Pub Date : 2023-06-01DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2218055
Yew Seng Law, Chung-Khain Wye
Abstract The OECD countries have been experiencing fall in fertility and rise in female labour force participation. Based on panel regression analysis with interaction and mediation effect, this paper found that the negative impact of fertility on female labour force participation can be mitigated by the investment in education and health, with such investment having only a direct effect on female labour force participation without first influencing fertility. Female secondary school enrolment promotes female labour supply regardless of the level of education development. Therefore, policies on human capital investment and childrearing encouragement can be simultaneously implemented to promote female labour supply.
{"title":"The effects of fertility on female labour force participation in OECD countries: the role of education and health","authors":"Yew Seng Law, Chung-Khain Wye","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2218055","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2218055","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The OECD countries have been experiencing fall in fertility and rise in female labour force participation. Based on panel regression analysis with interaction and mediation effect, this paper found that the negative impact of fertility on female labour force participation can be mitigated by the investment in education and health, with such investment having only a direct effect on female labour force participation without first influencing fertility. Female secondary school enrolment promotes female labour supply regardless of the level of education development. Therefore, policies on human capital investment and childrearing encouragement can be simultaneously implemented to promote female labour supply.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"280 - 302"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48742672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-05-09DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2208742
Emre Kilic, Ersin Yavuz, E. Ergen, Sevinc Yarasir Tulumce
Abstract Solving the unemployment hysteresis puzzle is vital to government policies, since the structural or cyclical nature of the problem constitutes the direction of the policies to be implemented. This study aims to provide new findings by examining the unemployment hysteresis puzzle for emerging markets from an asymmetric perspective. This study conducts a comprehensive analysis using both conventional and quantile unit root tests. We focus on the Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test, which considers heavy-tailed (non-normal) distributions, structural shifts, non-linearity, and asymmetric adjustment simultaneously. The results indicate that in the Dickey and Fuller test and its extensions, while the null hypothesis of the unit root is rejected in 33% of emerging markets, this rate increases to 55% in quantile Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests and dramatically to 72% in Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test. These findings provide fresh evidence for solving the unemployment hysteresis puzzle in emerging markets.
{"title":"Asymmetric persistence and the unemployment hysteresis question in emerging markets: evidence from advanced quantile unit-root tests","authors":"Emre Kilic, Ersin Yavuz, E. Ergen, Sevinc Yarasir Tulumce","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2208742","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2208742","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Solving the unemployment hysteresis puzzle is vital to government policies, since the structural or cyclical nature of the problem constitutes the direction of the policies to be implemented. This study aims to provide new findings by examining the unemployment hysteresis puzzle for emerging markets from an asymmetric perspective. This study conducts a comprehensive analysis using both conventional and quantile unit root tests. We focus on the Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test, which considers heavy-tailed (non-normal) distributions, structural shifts, non-linearity, and asymmetric adjustment simultaneously. The results indicate that in the Dickey and Fuller test and its extensions, while the null hypothesis of the unit root is rejected in 33% of emerging markets, this rate increases to 55% in quantile Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests and dramatically to 72% in Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test. These findings provide fresh evidence for solving the unemployment hysteresis puzzle in emerging markets.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"244 - 261"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48486178","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-26DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2201892
L. Gakpa, H. Kouadio
Abstract According to the economic literature, for a country to benefit from the demographic dividend, it must first undergo a demographic transition, which describes the shift of a population from a stage of high fertility and mortality to one of low fertility and mortality. This transition, which results in a temporary increase in the share of the working age population, opens up a huge window of opportunity if the sound policies are implemented. Indeed, the literature indicates that local conditions can limit the expected effects of the change in age structure on economic growth. In this study, we focus on the role of economic freedom institutions in ECOWAS region by analysing the consequences of the interaction between economic freedom indicators and the growth rate in the share of the working age population on economic growth over the period 1996–2018. To do so, the study uses a robust technique, namely the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) method, which takes into account both the dependence and the heterogeneity of the individuals in the panel. The estimation shows that an increase in the share of the working age population only has a positive effect on economic growth when countries have better economic freedom institutions. This contribution is made in particular through improvements in indicators of investment freedom, financial freedom and government integrity. These results call on policy makers in the region to improve these dimensions in particular to enable their economies to benefit from the demographic transition dividend.
{"title":"Effect of demographic transition on economic growth: does economic freedom matter? Evidence from ECOWAS countries","authors":"L. Gakpa, H. Kouadio","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2201892","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2201892","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract According to the economic literature, for a country to benefit from the demographic dividend, it must first undergo a demographic transition, which describes the shift of a population from a stage of high fertility and mortality to one of low fertility and mortality. This transition, which results in a temporary increase in the share of the working age population, opens up a huge window of opportunity if the sound policies are implemented. Indeed, the literature indicates that local conditions can limit the expected effects of the change in age structure on economic growth. In this study, we focus on the role of economic freedom institutions in ECOWAS region by analysing the consequences of the interaction between economic freedom indicators and the growth rate in the share of the working age population on economic growth over the period 1996–2018. To do so, the study uses a robust technique, namely the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) method, which takes into account both the dependence and the heterogeneity of the individuals in the panel. The estimation shows that an increase in the share of the working age population only has a positive effect on economic growth when countries have better economic freedom institutions. This contribution is made in particular through improvements in indicators of investment freedom, financial freedom and government integrity. These results call on policy makers in the region to improve these dimensions in particular to enable their economies to benefit from the demographic transition dividend.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"199 - 222"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46687659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-03DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2218053
S. Hussain, Abdul Rasheed
Abstract The key objective of this research paper is to estimate the impact of financial literacy, investor’s personality and overconfidence bias on investment decisions by using risk tolerance as a mediator variable. Inclusive finance makes numerous financial products and services accessible and affordable to the micro-finance community, remarkably those absent from the conventional financial system. Financial literacy is a leading factor affecting an individual’s ability to access financial services. This study employed Structural Equation Modelling to investigate whether financial literacy and other personality traits affect investment decisions. The Regression results showed that financial literacy, investors’ personality, and overconfidence bias are significantly relevant to risk tolerance and investment decisions (β = 0.128***, S.D = 0.047, t = 2.746; p < 1%; β 0.378***, S.D = 0.051, t = 7.414, p < 1%; β 0.269***, S.D = 0.052, t = 5.155, p < 1%; β 0.195***, S.D = 0.054, t = 3.619, p < 1%; β 0.371***, S.D = 0.055, t = 6.706, p < 1%; β0.195***, S.D = 0.061, t = 3.190, p < 1%). As mediation results showed, risk tolerance plays a significant role in financial literacy, investors’ personality, overconfidence bias, and investment decisions (β = 0.024**, S.D = 0.011, t = 2.15, p < 5%; β = 0.024**, S.D = 0.011, t = 2.17, p < 5%; β = 0.047**, S.D = 0.018, t = 2.55, p < 5%). The implications of this study also provide valued recommendations for regulatory institutions to improve financial inclusion in the emerging market context.
{"title":"Risk tolerance as mediating factor in individual financial investment decisions: a developing-country study","authors":"S. Hussain, Abdul Rasheed","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2218053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2218053","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The key objective of this research paper is to estimate the impact of financial literacy, investor’s personality and overconfidence bias on investment decisions by using risk tolerance as a mediator variable. Inclusive finance makes numerous financial products and services accessible and affordable to the micro-finance community, remarkably those absent from the conventional financial system. Financial literacy is a leading factor affecting an individual’s ability to access financial services. This study employed Structural Equation Modelling to investigate whether financial literacy and other personality traits affect investment decisions. The Regression results showed that financial literacy, investors’ personality, and overconfidence bias are significantly relevant to risk tolerance and investment decisions (β = 0.128***, S.D = 0.047, t = 2.746; p < 1%; β 0.378***, S.D = 0.051, t = 7.414, p < 1%; β 0.269***, S.D = 0.052, t = 5.155, p < 1%; β 0.195***, S.D = 0.054, t = 3.619, p < 1%; β 0.371***, S.D = 0.055, t = 6.706, p < 1%; β0.195***, S.D = 0.061, t = 3.190, p < 1%). As mediation results showed, risk tolerance plays a significant role in financial literacy, investors’ personality, overconfidence bias, and investment decisions (β = 0.024**, S.D = 0.011, t = 2.15, p < 5%; β = 0.024**, S.D = 0.011, t = 2.17, p < 5%; β = 0.047**, S.D = 0.018, t = 2.55, p < 5%). The implications of this study also provide valued recommendations for regulatory institutions to improve financial inclusion in the emerging market context.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"185 - 198"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46395774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-03DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2201473
Chung Yan Sam, R. Mcnown, S. Goh, K. Goh
Abstract This paper raises concerns about the methodological approaches commonly adopted in typical Taylor rule studies. We find that many empirical studies on the Taylor rule do not follow the required econometric procedures. These studies ignore the presence of unit roots, cointegration, and serial correlation in their tests and estimation. The Taylor rule equation is typically estimated in levels. We show that the Taylor rule can be an unbalanced regression that involves a mixture of I(0) and I(1) variables. Spurious regressions may occur if the variables are not cointegrated and the Taylor rule equation is estimated using variables in levels. In addition, empirical models of the Taylor rule commonly include lags of the dependent variable, and equation residuals are serially correlated. The presence of lagged dependent variables and serially correlated residuals will cause biased and inconsistent least squares estimators. To illustrate our arguments, we re-examine two recent papers to point out the econometric problems that are general in typical Taylor rule studies. We show that an inadequate analysis of the time series properties of the individual series and diagnostic checks of the estimated equations can often lead to invalid conclusions about the empirical validity of the Taylor rule. We demonstrate how autoregressive distributed lag methods can overcome these issues and how the equation can be estimated efficiently.
{"title":"Methodological problems in studies on the Taylor rule","authors":"Chung Yan Sam, R. Mcnown, S. Goh, K. Goh","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2201473","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2201473","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper raises concerns about the methodological approaches commonly adopted in typical Taylor rule studies. We find that many empirical studies on the Taylor rule do not follow the required econometric procedures. These studies ignore the presence of unit roots, cointegration, and serial correlation in their tests and estimation. The Taylor rule equation is typically estimated in levels. We show that the Taylor rule can be an unbalanced regression that involves a mixture of I(0) and I(1) variables. Spurious regressions may occur if the variables are not cointegrated and the Taylor rule equation is estimated using variables in levels. In addition, empirical models of the Taylor rule commonly include lags of the dependent variable, and equation residuals are serially correlated. The presence of lagged dependent variables and serially correlated residuals will cause biased and inconsistent least squares estimators. To illustrate our arguments, we re-examine two recent papers to point out the econometric problems that are general in typical Taylor rule studies. We show that an inadequate analysis of the time series properties of the individual series and diagnostic checks of the estimated equations can often lead to invalid conclusions about the empirical validity of the Taylor rule. We demonstrate how autoregressive distributed lag methods can overcome these issues and how the equation can be estimated efficiently.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"127 - 143"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48223823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-03DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2216878
I. Anyikwa, A. Phiri
Abstract We contribute to the growing literature examining spill-over effects between international equity markets in the “new normal” disposition and extend upon previous studies to include more recent periods covering the Russia–Ukraine war. Using the Diebold and Yilmaz network method, we estimate the returns and volatility connectedness between developed, emerging and African markets over the period 11 March 2020 to 30 June 2022. Our findings can be summarised in three points. Firstly, the static connectedness analysis informs us that emerging and African (developed) markets are the main net receivers (transmitters) of systemic shocks over the sample period. Secondly, the time-varying connectedness analysis further informs us that network connectedness is higher during the Russia–Ukraine war compared to the announcement of Covid-19 variants. Thirdly, the time-varying market specific analysis distinguishes which individual equities are most or least vulnerable to systemic shocks during the Covid-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine war. These findings are relevant for investors in their search for better hedging opportunities in equity markets. Moreover, market regulators should take heed of our findings as the observed build-up of systemic risk following the Russia–Ukraine conflict is an indicative of contagion effects experienced.
{"title":"Dynamics of return and volatility spill-over between developed, emerging and African equity markets during the Covid-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine war","authors":"I. Anyikwa, A. Phiri","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2216878","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2216878","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We contribute to the growing literature examining spill-over effects between international equity markets in the “new normal” disposition and extend upon previous studies to include more recent periods covering the Russia–Ukraine war. Using the Diebold and Yilmaz network method, we estimate the returns and volatility connectedness between developed, emerging and African markets over the period 11 March 2020 to 30 June 2022. Our findings can be summarised in three points. Firstly, the static connectedness analysis informs us that emerging and African (developed) markets are the main net receivers (transmitters) of systemic shocks over the sample period. Secondly, the time-varying connectedness analysis further informs us that network connectedness is higher during the Russia–Ukraine war compared to the announcement of Covid-19 variants. Thirdly, the time-varying market specific analysis distinguishes which individual equities are most or least vulnerable to systemic shocks during the Covid-19 pandemic and Russia–Ukraine war. These findings are relevant for investors in their search for better hedging opportunities in equity markets. Moreover, market regulators should take heed of our findings as the observed build-up of systemic risk following the Russia–Ukraine conflict is an indicative of contagion effects experienced.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"144 - 168"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45101536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-03DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2218056
Halfdan Lynge
Abstract This paper estimates the effect of corruption on firm growth; specifically, in the context of Mozambique. Using instrumental variable estimation to address potential problems of endogeneity and measurement error, the paper finds that corruption has a robust negative effect on sales and productivity growth. The effect is not constant but declines as firm performance drops and corruption increases. This means corruption is most damaging to high-performance firms, meaning firms with higher sales and productivity growth rates, and to firms with lower bribe rates. For low-performance firms and firms with higher bribe rates, the effect gradually approaches zero. The paper contributes to the literatures in two ways. First, it offers a more nuanced understanding of the relationship between corruption and firm growth by showing that the effect of corruption is conditional on firm-specific factors. Second, the paper extends the empirical research on corruption and firm growth to Southern Africa, which has previously been excluded from the literature.
{"title":"Does corruption affect firm growth? New evidence from Mozambique","authors":"Halfdan Lynge","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2218056","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2218056","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper estimates the effect of corruption on firm growth; specifically, in the context of Mozambique. Using instrumental variable estimation to address potential problems of endogeneity and measurement error, the paper finds that corruption has a robust negative effect on sales and productivity growth. The effect is not constant but declines as firm performance drops and corruption increases. This means corruption is most damaging to high-performance firms, meaning firms with higher sales and productivity growth rates, and to firms with lower bribe rates. For low-performance firms and firms with higher bribe rates, the effect gradually approaches zero. The paper contributes to the literatures in two ways. First, it offers a more nuanced understanding of the relationship between corruption and firm growth by showing that the effect of corruption is conditional on firm-specific factors. Second, the paper extends the empirical research on corruption and firm growth to Southern Africa, which has previously been excluded from the literature.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"169 - 184"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45588042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-04-03DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2198144
Boubekeur Baba
Abstract This study employs a time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR) to investigate the time-varying impact of foreign capital flows on house prices in South Africa. The study also analyses the behaviour of the house price index using recursive unit root tests. The results of these tests show a statistically significant period of house price exuberance. The results of the TVP-VAR show a contemporaneous positive impact of foreign capital on house prices throughout the sample period, with the largest impact occurring during the period of house price exuberance. In addition, the international capital flows are found to aggravate the imbalances between demand and supply sides, thus enforcing the future house prices to comove with the housing supply.
{"title":"The time-varying impact of foreign capital flows on house prices: evidence from South Africa","authors":"Boubekeur Baba","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2198144","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2198144","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This study employs a time-varying parameter VAR with stochastic volatility (TVP-VAR) to investigate the time-varying impact of foreign capital flows on house prices in South Africa. The study also analyses the behaviour of the house price index using recursive unit root tests. The results of these tests show a statistically significant period of house price exuberance. The results of the TVP-VAR show a contemporaneous positive impact of foreign capital on house prices throughout the sample period, with the largest impact occurring during the period of house price exuberance. In addition, the international capital flows are found to aggravate the imbalances between demand and supply sides, thus enforcing the future house prices to comove with the housing supply.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"107 - 126"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42929935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-02DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2185667
Fréjus-Ferry Houndoga, Picone Gabriel
Abstract This paper examines the effect of commodity price volatility on financial development in primary commodity-exporting countries. For this purpose, we collected data on 73 developing countries that are primary commodities exporters, from 2000 to 2018 and employed a two-step GMM methodology in dynamic panel data. Our results show evidence that commodity price booms promote financial development, and the volatility in commodity price negatively affects the path of financial development in developing countries. Our findings also suggest that markets are the main channel through which the volatility in commodity prices affects financial development. We then conclude that volatility in commodity prices is the main reason for the resource curse in the financial sector and not the resource abundance.
{"title":"Does commodity price volatility harm financial development? Evidence from developing commodity exporting countries*","authors":"Fréjus-Ferry Houndoga, Picone Gabriel","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2185667","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2185667","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This paper examines the effect of commodity price volatility on financial development in primary commodity-exporting countries. For this purpose, we collected data on 73 developing countries that are primary commodities exporters, from 2000 to 2018 and employed a two-step GMM methodology in dynamic panel data. Our results show evidence that commodity price booms promote financial development, and the volatility in commodity price negatively affects the path of financial development in developing countries. Our findings also suggest that markets are the main channel through which the volatility in commodity prices affects financial development. We then conclude that volatility in commodity prices is the main reason for the resource curse in the financial sector and not the resource abundance.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"1 - 22"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48514836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-01-02DOI: 10.1080/03796205.2023.2185664
J. Jeetoo, V. Jaunky
Abstract The study examines the convergence patterns of real healthcare expenditure per capita (RHEPC) for 43 countries of sub-Saharan African (SSA) from the period 2000 and 2017. Conventional absolute and conditional β-convergence models are first applied. Several factors such as income, democracy, urbanisation and ageing population are found to significantly affect relative RHEPC (RRHEPC) within the conditional β-convergence model. The speed of convergence of RRHEPC is higher for the conditional β-convergence model than the absolute β-convergence one. In general, β-convergence and σ-divergence are detected while no support for the stochastic convergence hypothesis is uncovered. These neoclassical models impose restrictive assumptions that countries follow the same growth path. As such the dynamic distribution approach proposed by Quah is applied to analyse the dynamics of RRHEPC. This is followed by the club convergence test as proposed by Phillips and Sul which allows individual countries to follow distinctive growth paths. Both convergence tests point towards the existence of three clubs. In sum, we find strong evidence of divergence of RHEPC among the 43 SSA countries. Policy implementations based on model results are discussed while several aspects of policy reforms in the healthcare sector within the African continent are highlighted.
{"title":"Divergence of healthcare expenditure in sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"J. Jeetoo, V. Jaunky","doi":"10.1080/03796205.2023.2185664","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/03796205.2023.2185664","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The study examines the convergence patterns of real healthcare expenditure per capita (RHEPC) for 43 countries of sub-Saharan African (SSA) from the period 2000 and 2017. Conventional absolute and conditional β-convergence models are first applied. Several factors such as income, democracy, urbanisation and ageing population are found to significantly affect relative RHEPC (RRHEPC) within the conditional β-convergence model. The speed of convergence of RRHEPC is higher for the conditional β-convergence model than the absolute β-convergence one. In general, β-convergence and σ-divergence are detected while no support for the stochastic convergence hypothesis is uncovered. These neoclassical models impose restrictive assumptions that countries follow the same growth path. As such the dynamic distribution approach proposed by Quah is applied to analyse the dynamics of RRHEPC. This is followed by the club convergence test as proposed by Phillips and Sul which allows individual countries to follow distinctive growth paths. Both convergence tests point towards the existence of three clubs. In sum, we find strong evidence of divergence of RHEPC among the 43 SSA countries. Policy implementations based on model results are discussed while several aspects of policy reforms in the healthcare sector within the African continent are highlighted.","PeriodicalId":55873,"journal":{"name":"Journal for Studies in Economics and Econometrics","volume":"47 1","pages":"75 - 105"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44219896","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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