. Third, an interpretable machine learning approach (CatBoost integrated with SHAP and PDP) is applied to identify the travel and built environment factors influencing substitution potential. A case study based on 837,503 ride-hailing trips in Shanghai indicates that 56.46 % of trips could feasibly be replaced by MIMT alternatives. On average, each substituted trip yields a comprehensive benefits of 13.83 CNY, comprising cost savings of 24.03 CNY and carbon emission reductions of 1.29 kg, at the cost of an average travel time increase of 17.51 min. The results further reveal that substitution potential is primarily driven by route nonlinearity, trip distance, and metro accessibility. Travel-related variables account for 61.11 % of explanatory power, while built environment features contribute the remaining 38.89 %. Sensitivity analyses demonstrate that travelers' transition from ride-hailing to MIMT is predominantly influenced by the value of time, with current carbon pricing exerting only a marginal effect. These findings highlight the role of MaaS in promoting multimodal integration and provide actionable insights for policymakers and platform operators to reduce ride-hailing dependency and advance low-carbon urban mobility.
网约车服务的快速增长重塑了城市交通,但也加剧了拥堵、排放和对汽车的依赖,引发了人们对可持续性的担忧。由交通即服务(MaaS)平台支持的地铁综合多式联运(MIMT),通过将地铁系统与便捷的进出方式(如拼车、公共汽车、骑自行车和步行)集成在一起,提供了有前景的低碳替代方案。本研究旨在建立一个实用的分析框架,以评估在MaaS时代,MIMT对网约车的替代潜力。首先,提出了一种行程重构方法,在相同始发目的地条件下生成10种MIMT备选方案。其次,建立多维评价模型,综合考虑成本节约、碳减排和时间延迟,量化替代效益。第三,采用一种可解释的机器学习方法(CatBoost与SHAP和PDP相结合)来识别影响替代潜力的出行和建筑环境因素。一项基于上海837,503次网约车出行的案例研究表明,56.46%的出行可以被MIMT替代。平均而言,每次替代出行的综合效益为13.83元人民币,其中成本节省24.03元人民币,碳排放减少1.29千克,平均出行时间增加17.51分钟。替代潜力主要受路线非线性、行程距离和地铁可达性的影响。旅行相关变量占解释力的61.11%,而建成环境特征贡献了剩余的38.89%。敏感性分析表明,旅客从网约车到移动出行的转变主要受时间价值的影响,当前的碳定价仅发挥边际效应。这些发现突出了MaaS在促进多模式融合方面的作用,并为政策制定者和平台运营商提供了可操作的见解,以减少对网约车的依赖,促进低碳城市交通。
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引用次数: 0
Driving adoption: Discrete choice modeling of consumer valuation for wireless electric vehicles charging in Aotearoa, New Zealand 驱动采用:新西兰Aotearoa地区无线电动汽车充电消费者评估的离散选择模型
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101220
Mira Simunic , Mingyue Selena Sheng , Le Wen , Ramesh Chandra Majhi , Prakash Ranjitkar , Bo Du , Minh Kieu , Basil Sharp , Douglas Wilson
This research delves into consumer behavior in the economic domain, particularly focusing on adopting innovative technologies. It assesses the perceived economic and environmental advantages of dynamic wireless power transfer technology, known as dynamic wireless charging. This technology allows electric vehicles to be charged while in motion, which could significantly influence their adoption rates in Aotearoa, New Zealand. The study employs discrete choice modeling to gain insights into consumer valuation of dynamic charging technologies. Various sophisticated logit models were utilized to analyze the data gathered from surveys on consumer preferences rigorously. These models, such as multinomial logit, heteroscedastic logit, and mixed logit, allow for a nuanced understanding of consumer choices by accommodating varying levels of randomness and heterogeneity in decision-making processes. Furthermore, the research investigates the willingness to pay among users, which indirectly measures how much consumers value the ability to charge their vehicles dynamically. The key finding from the study is that the convenience of being able to charge while driving is a significant factor that enhances the adoption of electric vehicles. This indicates that as dynamic wireless charging technology becomes more widespread and accessible, it could be crucial in accelerating the transition towards electric mobility, particularly in contexts where environmental sustainability and technological innovation are prioritized.
这项研究深入研究了经济领域的消费者行为,特别关注创新技术的采用。它评估了被称为动态无线充电的动态无线电力传输技术的经济和环境优势。这项技术允许电动汽车在行驶中充电,这可能会显著影响它们在新西兰奥特罗阿的采用率。本研究采用离散选择模型来深入了解消费者对动态充电技术的评价。利用各种复杂的logit模型对消费者偏好调查收集的数据进行了严格的分析。这些模型,如多项logit、异方差logit和混合logit,通过适应决策过程中不同程度的随机性和异质性,允许对消费者选择进行细致入微的理解。此外,该研究还调查了用户的付费意愿,间接衡量了消费者对汽车动态充电能力的重视程度。这项研究的主要发现是,驾驶时充电的便利性是提高电动汽车普及率的一个重要因素。这表明,随着动态无线充电技术的普及和普及,它可能对加速向电动汽车的过渡至关重要,特别是在环境可持续性和技术创新优先的背景下。
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Travel Behaviour and Society
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