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Trends in leisure and shopping travel: From pre- to post-COVID-19 pandemic 休闲和购物旅行的趋势:从 COVID-19 流行前到流行后
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100956
Kailai Wang , Jonas De Vos
The global COVID-19 pandemic of 2020–2022 precipitated a significant transformation in leisure and shopping travel patterns. This study leverages data from the Puget Sound Regional Travel Study conducted in 2017, 2019, and 2023 to investigate these changes. Utilizing rigorous statistical analyses, including conditional mixed-process modeling, our empirical results indicate that the share of trips made for leisure travel and in-store shopping increased in the post-pandemic era, while the vehicle miles traveled for leisure activities decreased. Individuals with telework arrangements exceeding six hours per day tended to make a higher proportion of their daily trips for leisure and shopping, yet they covered shorter distances by automobile for these activities. The surge in package delivery, stimulated by the pandemic, exhibited a complementary effect on in-store shopping travel but appeared to substitute some leisure activities. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers aiming to adapt transportation infrastructure and public services to the evolving needs of the post-pandemic era.
2020-2022 年全球 COVID-19 大流行促使休闲和购物旅行模式发生重大转变。本研究利用 2017 年、2019 年和 2023 年进行的普吉特海湾地区旅行研究的数据来调查这些变化。通过严格的统计分析(包括条件混合过程建模),我们的实证结果表明,在后大流行时代,休闲旅行和店内购物的出行比例增加了,而休闲活动的车辆行驶里程减少了。每天远程工作时间超过六小时的人,其休闲和购物的出行比例往往更高,但他们在这些活动中的汽车行驶距离却更短。在大流行病的刺激下,包裹递送量激增,对店内购物旅行产生了补充效应,但似乎替代了一些休闲活动。这些研究结果为政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解,使他们能够调整交通基础设施和公共服务,以适应后大流行病时代不断变化的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Stepping towards transformation: Adaptations and functions of walking practices in the pandemic urban neighbourhood 迈向转变:大流行病城市街区步行实践的适应性和功能
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100940
Monika Pentenrieder
Many concepts of the post-pandemic urban neighbourhood transitioning into a socio-ecological and resilient future centre on walking. However, the lived experiences of walking – beyond frequencies, rationalities or specific features of the built environment – are less reflected in these concepts. This paper studies the dynamics of walking and its entanglements with practices of everyday life in an urban neighbourhood. Under the analytical lens of the COVID-19 pandemic, qualitative focus groups were conducted to explore walking experiences. The analysis of adaptations and functions of walking shows the versatility of walking practices in their flexibility and resilience. Walking in a neighbourhood that is attributed high walkability functions as a key mode in everyday coordination. Walking, however, is not exclusively pleasurable, accessible or directly conducive to a shift away from carbon-intensive everyday practices. Rather, the complex and multi-dimensional role of walking within a socio-ecological and resilient transformation requires policy and planning to address the relations of different elements and practices. The paper contributes qualitative insights to both walkability and COVID-19 transport literature, and demonstrates the benefits of a social practice perspective.
许多关于后流行病城市街区向社会生态和弹性未来过渡的概念都以步行为中心。然而,除了频率、合理性或建筑环境的具体特征之外,这些概念较少反映步行的生活体验。本文研究了步行的动态及其与城市街区日常生活实践的联系。以 COVID-19 大流行病为分析视角,开展了定性焦点小组活动,以探讨步行体验。对步行的适应性和功能的分析表明,步行的灵活性和复原力是多方面的。在适宜步行程度较高的社区,步行是日常协调的一种重要方式。然而,步行并不完全是一种愉悦、方便或直接有助于摆脱碳密集型日常行为的方式。相反,步行在社会生态和弹性转型中发挥着复杂而多维的作用,需要政策和规划来处理不同要素和实践之间的关系。本文为步行能力和 COVID-19 交通文献提供了定性见解,并展示了社会实践视角的益处。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the red and green: Effects of rational and irrational factors in pedestrian choice at two-stage signalized crossings with independent phases 红绿灯之外:两阶段独立信号灯路口行人选择中理性和非理性因素的影响
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100955
Dianchen Zhu , Ya Gao , Xiaodong Chen , Zhongxiang Feng , Ho-Yin Chan , Mingming Zhao
Pedestrian safety warrants significant attention, specifically red-light violation behavior at these two-stage signalized crossings. Distinct from pedestrian behaviors at one-stage crossings, the decision-making processes at two-stage signalized intersections can be influenced by the signal conditions of the subsequent crossing stage. Moreover, the rational assessment of trade-offs between time and safety may shift under different situational conditions at two-stage intersections. To investigate these dynamics, the current study employs a stated preference (SP) survey to elucidate the factors influencing pedestrian crossing decisions at two-stage signalized crossings. A random parameter random regret multinomial logit model is utilized to quantify the probabilities of different crossing behaviors. The results demonstrate the presence of a green signal at the subsequent stage is positively with the likelihood of red light violation at the current stage, suggesting a predominant preference for time-saving over rule adherence, despite associated risks. Intriguingly, individuals characterized by low risk-taking and time-saving proclivities exhibit a significantly greater likelihood of red light running. These findings contribute to a nuanced understanding of pedestrian behavior, offering strategic insights for behavioral interventions and transportation planning, such as optimizing signal time plan, implementing advanced transportation facilities, improving junction design and enhancing deterrence measures, thereby enhancing safety and promoting walkability in urban environments.
行人安全问题,尤其是这些两段式信号灯交叉路口的闯红灯行为,值得高度关注。与单段式交叉路口的行人行为不同,两段式信号灯交叉路口的决策过程会受到后续交叉路口信号灯条件的影响。此外,在两阶段交叉路口的不同情景条件下,对时间和安全之间权衡的合理评估可能会发生变化。为了研究这些动态变化,本研究采用了陈述偏好(SP)调查,以阐明影响行人在两阶段信号灯控制交叉路口过街决策的因素。研究采用了随机参数随机遗憾多叉 Logit 模型来量化不同过街行为的概率。结果表明,下一阶段绿灯信号的出现与当前阶段闯红灯的可能性呈正相关,这表明尽管存在相关风险,但人们更倾向于节省时间而不是遵守规则。耐人寻味的是,风险承担和节省时间倾向较低的个体闯红灯的可能性明显更大。这些发现有助于深入了解行人行为,为行为干预和交通规划(如优化信号灯时间计划、实施先进的交通设施、改进路口设计和加强威慑措施)提供战略性见解,从而提高城市环境的安全性和步行便利性。
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引用次数: 0
A novel method to identify high emission state of CO2 and NOX based on PEMS data of gasoline passenger cars: Insight from driving behaviors 基于汽油乘用车 PEMS 数据识别二氧化碳和氮氧化物高排放状态的新方法:从驾驶行为中获得启示
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100960
Hua Liu , Tiezhu Li , Haibo Chen
This study aims to identify high emissions of CO2 and NOX from gasoline passenger cars based on PEMS data by introducing a concept of emission state, and investigate their correlations with driving behaviors. The clustering approach of K-means++ was employed to classify the instantaneous mass emission value and emission rate under various road types, respectively. A novel identification indicator (i.e., the ratio of change rate and growth rate of instantaneous emissions) was proposed as the basis for dividing each emission state. Subsequently, three matrices (i.e., probability matrix, value matrix, and identification matrix) were constructed to reflect relationships between emission states and emission rates under each road type. Moreover, driving scenarios of CO2 and NOX high emission were investigated and compared by machine learning models with SHAP explanation and ordered logistic models. The empirical results indicate that the identification indicators of CO2 and NOX high emissions are 2.49 g/s2 and 3.66 mg/s2 on the freeway, 2.98 g/s2 and 2.12 mg/s2 on the primary road, and 2.77 g/s2 and 2.05 mg/s2 on the secondary road. Within the same ranges of driving behavior parameters on the freeway, the occurrence probability of CO2 high emission state is higher than that of relatively high emission state, while an opposite trend is observed for NOX emissions. Interestingly, despite NOX and CO2 show similar emission characteristics on the primary and secondary road, the driving behaviors corresponding to high emissions of NOX and CO2 present significant disparities. Generally, the acceleration is the primary determinant of CO2 high emissions, while both acceleration and deceleration are significant contributors to NOX high emissions. The findings of this study recommend that long periods of high-speed travelling should be avoided on the freeway. Frequent and abrupt changes in acceleration and deceleration should be minimized on the primary and secondary road, respectively.
本研究旨在通过引入排放状态的概念,基于 PEMS 数据识别汽油乘用车的二氧化碳和氮氧化物高排放量,并研究其与驾驶行为的相关性。采用 K-means++ 聚类方法分别对不同道路类型下的瞬时质量排放值和排放率进行分类。提出了一种新的识别指标(即瞬时排放量的变化率与增长率之比)作为划分各排放状态的基础。随后,构建了三个矩阵(即概率矩阵、值矩阵和识别矩阵)来反映每种道路类型下排放状态与排放率之间的关系。此外,通过机器学习模型与 SHAP 解释和有序逻辑模型,对二氧化碳和氮氧化物高排放的驾驶场景进行了研究和比较。实证结果表明,二氧化碳和氮氧化物高排放的识别指标分别为高速公路 2.49 g/s2 和 3.66 mg/s2,一级公路 2.98 g/s2 和 2.12 mg/s2,二级公路 2.77 g/s2 和 2.05 mg/s2。在高速公路上相同的驾驶行为参数范围内,二氧化碳高排放状态的出现概率要高于相对高排放状态,而氮氧化物的排放则呈现相反的趋势。有趣的是,尽管氮氧化物和二氧化碳在一级公路和二级公路上表现出相似的排放特征,但氮氧化物和二氧化碳高排放所对应的驾驶行为却存在显著差异。一般来说,加速是二氧化碳高排放的主要决定因素,而加速和减速都是导致氮氧化物高排放的重要因素。本研究结果建议,应避免在高速公路上长时间高速行驶。在一级公路和二级公路上,应分别尽量减少频繁和突然的加速和减速变化。
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引用次数: 0
Safety still matters: Unveiling the value propositions of augmented reality head-up displays in autonomous vehicles through conjoint analysis 安全依然重要:通过联合分析揭示自动驾驶汽车中增强现实平视显示器的价值主张
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100915
Choongwon Kang , Chungheon Lee , Xiangying Zhao , Daeho Lee , Jungwoo Shin , Junmin Lee
Despite the huge progress toward fully autonomous vehicles, current models are limited to Level 3 autonomy due to technological constraints, making driver readiness necessary for manual intervention. Head-up displays (HUDs) enhanced with augmented reality (AR) technologies are being developed to improve safety and convenience by projecting essential information onto windshields, thereby minimizing driver distraction. This study addresses the anxiety linked to the current level of autonomous driving, which requires drivers to remain vigilant, and emphasizes the crucial role of AR-HUDs in bridging the gap between autonomous and manual driving, particularly in enhancing safety and fostering driver trust. A conjoint analysis conducted with 500 drivers in South Korea was used to understand AR-HUD user preferences, focusing on safety and trust-enhancing features. The findings reveal that users prioritize functions such as obstacle recognition, emergency services, and essential driving and assistance information, indicating a willingness to invest more in these features. This suggests that users are in a transitional phase, still harboring some distrust toward autonomous vehicles, and valuing the HUD features that alleviate these concerns. This study discusses the relative importance of various HUD features in autonomous vehicles, with the aim of contributing to the development of more user-aligned AR-HUD systems.
尽管在实现完全自动驾驶汽车方面取得了巨大进步,但由于技术限制,目前的车型仅限于三级自动驾驶,因此驾驶员必须做好人工干预的准备。目前正在开发采用增强现实(AR)技术的平视显示器(HUD),通过将重要信息投射到挡风玻璃上提高安全性和便利性,从而最大限度地减少驾驶员的分心。本研究探讨了与当前自动驾驶水平相关的焦虑,自动驾驶要求驾驶员保持警惕,本研究还强调了 AR-HUD 在弥合自动驾驶与手动驾驶之间的差距,特别是在提高安全性和促进驾驶员信任方面的关键作用。为了了解AR-HUD用户的偏好,我们对韩国的500名驾驶员进行了联合分析,重点关注安全和增强信任的功能。研究结果表明,用户优先考虑障碍物识别、紧急服务以及必要的驾驶和辅助信息等功能,这表明他们愿意在这些功能上投入更多。这表明用户正处于过渡阶段,对自动驾驶汽车仍有一些不信任,并重视能减轻这些担忧的 HUD 功能。本研究讨论了自动驾驶汽车中各种 HUD 功能的相对重要性,旨在促进开发更符合用户需求的 AR-HUD 系统。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the relative impact of factors influencing autonomous vehicle value of travel time 衡量影响自动驾驶汽车旅行时间价值的各种因素的相对影响
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100958
Fuad Yasin Huda , Graham Currie , Liton Kamruzzaman
Value of travel time (VOT) serves as a crucial metric for understanding the benefits of transport investments and policy initiatives. Despite numerous studies estimating the VOT for Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), consensus remains elusive, and the variability of the factors influencing AV VOT estimates has yet to be thoroughly explored. This study addresses these gaps through a meta-regression analysis of AV VOT estimates drawn from 24 published studies. 22 factors were identified, through a systematic review of the literature, likely to affect AV VOT estimates. The relative impact of each of the factors on AV VOT were estimated, controlling for the effects of other factors. Results show that eight factors have a statistically significant effect on AV VOT. Income was found to have the greatest effect on AV VOT, followed by geographical location and driver’s licence. High-income people, residents in urban areas, and people without driving licence place a higher VOT for AV travel – i.e., these groups are willing to pay more for reducing one unit of their travel time. High-income individuals are willing to pay AU$8 more per hour than low-income individuals, urban residents are willing to pay AU$6.5 more per hour than rural residents, and people without a driving licence are willing to pay AU$3.7 more per hour than those with one. Results aid future research in two ways: identifying factors that could impact the value of travel time for AVs and guiding the design of experimental setups for future AV VOT estimates. Additionally, results will help policymakers assess the benefits and costs of implementing AV-related policies in different contexts.
旅行时间价值(VOT)是了解交通投资和政策措施效益的重要指标。尽管有许多研究对自动驾驶汽车(AV)的出行时间价值进行了估算,但仍未达成共识,影响自动驾驶汽车出行时间价值估算的因素的可变性也有待深入探讨。本研究通过对 24 项已发表研究中的自动驾驶汽车 VOT 估计值进行元回归分析,弥补了这些不足。通过对文献的系统回顾,确定了 22 个可能影响 AV VOT 估计值的因素。在控制其他因素影响的情况下,估算了每个因素对 AV VOT 的相对影响。结果显示,有八个因素对 AV VOT 有显著的统计影响。收入对 AV VOT 的影响最大,其次是地理位置和驾照。高收入人群、城市居民和无驾驶执照者对自动驾驶汽车出行的 VOT 值较高,即这些人群愿意为减少一个单位的出行时间支付更多费用。高收入人群愿意比低收入人群每小时多支付 8 澳元,城市居民愿意比农村居民每小时多支付 6.5 澳元,无驾照人群愿意比有驾照人群每小时多支付 3.7 澳元。研究结果对未来的研究有两方面的帮助:一是确定可能影响自动驾驶汽车旅行时间价值的因素,二是指导未来自动驾驶汽车VOT估算的实验设计。此外,研究结果还有助于政策制定者评估在不同情况下实施与自动驾驶汽车相关政策的收益和成本。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the nexus between risk perception, driving tasks perception, and road safety attitudes among oil and gas tanker drivers 探究油气罐车驾驶员的风险认知、驾驶任务认知和道路安全态度之间的关系
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100959
Aliyu Mustapha , Mazli Mustapha , Noorhayati Saad , Ahmad Majdi Abdul-Rani
Road accidents globally have an 18 % fatality rate per 100,000 population, with significant regional variations, particularly affecting Africa. The increasing frequency of oil and gas tanker accidents in Nigeria exemplifies this trend, highlighting the need to explore the relationship between risk perception, driving task perception, and road safety attitudes among Nigerian oil and gas tanker drivers. This study utilised a sample of 375 drivers, with 311 valid questionnaires analysed, reflecting consistent and comprehensive responses. Exploratory factor analysis identified three key factors, with factor loadings ranging from 0.580 to 0.915. In contrast, while confirmatory factor analysis validated these constructs χ2/df = 1.285, CFI = 0.996, TLI = 0.971, NFI = 0.984, GFI = 0.995, AGFI = 0.949, RMSEA = 0.048, and SRMR = 0.040. Structural equation modelling further assessed the relationships between drivers’ risk perception, driving task perception, and road safety attitudes, revealing a positive correlation between Risk Perception and Road Safety Attitude (β = 0.611, p < 0.05). There is a positive correlation between Risk Perception and Road Safety Attitude (β = 0.611, p < 0.05) and a positive correlation between Non-Driving Activities impacting road safety (β = 0.145, p < 0.05). The study found that mid-career drivers, particularly those with limited educational backgrounds, demonstrated specific attitudes and behaviours related to road safety. These findings underscore the need for targeted interventions that address risk perception and driving tasks to improve safety attitudes. Recommendations include tailored training programs for different age groups and experience levels, awareness campaigns to enhance adherence to traffic rules, and continuous monitoring of risk perception and road conditions to facilitate adaptive safety interventions.
全球道路交通事故死亡率为每 10 万人 18%,地区差异很大,尤其影响到非洲。尼日利亚油气罐车事故的日益频繁就体现了这一趋势,因此有必要探讨尼日利亚油气罐车驾驶员的风险意识、驾驶任务意识和道路安全态度之间的关系。本研究以 375 名驾驶员为样本,分析了 311 份有效问卷,反映了一致而全面的回答。探索性因子分析确定了三个关键因子,因子载荷从 0.580 到 0.915 不等。相比之下,确认性因子分析验证了这些构造 χ2/df = 1.285、CFI = 0.996、TLI = 0.971、NFI = 0.984、GFI = 0.995、AGFI = 0.949、RMSEA = 0.048 和 SRMR = 0.040。结构方程模型进一步评估了驾驶员的风险认知、驾驶任务认知和道路安全态度之间的关系,结果显示风险认知和道路安全态度之间存在正相关(β = 0.611,p <0.05)。风险认知与道路安全态度之间呈正相关(β = 0.611,p < 0.05),而影响道路安全的非驾驶活动之间呈正相关(β = 0.145,p < 0.05)。研究发现,职业生涯中期的驾驶员,尤其是教育背景有限的驾驶员,表现出与道路安全相关的特定态度和行为。这些发现强调,需要针对风险认知和驾驶任务采取有针对性的干预措施,以改善安全态度。建议包括针对不同年龄组和经验水平的定制培训计划,开展宣传活动以加强对交通规则的遵守,以及持续监测风险意识和道路状况以促进适应性安全干预。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling mode choice behavior of postsecondary students in large metropolitan area: A dynamic tour-based approach 大都市地区中学后学生的模式选择行为建模:基于动态游览的方法
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100944
Nishat Naila Meghna, Md Sami Hasnine
This paper focuses on the tour-based mode choice pattern of the post-secondary students of the Greater Toronto and Hamilton Area (GTHA). The data for this study was collected from a detailed online-based survey in the GTHA. Based on the survey data, the mode choice model for two-trip tours and three-trip tours is estimated using a dynamic discrete choice modeling approach. The model results capture the complicated travel behavior of the students of this area, and it is seen that travel time, distance, cost, and personal preferences influence a student to make the decision as to which tour-mode combination they would choose for different types of tours. International students are seen to choose transit more over driving. Students going to urban institutions are flexible in taking both driving and transit, and it is similar for part-time students too. Female students have mode choice preferences based on their age range. Female students who are comparatively younger are flexible in taking transit, whereas relatively aged female students prefer driving more. Policy scenario analysis reveals an interesting trend in mode choice preference. In any unavoidable situation, students’ preference changes from taking transit to driving if travel distance increases but an increment in travel time makes them shift toward taking transit instead of driving.
本文重点研究了大多伦多和汉密尔顿地区(GTHA)大专学生的旅游方式选择模式。本研究的数据来自于在大多伦多和汉密尔顿地区进行的一项详细的在线调查。根据调查数据,采用动态离散选择建模方法估算了两程游和三程游的模式选择模型。模型结果反映了该地区学生复杂的旅行行为,可以看出,旅行时间、距离、成本和个人偏好会影响学生在不同类型的旅行中选择哪种旅行模式组合。与自驾游相比,留学生更倾向于选择交通方式。就读于城市院校的学生则会灵活选择驾车或乘坐公交车,兼职学生也是如此。女生在选择交通工具时的偏好取决于她们的年龄段。年龄相对较小的女学生在乘坐公交车方面比较灵活,而年龄相对较大的女学生则更喜欢开车。政策情景分析显示了一种有趣的模式选择偏好趋势。在任何不可避免的情况下,如果出行距离增加,学生的偏好会从乘坐公交车变为开车,但出行时间的增加会使他们转向乘坐公交车而不是开车。
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引用次数: 0
Studying transfers in informal transport networks using volunteered GPS data 利用志愿提供的 GPS 数据研究非正规交通网络中的换乘情况
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100936
Genevivie Ankunda, Christo Venter
Multimodal integration is an important issue in public transport systems due to its influence on both passenger experience and overall network efficiency. In most countries in the global South, achieving integration is particularly problematic because of the informal nature of most public transport. Decentralised service planning and demand responsiveness lead to often uncoordinated, highly variable service patterns, which are not optimised from a passenger perspective. Efforts to promote integration are also hampered by a lack of planning data on routes, service frequencies, and transfer locations. This research asks whether GPS data supplied by passengers as they move through the network can be used to help form a better understanding of the extent and quality of the transfer experience. The data was collected in the City of Tshwane, South Africa, among informal minibus-taxi passengers. Post-processing involved the use of a machine learning algorithm to identify in-vehicle, wait and walk segments, which were used to identify transfers between one vehicle and another. The results showed that many transfers are spatially efficient with short walk and wait times, but that a minority of transferring passengers may experience very long transfers. Transfers encompass a diverse range of behaviours including pacing, shopping and browsing, and typically involve much more walking than waiting. Transfers also occur across a wide range of locations, but tend to be concentrated in certain nodes and along street segments. Strategies to improve transfer facilities as well as general walkability might be targeted at such locations. The study demonstrated that volunteered GPS data is a promising source of information to help planners understand the transfer experience in multimodal networks in data-poor environments.
多式联运一体化对乘客体验和整体网络效率都有影响,因此是公共交通系统中的一个重要问题。在全球南部的大多数国家,由于大多数公共交通的非正规性质,实现一体化尤其困难。分散的服务规划和对需求的响应导致服务模式往往不协调、变化很大,从乘客的角度来看无法实现最优化。由于缺乏有关路线、服务频率和换乘地点的规划数据,促进一体化的努力也受到了阻碍。本研究提出的问题是,乘客在网络中移动时提供的 GPS 数据是否有助于更好地了解换乘体验的范围和质量。数据是在南非茨瓦内市非正式小巴-出租车乘客中收集的。后期处理包括使用机器学习算法来识别车内、等待和步行片段,这些片段用于识别一辆车与另一辆车之间的换乘。结果表明,许多换乘在空间上是高效的,步行和等待时间都很短,但少数换乘乘客的换乘时间可能很长。换乘包含多种行为,包括踱步、购物和浏览,通常涉及的步行时间比等待时间要长得多。换乘也发生在各种地点,但往往集中在某些节点和沿街路段。改善换乘设施和步行便利性的策略可以针对这些地点。这项研究表明,自愿提供的 GPS 数据是一种很有前景的信息来源,可帮助规划人员了解在数据匮乏的环境中多式联运网络中的换乘体验。
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引用次数: 0
Interdependencies among changes in residence, occupation, and car ownership − A life course approach 居住地、职业和汽车拥有量变化之间的相互依存关系--一种生命历程方法
IF 5.1 2区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.tbs.2024.100942
Xuemei Fu
Given the dynamic nature of human behavioral decisions over time, a life course approach is adopted to understand the interdependencies among key events in different life domains including residence, occupation, and car ownership. Based on a combination of binomial logit and decision tree, intertwined relationships for all three domains have been confirmed with respect to a quasi-longitudinal dataset. The interactions among inter-domain changes are demonstrated to be complicated, with leading, lagged, and concurrent effects all observed. Residential relocation and car-purchasing behaviors are likely to be performed within the same period, reflecting a concurrent effect, while there is a temporal sequence between major changes in residence and occupation, as well as in occupation and car ownership. The intra-domain continuity investigation by examining the roles played by past experience and future expectation primarily reflects an inhibiting effect on current behavior, indicating people’s inclination for stability. Empirically, identification about these interdependencies enables a better understanding of people’s reactions to changes in personal and family life. The findings are expected to be valuable for policies aiming at integrated urban land-use planning and travel behavior change.
鉴于人类行为决策随时间变化的动态性质,本研究采用生命历程方法来了解不同生活领域(包括居住地、职业和汽车所有权)中关键事件之间的相互依存关系。基于二叉对数和决策树的组合,在准纵向数据集上确认了所有三个领域的相互交织关系。各领域间变化的交互作用被证明是复杂的,可以观察到前导效应、滞后效应和并发效应。住宅搬迁和购车行为很可能是在同一时期进行的,反映了并发效应,而住宅和职业以及职业和汽车拥有量的重大变化之间存在时间顺序。通过研究过去经验和未来预期所起的作用,对域内连续性的调查主要反映了对当前行为的抑制作用,表明人们倾向于稳定。从经验上讲,对这些相互依存关系的识别有助于更好地理解人们对个人和家庭生活变化的反应。这些研究结果有望对旨在整合城市土地使用规划和旅行行为改变的政策产生重要价值。
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引用次数: 0
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Travel Behaviour and Society
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