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Multimodal public transport, travel behaviour, and social equity 多式联运公共交通、出行行为和社会公平
IF 5.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101237
Sui Tao, Long Cheng, Jonathan Corcoran, Susan Shaheen
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引用次数: 0
Accessibility dynamics with high-speed railway network expansion: A line-specific, granular analysis 高速铁路网扩展的可达性动态:线路特定的粒度分析
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101239
Mengying Cui , Lijie Yu , Zhe Dai , Ang Ji , Keyue Liu , David Levinson
This study conducts a line-based accessibility analysis of high-speed railway (HSR) network expansion in the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration of China based on a multi-modal inter-city network. We propose an improved accessibility indicator that integrates opportunities and transport networks from neighboring regions, overcoming the artificial inequities inherent in traditional methods that restrict destination and route selections to rigid study area boundaries. The results reveal that the HSR network in the study area is still in the growth phase, with accessibility gains following an S-shaped trajectory, and has not yet reached maturity. Future investments are expected to sustain improvements in accessibility and spatial equity. More importantly, the operational sequence of HSR lines is less significant than their individual contributions to accessibility and equity. This implies few, if any, synergies between the HSR lines and emphasizes the importance of strategic line placement over construction order in fostering efficient and equitable regional connections, particularly in emerging HSR networks.
本文基于多模式城际网络,对关中平原城市群高速铁路网络扩展的线路可达性进行了分析。我们提出了一个改进的可达性指标,该指标整合了来自邻近地区的机会和交通网络,克服了传统方法固有的人为不公平,这些方法将目的地和路线选择限制在严格的研究区域边界内。结果表明:研究区高铁网络仍处于成长期,可达性增长呈s型轨迹,尚未达到成熟期;预计未来的投资将持续改善可达性和空间公平。更重要的是,高铁线路的运行顺序不如它们对可达性和公平性的贡献重要。这意味着高铁线路之间的协同效应很少(如果有的话),并强调了战略线路布局对建设顺序的重要性,以促进高效和公平的区域连接,特别是在新兴的高铁网络中。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding consumer preferences for Urban Air Mobility: A choice-based conjoint analysis approach with the case of South Korea 了解消费者对城市空中交通的偏好:以韩国为例的基于选择的联合分析方法
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101236
Junmin Lee , Harin Chae , Woojin Bang , Daeho Lee , Myoungjin Oh , Jungwoo Shin , Keungoui Kim
The emergence of Urban Air Mobility (UAM) as a transformative mode of transportation is driven by the convergence of advanced information technologies, including automation and autonomous flight systems, with innovative aerial vehicle designs. Positioned as a key component of future smart and interconnected urban mobility ecosystems, UAM has attracted growing attention from both industry and policymakers. This study examines consumer preferences for UAM in South Korea using a choice-based conjoint analysis. The analysis quantifies the relative importance of key service attributes—transit time, price, operating speed, autonomy, waiting time, seat width, and luggage weight—in influencing potential adoption. The results show that transit time is the most influential attribute shaping consumer preferences, followed by price, operating speed, and autonomy. Secondary factors such as waiting time, seat width, and luggage weight also contribute to perceived service quality and convenience. These findings provide actionable insights for UAM service providers and policymakers, highlighting the need to balance efficiency, affordability, and technological advancement to foster consumer acceptance and sustainable market integration. Future research should validate these findings across different cultural and urban contexts to assess the generalisability of consumer preference structures.
城市空中交通(UAM)作为一种变革性的交通方式的出现,是由先进信息技术的融合推动的,包括自动化和自主飞行系统,以及创新的飞行器设计。UAM被定位为未来智能互联城市交通生态系统的关键组成部分,吸引了越来越多的行业和政策制定者的关注。本研究使用基于选择的联合分析来检验韩国消费者对UAM的偏好。该分析量化了影响潜在采用的关键服务属性——运输时间、价格、运行速度、自主性、等待时间、座位宽度和行李重量——的相对重要性。结果表明,运输时间是影响消费者偏好的最重要因素,其次是价格、运营速度和自主性。等候时间、座位宽度和行李重量等次要因素也会影响服务质量和便利性。这些发现为UAM服务提供商和政策制定者提供了可操作的见解,强调了平衡效率、可负担性和技术进步的必要性,以促进消费者接受和可持续的市场整合。未来的研究应该在不同的文化和城市背景下验证这些发现,以评估消费者偏好结构的普遍性。
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引用次数: 0
Interpreting an unfolding future: Is teleworking as common after the pandemic as we expected? and what does it mean for policy? 解读正在展开的未来:疫情后远程办公是否如我们预期的那样普遍?这对政策意味着什么?
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101234
Matthias Sweet , Darren M. Scott
While many studies lead to expectations of significant post-pandemic telework, has this actually become the reality? Teleworking (work-from-home) may significantly change activity patterns and land markets in metropolitan areas. It stands to gut the downtowns of major metropolitan areas of their knowledge workers. Towards understanding what telework means for future transportation policy, this study explores how teleworking has changed based not only on employees’ expectations of the future, but also based on teleworking rates experienced after the pandemic. Moreover, this study explores what teleworking changes are likely to mean with respect to early fears that downtowns will become hollowed out. Using two waves (2021 and 2023) of the Future Mobility in Canada Survey (FMCS), this study updates estimates of future teleworking using fall 2023 data to reflect on the changing policy implications of teleworking propensities.
Using descriptive statistics and inferential models, this study finds teleworking has lessened between 2021 and 2023, it has decentralized out of the downtowns, it no longer disproportionately offsets transit use, and it is becoming more prominent in households with two or more vehicles. Increasing disconnects between in-person younger workers and virtual older workers portend workplace challenges. Moreover, findings suggest that policymakers will need to wrestle with the question as to whether telework should be viewed as an economic good (notably serving high-income households) or as a merit good (notably serving latent teleworking demand by women). Despite significant uncertainty over the longer-term, significant policy implications appear to hinge on non-transportation outcomes, including time poverty, workplace mentoring, and the meaning of downtowns as work hubs.
虽然许多研究都对大流行后的远程工作产生了预期,但这真的成为现实了吗?远程办公(在家工作)可能会显著改变大都市地区的活动模式和土地市场。它将把他们的知识工人从主要大都市的中心城区赶出去。为了了解远程办公对未来交通政策的意义,本研究不仅根据员工对未来的期望,还根据疫情后的远程办公率,探讨了远程办公的变化。此外,本研究还探讨了远程办公的变化可能意味着什么,这与早期对市中心将被掏空的担忧有关。本研究利用加拿大未来流动性调查(FMCS)的两波(2021年和2023年),利用2023年秋季的数据更新了对未来远程办公的估计,以反映远程办公倾向不断变化的政策影响。利用描述性统计和推理模型,这项研究发现,在2021年至2023年期间,远程办公已经减少,它已经分散到市中心之外,它不再不成比例地抵消交通使用,并且在拥有两辆或更多车辆的家庭中变得更加突出。面对面的年轻员工和虚拟的年长员工之间越来越脱节,预示着工作场所的挑战。此外,研究结果表明,政策制定者需要努力解决这样一个问题:远程办公是应该被视为一种经济产品(尤其是服务于高收入家庭),还是一种价值产品(尤其是服务于女性潜在的远程办公需求)。尽管长期来看存在很大的不确定性,但重大的政策影响似乎取决于非交通结果,包括时间贫困、工作场所指导以及市中心作为工作中心的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Towards resilient transit services: Lessons from the evolution of travel-related well-being 建设弹性交通服务:来自旅行相关福祉演变的经验教训
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101228
Yucheng Wang , Long Cheng
The novel coronavirus in 2020 (COVID-19) drastically influenced the travel experience of urban transit users, particularly by reducing their perceived well-being. However, limited evidence exists on how travel-related well-being and its determinants evolve across different COVID-19 wave stages, hindering the ability to devise effective strategies for restoring service quality. To advance more resilient transit services, this study analyzed changes in the factors influencing travel-related well-being using a quasi-longitudinal survey of metro travel experiences before, during, and after the first COVID-19 wave. The survey was carried out in Xi’an, a major city in northwestern China, and yielded 528 valid responses after data cleaning. Ordered regression models were applied to compare the influence of different factors on travel-related well-being across the three temporal stages. The findings revealed a lagged psychological effect of the first COVID-19 wave on well-being, emphasizing that perceived risk and negative mood due to the pandemic had a significantly persistent impact on travel well-being, despite the elimination of strict restraints/control policies. The results also indicated that not all prevention measures were effective at every stage, suggesting the importance of dynamic temporal adjustment in resources allocation to enhance key services. Besides, the study shows that attention should not be limited to anti-epidemic attributes. Conventional attributes like waiting time and in-vehicle time remain significant, with their importance amplified during and after the COVID-19 wave. Furthermore, we profiled service resilience from the perspective of users’ subjective perceptions, i.e., before-after changes in travel well-being, and identified more vital factors for the recovery of well-being, such as conducting disinfection, controlling congestion, decreasing waiting time and in-vehicle time. Overall, this study offers lessons from a previous COVID-19 wave to inform the enhancement of transit service quality to improve passengers’ well-being, in preparation for potential/unknown public health crises in the future.
2020年的新型冠状病毒(COVID-19)极大地影响了城市交通用户的出行体验,特别是降低了他们的幸福感。然而,关于旅行相关福祉及其决定因素如何在不同的COVID-19浪潮阶段演变的证据有限,阻碍了制定有效战略以恢复服务质量的能力。为了促进更具弹性的交通服务,本研究通过对第一次COVID-19浪潮之前、期间和之后的地铁旅行体验进行准纵向调查,分析了影响旅行相关福祉的因素的变化。该调查是在中国西北的一个主要城市西安进行的,经过数据清理,得到了528个有效回复。运用有序回归模型比较不同因素对三个时间阶段旅游相关幸福感的影响。调查结果显示,第一波COVID-19浪潮对幸福感产生了滞后的心理影响,并强调,尽管取消了严格的限制/控制政策,但大流行带来的感知风险和负面情绪对旅行幸福感产生了显著的持续影响。结果还表明,并非所有预防措施在每个阶段都有效,这表明在资源配置中进行动态时间调整以加强重点服务的重要性。此外,研究表明,关注不应局限于抗疫属性。等待时间和车内时间等传统属性仍然很重要,在COVID-19浪潮期间和之后,它们的重要性被放大。此外,我们从用户的主观感知角度,即出行幸福感的前后变化,分析了服务弹性,并确定了更重要的幸福感恢复因素,如进行消毒,控制拥堵,减少等待时间和车内时间。总体而言,本研究提供了之前COVID-19浪潮的经验教训,为提高交通服务质量提供信息,以改善乘客的福祉,为未来潜在/未知的公共卫生危机做好准备。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and operational interventions for healthy cruise ship design using agent-based modelling 基于主体模型的健康游轮设计的空间和操作干预
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101232
Jiayu Pan , Leonel Aguilar , Michal Gath-Morad , Ronita Bardhan , Koen Steemers
Cruise ship environments have been identified as high-risk settings for communicable disease outbreaks. The severe COVID-19 outbreaks aboard several cruise ships have further intensified concerns about transmission in these confined, densely populated environments. Although some behavioural interventions have been studied, the influence of spatial and operational design on transmission risk remains under explored.
To address this gap, this study applies agent-based modelling (ABM) to simulate passenger movement patterns on mixed-use cruise ship decks as a surrogate for infection transmission. By modelling individual movement behaviours and collisions (close-contact exposure) within the mixed-use decks, the ABM approach supports the development of spatial design and operational strategies that can reduce transmission risk and improve the efficiency and healthiness of onboard circulation. We conducted verification and parametric tests to assess model performance and designed three experiments to evaluate the effects of varying occupancy levels, infection prevalence, spatial layouts and access restriction strategies with 1181 simulation runs, the simulation results are complemented by spatial analyses of deck plans to inform evidence-based recommendations for safer cruise ship environments.
We identified three key spatial drivers of disease transmission risk on cruise ships. First, higher occupancy density and compact layouts significantly increased close-contact events, as passengers navigated narrow, poorly connected corridors. Second, the effectiveness of quarantine interventions depended not just on their presence but on their spatial placement: centrally located restrictions amplified congestion, while peripheral placement helped alleviate it. Third, simple passive design changes—such as widening corridors or enhancing internal connectivity—reduced movement bottlenecks and collisions, without requiring behavioural adaptation. Together, these findings demonstrate that spatial configuration is not merely a backdrop but a powerful determinant of health resilience in high-occupancy environments.
游轮环境已被确定为传染病暴发的高风险环境。几艘游轮上发生的COVID-19严重疫情进一步加剧了人们对在这些狭窄、人口稠密的环境中传播的担忧。虽然已经研究了一些行为干预措施,但空间和操作设计对传播风险的影响仍有待探讨。为了解决这一差距,本研究应用基于主体的建模(ABM)来模拟混合用途游轮甲板上的乘客运动模式,作为感染传播的替代品。通过模拟混合用途甲板内的个人运动行为和碰撞(近距离接触暴露),ABM方法支持空间设计和操作策略的发展,可以减少传播风险,提高船上循环的效率和健康。我们进行了验证和参数测试来评估模型的性能,并设计了三个实验来评估不同的入住率、感染流行率、空间布局和访问限制策略对1181次模拟运行的影响,模拟结果与甲板平面图的空间分析相补充,为更安全的游轮环境提供循证建议。我们确定了邮轮上疾病传播风险的三个关键空间驱动因素。首先,较高的占用密度和紧凑的布局显著增加了近距离接触事件,因为乘客在狭窄、连接不良的走廊上航行。其次,隔离措施的有效性不仅取决于它们的存在,还取决于它们的空间位置:中心位置的限制加剧了拥堵,而外围位置的限制有助于缓解拥堵。第三,简单的被动设计改变——比如拓宽走廊或加强内部连接——减少了移动瓶颈和碰撞,而不需要行为适应。总之,这些发现表明,在高占用率环境中,空间配置不仅是一个背景,而且是健康恢复力的一个强大决定因素。
{"title":"Spatial and operational interventions for healthy cruise ship design using agent-based modelling","authors":"Jiayu Pan ,&nbsp;Leonel Aguilar ,&nbsp;Michal Gath-Morad ,&nbsp;Ronita Bardhan ,&nbsp;Koen Steemers","doi":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101232","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tbs.2026.101232","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cruise ship environments have been identified as high-risk settings for communicable disease outbreaks. The severe COVID-19 outbreaks aboard several cruise ships have further intensified concerns about transmission in these confined, densely populated environments. Although some behavioural interventions have been studied, the influence of spatial and operational design on transmission risk remains under explored.</div><div>To address this gap, this study applies agent-based modelling (ABM) to simulate passenger movement patterns on mixed-use cruise ship decks as a surrogate for infection transmission. By modelling individual movement behaviours and collisions (close-contact exposure) within the mixed-use decks, the ABM approach supports the development of spatial design and operational strategies that can reduce transmission risk and improve the efficiency and healthiness of onboard circulation. We conducted verification and parametric tests to assess model performance and designed three experiments to evaluate the effects of varying occupancy levels, infection prevalence, spatial layouts and access restriction strategies with 1181 simulation runs, the simulation results are complemented by spatial analyses of deck plans to inform evidence-based recommendations for safer cruise ship environments.</div><div>We identified three key spatial drivers of disease transmission risk on cruise ships. First, higher occupancy density and compact layouts significantly increased close-contact events, as passengers navigated narrow, poorly connected corridors. Second, the effectiveness of quarantine interventions depended not just on their presence but on their spatial placement: centrally located restrictions amplified congestion, while peripheral placement helped alleviate it. Third, simple passive design changes—such as widening corridors or enhancing internal connectivity—reduced movement bottlenecks and collisions, without requiring behavioural adaptation. Together, these findings demonstrate that spatial configuration is not merely a backdrop but a powerful determinant of health resilience in high-occupancy environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51534,"journal":{"name":"Travel Behaviour and Society","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 101232"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145924330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling travelers’ joint car ownership and car type choice behavior: The role of autonomous vehicle safety-security perceptions 旅行者共同拥有汽车和汽车类型选择行为的建模:自动驾驶汽车安全感知的作用
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101230
Umer Mansoor , Yu Gu , Anthony Chen
Car ownership and car type choice are critical components of transportation planning, yet the interplay between these decisions and the impact of emerging vehicle technologies, such as autonomous vehicles (AVs), remain underexplored. As AVs become more prevalent, travelers’ perceptions and behaviors regarding their safety and security may affect their adoption. This study investigates how travelers’ risk perceptions (safety, security, and range anxiety) shape their joint decisions to own a car and select a vehicle type within a multimodal transportation system. We propose a discrete choice modeling-based equilibrium analysis framework that integrates a dogit model to capture captivity effects in car ownership decisions and a nested logit model to account for similarities among car types. The framework is formulated as a mathematical programming problem, ensuring solution existence and uniqueness. Numerical experiments on a toy network and a real-world case study reveal that reductions in travelers’ risk perceptions toward AVs lead to significant increases in AV adoption, highlighting the critical role of public trust in transitioning to AV-dominated markets. By explicitly linking risk perceptions to long-term transportation planning, this model equips policymakers with a tool to design strategies that address behavioral barriers to AV adoption while balancing efficiency and safety objectives.
汽车拥有量和车型选择是交通规划的关键组成部分,但这些决策与新兴汽车技术(如自动驾驶汽车)的影响之间的相互作用仍未得到充分探讨。随着自动驾驶汽车的普及,旅行者对自身安全的看法和行为可能会影响自动驾驶汽车的采用。本研究调查了旅行者的风险感知(安全、保障和里程焦虑)如何影响他们在多式联运系统中拥有汽车和选择车辆类型的共同决策。我们提出了一个基于离散选择建模的均衡分析框架,该框架集成了一个dogit模型来捕捉汽车所有权决策中的圈养效应,一个嵌套logit模型来解释汽车类型之间的相似性。该框架被表述为一个数学规划问题,保证了解的存在唯一性。在玩具网络上的数值实验和现实案例研究表明,旅行者对自动驾驶汽车风险认知的降低导致自动驾驶汽车采用率的显著增加,突出了公众信任在向自动驾驶汽车主导的市场过渡中的关键作用。通过明确地将风险认知与长期交通规划联系起来,该模型为政策制定者提供了设计策略的工具,以解决自动驾驶采用的行为障碍,同时平衡效率和安全目标。
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引用次数: 0
Choice Preferences for Urban Air Mobility: A Latent Class Discrete Choice Model with Mixed Logit Extensions 城市空中交通的选择偏好:一个混合Logit扩展的潜在类离散选择模型
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101229
Hong Zhang , Xiangrong Xue , Guocong Zhai , Hongtai Yang , Xiaozhao Lu , Christopher R. Cherry
The emergence of Urban Air Mobility (UAM) is expected to be a potential solution to improve travel efficiency and mitigate traffic congestion. However, choice preferences for UAM are still understudied, especially for the megacities in China. This study investigates the choice preferences for UAM through a hybrid modeling framework that integrates the Latent Class Discrete Choice Model (LCDCM) with the Mixed Logit Model (MLM). A total of 410 respondents were sampled to represent Chengdu residents in 2024. The LCDCM was first applied to identify distinct traveler segments. Then, leveraging soft-classification probabilities as weights, cluster-specific MLMs were estimated to uncover systematic heterogeneity in preferences across groups. Five user classes were identified, mainly characterized by car ownership, safety concerns, and occupation. The MLM results reveal substantial heterogeneity in sensitivity to fares, in-vehicle time, and out-of-vehicle time. Methodologically, this study provides a novel hybrid approach to capture the observed and unobserved heterogeneity of choice preferences. This study practically helps researchers, practitioners, and government agencies to understand the choice preferences of UAM and promote the deployment of UAM in megacities.
城市空中交通(UAM)的出现有望成为提高出行效率和缓解交通拥堵的潜在解决方案。然而,人们对UAM的选择偏好仍未得到充分研究,尤其是在中国的特大城市。本研究通过将潜在类离散选择模型(LCDCM)与混合Logit模型(MLM)集成在一起的混合建模框架来研究UAM的选择偏好。共有410名受访者被抽样,代表2024年的成都居民。LCDCM首先被用于识别不同的旅行者群体。然后,利用软分类概率作为权重,估计集群特定的传销,以揭示跨群体偏好的系统性异质性。该研究确定了五个用户类别,主要以汽车拥有量、安全问题和职业为特征。传销的结果揭示了实质性的异质性敏感性票价,车内时间,和车外时间。在方法上,本研究提供了一种新的混合方法来捕捉观察到的和未观察到的选择偏好的异质性。本研究有助于研究人员、从业人员和政府机构了解UAM的选择偏好,促进UAM在特大城市的部署。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling influence of perceived service quality of drone delivery service on behavioral intentions 无人机配送服务感知服务质量对行为意向的影响
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101227
Xinyu Chen, Doosun Hong, Sunghoon Jang
With the development of drone technology, drone delivery services are gradually being commercialized; however, the service still faces challenges such as immature technology, insufficient publicity, and public concerns about privacy issues. This study aims to identify the key factors affecting consumers’ intention to use drone delivery services and propose improvement strategies to promote the widespread adoption of drone delivery services. Through an online survey of Seoul residents, this survey collected 491 valid questionnaires, examining various characteristics such as gender, age, and online shopping behaviors. By using hybrid generalized ordered logit model, this study analyzed the relationship between individual characteristics, perceived service quality, and usage intention. The findings reveal that eight perceived service qualities have varying degrees of influence on usage intention. Delivery time, noise and privacy are key factors for ’high intent’ consumers, while functionality, safety from infection and delivery time are top factors for ’medium intent’ consumers. In addition, males, those under 40, and those with higher levels of education show a stronger intention to use. Enterprises should enhance the visibility of drone delivery services, optimize service quality, and offer customized services tailored to different groups. Simultaneously, the government should strengthen its focus on data security and legal standards. This study provides both theoretical insights and practical recommendations for the future development of drone delivery services.
随着无人机技术的发展,无人机送货服务正在逐步商业化;然而,这项服务仍然面临着技术不成熟、宣传不足以及公众对隐私问题的担忧等挑战。本研究旨在找出影响消费者使用无人机送货服务意愿的关键因素,并提出改进策略,以促进无人机送货服务的广泛采用。此次调查以首尔市民为对象,对性别、年龄、网上购物行为等进行了问卷调查,共收集了491份有效问卷。采用混合广义有序logit模型,分析了个体特征、感知服务质量与使用意愿之间的关系。研究结果显示,八项感知服务品质对使用意愿有不同程度的影响。配送时间、噪音和隐私是“高意向”消费者的关键因素,而功能、防感染安全性和配送时间是“中等意向”消费者的主要因素。此外,男性、40岁以下和受教育程度较高的人使用手机的意愿更强。企业应提高无人机配送服务的可见性,优化服务质量,针对不同人群提供定制化服务。同时,政府应加强对数据安全和法律标准的关注。本研究为无人机快递服务的未来发展提供了理论见解和实践建议。
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引用次数: 0
Flood hazard assessment and emergency evacuation under rainstorm disasters: A case study of Luhe District in Nanjing 暴雨灾害下洪涝灾害危险性评价与应急疏散——以南京市鹿河区为例
IF 5.7 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2025.101231
Shuchao Cao , Luhan Ma , Ying Zhou , Xiangxia Ren , Yiping Zeng , Xiaoxia Yang , Peng Wang
In recent years, urban floods caused by heavy rains occur frequently, leading to heavy casualties and economic losses worldwide. Transportation network serves as the backbone of urban lifeline engineering, which is crucial for ensuring residents’ safety and emergency evacuation in flood disasters. Therefore, to investigate the flood hazard for pedestrians and vehicles during the rainstorm, an urban rain-flood coupling model is firstly established and validated to accurately simulate the flood inundation process by fusing multiple types of high-precision data. Four rainfall patterns with return periods of 5 years, 10 years, 50 years and 100 years are designed based on the Chicago rainfall method. The critical instability conditions for heterogeneous pedestrians and vehicles are obtained. Finally, a quantitative assessment framework for flood hazard on urban roads is proposed based on flood simulation results and instability risk analysis. The results indicate that the flood hazard level for pedestrians and vehicles increases with the increment of rainfall intensity and duration. Compared to pedestrians, the adverse impact of floods on vehicles is greater since the length of dangerous roads for vehicles increases by 4.5 times. Compared with adults and SUVs, children and cars are more vulnerable to floods, with the length of dangerous roads increasing by 6 times and 90 % respectively. In emergency circumstances, based on the flood hazard distribution and evacuation distances, feasible evacuation routes and evacuation modes in different residential areas are planned to ensure the safety of citizens. The study is helpful to improve emergency responses and traffic management under urban flood disasters.
近年来,暴雨引发的城市洪水频繁发生,在世界范围内造成了重大人员伤亡和经济损失。交通网络是城市生命线工程的骨干,在洪涝灾害中对保障居民安全和应急疏散至关重要。因此,为了研究暴雨期间行人和车辆的洪水危害,首先建立并验证了城市雨洪耦合模型,通过融合多类型高精度数据准确模拟洪水淹没过程。基于芝加哥降雨法,设计了4种重现周期为5年、10年、50年和100年的降水模式。得到了非均质行人和车辆的临界不稳定条件。最后,基于洪水模拟结果和失稳风险分析,提出了城市道路洪水灾害定量评价框架。结果表明:随着降雨强度和持续时间的增加,行人和车辆的洪水危险程度增加;与行人相比,洪水对车辆的不利影响更大,因为车辆的危险道路长度增加了4.5倍。与成年人和suv相比,儿童和汽车更容易受到洪水的影响,危险道路的长度分别增加了6倍和90%。在紧急情况下,根据洪水灾害分布和疏散距离,规划不同居民区可行的疏散路线和疏散方式,确保市民的安全。研究结果有助于提高城市洪涝灾害下的应急响应和交通管理水平。
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引用次数: 0
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Travel Behaviour and Society
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