Progress in Disaster Science最新文献_第2页

Safety preparedness in the oil and gas industry: A psychological assessment of factors affecting employee intentions and behaviors toward emergency response 石油和天然气行业的安全准备：对影响员工应急意图和行为因素的心理评估

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100534

Edward Kweku Nunoo , Emmanuella Lockner , Ernest Amankwah Afrifa , Joseph Essandoh-Yeddu , Eric Twum , Bernice Essien , Johnie Nyametso , Clement Oteng , Joseph Asafo , Emmanuel Amankwa , Philomina Kwabena

This study expands the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) to investigate factors influencing employee preparedness intentions and actual emergency response behaviors in the energy sector. Conducted in a Ghanaian gas processing plant, the research uniquely measures actual preparedness behaviors and finds that employee intentions fully mediate the relationships between psychological factors and behavior. We examined how these factors shape preparedness intentions and whether intentions mediate their relationship with actual behaviors. Structured questionnaires were developed. A pilot test with employees from a Gas Distribution Station, assessed reliability (Cronbach’s α > 0.75 for all scales) and readability of the instruments, while content validity was ensured via evaluations by five expert industrial-organizational psychologists. Self-administered surveys were finally distributed to employees across multiple units in a gas processing facility, with anonymity and informed consent protocols observed. Data was analyzed using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) to test the extended TPB framework. Measurement validity was confirmed through convergent validity, reliability tests, and discriminant validity using the HTMT ratio, ensuring construct distinctiveness. Results confirmed the model’s robustness, demonstrating that psychological factors significantly predict employee preparedness intentions (β = 0.68, p < 0.001), and intentions fully mediate the relationship between these factors and actual preparedness behaviors (indirect effect = 0.52, p < 0.01).

本研究扩展了计划行为理论（TPB），探讨能源部门员工准备意图和实际应急行为的影响因素。该研究在加纳的一家天然气加工厂进行，独特地测量了实际的准备行为，发现员工意图充分调解了心理因素与行为之间的关系。我们研究了这些因素是如何塑造准备意图的，以及意图是否调解了它们与实际行为的关系。设计了结构化问卷。一项针对加油站员工的试点测试评估了这些工具的信度（所有量表的Cronbach 's α > 0.75）和可读性，而内容效度则通过五位专家工业组织心理学家的评估来确保。最终，在匿名和知情同意协议下，自主调查问卷分发给了天然气处理设施多个单位的员工。采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型（PLS-SEM）对扩展的TPB框架进行分析。测量效度通过收敛效度、信度检验和HTMT比值判别效度来确定，保证了结构的显著性。结果证实了模型的稳健性，表明心理因素显著预测员工的准备意图（β = 0.68, p < 0.001），并且意图完全中介这些因素与实际准备行为之间的关系（间接效应= 0.52,p < 0.01）。

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引用次数: 0

Global navigation satellite systems as critical infrastructure: A cross-sectoral impact assessment of service interruptions in Europe 作为关键基础设施的全球卫星导航系统：欧洲服务中断的跨部门影响评估

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100504

Iztok Prezelj, Jelena Juvan

Our societies are ever more dependent on Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) like Galileo, GPS, Glonass or BeiDou. Navigation technology has penetrated so deeply into all sectors of society that one may argue that it constitutes critical infrastructure. The paper identifies and analyses the cross-sectoral dimensions of GNSS criticality, such as the high geostrategic and military importance, the dual-use character, the broad cross-sectoral application, the ubiquitous timing service of atomic clocks and the increasing sectoral requirements for availability and precision. Based on a synthetic literature review and an expert workshop, the paper also identifies numerous cross-sectoral spillover effects that could flow from a potential disruption of GNSS to other GNSS-dependent sectors including transport, telecommunications and the Internet, electric power generation and distribution, financial services and banking, agriculture, fisheries, emergency and security services, armed forces and defence, science, environmental and weather monitoring, construction, even space operations and various other applications.

我们的社会越来越依赖于伽利略、GPS、格洛纳斯或北斗等全球导航卫星系统（GNSS）。导航技术已经如此深入地渗透到社会的各个部门，以至于有人可能会认为它构成了关键的基础设施。本文确定并分析了GNSS临界性的跨部门维度，如高度地缘战略和军事重要性、双重用途特征、广泛的跨部门应用、无处不在的原子钟定时服务以及日益增长的部门对可用性和精度的要求。在综合文献综述和专家研讨会的基础上，该文件还确定了全球导航卫星系统的潜在中断可能对其他依赖全球导航卫星系统的部门产生的众多跨部门溢出效应，包括运输、电信和互联网、发电和配电、金融服务和银行、农业、渔业、应急和安全服务、武装部队和国防、科学、环境和天气监测、建筑、甚至空间操作和各种其他应用。

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引用次数: 0

Military involvement in disaster management: Bibliometric insights into central–peripheral dynamics and historical crises 军事介入灾害管理：文献计量学洞察中心-外围动态和历史危机

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100511

Hasan Ogredik

While the disaster management literature includes substantial research on the utilisation of military resources, existing studies are mostly fragmented, event-specific, or confined to thematic niches. This article, therefore, aims to (i) provide a comprehensive bibliometric mapping of scholarly work on military involvement in disaster management, and (ii) identify underexplored domains and trajectories that warrant further academic attention. A bibliometric analysis was conducted on publications indexed in the Web of Science (1991–2025). Using VOSviewer, co-authorship, citation, and keyword networks were mapped. In addition, an AI-assisted natural language processing (NLP) clustering method was applied to categorise publications into thematic domains. Manual validation was undertaken to ensure reliability. The analysis reveals that disaster management research is dominated by a few Western countries, with limited collaboration and modest military input, shifting focus from health to securitised frameworks, while gaps remain in AI, disaster diplomacy, socio-cultural aspects, and the religion–disaster management nexus. By synthesising the literature bibliometrically, this study clarifies the field's evolution and situates it within ethical, historical, and political debates, offering a conceptual reference for academics and practical, context-sensitive insights on the interactions of central and peripheral dynamics in the use of military capabilities during disaster settings.

虽然灾害管理文献包括关于军事资源利用的大量研究，但现有的研究大多是零散的、针对具体事件的或局限于专题领域。因此，本文旨在(i)提供关于军事参与灾害管理的学术工作的综合文献计量图，以及（ii）确定值得进一步学术关注的未充分探索的领域和轨迹。对1991-2025年在Web of Science收录的出版物进行了文献计量分析。使用VOSviewer，我们绘制了合作作者、引文和关键词网络。此外，应用人工智能辅助的自然语言处理（NLP）聚类方法将出版物分类到主题领域。进行了人工验证以确保可靠性。分析显示，灾害管理研究由少数西方国家主导，合作有限，军事投入有限，将重点从卫生转移到证券化框架，而在人工智能、灾害外交、社会文化方面以及宗教与灾害管理关系方面仍然存在差距。通过综合文献计量学，本研究澄清了该领域的演变，并将其置于伦理、历史和政治辩论中，为学者提供了概念参考，并为灾害环境中使用军事能力的中心和外围动态的相互作用提供了实用的、上下文敏感的见解。

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引用次数: 0

When survival is organized locally: Perspectives of community resilience by collective action to flooding in three informal settlements of Douala, Cameroon 当地组织生存：喀麦隆杜阿拉三个非正式定居点通过集体行动应对洪水的社区复原力

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100522

Roussel Lalande Teguia Kenmegne , Jean-François Bissonnette , Roxane Lavoie , Denis Blouin

This article explores the potential of collective self-organization in three informal settlements in Douala, Cameroon, as a lever for community resilience to recurring floods. While the literature highlights the high vulnerability of these territories, it still pays little attention to the local forms of social and institutional regulation that emerge on the margins of the State. Based on an in-depth ethnographic survey conducted in Bois des Singes, Japoma Beach, and PK9, the study highlights the diversity of selective incentives mechanisms and social sanctions that shape local responses to flood risk. Risk perception has been identified as a trigger for collective action in settlements, but its expression varies depending on contexts and available resources. The analysis shows that community resilience stems from institutional diversity, in which residents combine customary norms and informal social practices to compensate for the ineffectiveness of public policies. These “bottom-up” regulations are based on the principle of reciprocity and on deterring opportunistic behavior, but they also generate forms of social exclusion. The article advocates for the need to link local initiatives to formal risk management mechanisms, without denying their autonomy. Finally, it proposes ways to better integrate these dynamics into more equitable and coordinated urban governance policies.

本文探讨了喀麦隆杜阿拉三个非正式定居点的集体自我组织作为社区抵御反复发生的洪水的杠杆的潜力。虽然文献强调了这些地区的高度脆弱性，但它仍然很少注意到在国家边缘出现的地方形式的社会和机构监管。基于在Bois des Singes、Japoma Beach和PK9进行的深入人种学调查，该研究强调了影响当地应对洪水风险的选择性激励机制和社会制裁的多样性。风险认知已被确定为住区集体行动的触发因素，但其表达方式因环境和现有资源而异。分析表明，社区弹性源于制度多样性，居民将习惯规范和非正式社会实践结合起来，以弥补公共政策的无效。这些“自下而上”的规定基于互惠原则和阻止机会主义行为，但它们也产生了各种形式的社会排斥。这篇文章提倡将地方项目与正式的风险管理机制联系起来，而不否认它们的自主性。最后，它提出了将这些动态更好地整合到更公平和协调的城市治理政策中的方法。

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引用次数: 0

Corrigendum to ‘Game theory applications in managing stakeholder conflicts for building safety and resilience against natural disasters’ [Progress in Disaster Science 26 (2025) 100409] “博弈论在管理利益相关者冲突中的应用，以建立安全和抵御自然灾害的能力”的勘误表[灾害科学进展26 (2025)100409]

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100532

Amir Shahmohammadian , Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany

引用次数: 0

Grandmothers of invention: A commentary on fifty years of hazards and disasters research and practice in the United States 《发明的祖母：美国50年灾害与灾害研究与实践述评》

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100525

Susan L. Cutter , Kathleen Tierney

This commentary highlights the role of “grandmothers of invention”: women in the United States who were the first to enter the field of hazards and disasters as core researchers and who played key roles in advancing the science and practice of hazards/disasters research since 1975. We examine the evolution and transformation of the field from the perspective of the women who were initially entering a male-dominated field. The innovations in theory, concepts, tools, topics, and mentoring the next generation of scholars and practitioners are highlighted. Notably, emphasis on these women's singular and collective influence on practice and policy highlights the significance of introducing sociodemographic diversity and fresh intellectual perspectives in ways that transformed the field. Our approach is qualitative and narrative. Our intent is to introduce readers of the journal, especially those new to the field, to the contributions of leading US women researchers, both with respect to the topics they brought to light and with respect to their contributions to practice.

这篇评论强调了“发明的祖母”的作用：美国妇女是第一批作为核心研究人员进入危害和灾害领域的人，自1975年以来，她们在推进危害/灾害研究的科学和实践方面发挥了关键作用。我们从最初进入男性主导领域的女性的角度来研究该领域的演变和转变。强调了在理论、概念、工具、主题以及指导下一代学者和实践者方面的创新。值得注意的是，强调这些妇女对实践和政策的单一和集体影响，突出了以改变该领域的方式引入社会人口多样性和新的知识观点的重要性。我们的方法是定性和叙述。我们的目的是向杂志的读者，特别是那些新进入该领域的读者介绍美国主要女性研究人员的贡献，包括她们所揭示的主题和她们对实践的贡献。

引用次数: 0

A decade after Sendai: Assessing global actor dynamics and roles in participatory flood early warning systems 仙台事件后的十年：评估参与式洪水预警系统中的全球行动者动态和作用

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100529

Prince Dacosta Aboagye , Anh Cao , Megumi Watanabe , Irene Petraroli , Shinichiro Nakamura

The operation of Flood Early Warning Systems (FEWS) is widely acknowledged to value the participation of diverse actors. Yet, little is known about the involvement of actors and the categories of roles they undertake in FEWS operations. A decade after the adoption of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, this study comprehensively reviews the evidence on participatory FEWS operations with the aim of (1) analyzing the global actor dynamics across various contexts and (2) examining the roles assumed by these actors in FEWS operations. Two groups of actor types were identified from the analysis: those that are highly recognized and frequently reported in the literature – “established actors” - and those that are relatively underrepresented and occasionally documented – “periphery actors”. We observed persistent biases in the multi-scalar and regional participatory FEWS operations. These biases include institutionalizing the operation of certain FEWS components at the national level around a few actor types, with limited to no involvement of other critical actors, such as those with a strong local presence. Interconnectedness among examined role categories can be leveraged to facilitate synergistic efforts in FEWS operations. This review highlights the need for standardized actor mapping and monitoring to consistently recognize and understand their roles.

洪水预警系统（FEWS）的运作被广泛认为重视不同行动者的参与。然而，人们对行动者的参与以及他们在FEWS行动中所扮演的角色类别知之甚少。在仙台减少灾害风险框架通过十年后，本研究全面回顾了参与式FEWS操作的证据，目的是：(1)分析不同背景下的全球行动者动态；(2)检查这些行动者在FEWS操作中所扮演的角色。从分析中确定了两组演员类型：那些在文献中得到高度认可和经常报道的演员-“既定演员”-以及那些代表性相对不足且偶尔记录的演员-“外围演员”。我们观察到在多标量和区域参与式FEWS操作中持续存在偏差。这些偏见包括在国家一级围绕少数行动者类型将某些FEWS组成部分的操作制度化，而限制或不涉及其他关键行动者，例如在当地具有强大影响力的行动者。可以利用所审查角色类别之间的相互联系，促进FEWS业务中的协同努力。这篇综述强调了标准化参与者映射和监控的必要性，以一致地识别和理解他们的角色。

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引用次数: 0

Disaster justice: A literature review 灾难正义：文献综述

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100533

Jori Pascal Kalkman

The unequal effects of disasters on different groups in society are becoming increasingly clear. Disaster justice scholars challenge this inequality by calling for a more equitable allocation of disaster risks, resources, and rights. The concept of ‘disaster justice’ has gained rapid prominence recently, because environmental transformations of our own making are increasingly wreaking havoc. Marginalized and vulnerable communities bear the brunt of the impact of these transformations. This literature review on disaster justice aims to integrate existing findings, identify main research themes, and explore knowledge gaps. The review is based on 43 publications, which discuss five main themes: 1) the conceptualization and operationalization of disaster justice, 2) marginalized groups, 3) disaster roots and disaster risk creation, 4) disaster governance, and 5) justice struggles. The review demonstrates that disaster justice research helps scholars systematically explore alternative disaster management approaches and practices that reduce the vulnerability of marginalized groups and render disaster outcomes more just. In future research, disaster justice scholars could engage more with other work on disaster management reform, offer insight into how different types of justice – distributive, recognitional, and procedural – interact, and analyze how discrimination within disaster organizations can pose barriers to meaningful societal change.

灾害对社会不同群体的不平等影响日益明显。灾害司法学者通过呼吁更公平地分配灾害风险、资源和权利来挑战这种不平等。“灾难正义”的概念最近得到了迅速的重视，因为我们自己造成的环境变化越来越严重。边缘化和脆弱社区首当其冲地受到这些变革的影响。本文旨在整合现有研究成果，确定主要研究主题，并探索知识空白。该综述基于43份出版物，讨论了五个主题：1)灾害正义的概念化和运作化；2)边缘化群体；3)灾害根源和灾害风险的产生；4)灾害治理；5)正义斗争。这篇综述表明，灾害正义研究有助于学者系统地探索其他灾害管理方法和实践，以减少边缘群体的脆弱性，并使灾害结果更加公正。在未来的研究中，灾害司法学者可以更多地参与灾害管理改革的其他工作，深入了解不同类型的正义（分配正义、识别正义和程序正义）如何相互作用，并分析灾害组织内部的歧视如何对有意义的社会变革构成障碍。

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引用次数: 0

ReliefNet: A Knowledge-Driven, Explainable AI Multimodal Framework for Disaster Severity Classification and Humanitarian Decision-Making ReliefNet：一个知识驱动、可解释的灾害严重程度分类和人道主义决策的人工智能多模式框架

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100528

Khondokar Radwanur Rahman , Amith Khandakar , Md. Fahim Hossen , Shaikh Golam Rabbani , Aniruddha Saha , Md. Faysal Ahamed , Md. Munawar Hossain , Mohamed Arselene Ayari , Rajab Abdulla R.E. Al-Esmail

Rapid and reliable disaster severity assessment from social media is difficult due to noisy content, modality imbalance, and limited labeled data. This paper introduces ReliefNet, a real-time multimodal framework for disaster severity classification that jointly analyzes images and text. The system integrates DualEmbedNet, a dual-encoder transformer for textual classification, and DisasterNet, a CNN with channel-wise attention for visual analysis, combined through an accuracy-weighted decision-level fusion mechanism that dynamically adapts to modality reliability at inference time. To mitigate labeling scarcity, we construct a unified dataset of 14,996 image-text pairs by merging CrisisMMD and TSEqD. Unlabeled samples are annotated using unsupervised multimodal K-Means clustering, followed by Grad-CAM guided ROI refinement and manual auditing to reduce label noise. Models are evaluated using an 80/10/10 train-validation-test split with metrics including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, calibration error, and robustness under missing-modality conditions. The image-only model achieves an F1-score of 97.66%, while ReliefNet attains 97.00% F1 with superior robustness and stability under noisy or incomplete inputs. Accuracy-weighted fusion improves F1-score by 0.7% over equal-weight fusion and outperforms standard CNN baselines such as ResNet and EfficientNet. All models operate in real time on a single NVIDIA GPU, demonstrating ReliefNet's practical deployability.

由于社交媒体内容嘈杂、形态不平衡和标记数据有限，难以从社交媒体上快速可靠地评估灾害严重程度。本文介绍了一种基于图像和文本联合分析的实时多模态灾害严重程度分类框架ReliefNet。该系统集成了DualEmbedNet（用于文本分类的双编码器转换器）和DisasterNet（用于视觉分析的channel-wise attention CNN），并通过在推理时动态适应模态可靠性的精度加权决策级融合机制相结合。为了缓解标记稀缺性，我们将CrisisMMD和TSEqD合并，构建了包含14996对图像-文本的统一数据集。使用无监督多模态k均值聚类对未标记的样本进行注释，然后使用Grad-CAM引导的ROI优化和手动审计来减少标签噪声。模型使用80/10/10训练-验证-测试分割进行评估，指标包括准确性、精密度、召回率、f1分数、校准误差和缺失模态条件下的鲁棒性。仅图像模型的F1得分为97.66%，而ReliefNet在噪声或不完全输入下的F1得分为97.00%，具有优越的鲁棒性和稳定性。准确度加权融合比等权重融合提高了f1分数0.7%，优于ResNet和effentnet等标准CNN基线。所有模型都在单个NVIDIA GPU上实时运行，展示了ReliefNet的实际可部署性。

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引用次数: 0

Towards cyclone resilience: Examining local challenges and best practices in shelter management in Sarankhola, Southwest Bangladesh 迈向飓风复原力：审视孟加拉国西南部Sarankhola避难所管理的当地挑战和最佳做法

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100510

Ishrar Tahmin Anika , Edris Alam

Bangladesh is the seventh most vulnerable country to climate-related hazards and is highly susceptible to intense cyclones. This study aims to identify shelter management challenges, existing practices, and resident-driven recommendations in four unions of Sarankhola, southwest Bangladesh, while also developing a perceived cyclone risk map. Using a mixed-methods approach, data was collected through twenty-four in-depth interviews (IDIs), 8 focus group discussions (FGDs), and 104 questionnaire surveys, with respondents equally distributed across the unions. Findings indicate that residents lack access to essential services, with limited facilities for pregnant women, lactating mothers, children, the elderly, and persons with disabilities. Although most cyclone shelters have ramps, the absence of specialized vehicles prevents volunteers from assisting people with disabilities effectively. Poor sanitation and hygiene conditions expose evacuees to health risks. While shelters are structurally safe from floods, the risk of building collapse persists due to neglected renovations. Despite the increased availability of cyclone shelters, poor road infrastructure and fear of theft hinder timely evacuation. Some residents also reported access restrictions imposed by school authorities managing the shelters. The study highlights that good governance can enhance shelter management by ensuring proper water supply, sanitation, and equitable relief distribution. Key recommendations include improving roads and drainage, ensuring nutrition-sensitive relief, engaging female volunteers, enhancing healthcare and accessibility support, and strengthening accountability for shelter maintenance. Effective management requires a coordinated, inclusive, governance-driven approach to sustain cyclone resilience.

孟加拉国是第七大易受气候相关灾害影响的国家，极易受到强烈气旋的影响。本研究旨在确定孟加拉国西南部Sarankhola的四个联盟的避难所管理挑战、现有做法和居民驱动的建议，同时还开发了一个感知气旋风险地图。采用混合方法，通过24次深度访谈（IDIs）、8次焦点小组讨论（fgd）和104份问卷调查收集数据，受访者平均分布在各个工会。调查结果表明，居民缺乏基本服务，为孕妇、哺乳期母亲、儿童、老人和残疾人提供的设施有限。虽然大多数飓风避难所都有坡道，但由于缺乏专用车辆，志愿者无法有效地帮助残疾人。恶劣的环境卫生和个人卫生条件使撤离人员面临健康风险。虽然避难所在结构上不受洪水影响，但由于忽视翻修，建筑物倒塌的风险仍然存在。尽管飓风庇护所的可用性有所增加，但道路基础设施薄弱和对盗窃的恐惧阻碍了及时疏散。一些居民还报告说，管理避难所的学校当局对出入施加了限制。该研究强调，良好的治理可以通过确保适当的供水、卫生和公平的救济分配来加强住房管理。主要建议包括改善道路和排水，确保营养敏感的救济，吸引女性志愿者，加强医疗保健和无障碍支持，以及加强对住房维护的问责制。有效的管理需要一种协调、包容、治理驱动的方法来维持气旋抵御力。

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引用次数: 0