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Climate Variability, Crop Diversification and Rural Household Welfare: Evidence From Senegal 气候多变性、作物多样化与农村家庭福利:塞内加尔的证据
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70001
Adama Faye, Awudu Abdulai, Williams Ali, Georges A. Abbey

In this study, we investigate the impacts of crop diversification on food and nutrition security as well as poverty levels among rural households, using farm-level data from Senegal. We use the marginal treatment effect (MTE) approach that not only accounts for selectivity bias from both observed and unobserved attributes but also accounts for heterogeneity in the treatment effects among farming households. The empirical results reveal that farmers with a higher propensity to adopt crop diversification gain more in terms of their food security status and poverty reduction status even under climatic shocks, compared to their lower propensity counterparts. Furthermore, the results from our policy relevant treatment effects (PRTEs) analysis reveal that policies and interventions aimed at engineering connections among farmers to improve information flow are important in the adoption of crop diversification. In particular, social interaction-oriented policies such as workshops and seminars can increase the adoption of the crop diversification strategy, which would eventually lead to improved household food and nutrition security and reduced poverty levels. The findings also suggest that leveraging crop diversification as a climate risk coping strategy can contribute to poverty alleviation and improved food security of rural farm households.

在本研究中,我们利用塞内加尔农场层面的数据,调查了作物多样化对粮食和营养安全以及农村家庭贫困水平的影响。我们使用边际处理效应(MTE)方法,该方法不仅考虑了观察到的和未观察到的属性的选择性偏差,而且还考虑了农户之间处理效果的异质性。实证结果表明,即使在气候冲击下,与倾向较低的农民相比,倾向于采用作物多样化的农民在粮食安全状况和减贫状况方面获得了更多的收益。此外,我们的政策相关处理效应(PRTEs)分析结果表明,旨在通过农民之间的工程联系来改善信息流的政策和干预措施对于采用作物多样化是重要的。特别是,面向社会的政策,如讲习班和讨论会,可以促进作物多样化战略的采用,这将最终改善家庭粮食和营养安全,减少贫穷水平。研究结果还表明,利用作物多样化作为应对气候风险的策略有助于减轻贫困,改善农村农户的粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
Can Community-Based Payments Contribute to a More Equitable Distribution of Farm Income? 以社区为基础的支付能促进更公平的农业收入分配吗?
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70010
Atomu Nitta

This study assesses the impact of community-based payments on farm income inequality and the distribution of these across farm sizes, compared to individual-based payments, using Gini decomposition by income source and the pseudo-Gini coefficient. It uses a sample of Japanese paddy farms, which is suitable for an empirical comparison of the distribution and the distributional impact of community-based and individual-based payments. The empirical results show that the community-based payments do not favour farms with higher farm incomes compared to individual-based payments and are equally distributed across farm sizes. The findings suggest that the community-based payment scheme can contribute to a more equitable distribution of farm income by ensuring a more equitable distribution of direct payments across farm sizes.

本研究采用收入来源的基尼分解法和伪基尼系数,评估了与基于个人的支付相比,基于社区的支付对农场收入不平等的影响及其在不同规模农场之间的分布情况。研究使用了日本水稻农场的样本,该样本适合对社区支付和个人支付的分布和分布影响进行实证比较。实证结果表明,与基于个人的支付相比,基于社区的支付并不偏向于农业收入较高的农场,而是在不同规模的农场之间平均分配。研究结果表明,以社区为基础的付款计划可以通过确保直接付款在不同规模的农场之间更公平的分配,促进农场收入更公平的分配。
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引用次数: 0
The potential opportunity of add-on service values in farmers' markets—A best–worst scaling method 农贸市场附加服务价值的潜在机会——最佳-最差衡量方法
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-02-25 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12597
Lintang Wardyani, Shuay-Tsyr Ho, Kiyokazu Ujiie, Shang-Ho Yang

Farmers' markets (FMs) are a key marketing channel for farmers, and various new service values, such as providing vegetable and fruit boxes, emerged during the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, identifying which service values take precedence for consumers is essential. This study used the best–worst scaling method to explore FM service values. A total of 881 valid FM consumer samples were collected. Mixed multinomial logit analysis and a latent class multinomial logit model were employed to identify segments of FM consumers on the basis of their prioritisation of FM service values. The results revealed that the three most highly prioritised service values in FMs are product freshness, food safety certification and reasonable pricing. The FM consumer respondents were categorised into three major groups: price conscious, food safety conscious and community supporter groups. Community supporters accounted for approximately 54% of the respondents. This study confirmed that leafy, squashes as well as root and tuber vegetables were the three preferred agricultural product categories among the FM consumers who prioritised the ‘providing vegetable and fruit boxes’ service value.

农贸市场(FMs)是农民的重要营销渠道,在 COVID-19 大流行期间出现了各种新的服务价值,如提供蔬菜和水果箱。因此,确定哪些服务价值对消费者具有优先性至关重要。本研究采用了最佳-最差比例法来探讨调频服务价值。共收集了 881 个有效的调频消费者样本。研究采用了混合多叉 logit 分析法和潜类多叉 logit 模型,根据消费者对调频服务价值的优先排序来确定调频消费者的细分群体。结果表明,食品加工企业最优先考虑的三项服务价值是产品新鲜度、食品安全认证和合理定价。受访的 FM 消费者主要分为三类:注重价格的群体、注重食品安全的群体和社区支持者群体。社区支持者约占受访者的 54%。这项研究证实,叶菜类、瓜类以及块根和块茎类蔬菜是优先考虑 "提供蔬果盒 "服务价值的调频消费者首选的三类农产品。
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引用次数: 0
Can E-commerce development improve farmers' incomes? Evidence from prefecture-level data and the spatial difference-in-difference approach 发展电子商务能提高农民收入吗?来自地级数据的证据和空间差中差方法
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12611
Bufan Wang, Pingyang Liu, Aixi Han

The penetration of E-commerce into rural areas has created unprecedented opportunities for rural revitalisation and increased farmers' incomes. While the impact of E-commerce development on income growth has been widely discussed, its spatial spillover effects and subsequent mechanisms remain insufficiently explored. This study utilises panel data of 278 prefecture-level cities in China and employs a spatial difference-in-difference model incorporating the spatial Durbin model to explore the contribution of E-commerce development to farmers' incomes, focussing on the direct mechanisms and spatial spillover effects associated with the characteristics of E-commerce. Results indicate that E-commerce development promotes local farmers' income growth and exerts a positive spillover effect on neighbouring cities. The significant positive direct contribution effect is achieved through mediating effects of technological innovation and capital investment, while the mediating effect of industrial structure upgrading is found to be significantly negative, indicating farmers remain incapable of obtaining digital dividends from emerging economic opportunities. E-commerce development is also found to better increase farmers' incomes in less developed regions and regions with lower digitalisation levels, indicating a stronger impetus in the early stages of development.

电子商务向农村的渗透,为乡村振兴和农民增收创造了前所未有的机遇。虽然电子商务发展对收入增长的影响已被广泛讨论,但其空间溢出效应及其后续机制尚未得到充分探讨。本文利用中国278个地级市的面板数据,采用结合空间Durbin模型的空间差中差模型,探讨了电子商务发展对农民收入的贡献,重点研究了电子商务发展特征的直接机制和空间溢出效应。结果表明,电子商务的发展促进了当地农民的收入增长,并对周边城市产生了积极的溢出效应。通过技术创新和资本投资的中介作用,实现了显著的正向直接贡献效应,而产业结构升级的中介作用显著为负,表明农民仍然无法从新兴经济机会中获得数字红利。研究还发现,在欠发达地区和数字化水平较低的地区,电子商务发展可以更好地增加农民的收入,这表明电子商务发展在早期阶段具有更强的动力。
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引用次数: 0
Kyoto's Clean Development Mechanism for Emissions Reduction in Developing Economies 《京都议定书》关于发展中经济体减排的清洁发展机制
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-02-19 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12615
Lakmini Fernando, Stephanie McWhinnie

This paper investigates the effectiveness of Kyoto's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) on emissions reduction in developing countries. Whilst global responses are needed for global problems, global environmental policies are likely to have heterogeneous impacts. Understanding this heterogeneity allows for more nuanced policy evaluation and design. We use a quantile difference-in-differences approach to uncover where a significant early global mechanism for implementing climate policy, the CDM, does and does not have an impact. Evaluating a panel of 104 developing countries over the period 1996–2016, we find that the CDM had a strong impact only at lower quantiles of the distribution of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In particular, countries in the 10th and 25th quantiles show a 9% reduction in emissions, whereas countries in the 90th quantile exhibit a 21% increase over the post-policy period. Emissions intensity and emissions per capita also experience mixed results with strong reductions in the bottom half of the distribution but increases at the very top. Decomposition across GHG emissions types indicates mixed results across the distribution for each; with carbon dioxide results acting similarly to aggregate emissions but fluorinated gases reducing across the distribution. Heterogeneity of the policy effect is observed across regions, the CDM is associated with: reduced emissions in the Latin America and Caribbean region; weaker reductions in Asia–Pacific; and mixed results in Africa. Identification of heterogeneity across subgroups of countries can assist with effective policy design and implementation of future global environmental policies.

本文研究了京都清洁发展机制(CDM)对发展中国家减排的有效性。虽然全球问题需要全球应对,但全球环境政策可能会产生不同的影响。了解这种异质性有助于进行更细致的政策评估和设计。我们采用量化差异法来揭示早期实施气候政策的重要全球机制--清洁发展机制--在哪些方面产生了影响,在哪些方面没有产生影响。通过评估 1996-2016 年间 104 个发展中国家的面板数据,我们发现清洁发展机制只对温室气体排放分布中较低的量级国家产生了强烈影响。其中,第 10 和第 25 个量值的国家的排放量减少了 9%,而第 90 个量值的国家在后政策时期的排放量增加了 21%。排放强度和人均排放的结果也是好坏参半,在分布的下半部分有很大的减少,但在分布的上半部分则有增加。温室气体排放类型的分解表明,每种排放类型的分布结果不一;二氧化碳的结果与总排放量相似,但氟化气体在整个分布中都有所减少。政策效应在不同地区存在异质性,清洁发展机制在拉丁美洲和加勒比海地区与排放减少相关;在亚太地区减排效果较弱;在非洲效果不一。识别国家分组间的异质性有助于未来全球环境政策的有效政策设计和实施。
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引用次数: 0
Do China's Agricultural Futures Overreact to U.S. Futures Markets Returns? Evidence From Soybean and Corn Futures 中国农产品期货是否对美国期货市场的回报反应过度?大豆和玉米期货的证据
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12616
Tao Xiong, Wenshu Lv, Guangcheng Fang, Weiyi Xia

This study investigates the characteristics of traders' overreaction behaviour in China's soybean and corn futures markets to the overnight performance of U.S. futures markets and examines the impacts of the night trading policy on such overreaction behaviour. Our results reveal that traders in China generally overreact to U.S. markets' performance, but the overreaction diminishes when traders have enough time to calm their emotions. We also find that the introduction of night trading implemented by China's futures exchanges significantly reduces daytime overreaction because the extension of trading hours ensures that unexpected information is promptly reflected during night trading sessions. The proposed trading strategy of exploiting the overreaction generates considerable profits. However, it has not worked since the introduction of night trading, which further confirms the policy effect of night trading. Our study provides valuable guidance for futures exchanges seeking to monitor overreaction behaviour and formulate policies to target such behaviour.

本研究考察了中国大豆和玉米期货市场交易者对美国期货市场隔夜表现的过度反应行为特征,并考察了夜间交易政策对这种过度反应行为的影响。我们的研究结果显示,中国的交易员普遍对美国市场的表现反应过度,但当交易员有足够的时间来平息他们的情绪时,过度反应就会减弱。我们还发现,中国期货交易所引入的夜间交易显著减少了白天的过度反应,因为交易时间的延长确保了意外信息在夜间交易时段得到及时反映。所提出的利用过度反应的交易策略产生了可观的利润。然而,自夜间交易推出以来,它并没有奏效,这进一步证实了夜间交易的政策效果。我们的研究为寻求监控过度反应行为和制定针对此类行为的政策的期货交易所提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
A re-examination of the relationship between plot size and productivity: The case of Bangladesh 重新审视地块面积与生产率之间的关系:孟加拉国的案例
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-31 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12613
Mohammad Raied Arman, Narayan Das, Rafia Nisat, Atiya Rahman

Recent evidence shows that the inverse relationship between plot size and productivity is driven by an edge effect or by the over-reporting of production by farmers on smaller plots. In this paper, we re-examine the relationship between plot size and productivity in the context of Bangladesh. We also examine whether the effect of plot size is different across rice and non-rice crops. We use panel data at the household level and estimate a fixed effects model. Results show that the effect of plot size on productivity is positive but not statistically significant. Further results show that there is no statistically significant effect of plot size on productivity for both rice and non-rice crops. Our findings suggest that land redistribution, even if it leads to smaller plots, will not decrease farm production.

最近的证据表明,地块面积与生产率之间的反比关系是由边缘效应或小地块农民多报产量造成的。在本文中,我们以孟加拉国为背景,重新审视了地块面积与生产率之间的关系。我们还研究了地块大小对水稻和非水稻作物的影响是否不同。我们使用了家庭层面的面板数据,并对固定效应模型进行了估计。结果显示,地块面积对生产率的影响是积极的,但在统计上并不显著。进一步的结果表明,对于水稻和非水稻作物而言,地块面积对生产率的影响在统计上并不显著。我们的研究结果表明,土地再分配即使导致地块变小,也不会降低农业产量。
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引用次数: 0
2019 AARES distinguished fellow 2019年AARES杰出院士
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12608
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引用次数: 0
2019 AARES distinguished fellow 2019年AARES杰出院士
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12607
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引用次数: 0
2019 AARES distinguished fellow 2019年AARES杰出院士
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12609
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
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