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Valuing time in silicon: Can large language models replicate human value of travel time 在芯片中评估时间:大型语言模型能否复制人类对旅行时间的价值
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101245
Yingnan Yan, Tianming Liu, Yafeng Yin
As a key advancement in artificial intelligence, large language models (LLMs) are set to transform transportation systems. While LLMs offer the potential to simulate human travelers in future mixed-autonomy transportation systems, their behavioral fidelity in complex scenarios remains largely unconfirmed by existing research. This study addresses this gap by conducting a comprehensive analysis of the value of travel time (VOT) of three popular LLMs. We employ a full factorial experimental design to systematically examine LLMs’ sensitivities to various transportation contexts, including the choice setting, travel purpose, and socio-demographic factors. Our results reveal a high degree of behavioral similarity between LLMs and humans. Some LLMs exhibit an aggregate VOT similar to that of humans, and all tested models demonstrate human-like sensitivity to travel purpose, income, and the time-cost trade-off ratios of the alternatives. Furthermore, the behavioral patterns of LLMs are highly consistent across varied contexts. However, while the behavior of every single model is highly robust, we also find some heterogeneity across models regarding the magnitude and direction of sensitivity to travel contexts and income elasticity. Overall, this study provides a foundational benchmark for the future development of LLMs as proxies for human travelers, demonstrating their robust decision-making capabilities while cautioning that misaligned magnitudes of economic trade-offs between humans and LLMs necessitate rigorous validation and additional conditioning of LLMs before their application.
作为人工智能的关键进步,大型语言模型(llm)将改变交通系统。虽然llm提供了在未来混合自主交通系统中模拟人类旅行者的潜力,但它们在复杂场景中的行为保真度在很大程度上仍未得到现有研究的证实。本研究通过对三种受欢迎的llm的旅行时间价值(VOT)进行全面分析来解决这一差距。我们采用全因子实验设计来系统地检查法学硕士对各种交通环境的敏感性,包括选择环境、旅行目的和社会人口因素。我们的研究结果揭示了法学硕士和人类之间高度的行为相似性。一些法学硕士表现出与人类相似的总VOT,所有测试的模型都显示出与人类相似的对旅行目的、收入和替代方案的时间成本权衡比的敏感性。此外,法学硕士的行为模式在不同的背景下是高度一致的。然而,虽然每个模型的行为都非常稳健,但我们也发现,在对旅行环境和收入弹性的敏感性的大小和方向上,模型之间存在一些异质性。总的来说,这项研究为llm作为人类旅行者的代理的未来发展提供了一个基础基准,展示了它们强大的决策能力,同时警告说,人类和llm之间经济权衡的不一致程度需要在llm应用之前进行严格的验证和额外的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling gender dynamics in perception of commuters towards regional transit 揭示通勤者对区域交通感知的性别动态
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101255
Aditya Manish Pitale , Shubhajit Sadhukhan , Manoranjan Parida
Developing gender sensitive transit infrastructure is essential as there exists difference in how commuters of different gender experience the transit system. This research highlights the differences in commuter experience based on socio-demographic and travel characteristics of commuters across gender, while using regional transit system of the National Capital Region (NCR), India. The perception of 1419 male and 792 female commuters of regional transit system was analysed by integrating Relative to an Identified Distribution Integral Transformation (RIDIT) analysis with Importance-Satisfaction Analysis (ISA) to reveal significant differences in their perception. Male commuters prioritized time, whereas cost was most critical for females. Last-mile connectivity along with the need to improve toilet facilities and cleanliness inside vehicle was crucial for both the commuters.
The findings of Spearman’s rank correlation analyses showcased heterogeneity among commuters of specific gender with different socio-demographic and travel characteristics, suggesting the need for targeted interventions. The approach can be used to formulate gender-based strategies for improving the service quality of regional transit systems. Developing a gender responsive transit system can assist planners and decision-making authorities in addressing the existing gaps and ensure an inclusive and efficient transit experience for all commuters.
发展对性别敏感的交通基础设施至关重要,因为不同性别的通勤者对交通系统的体验存在差异。本研究利用印度国家首都地区(NCR)的区域交通系统,强调了基于社会人口统计学和通勤者出行特征的通勤体验差异。对1419名男性和792名女性通勤者的区域交通系统感知进行了相对分布识别积分变换(RIDIT)和重要性满意度分析(ISA)相结合的分析,发现他们的感知存在显著差异。男性通勤者优先考虑的是时间,而女性最看重的是成本。最后一英里的连接以及改善厕所设施和车内清洁的需求对通勤者来说都是至关重要的。Spearman的秩相关分析结果显示,具有不同社会人口统计学和旅行特征的特定性别的通勤者之间存在异质性,这表明需要有针对性的干预措施。该方法可用于制定基于性别的战略,以改善区域运输系统的服务质量。建立一个促进性别平等的交通系统可以帮助规划者和决策当局解决现有的差距,并确保所有通勤者都能获得包容和高效的交通体验。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating e-scooters idle time patterns: A survival analysis approach to understand availability 调查电动滑板车的空闲时间模式:一种了解可用性的生存分析方法
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101240
Sajjad Karimi , Robert Kluger , Abolfazl Karimpour
E-scooters have emerged as a popular means of commuting, specifically for short trips, within urban environments. Ensuring the availability of e-scooters within a shared fleet system is crucial for providing convenient services. However, increasing demand and service areas make it challenging to keep e-scooters available based on when and where users want to use them. This study aims to investigate the factors affecting e-scooter availability by specifically studying their idle patterns. Idle time refers to the duration between a vehicle becoming available for pick-up and being rented. Survival analysis was employed to analyze and visualize the probability of e-scooters remaining idle in a shared network in Louisville, Kentucky. Idle time was found to be influenced by several factors, including time of day, season, pick-up location, and operator. Fall and winter drop-offs have longer idle times despite fewer e-scooters indicating a large drop-off in demand. Morning drop-offs have longer idle times than other times of day. The survival analysis identifies optimal pick-up windows that operators can use to guide rebalancing, stage replacements, plan maintenance and charging, and offer incentives, customizing operations and policies to improve service reliability and efficiency.
电动滑板车已经成为一种流行的通勤方式,特别是在城市环境中的短途旅行。确保共享车队系统中电动滑板车的可用性对于提供便利的服务至关重要。然而,不断增加的需求和服务领域使得根据用户想要使用它们的时间和地点来保持电动滑板车的可用性变得具有挑战性。本研究旨在通过具体研究电动滑板车的闲置模式来探讨影响电动滑板车可用性的因素。闲置时间是指一辆车可以被取走和被租用之间的时间。采用生存分析方法对肯塔基州路易斯维尔市共享网络中电动滑板车闲置的概率进行分析和可视化。闲置时间受到几个因素的影响,包括一天中的时间、季节、取油位置和运营商。尽管电动滑板车的减少表明需求大幅下降,但秋季和冬季的闲置时间更长。早晨下车的空闲时间比一天中的其他时间更长。生存分析确定了最佳的取油窗口,作业者可以使用这些窗口来指导再平衡、分段更换、计划维护和充电,并提供激励措施、定制操作和政策,以提高服务的可靠性和效率。
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引用次数: 0
How has the importance of factors influencing telework adoption changed over time? Observing pre- to late-pandemic trends using multi-year data from two US regions 随着时间的推移,影响远程办公采用的因素的重要性是如何变化的?使用来自美国两个地区的多年数据观察大流行前后的趋势
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101233
Seung Eun Choi , Ilsu Kim , Xinyi Wang , Jason Soria , Patricia L. Mokhtarian
Teleworking, significantly accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic, has altered traditional work arrangements and commuting habits. To understand factors influencing telework behavior and their changes over time, we examine telework adoption trends using three waves of cross-sectional survey data collected in the springs of 2021–2023 (and including retrospective pre-COVID data) in the Dallas–Fort Worth–Arlington (DFA) and Washington (DC)–Arlington–Alexandria (WAA) regions. We categorize employees into non-teleworkers (NTWers), non-usual teleworkers (NUTWers), and usual teleworkers (UTWers) based on their frequency of full days working from home. Region- and year-specific multinomial logit (MNL) models are constructed to identify factors influencing telework patterns across different pandemic phases. Four groups of influential factors are revealed: those consistent in significance throughout (e.g., education and income), those fading across years (e.g., car-related attitudes), those strengthening over time (e.g., telework attitudes), and those with differential impacts between NUTW and UTW (e.g., household composition). For instance, in WAA, workers with young children were more likely than others to be NUTWers pre- and early-pandemic, but this factor faded in significance in later years. Conversely, the impact of having school-aged children on NUTWing strengthened in the late-pandemic period. Additionally, pro-car ownership attitudes decreased the propensity to UTW throughout the years, though this influence faded late in the pandemic. These findings highlight the dynamic interplay between work-family balance, job characteristics, and attitudes related to telework adoption. The results provide valuable insights for policymakers and employers aiming to optimize flexible work arrangements, refine telework policies, and address future workforce needs.
COVID-19大流行大大加速了远程办公,改变了传统的工作安排和通勤习惯。为了了解影响远程办公行为的因素及其随时间的变化,我们使用2021-2023年春季在达拉斯-沃斯堡-阿灵顿(DFA)和华盛顿(DC) -阿灵顿-亚历山大(WAA)地区收集的三波横断面调查数据(包括回顾性的疫情前数据)来研究远程办公的采用趋势。我们根据员工全天在家工作的频率,将他们分为非远程工作者(NTWers)、非常规远程工作者(NUTWers)和常规远程工作者(UTWers)。构建了特定区域和年份的多项logit (MNL)模型,以确定影响不同大流行阶段远程工作模式的因素。研究揭示了四组影响因素:那些在整个过程中具有一致意义的因素(例如,教育和收入),那些随着时间的推移逐渐减弱的因素(例如,与汽车有关的态度),那些随着时间的推移而增强的因素(例如,远程工作态度),以及那些在NUTW和UTW之间具有不同影响的因素(例如,家庭组成)。例如,在WAA,有幼儿的工人比其他人更有可能在大流行前和早期成为NUTWers,但这一因素在后来的几年里逐渐消失。相反,在大流行后期,有学龄儿童对NUTWing的影响加强了。此外,多年来,支持拥有汽车的态度降低了UTW的倾向,尽管这种影响在大流行后期逐渐消退。这些发现强调了工作与家庭平衡、工作特征和与远程办公采用相关的态度之间的动态相互作用。研究结果为旨在优化灵活工作安排、完善远程办公政策和解决未来劳动力需求的政策制定者和雇主提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Left behind: forgone medical care due to transportation barriers among adults with physical impairments and disabilities that prevent physical activity in small and rural communities 掉队:在小社区和农村社区中,由于交通障碍,身体有缺陷和残疾的成年人无法进行身体活动,因此无法获得医疗服务
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101242
Jiahe Bian , Wei Li , Xiao Li , Sun Quan , Andong Chen , Sinan Zhong , Muhammad Usman , Samuel Dominic Castiglione Towne Jr. , Muyang Li , Bahar Dadashova , Xinyue Ye , Marcia G. Ory
Adults with physical impairments or disabilities that prevent physical activity (PID-PA) face significant transportation barriers to essential healthcare, often forgoing care despite higher healthcare needs. While on-demand ride-sourcing services (e.g., Uber and Lyft) may improve mobility, concerns remain about the current level of inclusivity and equity, especially for individuals with more complex needs. Whether on-demand ride-sourcing will facilitate mobility or further isolate certain people with PID-PA is largely unknown. This study examined the transportation barriers to healthcare among people with temporary and chronic PID-PA and assessed the role of alternative access strategies, with particular attention to small and rural communities where residences are dispersed and transit options are limited. A cross-sectional online survey was conducted in nine such communities in Texas, yielding 416 valid responses for analysis. Fisher’s exact tests, logistic regression models, and mediation analysis were used to assess associations between adults with PID-PA and variables such as forgone necessary healthcare due to lack of transportation, use of on-demand ride-sourcing, and alternative transportation options.
Among participants, people with PID-PA were more likely to use rides provided by others and telemedicine. However, logistic regression models showed that having chronic PID-PA and using on-demand ride-sourcing for healthcare were positively associated with forgone necessary medical care due to transportation barriers. Moreover, on-demand ride-sourcing use did not mediate the relationship between chronic PID-PA and forgone necessary healthcare. This result indicates that ride-sourcing services do not effectively reduce transportation barriers for individuals with chronic PID-PA. Instead, dependence on such services may be associated with forgoing necessary medical care. The study highlights substantial challenges to using on-demand ride-sourcing in small and rural communities, including limited physical/digital accessibility, affordability concerns, and unreliable service. To improve transportation equity for people with PID-PA, interventions must address broader systemic issues affecting the accessibility of ride-sourcing.
患有身体损伤或残疾而无法进行身体活动(PID-PA)的成年人在获得基本医疗保健服务时面临严重的交通障碍,尽管有更高的医疗保健需求,但他们往往会放弃护理。虽然按需拼车服务(如优步和Lyft)可能会改善机动性,但目前的包容性和公平性水平仍令人担忧,尤其是对于需求更复杂的个人而言。按需拼车服务是否会促进移动性,还是会进一步隔离某些患有PID-PA的人,在很大程度上是未知的。本研究调查了临时和慢性PID-PA患者的交通障碍,并评估了替代访问策略的作用,特别关注了住宅分散且交通选择有限的小型和农村社区。一项横断面在线调查在德克萨斯州的9个这样的社区进行,产生了416个有效的回应进行分析。使用Fisher精确检验、逻辑回归模型和中介分析来评估患有PID-PA的成年人与诸如由于缺乏交通工具而放弃必要的医疗保健、使用按需乘车和替代交通选择等变量之间的关系。在参与者中,患有PID-PA的人更有可能使用他人提供的游乐设施和远程医疗。然而,逻辑回归模型显示,患有慢性PID-PA和使用按需乘车服务的医疗服务与由于交通障碍而放弃必要的医疗服务呈正相关。此外,按需乘车服务的使用并没有调解慢性PID-PA和放弃必要的医疗保健之间的关系。这一结果表明,乘车外包服务并不能有效降低慢性PID-PA患者的交通障碍。相反,对这些服务的依赖可能与放弃必要的医疗保健有关。该研究强调了在小型和农村社区使用按需乘车服务面临的重大挑战,包括有限的物理/数字可及性、可负担性问题和不可靠的服务。为了改善PID-PA患者的交通公平性,干预措施必须解决影响乘车资源可及性的更广泛的系统性问题。
{"title":"Left behind: forgone medical care due to transportation barriers among adults with physical impairments and disabilities that prevent physical activity in small and rural communities","authors":"Jiahe Bian ,&nbsp;Wei Li ,&nbsp;Xiao Li ,&nbsp;Sun Quan ,&nbsp;Andong Chen ,&nbsp;Sinan Zhong ,&nbsp;Muhammad Usman ,&nbsp;Samuel Dominic Castiglione Towne Jr. ,&nbsp;Muyang Li ,&nbsp;Bahar Dadashova ,&nbsp;Xinyue Ye ,&nbsp;Marcia G. Ory","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101242","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101242","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Adults with physical impairments or disabilities that prevent physical activity (PID-PA) face significant transportation barriers to essential healthcare, often forgoing care despite higher healthcare needs. While on-demand ride-sourcing services (e.g., Uber and Lyft) may improve mobility, concerns remain about the current level of inclusivity and equity, especially for individuals with more complex needs. Whether on-demand ride-sourcing will facilitate mobility or further isolate certain people with PID-PA is largely unknown. This study examined the transportation barriers to healthcare among people with temporary and chronic PID-PA and assessed the role of alternative access strategies, with particular attention to small and rural communities where residences are dispersed and transit options are limited. A cross-sectional online survey was conducted in nine such communities in Texas, yielding 416 valid responses for analysis. Fisher’s exact tests, logistic regression models, and mediation analysis were used to assess associations between adults with PID-PA and variables such as forgone necessary healthcare due to lack of transportation, use of on-demand ride-sourcing, and alternative transportation options.</div><div>Among participants, people with PID-PA were more likely to use rides provided by others and telemedicine. However, logistic regression models showed that having chronic PID-PA and using on-demand ride-sourcing for healthcare were positively associated with forgone necessary medical care due to transportation barriers. Moreover, on-demand ride-sourcing use did not mediate the relationship between chronic PID-PA and forgone necessary healthcare. This result indicates that ride-sourcing services do not effectively reduce transportation barriers for individuals with chronic PID-PA. Instead, dependence on such services may be associated with forgoing necessary medical care. The study highlights substantial challenges to using on-demand ride-sourcing in small and rural communities, including limited physical/digital accessibility, affordability concerns, and unreliable service. To improve transportation equity for people with PID-PA, interventions must address broader systemic issues affecting the accessibility of ride-sourcing.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 101242"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146080725","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hands off the wheel, hands off the choice? A discrete choice experiment on trolley dilemma in autonomous vehicles 放开方向盘,放开选择权?自动驾驶车辆小车困境的离散选择实验
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101251
Woojae Kim , Youngsang Cho , Taeho Park , Kyuho Maeng
As autonomous vehicles (AVs) are increasingly integrated into everyday mobility systems, ethically complex crash scenarios have become a critical issue. Therefore, trolley dilemmas have attracted significant attention. However, little is known about how moral programming influences consumers’ acceptance of an AV. This study investigated the relative impact of ethical decision logic, accident liability, and safety performance on AV adoption preferences. A stated-choice experiment was conducted with 1,032 Korean respondents, and a mixed logit model with the Bayesian estimation method was used to estimate heterogeneous utility parameters. The experiment included five attributes: whether the AV protects the driver or pedestrian, the party responsible for the accident, annual accident probability, algorithm personalization, and purchase price. Demographic characteristics were also examined. The results indicated that the attribute “whether an AV protects drivers or pedestrians” had no significant effect on consumer utility. By contrast, a lower accident probability and assigning responsibility to manufacturers or software developers rather than to drivers substantially increased AV acceptance. Male, urban, and lower-income respondents were more likely to prefer AVs that protect drivers and shift the liability toward institutional actors. These findings suggest that consumers prioritize measurable safety and institutional accountability over abstract ethical logic. For AV developers and policymakers, these results highlight the value of adaptive algorithmic frameworks and clearly defined liability structures. This study contributes to the design of socially acceptable AV systems that align with public expectations in the age of algorithmic decision-making.
随着自动驾驶汽车(AVs)越来越多地融入日常出行系统,道德上复杂的碰撞场景已成为一个关键问题。因此,电车困境引起了极大的关注。然而,关于道德规划如何影响消费者对自动驾驶汽车的接受程度,我们知之甚少。本研究调查了道德决策逻辑、事故责任和安全性能对自动驾驶汽车采用偏好的相对影响。对1032名韩国受访者进行了状态选择实验,并使用混合logit模型和贝叶斯估计方法来估计异质性效用参数。实验包括5个属性:自动驾驶汽车是保护驾驶员还是行人、事故责任方、年度事故概率、算法个性化、购买价格。还审查了人口特征。结果表明,“自动驾驶汽车是保护驾驶员还是保护行人”属性对消费者效用没有显著影响。相比之下,较低的事故概率和将责任分配给制造商或软件开发商而不是驾驶员,大大提高了自动驾驶汽车的接受度。男性、城市和低收入受访者更倾向于选择能够保护司机并将责任转移给制度参与者的自动驾驶汽车。这些发现表明,消费者优先考虑可衡量的安全性和制度责任,而不是抽象的伦理逻辑。对于自动驾驶汽车开发者和政策制定者来说,这些结果突出了自适应算法框架和明确定义的责任结构的价值。这项研究有助于设计符合算法决策时代公众期望的社会可接受的自动驾驶系统。
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引用次数: 0
Neural integrated choice model with ParetoTail and Gaussian copula for travel behavior analysis 基于ParetoTail和高斯copula的出行行为分析神经集成选择模型
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101252
Yue Liu, Guohua Liang, Ziyu Chen, Zhixiang Gao
Travel behavior modeling is essential for transportation demand analysis and policy-making, yet traditional discrete choice models often struggle with real-world data complexities, such as heavy-tailed distributions and strong feature correlations. This study proposes a novel neural network framework integrated with advanced statistical techniques to effectively address these issues. Specifically, a ParetoTail transformation is employed to normalize heavy-tailed travel attributes, such as travel time and cost, reducing the undue influence of extreme values. To explicitly capture complex dependencies among features, a Gaussian copula approach is integrated, improving the robustness of the model against traditional independence assumptions. Furthermore, a gating mechanism is introduced to dynamically balance the contributions of continuous and discrete features, incorporating random noise to account for preference heterogeneity across individual travelers. Extensive empirical analyses, initially on the Swissmetro dataset and validated in three additional diverse public datasets, demonstrate that the proposed model consistently and significantly outperforms the baseline models (MNL, MXL, L-MNL, E-MNL, EL-MNL) in terms of prediction accuracy, F1 score, and AUC values. Crucially, the interpretability of the model reveals nuanced behavioral insights, such as the heterogeneity of decision-making styles across the population and non-linear responses to cost in long-distance travel. Additional ablation studies underscore the essential roles of the ParetoTail, Gaussian copula, and gating components. In general, this integrated framework provides a flexible, robust, and generalizable approach to modeling travel behavior, offering transport planners a more accurate tool for policy evaluation in complex real-world scenarios.
出行行为建模对于交通需求分析和政策制定至关重要,但传统的离散选择模型往往难以应对现实世界数据的复杂性,如重尾分布和强特征相关性。本研究提出了一个新的神经网络框架与先进的统计技术相结合,以有效地解决这些问题。具体来说,使用ParetoTail变换来规范重尾旅行属性,如旅行时间和费用,减少极端值的不当影响。为了明确捕获特征之间的复杂依赖关系,集成了高斯copula方法,提高了模型对传统独立性假设的鲁棒性。此外,引入了一种门控机制来动态平衡连续和离散特征的贡献,并结合随机噪声来解释个体旅行者的偏好异质性。广泛的实证分析,最初是在Swissmetro数据集上进行的,并在另外三个不同的公共数据集上进行了验证,表明所提出的模型在预测精度、F1分数和AUC值方面一致且显著优于基线模型(MNL、MXL、L-MNL、E-MNL、EL-MNL)。至关重要的是,该模型的可解释性揭示了细微的行为洞察,例如人口决策风格的异质性和长途旅行成本的非线性反应。其他消融研究强调了帕累托尾、高斯联结和门控分量的重要作用。总体而言,这一综合框架提供了一种灵活、稳健和可推广的方法来模拟出行行为,为交通规划者在复杂的现实场景中进行政策评估提供了更准确的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring peer-to-peer paid carpooling in Bogotá: A path to sustainable shared mobility 探索波哥大的点对点付费拼车:一条可持续的共享交通之路
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101243
César A. Merchán-Núñez , Mauricio Orozco-Fontalvo , Luisa F. Morales-Moreno , Aquiles Darghan , Sonia C. Mangones M. , Lenin A. Bulla-Cruz
Carpooling is a sustainable transportation alternative that allows users with similar destinations to share private vehicles, contributing to reductions in energy consumption, pollutant emissions, and traffic congestion. While not a comprehensive solution, carpooling can lower private car use and increase vehicle occupancy rates. However, most carpooling initiatives have been limited in scope, often operating on a small scale or within corporate frameworks, restricting their potential for widespread adoption. In Latin America, where ride-hailing services are popular despite regulatory issues, carpooling remains uncommon. In Bogotá, an exception is the informal service called “Wheels,” which operates through WhatsApp groups to coordinate rides, focusing on university communities. This service quickly became a preferred mode of transport for students, faculty, and staff. This study aims to identify the factors driving the success of this informal initiative. A survey of 470 university community members was conducted, incorporating a discrete choice experiment to evaluate the attributes influencing their stated likelihood of use. Analytical methods included multiple correspondence analysis, logit models, and machine learning techniques. Our findings reveal that the adoption of carpooling is significantly influenced by price sensitivity, safety perceptions (particularly among women), reluctance to share rides with strangers, and demographic factors such as age and socioeconomic status. These insights offer valuable guidance for enhancing the appeal and scalability of carpooling as a door-to-door, reliable transportation alternative, particularly in similar sociocultural contexts as our case study.
拼车是一种可持续的交通方式,它允许目的地相近的用户共享私家车,有助于减少能源消耗、污染物排放和交通拥堵。拼车虽然不是一个全面的解决方案,但它可以降低私家车的使用,提高车辆入住率。然而,大多数拼车计划的范围有限,通常是小规模或在公司框架内运作,限制了它们广泛采用的潜力。在拉丁美洲,尽管存在监管问题,但叫车服务很受欢迎,拼车仍然不常见。在波哥大,一个例外是名为“Wheels”的非正式服务,它通过WhatsApp群组来协调乘车,主要针对大学社区。这项服务很快成为学生、教师和工作人员的首选交通方式。本研究旨在确定推动这一非正式倡议成功的因素。对470名大学社区成员进行了调查,结合离散选择实验来评估影响他们陈述的使用可能性的属性。分析方法包括多重对应分析、logit模型和机器学习技术。我们的研究结果表明,拼车的采用受到价格敏感性、安全观念(尤其是女性)、不愿与陌生人拼车以及年龄和社会经济地位等人口因素的显著影响。这些见解为提高拼车作为门到门的可靠交通选择的吸引力和可扩展性提供了有价值的指导,特别是在与我们的案例研究相似的社会文化背景下。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating extra environmental exposure in bike-sharing trips: spatial patterns and built environment factors 调查共享单车出行中的额外环境暴露:空间模式和建成环境因素
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101241
Zijian Guo , Mei-Po Kwan , Jian Liu , Xintao Liu
Shared bikes provide flexible mobility but expose riders to harmful outdoor environments, such as humid and oppressive heat, negatively impacting the travel experience. Reducing extra travel time, particularly for open-air transport, is an effective way to minimize unnecessary environmental exposure (UEE). However, the role of extra travel time in exposure studies has received limited attention, and the relationship between the built environment and UEE remains underexplored. This study addresses these gaps by constructing complex networks of UEE based on shared bike travel flows. We first calculate each Shenzhen bike-sharing trip’s extra travel time by comparing the optimal and actual travel time. UEE is then defined as a combination of this extra travel time and the corresponding “feels-like” temperature. For each origin–destination pair, numerous UEE values of trips form a distribution, from which the maximum probability point (EP) and fluctuation (EF) are extracted as two key indicators. These two indicators, along with traffic volume, serve as the weights of network edges. After the network aggregation, spatial hotspot comparisons are conducted, followed by the application of a GCN-LIME model to explain the contribution of the built environment to UEE. The results indicate that areas associated with work, education, and high diversity inhibit the UEE, while areas with food, shops, services, and hospitals promote it. Notably, laborer communities experience higher UEE and are sensitive to changes in the built environment, underscoring issues of spatial justice. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers to identify high-exposure areas and optimize facilities to mitigate exposure.
共享单车提供了灵活的机动性,但却让骑行者暴露在有害的室外环境中,比如潮湿和闷热,对出行体验产生了负面影响。减少额外的旅行时间,特别是露天运输,是减少不必要的环境暴露(UEE)的有效方法。然而,额外旅行时间在暴露研究中的作用受到了有限的关注,建筑环境与UEE之间的关系仍未得到充分探讨。本研究通过构建基于共享自行车出行流的复杂UEE网络来解决这些差距。我们首先通过比较最优出行时间和实际出行时间,计算出每次深圳共享单车出行的额外出行时间。然后,UEE被定义为额外的旅行时间和相应的“感觉”温度的组合。对于每个始发目的地对,无数次行程的UEE值形成一个分布,从中提取最大概率点(EP)和波动(EF)作为两个关键指标。这两个指标与流量一起作为网络边缘的权重。在网络聚合后,进行空间热点比较,然后应用GCN-LIME模型解释建筑环境对UEE的贡献。结果表明,与工作、教育和高度多样性相关的区域抑制了UEE,而与食品、商店、服务和医院相关的区域则促进了UEE。值得注意的是,劳动者社区的UEE较高,对建筑环境的变化敏感,强调了空间正义问题。这些发现为决策者确定高暴露区域和优化设施以减轻暴露提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond daily travel: understanding shared autonomous vehicle usage behavior across emergency preparedness segments in the United States 超越日常旅行:了解美国应急准备部门的共享自动驾驶汽车使用行为
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101235
Ningzhe Xu , Jun Liu , Steven Jones
Shared Autonomous Vehicles (SAVs) are viewed as a promising next generation mobility solution; however, most existing research has focused on their use in routine daily travel. Individuals’ preferences for using SAVs during emergencies remain largely underexplored. Gaining insight into these preferences is essential for designing effective emergency mobility strategies that can leverage advanced mobility technologies when available. This study investigates SAV usage preferences in emergency contexts across the United States using data from a nationally distributed online survey (N = 1,015). Specifically, the study examines (1) differences in SAV usage preferences between daily and emergency contexts, (2) variations in these preferences across segments defined by emergency preparedness levels, and (3) the factors that influence SAV adoption behavior within each preparedness segment. Methodologically, chi-squared tests were used to assess shifts in SAV usage preferences between contexts, while latent class analysis (LCA) was employed to classify respondents into two preparedness segments: under-prepared and well-prepared. Within each segment, Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) models were developed and interpreted using feature importance rankings and partial dependence plots. Findings show increased willingness to use SAVs during emergencies, especially among individuals who were hesitant or unwilling in daily settings. SAV usage preferences also varied by preparedness segment. Several factors, including residential duration, vehicle access, race, and ethnicity, showed consistent effects across groups, while others, such as land use, household with children, home ownership, and household size, displayed divergent patterns. These results highlight the moderating role of preparedness in SAV adoption and caution against directly applying daily-use assumptions to emergency contexts. Policy efforts should consider preparedness-based segmentation to support effective SAV deployment during emergencies.
共享自动驾驶汽车(sav)被视为有前途的下一代出行解决方案;然而,大多数现有的研究都集中在日常旅行中的使用。个人在紧急情况下使用sav的偏好在很大程度上仍未得到充分研究。深入了解这些偏好对于设计有效的应急机动战略至关重要,这些战略可以在可用时利用先进的机动技术。本研究使用来自全国分布的在线调查数据(N = 1,015)调查了美国紧急情况下SAV的使用偏好。具体而言,该研究考察了(1)日常和紧急情况下SAV使用偏好的差异,(2)这些偏好在应急准备水平定义的不同部门之间的变化,以及(3)影响每个准备部门内SAV采用行为的因素。方法学上,卡方检验用于评估不同背景下SAV使用偏好的变化,而潜在类别分析(LCA)用于将受访者分为两个准备部分:准备不足和准备充分。在每个片段中,使用特征重要性排序和部分依赖图开发和光梯度增强机(LightGBM)模型并进行解释。研究结果显示,在紧急情况下使用sav的意愿增加,特别是在日常环境中犹豫不决或不愿使用sav的个人中。SAV的使用偏好也因准备阶段而异。有几个因素,包括居住时间、车辆进出、种族和民族,在不同群体中表现出一致的影响,而其他因素,如土地使用、有孩子的家庭、房屋所有权和家庭规模,则表现出不同的模式。这些结果强调了准备在SAV采用中的调节作用,并告诫不要直接将日常使用假设应用于紧急情况。政策努力应考虑基于准备情况的分割,以支持紧急情况下有效的SAV部署。
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Travel Behaviour and Society
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