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Analyzing the Divergent Effects of Oil Price Changes on BRICS Stock Markets 石油价格变动对金砖国家股市的差异效应分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09497-0
Neha Gupta, Namita Sahay, Miklesh Prasad Yadav

We analyse the asymmetric impact of oil prices on the stock markets of the BRICS nations. Employing the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model, we examine the weekly data spanning from October 29, 2010, to May 28, 2021 for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot prices in USD per barrel, alongside stock price data from official stock market indices websites. The findings reveal a substantial long-run association of oil prices with stock markets of BRICS nations except South Africa with significant asymmetry observed in both short and long-term impacts. Specifically, fluctuations in oil prices exhibit divergent effects on stock markets within these nations necessitating nuanced policy responses. Investors and portfolio managers are encouraged to adopt nonlinear models for forecasting and portfolio management leveraging asymmetric effects for risk mitigation strategies. These suggestions underscore the importance of recognizing the nonlinear and asymmetric nature of oil price dynamics in shaping investment decisions and formulating effective policy measures to mitigate associated risks in BRICS stock markets.

我们分析了油价对金砖国家股市的不对称影响。采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型,我们研究了2010年10月29日至2021年5月28日期间西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)每桶美元现货价格的每周数据,以及官方股票市场指数网站的股票价格数据。研究结果显示,除南非外,金砖国家的石油价格与股票市场之间存在着实质性的长期关联,在短期和长期影响中都观察到显著的不对称性。具体来说,油价波动对这些国家的股市产生了不同的影响,因此需要采取细致入微的政策应对。鼓励投资者和投资组合管理人员采用非线性模型进行预测和投资组合管理,利用不对称效应减轻风险战略。这些建议强调了认识到油价动态的非线性和不对称性质在制定投资决策和制定有效政策措施以减轻金砖国家股票市场相关风险方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Reset Feature in Convertible Bonds: Is It Good for the Firm? 可转换债券的重置特征:对公司有利吗?
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09504-4
Kyung Hee Park, Sanghoon Lee

This study analyzes the impact of the reset clause in convertible bonds on firms. Specifically, it investigates whether the reset feature helps alleviate capital constraints, whether this effect varies based on the controlling shareholders’ ownership stake, and how the reset feature influences the long-term performance of firms. The analysis is based on convertible bond issuances by firms listed on the Korean Stock Exchange and KOSDAQ between 2000 and 2020. The results are as follows. First, firms without the reset feature at the time of convertible bond issuance experience a higher level of capital constraint alleviation. Second, the effect of this capital constraint alleviation is not affected by the ownership stake of the controlling shareholders. Finally, the reset feature negatively impacts the long-term performance of firms. The study suggests that small and medium-sized enterprises with high growth potential might benefit from avoiding the use of the reset clause when issuing convertible bonds. This study contributes to the literature by offering the first robust empirical analysis of the reset clause, providing valuable insights into its impact and implications. These findings are expected to inform and enhance policy discussions surrounding the use of reset clauses in convertible bonds.

本文分析了可转债重置条款对企业的影响。具体而言,本文研究了重置特征是否有助于缓解资本约束,这种效果是否根据控股股东的持股比例而变化,以及重置特征如何影响公司的长期绩效。该分析以2000 ~ 2020年在证券交易所和KOSDAQ上市公司的可转换债券发行情况为基础。结果如下:首先,不具备可转债发行时重置特征的企业,其资本约束缓解程度更高。其次,这种资本约束缓解的效果不受控股股东持股比例的影响。最后,重置特征对企业的长期绩效产生负向影响。研究表明,具有高增长潜力的中小企业在发行可转债时避免使用重置条款可能会受益。本研究通过首次对重置条款进行强有力的实证分析,为其影响和含义提供了有价值的见解,从而为文献做出了贡献。预计这些发现将为围绕在可转换债券中使用重置条款的政策讨论提供信息和加强。
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引用次数: 0
Retail Investors’ Perception Towards Green Bonds in Advancing Sustainability: Evidence from India 零售投资者对绿色债券促进可持续发展的看法:来自印度的证据
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09503-5
Farhat Aziz Lone, Shalini Aggarwal, Sanjeev Jain

Green bonds are financial instruments that raise funds for financing green projects. They facilitate sustainable investing with the goal to mitigate environmental damage. The presents study understands the factors that impact the perception of retail investor towards investing in green bonds. Also, it studies: is there any significant relationship between perceptions of retail investors towards investment in GBs and sustainability?” Furthermore, we conducted a mediation analysis to assess the role of "perception towards green bond investment" in advancing sustainability objectives. Exploratory factor analysis has been used to understand the important factors. Also, the study uses the PLS-SEM for testing the path analysis while performing structural model testing. The results show that social factors are the most significant factors followed by personal factors. Environmental factors comes next with financial gains as the fourth important factor that impact the perception of green bond investors in India. Risk associated with investment is given the least priority. The study will helps the fund managers, brokers, companies and policymakers to understand the perceptions of retail investors towards GBs. It will provide insight to the policymakers to incorporate the policy changes regarding the issue of green bonds in the country.

绿色债券是为绿色项目筹集资金的金融工具。它们促进以减轻环境破坏为目标的可持续投资。本研究了解影响散户投资者对绿色债券投资看法的因素。此外,它还研究了:散户投资者对国债投资的看法与可持续性之间是否存在显著关系?”此外,我们还进行了中介分析,以评估“对绿色债券投资的认知”在推进可持续发展目标中的作用。探索性因子分析已被用来了解重要的因素。此外,在进行结构模型测试时,研究还使用PLS-SEM进行路径分析。结果表明,社会因素是影响大学生学业成绩最显著的因素,其次是个人因素。环境因素紧随其后,财务收益是影响印度绿色债券投资者看法的第四个重要因素。与投资相关的风险是最不重要的。该研究将有助于基金经理、经纪人、公司和政策制定者了解散户投资者对国债的看法。它将为政策制定者提供见解,以纳入该国绿色债券发行的政策变化。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Domestic Bank Credit and FDI Inflows on Renewable Energy Productivity: An Analysis of Developing Asian Economies 国内银行信贷和外国直接投资流入对可再生能源生产率的影响:基于亚洲发展中经济体的分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09502-6
Shruti Aggarwal, Mantu Kumar Mahalik

As economies worldwide endeavour to achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) by 2030, the urge to shift toward renewable energy and achieve energy usage effectiveness has grown more vital. This transition highlights the need to comprehend financial mechanisms and governance aspects that can foster the productivity of renewable energy sources. In this light, this study evaluates the dynamics between domestic bank credit and foreign direct investment inflows, effective governance, world uncertainty, and their aggregate influence on renewable energy productivity in developing Asia, providing a novel outlook on environment-friendly energy. In this context, we analyse the prospects of domestic bank credit and foreign direct investment inflows to serve reliable and affordable sustainable energy for all (i.e. SDG7). Additionally, we have incorporated labour force participation, capital formation, and non-renewable energy consumption as control variables, recognizing their role in renewable energy productivity function. We have employed two-steps dynamic Generalized Method of Moments (GMMs) and Panel-corrected Standard Errors (PCSEs) estimation techniques for the panel set of 23 developing Asian economies from 1996 to 2020. The findings discern domestic bank credit as a crucial promoter of renewable energy productivity, spotlighting the nuanced role of foreign direct investment inflows and the unfavourable impact of world uncertainty. Effective governance is asserted as a stimulus of renewable energy productivity, accentuating the indispensable need for consistent, clear, rigorous environmental policies. Furthermore, the analysis shows that the labour force, capital formation, and non-renewable energy enhance renewable energy productivity. This brief examination intensely analyses renewable energy, prioritising the importance of bolstering renewable energy productivity for attaining sustainable development goals and requiring policymakers in developing Asia to inquire further.

随着全球经济体努力在2030年之前实现可持续发展目标(SDG),转向可再生能源和实现能源使用效率的紧迫性变得更加迫切。这一转变突出表明,需要理解能够促进可再生能源生产力的金融机制和治理方面的问题。鉴于此,本研究评估了国内银行信贷与外国直接投资流入、有效治理、世界不确定性之间的动态关系,以及它们对发展中亚洲可再生能源生产率的总体影响,为环境友好型能源提供了新的前景。在此背景下,我们分析了国内银行信贷和外国直接投资流入的前景,以为所有人提供可靠和负担得起的可持续能源(即可持续发展七国集团)。此外,我们将劳动力参与、资本形成和不可再生能源消费作为控制变量,认识到它们在可再生能源生产率函数中的作用。我们采用两步动态广义矩量法(GMMs)和面板修正标准误差(PCSEs)估计技术,对1996年至2020年的23个亚洲发展中经济体的面板集进行了估计。调查结果显示,国内银行信贷是可再生能源生产率的关键推动者,突显了外国直接投资流入的微妙作用,以及世界不确定性的不利影响。有效的治理被认为是可再生能源生产力的刺激因素,强调了对一致、明确、严格的环境政策的不可或缺的需求。此外,分析表明,劳动力、资本形成和不可再生能源提高了可再生能源的生产率。这份简短的报告深入分析了可再生能源,强调了提高可再生能源生产力对实现可持续发展目标的重要性,并要求亚洲发展中国家的政策制定者进一步探讨。
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引用次数: 0
Bitcoin as a Legal Tender 比特币作为法定货币
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09499-y
Daehan Kim, Jing (Maggie) Chen, Doojin Ryu, Robert I. Webb

This study examines the viability of Bitcoin as legal tender with particular emphasis on the experience of El Salvador. In particular, we examine the challenges, benefits, and costs, of using Bitcoin as legal tender in a country. Our analysis underscores the significant costs of using Bitcoin to process routine transactions. These costs, both temporal and financial, form a considerable barrier to Bitcoin’s widespread adoption and use as legal tender. Given the uncertain impacts that the successful adoption of Bitcoin may cause, we suggest that there is little reason for policymakers to actively drive Bitcoin adoption.

本研究考察了比特币作为法定货币的可行性,特别强调了萨尔瓦多的经验。特别是,我们研究了在一个国家使用比特币作为法定货币的挑战、好处和成本。我们的分析强调了使用比特币处理日常交易的巨大成本。这些时间和财务成本,对比特币作为法定货币的广泛采用和使用构成了相当大的障碍。鉴于比特币的成功采用可能造成的不确定影响,我们认为政策制定者没有理由积极推动比特币的采用。
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引用次数: 0
Hedging Derivatives with Recalibration and Model Risk 对冲衍生品与重新校准和模型风险
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09501-7
Mark Davis, Seiya Goto, Koichi Matsumoto

This paper studies the hedging of derivatives whose pricing formulas are periodically recalibrated in the presence of model risk. We assume that the price and implied parameter processes are observed in the market but the true model of these processes is unknown. Given multiple candidates for the true model, we define a model set of candidates for the true model. We study the minimum hedging error and an optimal strategy under the worst situation and show the procedure for their calculation. Furthermore some numerical examples are provided to illustrate the impact of model risk on the optimal hedging.

本文研究了在存在模型风险的情况下,定价公式需要定期重新校准的衍生品的套期保值问题。我们假设价格和隐含参数过程在市场中被观察到,但这些过程的真正模型是未知的。给定真模型的多个候选对象,我们定义真模型的候选对象模型集。研究了最坏情况下的最小对冲误差和最优策略,并给出了它们的计算过程。通过数值算例说明模型风险对最优套期保值的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Risk Spillover in International Real Estate Investment Trusts: Implications for Asset Investors 国际房地产投资信托的动态风险溢出:对资产投资者的启示
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09496-1
Kwame Annin, Kofi Agyarko Ababio, Solomon Sarpong

The paper examines the extent of connectivity and shock transmission among twenty international public REITs using both static and dynamic econometric measures. The result shows that the dominant status of the United States REIT market as a primary source of shock to the international REIT market is in contest, mostly with the Belgian, Russian, and French REITs. Our results also indicate that Belgium, Germany, and France are the leading sources of shock in the European Union REIT market. Singapore dominates the ASEAN Economic Community REITs; the United States leads the North American Free Trade Agreement REITs while Russia and the United States compete as leaders in the Asia–Pacific Economic Cooperation REIT market. Results from the dynamic spillover demonstrate that return and the volatility spillover are vulnerable to key global news—positive or negative—with the COVID-19 pandemic having a substantial influence on international REITs than oil price shocks and geopolitical news. We further find out that altogether, the 20 international REITs are highly connected, and their level of linkages increases in periods of heightened global market uncertainties. However, the connectedness levels of the markets reduce among the economic blocs, suggesting that market integration, in the perspective of REITs, is not well-achieved under established economic groupings. We believe these findings are significant for the recalibration of the international REIT market as it resets itself from the uncertainties ushered in by the insurgency of the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings also have relevant implications for the investor community.

本文采用静态和动态计量经济学方法考察了20个国际公共房地产投资信托基金之间的连通性和冲击传导程度。结果表明,美国房地产投资信托基金市场作为国际房地产投资信托基金市场主要冲击来源的主导地位正在与比利时、俄罗斯和法国房地产投资信托基金竞争。我们的研究结果还表明,比利时、德国和法国是欧盟REIT市场冲击的主要来源。新加坡主导着东盟经济共同体REITs;美国在北美自由贸易协定REITs中处于领先地位,而俄罗斯和美国在亚太经济合作组织REIT市场中处于领先地位。动态溢出的结果表明,回报率和波动性溢出很容易受到全球重大新闻(无论是积极的还是消极的)的影响,与油价冲击和地缘政治新闻相比,COVID-19大流行对国际REITs的影响更大。我们进一步发现,总的来说,20个国际房地产投资信托基金是高度联系的,并且它们的联系水平在全球市场不确定性加剧的时期增加。然而,经济集团之间的市场连通性水平降低,这表明在既定的经济集团下,房地产投资信托基金的市场整合并没有很好地实现。我们认为,这些发现对于重新调整国际房地产投资信托基金市场具有重要意义,因为它正在从COVID-19大流行带来的不确定性中重新调整自己。研究结果对投资者群体也有相关的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Dynamic Linkages and Temporal Relationships between Spot and Future Index Prices: Empirical Evidence from India Using Non-linear GARCH–BEKK 修正:现货和未来指数价格之间的动态联系和时间关系:来自印度的非线性GARCH-BEKK的经验证据
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09500-8
Khalid Ul Islam, Umer Mushtaq Lone, Younis Ahmed Gulam, Suhail Ahmad Bhat
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引用次数: 0
Supervision by Distracted Institutional Investors and Majority Shareholder Tunnelling: Causal Evidence from China 分散的机构投资者监管与大股东隧道行为:来自中国的因果证据
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09495-2
Zihui Lin, Chante Jian Ding

The results of the study indicate a positive correlation between the level of distraction of institutional investors and the expropriation behavior of major shareholders. Furthermore, when independent institutional investors with stronger monitoring motives become distracted, they significantly increase the incentive for major shareholders’ expropriation. Companies with stronger external monitoring exhibit a more pronounced effect of increased expropriation by major shareholders when institutional investors are distracted. Finally, the study finds that the internal capital market makes state-owned enterprises more susceptible to major shareholders’ expropriation when institutional investors are distracted compared to private enterprises. In summary, this paper broadens the research on the influence of the “tunneling” motivation of major shareholders, verifies the impact of institutional investors’ limited attention on the capital market, and explores the external governance role of institutional investors.

研究结果表明,机构投资者的分心程度与大股东的侵占行为呈正相关。此外,当具有较强监督动机的独立机构投资者分心时,他们对大股东的侵占激励显著增加。当机构投资者分心时,外部监督较强的公司表现出更明显的大股东侵占效应。最后,研究发现,相对于民营企业,内部资本市场使得国有企业在机构投资者分散的情况下更容易遭受大股东的侵占。综上所述,本文拓宽了对大股东“掘进”动机影响的研究,验证了机构投资者有限关注对资本市场的影响,探索了机构投资者的外部治理作用。
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引用次数: 0
Cracking the Code: Hidden Choices and Visible Impacts Pattern Recognition in Corporate Finance 破解密码:公司财务中的隐性选择与可见影响模式识别
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09487-2
Amjad Ali, Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput

Research in corporate finance suffers from bounded rationality due to static modeling. Adopting factor analysis, an unsupervised machine learning approach, and balance sheet information (accounts) over time, we find underlying dynamic latent corporate finance decisions. Our study identifies three latent corporate finance decisions adopted by executives in Pakistan, (1) long-term capital investment, (2) short-term debt credit, and (3) financial flexibility. The order of the decisions and the empirical tests highlight agency problems rooted in familial ownership concentration. We find that long-term capital investment and short-term debt credit decisions significantly reduce the firms’ present and future performance. Conversely, managers do not embrace financial flexibility, despite its ability to improve performance. The study highlights a contradiction, firms bounded by ownership concentration prefer control over performance and do not make decisions to optimize and protect minority shareholders’ wealth, depicting a moral hazard problem.

由于静态建模,公司财务研究存在有限理性。采用因素分析、无监督机器学习方法和资产负债表信息(账户),我们发现了潜在的动态公司财务决策。我们的研究确定了巴基斯坦高管采用的三种潜在的公司融资决策,(1)长期资本投资,(2)短期债务信用,(3)财务灵活性。决策的顺序和实证检验突出了根植于家族所有权集中的代理问题。我们发现,长期资本投资和短期债务信用决策显著降低了企业的当前和未来绩效。相反,管理者不接受财务灵活性,尽管它能够提高绩效。该研究强调了一个矛盾,受股权集中度限制的公司更倾向于控制业绩,而不是做出优化和保护小股东财富的决策,这描绘了一个道德风险问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
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