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Bridging warning and adaptation addressing risk communication strategies for short-term natural hazard warnings and long-term risk adaptation – A scoping review 衔接预警和适应,解决短期自然灾害预警和长期风险适应的风险沟通战略——范围审查
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100515
Julia Graf , Renate Renner , Thomas Klebel
Effective risk communication is a core element of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030), emphasizing the importance of early warning and public information in mitigating disaster impacts. However, existing research often treats risk communication as a uniform process, lacking in systematic differentiation between short-term warnings and long-term adaptation strategies. This scoping review analyzes 194 peer-reviewed studies to examine how risk communication strategies vary across temporal dimensions (short-term, long-term, hybrid), hazard groups (atmospheric, geophysical, hydrological, biophysical, multiple hazards) and intended purpose. Communication goals are categorized through an inductively developed approach: “Act, Prepare, and Aware”, and mapped across four major hazard groups. Across hazard types, atmospheric hazards are predominantly addressed through hybrid (41 %) and short-term (25 %) strategies. Geophysical hazards are strongly associated with hybrid approaches (43 %). Hydrological hazards display the widest variation across temporal categories. Purely long-term formats, however, are rarely found across all hazard types (1.4 %), despite their strategic importance for resilience. Findings suggest that the choice of communication strategy can be tied to the nature and dynamics of each hazard type. This review identifies key patterns, research gaps, and a structured basis for further evaluation and the development of risk communication. It provides an overview of current literature and guidance for developing context-sensitive, temporally integrated communication strategies.
有效的风险沟通是《仙台减少灾害风险框架(2015-2030年)》的核心要素,强调预警和公共信息在减轻灾害影响方面的重要性。然而,现有研究往往将风险沟通视为一个统一的过程,缺乏对短期预警和长期适应策略的系统区分。本范围审查分析了194项同行评议的研究,以检查风险沟通策略如何在时间维度(短期、长期、混合)、危害组(大气、地球物理、水文、生物物理、多种危害)和预期目的之间变化。通过归纳开发的方法对传播目标进行分类:“行动、准备和意识”,并在四个主要危险组中进行映射。在危害类型中,大气危害主要通过混合(41%)和短期(25%)策略来解决。地球物理灾害与混合方法密切相关(43%)。水文灾害在时间类别中表现出最广泛的变化。然而,尽管纯长期模式对恢复力具有战略重要性,但在所有风险类型中很少发现(1.4%)。研究结果表明,传播策略的选择可以与每种危险类型的性质和动态联系在一起。本综述确定了关键模式、研究差距以及进一步评估和发展风险沟通的结构化基础。它提供了当前文献的概述和指导,以制定上下文敏感,时间集成的传播策略。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience in the aftermath of a technological disaster: A community-based mixed methods research study 技术灾难后的复原力:基于社区的混合方法研究
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100508
Jasmín D. Llamas , Melissa L. Morgan
This study tests a disaster model of resilience in the aftermath of a natural gas pipeline explosion. This technological disaster occurred in a residential neighborhood in the Western United States. Traditionally, disaster literature has focused on the negative impacts of disasters, emphasizing distress and psychopathology; however, there has been a shift towards exploring protective factors that prevent psychopathology. The present study, guided by Community-Based Participatory Research, expands our understanding of disaster resilience. A mixed methods design was employed using a quantitative survey of 146 participants to test a model of resilience and qualitative open-ended questions to explore methods of coping and resilience. The model examined coping styles (seeking support, positive reappraisal, and problem-solving) as pathways to resilience and the indirect effects of coping and resilience on resource loss and psychological distress. Path results found seeking support and positive reappraisal positively predicted resilience. In addition, an indirect path was found from resource loss to psychological distress through seeking support and positive reappraisal and resilience. Qualitative themes highlighted additional methods of resilience not captured quantitatively, including a focus on faith, seeking professional assistance, and perseverance. These research findings highlight that resilience can emerge even after tragedy.
本研究测试了天然气管道爆炸后复原力的灾难模型。这场技术灾难发生在美国西部的一个居民区。传统上,灾难文学关注灾难的负面影响,强调痛苦和精神病理学;然而,人们开始转向探索预防精神病理的保护因素。本研究以社区参与式研究为指导,拓展了我们对灾害复原力的理解。采用混合方法设计,对146名被试进行定量调查,以检验心理弹性模型,并对定性开放式问题进行探讨,探讨应对和心理弹性的方法。该模型考察了应对方式(寻求支持、积极重新评价和解决问题)作为恢复力的途径,以及应对和恢复力对资源损失和心理困扰的间接影响。路径结果发现,寻求支持和积极的重新评价对心理弹性有正向的预测作用。此外,通过寻求支持、积极的重评价和恢复力,发现了从资源损失到心理困扰的间接路径。定性主题强调了未被定量捕获的韧性的其他方法,包括对信仰的关注,寻求专业援助和毅力。这些研究结果强调,即使在悲剧发生后,恢复力也会出现。
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引用次数: 0
Active participation of people with disabilities in disaster preparedness and contingency work: A systematic literature review on methods, outcomes, and challenges 残疾人积极参与备灾和应急工作:方法、结果和挑战的系统文献综述
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100502
Linda Stjernholm , Jonas Borell , Anna-Lisa Osvalder
Disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategies must actively include people with disabilities (PWD) to ensure equitable and effective preparedness. Although awareness of disability inclusion in DRR is growing, the literature remains fragmented, and no prior structured literature review has focused specifically on participatory methods involving PWD. This review addresses that gap by identifying and synthesizing evidence on how PWD have been engaged in disaster preparedness and contingency planning. Following a structured process inspired by PRISMA and using the PICO framework, searches in Scopus and Web of Science yielded 720 articles, of which 20 peer-reviewed studies from 12 countries were included. The studies employed diverse participatory methods such as interviews, focus groups, co-design workshops, photovoice, and multi-stakeholder consultations. These approaches led to increased preparedness, empowerment, and leadership among PWD, while also strengthening community networks and collaboration with DRR personnel. However, challenges such as communication barriers, limited resources, and exclusion of marginalized groups were common. To conclude, this review offers the first comprehensive synthesis of participatory methods for disability-inclusive DRR, highlighting both their transformative potential and the need for more inclusive, tailored strategies in future research and practice.
减少灾害风险(DRR)战略必须积极纳入残疾人(PWD),以确保公平和有效的准备。尽管人们对DRR中残障包容的认识正在增强,但相关文献仍然是碎片化的,而且之前没有结构化的文献综述专门关注涉及残障人士的参与式方法。本次审查通过确定和综合有关残疾人如何参与备灾和应急规划的证据,解决了这一差距。在PRISMA的启发下,使用PICO框架,在Scopus和Web of Science中搜索了720篇文章,其中包括来自12个国家的20篇同行评议研究。这些研究采用了多种参与性方法,如访谈、焦点小组、共同设计研讨会、照片语音和多方利益相关者磋商。这些方法增强了残疾人的准备、赋权和领导力,同时也加强了社区网络和与减灾工作人员的合作。然而,沟通障碍、资源有限和排斥边缘群体等挑战是普遍存在的。总而言之,本综述首次对参与式方法进行了全面综合,强调了参与式方法的变革潜力,以及在未来的研究和实践中需要更具包容性和针对性的战略。
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引用次数: 0
People's perception on recovery and resilience: An analysis of two major disasters in Japan and the Philippines 人们对恢复和复原力的看法:对日本和菲律宾两次重大灾害的分析
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100496
Takako Izumi , Rajib Shaw
Two severe disasters have occurred in Asia within two years: the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami (GEJET) in 2011 and Typhoon Haiyan (Haiyan) in 2013. This study aimed to examine the recovery efforts from the GEJET through a review of various literature sources. It sought to identify the most critical elements for building resilient cities and reducing the impact of disasters. Additionally, it aimed to highlight areas requiring improvement to enhance disaster risk reduction (DRR) capacity and resilience while exploring differences in people's understanding of these concepts.
The survey findings revealed that the critical elements of resilience vary across countries and regions. Building resilience involves more than imposing external concepts of recovery and strength; it requires understanding and supporting the factors that local communities themselves identify as essential for resilience. It is crucial for the local community to understand the meaning of “resilience” and for their voices to be incorporated in the process of discussing the creation of a disaster-resilient society.
亚洲在两年内发生了两次严重灾害:2011年的东日本大地震和海啸(GEJET)和2013年的台风海燕(Haiyan)。本研究旨在通过回顾各种文献来源来检查GEJET的恢复工作。它试图确定建设韧性城市和减少灾害影响的最关键因素。此外,它旨在强调需要改进的领域,以提高减少灾害风险(DRR)的能力和复原力,同时探讨人们对这些概念的理解差异。调查结果显示,不同国家和地区的复原力的关键要素各不相同。建立韧性不仅仅是强加恢复和力量的外部概念;它需要理解和支持当地社区自己认为对恢复力至关重要的因素。对于当地社区来说,理解“韧性”的含义,并将他们的声音纳入讨论创建一个具有抗灾能力的社会的过程是至关重要的。
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引用次数: 0
Global navigation satellite systems as critical infrastructure: A cross-sectoral impact assessment of service interruptions in Europe 作为关键基础设施的全球卫星导航系统:欧洲服务中断的跨部门影响评估
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100504
Iztok Prezelj, Jelena Juvan
Our societies are ever more dependent on Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) like Galileo, GPS, Glonass or BeiDou. Navigation technology has penetrated so deeply into all sectors of society that one may argue that it constitutes critical infrastructure. The paper identifies and analyses the cross-sectoral dimensions of GNSS criticality, such as the high geostrategic and military importance, the dual-use character, the broad cross-sectoral application, the ubiquitous timing service of atomic clocks and the increasing sectoral requirements for availability and precision. Based on a synthetic literature review and an expert workshop, the paper also identifies numerous cross-sectoral spillover effects that could flow from a potential disruption of GNSS to other GNSS-dependent sectors including transport, telecommunications and the Internet, electric power generation and distribution, financial services and banking, agriculture, fisheries, emergency and security services, armed forces and defence, science, environmental and weather monitoring, construction, even space operations and various other applications.
我们的社会越来越依赖于伽利略、GPS、格洛纳斯或北斗等全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)。导航技术已经如此深入地渗透到社会的各个部门,以至于有人可能会认为它构成了关键的基础设施。本文确定并分析了GNSS临界性的跨部门维度,如高度地缘战略和军事重要性、双重用途特征、广泛的跨部门应用、无处不在的原子钟定时服务以及日益增长的部门对可用性和精度的要求。在综合文献综述和专家研讨会的基础上,该文件还确定了全球导航卫星系统的潜在中断可能对其他依赖全球导航卫星系统的部门产生的众多跨部门溢出效应,包括运输、电信和互联网、发电和配电、金融服务和银行、农业、渔业、应急和安全服务、武装部队和国防、科学、环境和天气监测、建筑、甚至空间操作和各种其他应用。
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引用次数: 0
The citation gap: An overview of academic output in the field of natural hazards and climate extremes analyzed through Google Scholar data 引文缺口:利用谷歌Scholar数据分析的自然灾害与极端气候领域学术产出综述
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100503
S.R. Shrestha , L. Olivetti , S. Pandey , K. Worou , E. Raffetti
A significant increase in number of publications and number of citations is evident in the last decade which is accessible through online databases such as Google Scholar, Web of Science, Scopus, etc. The large data set of scientific literature and respective authors in these platforms can be utilized to get a broad overview of academic discourse which falls under the field of Scientomtrics. This article aims to investigate the state of academia in the field of Natural Hazards and Climate Extremes (NHCE) using Google Scholar data which hasn't been done before. We find that, among 2614 researchers identified, 77.2 % are male, 22.6 % are female, and 0.2 % could not be categorized. Male researchers, on average, received a larger median number of citations compared to women. Notably, regression analysis showed that there is a limited difference in number of citations per publication between the two genders. The data also shows that 78.5 % of citations are attributed to researchers in high-income countries, 14.4 % for those in middle-income countries, and 7.1 % for those in low-income countries. Researchers from high-income countries get a larger number of citations per author, on average, even when controlling for number of publications. However, the citation gap between genders and across income levels has narrowed considerably in recent years. In conclusion, even though disasters affect poor countries and women disproportionately, the fact that the field of NHCE is largely high-income country and male-dominated raises fundamental questions on the ontology and epistemology of the scientific knowledge that has been generated.
在过去十年中,通过谷歌Scholar、Web of Science、Scopus等在线数据库可以获得的出版物数量和引用数量显著增加。利用这些平台上的大量科学文献和各自作者的数据集,可以获得属于科学计量学领域的学术话语的广泛概述。本文旨在利用谷歌学者在自然灾害与极端气候(NHCE)领域的数据,对学术界的现状进行调查。我们发现,在鉴定的2614名研究人员中,77.2%为男性,22.6%为女性,0.2%无法分类。平均而言,男性研究人员收到的引用中位数比女性要高。值得注意的是,回归分析显示,两性之间的每次出版物的引用次数差异有限。数据还显示,78.5%的引用来自高收入国家的研究人员,14.4%来自中等收入国家,7.1%来自低收入国家。高收入国家的研究人员平均每位作者被引用的次数更多,即使在控制出版物数量的情况下也是如此。然而,近年来,性别和收入水平之间的引用差距已经大大缩小。总之,尽管灾害对贫穷国家和妇女的影响不成比例,但NHCE领域主要是高收入国家和男性主导的事实,对已经产生的科学知识的本体论和认识论提出了根本性的问题。
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引用次数: 0
When waters turn against communities: Unraveling water governance, security, and household well-being in hazard-prone coastal Bangladesh 当水对社区不利:在易发生灾害的孟加拉国沿海地区,揭开水治理、安全和家庭福祉的面纱
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100500
Md. Nasif Ahsan , Jannatul Naim , Najmus Sakib , Pankaj Kumar , Naoyuki Okano , Md. Sarwar Hossain , Animesh K. Gain , Md Nurul Amin , Md Khairul Islam , Miho Ohara , Yasuo Takahashi , Osamu Saito , Koji Miwa
Water insecurity, intensified by climate change, environmental degradation, and unsustainable resource management, poses a significant threat to human well-being in coastal regions. This study examines the interrelationships among water governance, household well-being, and water security in southwestern Bangladesh. Using a multistage sampling approach, data were collected from 411 households across nine unions in the Khulna and Satkhira districts, illustrating acute vulnerabilities stemming from ineffective water management, saline intrusion, and inadequate infrastructure. Statistical analyses, including correlation, z-test, chi-square test, and regression, were employed alongside Generalized Structural Equation Modeling (GSEM) to assess the dynamics of water governance and its linkage with water security and well-being. The results suggest that trust, transparency, accountability, and service delivery are key determinants of effective water governance. As hypothesized, effective water governance was positively associated with both household well-being and water security, and higher water security further contributed to improved well-being. The study recommends strengthening coastal water infrastructure through community participation across all project phases, ensuring affordability, integrating resilient solar-powered purification systems, and promoting water-dependent livelihoods. These strategies can reinforce trust, transparency, and service delivery while improving the accessibility, quality, and safety of water for coastal communities.
气候变化、环境退化和不可持续的资源管理加剧了水的不安全,对沿海地区的人类福祉构成了重大威胁。本研究考察了孟加拉国西南部水治理、家庭福祉和水安全之间的相互关系。采用多阶段抽样方法,从kulna和Satkhira地区9个工会的411个家庭收集了数据,说明了低效的水管理、盐水入侵和基础设施不足造成的严重脆弱性。采用相关、z检验、卡方检验和回归等统计分析方法,结合广义结构方程模型(GSEM)评估了水治理的动态及其与水安全和福祉的联系。结果表明,信任、透明度、问责制和服务提供是有效水资源治理的关键决定因素。正如假设的那样,有效的水治理与家庭福祉和水安全呈正相关,更高的水安全进一步促进了福祉的改善。该研究建议通过社区参与所有项目阶段来加强沿海水基础设施,确保可负担性,整合有弹性的太阳能净化系统,并促进依赖水的生计。这些战略可以加强信任、透明度和服务提供,同时改善沿海社区水的可及性、质量和安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Strengthening climate resilience in coastal Bangladesh: Analyzing the role of NGOs in adaptation governance from an intersectionality lens 加强孟加拉国沿海地区的气候适应能力:从交叉视角分析非政府组织在适应治理中的作用
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100498
Md. Mujahidul Islam , Abu Reza Md Towfiqul Islam
Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) significantly contribute to the promotion of local adaptation and resilience strategies in climate-vulnerable areas, including coastal Bangladesh. However, most prior studies have focused on project outcomes and governance frameworks, often neglecting the intersectional dimensions of vulnerability, such as gender, disability, and income, and how these affect perceptions of NGO efficacy. To address this gap, this study examines the effectiveness of NGO-led adaptation initiatives from an intersectional perspective in the Koira and Shyamnagar upazilas of southwest coastal Bangladesh. This study employed a mixed-methods approach, combining survey data (n = 230) with qualitative insights from Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). Quantitative findings reveal structural inequities, with individuals with disabilities and women being significantly underrepresented in NGO programs (χ2 = 24.88, p < .001; t = −3.47, p = .001; and χ2 = 34.42, p < .001; t = −5.75, p < .001, respectively). While 27 % of respondents claimed that NGOs prioritize disadvantaged groups, nearly half (48.3 %) disagreed. Qualitative data also echoed these concerns, illustrating patterns of favoritism, political interference, and tokenistic inclusion that undermine equity and transparency. The findings indicate that, although NGOs are critically essential for their considerable contributions to climate adaptation and resilience, they often face governance challenges that compromise their credibility and equitable results. This study demonstrates that fortifying accountability, diminishing elite capture, and integrating gender- and disability-sensitive frameworks into program design are essential for augmenting legitimacy and resilience. By foregrounding the interconnections among vulnerability, intersectionality, and governance, this study advances scholarly debates on adaptation governance in the Global South. Despite limitations in geographic coverage and representativeness, the research stresses the importance of justice-oriented and participatory approaches in NGO-led climate adaptation.
非政府组织为促进包括孟加拉国沿海地区在内的气候脆弱地区的当地适应和恢复战略做出了重大贡献。然而,大多数先前的研究都集中在项目成果和治理框架上,往往忽视了脆弱性的交叉维度,如性别、残疾和收入,以及它们如何影响对非政府组织效率的看法。为了解决这一差距,本研究从交叉的角度考察了孟加拉国西南沿海的Koira和Shyamnagar地区非政府组织主导的适应计划的有效性。本研究采用混合方法,将调查数据(n = 230)与关键线人访谈(KIIs)和焦点小组讨论(fgd)的定性见解相结合。定量调查结果显示了结构性不平等,残疾人和妇女在非政府组织项目中的代表性明显不足(χ2 = 24.88, p < .001; t = - 3.47, p = .001; χ2 = 34.42, p < .001; t = - 5.75, p < .001)。27%的受访者认为非政府组织优先考虑弱势群体,近一半(48.3%)的受访者不同意。定性数据也反映了这些担忧,说明了偏袒、政治干预和象征性包容的模式,破坏了公平和透明度。研究结果表明,尽管非政府组织在气候适应和恢复能力方面发挥着至关重要的作用,但它们往往面临着损害其信誉和公平结果的治理挑战。本研究表明,加强问责制、减少精英捕获、将性别和残疾敏感框架纳入项目设计,对于增强合法性和韧性至关重要。通过强调脆弱性、交叉性和治理之间的相互联系,本研究推进了全球南方国家适应性治理的学术辩论。尽管在地理覆盖和代表性方面存在局限性,但该研究强调了以正义为导向和参与性方法在非政府组织主导的气候适应中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting and segmenting donor behavior under disaster exposure: A socio-technical and data-driven approach: Evidence from natural disasters in Chile 灾害暴露下捐助者行为的预测和细分:社会技术和数据驱动的方法:来自智利自然灾害的证据
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100493
Luis Yáñez-Sandivari , Sebastián Ríos , Cristián Cáceres , Angelo León
This study presents an integrated socio-technical and data-driven framework to model the psychological and contextual determinants of donor behavior in disaster settings. From an artificial intelligence perspective, the research introduces a hybrid architecture that combines multigroup, multilevel, and confirmatory structural equation modeling (SEM) with a semi-supervised autoencoder-based clustering strategy for latent profile identification. A MIMIC (Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes) extension further links latent constructs to observable donation frequency, bridging attitudinal and behavioral dimensions of prosocial action.
From an engineering and humanitarian logistics perspective, this framework enhances the prediction and segmentation of donor behavior under disaster exposure. The model, based on survey data from disaster-affected individuals in Chile, incorporates validated constructs such as social vulnerability, solastalgia (emotional distress from environmental degradation), deprivation cost, resilience, and climate-related anxiety. Five distinct psychological donor profiles were identified, behaviorally validated, and linked to operational implications for mitigating material convergence and optimizing resource allocation.
The findings offer a socio-technical pathway to integrate psychosocial assessment with humanitarian logistics decision-making, advancing anticipatory capacity, behavioral forecasting, and equitable supply distribution. The study contributes a replicable framework that connects human-centered behavioral modeling with operational optimization, supporting more adaptive and resilient disaster response systems
本研究提出了一个综合的社会技术和数据驱动的框架,以模拟灾害环境中捐助者行为的心理和环境决定因素。从人工智能的角度来看,该研究引入了一种混合架构,将多组、多层次和验证性结构方程建模(SEM)与基于半监督自编码器的聚类策略相结合,用于潜在剖面识别。MIMIC(多指标多原因)扩展进一步将潜在构式与可观察到的捐赠频率联系起来,连接亲社会行动的态度和行为维度。从工程和人道主义物流的角度来看,该框架增强了灾害暴露下捐助者行为的预测和分割。该模型基于智利受灾个人的调查数据,结合了社会脆弱性、太阳痛(环境退化造成的情绪困扰)、剥夺成本、恢复力和气候相关焦虑等有效概念。确定了五种不同的心理捐助者概况,对其进行了行为验证,并将其与减少材料趋同和优化资源分配的业务影响联系起来。研究结果提供了一条社会技术途径,将社会心理评估与人道主义后勤决策相结合,提高预期能力、行为预测和公平供应分配。该研究提供了一个可复制的框架,将以人为中心的行为建模与操作优化联系起来,支持更具适应性和弹性的灾害响应系统
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引用次数: 0
RUSLE modeling and spatial approach in soil erosion-prone areas for erosion rate prediction and strengthening land use planning in the Battang River basin, Palopo City 巴塘河流域水土流失易发区RUSLE模型及空间化研究——以巴塘河流域为例
IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100499
Mukti Ali , Abdul Rachman Rasyid , Ihsan Ihsan , Isfa Sastrawati , Dewa Sagita Alfadin Nur , Junichiro Asano , Muh. Fachrul Razy Taufiq , Ahmad Saiful Munir , Andi Muthia Amalia Makkuaseng
Land degradation from erosion remains a persistent challenge in tropical river basins. Yet, many assessments utilizing the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) do not explicitly quantify which factors most strongly influence erosion, leaving a gap in designing targeted and cost-effective interventions. This study addresses this methodological gap by integrating spatial RUSLE modeling with a quantitative sensitivity analysis to identify the dominant physical and land-use drivers of erosion in the Battang River Basin, Palopo City. Four parameters—rainfall erosivity (R), soil erodibility (K), slope characteristics (LS), and cover-management (CP)—were analyzed using field data, DEMNAS, and satellite imagery. Erosion rates range from light to extremely severe (15–450 t/ha/year), with the western basin exhibiting the highest values due to steep terrain and vegetation loss. Sensitivity results demonstrate that LS and CP exert the strongest influence on erosion variability, with CP showing the highest sensitivity coefficient among the manageable factors, indicating its strategic role in rapid mitigation. These findings highlight the added value of integrating RUSLE with sensitivity analysis to strengthen erosion-related decision-support. The study concludes that erosion-risk maps and factor sensitivities should guide municipal spatial planning, particularly the Palopo City Spatial Plan, by informing zoning and conservation priorities. Key mitigation options include infiltration holes in residential areas, bench terraces on steep slopes, and targeted vegetation rehabilitation on critically degraded land, supported by community-based slope management and improved land-use practices.
侵蚀造成的土地退化仍然是热带河流流域面临的一个持续挑战。然而,许多使用修订通用土壤流失方程(RUSLE)的评估没有明确量化哪些因素对侵蚀影响最大,这在设计有针对性和具有成本效益的干预措施方面留下了空白。本研究将空间RUSLE模型与定量敏感性分析相结合,以确定巴洛坡市巴唐河流域侵蚀的主要物理和土地利用驱动因素,从而解决了这一方法上的差距。利用野外数据、DEMNAS和卫星图像分析了四个参数——降雨侵蚀力(R)、土壤可蚀性(K)、坡度特征(LS)和覆盖管理(CP)。侵蚀率从轻微到极端严重(15-450吨/公顷/年)不等,由于陡峭的地形和植被损失,西部盆地的侵蚀率最高。敏感性结果表明,土壤侵蚀和CP对侵蚀变率的影响最大,其中CP在可控因子中敏感性系数最高,表明其在快速缓解中具有战略作用。这些发现突出了RUSLE与敏感性分析相结合的附加价值,以加强与侵蚀相关的决策支持。该研究的结论是,侵蚀风险地图和因素敏感性应该通过告知分区和保护优先事项来指导城市空间规划,特别是帕洛珀城市空间规划。关键的缓解办法包括在居民区设置渗水孔、在陡坡上设置阶地,以及在严重退化土地上有针对性地恢复植被,并辅以以社区为基础的斜坡管理和改进的土地利用做法。
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Progress in Disaster Science
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