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Biometeorological conditions during cold spells in south-east Poland and west Ukraine 波兰东南部和乌克兰西部寒冷时期的生物气象条件。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02559-4
Arkadiusz M. Tomczyk, Olga Shevchenko, Andreas Matzarakis

The aim of this research is to analyze the biometeorological conditions, based on the Physiologically Equivalent Temperature (PET) thermal index, during cold spells (CSs) in south-east Poland and west Ukraine during the years 1966–2021. The research shows a high variability of the occurrence of CSs in the study period and a clear increase in the frequency and total duration of CSs in the east of the study area. The number of CSs in the analyzed years varies from 6 cases in the west (in Katowice) to 34 in the east of the study area (in Shepetivka). The total duration of CSs varied from 26 days (in Raciborz and Katowice) to 166 days (in Rivne). At the majority of stations, CSs occurred most frequently in the first two decades (1966/1967–1975/1976, 1976/1977–1985/986) and in the last full decade (2006/2007–2015/2016). The average PET values at 12:00 UTC during CSs decreased eastwards throughout the study domain and were generally lower than −20.0 °C in the west of Ukraine, while in south-east Poland varied between −18.1 and −20.0 °C. At 40% of stations across the study domain, the lowest average PET values were recorded during a cold spell in January 1987, with PET values varying from −28.0 °C in Chernivtsi to −12.7 °C in Yaremche. The longest or one of the longest spells in most stations (in 77% of stations across the study domain) was the cold spell of 2012 and characterized by mean PET values ranging from −25.4 °C in Rivne to −19.5 °C in Zakopane.

本研究的目的是基于物理等效温度(PET)热指数,分析1966-2021年波兰东南部和乌克兰西部寒流期间的生物气象条件。研究表明,在研究期间,CSs的发生具有很高的可变性,研究区域东部CSs的频率和总持续时间明显增加。在分析的年份中,CS的数量从研究区域西部(卡托维兹)的6例到东部(谢佩蒂夫卡)的34例不等。CS的总持续时间从26天(在Raciborz和Katowice)到166天(在Rivne)不等。在大多数车站,CS在前二十年(1966/1967-1975/1976、1976/1977-1985/986)和最后整整十年(2006/2007-2015/2016)发生得最频繁。在整个研究范围内,协调世界时12:00的平均PET值在整个研究区域向东下降,乌克兰西部通常低于-20.0°C,而波兰东南部的PET值在-18.1至-20.0°C。在整个研究领域40%的站点,1987年1月的一次寒流期间记录到了最低的平均PET值,PET值从切尔尼夫齐的-28.0°C到亚列姆切的-12.7°C不等。大多数站点中最长或最长的时段之一(整个研究领域77%的站点)是2012年的寒流,其特征是平均PET值范围从Rivne的-25.4°C到Zakopane的-19.5°C。
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引用次数: 0
Associations between residential greenness and air pollution and the incident metabolic syndrome in a Thai worker cohort 泰国工人群体中住宅绿化与空气污染和意外代谢综合征之间的关系。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02554-9
Kanawat Paoin, Chanathip Pharino, Prin Vathesatogkit, Arthit Phosri, Suhaimee Buya, Kayo Ueda, Xerxes Tesoro Seposo, Thammasin Ingviya, Krittika Saranburut, Nisakron Thongmung, Teerapat Yingchoncharoen, Piyamitr Sritara

Increasing air pollution and decreasing exposure to greenness may contribute to the metabolic syndrome (MetS). We examined associations between long-term exposure to residential greenness and air pollution and MetS incidence in the Bangkok Metropolitan Region, Thailand. Data from 1369 employees (aged 52–71 years) from the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand cohort from 2002 to 2017 were analyzed. The greenness level within 500 m of each participant’s residence was measured using the satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI). The kriging approach was used to generate the average concentration of each air pollutant (PM10, CO, SO2, NO2, and O3) at the sub-district level. The average long-term exposure to air pollution and greenness for each participant was calculated over the same period of person-time. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the greenness-air pollution-MetS associations. The adjusted hazard ratio of MetS was 1.42 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.32, 1.53), 1.22 (95% CI: 1.15, 1.30), and 2.0 (95% CI: 1.82, 2.20), per interquartile range increase in PM10 (9.5 μg/m3), SO2 (0.9 ppb), and CO (0.3 ppm), respectively. We found no clear association between NDVI or EVI and the incidence of MetS. On the contrary, the incident MetS was positively associated with NDVI and EVI for participants exposed to PM10 at concentrations more than 50 μg/m3. In summary, the incidence of MetS was positively associated with long-term exposure to air pollution. In areas with high levels of air pollution, green spaces may not benefit health outcomes.

增加空气污染和减少绿色暴露可能会导致代谢综合征(MetS)。我们研究了泰国曼谷大都会区长期暴露于住宅绿地和空气污染与MetS发病率之间的关系。分析了2002年至2017年泰国发电局1369名员工(年龄52-71岁)的数据。使用卫星衍生的归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)和增强植被指数(EVI)测量每个参与者住所500米范围内的绿色水平。克里格法用于生成街道一级每种空气污染物(PM10、CO、SO2、NO2和O3)的平均浓度。每个参与者在同一时间段内平均长期暴露于空气污染和绿色环境中。Cox比例危害模型用于分析绿色空气污染MetS的关联性。MetS的调整后的危险比分别为1.42(95%置信区间:1.32、1.53)、1.22(95%可信区间:1.15、1.30)和2.0(95%CI:1.82、2.20),PM10(9.5μg/m3)、SO2(0.9 ppb)和CO(0.3 ppm)的每四分位间距增加。我们没有发现NDVI或EVI与代谢综合征的发病率之间有明确的关联。相反,对于暴露于浓度超过50微克/立方米的PM10的参与者,MetS事件与NDVI和EVI呈正相关。总之,代谢综合征的发生率与长期暴露于空气污染呈正相关。在空气污染严重的地区,绿地可能对健康结果没有好处。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating cucumber crop coefficients under different greenhouse microclimatic conditions 估算不同温室小气候条件下的黄瓜作物系数。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02535-y
Georgios Nikolaou, Damianos Neocleous, Evangelini Kitta, Nikolaos Katsoulas

This study aimed to determine cucumber crop coefficients under different greenhouse microclimatic conditions, parameterizing the Priestley-Taylor reference evapotranspiration model. Crop evapotranspiration was directly measured with the use of lysimeters, and crop coefficients were computed following the two-step climate FAO 56 methodology. Greenhouse compartments (i.e., cooled or uncooled) showed reference evapotranspiration differences of up to 12% in an autumn-winter crop. The results presented cucumber crop coefficient values from the initial to the late-season growth stages from 0.45 to 0.94 depending on the greenhouse climate. Based on the greenhouse hourly microclimatic variation of KC, it is recommended not to apply a KC as a constant for transpiration estimation even at greenhouses located within the same region Regression analysis relating crop coefficients with leaf area revealed very high correlation coefficients for the equations tested. The results indicated that evapotranspiration can be modeled satisfactory based on a significant relationship between crop coefficient and simple measurements of the leaf area index (i.e., KC = 0.447 × LAI).

本研究旨在确定不同温室小气候条件下的黄瓜作物系数,将Priestley-Taylor参考蒸散模型参数化。使用蒸渗计直接测量作物蒸散量,并按照两步气候FAO 56方法计算作物系数。温室隔间(即冷却或未冷却)显示,秋冬作物的参考蒸散差异高达12%。结果表明,黄瓜从生长初期到生长后期的系数值为0.45至0.94,具体取决于温室气候。基于温室每小时KC的小气候变化,建议即使在位于同一区域内的温室中,也不要将KC作为蒸腾估算的常数。将作物系数与叶面积相关的回归分析显示,测试方程的相关系数非常高。结果表明,基于作物系数和叶面积指数的简单测量之间的显著关系(即KC=0.447×LAI),可以令人满意地模拟蒸散。
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引用次数: 0
Ambient carbon monoxide and relative risk of daily hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Lanzhou, China 环境一氧化碳与中国兰州呼吸系统疾病每日医院门诊就诊的相对风险。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-20 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02550-z
Yaocong Liu, Jianhua You, Jiyuan Dong, Jiancheng Wang, Hairong Bao

At present, evidence of the associations between carbon monoxide (CO) and respiratory diseases (RD) in Northwest China is limited and controversial. The aim of this study is to evaluate the impact of ambient CO on outpatient visits for RD in Lanzhou, China. The daily amount of outpatient visits for total and cause-specific RD, air pollutant, and weather variables were collected in Lanzhou, China from 1st January 2013 to 31st December 2019. A generalized additive model and distributed lag nonlinear model were used to assess associations between CO and outpatient visits for RD. During the study period, a total of 1,623,361 RD outpatient visits were recorded. For each interquartile range (IQR) (0.77 mg/m3) increase in CO, the relative risk (RR) was 1.163 (95% CI: 1.138, 1.188) for total RD at lag07, 1.153 (95% CI: 1.128,1.179) for upper respiratory tract infection (URTI) at lag07, 1.379 (95% CI: 1.338,1.422) for pneumonia at lag07, 1.029 (95% CI: 0.997,1.062) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) lag04, 1.068 (95% CI: 1.028,1.110) for asthma lag03, and 1.212 (95% CI: 1.178,1.247) for bronchitis lag07, respectively. In the subgroup analyses, the impacts of CO were more pronounced on total RD, pneumonia, COPD, and bronchitis in males than females, while the opposite was true in URTI and asthma. The impact of CO on RD was the strongest for children under 15 years-of-age. We also found significantly stronger effects during cold seasons compared to warm seasons. In addition, we observed a roughly linear exposure–response curve between CO and RD with no threshold effect. This study in Lanzhou revealed a remarkable association between CO level and an elevated risk of total and cause-specific RD outpatient visits, especially for pneumonia.

目前,关于一氧化碳(CO)与西北地区呼吸系统疾病(RD)之间关系的证据有限且存在争议。本研究的目的是评估环境CO对中国兰州RD门诊就诊的影响。收集了2013年1月1日至2019年12月31日期间中国兰州的总门诊量和特定原因的RD、空气污染物和天气变量。使用广义加性模型和分布滞后非线性模型来评估CO与RD门诊就诊之间的关联。在研究期间,共记录了1623361次RD门诊就诊。CO每增加一个四分位间距(IQR)(0.77 mg/m3),lag07时总RD的相对风险(RR)为1.163(95%CI:1.138,1.188),lag7时上呼吸道感染(URTI)的相对风险为1.153(95%CI:1.128,1.179),哮喘lag03为1.068(95%CI:1.028,1.110),支气管炎lag07为1.212(95%CI:1.178,1.247)。在亚组分析中,CO对男性总RD、肺炎、COPD和支气管炎的影响比女性更明显,而对URTI和哮喘的影响则相反。一氧化碳对15岁以下儿童RD的影响最大。我们还发现,与温暖季节相比,寒冷季节的影响明显更强。此外,我们观察到CO和RD之间的暴露响应曲线大致呈线性,没有阈值效应。这项在兰州进行的研究揭示了一氧化碳水平与总风险和病因特异性RD门诊就诊风险升高之间的显著关联,尤其是肺炎。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of warm weather on children’s outdoor heat stress and physical activity in a preschool yard in Gothenburg, Sweden 瑞典哥德堡一所学前班院子里温暖的天气对儿童户外热应激和体育活动的影响。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02551-y
Nils Wallenberg, Fredrik Lindberg, Sofia Thorsson, Jonatan Jungmalm, Andreas Fröberg, Anders Raustorp, David Rayner

Hot weather conditions can have negative impacts on the thermal comfort and physical activity of vulnerable groups such as children. The aim of this study is to analyze the effects of warm weather on 5-year-old children’s thermal comfort and physical activity in a preschool yard in Gothenburg, Sweden. In situ measurements were conducted for 1–1.5 h in the early afternoon on 8 days in May, June, and August of 2022. The thermal comfort and physical activity was estimated with GPS-tracks, heart rate monitors, and step counts and compared to observed weather conditions. Results show that physical activity decreases under warmer weather conditions, depicted by a decrease in distance moved, step counts, and highest registered pulse. Moreover, on warm days, the children avoid sunlit areas. For 50% or more of the time spent in sunlit areas, the children are exposed to cautious levels of heat. In shaded areas, on the other hand, the children are less exposed, with five out of 8 days having 50% or more of the time at neutral levels. The study demonstrates the importance of access to shaded areas in preschool yards where children can continue their active play while simultaneously maintaining a safe thermal status.

炎热的天气条件会对儿童等弱势群体的热舒适度和身体活动产生负面影响。本研究的目的是分析温暖天气对瑞典哥德堡一家幼儿园5岁儿童热舒适度和体育活动的影响。在2022年5月、6月和8月的8天下午早些时候进行了1-1.5小时的现场测量。通过GPS轨迹、心率监测器和步数来估计热舒适度和身体活动,并与观测到的天气条件进行比较。结果表明,在温暖的天气条件下,身体活动会减少,表现为移动距离、步数和最高记录脉搏的减少。此外,在温暖的日子里,孩子们会避开阳光照射的地方。在阳光充足的地区,孩子们有50%或更多的时间暴露在谨慎的高温下。另一方面,在阴影区,孩子们的暴露较少,8天中有5天的时间处于中性水平。这项研究证明了进入学前院阴凉区域的重要性,在那里,孩子们可以继续积极玩耍,同时保持安全的热状态。
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引用次数: 0
Temperature variability during the growing season affects the quality attributes of table grapes in Pothwar—insight from a new emerging viticulture region in South Asia 生长季节的温度变化会影响Pothwar葡萄的质量属性。Pothwar来自南亚一个新兴的葡萄栽培地区。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02548-7
Rizwan Rafique, Touqeer Ahmad, Muhammad Azam Khan, Mukhtar Ahmed

Rising air temperature due to climate change has posed a mammoth challenge to global viticulture and key berry quality traits are compromised. Exploring the effects of seasonal temperature variability on berry ripening and quality attributes in different viticulture regions may help in sustainable viticulture industry. The present research was designed to explore the effect of temperature variables on key quality attributes of table grape cultivars in Pothwar region of Pakistan. Key berry quality traits such as total soluble solids (TSS), titratable acidity (TA), maturity indices (MI), ascorbic acid, sugars, total polyphenol contents (TPC) and total anthocyanin contents (TAC) were unlocked for four important table grape cultivars under varying environmental conditions at Chakwal and Islamabad districts for two consecutive vintages of 2019 and 2020. The district Chakwal has up to 0.92 °C, 1.35 °C, 1.12°C and 0.81°C higher Tmin, Tmax, Tmean and diurnal temperature variation (DTV) respectively, compared to Islamabad particularly for the 2019 vintage. The results of the present study revealed that the warmer site (Chakwal) has significantly (P ≤0.05) higher juice pH, TSS (°brix) and maturity indices (MI) particularly for the relatively hotter vintage of 2019. Interestingly, MI was 33% higher for the relatively warmer vintage of 2019 compared to 2020 with relatively lower acidity (up to 38%). Moreover, higher titratable acidity (11.2%), ascorbic acid (28.5%), polyphenols (20.3%) and anthocyanins (10.6%) were noticed for the colder Islamabad compared to Chakwal. Although elevated temperature for warmer location and vintage favoured berry ripening, however key biochemical attributes such as titratable acidity, ascorbic acid, polyphenols and anthocyanins were negatively affected. The findings of the present research provide useful insight into the impact of growing season temperature on key berry attributes and may help devise adaptation strategies to improve berry quality.

气候变化导致的气温上升对全球葡萄栽培构成了巨大挑战,浆果的关键品质也受到了影响。探索不同葡萄栽培区域季节温度变化对浆果成熟和品质属性的影响,可能有助于可持续的葡萄栽培产业。本研究旨在探讨温度变量对巴基斯坦波特瓦尔地区食用葡萄品种关键品质属性的影响。在2019年和2020年的两个连续年份中,Chakwal和伊斯兰堡地区四个重要的食用葡萄品种在不同的环境条件下,获得了关键的浆果质量性状,如总可溶性固形物(TSS)、可滴定酸度(TA)、成熟度指数(MI)、抗坏血酸、糖、总多酚含量(TPC)和总花青素含量(TAC)。与伊斯兰堡相比,Chakwal地区的Tmin、Tmax、Tmean和昼夜温度变化(DTV)分别高出0.92°C、1.35°C、1.12°C和0.81°C,尤其是2019年份。本研究的结果表明,较温暖的地区(Chakwal)的果汁pH、TSS(°brix)和成熟度指数(MI)显著(P≤0.05)较高,尤其是在相对较热的2019年份。有趣的是,与酸度相对较低(高达38%)的2020年相比,2019年相对温暖年份的MI高出33%。此外,与Chakwal相比,较冷的伊斯兰堡的可滴定酸度(11.2%)、抗坏血酸(28.5%)、多酚(20.3%)和花青素(10.6%)较高。尽管温暖的地点和年份的高温有利于浆果成熟,但关键的生物化学特性,如可滴定酸度、抗坏血酸、多酚和花青素,都受到了负面影响。本研究的发现为了解生长季节温度对浆果关键属性的影响提供了有用的见解,并可能有助于制定提高浆果质量的适应策略。
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引用次数: 0
Five-year airborne pollen calendar for a Sonoran Desert city and the relationships with meteorological variability 索诺兰沙漠城市五年空气传播花粉日历及其与气象变化的关系。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02546-9
C. I. Ortega-Rosas, O. G. Gutiérrez-Ruacho, L. Brito-Castillo, M. C. Calderón-Ezquerro, C. Guerrero-Guerra, V. Amaya-García

Aerobiological studies are still scarce in northwestern Mexico where allergenic pollen have great impacts on health. Current global pollution and climate change problems are closely related to many allergic diseases, enhancing the need to continue researching these issues and improve life quality. This study provides the first Pollen Calendar for Hermosillo, Sonora, México. Airborne pollen were continuously collected for 5 years (2015–2019). The standardized methodology with a Hirst-type spore trap proposed for global aerobiological studies was used. Weather data were also taken from a station located in the city and used to explore correlations between climate and airborne pollen concentrations in different seasons. The most important pollen taxa recorded in air belongs to herbaceous pollen, such as Poaceae, Ambrosia, Asteraceae, Chenopodiaceae-Amaranthaceae, and some shrub trees typical of this arid region, such as Nyctaginaceae, Prosopis, Parkinsonia, and Fabaceae. The most critical herbaceous pollen related to allergies have a long mean pollen season throughout the years, and the most critical periods with high pollen concentration in air occur in two seasons, spring (March–April) and summer–fall (August–October). In these 5 years, the correlation analyses for these two peaks indicate that a link exists between pollen in the air and decreases in precipitation and temperatures, and an increase in relative humidity. An inter-annual variability in pollen concentrations was recorded related to different weather conditions. Although pollen calendars are location-specific, they are useful for future research on biological air quality scenarios in different cities. Using this standardized method for other regions can provide pollen calendars that have been proven clinically important in allergic disease management worldwide.

墨西哥西北部的空气生物学研究仍然很少,那里的过敏性花粉对健康有很大影响。当前的全球污染和气候变化问题与许多过敏性疾病密切相关,这增加了继续研究这些问题和提高生活质量的必要性。这项研究为墨西哥索诺拉州的赫莫西洛提供了第一本花粉日历。连续5年(2015-2019年)收集空气中的花粉。采用赫斯特型孢子捕集器的标准化方法,用于全球航空生物学研究。天气数据也取自该市的一个气象站,用于探索不同季节气候和空气中花粉浓度之间的相关性。空气中记录的最重要的花粉分类群属于草本花粉,如Poceae、Ambrosia、Asteraceae、藜科Amarantheae,以及一些干旱地区典型的灌木树,如Nyctaginaceae、Prosopis、Parkinsonia和Fabaceae。与过敏有关的最关键的草本花粉在全年的平均花粉季节很长,空气中花粉浓度高的最关键时期出现在两个季节,春季(3-4月)和夏秋(8-10月)。在这5年里,对这两个峰值的相关性分析表明,空气中的花粉与降水量和温度的减少以及相对湿度的增加之间存在联系。花粉浓度的年际变化与不同的天气条件有关。尽管花粉日历是特定地点的,但它们对未来研究不同城市的生物空气质量场景很有用。在其他地区使用这种标准化方法可以提供花粉日历,这些日历已被证明在全球过敏性疾病管理中具有临床重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the impacts of shaded outdoor spaces on thermal adaptation and cognitive performance of university students in classroom environments 研究阴凉室外空间对教室环境下大学生热适应和认知表现的影响。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02552-x
B. Gündoğdu, A. Santos Nouri, Y. Afacan, A. Matzarakis

Shading strategies are effective means to reduce urban risk factors such as the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. The influence of shaded outdoor spaces on university students’ thermal adaptability and cognitive performance is limited researched. The study aims at evaluating the effect of shaded outdoor spaces upon thermal comfort; and, linking such results upon university students’ cognitive performance in a classroom environment with natural ventilation. A case study was conducted with students the ages of 19–22 at Bilkent University in Ankara, during the mid-season in October.

The quantitative microclimatic conditions of the university campus’s unshaded/shaded areas and indoor studios were obtained through Physiologically Equivalent Temperature (PET) index. The qualitative evaluation was undertaken by the adaptive model and thermal comfort survey. D2 test of attention was conducted to measure cognitive performance of students.

This study revealed that the shade may increase thermal adaptation with the lowest mean PET of 18.7°C, while the highest mean PET of 33.2°C was obtained in sun-exposed space. Also, experiencing shaded outdoor space contributed to an improvement in concentration performance (CP) of students resulting in the mean CP score of 182.8, while those with sun-exposed outdoor space experience had the mean CP score of 167.6 within studios.

遮阳策略是降低城市热岛效应等城市危险因素的有效手段。室外阴凉空间对大学生热适应性和认知能力的影响研究有限。本研究旨在评价遮阳室外空间对热舒适的影响;并将这些结果与大学生在自然通风的教室环境中的认知表现联系起来。在10月的季节中期,对安卡拉比尔肯特大学19-22岁的学生进行了案例研究。通过生理等效温度(PET)指数获得了大学校园无阴影/阴影区域和室内工作室的定量小气候条件。通过自适应模型和热舒适调查进行了定性评价。采用D2注意力测试来衡量学生的认知能力。研究表明,遮荫可以增强热适应能力,其平均PET最低为18.7°C,而暴露空间的平均PET最高为33.2°C。此外,经历阴凉的户外空间有助于提高学生的注意力集中表现(CP),平均CP得分为182.8,而那些经历过阳光照射的户外空间的学生在工作室内的平均CP得分为167.6。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of climate change on dogsledding recreation and tourism in Arctic Sweden 气候变化对瑞典北极地区雪撬娱乐和旅游业的影响。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02542-z
Robert O. Nilsson, O. Cenk Demiroglu

The range of Arctic tourism supply is continuously increasing with a variety of tourism products on offer. However, climate change is becoming a more prominent issue threatening the operations of tourism businesses and the livelihood of some tourism actors, such as dogsledders. This article aims to fill the descriptive research gap that exists regarding the dependency on the physical environment, climate, and weather for dogsledding activities. This is achieved by studying how climate change may threaten possible climate and weather thresholds for these activities, and how climate change may affect the future opportunities for dogsledding in northern Sweden. The study is based on interviews with dogsledders in Arctic Sweden and climate projections from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI). The results demonstrate the following thresholds for dogsledding activities: (1) dogsledding requires 10–20 cm of packed snow and/or solid ice on bodies of water, (2) above 15 °C is too hot for dogs to pull (wheeled) sledges, (3) cold weather thresholds are determined by visitors’ preferences and are not considered a problem for dogsledders or dogs, and (4) rain can cancel tours for all dogsledders, and strong wind can cancel tours for dogsledders located in the mountain regions. Finally, extreme events such as heatwaves, storms, thunderstorms, forest fires, heavy rain, floods, and more rapid weather changes have already affected some dogsledders. These necessary thresholds for dogsledding activities could already be jeopardized for the southern and coastal locations of Arctic Sweden. In addition, the climate projections from SMHI show that warmer days and more precipitation in the form of rain will become more common in the future, especially in the absence of global mitigation measures. However, further research on vulnerability/resilience and adaption strategies for dogsledding activities is necessary to truly understand the impact of climate change.

北极旅游供应范围不断扩大,旅游产品种类繁多。然而,气候变化正成为一个日益突出的问题,威胁着旅游企业的运营和一些旅游从业者(如狗拉雪橇运动员)的生计。本文旨在填补关于狗拉雪橇活动对自然环境、气候和天气的依赖性的描述性研究空白。本文通过研究气候变化如何威胁到这些活动可能的气候和天气临界点,以及气候变化如何影响瑞典北部雪撬活动的未来机会来实现这一目标。这项研究基于对瑞典北极地区狗拉雪橇运动员的采访和瑞典气象水文研究所(SMHI)的气候预测。研究结果表明,狗拉雪橇活动的阈值如下:(1) 狗拉雪橇需要 10-20 厘米厚的积雪和/或水体上的坚冰;(2) 超过 15 °C,狗拉雪橇(轮式)就太热了;(3) 寒冷天气的阈值由游客的喜好决定,并不被认为是狗拉雪橇运动员或狗的问题;(4) 雨水会取消所有狗拉雪橇运动员的旅行,大风会取消山区狗拉雪橇运动员的旅行。最后,热浪、风暴、雷暴、森林火灾、暴雨、洪水等极端事件以及更快的天气变化已经对一些雪撬运动员造成了影响。这些狗拉雪橇活动的必要临界点可能已经危及瑞典北极地区的南部和沿海地区。此外,SMHI 的气候预测显示,未来,尤其是在没有全球减缓措施的情况下,气温升高和降水增多的情况将更加普遍。然而,为了真正了解气候变化的影响,有必要进一步研究雪撬活动的脆弱性/复原力和适应战略。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of weather conditions on scores at the United States Masters golf tournament 天气状况对美国高尔夫大师赛成绩的影响。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-023-02549-6
Harry Jowett, Ian D. Phillips

This paper investigates the sensitivity of golfers’ performance to meteorological conditions at the men’s US Masters tournament over the 40-year period 1980–2019. The mean and standard deviation of round scores are related to local temperature, humidity, wind speed and direction, and concurrent and antecedent precipitation. Mean scores are more dependent on weather conditions than the variability of scores in a given round. The best predictor of mean scores is the wet-bulb temperature in rounds one and two, and the zonal wind speed in rounds three and four. Across both sets of rounds (1 and 2, and 3 and 4), the wet-bulb temperature is a better predictor of mean scores than the air temperature, which implies that atmospheric moisture content affects scores. In general, golfers take fewer shots and so perform better in warmer and calmer conditions. The synergestic effect of several weather variables explains over 44% of the variance in mean scores. Mean meteorological conditions during play are a much better predictor of the players’ average performance than the standard deviation of the weather variables. The golfers’ performance becomes more variable in cooler conditions with a wider range of scores. Precipitation during play and the dampness of the ground (as quantified by rainfall up to ten days before play) do not have a consistent and statistically significant effect on the competitors’ performance. In short, this paper demonstrates that golf scores are dependent on weather conditions.

本文调查了1980-2019年美国男子大师赛40年期间高尔夫球手的表现对气象条件的敏感性。圆形评分的平均值和标准差与当地温度、湿度、风速和风向以及同期和前期降水量有关。平均分数更多地取决于天气条件,而不是给定一轮中分数的可变性。平均得分的最佳预测因子是第一轮和第二轮的湿球温度,以及第三轮和第四轮的纬向风速。在两组回合(1和2,以及3和4)中,湿球温度比空气温度更能预测平均得分,这意味着大气水分含量会影响得分。一般来说,高尔夫球手击球次数较少,因此在温暖和平静的条件下表现更好。几个天气变量的协同效应解释了平均得分超过44%的差异。比赛期间的平均气象条件比天气变量的标准差更能预测球员的平均表现。高尔夫球手的表现在凉爽的条件下变得更加多变,得分范围更广。比赛期间的降水和地面的潮湿(通过比赛前十天的降雨量来量化)对参赛者的表现没有一致的统计显著影响。简而言之,本文证明了高尔夫成绩取决于天气条件。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Biometeorology
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