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Potential and goal conflicts in reverse auction design for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) 生物能源与碳捕集与封存(BECCS)反向拍卖设计中的潜在冲突和目标冲突
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00971-0
Mathias Fridahl, Kenneth Möllersten, Liv Lundberg, Wilfried Rickels

Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is considered as a future key technology to provide baseload electricity, heat, pulp, paper, and biofuels, while also enabling atmospheric carbon dioxide removal (CDR). Sweden seeks to lead the way in bringing this technology up to scale, introducing a EUR 3.6 billion reverse auction scheme to facilitate market entry of companies producing BECCS. We explore instrument design preferences among politicians, regulators, and prospective BECCS operators to identify trade-offs and explore feasible policy design. Based on 35 interviews with experts in the latent BECCS sector in Sweden, we identify under which circumstances prospective operators would be willing to place bids and discuss how actor preferences both align with and challenge auction theory. The analysis concludes that at least four dilemmas need attention. These concerns how to: (1) balance the state’s demand for BECCS to be implemented already in 2030 against the prospective BECCS operators’ fear of the winner’s curse, i.e., a fear of bidding for a contract that turns out to be too costly to implement; (2) allocate contracts at the margin of the auctioneer’s demand for BECCS without driving up costs; (3) design compliance mechanism to achieve effectiveness without undermining efficiency, and; 4) integrate the auction with the voluntary carbon market—if at all—in a manner that safeguards the environmental integrity of the auctions.

碳捕集与封存生物能源(BECCS)被认为是未来提供基荷电力、热能、纸浆、造纸和生物燃料的关键技术,同时还能去除大气中的二氧化碳(CDR)。瑞典力图引领这项技术的规模化发展,推出了一项 36 亿欧元的反向拍卖计划,以促进生产 BECCS 的公司进入市场。我们探讨了政治家、监管者和潜在的 BECCS 运营商对工具设计的偏好,以确定权衡并探索可行的政策设计。基于对瑞典潜在 BECCS 行业专家的 35 次访谈,我们确定了潜在运营商在哪些情况下愿意出价,并讨论了行为者的偏好如何与拍卖理论相一致并对其提出挑战。分析得出的结论是,至少有四个难题需要关注。这些问题涉及如何(1) 平衡国家对 BECCS 在 2030 年实施的要求与潜在 BECCS 运营商对赢家诅咒的恐惧,即对竞标合同的恐惧、2)在不增加成本的前提下,根据拍卖者对 BECCS 的需求来分配合同;(3)设计履约机制,在不影响效率的前提下实现有效性;以及(4)将拍卖与自愿碳市场相结合--如果能够保证拍卖的环境完整性的话。
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引用次数: 0
Mussels with luggage: the influence of artificially attached “backpack” devices on mussel movement behavior 带行李的贻贝:人工附着的 "背包 "装置对贻贝运动行为的影响
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00976-9
Konstantina Drainas, Sebastian Beggel, Juergen Geist

Background

Freshwater mussels are important keystone and indicator species of aquatic ecosystems. Recent advances in sensor technology facilitate applications to individually track mussels and to record and monitor their behavior and physiology. These approaches require the attachment of sensor devices as “backpacks” to the outer shell surface. The interpretation of such data makes it necessary to understand the influence of these attachments on the horizontal and vertical movement behaviors of freshwater mussels. Over a series of mesocosm experiments, this study systematically investigated the effects of three size- and wiring-specific variants of artificially attached backpacks on the horizontal and vertical movement behavior of Anodonta anatina.

Results

Across all experiments, equipping mussels with backpacks did not result in a significant influence on horizontal movement for any of the backpack variants. In contrast to this finding, the big backpacks with a high ratio between backpack volume and mussel length resulted in a significantly negative effect on vertical movement, indicating a potential for adverse effects of such devices on mussels, especially in natural settings.

Conclusions

The findings of this study show that assessing the effects of attached devices on mussels requires a species-specific evaluation of potential impacts on the endpoints of interest. Especially for vertical movement patterns, selection of the smallest available devices appears mandatory.

背景淡水贻贝是水生生态系统的重要基石和指示物种。传感器技术的最新进展促进了对贻贝进行单独跟踪以及记录和监测其行为和生理的应用。这些方法需要将传感器设备作为 "背包 "安装在外壳表面。要解释这些数据,就必须了解这些附着物对淡水贻贝水平和垂直运动行为的影响。在一系列中型宇宙实验中,本研究系统地研究了人工附着背包的三种尺寸和特定接线变体对 Anodonta anatina 水平和垂直运动行为的影响。结论本研究结果表明,评估附着装置对贻贝的影响需要针对具体物种评估对相关终点的潜在影响。特别是对于垂直运动模式,选择最小的可用装置似乎是必须的。
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引用次数: 0
Existing and emerging mRNA vaccines and their environmental impact: a transdisciplinary assessment 现有和新兴 mRNA 疫苗及其环境影响:跨学科评估
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00966-x
Siguna Mueller

mRNA vaccines have played a massive role during the COVID-19 pandemic and are now being developed for numerous other human and animal applications. Nevertheless, their potential ramifications on the environment lack scrutiny and regulation. On 14 July 2020, the EU decided to temporarily exclude the clinical trials with COVID-19 vaccines from prior environmental risk assessment. Even though billions of doses have been administered and large-scale agricultural and wildlife RNA applications are fast-tracked, there is no knowledge of their environmental impact via the dispersion of vaccine-derived material or their wastage. This knowledge gap is targeted here via a critical assessment of (1) the pharmacokinetic properties of these products; (2) their impact on the human microbiota; (3) novel risk factors exemplified by the human gut bacterium Escherichia coli resulting in pathogen evolution in the guts of wild animals, (4) findings on mRNA-LNP platforms that implicate extracellular vesicles (EVs) as superior carriers, and (5) potentials of exogenous regulatory RNAs. This analysis results in the first extrapolation of (a) the magnitude and likelihood of environmental risk as characterized by the FDA in 2015 for products that facilitate their action by transcription and/or translation of transferred genetic material or related processes, and (b) additional risks facilitated by the horizontal transfer of exogenous short RNAs. The arguments provided here establish the rationale for vaccine-derived bioactive material dispersed by EVs, impacted microbiota, and other exposed organisms to foster pathogen evolution, cross-species transfer of biological function, and driving widespread ecosystem disturbances. Evidence is emerging that vaccine-derived molecules, when ingested, could survive digestion and mediate gene expression regulation, host–parasite defense, immunity, and other responses in the consuming animals. Highlighting further unresolved questions, the comprehensive assessment provided here calls for open dialogue and more in-depth studies to get a clear picture in the EU and globally to most effectively gauge the environmental impact of existing and emerging human, livestock, and wildlife mRNA technologies or their potential as biological weapons or for other forms of misuse. Regulatory measures are urgently needed to mitigate potentially large-scale damage to public and ecosystem health as well as adverse societal, economic, and legal implications.

mRNA 疫苗在 COVID-19 大流行中发挥了巨大作用,目前正在开发用于许多其他人类和动物的疫苗。然而,它们对环境的潜在影响却缺乏审查和监管。2020 年 7 月 14 日,欧盟决定暂时将 COVID-19 疫苗的临床试验排除在事先环境风险评估之外。尽管已经注射了数十亿剂疫苗,大规模农业和野生动物 RNA 应用也在快速推进,但人们对疫苗衍生材料的扩散或浪费对环境的影响却一无所知。本文针对这一知识空白,对以下方面进行了批判性评估:(1) 这些产品的药代动力学特性;(2) 它们对人类微生物群的影响;(3) 人类肠道细菌大肠杆菌导致野生动物肠道病原体进化的新风险因素;(4) mRNA-LNP 平台的研究结果,这些结果表明细胞外囊泡 (EV) 是上佳的载体;(5) 外源调控 RNA 的潜力。这项分析首次推断出:(a) FDA 于 2015 年对通过转录和/或翻译转移的遗传物质或相关过程促进其作用的产品所定性的环境风险程度和可能性;(b) 外源短 RNA 水平转移所带来的额外风险。本文提供的论据确立了疫苗衍生的生物活性物质通过 EV、受影响的微生物群和其他暴露生物体散播以促进病原体进化、生物功能的跨物种转移并造成广泛的生态系统紊乱的合理性。越来越多的证据表明,疫苗衍生分子在被摄入后可在消化过程中存活下来,并介导食用动物的基因表达调控、宿主-寄生虫防御、免疫和其他反应。本文提供的全面评估强调了更多尚未解决的问题,呼吁进行公开对话和更深入的研究,以便清楚地了解欧盟和全球的情况,从而最有效地衡量现有和新出现的人类、牲畜和野生动物 mRNA 技术对环境的影响,或其作为生物武器或其他形式滥用的潜力。迫切需要采取监管措施,以减轻对公众和生态系统健康可能造成的大规模损害,以及对社会、经济和法律的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Microplastic clouds in rivers: spatiotemporal dynamics of microplastic pollution in a fluvial system 河流中的微塑料云:河流系统中微塑料污染的时空动态变化
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00967-w
Alexia Balla, Ahmed Moshen, Tímea Kiss

Background

The microplastic transport of rivers is a complex spatiotemporal process; however, only limited knowledge exists on it, making its monitoring complicated. The study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal dynamics of suspended sediments and microplastics based on measurements (1) every five days for 2 years at one site and (2) annual repetition at 29 sites along the 750-km-long Tisza River for 3 years. Water samples were taken by pumping (1 m3). Machine learning algorithms were applied to Sentinel images to analyze the spatiality of sediment transport.

Results

In the Tisza River (Central Europe), the microplastic concentration (MPCmean: 35 ± 27 item/m3) and the suspended sediment concentration (SSCmean: 60 ± 57 g/m3) showed high temporal variations. During low stages, the concentrations dropped as most transported sediments were deposited on the bottom. These sediments, including microplastics, were remobilized during flood waves, thus, higher MPC and SSC were measured. The first flood wave after a low-stage period had the highest concentrations. The increased transport capacity of the river during floods created large-scale suspended sediment and microplastic waves with increased concentrations. The mean MPC gradually increased between 2021 (19 ± 13.6 item/m3) and 2022 (23.7 ± 15.8 item/m3), and then it more than doubled (2023: 57 ± 44.8 item/m3). The tributaries acted as suspended sediment and microplastic conveyors.

On the Sentinel images, medium-scale clouds were identified, with the suspended sediment clouds being more pronounced than microplastic clouds. Fewer and longer clouds appeared during low stages, separated by clearer water bodies. During flood waves, shorter clouds were detected. The tributaries with increased suspended sediment and microplastic transport created well-distinguishable clouds in the main river.

Conclusions

Identifying suspended sediment and microplastic clouds in a river could support more precise monitoring. The hydrological background of the monitoring and the existence of these clouds should be considered, as sampling from clouds with increased SSC and MPC provides different data than sampling from the clearer water bodies between two clouds.

Graphical Abstract

背景河流的微塑料迁移是一个复杂的时空过程;然而,目前对这一过程的了解十分有限,因此对其进行监测十分复杂。本研究旨在分析悬浮沉积物和微塑料的时空动态,其测量方法为:(1)在一个地点每五天测量一次,为期两年;(2)在全长 750 公里的蒂萨河沿岸 29 个地点每年重复测量一次,为期三年。水样由水泵抽取(1 立方米)。结果在蒂萨河(中欧),微塑料浓度(MPCmean:35 ± 27 item/m3)和悬浮泥沙浓度(SSCmean:60 ± 57 g/m3)呈现出较高的时间变化。在低谷阶段,由于大部分迁移沉积物沉积在海底,因此浓度下降。这些沉积物(包括微塑料)在洪峰期间被重新移动,因此测得的 MPC 和 SSC 较高。低水位期后的第一个洪峰具有最高的浓度。洪水期间河水的输送能力增加,形成了大规模的悬浮泥沙和微塑料波,浓度也随之增加。2021 年(19 ± 13.6 项/立方米)至 2022 年(23.7 ± 15.8 项/立方米)期间,平均 MPC 逐渐增加,随后增加了一倍多(2023 年:57 ± 44.8 项/立方米)。支流充当了悬浮泥沙和微塑料的输送者。在哨兵图像上,可以识别出中等规模的云,悬浮泥沙云比微塑料云更明显。在水位较低的阶段,云层较少且较长,被较清澈的水体分隔开来。在洪水波浪期间,检测到的云层较短。悬浮泥沙和微塑料迁移量增加的支流在主河道中形成了很好区分的云。应考虑监测的水文背景和这些云的存在,因为在 SSC 和 MPC 增加的云中取样与在两个云之间较清澈的水体中取样所提供的数据不同。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Assessing small hydropower viability in water-scarce regions: environmental flow and climate change impacts using a SWAT + based tool 更正:评估缺水地区小水电的可行性:利用 SWAT + 工具评估环境流量和气候变化的影响
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00963-0
Xavier Garcia, Laia Estrada, Oliu Llorente, Vicenç Acuña
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引用次数: 0
Association between TNF-α, cortisol levels, and exposure to PM10 and PM2.5: a pilot study TNF-α、皮质醇水平与 PM10 和 PM2.5 暴露之间的关系:一项试点研究
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00961-2
Jacopo Dolcini, Rosaria Landi, Elisa Ponzio, Laura Picchini, Aurora Luciani, Luca Formenti, Silvia Svegliati Baroni, Armando Gabrielli, Marcello Mario D’Errico, Pamela Barbadoro

Purpose

The most harmful atmospheric pollutant for human health is particulate matter (PM). We analyzed the correlation between short-term lag exposure to PM10 and PM2.5, salivary cortisol and TNF-α level, and methylation levels of the TNF-α promoter.

Methods

A pilot study including 20 subjects. Eight salivary samples for each subject at various times of the day were collected for comparing cortisol levels and TNFα detection. TNFα promoter methylation levels on salivary DNA were analyzed. Regression analyses were performed using generalized linear mixed models between the different outcomes and 4, 3, 2 and 1 day’s lag values of PM10/PM2.5.Generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) was used to evaluate any potential deviation from linearity.

Results

Area under the curve with respect to the ground (AUCg) showed a statistically positive association with 4-, 3-, 2-, and 1-day lag of exposure to PM10. Area under the curve with respect to the increase (AUCi) showed a statistically negative association with 4-, 3- and 1-day lag of exposure to PM10. TNFα showed statistically significant association with both exposures, PM10 and PM2.5, at 4-, 3-, 2-, and 1-day lag.

Conclusions

Regarding cortisol levels there is an increase of overall hormone levels but a less dynamism of the system to answer to external stressors. Increase of TNF-α may reflect increased levels of oxidative stress and inflammation due to pollution exposure.

目的 对人类健康危害最大的大气污染物是颗粒物(PM)。我们分析了短期滞后暴露于 PM10 和 PM2.5、唾液皮质醇和 TNF-α 水平以及 TNF-α 启动子甲基化水平之间的相关性。每个受试者在一天中的不同时间采集 8 份唾液样本,以比较皮质醇水平和 TNFα 检测结果。分析唾液 DNA 上 TNFα 启动子甲基化水平。使用广义线性混合模型对不同结果与 PM10/PM2.54、3、2 和 1 天滞后值之间的关系进行回归分析,并使用广义加性混合模型(GAMM)评估任何可能的线性偏差。与升高有关的曲线下面积(AUCi)与 PM10 暴露的 4 天、3 天和 1 天滞后期呈统计学负相关。TNFα在4天、3天、2天和1天的滞后期与PM10和PM2.5这两种暴露都有统计学意义。TNF-α 的增加可能反映了污染暴露导致的氧化应激和炎症水平的增加。
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引用次数: 0
Distribution and risk assessment of nutrients and heavy metals from sediments in the world-class water transfer projects 世界级调水工程沉积物中营养物质和重金属的分布与风险评估
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00970-1
Weiying Feng, Yingru Tao, Minjie Liu, Yuxin Deng, Fang Yang, Haiqing Liao, Tingting Li, Fanhao Song, Su Kong Ngien

South-to-North Water Diversion Project, a globally renowned engineering feat, aims to address water supply issues. The sediments within reservoirs play a pivotal role in natural ecosystems, not only as habitats for diverse biota but also as repositories of heavy metals, organic matter, and other contaminants. These sediments serve as a critical interface between sediment and water bodies. This comprehensive analysis focused on the spatial patterns of nutrients, organic matter, and heavy metals in the surface layer and profiles of reservoirs, exploring their interconnectedness. Leveraging the integrated pollution index, organic pollution index, potential ecological risk index, and geo-accumulation index, an ecological risk assessment was performed. The key findings are as follows: (i) Along the Middle Route of the South-to-North Diversion Project, the nutrient and organic matter contents in sediments tends to rise with distance from the Danjiangkou Reservoir, with the TN and TC contents increasing by 2.35- and 3.05-fold, respectively. (ii) As the sediment depth increases, the carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus, and organic matter contents exhibit varying degrees of decline, with average decreases of 62.38%, 67.47%, 17.56%, and 41.83% for TN, TC, TP, and OM, respectively. (iii) Among the eight heavy metals, only manganese (Mn) and zinc (Zn) in the Yahekou Reservoir showed moderate pollution levels, according to the geo-accumulation index. The Mn content within the surface sediments of the six reservoirs ranges from 550 to 1837 mg/kg (average, 1019.5 ± 548.3 mg/kg), whereas the Zn content ranges from 89 to 360 mg/kg (average, 156.5 ± 101.6 mg/kg). (vi) Total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN) emerged as the primary pollutants in surface sediments. Comprehensive nitrogen and phosphorus pollution assessment revealed that the surface sediment of Danjiangkou Reservoir is mildly polluted, while Baiguishan and Jiangang Reservoirs are moderately polluted, and the rest are heavily contaminated. For the Yahekou and Chaohe Reservoirs, the average pollutant content indicates moderate pollution, while the remaining reservoirs show mild pollution levels.

Graphical Abstract

南水北调工程是一项举世闻名的工程壮举,旨在解决供水问题。水库内的沉积物在自然生态系统中发挥着举足轻重的作用,不仅是各种生物群落的栖息地,也是重金属、有机物和其他污染物的储存库。这些沉积物是沉积物与水体之间的重要界面。这项综合分析侧重于水库表层和剖面中营养物质、有机物和重金属的空间模式,探索它们之间的相互联系。利用综合污染指数、有机污染指数、潜在生态风险指数和地理累积指数,进行了生态风险评估。主要结论如下(i) 南水北调中线工程沿线,沉积物中的营养盐和有机质含量随距离丹江口水库的远近呈上升趋势,TN 和 TC 含量分别增加了 2.35 倍和 3.05 倍。(ii) 随着沉积深度的增加,碳、氮、磷和有机质含量均有不同程度的下降,TN、TC、TP 和 OM 的平均降幅分别为 62.38%、67.47%、17.56% 和 41.83%。(iii) 根据地质累积指数,八种重金属中只有锰(Mn)和锌(Zn)在雅河口水库呈中度 污染。六座水库表层沉积物中的锰含量范围为 550-1837 mg/kg(平均为 1019.5 ± 548.3 mg/kg),锌含量范围为 89-360 mg/kg(平均为 156.5 ± 101.6 mg/kg)。 (vi) 总磷(TP)和总氮(TN)成为表层沉积物中的主要污染物。氮磷污染综合评价结果表明,丹江口水库表层沉积物为轻度污染,白龟山水库和尖岗水库为中度污染,其余为重度污染。雅河口水库和潮河水库的平均污染物含量为中度污染,其余水库均为轻度污染。 图表摘要
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引用次数: 0
A stoichiometric insight into the seasonal imbalance of phosphorus and nitrogen in central European fishponds 中欧鱼塘磷氮季节性失衡的化学计量学启示
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00968-9
Lenka Kajgrová, Vojtech Kolar, Koushik Roy, Zdeněk Adámek, Petr Blabolil, Radovan Kopp, Jan Mráz, Martin Musil, Oldřich Pecha, Libor Pechar, Jan Potužák, Jaroslav Vrba

Background

This study examines seasonal and regional trends in chlorophyll-a concentrations and the dynamics of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) in 32 fishponds (resulting in 150 pond-year cases) employed for fish production. Fishponds have a poor ecological state, requiring further insights for pond management. To gain those insights, monthly data on the pond environment were collected over the growing seasons from April to September (up to 14 years) across lowland to highland regions in Czechia. We used a ratio of dissolved inorganic nitrogen to total phosphorus (DIN:TP) to investigate seasonal patterns of N and P limitations.

Results

Fishponds in the lowland region (below 199 m above sea level, a.s.l.) were predominantly N-limited (80%), while ponds in the midland region (200–449 m a.s.l.) exhibited P limitation at the beginning of the growing season (April–May) and N limitation by the end of the season (August–September; 90% of fishponds). Highland fishponds (above 450 m a.s.l.) showed frequent P limitations, especially during the beginning of the season. Chlorophyll-a concentrations varied on both regional and seasonal scales, with the overall phytoplankton biomass peak at 31 ha of pond surface area. Chlorophyll-a remained stable at the beginning of the season regardless of the DIN:TP ratio but increased with a lower DIN:TP ratio by its end. The chlorophyll-a concentrations were lowest at the beginning and highest at the end of the season and decreased with altitude.

Conclusions

Seasonal and regional variations in nutrient limitations and chlorophyll-a occur in fishponds. Our study suggests that targeted seasonal nutrient input and enhanced monitoring can significantly improve fishpond management practices and ecosystem stability.

背景本研究考察了 32 个用于渔业生产的鱼塘(共 150 个塘年)中叶绿素-a 浓度的季节性和区域性趋势以及氮(N)和磷(P)的动态变化。鱼塘生态状况不佳,需要进一步深入了解鱼塘管理。为了获得这些信息,我们收集了捷克从低地到高地地区从 4 月到 9 月生长季节的池塘环境月度数据(长达 14 年)。结果低地地区(海拔 199 米以下)的鱼塘主要受氮限制(80%),而中部地区(海拔 200-449 米)的鱼塘在生长季节开始时(4 月至 5 月)受磷限制,在生长季节结束时(8 月至 9 月;90% 的鱼塘)受氮限制。高地鱼塘(海拔 450 米以上)经常出现 P 限制,尤其是在生长季初期。叶绿素-a 的浓度在区域和季节范围内均有变化,在 31 公顷的池塘表面积上,浮游植物的总体生物量达到峰值。叶绿素-a 在季节开始时保持稳定,与 DIN:TP 比率无关,但在季节结束时随着 DIN:TP 比率降低而增加。叶绿素-a 的浓度在季节开始时最低,在季节结束时最高,并随着海拔的升高而降低。我们的研究表明,有针对性的季节性养分输入和加强监测可显著改善鱼塘管理方法和生态系统的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Avoiding future surprises after acute shocks: long-term flood risk lessons catalysed by the 2021 summer flood in the Netherlands 避免急性冲击后的未来意外:荷兰 2021 年夏季洪水引发的长期洪水风险教训
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00960-3
Wieke Pot, Yza de Ridder, Art Dewulf

In summer 2021, the Dutch Province of Limburg faced an acute high-water event caused by two days of heavy rainfall, resulting in €383 million worth of damage. Afterwards, various policy actors organised a number of evaluations. This study analyses these evaluations and the long-term lessons drawn from this flood event. Dealing with climate change requires insights into how lessons from acute shocks such as floods can stimulate the anticipation of climate change and solutions that can cope with future extremes. This study therefore applies policy learning theory—single, double and triple loop learning—to different layers of flood safety to analyse the extent to which governments prepare for future events and how.

The results show that pre-2021 water and flood risk management policies—our point of comparison to derive what lessons emerge after the 2021 flood—focused mostly on flood prevention (layer 1) and from 1996 onwards with the start of the Room for the River programme also on spatial planning (layer 2), without paying much attention to crisis management (layer 3). Based on the 2021 flood, the official evaluation committee recommends adding two more layers to the multilayer flood safety approach: increasing water awareness (layer 0 as a base layer for the other layers) and focusing on climate-robust recovery after floods (layer 4) to improve long-term robustness. Based on our research, triple-loop learning as the deepest type of learning appeared in the form of applying the Room for the River approach to the tributary brooks systems. To prepare for the future, policy evaluations recommend improving stress tests to better deal with climate change. Futures scenarios and visions for the future are also recommended. Creating future visions can help to steer changes in existing land use and re-think areas to build or to use for water retention, for example. Governments are advised to strengthen their anticipatory capacities as part of their crisis management response and recovery systems. Furthermore, governments will need to apply the different layers for multilayer safety in an integrated way to ensure that regions are able to prepare for future floods.

2021 年夏天,荷兰林堡省遭遇了两天暴雨造成的严重高水位事件,造成了价值 3.83 亿欧元的损失。事后,不同的政策参与者组织了一系列评估。本研究分析了这些评估以及从这次洪水事件中汲取的长期教训。应对气候变化需要深入了解从洪水等严重冲击中汲取的经验教训如何促进对气候变化的预测,以及如何制定能够应对未来极端情况的解决方案。因此,本研究将政策学习理论--单环、双环和三环学习--应用于洪水安全的不同层面,以分析政府在多大程度上为未来事件做好准备以及如何做好准备。研究结果表明,2021 年之前的水和洪水风险管理政策--我们在 2021 年洪水之后总结经验教训的比较点--主要侧重于防洪(第 1 层),从 1996 年开始,随着 "河流空间 "计划的启动,这些政策也侧重于空间规划(第 2 层),但并不重视危机管理(第 3 层)。基于 2021 年的洪灾,官方评估委员会建议在多层防洪安全方法中增加两层:提高水意识(第 0 层,作为其他各层的基础层)和关注洪灾后的气候恢复(第 4 层),以提高长期稳健性。根据我们的研究,三重循环学习作为最深层次的学习类型,以将 "河流房间 "方法应用于支流小溪系统的形式出现。为了为未来做好准备,政策评估建议改进压力测试,以更好地应对气候变化。还建议对未来进行设想和展望。创建未来愿景有助于引导改变现有的土地用途,重新考虑建设或用于蓄水的区域。建议各国政府加强预测能力,将其作为危机管理应对和恢复系统的一部分。此外,政府还需要综合运用多层安全的不同层面,确保各地区能够为未来的洪灾做好准备。
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引用次数: 0
Chemical fractionation of heavy metals and zinc isotope source identification in sediments of the Huangpu River, Shanghai, China 中国上海黄浦江沉积物中重金属的化学分馏和锌同位素来源识别
IF 6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1186/s12302-024-00951-4
Yalong Li, Yaojen Tu, Gaojun Li, Yali Pu, Meichuan Chien, Yanping Duan

Background

The Huangpu River serves as a vital water source for around 24 million individuals residing in the metropolitan area of Shanghai. Despite this, elevated levels of heavy metals persist in the sediments of the river, with their chemical fractionation and sources remaining inadequately understood.

Results

To improve the management of heavy metal contamination, sequential extractions and zinc (Zn) isotopic compositions were utilized to evaluate pollution levels in the Huangpu River. The findings reveal that the majority of heavy metals in the river sediments are present in residual fractions, constituting an average of 67.5% for Cd, 57.6% for Cu, 60.6% for Ni, 56.2% for Pb, and 74.4% for Cr, with the exception of Zn (33.8%). Furthermore, a substantial portion of Zn, exceeding 66%, was found in acid-exchangeable, reducible, and oxidizable fractions, indicating a high potential for Zn release into aquatic ecosystems.

Conclusion

Further analysis of Zn isotopes pinpointed traffic emissions, including exhaust fumes and tire wear particles (account for ~ 34.0%), along with anthropogenic emissions and fertilizer (~ 31.7%), as the major culprits behind this contamination. These findings highlight the critical need for stricter regulations to control heavy metal contamination from traffic and domestic sources within the Huangpu River basin.

背景黄浦江是上海大都市区约 2400 万居民的重要水源。尽管如此,黄浦江沉积物中的重金属含量仍然居高不下,而对其化学成分和来源的了解仍然不足。结果为了改善对重金属污染的管理,研究人员利用顺序萃取和锌(Zn)同位素组成来评估黄浦江的污染水平。研究结果表明,江河沉积物中的大部分重金属都存在于残留物中,平均占镉(67.5%)、铜(57.6%)、镍(60.6%)、铅(56.2%)和铬(74.4%)的比例,但锌除外(33.8%)。此外,在酸交换性、还原性和氧化性组分中发现了大量的锌,超过 66%,这表明锌很有可能释放到水生生态系统中。这些研究结果突出表明,亟需制定更严格的法规来控制黄浦江流域交通和生活源的重金属污染。
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Environmental Sciences Europe
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