Pub Date : 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100512
Yelena Hernández-Atencia , Juanchito Cutupey-Márquez , Isabel Rojas , Didier Lizcano , Jader Muñoz-Ramos , Luis E. Peña
Diverse structures serve protective functions against floods, yet they remain constantly exposed to water currents, which increase their physical vulnerability. Thus, identifying key factors can be complex given the interrelationships and interactions among hydrological, hydraulic, geomorphological, and many other variables. This study analyzes 13 factors related to the physical vulnerability of structures exposed to flooding from experts' judgment judgment-based approach byCross-Impact Matrix Multiplication Applied to Classification (MICMAC) and multivariate statistics using Principal Components Analysis PCA, and Categorical Principal Component Analysis CATPCA, to highlight the identification of key factors. Subsequently, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was used to establish metric comparisons between methods. The study evaluated 22 structures along a 20 km stretch of the main channel of the Combeima River in Colombia, using hydrological and hydraulic modeling over a 54-year period (1971–2024), under land-use change scenarios. Results indicate that factors related to the type of cover and the infiltration were highly influential on the level of physical vulnerability. Therefore, the proposed methodology and results can provide elements of judgment for planners in formulating and implementing flood risk management practices.
各种结构具有防洪功能，但它们仍然经常暴露在水流中，这增加了它们的物理脆弱性。因此，考虑到水文、水力、地貌和许多其他变量之间的相互关系和相互作用，确定关键因素可能是复杂的。本研究采用基于专家判断的交叉影响矩阵乘法分类法（cross - impact Matrix Multiplication Applied to Classification， MICMAC）和多元统计方法（主成分分析PCA和分类主成分分析CATPCA）对13个与洪水暴露结构物理脆弱性相关的因素进行分析，以突出关键因素的识别。随后，使用Spearman等级相关系数建立方法之间的度量比较。该研究利用54年（1971-2024年）的水文和水力模型，在土地利用变化情景下，评估了哥伦比亚Combeima河主河道20公里长的22个结构。结果表明，覆盖物类型和入渗等因素对森林物理脆弱性影响较大。因此，建议的方法和结果可以为规划人员制定和实施洪水风险管理措施提供判断要素。
{"title":"Identifying physical vulnerability drivers increasing in exposed structures to floods","authors":"Yelena Hernández-Atencia , Juanchito Cutupey-Márquez , Isabel Rojas , Didier Lizcano , Jader Muñoz-Ramos , Luis E. Peña","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100512","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100512","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Diverse structures serve protective functions against floods, yet they remain constantly exposed to water currents, which increase their physical vulnerability. Thus, identifying key factors can be complex given the interrelationships and interactions among hydrological, hydraulic, geomorphological, and many other variables. This study analyzes 13 factors related to the physical vulnerability of structures exposed to flooding from experts' judgment judgment-based approach byCross-Impact Matrix Multiplication Applied to Classification (MICMAC) and multivariate statistics using Principal Components Analysis PCA, and Categorical Principal Component Analysis CATPCA, to highlight the identification of key factors. Subsequently, Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was used to establish metric comparisons between methods. The study evaluated 22 structures along a 20 km stretch of the main channel of the Combeima River in Colombia, using hydrological and hydraulic modeling over a 54-year period (1971–2024), under land-use change scenarios. Results indicate that factors related to the type of cover and the infiltration were highly influential on the level of physical vulnerability. Therefore, the proposed methodology and results can provide elements of judgment for planners in formulating and implementing flood risk management practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100512"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145926168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-01DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100515
Julia Graf , Renate Renner , Thomas Klebel
Effective risk communication is a core element of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030), emphasizing the importance of early warning and public information in mitigating disaster impacts. However, existing research often treats risk communication as a uniform process, lacking in systematic differentiation between short-term warnings and long-term adaptation strategies. This scoping review analyzes 194 peer-reviewed studies to examine how risk communication strategies vary across temporal dimensions (short-term, long-term, hybrid), hazard groups (atmospheric, geophysical, hydrological, biophysical, multiple hazards) and intended purpose. Communication goals are categorized through an inductively developed approach: “Act, Prepare, and Aware”, and mapped across four major hazard groups. Across hazard types, atmospheric hazards are predominantly addressed through hybrid (41 %) and short-term (25 %) strategies. Geophysical hazards are strongly associated with hybrid approaches (43 %). Hydrological hazards display the widest variation across temporal categories. Purely long-term formats, however, are rarely found across all hazard types (1.4 %), despite their strategic importance for resilience. Findings suggest that the choice of communication strategy can be tied to the nature and dynamics of each hazard type. This review identifies key patterns, research gaps, and a structured basis for further evaluation and the development of risk communication. It provides an overview of current literature and guidance for developing context-sensitive, temporally integrated communication strategies.
{"title":"Bridging warning and adaptation addressing risk communication strategies for short-term natural hazard warnings and long-term risk adaptation – A scoping review","authors":"Julia Graf , Renate Renner , Thomas Klebel","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100515","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100515","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Effective risk communication is a core element of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030), emphasizing the importance of early warning and public information in mitigating disaster impacts. However, existing research often treats risk communication as a uniform process, lacking in systematic differentiation between short-term warnings and long-term adaptation strategies. This scoping review analyzes 194 peer-reviewed studies to examine how risk communication strategies vary across temporal dimensions (short-term, long-term, hybrid), hazard groups (atmospheric, geophysical, hydrological, biophysical, multiple hazards) and intended purpose. Communication goals are categorized through an inductively developed approach: “Act, Prepare, and Aware”, and mapped across four major hazard groups. Across hazard types, atmospheric hazards are predominantly addressed through hybrid (41 %) and short-term (25 %) strategies. Geophysical hazards are strongly associated with hybrid approaches (43 %). Hydrological hazards display the widest variation across temporal categories. Purely long-term formats, however, are rarely found across all hazard types (1.4 %), despite their strategic importance for resilience. Findings suggest that the choice of communication strategy can be tied to the nature and dynamics of each hazard type. This review identifies key patterns, research gaps, and a structured basis for further evaluation and the development of risk communication. It provides an overview of current literature and guidance for developing context-sensitive, temporally integrated communication strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100515"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145926174","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-17DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100508
Jasmín D. Llamas , Melissa L. Morgan
This study tests a disaster model of resilience in the aftermath of a natural gas pipeline explosion. This technological disaster occurred in a residential neighborhood in the Western United States. Traditionally, disaster literature has focused on the negative impacts of disasters, emphasizing distress and psychopathology; however, there has been a shift towards exploring protective factors that prevent psychopathology. The present study, guided by Community-Based Participatory Research, expands our understanding of disaster resilience. A mixed methods design was employed using a quantitative survey of 146 participants to test a model of resilience and qualitative open-ended questions to explore methods of coping and resilience. The model examined coping styles (seeking support, positive reappraisal, and problem-solving) as pathways to resilience and the indirect effects of coping and resilience on resource loss and psychological distress. Path results found seeking support and positive reappraisal positively predicted resilience. In addition, an indirect path was found from resource loss to psychological distress through seeking support and positive reappraisal and resilience. Qualitative themes highlighted additional methods of resilience not captured quantitatively, including a focus on faith, seeking professional assistance, and perseverance. These research findings highlight that resilience can emerge even after tragedy.
{"title":"Resilience in the aftermath of a technological disaster: A community-based mixed methods research study","authors":"Jasmín D. Llamas , Melissa L. Morgan","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100508","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100508","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study tests a disaster model of resilience in the aftermath of a natural gas pipeline explosion. This technological disaster occurred in a residential neighborhood in the Western United States. Traditionally, disaster literature has focused on the negative impacts of disasters, emphasizing distress and psychopathology; however, there has been a shift towards exploring protective factors that prevent psychopathology. The present study, guided by Community-Based Participatory Research, expands our understanding of disaster resilience. A mixed methods design was employed using a quantitative survey of 146 participants to test a model of resilience and qualitative open-ended questions to explore methods of coping and resilience. The model examined coping styles (seeking support, positive reappraisal, and problem-solving) as pathways to resilience and the indirect effects of coping and resilience on resource loss and psychological distress. Path results found seeking support and positive reappraisal positively predicted resilience. In addition, an indirect path was found from resource loss to psychological distress through seeking support and positive reappraisal and resilience. Qualitative themes highlighted additional methods of resilience not captured quantitatively, including a focus on faith, seeking professional assistance, and perseverance. These research findings highlight that resilience can emerge even after tragedy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100508"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-12DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100502
Linda Stjernholm , Jonas Borell , Anna-Lisa Osvalder
Disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategies must actively include people with disabilities (PWD) to ensure equitable and effective preparedness. Although awareness of disability inclusion in DRR is growing, the literature remains fragmented, and no prior structured literature review has focused specifically on participatory methods involving PWD. This review addresses that gap by identifying and synthesizing evidence on how PWD have been engaged in disaster preparedness and contingency planning. Following a structured process inspired by PRISMA and using the PICO framework, searches in Scopus and Web of Science yielded 720 articles, of which 20 peer-reviewed studies from 12 countries were included. The studies employed diverse participatory methods such as interviews, focus groups, co-design workshops, photovoice, and multi-stakeholder consultations. These approaches led to increased preparedness, empowerment, and leadership among PWD, while also strengthening community networks and collaboration with DRR personnel. However, challenges such as communication barriers, limited resources, and exclusion of marginalized groups were common. To conclude, this review offers the first comprehensive synthesis of participatory methods for disability-inclusive DRR, highlighting both their transformative potential and the need for more inclusive, tailored strategies in future research and practice.
减少灾害风险（DRR）战略必须积极纳入残疾人（PWD），以确保公平和有效的准备。尽管人们对DRR中残障包容的认识正在增强，但相关文献仍然是碎片化的，而且之前没有结构化的文献综述专门关注涉及残障人士的参与式方法。本次审查通过确定和综合有关残疾人如何参与备灾和应急规划的证据，解决了这一差距。在PRISMA的启发下，使用PICO框架，在Scopus和Web of Science中搜索了720篇文章，其中包括来自12个国家的20篇同行评议研究。这些研究采用了多种参与性方法，如访谈、焦点小组、共同设计研讨会、照片语音和多方利益相关者磋商。这些方法增强了残疾人的准备、赋权和领导力，同时也加强了社区网络和与减灾工作人员的合作。然而，沟通障碍、资源有限和排斥边缘群体等挑战是普遍存在的。总而言之，本综述首次对参与式方法进行了全面综合，强调了参与式方法的变革潜力，以及在未来的研究和实践中需要更具包容性和针对性的战略。
{"title":"Active participation of people with disabilities in disaster preparedness and contingency work: A systematic literature review on methods, outcomes, and challenges","authors":"Linda Stjernholm , Jonas Borell , Anna-Lisa Osvalder","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100502","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100502","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategies must actively include people with disabilities (PWD) to ensure equitable and effective preparedness. Although awareness of disability inclusion in DRR is growing, the literature remains fragmented, and no prior structured literature review has focused specifically on participatory methods involving PWD. This review addresses that gap by identifying and synthesizing evidence on how PWD have been engaged in disaster preparedness and contingency planning. Following a structured process inspired by PRISMA and using the PICO framework, searches in Scopus and Web of Science yielded 720 articles, of which 20 peer-reviewed studies from 12 countries were included. The studies employed diverse participatory methods such as interviews, focus groups, co-design workshops, photovoice, and multi-stakeholder consultations. These approaches led to increased preparedness, empowerment, and leadership among PWD, while also strengthening community networks and collaboration with DRR personnel. However, challenges such as communication barriers, limited resources, and exclusion of marginalized groups were common. To conclude, this review offers the first comprehensive synthesis of participatory methods for disability-inclusive DRR, highlighting both their transformative potential and the need for more inclusive, tailored strategies in future research and practice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100502"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-11DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100496
Takako Izumi , Rajib Shaw
Two severe disasters have occurred in Asia within two years: the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami (GEJET) in 2011 and Typhoon Haiyan (Haiyan) in 2013. This study aimed to examine the recovery efforts from the GEJET through a review of various literature sources. It sought to identify the most critical elements for building resilient cities and reducing the impact of disasters. Additionally, it aimed to highlight areas requiring improvement to enhance disaster risk reduction (DRR) capacity and resilience while exploring differences in people's understanding of these concepts.
The survey findings revealed that the critical elements of resilience vary across countries and regions. Building resilience involves more than imposing external concepts of recovery and strength; it requires understanding and supporting the factors that local communities themselves identify as essential for resilience. It is crucial for the local community to understand the meaning of “resilience” and for their voices to be incorporated in the process of discussing the creation of a disaster-resilient society.
{"title":"People's perception on recovery and resilience: An analysis of two major disasters in Japan and the Philippines","authors":"Takako Izumi , Rajib Shaw","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100496","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100496","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Two severe disasters have occurred in Asia within two years: the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami (GEJET) in 2011 and Typhoon Haiyan (Haiyan) in 2013. This study aimed to examine the recovery efforts from the GEJET through a review of various literature sources. It sought to identify the most critical elements for building resilient cities and reducing the impact of disasters. Additionally, it aimed to highlight areas requiring improvement to enhance disaster risk reduction (DRR) capacity and resilience while exploring differences in people's understanding of these concepts.</div><div>The survey findings revealed that the critical elements of resilience vary across countries and regions. Building resilience involves more than imposing external concepts of recovery and strength; it requires understanding and supporting the factors that local communities themselves identify as essential for resilience. It is crucial for the local community to understand the meaning of “resilience” and for their voices to be incorporated in the process of discussing the creation of a disaster-resilient society.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100496"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790931","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-10DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100504
Iztok Prezelj, Jelena Juvan
Our societies are ever more dependent on Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) like Galileo, GPS, Glonass or BeiDou. Navigation technology has penetrated so deeply into all sectors of society that one may argue that it constitutes critical infrastructure. The paper identifies and analyses the cross-sectoral dimensions of GNSS criticality, such as the high geostrategic and military importance, the dual-use character, the broad cross-sectoral application, the ubiquitous timing service of atomic clocks and the increasing sectoral requirements for availability and precision. Based on a synthetic literature review and an expert workshop, the paper also identifies numerous cross-sectoral spillover effects that could flow from a potential disruption of GNSS to other GNSS-dependent sectors including transport, telecommunications and the Internet, electric power generation and distribution, financial services and banking, agriculture, fisheries, emergency and security services, armed forces and defence, science, environmental and weather monitoring, construction, even space operations and various other applications.
{"title":"Global navigation satellite systems as critical infrastructure: A cross-sectoral impact assessment of service interruptions in Europe","authors":"Iztok Prezelj, Jelena Juvan","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100504","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100504","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Our societies are ever more dependent on Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) like Galileo, GPS, Glonass or BeiDou. Navigation technology has penetrated so deeply into all sectors of society that one may argue that it constitutes critical infrastructure. The paper identifies and analyses the cross-sectoral dimensions of GNSS criticality, such as the high geostrategic and military importance, the dual-use character, the broad cross-sectoral application, the ubiquitous timing service of atomic clocks and the increasing sectoral requirements for availability and precision. Based on a synthetic literature review and an expert workshop, the paper also identifies numerous cross-sectoral spillover effects that could flow from a potential disruption of GNSS to other GNSS-dependent sectors including transport, telecommunications and the Internet, electric power generation and distribution, financial services and banking, agriculture, fisheries, emergency and security services, armed forces and defence, science, environmental and weather monitoring, construction, even space operations and various other applications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100504"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-10DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100503
S.R. Shrestha , L. Olivetti , S. Pandey , K. Worou , E. Raffetti
A significant increase in number of publications and number of citations is evident in the last decade which is accessible through online databases such as Google Scholar, Web of Science, Scopus, etc. The large data set of scientific literature and respective authors in these platforms can be utilized to get a broad overview of academic discourse which falls under the field of Scientomtrics. This article aims to investigate the state of academia in the field of Natural Hazards and Climate Extremes (NHCE) using Google Scholar data which hasn't been done before. We find that, among 2614 researchers identified, 77.2 % are male, 22.6 % are female, and 0.2 % could not be categorized. Male researchers, on average, received a larger median number of citations compared to women. Notably, regression analysis showed that there is a limited difference in number of citations per publication between the two genders. The data also shows that 78.5 % of citations are attributed to researchers in high-income countries, 14.4 % for those in middle-income countries, and 7.1 % for those in low-income countries. Researchers from high-income countries get a larger number of citations per author, on average, even when controlling for number of publications. However, the citation gap between genders and across income levels has narrowed considerably in recent years. In conclusion, even though disasters affect poor countries and women disproportionately, the fact that the field of NHCE is largely high-income country and male-dominated raises fundamental questions on the ontology and epistemology of the scientific knowledge that has been generated.
在过去十年中，通过谷歌Scholar、Web of Science、Scopus等在线数据库可以获得的出版物数量和引用数量显著增加。利用这些平台上的大量科学文献和各自作者的数据集，可以获得属于科学计量学领域的学术话语的广泛概述。本文旨在利用谷歌学者在自然灾害与极端气候（NHCE）领域的数据，对学术界的现状进行调查。我们发现，在鉴定的2614名研究人员中，77.2%为男性，22.6%为女性，0.2%无法分类。平均而言，男性研究人员收到的引用中位数比女性要高。值得注意的是，回归分析显示，两性之间的每次出版物的引用次数差异有限。数据还显示，78.5%的引用来自高收入国家的研究人员，14.4%来自中等收入国家，7.1%来自低收入国家。高收入国家的研究人员平均每位作者被引用的次数更多，即使在控制出版物数量的情况下也是如此。然而，近年来，性别和收入水平之间的引用差距已经大大缩小。总之，尽管灾害对贫穷国家和妇女的影响不成比例，但NHCE领域主要是高收入国家和男性主导的事实，对已经产生的科学知识的本体论和认识论提出了根本性的问题。
{"title":"The citation gap: An overview of academic output in the field of natural hazards and climate extremes analyzed through Google Scholar data","authors":"S.R. Shrestha , L. Olivetti , S. Pandey , K. Worou , E. Raffetti","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100503","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100503","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A significant increase in number of publications and number of citations is evident in the last decade which is accessible through online databases such as Google Scholar, Web of Science, Scopus, etc. The large data set of scientific literature and respective authors in these platforms can be utilized to get a broad overview of academic discourse which falls under the field of Scientomtrics. This article aims to investigate the state of academia in the field of Natural Hazards and Climate Extremes (NHCE) using Google Scholar data which hasn't been done before. We find that, among 2614 researchers identified, 77.2 % are male, 22.6 % are female, and 0.2 % could not be categorized. Male researchers, on average, received a larger median number of citations compared to women. Notably, regression analysis showed that there is a limited difference in number of citations per publication between the two genders. The data also shows that 78.5 % of citations are attributed to researchers in high-income countries, 14.4 % for those in middle-income countries, and 7.1 % for those in low-income countries. Researchers from high-income countries get a larger number of citations per author, on average, even when controlling for number of publications. However, the citation gap between genders and across income levels has narrowed considerably in recent years. In conclusion, even though disasters affect poor countries and women disproportionately, the fact that the field of NHCE is largely high-income country and male-dominated raises fundamental questions on the ontology and epistemology of the scientific knowledge that has been generated.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100503"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145790934","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Water insecurity, intensified by climate change, environmental degradation, and unsustainable resource management, poses a significant threat to human well-being in coastal regions. This study examines the interrelationships among water governance, household well-being, and water security in southwestern Bangladesh. Using a multistage sampling approach, data were collected from 411 households across nine unions in the Khulna and Satkhira districts, illustrating acute vulnerabilities stemming from ineffective water management, saline intrusion, and inadequate infrastructure. Statistical analyses, including correlation, z-test, chi-square test, and regression, were employed alongside Generalized Structural Equation Modeling (GSEM) to assess the dynamics of water governance and its linkage with water security and well-being. The results suggest that trust, transparency, accountability, and service delivery are key determinants of effective water governance. As hypothesized, effective water governance was positively associated with both household well-being and water security, and higher water security further contributed to improved well-being. The study recommends strengthening coastal water infrastructure through community participation across all project phases, ensuring affordability, integrating resilient solar-powered purification systems, and promoting water-dependent livelihoods. These strategies can reinforce trust, transparency, and service delivery while improving the accessibility, quality, and safety of water for coastal communities.
{"title":"When waters turn against communities: Unraveling water governance, security, and household well-being in hazard-prone coastal Bangladesh","authors":"Md. Nasif Ahsan , Jannatul Naim , Najmus Sakib , Pankaj Kumar , Naoyuki Okano , Md. Sarwar Hossain , Animesh K. Gain , Md Nurul Amin , Md Khairul Islam , Miho Ohara , Yasuo Takahashi , Osamu Saito , Koji Miwa","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100500","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100500","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Water insecurity, intensified by climate change, environmental degradation, and unsustainable resource management, poses a significant threat to human well-being in coastal regions. This study examines the interrelationships among water governance, household well-being, and water security in southwestern Bangladesh. Using a multistage sampling approach, data were collected from 411 households across nine unions in the Khulna and Satkhira districts, illustrating acute vulnerabilities stemming from ineffective water management, saline intrusion, and inadequate infrastructure. Statistical analyses, including correlation, z-test, chi-square test, and regression, were employed alongside Generalized Structural Equation Modeling (GSEM) to assess the dynamics of water governance and its linkage with water security and well-being. The results suggest that trust, transparency, accountability, and service delivery are key determinants of effective water governance. As hypothesized, effective water governance was positively associated with both household well-being and water security, and higher water security further contributed to improved well-being. The study recommends strengthening coastal water infrastructure through community participation across all project phases, ensuring affordability, integrating resilient solar-powered purification systems, and promoting water-dependent livelihoods. These strategies can reinforce trust, transparency, and service delivery while improving the accessibility, quality, and safety of water for coastal communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100500"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145738449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-07DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100498
Md. Mujahidul Islam , Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam
Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) significantly contribute to the promotion of local adaptation and resilience strategies in climate-vulnerable areas, including coastal Bangladesh. However, most prior studies have focused on project outcomes and governance frameworks, often neglecting the intersectional dimensions of vulnerability, such as gender, disability, and income, and how these affect perceptions of NGO efficacy. To address this gap, this study examines the effectiveness of NGO-led adaptation initiatives from an intersectional perspective in the Koira and Shyamnagar upazilas of southwest coastal Bangladesh. This study employed a mixed-methods approach, combining survey data (n = 230) with qualitative insights from Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). Quantitative findings reveal structural inequities, with individuals with disabilities and women being significantly underrepresented in NGO programs (χ2 = 24.88, p < .001; t = −3.47, p = .001; and χ2 = 34.42, p < .001; t = −5.75, p < .001, respectively). While 27 % of respondents claimed that NGOs prioritize disadvantaged groups, nearly half (48.3 %) disagreed. Qualitative data also echoed these concerns, illustrating patterns of favoritism, political interference, and tokenistic inclusion that undermine equity and transparency. The findings indicate that, although NGOs are critically essential for their considerable contributions to climate adaptation and resilience, they often face governance challenges that compromise their credibility and equitable results. This study demonstrates that fortifying accountability, diminishing elite capture, and integrating gender- and disability-sensitive frameworks into program design are essential for augmenting legitimacy and resilience. By foregrounding the interconnections among vulnerability, intersectionality, and governance, this study advances scholarly debates on adaptation governance in the Global South. Despite limitations in geographic coverage and representativeness, the research stresses the importance of justice-oriented and participatory approaches in NGO-led climate adaptation.
非政府组织为促进包括孟加拉国沿海地区在内的气候脆弱地区的当地适应和恢复战略做出了重大贡献。然而，大多数先前的研究都集中在项目成果和治理框架上，往往忽视了脆弱性的交叉维度，如性别、残疾和收入，以及它们如何影响对非政府组织效率的看法。为了解决这一差距，本研究从交叉的角度考察了孟加拉国西南沿海的Koira和Shyamnagar地区非政府组织主导的适应计划的有效性。本研究采用混合方法，将调查数据（n = 230）与关键线人访谈（KIIs）和焦点小组讨论（fgd）的定性见解相结合。定量调查结果显示了结构性不平等，残疾人和妇女在非政府组织项目中的代表性明显不足（χ2 = 24.88, p < .001; t = - 3.47, p = .001; χ2 = 34.42, p < .001; t = - 5.75, p < .001）。27%的受访者认为非政府组织优先考虑弱势群体，近一半（48.3%）的受访者不同意。定性数据也反映了这些担忧，说明了偏袒、政治干预和象征性包容的模式，破坏了公平和透明度。研究结果表明，尽管非政府组织在气候适应和恢复能力方面发挥着至关重要的作用，但它们往往面临着损害其信誉和公平结果的治理挑战。本研究表明，加强问责制、减少精英捕获、将性别和残疾敏感框架纳入项目设计，对于增强合法性和韧性至关重要。通过强调脆弱性、交叉性和治理之间的相互联系，本研究推进了全球南方国家适应性治理的学术辩论。尽管在地理覆盖和代表性方面存在局限性，但该研究强调了以正义为导向和参与性方法在非政府组织主导的气候适应中的重要性。
{"title":"Strengthening climate resilience in coastal Bangladesh: Analyzing the role of NGOs in adaptation governance from an intersectionality lens","authors":"Md. Mujahidul Islam , Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100498","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100498","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) significantly contribute to the promotion of local adaptation and resilience strategies in climate-vulnerable areas, including coastal Bangladesh. However, most prior studies have focused on project outcomes and governance frameworks, often neglecting the intersectional dimensions of vulnerability, such as gender, disability, and income, and how these affect perceptions of NGO efficacy. To address this gap, this study examines the effectiveness of NGO-led adaptation initiatives from an intersectional perspective in the Koira and Shyamnagar upazilas of southwest coastal Bangladesh. This study employed a mixed-methods approach, combining survey data (<em>n</em> = 230) with qualitative insights from Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). Quantitative findings reveal structural inequities, with individuals with disabilities and women being significantly underrepresented in NGO programs (χ<sup>2</sup> = 24.88, <em>p</em> < .001; <em>t</em> = −3.47, <em>p</em> = .001; and χ<sup>2</sup> = 34.42, p < .001; <em>t</em> = −5.75, p < .001, respectively). While 27 % of respondents claimed that NGOs prioritize disadvantaged groups, nearly half (48.3 %) disagreed. Qualitative data also echoed these concerns, illustrating patterns of favoritism, political interference, and tokenistic inclusion that undermine equity and transparency. The findings indicate that, although NGOs are critically essential for their considerable contributions to climate adaptation and resilience, they often face governance challenges that compromise their credibility and equitable results. This study demonstrates that fortifying accountability, diminishing elite capture, and integrating gender- and disability-sensitive frameworks into program design are essential for augmenting legitimacy and resilience. By foregrounding the interconnections among vulnerability, intersectionality, and governance, this study advances scholarly debates on adaptation governance in the Global South. Despite limitations in geographic coverage and representativeness, the research stresses the importance of justice-oriented and participatory approaches in NGO-led climate adaptation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100498"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145738452","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study presents an integrated socio-technical and data-driven framework to model the psychological and contextual determinants of donor behavior in disaster settings. From an artificial intelligence perspective, the research introduces a hybrid architecture that combines multigroup, multilevel, and confirmatory structural equation modeling (SEM) with a semi-supervised autoencoder-based clustering strategy for latent profile identification. A MIMIC (Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes) extension further links latent constructs to observable donation frequency, bridging attitudinal and behavioral dimensions of prosocial action.
From an engineering and humanitarian logistics perspective, this framework enhances the prediction and segmentation of donor behavior under disaster exposure. The model, based on survey data from disaster-affected individuals in Chile, incorporates validated constructs such as social vulnerability, solastalgia (emotional distress from environmental degradation), deprivation cost, resilience, and climate-related anxiety. Five distinct psychological donor profiles were identified, behaviorally validated, and linked to operational implications for mitigating material convergence and optimizing resource allocation.
The findings offer a socio-technical pathway to integrate psychosocial assessment with humanitarian logistics decision-making, advancing anticipatory capacity, behavioral forecasting, and equitable supply distribution. The study contributes a replicable framework that connects human-centered behavioral modeling with operational optimization, supporting more adaptive and resilient disaster response systems
{"title":"Predicting and segmenting donor behavior under disaster exposure: A socio-technical and data-driven approach: Evidence from natural disasters in Chile","authors":"Luis Yáñez-Sandivari , Sebastián Ríos , Cristián Cáceres , Angelo León","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100493","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100493","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study presents an integrated socio-technical and data-driven framework to model the psychological and contextual determinants of donor behavior in disaster settings. From an artificial intelligence perspective, the research introduces a hybrid architecture that combines multigroup, multilevel, and confirmatory structural equation modeling (SEM) with a semi-supervised autoencoder-based clustering strategy for latent profile identification. A MIMIC (Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes) extension further links latent constructs to observable donation frequency, bridging attitudinal and behavioral dimensions of prosocial action.</div><div>From an engineering and humanitarian logistics perspective, this framework enhances the prediction and segmentation of donor behavior under disaster exposure. The model, based on survey data from disaster-affected individuals in Chile, incorporates validated constructs such as social vulnerability, solastalgia (emotional distress from environmental degradation), deprivation cost, resilience, and climate-related anxiety. Five distinct psychological donor profiles were identified, behaviorally validated, and linked to operational implications for mitigating material convergence and optimizing resource allocation.</div><div>The findings offer a socio-technical pathway to integrate psychosocial assessment with humanitarian logistics decision-making, advancing anticipatory capacity, behavioral forecasting, and equitable supply distribution. The study contributes a replicable framework that connects human-centered behavioral modeling with operational optimization, supporting more adaptive and resilient disaster response systems</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100493"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145738450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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