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Effectiveness of direct and indirect time preference elicitation methods across domains in predicting health behaviors: Evidence from Rural China 直接和间接时间偏好启发方法在跨领域预测健康行为中的有效性:来自中国农村的证据
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102448
Cong Li, Danlei Chen, Jingxian Wu, Qiqi Liu
Health behaviors, which involve trade-offs between current costs and future benefits, are closely associated with individuals’ time preferences. This study investigates the effectiveness of two time preference elicitation methods—indirect (experimental) and direct (self-reported)—in predicting health behaviors using a representative sample of rural residents from Shaanxi, China. These methods were evaluated across two domains: financial and health. Our findings indicate that direct methods significantly outperformed indirect methods in predicting smoking and physical exercise behaviors in survey settings. Furthermore, time preference methods in the health domain were more predictive of health behaviors than those in the financial domain. Specifically, health-domain time preferences significantly predicted both smoking and physical exercise, while financial-domain preferences only predicted physical exercise. Based on these findings, we recommend the use of direct time preference elicitation methods from the health domain in large-scale questionnaire surveys to assess time preferences related to health behaviors in rural populations.
健康行为涉及当前成本和未来收益之间的权衡,与个人的时间偏好密切相关。本研究以陕西农村居民为研究对象,探讨了间接(实验)和直接(自我报告)两种时间偏好激发方法对健康行为预测的有效性。这些方法在两个领域进行了评估:财务和健康。我们的研究结果表明,直接方法在预测吸烟和体育锻炼行为方面明显优于间接方法。此外,健康领域的时间偏好方法比金融领域的时间偏好方法更能预测健康行为。具体而言,健康领域的时间偏好显著预测吸烟和体育锻炼,而金融领域的时间偏好仅预测体育锻炼。基于这些发现,我们建议在大规模问卷调查中使用健康领域的直接时间偏好启发方法来评估农村人口健康行为相关的时间偏好。
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引用次数: 0
Jewish and not Jewish consumers’ preferences for a typical kosher product – an artefactual field experiment 犹太和非犹太消费者对典型洁食产品的偏好——人工实地实验
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102456
Ágoston Temesi , Tamás Harci , Brigitta Unger-Plasek , Zoltán Lakner , László Bendegúz Nagy , Riccardo Vecchio
The demand for kosher foods is significantly increasing worldwide, however little is known about the characteristics and motivations driving consumer choices. Applying a non-hypothetical artefactual field experiment, we explore the driving forces of Jewish and non-Jewish consumers’ monetary preferences for a kosher product and its conventional counterpart. The product investigated in the study was pálinka, a protected designation of origin spirit, well known to Hungarian citizens and widely available in a kosher version.
163 over-aged consumers, nearly half of whom identified as Jewish, participated in incentive-compatible experiments in Budapest (Hungary). Findings show that respondents who prefer the kosher spirit tend to have higher education levels, consider kosher products healthier, and are primarily Jewish, with higher Power (sense of greater power) value. Surprisingly, findings reveal that non-Jewish respondents who value kosher product attributes have a higher willingness to pay a premium compared to Jewish consumers.
世界范围内对犹太食品的需求正在显著增加,然而,人们对推动消费者选择的特征和动机知之甚少。通过非假设的人工实验,我们探讨了犹太和非犹太消费者对犹太洁食产品和传统产品的货币偏好的驱动力。研究中调查的产品是pálinka,这是一种受保护的原产地酒,为匈牙利公民所熟知,并有广泛的犹太洁食版本。163名超龄消费者,其中近一半被认定为犹太人,参加了布达佩斯(匈牙利)的激励相容实验。调查结果显示,喜欢洁食精神的受访者往往受过高等教育,认为洁食产品更健康,并且主要是犹太人,具有更高的权力(更大的权力感)价值。令人惊讶的是,调查结果显示,与犹太消费者相比,重视洁食产品特性的非犹太受访者更愿意支付溢价。
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引用次数: 0
Elicitation bias in Multiple Price Lists: A field experiment 多重价目表的启发偏差:一项实地实验
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102479
Stein T. Holden , Sarah Tione , Mesfin Tilahun , Samson Katengeza
Multiple Price Lists (MPLs) or Choice Lists (CLs) are widely used to elicit risk and time preferences, yet are prone to cognitive biases, particularly among respondents with limited numeracy skills. This paper compares three elicitation approaches; row-by-row from the top, from the bottom, and a Rapid Elicitation (RE) method using random starting points; in a field experiment with 906 rural Malawian farmers. With 20 MPLs per subject, we estimate starting point and order biases in switch points using nonparametric and parametric methods.
Row-by-row elicitation from the top or bottom introduces significant bias in preference elicitation, with effect sizes of up to 0.4 standard deviations. In contrast, the RE approach yields significantly lower starting point bias (Cohen’s d of 0.08 or less). Order effects were present, but of smaller magnitude. RE also reduced the cognitive load and shortened the response time.
These findings underscore the importance of the elicitation method in experimental design, particularly in low-literacy settings. The RE method offers a more reliable and scalable tool for eliciting risk and time preferences in development economics.
多种价格表(MPLs)或选择清单(CLs)被广泛用于引发风险和时间偏好,但容易产生认知偏差,特别是在计算能力有限的受访者中。本文比较了三种启发方法;从上到下逐行,以及使用随机起点的快速启发(RE)方法;对906名马拉维农民进行了实地试验。每个受试者有20个MPLs,我们使用非参数和参数方法估计开关点的起点和顺序偏差。从顶部或底部逐行引出,在偏好引出中引入了显著的偏差,效应量高达0.4个标准差。相比之下,可再生能源方法的起点偏差显著降低(Cohen’s d为0.08或更低)。序效应存在,但量级较小。RE还减少了认知负荷,缩短了反应时间。这些发现强调了启发法在实验设计中的重要性,特别是在低识字率的环境中。在发展经济学中,可重构方法提供了一种更可靠和可扩展的工具,用于引出风险和时间偏好。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of social norms on parents’ beliefs and food choices: Evidence from a lab-in-the-field experiment 社会规范对父母信仰和食物选择的影响:来自实地实验室实验的证据
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102463
Noémi Berlin , Tarek Jaber-Lopez , Moustapha Sarr
In a lab-in-the-field experiment, we investigate the influence of social norms on 300 parents’ beliefs regarding the nutritional quality of food items and their subsequent food choices. We use a 3 × 2 between-subject experimental design where we vary two factors: 1 — the social norm provided to parents: a descriptive norm (what other parents choose) vs. an injunctive norm (what other parents approve of), and 2 — the recipient of the food decisions made by parents: their own child vs. an unknown child. Parents participate in a two-stage process. In the first stage, we elicit their beliefs regarding the nutritional quality of various food items and ask them to make a food basket without specific information. In the second stage, based on their assigned treatment, they receive specific information and repeat the belief elicitation and the food basket selection tasks. We find that only the descriptive norm significantly reduces parents’ overestimation rate of items’ nutritional quality. Injunctive norm significantly improves the nutritional quality of both, the parent’s and child’s baskets. Descriptive norm significantly improves the nutritional quality of child’s baskets only when parents are choosing for unknown child.
在一项实地实验中,我们调查了社会规范对300名父母关于食品营养质量的信念及其随后的食品选择的影响。我们使用了一个3 × 2的受试者间实验设计,其中我们改变了两个因素:1 -提供给父母的社会规范:描述性规范(其他父母选择的)vs.强制性规范(其他父母赞成的);2 -父母做出的食物决定的接受者:他们自己的孩子vs.一个不认识的孩子。家长参与的过程分为两个阶段。在第一阶段,我们引出他们对各种食物的营养质量的信念,并要求他们制作一个没有具体信息的食物篮子。在第二阶段,根据分配给他们的待遇,他们接受特定的信息,并重复信念启发和食物篮选择任务。我们发现,只有描述性规范才能显著降低家长对项目营养质量的高估率。禁令规范显著提高了父母和孩子篮子的营养质量。描述性规范仅在父母为未知儿童选择篮子时显著提高了儿童篮子的营养质量。
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引用次数: 0
Gender differences in performance evaluations 绩效评估中的性别差异
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102459
Katja Görlitz , Tim Sels
This study analyzes the gender gap in self- and peer evaluations based on a laboratory experiment. Five players performed a creative task in a high-stakes winner-takes-all tournament. The treatment without validation informed all players that evaluations that they will conduct determine who will win. The treatment with public validation additionally informed them that they can see an objective performance measure of all players (including themselves) at the end of the experiment which is irrelevant for winning. The results show that men give themselves better self-evaluations compared to women when there is no validation. This gender difference vanishes completely when providing public validation.
本研究以实验室实验为基础,分析自我评价与同伴评价的性别差异。五名玩家在一场高风险的“赢者通吃”比赛中完成了一项创造性任务。未经验证的处理告知所有玩家,他们将进行的评估将决定谁将获胜。公开验证的处理还告诉他们,他们可以在实验结束时看到所有玩家(包括他们自己)的客观表现衡量标准,这与获胜无关。结果显示,与女性相比,在没有得到认可的情况下,男性会给自己更好的自我评价。当提供公共验证时,这种性别差异就完全消失了。
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引用次数: 0
What works in financial education? Experimental evidence on program impact 什么在金融教育中起作用?项目影响的实验证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102401
Gonzalo Llamosas García , Cristina Mazas Pérez-Oleaga
Financial education is increasingly essential for safeguarding both individual and corporate well-being. This study systematically reviews global financial education experiments using a dual-method framework that integrates a deep learning classifier with advanced multivariate statistical techniques. Our analysis indicates that while short-term improvements in financial literacy are common, such gains tend to diminish over time without ongoing reinforcement. Moreover, the limited impact of digital innovations and monetary incentives suggests that successful financial education depends on more than simply deploying technological solutions or extrinsic rewards. Overall, this review provides valuable insights into the evolving landscape of financial education in a dynamic economic context and underscores the need for sustainable strategies that secure lasting improvements in financial literacy.
金融教育对于保障个人和企业的福祉越来越重要。本研究使用双方法框架系统地回顾了全球金融教育实验,该框架将深度学习分类器与先进的多元统计技术相结合。我们的分析表明,虽然金融知识的短期改善是普遍的,但如果没有持续的加强,这种收益往往会随着时间的推移而减少。此外,数字创新和货币激励的影响有限,这表明成功的金融教育不仅取决于部署技术解决方案或外部奖励。总体而言,本综述为动态经济背景下不断变化的金融教育格局提供了有价值的见解,并强调了制定可持续战略以确保金融知识持续改善的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the peer effects on willingness to pay for low-carbon food: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial 评估对低碳食品支付意愿的同伴效应:来自随机对照试验的证据
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102462
Xinyu Wang, Yinyu Zhao, Zemiao Xi
Food consumption is one of the main sources of global carbon emissions, and promoting low-carbon food consumption is seen as a key strategy for sustainable development. This study conducted a randomized controlled trial with 1388 Chinese university students in 2024, using the contingent valuation method and interval regression model to explore how peer effects affect consumers’ willingness to pay (WTP) for low-carbon milk. The study reveals an asymmetric peer effect on WTP for low-carbon milk, with positive influence being more pronounced than negative. The information intervention enhanced the positive peer effect and mitigated the negative peer effect, but stand-alone information showed no significant impact. Heterogeneous effects were observed across SN levels. Given that peer effects may be an essential driver of low-carbon food consumption, it is recommended that public policy consider its catalytic role.
食品消费是全球碳排放的主要来源之一,促进低碳食品消费被视为可持续发展的关键战略。本研究于2024年对1388名中国大学生进行随机对照试验,运用条件评估法和区间回归模型,探讨同伴效应对低碳牛奶消费者支付意愿的影响。该研究揭示了低碳牛奶WTP的不对称同伴效应,积极影响比消极影响更明显。信息干预增强了积极同伴效应,减轻了消极同伴效应,而独立信息干预没有显著影响。在不同SN水平上观察到异质性效应。鉴于同伴效应可能是低碳食品消费的重要驱动因素,建议公共政策考虑其催化作用。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing openness in economic research through the lens of behavioral and experimental economics 通过行为经济学和实验经济学的视角推进经济研究的开放性
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102454
Rima-Maria Rahal
Open Science adoption may be seen as a process of normative change: Researchers must decide whether they will integrate Open Science principles into their work. Here, I outline first steps for developing a utility function, modeling individual researchers’ choices to engage in Open (OS) or Covert (CR) Research. In addition, I suggest examining economic games for their potential to partially model decision settings in which researchers operate. I argue that empirically studying the influence of researcher considerations, research environments and the academic incentive system on research norm compliance is a promising basis for developing targeted interventions and designing effective institutions in which robust and transparent research practices become the norm.
开放科学的采用可能被视为一个规范变化的过程:研究人员必须决定是否将开放科学原则融入他们的工作中。在这里,我概述了开发效用函数的第一步,模拟了个人研究人员从事开放(OS)或隐蔽(CR)研究的选择。此外,我建议研究经济博弈的潜力,以部分模拟研究人员操作的决策环境。我认为,实证研究研究者考虑因素、研究环境和学术激励制度对研究规范遵守的影响,为制定有针对性的干预措施和设计有效的制度提供了一个有希望的基础,在这些制度中,稳健和透明的研究实践成为规范。
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引用次数: 0
‘You can quit!’: Exploring the efficacy of new cigarette pack warnings through an experiment “你可以辞职了!”:通过实验探索新烟盒警语的功效
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102452
Christian Ben Lakhdar , Antoine Deplancke , Fabrice Le Lec , Sophie Massin , Anthony Piermatteo , Nicolas G. Vaillant
In response to the health impacts of smoking, cigarette packs with health warnings have proven effective. However, it remains undetermined whether enhancements or modifications could amplify their impact, in helping smokers to quit and/or deterring initiation. We aimed at providing new evidence on this issue by using different motivational leverages identified in the psychology and economic literature. We developed new warnings based on commitment, cognitive dissonance, empowerment and Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems use. To determine which types of warnings are the most effective, we conducted an online experiment where participants (n = 860, including 335 smokers) were exposed to a specific type of warning, using conventional regulatory warnings as a control. Traditional indicators (measures of emotions, reactions, beliefs, perceived efficacy and intentions) and an innovative behavioural indicator (incentive-compatible willingness-to-pay) were used to assess the efficacy of the warnings. The conventional regulatory warnings performed at least as well as the alternative ones in almost all the relevant dimensions. In this respect, alternative warnings are disappointing, although some have a positive effect compared to no warning and may be used as a basis for complementary or targeted warnings or prevention measures in other contexts.
针对吸烟对健康的影响,印有健康警告的香烟包装已被证明是有效的。然而,在帮助吸烟者戒烟和/或阻止开始吸烟方面,增强或修改是否会扩大其影响仍未确定。我们的目的是通过使用心理学和经济学文献中确定的不同动机杠杆,为这个问题提供新的证据。我们基于承诺、认知失调、授权和电子尼古丁传递系统的使用开发了新的警告。为了确定哪种类型的警告是最有效的,我们进行了一项在线实验,参与者(n = 860,包括335名吸烟者)暴露于特定类型的警告,使用传统的监管警告作为对照。传统的指标(情绪、反应、信念、感知效果和意图的测量)和创新的行为指标(激励相容的支付意愿)被用来评估警告的效果。在几乎所有相关方面,传统监管警告的表现至少与替代警告一样好。在这方面,替代警告令人失望,尽管与没有警告相比,有些警告具有积极作用,并可作为其他情况下补充或有针对性的警告或预防措施的基础。
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引用次数: 0
The relationship between household debt and the Big Five personality traits 家庭债务与五大人格特征之间的关系
IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102468
Taehyun Lee , Almas Heshmati
This study investigates the relationship between household debt and the Big Five personality traits using data from the Korea Labor and Income Panel Study. The extensive and intensive margins of debt participation are analyzed through regression analysis. To address potential sample selection bias from non-random missing data, a Heckman selection model is employed. The results indicate that openness is negatively associated with the probability of debt-holding, while conscientiousness is positively associated. To enhance causal interpretation, panel models are additionally estimated, treating personality traits as predetermined. While personality traits do not significantly predict year-on-year changes in debt amounts, they remain a relevant predictor of debt participation. These findings suggest that personality-based financial profiling may help identify households more prone to incurring debt. The results are interpreted in the light of South Korea’s cultural context, particularly the influence of Chemyeon (social face), and compared with findings from Western societies.
本研究使用韩国劳动和收入小组研究的数据来调查家庭债务与五大人格特征之间的关系。通过回归分析,分析了债务参与的粗放型边际和集约型边际。为了解决非随机缺失数据的潜在样本选择偏差,采用了Heckman选择模型。结果表明,开放性与持有债务的可能性呈负相关,而严谨性与持有债务的可能性呈正相关。为了加强因果解释,面板模型被额外估计,将人格特征视为预先确定的。虽然人格特征不能显著预测债务金额的逐年变化,但它们仍然是债务参与的相关预测因素。这些发现表明,基于个性的财务分析可能有助于识别更容易负债的家庭。研究结果是根据韩国的文化背景,特别是社会面孔的影响来解释的,并与西方社会的研究结果进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics
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