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Smarter but more unequal transport? How socioeconomic and digital inequalities hinder adoption of mobility apps in the Global South 更智能但更不平等的交通?社会经济和数字不平等如何阻碍全球南部地区采用移动应用程序
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100911
Matias Dodel , Diego Hernandez

All over the world, cities are becoming “smarter.” The improved use of data generated by the transport system (e.g. smart cards data), combined with GPS trackers and citizens’ mobile data enabled the development of a new generation of smarter mobile apps (e.g., Waze) and several local real-time public transport services and trip planners. These technologies have the potential to reduce transport inequalities via two mechanisms. First, governments can develop more efficient and evidence-based public transport plans. Second, citizens have access to better, real-time information about public transport for trip planning and, thus, can make better—i.e., more efficient or cheaper—decisions regarding their everyday mobility. To assess whether citizens’ appropriation of smart mobility—as with their appropriation of any other digital service—depends strongly on having a certain set of socioeconomic and digital attributes, we analyzed both a mobility survey and a digital inequalities survey based on representative samples of adult Uruguayans living in the capital Montevideo. We find that while the use of mobility apps increased in the second half of the 2010s, the adoption of these tools was stratified by traditional digital inequalities, such as type of internet access and digital literacy, and by variables that predict inequalities in both digital and transport fields, such as age, gender and education. As a result, mobility continues to be stratified in favor of those who are more knowledgeable (i.e., tech-savvy) and have greater access to digital technology. Thus, “smart mobility” has failed to ameliorate—and may even exacerbate—transport inequality. Policy implications of these findings are discussed.

全世界的城市都在变得越来越 "智能"。对交通系统产生的数据(如智能卡数据)的更好利用,再加上 GPS 跟踪器和市民的移动数据,使得新一代更智能的移动应用程序(如 Waze)以及一些本地实时公共交通服务和行程规划器得以开发。这些技术有可能通过两种机制减少交通不平等。首先,政府可以制定更高效、更有依据的公共交通计划。其次,公民可以获得更好的、实时的公共交通信息来规划出行,从而在日常出行方面做出更好的决定,即更有效或更便宜的决定。为了评估公民对智能交通的使用--就像他们对其他数字服务的使用一样--是否在很大程度上取决于他们是否具有特定的社会经济和数字属性,我们分析了一项交通调查和一项数字不平等调查,这两项调查都是基于居住在首都蒙得维的亚的乌拉圭成年人的代表性样本。我们发现,虽然移动应用程序的使用在 2010 年代后半期有所增加,但这些工具的采用却因传统的数字不平等(如互联网接入类型和数字素养)以及可预测数字和交通领域不平等的变量(如年龄、性别和教育)而分层。因此,交通分层仍然有利于那些知识更丰富(即精通技术)、更容易获得数字技术的人。因此,"智能交通 "未能改善交通不平等,甚至可能加剧交通不平等。本文讨论了这些发现对政策的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A deeper look at switching intention to electric moped: Magnitude vs Uncertainty 深入了解转向电动轻便摩托车的意向:幅度与不确定性
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100901
Timo Eccarius , Ching-Fu Chen

While behavioral intention is often considered the immediate predictor of actions, the actual realization of a stated intention is often affected by the intention-behavior gap. This research investigates motorcyclists’ switching intention to an electric moped from a fossil-fuel moped, examining two key components of self-reported intentions: magnitude and uncertainty. Using the judgement uncertainty and magnitude parameters (JUMP) model within the Theory of Planned Behavior framework, we differentiate the two components of stated intention and explore their determinants. Our analysis of data from 293 Taiwanese moped users reveals that while attitude is the major determinant of intention magnitude, intention uncertainty is determined by perceived control, subjective norms and the interaction between attitude and perceived behavioral control. We observed high intention uncertainty across all responses, with negative intentions showing greater uncertainty. Conflicts between attitude and perceived control relate to higher intention uncertainty.

虽然行为意向通常被认为是行动的直接预测因素,但陈述意向的实际实现往往受到意向-行为差距的影响。本研究调查了摩托车手从化石燃料轻便摩托车转向电动轻便摩托车的意向,考察了自我报告意向的两个关键组成部分:幅度和不确定性。我们使用计划行为理论框架内的判断不确定性和幅度参数(JUMP)模型,区分了陈述意向的两个组成部分,并探讨了它们的决定因素。我们对 293 名台湾轻便摩托车用户的数据进行分析后发现,态度是意向大小的主要决定因素,而意向的不确定性则由感知控制、主观规范以及态度和感知行为控制之间的相互作用决定。我们观察到所有反应的意向不确定性都很高,其中消极意向的不确定性更高。态度和感知控制之间的冲突与较高的意向不确定性有关。
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引用次数: 0
Potentials of digital twin system for analyzing travel behavior decisions 数字孪生系统分析旅行行为决策的潜力
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100902
Mahdi Aghaabbasi, Soheil Sabri

This review explores the potential of digital twin systems to provide a more holistic representation of travel behavior and support transportation planning and policymaking. The paper introduces the concept of digital twins, their key characteristics, and their applications in various domains, including transportation. It discusses the traditional methods used in travel behavior analysis and their limitations, as well as the potential advantages of digital twin systems, such as the integration of heterogeneous data sources, real-time monitoring and prediction, and the ability to simulate and evaluate various policy scenarios. The review also identifies the key components of digital twin systems, the challenges associated with their implementation, and the current state of research on digital twins and related methods in travel behavior analysis. The paper highlights research gaps and future directions, emphasizing the need for privacy-preserving techniques, real-world case studies, and the integration of digital twins with decision support systems. Finally, the review discusses the broader implications of digital twin systems for transportation planning and policymaking, concluding by emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary collaboration and stakeholder engagement to fully realize the potential of digital twins in analyzing travel behavior decisions and shaping the future of transportation systems.

本综述探讨了数字孪生系统在更全面地反映旅行行为、支持交通规划和决策方面的潜力。本文介绍了数字孪生的概念、主要特征及其在包括交通在内的各个领域的应用。论文讨论了旅行行为分析中使用的传统方法及其局限性,以及数字孪生系统的潜在优势,如整合异构数据源、实时监控和预测,以及模拟和评估各种政策方案的能力。综述还确定了数字孪生系统的关键组成部分、与其实施相关的挑战,以及数字孪生和旅行行为分析相关方法的研究现状。论文强调了研究差距和未来方向,强调了对隐私保护技术、真实世界案例研究以及数字孪生与决策支持系统整合的需求。最后,论文讨论了数字孪生系统对交通规划和决策的广泛影响,最后强调了跨学科合作和利益相关者参与的必要性,以充分发挥数字孪生在分析出行行为决策和塑造未来交通系统方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
An examination of the effect of external factors on zero-emission vehicle adoption in the United States 研究外部因素对美国采用零排放车辆的影响
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100904
Yong-Jin Alex Lee, Isabelle Nilsson

This study aims to extend and investigate how external factors (socioeconomic and demographic characteristics, EV-related policy mechanisms, transportation, and climate conditions) influence the actual adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Using panel data from 49 U.S. states from 2011 to 2020, we estimate a dynamic spatial Durbin model under the space fixed effect to examine the effects of these attributes on BEV adoption in the neighboring states. The results of the analysis suggest that purchase incentives, the number of public charging stations, gasoline prices, and the Hispanic or Latino population, respectively, have positive total effects on state BEV adoption rates in both the short- and long-term. Particularly, the number of public charging stations has positive direct and indirect effects in both the short- and long-term. Gasoline prices have positive spillover effects in both the short- and long-term. The long-term effects of the three characteristics on BEV adoption are greater than their short-term effects. Based on our findings, this study can provide state officials with practical directions and recommendations to help them allocate their resources and implement timely and appropriate regulations, as well as collaborations between states to increase the penetration rates of zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs).

本研究旨在扩展和调查外部因素(社会经济和人口特征、电动汽车相关政策机制、交通和气候条件)如何影响电池电动汽车(BEV)的实际采用。利用美国 49 个州 2011 年至 2020 年的面板数据,我们估计了空间固定效应下的动态空间杜宾模型,以研究这些属性对邻近州采用 BEV 的影响。分析结果表明,购买激励措施、公共充电站数量、汽油价格以及西班牙裔或拉丁裔人口分别在短期和长期内对各州的 BEV 采用率产生了积极的总体影响。特别是,公共充电站的数量在短期和长期都有直接和间接的正效应。汽油价格在短期和长期都有正溢出效应。这三个特征对 BEV 采用的长期影响大于短期影响。基于我们的研究结果,本研究可为各州官员提供切实可行的方向和建议,帮助他们分配资源,实施及时、适当的法规,以及各州之间的合作,以提高零排放汽车(ZEVs)的普及率。
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引用次数: 0
Emotions as antecedents of sustainable travel behaviour 情感是可持续旅行行为的先决条件
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100903
Christian Bretter , Kate Pangbourne

Promoting the use of sustainable transport alternatives is critical for reducing carbon emissions. In this paper, we propose a cognitive mechanism that explains the extent to which individuals use different sustainable travel modes (e.g., the bus, train, bicycle, and car-sharing). Specifically, we hypothesise negative emotions related to cars as an antecedent of sustainable travel mode use where emotions such as shame, sadness, and upset are positively associated with the extent to which individuals use sustainable transport modes. These negative emotions are further hypothesised to mediate the effect of car attitudes on sustainable travel mode use. Using a broadly representative sample of the UK population (N = 1294), we test these hypotheses and find, firstly, that car attitudes are negatively associated with the use of all sustainable travel modes. Secondly, we demonstrate that negative emotions related to cars mediate this effect. In other words, negative emotions – and not car attitudes – are (positively) associated with the extent to which individuals use all sustainable travel modes. The more individuals perceive the car as something ‘good’, the less they experience emotions such as shame, sadness, and upset when thinking about cars; and it is these negative emotions that then drive sustainable travel mode use. Our study reveals that emotions can and should also be understood as antecedents of sustainable travel modes. We then discuss implications for practitioners and further research.

推广使用可持续交通方式对于减少碳排放至关重要。在本文中,我们提出了一种认知机制来解释个人使用不同可持续出行方式(如公共汽车、火车、自行车和汽车共享)的程度。具体来说,我们假设与汽车相关的负面情绪是使用可持续出行方式的前因,其中羞愧、悲伤和不安等情绪与个人使用可持续交通方式的程度呈正相关。这些负面情绪还被进一步假设为汽车态度对可持续出行方式使用的中介效应。我们使用具有广泛代表性的英国人口样本(N = 1294)对这些假设进行了检验,结果发现:首先,汽车态度与所有可持续出行方式的使用呈负相关。其次,我们证明了与汽车相关的负面情绪对这一效应的调节作用。换句话说,负面情绪(而非汽车态度)与个人使用所有可持续出行方式的程度(正相关)。个人越是认为汽车是 "好 "的东西,他们在想到汽车时就越少产生羞愧、悲伤和不安等情绪;而正是这些负面情绪推动了可持续出行方式的使用。我们的研究表明,情绪也可以而且应该被理解为可持续出行方式的先决条件。随后,我们将讨论对从业人员和进一步研究的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Activity spaces and leisure travel emissions: A case study in Reykjavík, Iceland 活动空间与休闲旅行排放:冰岛雷克雅未克案例研究
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100896
Johanna Raudsepp , Kayla M. Thorbjörnsson , Kamyar Hasanzadeh , Michał Czepkiewicz , Áróra Árnadóttir , Jukka Heinonen

Concerned by the increasing environmental impact of urban areas and the mobility sector, the study examines mobility in Reykjavík, Iceland. Reykjavík residents have been found to have high emissions in both local and leisure travel. The study aims to explore the connections between urban mobility and leisure travel behaviour using a novel method – activity spaces. The relationship between activity spaces and travel emissions is examined for the first time, based on data of about 700 respondents from a softGIS survey. Connections between activity spaces, local and domestic travel were found. High levels of urban mobility were connected to higher engagement in domestic leisure travel, indicating the presence of a highly mobile lifestyle among Reykjavík urbanites. The reasons for the travel could stem from compensation behaviour, or social network dispersion. In addition, the study points at a lack of functioning 15-minute neighbourhoods and public transit in the capital area. Some differences between income groups were noticed, particularly in urban mobility, pointing at the need to examine the social floor of mobility even within generally affluent societies, so that disadvantaged groups do not get left behind in the sustainable mobility transition. As it has been suggested that people travel for their well-being and to escape the tumult of urban life, the relationship between urban mobility, especially environmental exposure during daily travel, and well-being should be studied. Therefore, the study urges for sustainable mobility transitions and urban planning policies that consider the needs and well-being of citizens in all socio-demographic groups.

本研究关注城市地区和交通部门对环境日益增加的影响,对冰岛雷克雅未克的交通进行了研究。研究发现,雷克雅未克居民在本地和休闲旅行中的排放量都很高。本研究旨在利用一种新方法--活动空间--探索城市流动性与休闲旅行行为之间的联系。根据软地理信息系统(softGIS)调查中约 700 名受访者的数据,首次研究了活动空间与旅行排放之间的关系。研究发现了活动空间、本地和国内旅行之间的联系。高水平的城市流动性与较高的国内休闲旅行参与度相关联,这表明雷克雅未克城市居民中存在一种高度流动的生活方式。旅行的原因可能是补偿行为或社会网络分散。此外,研究还指出,首都地区缺乏有效的 15 分钟街区和公共交通。研究还注意到不同收入群体之间存在一些差异,尤其是在城市交通方面,这表明即使在总体富裕的社会中,也有必要对交通的社会底线进行研究,以避免弱势群体在可持续交通转型中落伍。有观点认为,人们出行是为了获得幸福感,是为了逃离喧嚣的城市生活,因此应研究城市交通,特别是日常出行中的环境暴露与幸福感之间的关系。因此,本研究呼吁可持续交通转型和城市规划政策应考虑所有社会人口群体的需求和福祉。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating spatial-temporal characteristics of joint activity/travel behaviour with smart card data 利用智能卡数据调查联合活动/旅行行为的时空特征
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100899
Chen Yang , Xiao Fu , Run Dong

The process of urbanization and the rapid development of transit networks transform urban land use properties and individuals’ travel demand, especially in densely populated areas. Traffic surveys reveal that joint activity/travel behaviour constitutes an increasingly significant portion of overall travel behaviours. This paper aims to investigate the spatial–temporal characteristics of individuals’ joint activity/travel patterns (JATPs) within the subway network and explores the factors that influence individuals’ choices among different activity/travel patterns. First, we establish a social relationship classifier to infer acquaintances among individuals. Subsequently, we define four distinct types of JATPs and introduce an algorithm for recognizing these patterns. To implement the proposed framework, we conduct a real-world case study based on subway smart card data from Nanjing, China. Our findings reveal that approximately 19% of daily trips were identified as JATPs, while different JATPs exhibit diverse spatial and temporal characteristics. These differences can be attributed to various influencing factors, including travel/activity time, passenger flow, departure time, and passenger flow/income around tap-in/out stations. In addition, we employ the machine learning classification method XGBoost to predict the discrete choice process of JATP. The classification results reveal the spatial–temporal characteristics of JATP and examine the potential influences of various factors on individuals’ joint activity and travel behaviours. Ultimately, our research sheds light on the evolving landscape of urban travel behaviour in the context of joint activities and travel, with practical implications for transportation planning and policy.

城市化进程和公交网络的快速发展改变了城市土地使用性质和个人的出行需求,尤其是在人口稠密地区。交通调查显示,联合活动/出行行为在整体出行行为中所占比例越来越大。本文旨在研究地铁网络中个人联合活动/旅行模式(JATPs)的时空特征,并探讨影响个人选择不同活动/旅行模式的因素。首先,我们建立了一个社会关系分类器来推断个体之间的熟人关系。随后,我们定义了四种不同类型的 JATP,并介绍了一种识别这些模式的算法。为了实现所提出的框架,我们基于中国南京的地铁智能卡数据进行了实际案例研究。我们的研究结果表明,约有 19% 的日常出行被识别为 JATP,而不同的 JATP 表现出不同的空间和时间特征。这些差异可归因于各种影响因素,包括乘车/活动时间、客流量、出发时间以及进出站周边的客流量/收入。此外,我们还采用了机器学习分类方法 XGBoost 来预测 JATP 的离散选择过程。分类结果揭示了 JATP 的时空特征,并研究了各种因素对个人联合活动和出行行为的潜在影响。最终,我们的研究揭示了在联合活动和出行背景下城市出行行为的演变过程,对交通规划和政策具有实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of childhood experiences on walking behavior during adulthood: Long-term panel data analysis 童年经历对成年后步行行为的影响:长期面板数据分析
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100893
Alyas A. Widita

While a substantial body of literature exists on the factors associated with walking behavior, little is known about the long-term effects of childhood experiences. This study utilizes micro-longitudinal data from the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) to track the lives of 1,343 Indonesians from childhood to adulthood. Findings from a series of regression analyses provide suggestive evidence of the relative importance childhood experiences play in shaping walking behavior during adulthood. Specifically, exposure to a dense urban environment during childhood appears to increase the likelihood of developing sustained walking behavior in later life. Additionally, our findings reveal that individuals raised in households with lower vehicle ownership are more likely to maintain walking behavior during adulthood compared to otherwise similar individuals from households with higher vehicle ownership. In summary, this study highlights the potential long-term efficacy of spatial planning strategies and transportation policies in fostering a more sustainable travel pattern.

尽管已有大量文献介绍了与步行行为相关的因素,但人们对童年经历的长期影响却知之甚少。本研究利用印尼家庭生活调查(IFLS)的微观纵向数据,对 1343 名印尼人从童年到成年的生活进行了跟踪调查。一系列回归分析的结果提供了提示性证据,证明童年经历对成年后步行行为的形成具有相对重要的影响。具体来说,童年时期接触密集的城市环境似乎会增加日后形成持续步行行为的可能性。此外,我们的研究结果表明,与来自车辆拥有率较高家庭的类似个体相比,在车辆拥有率较低家庭长大的个体更有可能在成年后保持步行行为。总之,本研究强调了空间规划策略和交通政策在促进更可持续的出行模式方面的潜在长期功效。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding factors associated with individuals’ non-mandatory activities using machine learning and SHAP interpretation: A case study of Guangzhou, China 利用机器学习和 SHAP 解释理解与个人非强制性活动相关的因素:中国广州案例研究
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100894
Dan Zou , Qiuping Li , Yang Zhou , Shen Liang , Suhong Zhou

Non-mandatory activities (e.g., shopping and leisure) are irregular in space and time, resulting in complex interactions between individuals and urban spaces. Understanding the associated factors of non-mandatory activities is vital for effective urban transport planning and management. This study uses travel survey data from Guangzhou, China, and a random forest (RF) model to investigate non-linear relationships between non-mandatory activities and their associated factors from the perspectives of time, location, built environment, activity dependency, and individual socioeconomic status, on both weekdays and weekends. The contribution of each factor to different non-mandatory activities is examined by a post hoc interpretable method, Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The results show that activity start time and activity dependency factors have a more significant impact on non-mandatory activities on weekdays, while duration has a greater influence on weekends. Built environment factors like wholesale and retail points of interest (POIs) play a significant role in shopping activities on both weekdays and weekends, while tourism POIs have a greater impact on leisure activities on weekends. Additionally, our analysis reveals the nonlinear dependencies and threshold effects of the top three factors for each category of non-mandatory activities and highlights their disparities between weekdays and weekends.

非强制性活动(如购物和休闲)在空间和时间上不规则,导致个人与城市空间之间的复杂互动。了解非强制性活动的相关因素对于有效的城市交通规划和管理至关重要。本研究利用中国广州的出行调查数据和随机森林(RF)模型,从时间、地点、建筑环境、活动依赖性和个人社会经济地位等角度,研究了工作日和周末非强制性活动与其相关因素之间的非线性关系。通过一种事后可解释的方法--夏普利加法平面图(SHAP),研究了每个因素对不同非强制性活动的贡献。结果表明,活动开始时间和活动依赖因素对工作日非强制性活动的影响更大,而持续时间对周末的影响更大。建筑环境因素,如批发和零售兴趣点(POIs)对工作日和周末的购物活动都有重要影响,而旅游兴趣点对周末的休闲活动影响更大。此外,我们的分析还揭示了前三个因素对各类非强制性活动的非线性依赖性和门槛效应,并突出了它们在工作日和周末之间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Has the COVID-19 pandemic affected travellers’ willingness to wait with real-time crowding information? COVID-19 大流行是否影响了旅客对实时拥挤信息的等待意愿?
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100895
Arkadiusz Drabicki , Oded Cats , Rafał Kucharski

Travel preferences in public transport (PT) have been substantially affected by the COVID-19 crisis, with rising emphasis on on-board safety and comfort aspects. Hence, real-time crowding information (RTCI) might have become even more instrumental in supporting travel decisions in congested urban PT systems. This study investigates the willingness to wait (WTW) to reduce (or avoid) overcrowding with RTCI in urban PT (bus and tram) journeys, analysing pre- vs. post-COVID travel behaviour attitudes. Stated-preference data and (subsequently estimated) choice models indicate that, while the pre-COVID WTW was primarily driven by mere possibility to avoid an overcrowded first departure, the post-COVID propensity to wait is strongly associated with expectations of seat availability in second departure as well. The ex-post WTW with RTCI seems to have become less-dependent on individual characteristics and more prominent for time-critical (obligatory) trips as well. Our findings underpin the rising relevance of passenger overcrowding in urban PT journeys. Moreover, they help better understand the potential of RTCI in post-pandemic recovery of PT ridership.

COVID-19 危机对公共交通(PT)的出行偏好产生了重大影响,人们越来越重视车内的安全和舒适度。因此,在拥堵的城市公共交通系统中,实时拥挤信息(RTCI)在支持出行决策方面可能变得更加重要。本研究调查了在城市公共交通(公共汽车和有轨电车)旅程中使用实时拥挤信息减少(或避免)拥挤的等待意愿(WTW),分析了COVID前后的旅行行为态度。陈述-偏好数据和(随后估算的)选择模型表明,虽然 COVID 前的 WTW 主要受避免第一次发车拥挤的可能性驱动,但 COVID 后的等待倾向也与第二次发车的座位可用性预期密切相关。RTCI 的事后 WTW 似乎已不再那么依赖于个人特征,而且对于时间紧迫(强制性)的旅行也更加突出。我们的研究结果证明,在城市公共交通旅程中,乘客拥挤问题的相关性越来越高。此外,这些发现还有助于更好地理解 RTCI 在大流行后恢复公共交通乘客量方面的潜力。
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