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Urban challenges and strategies in African cities – A systematic literature review 非洲城市的挑战和战略--系统文献综述
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100132
Alanda A. Kamana , Hassan Radoine , Chimango Nyasulu

Since the 1950s, African cities in a quest for modernity and prosperity have been urgently playing catch up to deal with the increasing demand for adequate urban systems and infrastructure. At the turn of the 21st century, many spatial planning models, technological trends, environmental challenges, and socio-economic realities are influencing African cities’ dynamics largely causing confusion and a lack of consistent planning policies. To efficiently guide a coherent and coordinated vision, frame an integrated long-term spatial logic, and give a precise direction for sustainable urban development, this paper aims to develop a localized and contextualised analysis of urban planning challenges and development strategies shaping African cities. The study provides a broad perspective looking at the potentiality of spatial planning practices to envision and transform urban life by prospecting integrated urban planning and development strategies to face increasing urban challenges in Africa. Through Systematic Literature Review (SLR) and machine-learning tools, the study brings, for the first time, consolidated and updated knowledge of urban planning practices in Africa. We analysed 243 urban studies, published between 2000 and 2023, in 107 African cities. We identified and scrutinised 17 most pressing urban challenges and 16 most applied urban strategies to address those challenges. Accordingly, the study’s findings suggest shifting the spatial planning paradigm towards urban resilience as an interoperable system of different spatial planning policies and their relevant urban development strategies. Furthermore, the study’s key arguments are to improve urban infrastructure and optimize existing cities to reverse environmental degradation and guide urban fast transformation to adapt and mitigate growing climate change catastrophes.

自 20 世纪 50 年代以来,追求现代化和繁荣的非洲城市一直在急起直追,以应对对充足的城市系统和基础设施日益增长的需求。在 21 世纪之交,许多空间规划模式、技术趋势、环境挑战和社会经济现实都在影响着非洲城市的发展,这在很大程度上造成了混乱和缺乏一致的规划政策。为了有效引导一致协调的愿景,构建综合的长期空间逻辑,并为可持续城市发展指明方向,本文旨在对塑造非洲城市的城市规划挑战和发展战略进行本地化和背景化分析。本研究提供了一个广阔的视角,通过展望综合城市规划和发展战略,展望和改变城市生活的空间规划实践潜力,以应对非洲日益严峻的城市挑战。通过系统文献综述(SLR)和机器学习工具,本研究首次提供了有关非洲城市规划实践的最新综合知识。我们分析了 2000 年至 2023 年间发表的 243 项城市研究,涉及 107 个非洲城市。我们确定并仔细研究了 17 项最紧迫的城市挑战和 16 项应对这些挑战的最常用城市战略。因此,研究结果建议将空间规划范式转向城市复原力,将其作为不同空间规划政策及其相关城市发展战略的互操作系统。此外,该研究的主要论点是改善城市基础设施,优化现有城市,以扭转环境退化,引导城市快速转型,适应和缓解日益严重的气候变化灾难。
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引用次数: 0
“Bats are part of us”: The role of bats in shaping community identity in Watansoppeng city, Indonesia "蝙蝠是我们的一部分蝙蝠在塑造印度尼西亚瓦坦索朋市社区认同中的作用
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100139
Fitrawan Umar , Haryo Winarso , Iwan Kustiwan

The study of the relationship between biotic elements and communities within the literature of urban identity in the context of urban planning and design is presently constrained. This research aimed to elucidate the role of biotic elements in community identity through an investigation into the case of bats in the city center. Various data collection methods were employed, encompassing documentation (including the scrutiny of texts and images), observation, and interviews. The research concentrated on the city of Watansoppeng, Indonesia, conducting semi-informal interviews with purposively selected residents, such as cultural leaders, academics, and officials from pertinent institutions. The research variables comprised history, collective memory, and culture, and the analysis adopted a biocultural approach. Digital qualitative analysis was conducted using Atlas.ti 23 software. The findings underscored the significant role played by bats in shaping community identity in Watansoppeng. These nocturnal creatures contribute substantially to the development of the community's historical narrative across generations, including the emergence of myths associating them with signaling impending disasters in the city. Moreover, bats function as custodians of the collective memory of the community, serving as reminders of the glory of the Soppeng Kingdom and the greatness of their First King. The interaction between bats and the community is also reflected in various cultural expressions, spanning language and linguistics, literature, cultural materials, science and technology, economic relations, social interactions, and belief systems.

目前,在城市规划和设计背景下的城市认同文献中,对生物要素与社区之间关系的研究受到限制。本研究旨在通过对市中心蝙蝠的调查,阐明生物要素在社区认同中的作用。研究采用了多种数据收集方法,包括文献(包括文本和图像的仔细研究)、观察和访谈。研究主要集中在印度尼西亚瓦坦索彭市,有针对性地对文化领袖、学者和相关机构官员等居民进行了半非正式访谈。研究变量包括历史、集体记忆和文化,分析采用生物文化方法。使用 Atlas.ti 23 软件进行了数字定性分析。研究结果表明,蝙蝠在瓦坦索朋社区身份认同的形成过程中发挥了重要作用。这些夜间活动的生物对该社区历代历史叙事的发展做出了重大贡献,包括出现了将蝙蝠与城市即将发生的灾难信号联系起来的神话。此外,蝙蝠还是社区集体记忆的守护者,提醒人们苏鹏王国的辉煌和第一代国王的伟大。蝙蝠与社区之间的互动还体现在各种文化表现形式中,包括语言和语言学、文学、文化材料、科学和技术、经济关系、社会互动和信仰体系。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of cloud and rainfall modification in a mid-sized urban area – A climatological analysis of Augusta, Georgia 一个中等城市地区云量和降雨量变化的证据--佐治亚州奥古斯塔的气候学分析
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2024.100141
Jordan McLeod , Marshall Shepherd , Max Appelbaum

Cloud and rainfall distributions in urban spaces have implications for planning, hydrological response, reservoir management, renewable energy generation, transportation, and agricultural productivity. Studies have confirmed that large urban areas can initiate or modify precipitation, but there are still questions about the role of city size and atmospheric interactions. The majority of case study approaches have focused on large cities or urban clusters and have largely ignored small to moderate sized cities. Herein, an analysis of the Augusta, Georgia metropolitan statistical area is conducted. Using a gridded, daily multi-sensor precipitation dataset and satellite-based cloud cover climatology, the warm seasons (June, July, and August) covering the period from 2002 to 2019 were analyzed using spatial comparisons within an upwind-downwind framework and z-score statistics. Such methodologies have been published for larger urban areas. We confirmed that a moderate-sized city like Augusta, Georgia and neighboring Aiken, South Carolina is associated with spatial patterns consistent with the “urban rainfall effect” (URE) and possibly an “urban cloud effect” (UCE). Contextual analysis of other local mesoscale signatures related to nearby water bodies are also provided as a sanity check on process identification.

城市空间的云层和降雨分布对规划、水文响应、水库管理、可再生能源发电、交通和农业生产力都有影响。研究证实,大型城市区域可以引发或改变降水,但对于城市规模和大气相互作用的作用仍存在疑问。大多数案例研究方法都侧重于大城市或城市群,而在很大程度上忽略了中小城市。本文对佐治亚州奥古斯塔大都会统计区进行了分析。利用网格化的每日多传感器降水数据集和基于卫星的云层气候学,在上风-下风框架内使用空间比较法和 Z-分数统计法对 2002 年至 2019 年期间的暖季(6 月、7 月和 8 月)进行了分析。这种方法已针对较大的城市地区发布。我们证实,像佐治亚州奥古斯塔和邻近的南卡罗来纳州艾肯这样的中等规模城市,其空间模式与 "城市降雨效应"(URE)以及可能的 "城市云效应"(UCE)相一致。此外,还提供了与附近水体有关的其他地方中尺度特征的背景分析,作为对过程识别的检验。
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引用次数: 0
Buried but not dead: The impact of stream and wetland loss on flood risk in redlined neighborhoods 被埋葬但未死亡:溪流和湿地丧失对红线社区洪水风险的影响
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100134
Jacob Napieralski, Atreyi Guin, Catherine Sulich

The United States government sponsored the Home Owners’ Loan Corporation (HOLC) in the 1930s to assess and grade neighborhoods based on perceived financial risk. The grades were influenced by the presence of minority racial groups, immigrants, and residents with lower socioeconomic statuses and, even though the practice was eventually outlawed, the impact on low income and underrepresented minorities is still prevalent today. This study was designed to assess spatial patterns and intensity of flood risk to (a) HOLC grade, (b) proximity to coastal zones, (c) intensity of vegetative cover, and (d) relationship to buried (ghost) streams and wetlands to determine which variable has the most impact on flood risk. Flood risk data, acquired from First Street Foundation’s Flood Factor dataset, was summarized by HOLC grade, and ghost streams and wetlands were digitized from historical maps and aggregated by HOLC grade. The results show flood risk is higher in C and D graded neighborhoods, compared to A and B. Regardless of HOLC grade, neighborhoods near the Detroit River and Lake St. Claire have 10 times higher flood risk than inland neighborhoods. Interestingly, B-graded neighborhoods exhibit minimal impact from buried rivers and wetlands, but that risk increases substantially if there is a history of stream or wetland burial within a D graded neighborhood. Flood risk is disproportionately distributed, caused in part by outlawed, racist housing policies. Understanding where risk is highest can help identify optimum locations for adaptation measures to minimize flood damage in these neighborhoods.

20 世纪 30 年代,美国政府发起成立了房屋所有者贷款公司(HOLC),根据预期的金融风险对社区进行评估和分级。尽管这种做法最终被取缔,但对低收入和代表性不足的少数族裔的影响至今仍然普遍存在。本研究旨在评估洪水风险的空间模式和强度,包括:(a) HOLC 等级;(b) 是否靠近沿海地区;(c) 植被覆盖强度;(d) 与被掩埋(幽灵)溪流和湿地的关系,以确定哪个变量对洪水风险的影响最大。洪水风险数据来自 First Street 基金会的洪水因子数据集,并按 HOLC 等级进行了汇总,而幽灵溪流和湿地则是从历史地图中数字化而来,并按 HOLC 等级进行了汇总。结果显示,与 A 级和 B 级社区相比,C 级和 D 级社区的洪水风险更高。无论 HOLC 等级如何,底特律河和圣克莱尔湖附近社区的洪水风险比内陆社区高 10 倍。有趣的是,B 级居民区受河流和湿地掩埋的影响很小,但如果 D 级居民区内曾有河流或湿地掩埋,风险就会大大增加。洪水风险的分布不成比例,部分原因是非法的种族主义住房政策。了解哪些地方的风险最高,有助于确定采取适应措施的最佳地点,从而最大限度地减少这些社区的洪灾损失。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of green space change and fragmentation in a rapidly expanding city of northern Ghana, West Africa 西非加纳北部一个快速扩张城市的绿地变化和破碎模式
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100136
Tony Namwinbown , Ziblim Abukari Imoro , Conrad Atogi-Akwoa Weobong , Damian Tom-Dery , Bernard N. Baatuuwie , Timothy Khan Aikins , Godwin Poreku , Eric Adjei Lawer

Green spaces such as forests, grasslands, and croplands (including gardens) can be found in urban environments. Although they benefit human and animal well-being, they have become threatened due to rapid urban growth and unplanned development. Yet, little attention has been given to studying the dynamics of urban green spaces in sub-Saharan Africa. In this study, we examined the dynamics of land use and land cover (LULC) change and fragmentation (especially, green spaces) within the second fastest urbanising city in Ghana, Tamale. In particular, we focused our analyses on its urban core (∼5 km radius around the city centre) due to its relevance to urban economy and society. Landsat data was used to estimate fragmentation metrics of past and future LULC changes in the study area from 1990 to 2052. We found clear patterns of green space decline and fragmentation within the urban core: i.e., green spaces became patchy over time and the pattern was expected to continue in the future. Additionally, we found the built-up class benefited from the decline of green spaces with the latter being significantly negatively correlated with human population size. Our investigation reveals that protected forests and tree plantations contributed to a significant proportion of available green spaces in the urban core. However, these areas were becoming increasingly threatened by forest reserve downsizing, indiscriminate activities (e.g., logging and encroachment), and sale of public lands to private developers, practices commonly associated with population growth. Hence, the enforcement of relevant local legislations (e.g., the 2016 Land Use and Spatial Planning Act [Act 925]) coupled with the integration of urban initiatives and policies that encourage green spaces are needed to ensure the sustainability of urban ecosystems for the well-being of humans and the environment.

森林、草地和耕地(包括花园)等绿地在城市环境中随处可见。虽然它们有益于人类和动物的福祉,但由于城市的快速增长和无规划的发展,它们已受到威胁。然而,人们很少关注撒哈拉以南非洲城市绿地的动态研究。在这项研究中,我们考察了加纳城市化速度第二快的城市塔马利的土地利用和土地覆被 (LULC) 变化及破碎化(尤其是绿地)的动态。特别是,由于其与城市经济和社会的相关性,我们将分析重点放在了城市核心区域(以市中心为中心,半径在 5 公里以内)。我们利用大地遥感卫星数据估算了研究区域从 1990 年到 2052 年过去和未来 LULC 变化的破碎度量。我们发现了城市核心区域内绿地减少和破碎化的明显模式:即随着时间的推移,绿地变得支离破碎,预计这种模式将在未来继续下去。此外,我们还发现,建筑密集阶层受益于绿地的减少,而绿地的减少与人口数量呈显著负相关。我们的调查显示,保护林和植树造林占城市核心可用绿地的很大比例。然而,这些区域正日益受到森林保护区缩减、滥砍滥伐(如伐木和侵占)以及将公共土地出售给私人开发商等行为的威胁,而这些行为通常与人口增长有关。因此,需要执行相关的地方立法(如 2016 年《土地使用和空间规划法》[第 925 号法案]),并结合鼓励绿色空间的城市倡议和政策,以确保城市生态系统的可持续性,从而造福于人类和环境。
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引用次数: 0
Prospects of urban biotechnology for ornamental plants 城市观赏植物生物技术的前景
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100131
Evgeny Aleksandrovich Gladkov , Olga Victorovna Gladkova

Plant biotechnology methods can be used in urban environments. Cell selection, genetic engineering, and micropropagation hold great promise among biotechnological methods. Two main applications for the use of cell selection for urban plants are possible in future. The first is the use of this technology in urban greening to improve plant resistance. The second is phytoremediation of contaminated urban soils. Micropropagation can be used for urban plant reproduction. The use of genetic engineering is promising for obtaining new varieties of urban plants with high ornamental qualities. When using genetic engineering techniques, environmental risks should be taken into account. The use of biotechnology for the urban environment will contribute to the development of applied biotechnology, urban biology, urban natural sciences and urban technical sciences. Future ornamental urban plants will change, but they will always play an important role in people's lives.

植物生物技术方法可用于城市环境。在各种生物技术方法中,细胞选择、基因工程和微繁殖技术大有可为。细胞选择在城市植物中的应用主要有两个方面。首先是在城市绿化中使用这种技术来提高植物的抗性。其次是对受污染的城市土壤进行植物修复。微繁殖技术可用于城市植物繁殖。利用基因工程有望获得具有高观赏性的城市植物新品种。在使用基因工程技术时,应考虑到环境风险。生物技术在城市环境中的应用将促进应用生物技术、城市生物学、城市自然科学和城市技术科学的发展。未来的城市观赏植物将会发生变化,但它们将始终在人们的生活中发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional arrangement for mitigating and adapting to climate change-related flood risk in Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA) 大阿克拉都市区(GAMA)减缓和适应气候变化相关洪水风险的机构安排
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100129
Alex Barimah Owusu , Kofi Adu-Boahen , Ishmael Yaw Dadson

Episodic floods, attributable primarily to climate change, global warming, and sea level rise, have worsened and continue to be a significant threat to life. Building resilience and improving the adaptive capacities of communities under threat will require institutional and cross-agency collaboration. This paper assessed institutional arrangements for mitigating and adapting to climate change-related flood risk in GAMA, Ghana. Using a descriptive cross-sectional survey, the study collected and analysed data from 65 private businesses and governmental, community, and civil society organisations to assess how institutions collaborate in preparing and adapting to flood risks in the study area. The study finds that frequent flooding, destruction of property and lives, and regular community agitations have triggered high-level consciousness, institutional arrangements, and collaboration within and among communities to build capacity and resilience. In addition, organisations have been educating indigenes on flood preparedness, providing relief items to support flood victims, and conducting training and research. Organisations have also supported communities in developing sandbags, planning sea defence mechanisms, providing rescue and evacuation assistance, providing transportation and logistics, and relocating stranded flood victims. Despite these efforts, the lack of adequate funding and logistics, coupled with the absence of proper consultation and involvement of most organisations in making national-level decisions on climate change and flood-related issues, have rendered flood management efforts less effective. This paper makes the case that proactive and collaborative flood responses should replace reactive and individual approaches to improve flood control efficacy and minimise casualties and property losses.

主要由于气候变化、全球变暖和海平面上升造成的偶发性洪灾已经恶化,并将继续对生命构成重大威胁。建设抗灾能力和提高受威胁社区的适应能力需要机构和跨机构合作。本文评估了加纳 GAMA 地区减缓和适应气候变化相关洪水风险的制度安排。该研究采用描述性横截面调查,收集并分析了 65 家私营企业以及政府、社区和民间社会组织的数据,以评估各机构如何合作准备和适应研究地区的洪水风险。研究发现,频繁的洪灾、财产和生命的破坏以及经常性的社区骚动引发了高层意识、制度安排以及社区内部和社区之间的合作,以建设能力和抗灾能力。此外,各组织一直在对当地居民进行防洪教育,为洪灾受害者提供救济物品,并开展培训和研究。各组织还支持社区开发沙袋、规划海防机制、提供救援和疏散援助、提供运输和后勤服务,以及重新安置受困的洪灾灾民。尽管做出了这些努力,但由于缺乏足够的资金和后勤保障,再加上大多数组织在就气候变化和洪水相关问题做出国家级决策时缺乏适当的咨询和参与,洪水管理工作的成效并不显著。本文提出的理由是,积极主动的合作性洪灾应对措施应取代被动的单打独斗,以提高洪灾控制效率,最大限度地减少人员伤亡和财产损失。
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引用次数: 0
Simple model of vertical dispersion of O3 in Bangkok, Thailand using regression method 利用回归法建立泰国曼谷 O3 垂直扩散的简单模型
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100130
Pornpan Uttamang , Surat Bualert , Krisana Lanumteang , Parkpoom Choomanee

Bangkok, the capital city of Thailand, has experienced a degradation in air quality. In particular, ozone (O3) concentrations frequently exceed Thailand’s National Ambient Air Quality standards. Various policies have been developed to manage air quality at near-surface levels; however, the assessment of air quality above these levels has been neglected. Analysis of O3 concentrations and its precursors measured at various altitudes revealed that the vertical structures of the pollutants in Bangkok were stratified. While NOx concentrations decreased with height, O3 concentrations increased. These results emphasize the importance of air quality management above ground level, particularly in megacities with high-rise buildings, such as Bangkok. Assuming that the O3 formation regime over Bangkok is VOC-limited, a simple model was developed based on a linear regression method to estimate the changes in O3 concentrations with height. We found that the simple model was able to capture the variation in O3 concentrations at 30, 75, and 110 m above ground level, with an R2 of 0.48–0.65. Although the simple model had some difficulty estimating the magnitude of O3 concentrations, the estimated O3 values from the model were reasonable for capturing vertical O3 trends. Using this approach, policymakers can visualize the vertical distribution of pollutants, which will be useful in designing air quality management plans.

泰国首都曼谷的空气质量有所下降。尤其是臭氧(O3)浓度经常超过泰国国家环境空气质量标准。已经制定了各种政策来管理近地面水平的空气质量,但对这些水平以上的空气质量评估却被忽视了。对在不同高度测量到的臭氧浓度及其前体物的分析表明,曼谷的污染物垂直结构是分层的。氮氧化物浓度随高度降低,而臭氧浓度则随高度升高。这些结果凸显了地面以上空气质量管理的重要性,尤其是在曼谷这样高楼林立的特大城市。假设曼谷上空的臭氧形成机制受挥发性有机化合物的限制,我们根据线性回归方法建立了一个简单模型,以估算臭氧浓度随高度的变化。我们发现,该简单模型能够捕捉到离地面 30 米、75 米和 110 米处的臭氧浓度变化,R2 为 0.48-0.65。虽然简单模型在估算臭氧浓度的大小方面存在一些困难,但模型估算出的臭氧浓度值在捕捉垂直方向的臭氧浓度趋势方面是合理的。利用这种方法,决策者可以直观地看到污染物的垂直分布,这将有助于设计空气质量管理计划。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing heat risk in a sub-saharan African humid city, Lagos, Nigeria, using numerical modelling and open-source geospatial socio-demographic datasets 利用数值模拟和开源地理空间社会人口数据集评估撒哈拉以南非洲潮湿城市尼日利亚拉各斯的热风险
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100128
Oluwafemi Benjamin Obe, Tobi Eniolu Morakinyo, Gerald Mills

In Sub-Saharan Africa, many cities are facing an increased risk of heat due to climate change and rapid urbanization. This poses a particular threat in areas with limited adaptive capacity. However, there is a lack of comprehensive heat risk assessment in the region, possibly due to the absence of high-resolution weather data. This study aims to address this gap by proposing and demonstrating a methodology for mapping high-risk areas in a tropical humid city, specifically focusing on Lagos, Nigeria. The approach utilises advanced numerical modelling techniques and open-source geospatial data.

The urbanised Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is employed to simulate Humidex-based heat stress during a specific heatwave event in March 2020. Open-source high resolution geospatial datasets were used to assess heat exposure and vulnerability. The urban areas were classified based on the Local Climate Zone (LCZ) scheme. Spatial analysis techniques, including Moran’s I test and Optimized Hot Spot Analysis (OHSA), were used to identify spatial clustering patterns and hot spots of heat risk areas.

Moreover, using Gi* statistics in OHSA, the risk layer was categorised into hot, cold, and non-significant spots at various levels of significance (90 %, 95 %, and 99 %). Mapping the hot spots at the highest confidence level of 99 % identified Critical Heat Risk Zones (CHRZ), covering an area of approximately 423 km2. The results showed significant heat risk in highly urbanised LCZs. Further investigation indicated that the largest proportion of high-risk zones corresponded to densely populated and highly urbanised LCZs- LCZ3 (59 %), LCZ 6(21 %), and LCZ 7(17 %). Notably, these areas coincide with two well-known slums in Lagos, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions and planning measures in these areas.

The findings highlight the magnitude and extent of heat risk within the city and emphasize the urgent need for targeted climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies in the identified high-risk zones.

在撒哈拉以南非洲,由于气候变化和快速城市化,许多城市正面临着越来越大的高温风险。这对适应能力有限的地区构成了特别的威胁。然而,该地区缺乏全面的热风险评估,可能是由于缺乏高分辨率的天气数据。本研究的目的是通过提出和展示一种方法来解决这一差距,该方法用于绘制热带潮湿城市的高风险地区,特别关注尼日利亚的拉各斯。该方法利用先进的数值模拟技术和开源地理空间数据。城市化的天气研究与预报(WRF)模型用于模拟2020年3月特定热浪事件期间基于humidex的热应激。利用开源高分辨率地理空间数据集评估热暴露和脆弱性。根据当地气候区(LCZ)方案对城市区域进行分类。利用Moran’s I检验和优化热点分析(OHSA)等空间分析技术,对热风险区的空间聚类模式和热点进行了识别。此外,利用OHSA中的Gi*统计数据,根据不同的显著性水平(90%、95%和99%),将风险层分为热点、冷点和非显著点。以99%的最高置信度绘制热点地图,确定了关键热危险区(CHRZ),覆盖面积约423平方公里。结果显示,高度城市化的lcz存在显著的热风险。进一步的调查表明,高危区所占比例最大的是人口密集和高度城市化的LCZ - LCZ3 (59%), lcz6(21%)和lcz7(17%)。值得注意的是,这些地区与拉各斯两个著名的贫民窟重合,强调需要在这些地区采取有针对性的干预措施和规划措施。研究结果强调了城市内热风险的大小和程度,并强调了在确定的高风险区域迫切需要有针对性的气候变化适应和缓解战略。
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引用次数: 0
Towards adequate policy enhancement: An AI-driven decision tree model for efficient recognition and classification of EPA status via multi-emission parameters 迈向适当的政策增强:一个人工智能驱动的决策树模型,用于通过多排放参数有效识别和分类EPA状态
IF 3.3 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100127
Adeboye Awomuti , Philip Kofi Alimo , George Lartey-Young , Stephen Agyeman , Tosin Yinka Akintunde , Adebobola Ololade Agbeja , Olayinka Oderinde , Oluwarotimi Williams Samuel , Henry Otobrise

Accurate and timely evaluation and assessment of emission data and its impact on environmental status has been a key challenge due to the conventional manual approach utilized for independently computing most emission parameters. To resolve this long-standing issue, we proposed an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven Decision Tree model to adequately classify Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) status based on multiple Emission Parameters. The model's performance was systematically evaluated using multiple emission parameters obtained from a two-stroke motorcycle dataset collected in Nigeria across various metrics such as K-S Statistics, Confusion Matrix, Correlation Heat Map, Decision Tree, Validation Curve, and Threshold Plot. The K-S Statistics plot's experimental results showed a considerable correlation between HC, CO, and the target variable, with values ranging from 0.75 to 0.80. At the same time, CO2 and O2 do not correlate with the target variable with values between 0.00 and 0.09. The Confusion Matrix revealed that the proposed model has an overall accuracy of 99.9% with 481 true positive predictions and 75 true negative predictions, indicating the effectiveness of the proposed AI-driven model. In conclusion, our proposed AI-driven model can effectively classify EPA status based on multiple emission parameters with high accuracy, which may spur positive advancement in policy enhancement for proper environmental management.

由于传统的人工方法用于独立计算大多数排放参数,因此准确和及时地评价和评估排放数据及其对环境状况的影响一直是一个关键挑战。为了解决这个长期存在的问题,我们提出了一个人工智能(AI)驱动的决策树模型,以基于多个排放参数对环境保护局(EPA)的状态进行充分分类。使用从尼日利亚收集的二冲程摩托车数据集获得的多个排放参数,通过K-S统计、混淆矩阵、相关热图、决策树、验证曲线和阈值图等各种指标,对模型的性能进行了系统评估。K-S统计图的实验结果表明,HC、CO与目标变量之间存在相当大的相关性,其值范围为0.75 ~ 0.80。同时,CO2和O2与目标变量不相关,其值在0.00 ~ 0.09之间。混淆矩阵显示,所提出的模型的总体准确率为99.9%,有481个真正预测和75个真负预测,表明所提出的ai驱动模型的有效性。综上所述,我们提出的人工智能驱动模型可以基于多个排放参数有效地对EPA状态进行分类,并且准确率高,这可能会对政策的加强起到积极的推动作用,从而促进适当的环境管理。
{"title":"Towards adequate policy enhancement: An AI-driven decision tree model for efficient recognition and classification of EPA status via multi-emission parameters","authors":"Adeboye Awomuti ,&nbsp;Philip Kofi Alimo ,&nbsp;George Lartey-Young ,&nbsp;Stephen Agyeman ,&nbsp;Tosin Yinka Akintunde ,&nbsp;Adebobola Ololade Agbeja ,&nbsp;Olayinka Oderinde ,&nbsp;Oluwarotimi Williams Samuel ,&nbsp;Henry Otobrise","doi":"10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cacint.2023.100127","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Accurate and timely evaluation and assessment of emission data and its impact on environmental status has been a key challenge due to the conventional manual approach utilized for independently computing most emission parameters. To resolve this long-standing issue, we proposed an Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven Decision Tree model to adequately classify Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) status based on multiple Emission Parameters. The model's performance was systematically evaluated using multiple emission parameters obtained from a two-stroke motorcycle dataset collected in Nigeria across various metrics such as K-S Statistics, Confusion Matrix, Correlation Heat Map, Decision Tree, Validation Curve, and Threshold Plot. The K-S Statistics plot's experimental results showed a considerable correlation between HC, CO, and the target variable, with values ranging from 0.75 to 0.80. At the same time, CO<sub>2</sub> and O<sub>2</sub> do not correlate with the target variable with values between 0.00 and 0.09. The Confusion Matrix revealed that the proposed model has an overall accuracy of 99.9% with 481 true positive predictions and 75 true negative predictions, indicating the effectiveness of the proposed AI-driven model. In conclusion, our proposed AI-driven model can effectively classify EPA status based on multiple emission parameters with high accuracy, which may spur positive advancement in policy enhancement for proper environmental management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":52395,"journal":{"name":"City and Environment Interactions","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590252023000296/pdfft?md5=34fe3521efc97f88eb5f01f9e4a5ff32&pid=1-s2.0-S2590252023000296-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138436670","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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City and Environment Interactions
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