Economic Analysis and Policy最新文献

英文中文

Financial fraud and corporate financing capacity: The moderating effect of institutional environment and economic policy uncertainty 财务舞弊与企业融资能力：制度环境和经济政策不确定性的调节作用

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.019

Xiaoqi Ma , Tianze Ma

Corporate financing constraints remain a significant challenge, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises. While financial fraud is common, its impact on financing behavior is underexplored. Existing research primarily focuses on its negative effects, with little attention given to whether it might alleviate financing constraints or how this relationship varies across different institutional and policy contexts. Using panel data from A-share listed companies between 2009 and 2023, this study finds that financial fraud significantly reduces financing constraints, with the strongest effect observed in firms facing lower constraints. However, as financing constraints increase, the effect weakens, revealing a nonlinear pattern. Institutional environments, particularly regulatory pressures, play a key moderating role, as stronger compliance and regulatory environments reduce the alleviating effect of financial fraud. In addition, economic policy uncertainty dampens this relationship, while heightened political economic uncertainty tends to strengthen it, suggesting that different forms of macro-level uncertainty influence corporate financing behavior in distinct ways. These findings shed light on the complex role of financial fraud in corporate financing, offering valuable policy implications for balancing regulatory oversight with the financing needs of firms across varied institutional settings.

公司融资限制仍然是一个重大挑战，特别是对中小型企业而言。虽然财务欺诈很常见，但其对融资行为的影响尚未得到充分探讨。现有的研究主要集中在其负面影响上，很少注意到它是否可能缓解融资限制，或者这种关系在不同的制度和政策背景下如何变化。利用2009年至2023年a股上市公司的面板数据，本研究发现财务欺诈显著降低了融资约束，在约束较低的公司中效果最强。但随着融资约束的增加，融资约束效应减弱，呈现非线性模式。制度环境，特别是监管压力，发挥了关键的调节作用，因为更强的合规和监管环境可以减少金融欺诈的缓解作用。此外，经济政策的不确定性抑制了这种关系，而政治经济不确定性的加剧往往会加强这种关系，这表明不同形式的宏观层面的不确定性以不同的方式影响企业融资行为。这些发现揭示了金融欺诈在企业融资中的复杂作用，为平衡监管监督与不同制度背景下企业的融资需求提供了有价值的政策启示。

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引用次数: 0

Does urban renewal help reduce carbon emissions? Empirical evidence from Chinese cities 城市更新有助于减少碳排放吗？来自中国城市的经验证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.017

Chao Shi , Ning Xu , Zongling Niu

This study employs China's ongoing urban old residential community renovation pilot policy (UORCRPP) as a quasi-natural experiment. Based on panel data from 283 Chinese cities, we apply a difference-in-differences (DID) model to analyze the impact of urban renewal (UR) on urban carbon emissions (UCE) and its transmission mechanisms. The findings reveal that: (1) UR significantly reduces UCE. (2) UR reduces UCE through four transmission mechanisms: infrastructure construction, productive service industry development, resource factor allocation, and economic agglomeration. (3) UR demonstrates stronger carbon reduction effects in central and western cities, southern cities, small and medium-sized cities, non-resource-based cities, non-low-carbon pilot cities, non-new-type urbanization pilot cities, and non-innovation pilot cities. (4) UR generates significant negative spatial spillover effects on UCE in surrounding areas, with maximum negative spatial spillover occurring at a distance of 200 kilometers.

本研究采用中国正在进行的城市旧住宅社区改造试点政策（UORCRPP）作为准自然实验。本文基于283个中国城市的面板数据，运用差分中的差分（DID）模型分析了城市更新对城市碳排放的影响及其传导机制。结果表明：(1)UR显著降低了UCE。(2) UR通过基础设施建设、生产性服务业发展、资源要素配置和经济集聚四种传导机制降低UCE。③华中地区城市、南方城市、中小城市、非资源型城市、非低碳试点城市、非新型城镇化试点城市和非创新型试点城市的碳减排效果较强。(4)城市生态环境对周边区域的城市生态环境产生了显著的负空间溢出效应，负空间溢出效应在200 km范围内最大。

引用次数: 0

Mobility and monopsony power in labor market: Evidence from China's hukou reform 劳动力市场的流动性与垄断权：来自中国户籍改革的证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.016

Ningning Li , Hongqi Shi , Yongjin Wang , Jie Zhang

This paper investigates the impact of labor mobility on monopsony power exercised by micro-firms against workers. We estimate firm-specific wage markdown, departure of wage from marginal revenue product of labor (MRPL), from China’s disaggregate production dataset for the measurement of monopsony power. We employ a difference-in-difference estimation strategy to infer the causal relationship by using the non-uniform implementation of China’s hukou reform as an exogenous shock. The empirical results show that hukou system reform could widen wage markdowns, indicating the relaxation in internal migration restriction allow micro-firms to exert higher monopsony power. The positive impact of hukou reform on MRPL dominates the causality relationship. Our counterfactual experiment by eliminating the positive impact of hukou reform on monopsony power indicates the hukou reform accelerate the declining trend of China’s aggregate labor share.

本文研究了劳动力流动对微型企业对工人行使垄断权力的影响。我们从中国的分类生产数据中估计了企业特定的工资降价，工资偏离劳动边际收入产品（MRPL），用于衡量垄断力。本文采用差中差估计策略，将中国户籍改革的不统一实施作为外生冲击来推断因果关系。实证结果表明，户籍制度改革可以扩大工资降价幅度，表明放宽内部流动限制允许微型企业发挥更高的垄断力量。户籍改革对MRPL的正向影响主导因果关系。我们通过消除户籍改革对垄断力的积极影响的反事实实验表明，户籍改革加速了中国总劳动份额的下降趋势。

引用次数: 0

Industry regulation and firm innovation: Evidence from national centralized drug procurement policy in China 行业监管与企业创新：来自中国国家药品集中采购政策的证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.013

Siyu Zhang , Yuexin Huang , Danglun Luo

Promoting innovation in pharmaceutical manufacturing is crucial for national health. This study investigates the impact of industry regulations on firm innovation by analyzing China's national centralized drug procurement (NCDP) policy. The findings indicate that the regulatory reform has effectively stimulated innovation among pharmaceutical enterprises, particularly non-state-owned ones, which lack political connections, are relatively small in scale, and operate in challenging market environments. The reform exerts its influence by changing product market competition patterns, including altering competition strategies, and intensifying competitive pressures. This study provides empirical evidence supporting the efficacy of industry regulations and offers insights for fostering innovation and development in pharmaceutical enterprises through the lens of market competition.

促进药品生产创新是国民健康的关键。本文通过对中国国家药品集中采购政策的分析，探讨行业监管对企业创新的影响。研究结果表明，监管改革有效地激发了医药企业的创新，特别是非国有医药企业，这些企业缺乏政治联系，规模相对较小，在充满挑战的市场环境中经营。改革通过改变产品的市场竞争格局，包括改变竞争策略，加剧竞争压力来产生影响。本研究为行业监管的有效性提供了实证支持，并从市场竞争的角度为促进医药企业创新发展提供了启示。

引用次数: 0

The paradox of occupational prestige and the indignity of labor: Understanding voluntary unemployment 职业声望与劳动尊严的矛盾：理解自愿失业

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.009

Baisakhi Marjit , Sugata Marjit , Kausik Gupta , Saibal Kar

Occupational prestige or job status may lead individuals to remain unemployed even when jobs are available. In societies where employment is closely tied with accumulated family wealth, it can increase the opportunity cost of accepting lower-status jobs. In developing countries, the problem of labor shortage is due to ‘indignity of labor’ for some specific jobs. This paper argues that what is typically classified as involuntary unemployment, may in fact, contain a voluntary component. The paper shows that with uniform distribution of demand across occupations, voluntary unemployment is likely to emerge for jobs with very low occupational prestige. However, for jobs with very high prestige excess demand is likely to emerge due to shortage of high skills. We show that an increased supply of labor will not clear the market when social concerns over job status and dependence on family wealth persist.

职业声望或工作地位可能导致个人即使在有工作机会的时候仍然失业。在就业与累积的家庭财富密切相关的社会中，接受地位较低的工作可能会增加机会成本。在发展中国家，劳动力短缺的问题是由于某些特定工作的“劳动侮辱”。本文认为，通常被归类为非自愿失业的东西，实际上可能包含自愿的成分。本文表明，在需求均匀分布的情况下，职业声望非常低的工作很可能出现自愿失业。然而，对于声望很高的工作，由于缺乏高技能，可能会出现需求过剩。我们表明，当社会对就业状况的担忧和对家庭财富的依赖持续存在时，劳动力供应的增加不会清理市场。

引用次数: 0

Does local government debt management promote corporate total factor productivity? Evidence from China 地方政府债务管理是否提高了企业全要素生产率？来自中国的证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.010

Dan Wang , Deng-Kui Si , Chunming Shen

This paper investigates the impact of China's local government debt management (LGDM) reform on corporate total factor productivity (TFP). Exploiting the reform as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that local government debt management significantly enhances corporate TFP. We explore the underlying mechanisms and provide evidence that the reform operated primarily by alleviating firms' financing constraints, increasing firms’ risk-taking, and improving capital allocation efficiency. Furthermore, the above effect is more pronounced among firms in regions with low fiscal pressure and low banking competition, and in more competitive industries. Our findings have important policy implications for mitigating financial risks and stimulating market vitality, thereby facilitating high-quality development of the real economy.

本文研究了中国地方政府债务管理改革对企业全要素生产率的影响。将改革作为准自然实验，我们发现地方政府债务管理显著提高了企业全要素生产率。我们探索了潜在的机制，并提供证据表明，改革的主要作用是缓解企业的融资约束，增加企业的风险承担，提高资本配置效率。此外，上述效应在财政压力较小、银行竞争程度较低的地区和竞争程度较高的行业中更为明显。研究结果对缓解金融风险、激发市场活力、促进实体经济高质量发展具有重要的政策指导意义。

引用次数: 0

Information spillover effects of corporate digital transformation 企业数字化转型的信息溢出效应

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.011

Ting Wang , Jiangyuan Wang

This paper investigates the information spillover effects of corporate digital transformation (CDT) from the perspective of analysts’ earnings forecast accuracy, drawing on data from Chinese listed firms. We find that CDT significantly improves forecast accuracy and reduces forecast dispersion, confirming the presence of positive information externalities. Mechanism analyses indicate that these spillovers operate through enhanced management disclosure and intensified analyst information search. Furthermore, the effects are most pronounced among firms with high agency costs, high risk, and high complexity, highlighting the role of digitalization in mitigating severe information frictions. Our study contributes to the economics of information by documenting how corporate digitalization generates knowledge spillovers that enhance market efficiency. The findings provide a microeconomic rationale for targeted public policies that incentivize digital transformation in sectors where information asymmetries are most detrimental to resource allocation.

本文利用中国上市公司的数据，从分析师盈利预测准确性的角度，对企业数字化转型的信息溢出效应进行了研究。我们发现CDT显著提高了预测精度，减少了预测离散度，证实了正信息外部性的存在。机制分析表明，这些溢出效应是通过加强管理层披露和加强分析师信息搜索来实现的。此外，这种效应在代理成本高、风险高、复杂性高的企业中最为明显，凸显了数字化在缓解严重信息摩擦方面的作用。我们的研究通过记录企业数字化如何产生提高市场效率的知识溢出，为信息经济学做出了贡献。研究结果为有针对性的公共政策提供了微观经济学依据，这些政策可以激励信息不对称对资源配置最不利的部门进行数字化转型。

引用次数: 0

Mandatory industry disclosure and corporate tax avoidance: Evidence from Chinese listed firms 行业强制披露与企业避税：来自中国上市公司的证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.008

Limin Zhang , Yu Gu , Ying Yu , Lu Pan

Corporate tax avoidance undermines public finances and is widely deemed unethical, raising the question of whether greater corporate transparency can mitigate it. We investigate whether a Chinese stock exchange mandate for industry-specific disclosures can serve as an effective policy tool to curb corporate tax avoidance. Using panel data on Chinese A-share firms from 2007 to 2019 and a difference-in-differences design, we find that firms subject to the disclosure requirement experienced a significant decline in tax avoidance. We attribute this reduction to enhanced transparency and oversight, which heighten detection risk and increase the costs of aggressive tax planning. Consistent with this mechanism, the deterrent effect is most pronounced among firms with weaker external monitoring. Overall, our findings highlight regulatory disclosure as an effective governance tool, offering practical insights for policymakers seeking to strengthen corporate transparency and reduce tax avoidance.

企业避税破坏了公共财政，并被普遍认为是不道德的，这引发了一个问题：提高企业透明度能否缓解这种情况。我们研究了中国证券交易所对特定行业信息披露的强制要求是否可以作为遏制企业避税的有效政策工具。利用2007 - 2019年中国a股公司的面板数据和差异中的差异设计，我们发现受披露要求约束的公司避税率显著下降。我们将这种减少归因于提高透明度和监督，这增加了发现风险并增加了激进税收规划的成本。与这一机制相一致的是，威慑效应在外部监督较弱的企业中最为明显。总体而言，我们的研究结果强调了监管披露是一种有效的治理工具，为寻求加强公司透明度和减少避税的政策制定者提供了实用的见解。

引用次数: 0

The impact of place-based policy on agricultural green total factor productivity: Evidence from China 基于地政策对农业绿色全要素生产率的影响：来自中国的证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.007

Di Wu , Yuxiang Bao , Huizong Wang , Fengbing Zhang

China’s smallholder agriculture boosts output but has led to severe rural ecological degradation, constraining agricultural green total factor productivity (AGTFP). While place-based policies such as the National Modern Agricultural Demonstration Zones (NMADZs) have been introduced to address this challenge, their impact and underlying mechanisms on AGTFP remain insufficiently understood and lack rigorous causal evidence. Using a time-varying difference-in-differences (DID) model on prefecture-level panel data from 2006 to 2020, this study finds that the establishment of NMADZs significantly increased AGTFP by 7.1 %. This improvement is primarily driven by technological progress, large-scale operations, and industrial agglomeration in agriculture. The effects are more pronounced in less-developed and non-major grain-producing regions, highlighting the importance of tailored policy implementation. Moreover, synergistic investments in infrastructure and green finance further amplify the positive impacts of the policy. Overall, the findings underscore the effectiveness of place-based interventions in promoting a green and scale-oriented agricultural transition and emphasize the need for complementary supportive measures to maximize their benefits.

中国的小农农业虽然提高了产量，但也导致了严重的农村生态退化，制约了农业绿色全要素生产率。虽然已经引入了诸如国家现代农业示范区（NMADZs）等基于地方的政策来应对这一挑战，但它们对AGTFP的影响和潜在机制仍然缺乏充分的了解，并且缺乏严格的因果证据。利用2006 - 2020年地级面板数据的时变差分差分（DID）模型，研究发现nmadz的建立使AGTFP显著提高了7.1%。这主要得益于技术进步、规模经营和农业产业集聚。这种影响在欠发达地区和非粮食主产区更为明显，凸显了因地制宜实施政策的重要性。此外，基础设施和绿色金融领域的协同投资进一步放大了政策的积极影响。总体而言，研究结果强调了基于地点的干预措施在促进绿色和以规模为导向的农业转型方面的有效性，并强调需要采取补充性支持措施以最大限度地发挥其效益。

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引用次数: 0

Does host language proficiency among immigrants reduce energy poverty? Evidence from Australia 移民的母语熟练程度是否能减少能源贫困？来自澳大利亚的证据

IF 8.7 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Economic Analysis and Policy

Pub Date : 2025-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2025.12.005

Santiago Budría , Carlos Martínez de Ibarreta , Alejandro Betancourt-Odio

Reducing energy poverty is a critical priority for policymakers in both developed and developing nations. Immigrants are often considered a high-risk group due to their heightened vulnerability. While host language proficiency has the potential to mitigate energy poverty among immigrants by enhancing economic integration and facilitating access to essential information and services, its role remains largely unexplored. Using Australian data and addressing endogeneity concerns through a two-stage least-squares (2SLS) approach, this paper provides the first empirical evidence on the causal relationship between host language proficiency and energy poverty among immigrants. The results show that proficiency in the host language reduces the likelihood of experiencing multidimensional energy poverty by approximately 18.8 percentage points. This effect is partly driven by better access to social assistance, higher income and, to a lesser extent, stronger social capital among proficient immigrants. The findings underscore the importance of language skills in shaping energy poverty and highlight the need for language education to reduce economic disparities among immigrant populations.

减少能源贫困是发达国家和发展中国家决策者的一个关键优先事项。移民往往被认为是高风险群体，因为他们的脆弱性更高。虽然精通东道国语言有可能通过加强经济一体化和便利获得基本信息和服务来减轻移民的能源贫困，但其作用在很大程度上仍未得到探索。本文利用澳大利亚的数据，通过两阶段最小二乘（2SLS）方法解决内生性问题，首次提供了东道国语言熟练程度与移民能源贫困之间因果关系的经验证据。结果表明，熟练掌握东道国语言可将经历多维能源贫困的可能性降低约18.8个百分点。这种效应的部分原因是熟练移民获得社会援助的机会更大、收入更高，以及在较小程度上更强的社会资本。研究结果强调了语言技能在形成能源贫困方面的重要性，并强调了语言教育的必要性，以减少移民人口之间的经济差距。

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