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Dynamics of rainfall, discharge, suspended sediment and micropollutant transport in the Moselle River, Central Europe 中欧摩泽尔河降雨、流量、悬浮泥沙和微污染物运移的动态
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01243-1
Magdalena Uber, Liza-Marie Beckers, Simon Terweh, Peer Helmke, Thomas Hoffmann

Background

Heavy rainfall causes not only high water levels and discharge but can also lead to the mobilization of sediments and pollutants to rivers. In contrast, droughts with low discharge can impair water quality due to minimized dilution. Both extremes—heavy rainfall as well as droughts—are aggravating under climate change; thus, it is important to understand the processes as well as the meteorological and hydrological preconditions that lead to elevated concentrations of sediments and pollutants. This study aimed at identifying event types that cause high discharges, and increased concentrations in suspended sediment and changing pollutant concentrations in a large river. We use a long-term (2010–2022) data set of high-resolution precipitation, discharge, suspended sediment concentrations as well as 14-day composite sample concentrations of six organic micropollutants (OMPs) in the central European Moselle River.

Results

By means of principal component analysis and cluster analysis, we identified typical as well as atypical events with high suspended sediment concentrations. The cluster analysis clearly identified a cluster of high-magnitude events with high discharge, precipitation amounts and high suspended sediment concentrations, which mainly occurred in winter. However, single atypical high-magnitude events such as the one associated with the July 2021 floodings in Western Europe also occurred in summer. For OMPs, the cluster analysis showed less clear results. Yet, general differences in concentrations dynamics related to high discharge regimes were identified for the herbicide metabolite metazachlor ESA and the pharmaceutical carbamazepine.

Conclusions

Our results show that the methodology is a powerful tool for the identification and characterization of high-magnitude suspended sediment transport and discharge events. However, it is limited by data availability for most OMPs. Nonetheless, the data set helped us to identify relevant time periods of high OMP concentrations in line with observations made in smaller catchments or for shorter observation periods.

强降雨不仅会导致高水位和高流量,还会导致沉积物和污染物向河流流动。相比之下,低排放的干旱会由于稀释最小化而损害水质。在气候变化的影响下,暴雨和干旱这两种极端现象正在加剧;因此,了解导致沉积物和污染物浓度升高的过程以及气象和水文先决条件是很重要的。本研究旨在确定导致高排放、悬浮沉积物浓度增加和大河污染物浓度变化的事件类型。我们使用了中欧摩泽尔河的长期(2010-2022)高分辨率降水、流量、悬浮沉积物浓度以及14天内六种有机微污染物(OMPs)的复合样品浓度数据集。结果通过主成分分析和聚类分析,确定了高悬浮物浓度的典型和非典型事件。聚类分析明确了一个流量大、降水量大、悬沙浓度高的高震级事件聚类,主要发生在冬季。然而,单一的非典型高震级事件,如与2021年7月西欧洪水有关的事件,也发生在夏季。对于omp,聚类分析显示的结果不太明确。然而,除草剂代谢物metazachlor ESA和药物卡马西平在高排放制度相关的浓度动态方面存在普遍差异。结论该方法是鉴别和表征高强度悬沙输沙事件的有力工具。然而,对于大多数omp来说,它受到数据可用性的限制。尽管如此,该数据集帮助我们根据在较小的集水区或较短的观察期进行的观测,确定了高OMP浓度的相关时间段。
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引用次数: 0
Including persistence and mobility into the hazard assessment of chemicals in the urban wastewater and for the derivation of environmental quality standards for surface waters 将持久性和流动性纳入城市废水中化学品的危害评估和制定地表水环境质量标准
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01269-5
Katharina Halbach, SueSue-Martina Starke, Maria Vogel, Adolf Eisenträger

This paper discusses the need for regulatory measures to include persistence and mobility of chemicals as hazard criteria to better protect freshwater, groundwater and drinking water. In the EU, the hazard criteria persistence and mobility are, regulatorily speaking, still new. These criteria have been included in environmental hazard classes in Regulation 1272/2008 on classification, labelling and packaging of substances and mixtures in 2023 (Commission Delegated Regulation 2023/707). Even though these substances may not be classified as toxic under existing criteria, their persistence and mobility pose potential hazards to the environment and human health. We show the perspective of the German stakeholder dialogue on trace substances and how chemicals are assessed in this national framework. Persistence and mobility criteria should also be integrated into regulatory approaches, namely the derivation of environmental quality standards for surface water and in the hazardousness definition of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive 2024/3019. To ensure regulatory consistency, we support harmonized criteria as laid down in Regulation 2023/707 for persistent and mobile substances across different legislative frameworks.

本文讨论了监管措施的必要性,将化学品的持久性和流动性纳入危害标准,以更好地保护淡水、地下水和饮用水。在欧盟,从监管角度来说,危险标准的持久性和流动性仍然是新的。这些标准已列入2023年关于物质和混合物分类、标签和包装的第1272/2008号法规(委员会授权第2023/707号法规)的环境危害类别。尽管根据现有标准,这些物质可能不被列为有毒物质,但它们的持久性和流动性对环境和人类健康构成潜在危害。我们展示了德国关于微量物质的利益攸关方对话的观点,以及如何在这一国家框架内评估化学品。持久性和流动性标准也应纳入监管方法,即地表水环境质量标准的推导和城市废水处理指令2024/3019的危害定义。为确保监管一致性,我们支持第2023/707号法规在不同立法框架下为持久性和流动性物质制定的统一标准。
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引用次数: 0
CONTRAST prioritisation tool: filtering and ranking contaminants of emerging concern in the marine environment using hazard-based approaches CONTRAST优先排序工具:使用基于危害的方法对海洋环境中出现的污染物进行过滤和排序
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01257-9
Putu Yolanda Yulikayani, Bavo De Witte, Aasim Ali, Jon Barber, Juan Bellas, Nicolas Briant, Steven Brooks, Are Sæle Bruvold, Megan Anne French, Ketil Hylland, Helen Kaberi, Víctor M. León, Samantha Martins, Aourell Mauffret, Francesca Molinari, Malcolm Reid, Joachim Sturve, Christof Van Poucke, Stig Valdersnes, Christophe Walgraeve, Kristof Demeestere, Aina Charlotte Wennberg

Background

Increasing numbers of chemicals with little-known adverse effects are released into the marine environment. The present study addresses the lack of marine-specific prioritisation schemes by developing a prioritisation tool for organic contaminants. This tool supports decision-making processes regarding which chemicals to study further in terms of their occurrences and biological effects in the marine environment. It was supported by a database containing approximately 1.13 million chemicals, developed within the PikMe project. Criteria for chemical prioritisation were identified by a comprehensive literature review, then selected using the outcomes of a survey among experts. The prioritisation tool consists of filtering chemicals in the PikMe database using three parallel schemes—persistence and bioaccumulation, toxicity, and persistence and mobility characteristics (step 1)—followed by scoring based on modes of action, occurrence, and emission (step 2) and ranking by the final score (step 3).

Results

Around 8000 chemicals were selected by filtering (step 1). The top 100 resulted from step 3 comprises 6PPD as the highest-ranked compound and other chemicals with high diversity of uses, e.g. pharmaceuticals as the predominant category of use, industrial chemicals, personal care products, flame retardants, and plastic additives. These chemicals were ranked in the top 100 due to dominant influence of diverse prioritisation criteria.

Conclusions

Using the hazard-based approach that encompasses different adverse effects that contaminants of emerging concern can exert, the marine-specific prioritisation tool can guide decision-making in monitoring, ecotoxicological studies, and regulations regarding contaminants of emerging concern in the marine environment.

越来越多的具有鲜为人知的不利影响的化学物质被释放到海洋环境中。本研究通过开发有机污染物的优先排序工具来解决缺乏海洋特定优先排序方案的问题。这一工具支持有关进一步研究哪些化学品在海洋环境中的出现和生物影响的决策过程。它得到了一个包含大约113万种化学物质的数据库的支持,该数据库是在PikMe项目中开发的。通过全面的文献回顾确定了化学优先级的标准,然后使用专家调查的结果进行选择。优先排序工具包括使用三个并行方案过滤PikMe数据库中的化学物质-持久性和生物积累,毒性,持久性和流动性特征(步骤1)-然后根据作用模式,发生和排放进行评分(步骤2),并根据最终得分进行排名(步骤3)。结果通过筛选(步骤1)筛选出约8000种化学物质。步骤3产生的前100名包括6PPD(排名最高的化合物)和其他用途多样的化学品,例如药品(主要用途类别)、工业化学品、个人护理产品、阻燃剂和塑料添加剂。这些化学品之所以排在前100名,是因为各种优先标准的主导影响。使用基于危害的方法,包括新出现的关注污染物可能产生的不同不利影响,海洋特定优先级工具可以指导有关海洋环境中新出现的关注污染物的监测,生态毒理学研究和法规的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Importance and challenges of bromate analysis in wastewater: a systematic review 废水中溴酸盐分析的重要性和挑战:系统综述
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01261-z
Carlotta L. E. D. Wilke, Reiner Gschwendtner, Volker Linnemann

The increasing prevalence of anthropogenic trace substances and organic micropollutants in wastewater necessitates advanced treatment stages in wastewater treatment plants (WWTP) to effectively remove these pollutants. Ozonation has proven to be an effective method for this purpose but poses the risk of generating toxic by-products like bromate, especially when treating bromide-containing wastewater at high ozone dosages. Bromate is classified as a possible human carcinogen (IARC Group 2B) and presents both acute and chronic health risks, along with various ecotoxic effects. With the new European Union Urban Wastewater Directive (2024/3019) mandating advanced treatment for micropollutant removal, the occurrence and monitoring of bromate will gain increasing relevance. Although no threshold value for bromate in wastewater has yet been established, the proposed environmental quality standard indicates ongoing regulatory efforts, resulting in the need to monitor bromate concentrations in WWTPs effluents to safeguard public health and the environment. This review systematically examines the toxicological and ecological relevance of bromate and evaluates existing analytical approaches for its detection in wastewater. Methods developed for drinking and surface waters, such as ion chromatography (IC) with conductivity (CD) or post-column reaction and ultraviolet detection (PCR-UV), as well as mass spectrometry (MS)-based techniques, have been applied to wastewater matrices with varying levels of success. Reported quantification limits range from 70 µg/L using IC-CD to as low as 0.1 µg/L using IC-MS/MS. Wastewater presents a significantly more complex matrix than drinking water, introducing interferences from dissolved organic matter, anions, and fluctuating compositions. These challenges reduce accuracy, reliability, and reproducibility of results. However, none of these methods have been standardized by ISO, ASTM, or CEN or validated through interlaboratory trials for wastewater analysis. Among the evaluated methods, IC-PCR-UV as well as IC-MS-based approaches appear most suitable to provide the required sensitivity and robustness. Developing a harmonized methodology tailored to wastewater matrices is essential for regulatory compliance, environmental protection, and safeguarding public health.

随着废水中人为痕量物质和有机微污染物的日益普遍,需要在污水处理厂(WWTP)进行高级处理阶段,以有效去除这些污染物。臭氧化已被证明是实现这一目的的有效方法,但有产生溴酸盐等有毒副产物的风险,特别是在以高臭氧剂量处理含溴化物的废水时。溴酸盐被列为一种可能的人类致癌物(国际癌症研究机构2B组),具有急性和慢性健康风险,以及各种生态毒性作用。随着新的欧盟城市废水指令(2024/3019)要求对微污染物进行深度处理,溴酸盐的出现和监测将变得越来越重要。虽然废水中溴酸盐的阈值尚未确定,但拟议的环境质量标准表明正在进行监管工作,因此需要监测污水处理厂流出物中的溴酸盐浓度,以保障公众健康和环境。这篇综述系统地检查了溴酸盐的毒理学和生态学相关性,并评估了现有的分析方法,以检测废水中的溴酸盐。为饮用水和地表水开发的方法,如电导率离子色谱(IC)或柱后反应和紫外线检测(PCR-UV),以及基于质谱(MS)的技术,已应用于废水基质,并取得了不同程度的成功。报告的定量限范围从使用IC-CD的70 μ g/L到使用IC-MS/MS的0.1 μ g/L。废水呈现出比饮用水更复杂的基质,引入了溶解有机物、阴离子和波动成分的干扰。这些挑战降低了结果的准确性、可靠性和可重复性。然而,这些方法都没有通过ISO、ASTM或CEN的标准化,也没有通过废水分析的实验室间试验进行验证。在评价的方法中,IC-PCR-UV和基于ic - ms的方法似乎最适合提供所需的灵敏度和鲁棒性。制定适合废水基质的统一方法对于遵守法规、保护环境和保障公众健康至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Migration mechanism of groundwater pollutants in industrial parks based on the Yangtze River protection and groundwater vulnerability assessment 基于长江保护和地下水脆弱性评价的工业园区地下水污染物迁移机制
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01245-z
Yu Lu, Yao Zhang, Pengfei Yu, Nuchao Xu, Chuanning Xiao

The contamination of groundwater systems by industrial activities represents a pervasive global issue threatening water quality and safety. This study investigated the hydrogeological characteristics of the chemical park along the Yangtze River, by employing MODFLOW and MT3DMS to construct numerical models for groundwater flow and solute transport; the migration path and spatial extents of representative contaminants [ammonia nitrogen (NH3–N), manganese (Mn), 1,2-dichloroethane, and volatile phenols] were analyzed. The multi-year results indicated that after 20 years, the contaminant extent in the study area was further expanded. Under natural rainfall scenarios, the area of the contaminant plume increased by 88.55–249.38% compared to the initial state, while under heavy rainfall scenarios, the increase ranged from 72.03 to 222.62%. Contaminants migrated with groundwater flow to the Yangtze River coast and Huangmaotan River, with a faster migration rate observed during heavy rainfall scenarios. It is necessary to implement source treatment and pollution control at surface water boundaries to ensure the safety of the Yangtze River water quality. This method can also be used to assess the potential pollution of similar projects along the Yangtze River and aid decision makers and managers.

工业活动对地下水系统的污染是一个普遍存在的全球性问题,威胁着水质和安全。利用MODFLOW和MT3DMS建立了长江沿岸化工园区地下水流动和溶质运移的数值模型,研究了该地区的水文地质特征;分析了代表性污染物[氨氮(NH3-N)、锰(Mn)、1,2-二氯乙烷和挥发性酚]的迁移路径和空间范围。多年分析结果表明,经过20年的发展,研究区污染程度进一步扩大。在自然降雨情景下,污染物羽流面积比初始状态增加了88.55 ~ 249.38%,在强降雨情景下,污染物羽流面积比初始状态增加了72.03 ~ 222.62%。污染物随地下水向长江沿岸和黄茅滩河迁移,在强降雨情景下迁移速度更快。为确保长江水质安全,有必要在地表水边界实施源处理和污染控制。该方法也可用于长江沿岸类似项目的潜在污染评估,为决策者和管理者提供帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of methane emissions on greenhouse gas emissions in selected sub-Saharan African countries: a comprehensive analysis and policy framework for mitigation strategies 甲烷排放对部分撒哈拉以南非洲国家温室气体排放的影响:缓解战略的综合分析和政策框架
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01214-6
Birhanu Chalchisa Werku, Tadesse Weyuma Bulto, Tamiru Chalchisa Geleto

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have a major impact on the environment, human health, and climate change. In addition, methane (CH4) is the second most prevalent greenhouse gas in the world, after carbon dioxide (CO2).This study investigates how methane emissions vary and are distributed throughout Sub-Saharan Africa, with a particular emphasis on how agricultural methods, animal production, waste management, and energy generation interact. The objective is to determine the main causes of methane emissions so that environmental management strategies can be informed. Using data from 85 observations, we evaluated the associations between methane emissions, animal production, fertilizer use, and agricultural land use using pooled OLS, random effects, and fixed effects models. The average methane emissions were 201.8 Mt CO2e, according to the results, with agriculture and livestock production accounting for the largest shares (80.3 Mt CO2e and 246 Mt CO2e, respectively). With 243.7 Mt CO2e, Nigeria was the largest emitter, primarily due to agriculture (50.33%) and substantial animal rearing (index: 106.1). Ethiopia came next with a livestock production index of 106.0 and 101.9 Mt CO2e. Tanzania and Uganda, on the other hand, showed more sustainable practices with lower emissions (38.56 Mt CO2e and 53.27 Mt CO2e, respectively) and livestock indices of 98.8 and 99.8. Furthermore, according to International Energy Agency (IEA) data on worldwide methane emissions, the energy sector which includes bioenergy and abandoned facilities contributes significantly to total emissions, whereas agriculture is responsible for about 137,270.61 kt of emissions. Notably, fugitive emissions from oil and natural gas infrastructure are substantial; by 2024, onshore oil venting is expected to produce 19,180.82 kt of pollutants. These results highlight the need for coordinated approaches that support better waste management, sustainable farming methods, and increased energy efficiency. In order to successfully reduce methane emissions, comprehensive strategies linking various sectors to effectively mitigate methane emissions.

温室气体(GHG)排放对环境、人类健康和气候变化产生重大影响。此外,甲烷(CH4)是世界上第二大温室气体,仅次于二氧化碳(CO2)。本研究调查了整个撒哈拉以南非洲地区甲烷排放的变化和分布情况,特别强调了农业方法、动物生产、废物管理和能源生产如何相互作用。目的是确定甲烷排放的主要原因,以便了解环境管理战略。利用85个观测数据,我们使用汇总OLS、随机效应和固定效应模型评估了甲烷排放、动物生产、肥料使用和农业用地利用之间的关系。结果显示,平均甲烷排放量为20180亿吨二氧化碳当量,其中农业和畜牧业占最大份额(分别为8030万吨和2.46亿吨二氧化碳当量)。尼日利亚是最大的排放国,二氧化碳当量为2.437亿吨,主要是由于农业(50.33%)和大量的动物饲养(指数:106.1)。埃塞俄比亚紧随其后,牲畜生产指数分别为106.0亿吨和101.9亿吨二氧化碳当量。另一方面,坦桑尼亚和乌干达表现出更可持续的做法,排放量较低(分别为3856 Mt CO2e和5327 Mt CO2e),牲畜指数为98.8和99.8。此外,根据国际能源署(IEA)关于全球甲烷排放的数据,包括生物能源和废弃设施在内的能源部门对总排放量的贡献很大,而农业的排放量约为137,270.61万吨。值得注意的是,石油和天然气基础设施的逸散排放是巨大的;到2024年,陆上石油排放预计将产生19,180.82万吨污染物。这些结果突出表明,需要采取协调一致的方法,支持更好的废物管理、可持续的耕作方法和提高能源效率。为了成功地减少甲烷排放,需要采取综合战略,将各个部门联系起来,有效地减少甲烷排放。
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引用次数: 0
Imidacloprid in UK surface waters: trends, sources, and pathways 吡虫啉在英国地表水:趋势、来源和途径
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01236-0
David M. Brown, Gregory O. Hughes, Michael Starp, Nikola Bitsch, Beatrice Valles-Ebeling, Elizabeth Whitworth, Adrian Terry

Imidacloprid is an insecticide used in the UK for plant protection, biocides, and veterinary medicine. Concerns over its potential impact on non-target pollinators such as bees led to a ban in agricultural use in the EU in 2018 and earlier in the UK. It was added to the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD) watch list in 2015, with UK surface water monitoring starting in 2016. An assessment of monitoring data from 2016 to 2023 was conducted following WFD guidelines, using EU environmental quality standards (EQS) proposed for 2027, as no UK EQS has been established. The assessment checked site representativity and imputed missing data in England’s monitoring dataset to improve statistical analysis. Results showed a consistent decline in imidacloprid concentrations in surface water since 2016, aligning with the agricultural ban and tighter restrictions on other uses. Environmental imidacloprid sources include legacy residues in soils, sediments, groundwater, and wastewater treatment emissions. The role of veterinary products and biocides in imidacloprid detections was also explored, though biocide impact assessment was complicated by less stringent usage reporting. Current trends suggest further declines in surface water concentrations due to ongoing restrictions and responsible use programmes. Draft EU legislation aims for compliance with EQS by 2039, which seems achievable in the UK given current trends, though this timeline may not be adopted into UK law. The assessment of surface water monitoring data requires careful consideration and would benefit from more frequent, representative measurements.

Highlights.

  • A systematic evaluation of imidacloprid in surface waters across the UK was conducted.

  • Monitoring indicates a consistent decline of imidacloprid concentrations in surface water since 2016.

  • Sources may include veterinary products, biocides, and legacy residues in soils.

  • More extensive monitoring of imidacloprid would improve understanding of source contributions.

吡虫啉是一种在英国用于植物保护、杀菌剂和兽药的杀虫剂。由于担心其对蜜蜂等非目标传粉媒介的潜在影响,欧盟于2018年禁止农业使用,英国也在早些时候禁止使用。2015年,它被列入欧盟水框架指令(WFD)观察名单,英国从2016年开始监测地表水。根据WFD的指导方针,使用2027年的欧盟环境质量标准(EQS)对2016年至2023年的监测数据进行了评估,因为英国没有建立EQS。该评估检查了站点代表性,并在英格兰监测数据集中输入了缺失数据,以改进统计分析。结果显示,自2016年以来,地表水中的吡虫啉浓度持续下降,与农业禁令和对其他用途的更严格限制相一致。吡虫啉的环境来源包括土壤、沉积物、地下水和废水处理排放物中的遗留残留物。还探讨了兽医产品和杀菌剂在吡虫啉检测中的作用,但由于使用报告不太严格,杀菌剂影响评估变得复杂。目前的趋势表明,由于持续的限制和负责任的使用方案,地表水浓度进一步下降。欧盟立法草案的目标是到2039年符合EQS标准,鉴于目前的趋势,这在英国似乎是可以实现的,尽管这一时间表可能不会被纳入英国法律。地表水监测数据的评估需要仔细考虑,并将受益于更频繁、更有代表性的测量。对英国各地地表水中的吡虫啉进行了系统评估。监测显示,自2016年以来地表水中吡虫啉浓度持续下降。来源可能包括兽药、杀菌剂和土壤中的遗留残留物。对吡虫啉进行更广泛的监测将增进对来源贡献的了解。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing environmental sustainability through fintech, structural transformation, and resource diversification in emerging economies 通过金融科技、结构转型和新兴经济体资源多元化促进环境可持续性
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01209-3
Kingsley I. Okere, Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi, Ismail O. Fasanya, Ogoamaka Lilian Umeajaghaku

The implementation of sustainable ecological practices remains a substantial hurdle for emerging economies. While several studies have evaluated the environmental Kuznets curve, a holistic analysis of the load capacity curve (LCC) hypothesis in emerging seven economies is strikingly lacking. Hence, this study appraises the impact of fintech, structural change, total natural resource rents, and natural resource diversification on environmental quality within the LCC framework in emerging seven economies, comprising China, Russia, India, Mexico, Indonesia, Brazil, and Turkey. This research applied linear (bias-corrected method of moment estimators and panels corrected standard errors) and non-linear models (Method of Moments Quantile Regression) to analyze data from 1990 to 2022. The study validates the LCC hypothesis in these economies. Additionally, the study revealed that natural resource rent reduces environmental quality while natural resource diversification supports environmental stewardship. Fintech and structural change also play significant roles in enhancing ecological resilience in these economies. Finally, the study shows that growth, fintech, structural change, and resource dynamics exert mixed, country-specific impacts on ecological sustainability, highlighting the pivotal role of diversification and institutional quality. Therefore, policymakers should drive low-carbon structural changes, harness fintech for green finance, diversify resource use, and strengthen governance to align growth with ecological sustainability.

可持续生态实践的实施仍然是新兴经济体面临的一个重大障碍。虽然有一些研究已经评估了环境库兹涅茨曲线,但对新兴七大经济体的负荷能力曲线(LCC)假设的整体分析却明显缺乏。因此,本研究评估了金融科技、结构变化、自然资源总租金和自然资源多样化对LCC框架下七个新兴经济体(包括中国、俄罗斯、印度、墨西哥、印度尼西亚、巴西和土耳其)环境质量的影响。本研究采用线性(偏差校正矩估计方法和面板校正标准误差)和非线性模型(矩分位数回归方法)分析1990年至2022年的数据。该研究在这些经济体中验证了LCC假设。此外,研究还发现,自然资源租金降低了环境质量,而自然资源多样化有助于环境管理。金融科技和结构性变革在增强这些经济体的生态韧性方面也发挥着重要作用。最后,研究表明,增长、金融科技、结构变化和资源动态对生态可持续性产生了混合的、具体的国家影响,突出了多样化和制度质量的关键作用。因此,政策制定者应推动低碳结构变革,利用金融科技促进绿色金融,实现资源利用多样化,加强治理,使增长与生态可持续性保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Improving correlation as a measure of similarity of congener patterns through compositional data analysis 通过成分数据分析,提高作为同类模式相似性度量的相关性
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01250-2
René Lehmann, Bodo Vogt

Persistent organic pollutants such as dioxins and furans (PCDD/F), and other contaminant classes are ubiquitously found in the environment. In this context, identifying potential sources of contamination when new hot spots appear presents a significant challenge. Assigning a hot spot to a specific source (e.g., a nearby small combustion plant) can be difficult, especially when multiple possible sources are involved and the pattern of pollutant load at the hot spot cannot be clearly linked to a single source. This may be due to similarities among the congener patterns of the potential sources or a lack of similarity to any of the known source patterns. Statistical methods such as Pearson correlation—although only indicating statistical associations and not causal relationships—between the congener pattern of a potential source and that of the hot spot can be helpful in this regard. We demonstrate through statistical simulations how the correlation-based quantification of statistical similarity can be improved by fundamentally changing the understanding of the data, thereby increasing the power of the correlation test. This methodology can support statistical similarity analysis by using unbiased statistical estimators—unlike traditional correlation analyses of congener profiles.

二恶英和呋喃(PCDD/F)等持久性有机污染物以及其他污染物类别在环境中无处不在。在这种情况下,当新的热点出现时,确定潜在的污染源是一项重大挑战。将一个热点指定给一个特定的来源(例如,附近的一个小型燃烧厂)可能很困难,特别是当涉及多个可能的来源时,热点的污染物负荷模式不能明确地与单一来源联系起来。这可能是由于潜在源的同类模式之间的相似性,或者与任何已知源模式缺乏相似性。在这方面,诸如皮尔逊相关性(Pearson correlation)之类的统计方法——尽管只表明了潜在源的同族模式与热点的同族模式之间的统计关联,而不是因果关系——可能会有所帮助。我们通过统计模拟演示了如何通过从根本上改变对数据的理解来改进基于相关的统计相似性量化,从而提高相关检验的能力。这种方法可以通过使用无偏统计估计量来支持统计相似性分析,而不像传统的同源剖面的相关分析。
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引用次数: 0
Pollutant patterns resulting from rain events in a large river: lessons learned for future monitoring 大河中降雨事件导致的污染物模式:为未来监测吸取的教训
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-025-01213-7
Liza-Marie Beckers, Magdalena Uber, Johanna Noll, Thomas Hoffmann, Arne Wick

Background

With climate change the frequency and intensity of heavy rain events is expected to increase. These events can severely affect river pollution with organic micropollutants (OMPs)—implying adjustments in monitoring efforts. However, data on event-based pollution is still sparse for large rivers. This study aimed to provide an enhanced understanding of event-based emission and pollutant processes in a large river to support future monitoring. Here, daily water samples during rain events and monthly water and suspended particulate matter (SPM) samples were collected over several months in the Moselle River. Samples were analysed by target and non-target screening (NTS).

Results

During a heavy rain and flood event in July 2021, three main pollution patterns were identified in NTS data by cluster analysis reflecting (A) wastewater and immediate surface runoff emissions, (B) increasing groundwater emissions following peak discharge and (C) flood-related emissions. The identity and sources of flood-related features were largely unclear due to few annotations by our spectral library. Structure elucidation of unknown flood-related features let to unambiguous identification of three natural compounds—partially with potential environmental and (eco)toxicological relevance. The importance of the July event was further highlighted by high concentrations and loads of dissolved and particle-bound OMPs—above all pesticides and transformation products—compared to monthly averages. Two main pollution patterns, i.e., wastewater (A) and groundwater (B), were transferable to smaller rain events. While the two pollutant patterns were not directly relatable to precipitation and discharge, pattern-representative OMPs (e.g., benzotriazole and metolachlor ESA) indicated changes in predominant emissions pathways clearly.

Conclusions

Based on NTS and cluster analysis, the study provided comprehensive pollution data and revealed event-based emission processes in a large, regulated river. It was demonstrated that chemical water quality of large rivers can be considerably impaired by heavy rain events—with effects lasting for several weeks. The study highlights the importance to amend future (routine) monitoring by (i) flow-proportional water sampling and higher temporal resolution in SPM sampling to account for effects of high discharge and SPM events, (ii) incorporating structure elucidation efforts of natural compounds and (iii) using pattern-representative OMPs as indicators for pathway contributions.

随着气候变化,预计暴雨事件的频率和强度将增加。这些事件可能严重影响有机微污染物(OMPs)的河流污染,这意味着监测工作需要调整。然而,关于大型河流污染事件的数据仍然很少。本研究旨在增进对大型河流中基于事件的排放和污染物过程的理解,以支持未来的监测。在这里,在几个月的时间里,在摩泽尔河中收集了降雨期间的每日水样和每月的水和悬浮颗粒物(SPM)样品。通过靶和非靶筛选(NTS)对样品进行分析。结果在2021年7月的一次暴雨和洪水事件中,通过聚类分析在NTS数据中确定了三种主要的污染模式,反映了(a)废水和直接地表径流排放,(B)峰值排放后地下水排放增加以及(C)洪水相关排放。由于我们的光谱库很少注释,洪水相关特征的身份和来源在很大程度上是不清楚的。对未知的洪水相关特征的结构阐明使三种天然化合物的明确鉴定-部分具有潜在的环境和(生态)毒理学相关性。与月平均水平相比,溶解和颗粒结合的有机有机微粒(尤其是农药和转化产品)的浓度和负荷较高,进一步突出了7月活动的重要性。两种主要的污染模式,即废水(A)和地下水(B),可转移到较小的降雨事件。虽然这两种污染物模式与降水和排放没有直接关系,但具有模式代表性的omp(例如,苯并三唑和异甲草胺ESA)清楚地表明了主要排放途径的变化。结论基于NTS和聚类分析,本研究提供了全面的污染数据,揭示了一条大型受管制河流基于事件的排放过程。研究表明,大型河流的化学水质会受到暴雨事件的严重损害,其影响持续数周。该研究强调了修正未来(常规)监测的重要性,通过(i)流量比例水采样和更高的SPM采样时间分辨率来解释高排放和SPM事件的影响,(ii)结合天然化合物的结构阐明工作,(iii)使用模式代表性omp作为途径贡献的指标。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Sciences Europe
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