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The Indirect Diversification Benefits of Investing in Japanese Firms: An Alternative Perspective 投资日本公司的间接多元化收益:另一种视角
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09448-9
Pearlean Chadha, Jenny Berrill

This paper examines the role of firm-level multinationality in equity portfolio diversification for Japanese firms from 1998 to 2015. We use a unique multinationality dataset for constituents of the Nikkei 225 based on two measures of sales and subsidiaries. We employ an extended version of the traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) to analyse the exposure of firm returns to various geographical regions. There is evidence that firms are not influenced by the geographic regions where they report operations. The results also indicate that there are benefits from investing in Japanese multinationals but these benefits do not increase with increasing multinationality. A new category of firms is identified that may be beneficial to investors—firms that are influenced by a geographical region where they do not report sales or subsidiaries. This finding has far reaching implications for portfolio management. Investors must do more than analyse the international location of firm operations. They must analyse the geographical influences on firm returns. Existing studies fail to distinguish between these two criteria, assuming them to be the same. We find evidence to the contrary.

摘要 本文研究了 1998 年至 2015 年日本公司在股权投资组合多样化中的公司层面跨国性作用。我们使用日经 225 指数成份股的独特跨国性数据集,该数据集基于销售额和子公司这两个指标。我们采用传统资本资产定价模型(CAPM)的扩展版本来分析企业回报在不同地理区域的风险敞口。有证据表明,公司不受其报告业务所在地区的影响。研究结果还表明,投资日本跨国公司会带来收益,但这些收益并不会随着跨国公司数量的增加而增加。研究发现了一类可能对投资者有利的新公司--受地理区域影响而不报告销售或子公司的公司。这一发现对投资组合管理具有深远影响。投资者必须做的不仅仅是分析公司业务的国际位置。他们必须分析地理位置对公司回报的影响。现有研究未能区分这两个标准,认为它们是相同的。我们发现了相反的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Impact of Policy Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risk, and Sustainable Disclosure on Corporate Performance 评估政策不确定性、地缘政治风险和可持续信息披露对公司业绩的影响
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09450-1
Siddhartha Barman, Jitendra Mahakud

This study explores the impact of policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and sustainable disclosure (ESG) on corporate performance for the period 2014–21 across 23 countries. Using the System GMM technique, it uncovers a negative link between policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and corporate performance. Sustainable disclosure mitigates the influence of economic uncertainty and geopolitical risk on firm performance. The results are robust across the various other econometric methods (i.e. fixed effect, random effect and feasible generalized least squares) and alternative proxy used for sustainability disclosure. These findings have implications for policymakers and managers, highlighting the importance of aligning policies with sustainable disclosure practices. This study contributes to the literature by examining these factors on a cross-country scale, potentially among the first of its kind.

本研究探讨了 2014-21 年间 23 个国家的政策不确定性、地缘政治风险和可持续信息披露(ESG)对企业绩效的影响。利用系统 GMM 技术,研究发现了政策不确定性、地缘政治风险和公司业绩之间的负向联系。可持续信息披露减轻了经济不确定性和地缘政治风险对公司业绩的影响。在使用其他各种计量经济学方法(即固定效应、随机效应和可行的广义最小二乘法)和可持续发展信息披露的替代变量时,结果都是稳健的。这些研究结果对政策制定者和管理者具有启示意义,强调了政策与可持续信息披露实践相一致的重要性。本研究通过在跨国范围内研究这些因素,为相关文献做出了贡献,可能是同类研究中的首例。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Freedom, Ownership Structure, and SME Financial Fragility: Evidence from an Emerging Economy 经济自由度、所有权结构和中小企业财务脆弱性:来自新兴经济体的证据
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-023-09438-3
Anh-Tuan Doan

This paper examines the impact of economic freedom on the financial fragility of 1,496 non-financial SMEs in Vietnam over the period 2012–2020. We also evaluate the effect of ownership structure on the relationship between economic freedom and financial fragility. Our findings provide evidence that an increase in the degree of aggregated economic freedom and its categories – rule of law, regulatory efficiency, and market openness – help firms reduce the level of financial fragility. However, an increased government size tends to worsen their financial risk. Regarding the impact of ownership, our results reveal that greater rule of law, regulatory efficiency, and market openness have a positive influence on foreign-owned firms, enabling them to maintain lower levels of financial fragility compared to non-foreign-owned firms. However, foreign-owned firms experience a higher level of financial fragility relative to domestically private-owned firms due to increased government size. Furthermore, our analysis indicates that there is no difference in the effect of economic freedom on financial fragility between state-owned and non-state-owned firms in Vietnam. This finding has implications for recognizing the importance of foreign ownership and economic freedom in emerging markets. It also encourages foreign shareholders to design appropriate policies to mitigate financial risk.

本文研究了 2012-2020 年间经济自由度对越南 1496 家非金融中小型企业财务脆弱性的影响。我们还评估了所有权结构对经济自由与财务脆弱性之间关系的影响。我们的研究结果证明,总体经济自由度及其类别(法治、监管效率和市场开放度)的提高有助于企业降低财务脆弱性水平。然而,政府规模的扩大往往会加剧企业的金融风险。关于所有制的影响,我们的研究结果显示,法治、监管效率和市场开放度的提高对外资企业有积极影响,使其与非外资企业相比保持较低的财务脆弱性水平。然而,由于政府规模的扩大,外资企业的金融脆弱性水平要高于国内私营企业。此外,我们的分析表明,经济自由度对越南国有企业和非国有企业财务脆弱性的影响没有差异。这一发现对于认识新兴市场中外资所有权和经济自由的重要性具有重要意义。它还鼓励外国股东制定适当的政策来降低金融风险。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinear Relationship Between Investor Sentiment and Conditional Volatility in Emerging Equity Markets 新兴股票市场投资者情绪与条件波动之间的非线性关系
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09449-8
Rameeza Andleeb, Arshad Hassan

The present study aims to identify the non-linear relationship of bullish and bearish investor sentiment with conditional volatility. It is conducted in emerging equity markets of Brazil, India, Pakistan, Russia, Indonesia, South Africa, and China. The data regarding share prices, shares outstanding, and trading volume is collected from the representative indices for a period from 2001 to 2020. Investor Sentiment Index is constructed using Principal Component Analysis and decomposed into bullish and bearish investor sentiment. The GARCH model is applied to generate conditional volatility and the Non-linear Auto Regressive Moving Average model is applied to analyze the asymmetric relationship between conditional volatility and investor sentiment at the country level. The Panel GARCH model is applied to generate conditional volatility for panel data, and the Non-linear Dynamic Auto Regressive Moving Average model is applied to investigate the nonlinear relation of investor sentiment with volatility. Bullish and bearish investor sentiments show a significant effect in generating conditional volatility in the markets in both linear as well as nonlinear settings.

本研究的目的是确定投资者看涨和看跌情绪与条件波动的非线性关系。它是在巴西、印度、巴基斯坦、俄罗斯、印度尼西亚、南非和中国的新兴股票市场进行的。有关股价、流通股和交易量的数据是从2001年至2020年的代表性指数中收集的。利用主成分分析法构建投资者情绪指数,并将其分解为看涨和看跌投资者情绪。采用GARCH模型生成条件波动率,采用非线性自回归移动平均模型分析国家层面条件波动率与投资者情绪之间的不对称关系。采用面板GARCH模型生成面板数据的条件波动率,采用非线性动态自回归移动平均模型研究投资者情绪与波动率的非线性关系。看涨和看跌的投资者情绪在线性和非线性环境下对市场产生条件波动都有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Asymmetric Interaction Between Oil Price Change and Stock Returns of the Renewable Energy Companies in India: A Panel NARDL Approach 油价变化与印度可再生能源公司股票回报之间的不对称互动:面板 NARDL 方法
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09447-w
Lalatendu Mishra, Rajesh H. Acharya

This study aims to investigate the oil price asymmetric effect on stock return of renewable energy companies. We apply panel Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag to examine the effect of positive and negative changes in the oil price. The monthly data of all renewable energy companies listed in the National Stock Exchange of India are considered for the analysis. We find the oil price asymmetric effect only on stock returns of the standalone renewable products and services companies in the long run. This asymmetric effect is not found in the whole sample and other sub-groups of renewable energy companies. The findings would be useful to investors, portfolio managers, corporate managers and policymakers.

本研究旨在探讨石油价格对可再生能源公司股票回报率的非对称影响。我们采用面板非线性自回归分布滞后检验油价正负变化的影响。分析考虑了在印度国家证券交易所上市的所有可再生能源公司的月度数据。我们发现,从长期来看,油价只对独立的可再生产品和服务公司的股票收益产生非对称效应。这种非对称效应在整个样本和其他可再生能源公司分组中都没有发现。这些发现对投资者、投资组合经理、企业管理者和政策制定者都有帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Can Corporate Governance and Sustainability Policies Drive CSR Performance? An Empirical Study 公司治理和可持续发展政策能否推动企业社会责任绩效?实证研究
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-024-09446-x
Ankita Nandi, Nidhi Agarwala, Tarak Nath Sahu

This study investigates how board and audit committee characteristics, alongside sustainable policies, influence corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance (Total ESG Score). We also evaluate their individual effects on environmental, social, and governance ratings. Our research focuses on non-financial firms in India’s Nifty 500 index. We employ panel data analysis, utilising information sourced from annual reports and Bloomberg. The research outcomes state that, CSR performance is positively impacted by board size as well as the implementation of social and environmental policies. Larger and more independent audit committees, on the contrary, appear to have a negative impact on CSR outcomes. Surprisingly, CSR success did not significantly correlate with either gender’s diversity or independence of the board.

本研究探讨了董事会和审计委员会的特征以及可持续政策如何影响企业社会责任(CSR)绩效(ESG 总分)。我们还评估了它们各自对环境、社会和治理评级的影响。我们的研究重点是印度 Nifty 500 指数中的非金融企业。我们采用面板数据分析,信息来源于年度报告和彭博社。研究结果表明,企业社会责任绩效受到董事会规模以及社会和环境政策执行情况的积极影响。相反,规模更大、独立性更强的审计委员会似乎对企业社会责任结果有负面影响。令人惊讶的是,企业社会责任的成功与董事会的性别多样性或独立性并无明显关联。
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引用次数: 0
Does Innovation Relieve Corporate Financial Distress? 创新能否缓解企业的财务困境?
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-023-09445-4
Keming Li

This paper examines whether innovation ability improves corporate performance of financially distressed firms. I begin by providing direct evidence that innovative firms in financial distress have significantly better future operating performance. To identify the causal effect, I study an exogenous shock—State Street Bank and Trust Company v. Signature Financial Group, Inc.—and find that an increase in innovation ability causes an improvement in future performance of distressed firms. Financial markets tend to pay more attention to innovative distressed firms, but these firms do not earn abnormal equity returns than their counterparts. I document that average investors hold pessimistic perspectives on distressed firms with innovation ability. In contrast, institutional investors have contrarian beliefs on distressed firms with innovation ability and hold more shares in these firms.

本文探讨了创新能力是否能提高陷入财务困境的公司的企业绩效。首先,我提供了直接证据,证明陷入财务困境的创新型企业的未来经营业绩明显更好。为了确定因果效应,我研究了一个外生冲击--State Street Bank and Trust Company 诉 Signature Financial Group, Inc.金融市场倾向于更多地关注创新型受困企业,但这些企业并没有比同类企业获得异常的股票回报。我的研究表明,普通投资者对具有创新能力的困境企业持悲观态度。与此相反,机构投资者对具有创新能力的困境企业持逆向思维,并持有这些企业更多的股份。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Real Exchange Rate in India’s Service Export: Do Remittances Inflows Matter in Post Liberalization-Era? 实际汇率在印度服务出口中的作用:汇款流入在后自由化时代是否重要?
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-023-09444-5
Shreya Pal, Mantu Kumar Mahalik

This study assesses the effects of real exchange rate and remittance inflows on India's total service exports, comprising traditional and modern service exports, spanning the annual data from 1990 to 2020. The control variables for the service export function include developments in the banking sector and the stock market and net inflows of foreign direct investment. The ARDL model is the estimating technique of the present study. The real exchange rate has an adverse effect on total, traditional, and modern service exports, according to the long-run outcomes of the ARDL model. Remittance inflows are interestingly shown to support modern service exports while impeding total and traditional service exports. The growth of the banking sector is beneficial for traditional and total service exports, but it has a negative impact on modern service exports. All service exports are benefited by stock market development; however, net FDI inflows negatively impact all forms of service exports. Based on these results, the policymakers in India are advised to maximize the effective utilization of remittance inflows in traditional service exports. Additionally, proactive intervention by the central bank is recommended to mitigate the adverse effects of the real exchange rate on traditional and modern service exports. This study also provides valuable insights for the policymakers and practitioners seeking to enhance India's service export performance while navigating the complexities of real exchange rates, remittance inflows, and financial factors.

本研究评估了实际汇率和汇款流入对印度服务出口总额(包括传统和现代服务出口)的影响,年度数据跨度为 1990 年至 2020 年。服务出口函数的控制变量包括银行业和股票市场的发展以及外国直接投资的净流入。本研究采用 ARDL 模型进行估计。根据 ARDL 模型的长期结果,实际汇率对总出口、传统出口和现代服务出口都有不利影响。有趣的是,汇款流入支持了现代服务出口,同时阻碍了服务出口总额和传统服务出口。银行业的增长有利于传统服务出口和总体服务出口,但对现代服务出口有负面影响。股票市场的发展有利于所有服务出口;然而,外国直接投资净流入对所有形式的服务出口都有负面影响。基于这些结果,建议印度的政策制定者在传统服务出口中最大限度地有效利用汇款流入。此外,建议中央银行进行积极干预,以减轻实际汇率对传统和现代服务出口的不利影响。本研究还为决策者和从业人员提供了宝贵的见解,帮助他们在驾驭实际汇率、汇款流入和金融因素的复杂性的同时,提高印度的服务出口绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Spillover Effect of Green Bond with Metal and Bullion Market 绿色债券对金属和金银市场的溢出效应
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-023-09443-6
Kajal Panwar, Miklesh Prasad Yadav, Neha Puri

This paper examines the spillover of green bond with metal market and bullion market using the daily observation from 16/06/2014 to 25/02/2022. The S&P Green Bond (GBD) is used to measure the Green bond while Copper (CPR) and Aluminium (ALM) are used to represent the metal market; the bullion market is measured by Silver (SLV) and Gold (GLD). The result reveals that there is spillover from Green bond to Aluminium, Silver and Gold both in the short run and long while the spillover of Green bond with Copper is only spotted in long run. It furnishes diversification opportunities considering Green bond and Copper in short run due to its absence of spillover. This study offers an implication to various stakeholder of the metal and bullion market.

本文利用 2014 年 6 月 16 日至 2022 年 2 月 25 日的每日观测数据,研究绿色债券与金属市场和金银市场的溢出效应。本文用 S&P 绿色债券(GBD)来衡量绿色债券,用铜(CPR)和铝(ALM)来代表金属市场;用白银(SLV)和黄金(GLD)来衡量金银市场。结果表明,绿色债券在短期和长期内对铝、白银和黄金都有溢出效应,而绿色债券对铜的溢出效应只在长期内出现。由于缺乏溢出效应,短期内考虑绿色债券和铜可提供多样化机会。本研究为金属和金银市场的各利益相关者提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
The Impacts of Policy Uncertainty on Asset Prices: Evidence from China’s Market 政策不确定性对资产价格的影响:来自中国市场的证据
IF 2.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10690-023-09442-7
Yunpeng Su, Jia Li, Baochen Yang, Yunbi An

We employ the "Two Sessions," comprising the National People’s Congress and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, as a proxy for measuring policy uncertainty. In our analysis, we utilize a regression model, the three-path mediated effect framework, and the Campbell and Shiller decomposition method to delve into the influence of policy uncertainty on asset pricing within China’s financial market. Our findings reveal an increase in stock returns during the months leading up to the "Two Sessions," evident at both the market and firm levels. Notably, the extent to which stock returns respond to policy uncertainty is contingent on various firm-specific characteristics, including ownership structure, company size, and profitability. Furthermore, our investigation confirms that investor sentiment serves as a complete mediator in the relationship between policy uncertainty and its impact on asset prices. Additionally, we identify future cash flow as the primary conduit through which policy uncertainty directly exerts its influence on asset prices.

我们采用由全国人民代表大会和中国人民政治协商会议组成的 "两会 "作为衡量政策不确定性的代表。在分析中,我们利用回归模型、三路径中介效应框架以及坎贝尔和席勒分解法来深入研究政策不确定性对中国金融市场资产定价的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在 "两会 "召开前的几个月中,股票回报率上升,这在市场和公司层面都很明显。值得注意的是,股票回报率对政策不确定性的反应程度取决于企业的各种具体特征,包括所有权结构、公司规模和盈利能力。此外,我们的调查证实,在政策不确定性及其对资产价格的影响之间,投资者情绪是一个完整的中介。此外,我们还发现未来现金流是政策不确定性直接影响资产价格的主要渠道。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
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