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Probabilistic ambiguity, outcome ambiguity or both: Does it matter for the decision-maker? 概率模糊性、结果模糊性或两者兼而有之:这对决策者有影响吗?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102390
Marielle Brunette , Stéphane Couture , Kene Boun My
Decisions under ambiguity are an integral part of the daily life of economic decision-makers. However, if ambiguity bears on the probability, on the outcome, or on both, making a decision then becomes non-trivial and the source of ambiguity can have a major impact on the decision. In this paper, we study how decision-makers react to these different sources of ambiguity. For that purpose, we implemented a lab experiment with 209 students. We found that decision-makers prefer risk over different sources of ambiguity. They also prefer outcome ambiguity to probabilistic ambiguity and double ambiguity. Interestingly, when ambiguity exists in both the outcome and probability, subjects prefer double ambiguity to probabilistic ambiguity.
模糊决策是经济决策者日常生活中不可缺少的一部分。然而,如果模糊性对概率、结果或两者都有影响,那么做出决策就变得非常重要,模糊性的来源可能对决策产生重大影响。在本文中,我们研究了决策者如何应对这些不同的歧义来源。为此,我们对209名学生进行了一个实验室实验。我们发现决策者更喜欢风险而不是不同来源的模糊性。与概率模糊和双重模糊相比,他们更喜欢结果模糊。有趣的是,当结果和概率同时存在歧义时,被试更倾向于双重歧义而非概率歧义。
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引用次数: 0
Distributive preferences and effort provision: A two-way link? 分配偏好和努力提供:一个双向联系?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102385
Jaromír Kovářík , Ibai Martínez-Macías , Luis Miller
This paper examines the relationship between effort and distributive preferences in a setting where effort does not affect the total amount available for distribution. While prior research has shown a link from effort to distributive preferences, we provide empirical evidence of the reverse relationship: individuals who make egalitarian choices exert less effort one year later compared to those who act selfishly. To test this, we use a unique dataset from participants who participated in a real-effort experiment with distributional choices on two distinct occasions, one year apart. Our findings offer an explanation for the self-serving interpretations of fairness observed in the literature and underscore the role of distributive preferences as a key determinant of effort and productivity.
本文考察了在努力不影响可分配总量的情况下,努力与分配偏好之间的关系。虽然之前的研究已经表明了努力与分配偏好之间的联系,但我们提供了相反关系的经验证据:与那些行为自私的人相比,做出平等主义选择的人在一年后付出的努力更少。为了验证这一点,我们使用了一个独特的数据集,这些数据集来自于参与者,他们在两个不同的场合(间隔一年)参与了真正努力的分配选择实验。我们的研究结果为在文献中观察到的对公平的自私解释提供了一个解释,并强调了分配偏好作为努力和生产力的关键决定因素的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Can reference-dependent loss aversion explain choice behaviour? 参照依赖的损失厌恶能解释选择行为吗?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102389
Inmaculada R. Puerta , José Luis Pinto
This paper examines the extent to which reference-dependent loss aversion, on its own, can explain choice behaviour under risk. To this end, a model of preferences over monetary lotteries and a rule of endogenous reference points are developed. The model is characterised by a new property of reference-dependent loss aversion. It is reduced to the expected value when the reference point is invariant across choices and satisfies first-order stochastic dominance. Our findings highlight the crucial role of loss aversion in explaining risk attitudes. In particular, the results show that the change in the reference point could be responsible for the observed well-known choice patterns, such as the common consequence effect and the common ratio effect, as well as for their reverse effects. The model predicts this behaviour by making use of only one function that weights losses with a value that increases with the reference point. Neither a probability weighting function nor a specific functional form for the utility of outcomes is required.
本文考察了依赖参考的损失厌恶在多大程度上可以解释风险下的选择行为。为此目的,开发了对货币彩票的偏好模型和内生参考点规则。该模型具有参考依赖损失厌恶的新特性。当参考点在不同的选择中不变且满足一阶随机优势时,它被简化为期望值。我们的研究结果强调了损失厌恶在解释风险态度中的关键作用。特别是,研究结果表明,参考点的变化可能导致已知的选择模式,如共同后果效应和共同比率效应,以及它们的反向效应。该模型通过仅使用一个函数来预测这种行为,该函数使用随参考点增加的值来加权损失。既不需要概率加权函数,也不需要结果效用的特定函数形式。
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引用次数: 0
Economic and physical risk-taking in 7- to 9-year-olds: The link with a novelty-driven exploratory strategy 7至9岁儿童的经济和身体冒险:与新奇驱动的探索策略的联系
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102397
Anthony Roig , Régis Thouvarecq , James Rivière
The generalization of risk-taking behavior across different domains and the forces that drive it are current topics of debate. This study investigated economic and physical risk-taking in young children. A total of sixty 7- to 9-year-olds were presented with two computerized risk-taking tasks that tapped different domains, namely economic losses in the Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART) and physical injury in the Simulated Traffic Task (STT). Our results revealed that the children who displayed the highest risk propensity in the gambling task were more likely to cause a (hypothetical) accident in the simulated street-crossing task. Our findings also showed that the use of novel, unexpected vehicles in the simulated street-crossing task increased physical risk-taking in children. We suggest that an exploratory search strategy functions as a proximate mechanism that increases both economic risk proneness and physical risk-taking in children.
冒险行为在不同领域的普遍化及其驱动力是当前争论的话题。这项研究调查了幼儿在经济和身体上的冒险行为。共有六十六个七到九岁的孩子被提出了两个计算机化的冒险任务,这些任务涉及不同的领域,即气球模拟风险任务(BART)中的经济损失和模拟交通任务(STT)中的身体伤害。我们的研究结果显示,在赌博任务中表现出最高风险倾向的孩子更有可能在模拟过马路任务中造成(假设的)事故。我们的研究结果还表明,在模拟过马路任务中使用新奇的、意想不到的车辆会增加儿童的身体风险。我们认为,探索性搜索策略作为一种近似机制,可以增加儿童的经济风险倾向和身体风险。
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引用次数: 0
Daughters, Savings and Household Finances 女儿,储蓄和家庭财务
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102395
Xin Wen , Zhiming Cheng , Massimiliano Tani
We explore the link between child gender and household financial decisions within a cultural environment that strongly favours having a son. Using data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS), we find that the presence of a daughter is associated with a lower saving rate, consistent with the hypothesis that the relative under-supply of unmarried women generates a less competitive marriage market for families with daughters vs. those with sons. As a result, such families have lower incentives to endow their daughters with bigger asset pools to enhance their marital prospects. The correlation becomes more pronounced as the daughter approaches marriageable age, and it is more common among families where the head has low financial literacy and limited education and lives in rural areas.
我们探讨了在一个强烈支持生儿子的文化环境中,儿童性别和家庭财务决策之间的联系。利用中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)的数据,我们发现女儿的存在与较低的储蓄率有关,这与未婚女性的相对供应不足导致有女儿的家庭与有儿子的家庭的婚姻市场竞争较弱的假设相一致。因此,这些家庭不太愿意为女儿提供更大的资产池,以提高她们的婚姻前景。随着女儿接近适婚年龄,这种相关性变得更加明显,在户主金融知识水平较低、受教育程度有限以及生活在农村地区的家庭中更为常见。
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引用次数: 0
Using a brief contact to improve trust in the police by the youth 通过短暂的接触来提高年轻人对警察的信任
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102376
Gwen-Jirō Clochard
Trust in the police has many positive effects, so it is important to explore solutions to improve police-community relations, especially in areas where such relations are deteriorated. In this paper, I use a lab-in-the-field experiment in two high schools in France to investigate the effect of a brief and controlled discussion - contact - between police officers and students on trust. The results indicate a positive effect of contact on trust at the individual level, i.e. toward the specific police officer met. However, the effect does not translate into an increase in trust in the police in general. A Bayesian model of belief formation can shed light on why a single contact may not be sufficient in the case of prior — negative — interactions. This paper can have implications for the most widely used policy to improve perceptions of the police, namely community policing.
对警察的信任具有许多积极作用,因此,探索改善警察与社区关系的解决方案非常重要,特别是在这种关系恶化的地区。在本文中,我在法国的两所高中进行了实地实验室实验,以调查警察与学生之间短暂而受控的讨论-接触-对信任的影响。结果表明,接触对个体层面的信任有正向影响,即对特定警官的信任。然而,这种效果并没有转化为对警察总体信任的增加。信念形成的贝叶斯模型可以解释为什么在先前的负面互动中,一次接触可能是不够的。本文可以对最广泛使用的政策产生影响,以改善对警察的看法,即社区警务。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the effects of hidden luck and merit on redistribution in groups 揭示隐藏的运气和优点对群体再分配的影响
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102392
Juliane V. Wiese , Nattavudh Powdthavee , Jonathan X.W. Yeo , Yohanes E. Riyanto
Success in life often arises from a combination of effort and being in the right place at the right time, making it difficult to disentangle the roles of merit and luck. This study explores whether revealing the unobserved performance of non-winners in unreceived opportunities influences the redistributive behavior of winners. We designed a game in which both winners and non-winners contribute to a task, but only the winners benefit from its success. A distinct feature of our design is that winning primarily depends on both initial and subsequent luck in securing opportunities, meaning winners can contribute minimally yet still achieve success. Our findings indicate that winners generally feel a strong sense of justified deservingness. The more winners contribute relative to non-winners during the production phase, the less they redistribute. However, when winners learn about non-winners’ potential performance in unreceived opportunities, redistribution significantly increases—even though this potential performance is irrelevant to the joint task. This suggests that acknowledging the potential contributions of non-winners leads to a shift in winners' perceptions of fairness. The effect remains consistent regardless of whether the task is based on luck or merit. These findings highlight the importance of considering both luck and merit in understanding redistributive behavior and suggest that recognising unobserved effort can mitigate the tendency to attribute success exclusively to one’s own contributions.
人生的成功往往来自于努力和天时地利的结合,因此很难区分优点和运气的作用。本研究探讨揭示非赢家在未获得机会中未被观察到的表现是否会影响赢家的再分配行为。我们设计了一款赢家和非赢家都参与任务的游戏,但只有赢家才能从成功中获益。我们设计的一个明显特征是,获胜主要取决于获得机会的初始和后续运气,这意味着赢家可以贡献最小,但仍能取得成功。我们的研究结果表明,赢家通常会有强烈的应得感。在生产阶段,赢家对非赢家的贡献越大,他们的再分配就越少。然而,当成功者了解到非成功者在未得到的机会中的潜在表现时,再分配显著增加——即使这种潜在表现与共同任务无关。这表明,承认非赢家的潜在贡献会导致赢家对公平的看法发生转变。无论这项任务是基于运气还是基于优点,其效果都是一致的。这些发现强调了在理解再分配行为时同时考虑运气和优点的重要性,并表明承认未被观察到的努力可以减轻将成功完全归因于个人贡献的倾向。
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引用次数: 0
More than just grades: The role of physical attractiveness in college admission processes 不仅仅是成绩:外表吸引力在大学录取过程中的作用
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102391
Yunyun Wang , Ting Chen , Xunyong Xiang
Despite extensive research on appearance discrimination in labor markets, little attention has been given to its role in higher education admissions. This paper investigates the impact of students' physical attractiveness on college admission outcomes, using unique data from an international high school in China. Employing an ordered logit model and AI-based attractiveness scoring, we find that more attractive students tend to be admitted to higher-ranked colleges. This effect is particularly pronounced in business-related majors, private institutions, and among male students. Furthermore, face-to-face interviews mitigate the bias induced by physical attractiveness, leading to more balanced admission decisions. These findings suggest that the “beauty premium” extends beyond labor markets into education, with important implications for fairness in university admissions. Our research contributes to the growing body of literature on appearance-based discrimination and highlights the need for more transparent and inclusive admissions practices.
尽管对劳动力市场中的外貌歧视进行了广泛的研究,但很少有人关注其在高等教育录取中的作用。本文利用中国一所国际高中的独特数据,研究了学生外表吸引力对大学录取结果的影响。采用有序logit模型和基于人工智能的吸引力评分,我们发现更有吸引力的学生往往被排名更高的大学录取。这种影响在商业相关专业、私立学校和男生中尤为明显。此外,面对面的面试减轻了由外表吸引力引起的偏见,导致更平衡的录取决定。这些发现表明,“美貌溢价”已经从劳动力市场延伸到了教育领域,对大学录取的公平性有着重要的影响。我们的研究为越来越多的关于外貌歧视的文献做出了贡献,并强调了更加透明和包容的招生实践的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Do giving voice and social information help in revising a misconception about rent–control? 提供声音和社会信息是否有助于纠正对租金管制的误解?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102374
Jordi Brandts , Isabel Busom , Cristina Lopez-Mayan
Citizens’ ability to make informed and thoughtful choices when voting for policy proposals rests on their exposure to, and acceptance of, accurate information about the costs and benefits that each proposal entails. We study whether certain social factors affect the disposition to drop a misconception, the belief that rent control increases the availability of affordable housing. We design an on-line experiment where all participants watch a video explaining the scientific evidence on the consequences of this policy. We test whether letting them give feedback (giving voice) and informing them about others’ change of beliefs (social information) helps in reducing the misconception. Giving voice does not have an additional effect relative to a benchmark group that only watches the video. Social information further reduces the misconception, but only when it specifies how different groups of people have responded to the video. This result is compatible with several mechanisms, but our experiment is not designed to identify them. Additionally, changes in beliefs translate into intended voting against the policy, and into recommending the video. Finally, ideological position and a zero–sum mentality are correlated with the initial misconception, but these two factors do not hinder participants’ disposition toward dropping it following the intervention.
公民在为政策提案投票时做出明智和深思熟虑的选择的能力取决于他们对每项提案所带来的成本和收益的准确信息的接触和接受。我们研究了某些社会因素是否会影响人们放弃一种误解的倾向,即认为租金控制增加了可负担住房的可用性。我们设计了一个在线实验,让所有参与者观看一段视频,解释这项政策后果的科学证据。我们测试是否让他们给出反馈(发出声音),并告知他们其他人的信仰变化(社会信息)有助于减少误解。相对于只看视频的基准组来说,发声并没有额外的效果。社会信息进一步减少了误解,但只有当它具体说明了不同群体对视频的反应时。这一结果与几种机制兼容,但我们的实验并不是为了识别它们而设计的。此外,信念的改变会转化为反对该政策的投票,并会转化为推荐该视频。最后,意识形态立场和零和心态与最初的误解相关,但这两个因素并不妨碍参与者在干预后放弃误解的倾向。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing risk attitudes among physicians, medical students, and non-medical students with experimental data 用实验数据评估医生、医学生和非医学生的风险态度
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2025.102384
Calogero Guccio , Domenica Romeo , Massimo Finocchiaro Castro
Recently, laboratory and field experiments have been increasingly used in health economics to predict the behavior of physicians in connection with different payment systems. However, these studies often employ students as decision-makers, assuming that they are a good proxy for the behavior of real physicians, as no qualitative difference between physicians and students’ decisions is often observed. Employing a large sample of experimental data, we investigate whether attitudes toward risk varied significantly between physicians, medical and non-medical students in the monetary domain. The results show significant variation in risk attitude regardless of the estimation technique employed, suggesting constant relative risk aversion as a supported representation of risk preferences. Finally, physicians were less risk-averse than any other participant type in the sample, suggesting that medical risk attitudes differed from other participants, at least in the monetary domain. Given the difficulty in involving real physicians due to their participation barriers, employing medical and non-medical students in experiments is the second-best option. However, researchers must be careful when designing tasks because choices may differ across various contexts. Additionally, policymakers must be cautious when drawing policy implications from laboratory predictions, not taking it for granted that students’ decisions fully match physicians’ decisions.
最近,卫生经济学越来越多地使用实验室和现场实验来预测医生在不同支付系统中的行为。然而,这些研究通常将学生作为决策者,假设他们可以很好地代表真正的医生的行为,因为医生和学生的决定通常没有质的差异。采用大样本的实验数据,我们调查对风险的态度是否在医生,医学和非医学学生在货币领域显著差异。结果显示,无论采用何种评估技术,风险态度都存在显著差异,这表明恒定的相对风险厌恶是风险偏好的支持表示。最后,医生比样本中任何其他类型的参与者都更不愿承担风险,这表明他们对医疗风险的态度与其他参与者不同,至少在货币领域是如此。考虑到真正的医生由于参与障碍而难以让他们参与实验,让医科学生和非医科学生参与实验是次优选择。然而,研究人员在设计任务时必须小心,因为在不同的背景下,选择可能会有所不同。此外,政策制定者在从实验室预测中得出政策含义时必须谨慎,不要想当然地认为学生的决定与医生的决定完全一致。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics
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