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Quantifying the potential of evidence-based planting-pattern for reducing the outdoor thermal stress from a bio-meteorological perspective in tropical conditions of Indian cities 从生物气象学角度量化印度城市热带条件下以证据为基础的种植模式在减少室外热应力方面的潜力。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02809-z
Saurabh Kishore Ojha, Mahua Mukherjee, Ar. Richa Raje

The impact of declined natural greenery and increased built surfaces exacerbates heat stress in urban areas causing limited usage of outdoor spaces. Greenery strategies such as trees are capable of mitigating outdoor thermal stress gain because of their phytological properties. While urban greenery guidelines have suggested the ad-hoc procedure of tree planting-schemes based on aesthetic-value, soil-water preservation etc., understanding of their morphological character help in regulating extreme thermal condition. Hence, this study aims to investigate the most efficient planting pattern based on canopies densities and trees clusters for reducing the outdoor thermal stress from bio-meteorological perspective.

It initiates with the measurement of the site’s morphological and meteorological attributes in existing commercial market of Bhopal City which has a humid sub-tropical climate (Aw, Koppen climate categorization). Furthermore, it leads to the development of 4-different iterated clusters incorporating moderate to high-density canopies and their overlaps pattern to estimate reduction potential in outdoors using field surveys and validated simulation model. The reduction potential in terms of magnitude and duration of thermal stress is quantified across 3-thermal variables i.e., air temperature, mean radiant temperature and universal thermal climate index. Results indicate highly-dense canopies are more effective in reducing greater magnitude of thermal stress along longer duration. Also overlapped planting pattern within the same canopy density does not make significant difference in stress reduction as compared to the changing the densities. This study will help planners and landscape architects to adopt evidence-based planting-pattern strategies for improving outdoor microclimate.

自然绿化减少和建筑表面增加的影响加剧了城市地区的热应力,导致室外空间的使用受到限制。树木等绿化策略因其植物学特性,能够缓解室外热应力的增加。虽然城市绿化指南建议根据美学价值、水土保持等因素临时制定植树计划,但了解树木的形态特征有助于调节极端热状况。因此,本研究旨在从生物气象学的角度,根据树冠密度和树群研究最有效的种植模式,以减少室外热应力。研究首先测量了博帕尔市现有商业市场的形态和气象属性,博帕尔市属于亚热带湿润气候(Aw, Koppen 气候分类)。此外,该研究还开发了 4 个不同的迭代群组,其中包括中高密度的树冠及其重叠模式,从而利用实地调查和经过验证的模拟模型估算出室外的降雨潜力。通过空气温度、平均辐射温度和通用热气候指数这 3 个热变量,从热应力的大小和持续时间的角度量化了减少热应力的潜力。结果表明,高密度的树冠能更有效地减少更大的热应力,持续时间更长。此外,与改变树冠密度相比,在相同树冠密度下的重叠种植模式在减少压力方面没有显著差异。这项研究将有助于规划师和景观设计师采用以证据为基础的种植模式策略来改善室外微气候。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of view factors on outdoor thermal comfort of residential areas in hot-humid regions 景观因素对湿热地区住宅区室外热舒适度的影响。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02810-6
Li Li, Jiayi Hong, Mingtao Ma, Chengliang Fan, Xiu Xiong, Yue Pang

Sky View Factor (SVF) is commonly used to describe the impact of urban geometry on the urban thermal environment. Shading effects from plants and buildings also exert a considerable influence. To investigate the influence of view factors on outdoor thermal comfort in residential areas, we employed the Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) and view factors (SVF, TVF, BVF) as indicators to determine outdoor thermal comfort and the quantity of shaded spaces. Thermal measurements collected from 13 points in Guangzhou, China, Our findings revealed that high TVF points exhibited more stable air temperature throughout the daytime, with average temperature differentials ranging 0.4–1.9 °C lower than other points. Air temperature demonstrated a positive correlation with SVF (R2 = 0.53), while exhibiting a negative correlation with TVF (R2 = 0.45). Additionally, shading provided by plants and buildings manifests heterogeneity. At similar SVF levels, points predominantly shaded by plants (TVF > BVF) showcased lower Mean Radiant Temperature (MRT) and PET compared to points shaded mainly by buildings (BVF > TVF). The maximum reduction in air temperature and PET reached 1.1 °C and 1.2 °C, respectively. BVF exerted greater influence earlier in the morning, as solar altitude angle rises, the average thermal parameters of sites with BVF > TVF escalated rapidly until eventually surpassing sites with TVF > BVF. Last, superior thermal conditions were only ensured under high shading conditions. When the effective shading ratio of plants and buildings diminished (SVF > 0.3), the microclimate of measurement points might be impacted by the long-wave radiation from the underlying surface.

天空视角系数(SVF)通常用于描述城市几何形状对城市热环境的影响。植物和建筑物的遮阳效果也有相当大的影响。为了研究视线因素对居住区室外热舒适度的影响,我们采用了生理等效温度(PET)和视线因素(SVF、TVF、BVF)作为指标来确定室外热舒适度和遮阳空间的数量。我们的研究结果表明,高 TVF 点在整个白天的气温较为稳定,平均温差比其他点低 0.4-1.9 °C。气温与 SVF 呈正相关(R2 = 0.53),而与 TVF 呈负相关(R2 = 0.45)。此外,植物和建筑物提供的遮阳效果也存在差异。在相似的 SVF 水平下,与主要由建筑物遮挡的点(BVF > TVF)相比,主要由植物遮挡的点(TVF > BVF)显示出较低的平均辐射温度(MRT)和 PET。气温和 PET 的最大降幅分别达到 1.1 °C 和 1.2 °C。BVF在清晨的影响更大,随着太阳高度角的上升,BVF>TVF点的平均热参数迅速上升,最终超过了TVF>BVF点。最后,只有在高遮阳条件下才能确保优越的热量条件。当植物和建筑物的有效遮阳率降低时(SVF > 0.3),测点的小气候可能会受到来自地表的长波辐射的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Phenological trends and associated climate drivers of a tree community in lowland dipterocarp forest, Western Ghats, India 印度西高止山脉低洼地双子叶树森林树木群落的物候趋势及相关气候驱动因素。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02802-6
Devika Menon, Debabrata Behera, Narayanan Ayyappan

Understanding phenological responses of tropical forest plant communities is crucial for identifying climate-induced changes in ecosystem dynamics. Monitoring phenology across diverse species in natural habitats provides cost-effective insights for conserving both species and forests. We studied tree phenology in a lowland evergreen dipterocarp forest in the Western Ghats, India. About 719 tree individuals representing 95 species were monitored for their vegetative and reproductive phenology from April 2021 to September 2023. Circular statistics detected seasonality in phenological events and Generalized Linear Mixed Modelling (GLMM) identified influence of climate variables on the phenological responses of the tree community. We also assessed how the activity and intensity of phenophases vary over the study period. Our results showed that leaf flushing and flowering peaked during the dry season, with mass flowering observed in two dominant dipterocarps. Fruit production peaked before the monsoon. We also observed diversity in vegetative and reproductive phenodynamics across species groups (forest strata, sexual system, and seed size). Leaf flushing was positively correlated with maximum relative humidity and negatively correlated with maximum temperature and the number of rainy days. Flowering had negative correlations with maximum relative humidity, rainfall days, and maximum temperature but showed a positive correlation with minimum temperature. Fruiting was positively correlated with maximum temperature and negatively correlated with rainy days. This detailed phenological information provides critical knowledge on resource availability and insights into how climate and seasonal changes affect plant growth cycles thereby aiding reforestation and biodiversity conservation strategies in vulnerable forest areas.

了解热带森林植物群落的物候反应对于确定生态系统动态中由气候引起的变化至关重要。监测自然栖息地中不同物种的物候为保护物种和森林提供了具有成本效益的见解。我们研究了印度西高止山脉低地常绿双子叶植物森林中的树木物候。从 2021 年 4 月到 2023 年 9 月,我们对代表 95 个物种的约 719 个树木个体的无性和生殖物候进行了监测。循环统计检测了物候事件的季节性,广义线性混合模型(GLMM)确定了气候变量对树木群落物候反应的影响。我们还评估了研究期间物候活动和强度的变化情况。我们的结果表明,冲叶和开花在旱季达到高峰,在两种主要的双子叶植物中观察到大量开花。果实产量在季风前达到高峰。我们还观察到不同物种组(森林地层、有性系统和种子大小)在无性繁殖和生殖表观动力学方面的多样性。叶片潮红与最大相对湿度呈正相关,与最高温度和降雨日数呈负相关。开花与最大相对湿度、降雨日数和最高温度呈负相关,但与最低温度呈正相关。结果期与最高温度呈正相关,与降雨日数呈负相关。这些详细的物候信息提供了有关资源可用性的重要知识,让人们深入了解气候和季节变化如何影响植物的生长周期,从而有助于脆弱林区的植树造林和生物多样性保护战略。
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引用次数: 0
Heat stress: a major threat to ruminant reproduction and mitigating strategies 热应激:反刍动物繁殖的主要威胁和缓解策略。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02805-3
Mahesh Gupta, Mangesh Vaidya, Sachin Kumar, Gyanendra Singh, Richard Osei-Amponsah, Surinder Singh Chauhan

Stress is an external event or condition that puts pressure on a biological system. Heat stress is defined as the combination of internal and external factors acting on an animal to cause an increase in body temperature and elicit a physiological response. Heat stress is a set of conditions caused by overexposure to or overexertion at excess ambient temperature and leads to the inability of animals to dissipate enough heat to sustain homeostasis. Heat exhaustion, heat stroke, and cramps are among the symptoms. For the majority of mammalian species, including ruminants, heat stress has a negative impact on physiological, reproductive, and nutritional requirements. Reproductive functions, including the male and female reproductive systems, are negatively affected by heat stress. It decreases libido and spermatogenic activity in males and negatively affects follicle development, oogenesis, oocyte maturation, fertilization, implantation, and embryo-fetal development in females. These effects lead to a decrease in the rate of reproduction and financial losses for the livestock industry. Understanding the impact of heat stress on reproductive tissues will aid in the development of strategies for preventing heat stress and improving reproductive functions. Modification of the microenvironment, nutritional control, genetic development of heat-tolerant breeds, hormonal treatment, estrous synchronization, timed artificial insemination, and embryo transfer are among the strategies used to reduce the detrimental effects of heat stress on reproduction. These strategies may also increase the likelihood of establishing pregnancy in farm animals.

压力是对生物系统施加压力的外部事件或条件。热应激的定义是,作用于动物的内部和外部因素共同导致体温升高并引起生理反应。热应激是在环境温度过高的情况下过度暴露或过度运动所造成的一系列状况,导致动物无法散发足够的热量以维持体内平衡。症状包括热衰竭、中暑和痉挛。对于包括反刍动物在内的大多数哺乳动物来说,热应激会对其生理、生殖和营养需求产生负面影响。包括雌雄生殖系统在内的生殖功能会受到热应激的负面影响。热应激会降低雄性动物的性欲和生精活性,对雌性动物的卵泡发育、卵子生成、卵母细胞成熟、受精、着床和胚胎-胎儿发育产生负面影响。这些影响导致繁殖率下降,给畜牧业造成经济损失。了解热应激对生殖组织的影响有助于制定预防热应激和改善生殖功能的策略。改变微环境、营养控制、耐热品种的基因开发、激素治疗、发情同步化、定时人工授精和胚胎移植等策略都可用于减少热应激对繁殖的不利影响。这些策略还可增加农场动物怀孕的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Independent and interactive effects of particulate matter and meteorological factors on hand, foot and mouth disease in Fuyang 颗粒物和气象因素对阜阳手足口病的独立效应和交互效应。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02777-4
Wanwan Ma, Wenbin Shen, Lei Gong, Yongkang Xiao, Sai Hou, Liang Sun, Huaibiao Li, Fen Huang, Jiabing Wu

Previous research has demonstrated the influence of environmental factor on the occurrence of infectious diseases. However, there is insufficient and conflicting evidence regarding the association between Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) and environmental variables, particularly the interaction of environmental variables. This study aims to investigate the individual and interactive effects of particulate matter (PM) and meteorological factors on HFMD incidence in Fuyang. The generalized additive models were combined with distributed lag non-linear models to assess the individual effects between PM and meteorological factor on HFMD incidence in Fuyang. Subsequently, a product term was incorporated into the model to investigate the interaction between PM and meteorological factors. Temperature and PM2.5 were identified as the two primary risk factors for HFMD, with relative risks (RR) of 1.586(1.493,1.685) and 1.349(1.325,1.373), respectively. Furthermore, PM exhibited a synergistic effect with meteorological factors. For instance, the RR values for PM2.5 in relation to HFMD were 1.029 (95% CI: 1.024–1.035) and 1 0.117 (95% CI: 1 0.108 − 11 0.127) under different temperature group categories. Notably, HFMD predominantly affects children under the age of five years old and infants aged between zero to one year old demonstrate heightened susceptibility to environmental variables. The results showed that both PM and meteorological factors were risk factors for HFMD, with evidence of an interaction between these variables. These findings have important implications for local HFMD incidence prediction and the development of effective prevention strategies.

以往的研究表明,环境因素对传染病的发生有影响。然而,关于手足口病(HFMD)与环境变量之间的关联,尤其是环境变量之间的交互作用,目前还没有足够的证据,也存在矛盾。本研究旨在探讨颗粒物(PM)和气象因素对富阳手足口病发病率的个体效应和交互效应。研究采用广义加法模型与分布滞后非线性模型相结合的方法,评估可吸入颗粒物和气象因子对富阳手足口病发病率的个体效应。随后,在模型中加入了乘积项,以研究可吸入颗粒物与气象因子之间的交互作用。温度和 PM2.5 被确定为手足口病的两个主要风险因素,相对风险(RR)分别为 1.586(1.493,1.685)和 1.349(1.325,1.373)。此外,可吸入颗粒物与气象因素有协同效应。例如,在不同温度组别下,PM2.5与手足口病的RR值分别为1.029(95% CI:1.024-1.035)和1 0.117(95% CI:1 0.108 - 11 0.127)。值得注意的是,手足口病主要影响五岁以下的儿童,而零至一岁的婴儿对环境变量的易感性更高。研究结果表明,可吸入颗粒物和气象因素都是手足口病的风险因素,而且有证据表明这些变量之间存在相互作用。这些发现对预测当地手足口病发病率和制定有效的预防策略具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Intensification of thermal risk in a changing climate: findings from prominent tourism destinations along the eastern Adriatic coast 不断变化的气候中热风险的加剧:亚得里亚海东部沿岸著名旅游景点的调查结果。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02800-8
Slavica Malinović-Milićević, Jasna Micić, Stefan Denda, Gorica Stanojević, Marko D. Petrović, Tamara Gajić

The climate and thermal comfort of а destination greatly influence the tourism industry. Therefore, this study was focused on researching thermal comfort changes and their impacts on visitors in four highly visited coastal destinations along the eastern Adriatic coast (Pula, Zadar, Split, and Dubrovnik) from 1996 to 2020, using the modified physiologically equivalent temperature index (mPET). The specific objective was to assess how the thermal comfort conditions are distributed spatially and temporally and how they are suitable for beach and sightseeing tourism. Results showed that monthly mean mPET values have increased, except in May. In the summer season, tourists were often exposed to uncomfortable heat stress, especially in the middle of the day. Strong and extreme heat stress frequency significantly increased in all sites except in Pula, particularly in July and August. Prevailing neutral and slightly warm/cold conditions were concentrated in two periods, between April and June and in September and October. The maximum occurrence of optimal climatic conditions for enjoying the beach was in the summer, with a decreasing tendency from May to August. The occurrence of favorable conditions for sightseeing significantly increased in April and November while it decreased from July to September. Although the eastern Adriatic coast is primarily a summer tourist area, a relatively small number of tourists take advantage of the period with optimal thermal comfort. Despite the fact that the number of tourists in the shoulder seasons has increased significantly in the past 25 years, the increasing favorable thermal comfort in the changing climate conditions will make these seasons even more appealing in the future, especially for sightseeing activities. New strategies for adapting to a changing climate are therefore needed.

旅游目的地的气候和热舒适度对旅游业影响巨大。因此,本研究采用修正的生理当量温度指数(mPET),重点研究亚得里亚海东部沿海四个游客量较大的旅游目的地(普拉、扎达尔、斯普利特和杜布罗夫尼克)从 1996 年到 2020 年的热舒适度变化及其对游客的影响。具体目标是评估热舒适条件在空间和时间上的分布情况,以及它们如何适合海滩和观光旅游。结果显示,除五月份外,月平均 mPET 值均有所上升。在夏季,游客经常面临不舒适的热压力,尤其是在中午。除普拉外,所有景点的强烈和极端热应激频率都明显增加,尤其是在七月和八月。普遍的中性和微热/微冷条件集中在两个时期,即 4 月至 6 月以及 9 月至 10 月。享受海滩的最佳气候条件在夏季最多,5 月至 8 月呈下降趋势。观光的有利条件在 4 月和 11 月明显增加,而在 7 月至 9 月则有所减少。尽管亚得里亚海东部海岸主要是夏季旅游区,但利用最佳热舒适度时期的游客相对较少。尽管在过去的 25 年中,肩季的游客人数大幅增加,但在不断变化的气候条件下,越来越好的热舒适度将使这些季节在未来更具吸引力,尤其是在观光活动方面。因此,需要制定新的战略来适应不断变化的气候。
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引用次数: 0
Influence of climate change on flowering phenology of Yoshino cherry at its southern distribution limit 气候变化对吉野樱南部分布区花期的影响
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02797-0
Nagai Shin, Taku M Saitoh, Hideyuki Takasu, Hiroshi Morimoto

To clarify the influence of climate change on the flowering phenology of Yoshino cherry at its southern distribution limit, we examined the relationship between cold exposure for endodormancy release (chilling requirement) and heat requirement for bud growth on Hachijojima Island, Japan, from 1948 to 2024. Cold exposure and heat requirement had a significant relationship approximated by linear or log-linear functions. In years with less cold exposure, the first flowering dates were much later than normal, in accordance with the higher heat requirement. Our results indicate that the variation in the balance between cold exposure and heat requirement depending on the pattern of annual air temperature change is likely to vary the first flowering date greatly at the distribution limit of Yoshino cherry.

为了明确气候变化对吉野樱南部分布区花期的影响,我们研究了日本八丈岛从 1948 年到 2024 年期间内蛰期释放所需的寒冷暴露(寒冷需求)与花蕾生长所需的热量之间的关系。寒冷暴露与热量需求之间有显著关系,近似于线性或对数线性函数。在寒冷暴露较少的年份,首次开花日期比正常年份晚得多,这与较高的热量需求相符。我们的研究结果表明,在吉野樱的分布区,受冷量和需热量之间的平衡变化取决于年气温变化的模式,这可能会使初花期发生很大变化。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring perceived relationships between weather, climate and mental health: biometeorological perspectives of healthcare practitioners. 探索天气、气候和心理健康之间的感知关系:医疗保健从业人员的生物气象学观点。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02791-6
Mukhtaar Waja, Jennifer M Fitchett

Over the last decade, there has been an increase in research examining the influence of weather and climate in mental health caseloads. Variations in temperature, sunshine hours, cloud cover, precipitation and extreme weather events have been statistically linked to diagnoses and increases in hospital admissions for several mental health conditions. This study aimed to explore whether mental health practitioners perceive there to be a link between mental health and daily, seasonal, or inter-annual shifts in various climate variables in South Africa, and the timing and causal mechanisms thereof. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 50 practicing healthcare practitioners, and the data was analysed using thematic analysis. The findings of this research show that all 50 participants were aware of the link between weather, climate and mental health, primarily through their awareness of seasonal affective disorder. Of the 50 participants, 38 participants could explain the aetiology of seasonal affective disorder. Participants perceived sunlight and temperature to exert an influence on mental health. All 50 participants perceived exposure to sunlight to exert a positive influence on several mental health conditions. Of the 50 participants, 36 participants perceived increases in temperature to exert an adverse effect on mental health symptomology. A minority of 11 participants perceived precipitation to influence mental health conditions such as seasonal affective disorder, bipolar disorder, and substance abuse disorder. Participants' perceptions of the influence of precipitation on mental health provided a unique potential explanation of this relationship, which, at the time of writing, has not been discussed in formal research.

在过去的十年中,有关天气和气候对心理健康案例影响的研究越来越多。据统计,气温、日照时间、云量、降水量和极端天气事件的变化与几种精神疾病的诊断和入院人数的增加有关。本研究旨在探讨心理健康从业人员是否认为心理健康与南非各种气候变量的日常、季节或年际变化之间存在联系,以及两者之间的时间和因果机制。研究人员对 50 名执业医护人员进行了半结构式访谈,并采用主题分析法对数据进行了分析。研究结果表明,所有 50 名参与者都意识到天气、气候与心理健康之间的联系,主要是通过对季节性情感障碍的认识。在 50 名参与者中,有 38 人能够解释季节性情感障碍的病因。参与者认为阳光和温度对心理健康有影响。所有 50 名参与者都认为日照对几种精神健康状况有积极影响。在这 50 名参与者中,有 36 人认为气温升高会对心理健康症状产生不利影响。少数 11 名参与者认为降水对季节性情感障碍、躁郁症和药物滥用症等精神健康状况有影响。参与者对降水对心理健康影响的看法为这种关系提供了一种独特的潜在解释,在撰写本文时,这种解释尚未在正式研究中讨论过。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of climatic and anthropogenic influences on vegetation dynamics in China: a consideration of climate time-lag and cumulative effects 评估气候和人为因素对中国植被动态的影响:考虑气候时滞和累积效应。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02794-3
Kai Jin, Yidong Wu, Fei Wang, Cuijin Li, Quanli Zong, Chunxia Liu

Determining the factors that drive vegetation variation is complicated by the intricate interactions between climatic and anthropogenic influences. Neglecting the short-term time-lag and cumulative effects of climate on vegetation growth (i.e., temporal effects) exacerbates the uncertainty in attributing long-term vegetation dynamics. This study evaluated the climatic and anthropogenic influences on vegetation dynamics in China from 2000 to 2019 by analyzing normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), temperature, precipitation, solar radiation, and ten anthropogenic indicators through linear regression, correlation, multiple linear regression (MLR), residual, and principal component analyses. Across most regions, growing season NDVI (G-NDVI) exhibited heightened sensitivity to climatic variables from earlier periods or from both earlier and current periods, signaling extensive temporal climatic effects. Constructing new time series for temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation from 2000 to 2019, based on the optimal vegetation response timing to each climatic variable, revealed significant correlations with G-NDVI across 27.9%, 26.7%, and 23.3% of the study area, respectively. Climate variability and anthropogenic activities contributed 45% and 55% to the G-NDVI increase in China, respectively. Afforestation significantly promoted vegetation greening, while agricultural development had a marginally positive influence. In contrast, urbanization negatively impacted vegetation, particularly in eastern China, where farmland conversion to constructed land has been prevalent over the past two decades. Neglecting temporal effects would significantly reduce the areas with robust MLR models linking G-NDVI to climatic variables, thereby increasing uncertainty in attributing vegetation changes. The findings highlight the necessity of integrating multiple anthropogenic factors and climatic temporal effects in evaluating vegetation dynamics and ecological restoration.

由于气候和人为影响之间错综复杂的相互作用,确定植被变化的驱动因素变得十分复杂。忽略气候对植被生长的短期时滞和累积效应(即时间效应)会加剧长期植被动态归因的不确定性。本研究通过分析归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)、气温、降水、太阳辐射和十项人为指标,采用线性回归、相关、多元线性回归(MLR)、残差和主成分分析等方法,评估了 2000 年至 2019 年中国气候和人为因素对植被动态的影响。在大多数地区,生长季 NDVI(G-NDVI)对早期气候变量或早期和当前气候变量的敏感性都有所提高,这表明存在广泛的时间气候效应。根据植被对每种气候变量的最佳响应时间,为 2000 年至 2019 年的气温、降水和太阳辐射构建新的时间序列,结果显示,研究区域内分别有 27.9%、26.7% 和 23.3% 的植被与 G-NDVI 显著相关。气候多变性和人为活动对中国 G-NDVI 增长的贡献率分别为 45% 和 55%。植树造林极大地促进了植被绿化,而农业发展则略有积极影响。与此相反,城市化对植被产生了负面影响,尤其是在中国东部,在过去二十年中,农田转为建设用地的现象十分普遍。忽略时间效应将大大减少具有将 G-NDVI 与气候变量联系起来的稳健 MLR 模型的区域,从而增加植被变化归因的不确定性。研究结果突出表明,在评估植被动态和生态恢复时,有必要综合考虑多种人为因素和气候的时间效应。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing autumn greenway walking experience: Exploring the combined effects of noise and thermal environment 提升秋季绿道步行体验:探索噪音和热环境的综合影响。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02790-7
Yanhan Li, Liang Li, Wenqing Wang

The evaluation of outdoor green spaces is influenced by diverse sensory perceptions. Traffic noise and thermal conditions significantly impact greenway-walking satisfaction; their optimization is vital for improving user experience and encouraging outdoor engagement. The study examines a typical Beijing greenway during autumn, focusing on strategies to enhance the walking experience under the combined effects of noise and thermal environments through mobile measurements and surveys. The results show that: 1) The interplay between noise and thermal factors varies depending on the walking state. Upon arrival, an increase in noise significantly worsens thermal comfort; higher sound levels intensify warm thermal sensations, though this effect is not consciously perceived. Upon departure, the effect of noise on thermal perception is not obvious. In both walking states, thermal sensation significantly affects subjective noise perception, yet the trends of influence differ. Subjective noise loudness increases as thermal comfort worsens, showing significant correlation only upon departure. 2) During autumn greenway walks, acoustic factors exert a greater impact on Overall Environmental Satisfaction (OES), with subjective noise loudness being more influential than noise level, followed by air temperature (Ta). Greater noise decreases OES, while OES increases initially with Ta and then decreases. The integrated effects of noise-thermal factors on OES show significant changes. 3) To enhance the autumn greenway-walking experience, the advised parameters are A-weighted Sound Level (ASL) ≤ 59.12 dBA and 15.17 °C ≤ Ta ≤ 18.75 °C. Finally, three design strategies are proposed: reducing subjective noise loudness, differentiating design based on walking status and balancing acoustic-thermal perceptual preferences.

对户外绿地的评价受到各种感官感受的影响。交通噪声和热环境对绿道步行满意度有很大影响;优化这两种环境对改善用户体验和鼓励户外活动至关重要。本研究考察了北京一条典型的秋季绿道,通过移动测量和调查,重点研究了在噪声和热环境共同影响下提升步行体验的策略。研究结果表明1)噪声和热环境因素之间的相互作用因步行状态而异。到达时,噪音的增加会明显降低热舒适度;较高的声级会增强温暖的热感觉,尽管这种影响不会被有意识地感知到。离开时,噪音对热感的影响并不明显。在这两种行走状态下,热感都会明显影响主观噪声感知,但影响的趋势有所不同。主观噪音响度随着热舒适度的降低而增加,只有在离开时才显示出明显的相关性。2)在秋季绿道步行过程中,声学因素对整体环境满意度(OES)的影响更大,主观噪声响度比噪声水平的影响更大,其次是空气温度(Ta)。噪声越大,总体环境满意度越低,而总体环境满意度最初会随气温升高而升高,随后会降低。噪声-温度因素对 OES 的综合影响显示出显著的变化。3) 为提高秋季绿道步行体验,建议参数为 A 加权声级(ASL)≤ 59.12 dBA 和 15.17 °C ≤ Ta ≤ 18.75 °C。最后,提出了三种设计策略:降低主观噪声响度、根据行走状态进行差异化设计以及平衡声热感知偏好。
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International Journal of Biometeorology
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