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The value of a statistical life in assessing seismic resilience enhancement policies: A stated preference binary choice experiment 统计寿命在评估地震恢复力增强政策中的价值:一个陈述偏好二元选择实验
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.09.003
Mohammad Amin Eshghi Nezami, Hamed Kashani
To decide about investments in appropriate seismic vulnerability reduction and resilience enhancement measures, policymakers need to acquire adequate insight into the value of a statistical life (VSL). The VSL measures the monetary value the public assigns to reducing mortality due to a specific risk (e.g., dying from an earthquake) over a given period. In the absence of appropriate models to estimate the context-specific VSL for a given community, past studies have resorted to approaches such as using the VSL estimated for other purposes (e.g., transportation and environmental safety) or other countries (e.g., the US). This can lead to under- or over-estimation of VSL, misappropriation of the funds for seismic vulnerability reduction programs, and adverse economic, political, and social consequences. This study proposes a methodology that follows the stated preference binary choice approach to estimate the willingness to pay (WTP) to reduce the risk of earthquake-induced mortalities. The proposed method, which is applied to quantify VSL in Iran, involves using a questionnaire to collect the needed information about people's choices when investing in various risk reduction measures. It uses a test containing positivity and proportionality components to check the responses’ consistency. Regression modeling is used to estimate the respondents’ WTP and VSL.
决策者需要充分了解统计寿命(VSL)的价值,以决定是否投资于适当的地震脆弱性降低和恢复力增强措施。VSL衡量的是公众在一定时期内为减少特定风险(例如,死于地震)造成的死亡率所赋予的货币价值。由于缺乏适当的模型来估计特定社区的特定环境VSL,过去的研究采用了诸如将估计的VSL用于其他目的(例如,交通和环境安全)或其他国家(例如,美国)等方法。这可能导致对VSL的低估或高估,挪用用于减少地震脆弱性项目的资金,以及不利的经济、政治和社会后果。本研究提出了一种方法,遵循陈述偏好二元选择方法来估计支付意愿(WTP),以降低地震导致的死亡风险。所提出的方法用于量化伊朗的VSL,包括使用问卷调查来收集人们在投资各种降低风险措施时的选择所需的信息。它使用包含积极性和比例成分的测试来检查响应的一致性。采用回归模型估计被调查者的WTP和VSL。
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引用次数: 0
Steganographic model to conceal the secret data in audio files utilizing a fourfold paradigm: Interpolation, multi-layering, optimized sample space, and smoothing 隐写模型,以隐藏秘密数据的音频文件利用四重范式:插值,多层,优化样本空间,平滑
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.09.004
Daffa Tristan Firdaus , Ntivuguruzwa Jean De La Croix , Tohari Ahmad , Didacienne Mukanyiligira , Louis Sibomana
Audio steganography techniques are evaluated using performance metrics such as payload capacity, stego audio file quality, and security (imperceptibility of hidden data). Increasing payload capacity often reduces stego image quality and security. However, maintaining high-quality stego audio with high imperceptibility requires compromising payload capacity. Therefore, achieving a balanced trade-off between payload capacity and stego audio quality has become essential but increasingly challenging. Current methods often lack adaptiveness, potentially compromising both embedding capacity and stego audio quality. To address these limitations, this study offers valuable insights to guide researchers in developing high-performing audio steganography models. The proposed method seeks to improve stego audio quality by implementing a smoothing-based technique and optimizing the sample space through linear interpolation, followed by a multi-layering process. Comprehensive experiments are conducted on common audio datasets to benchmark the method against state-of-the-art techniques. The results demonstrate peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) values ranging from 105.14 to 126.34 dB, indicating substantial fidelity preservation compared to existing methods with PSNR values ranging from 120.55 decibel (dB) for 1 kb to 100.57 dB for 100 kb. These findings confirm the effectiveness of the model in maintaining audio quality while concealing data. Moreover, this study recommends that practitioners in steganography with audio data prioritize data concealment algorithms that enhance security over stego audio quality.
音频隐写技术使用性能指标进行评估,如有效载荷容量、隐写音频文件质量和安全性(隐藏数据的不可感知性)。增加有效载荷容量往往会降低隐写图像质量和安全性。然而,保持高质量的隐音音频与高隐蔽性需要妥协的有效载荷能力。因此,实现有效载荷能力和隐音音质之间的平衡权衡已经变得必不可少,但越来越具有挑战性。目前的方法往往缺乏适应性,潜在地损害了嵌入容量和隐进音频质量。为了解决这些局限性,本研究为指导研究人员开发高性能音频隐写模型提供了有价值的见解。所提出的方法旨在通过实现基于平滑的技术和通过线性插值优化样本空间来提高隐进音频质量,然后进行多层处理。在常见的音频数据集上进行了全面的实验,以将该方法与最先进的技术进行比较。结果表明,峰值信噪比(PSNR)值为105.14 ~ 126.34 dB,与现有的PSNR值为1kb的120.55分贝到100kb的100.57分贝的方法相比,保真度保持得很好。这些发现证实了该模型在隐藏数据的同时保持音频质量的有效性。此外,本研究建议音频数据隐写的从业者优先考虑数据隐藏算法,以提高安全性而不是隐写音频质量。
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引用次数: 0
A data fusion-based method for pedestrian detection and flow statistics across different crowd densities 基于数据融合的不同人群密度行人检测和流量统计方法
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.07.004
Ranpeng Wang , Hang Gao , Yi Liu
Accurate tracking and statistics analysis of pedestrian flow have wide applications in public scenarios. However, the conventional tracking-by-detection approaches are prone to missing individuals in densely populated or poorly lit environments. This study introduces a pedestrian detection and flow statistics method based on data fusion, which effectively tracks pedestrians across varying crowd densities. The proposed method amalgamates object detection strategies with crowd counting technique to determine the locations of all pedestrians. By observing the coordinates of pedestrians' foot points, this approach assesses the interaction dynamics between the movement trajectories of pedestrians and designated spatial areas, thereby enabling the collection of flow statistics. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method identifies 2.7 times more pedestrians than object detection methods alone and decreases false positives by 58% compared to crowd counting techniques in crowded settings. In conclusion, the proposed method exhibits considerable promise for achieving accurate pedestrian detection and flow analysis.
行人流量的准确跟踪和统计分析在公共场景中有着广泛的应用。然而,在人口密集或光线不足的环境中,传统的探测追踪方法容易导致失踪。本文提出了一种基于数据融合的行人检测和流量统计方法,可以有效地跟踪不同人群密度下的行人。该方法将目标检测策略与人群计数技术相结合,确定所有行人的位置。该方法通过观察行人足点的坐标,评估行人运动轨迹与指定空间区域之间的相互作用动态,从而实现流量统计的收集。实验结果表明,在拥挤的环境中,与人群计数技术相比,该方法识别的行人数量比单独的物体检测方法多2.7倍,误报率降低58%。总之,所提出的方法在实现准确的行人检测和流量分析方面表现出相当大的希望。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of safety risk assessment research in China 中国安全风险评价研究的系统回顾
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.06.012
Chao Chen , Jiali Tang , Jie Li , Genserik Reniers , Changjun Li
The rapid industrialization and urbanization in China require a high level of safety management and thus urge the development of safety risk assessment in China. In the past two decades, many safety risk assessment research findings have been published in international journals by Chinese scholars, while it is not clear the development progress and China's contributions to the world in this research field. Therefore, a systematic and thorough literature review is conducted to investigate risk assessment research in China. Firstly, the research publications authored by Chinese scholars are searched from the well-known literature database Web of Science to support the analysis of risk assessment research in China. Secondly, a bibliometric analysis is conducted for the obtained literature related to risk assessment research in China to find out publication trends, research organizations, research authors, research topics, and research methods. Then, a thorough analysis of research topics and research methods is carried out to present the research progress. Finally, possible future research issues in the risk assessment research domain are discussed based on this literature review. According to the discussion, more attention in China should be paid to the risk of digital or autonomous systems, the risk related to extreme events, and the risk in large cities.
中国快速的工业化和城市化对安全管理提出了更高的要求,从而推动了安全风险评估在中国的发展。在过去的二十年里,中国学者在国际期刊上发表了许多安全风险评估的研究成果,但中国在这一研究领域的发展进展和对世界的贡献并不清楚。因此,本文对中国的风险评估研究进行了系统而深入的文献综述。首先,从知名文献数据库Web of Science检索中国学者发表的研究论文,支持对中国风险评估研究的分析。其次,对已获得的国内风险评估研究相关文献进行文献计量分析,找出发表趋势、研究机构、研究作者、研究课题、研究方法等。然后,对研究课题和研究方法进行了深入的分析,展示了研究进展。最后,在文献综述的基础上,对未来风险评估研究领域可能存在的问题进行了探讨。根据讨论,中国应该更多地关注数字或自主系统的风险,与极端事件相关的风险以及大城市的风险。
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引用次数: 0
An efficient and resilience linear prefix approach for mining maximal frequent itemset using clustering 利用聚类挖掘最大频繁项集的一种高效且具有弹性的线性前缀方法
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.08.001
M. Sinthuja , S. Pravinthraja , B K Dhanalakshmi , H L Gururaj , Vinayakumar Ravi , G Jyothish Lal
The numerous volumes of data generated every day necessitate the deployment of new technologies capable of dealing with massive amounts of data efficiently. This is the case with Association Rules, a tool for unsupervised data mining that extracts information in the form of IF-THEN patterns. Although various approaches for extracting frequent itemset (prior step before mining association rules) in extremely large databases have been presented, the high computational cost and shortage of memory remain key issues to be addressed while processing enormous data. The objective of this research is to discover frequent itemset by using clustering for preprocessing and adopting the linear prefix tree algorithm for mining the maximal frequent itemset. The performance of the proposed CL-LP-MAX-tree was evaluated by comparing it with the existing FP-max algorithm. Experimentation was performed with the three different standard datasets to record evidence to prove that the proposed CL-LP-MAX-tree algorithm outperform the existing FP-max algorithm in terms of runtime and memory consumption.
每天产生的大量数据需要部署能够有效处理大量数据的新技术。Association Rules就是这种情况,Association Rules是一种用于无监督数据挖掘的工具,它以IF-THEN模式的形式提取信息。虽然已经提出了各种方法来提取超大型数据库中的频繁项集(挖掘关联规则之前的步骤),但在处理海量数据时,计算成本高和内存不足仍然是需要解决的关键问题。本研究的目的是通过聚类预处理发现频繁项集,并采用线性前缀树算法挖掘最大频繁项集。通过与现有的FP-max算法进行比较,评价了所提出的CL-LP-MAX-tree算法的性能。在三种不同的标准数据集上进行实验,记录证据,证明所提出的CL-LP-MAX-tree算法在运行时间和内存消耗方面优于现有的FP-max算法。
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引用次数: 0
Clutaxis: An information-driven source search method balancing exploration and exploitation in turbulent environments Clutaxis:一种在动荡环境中平衡勘探和开发的信息驱动的资源搜索方法
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.09.001
Runkang Guo, Yong Zhao, Yatai Ji, Mengyu Yan, Zhengqiu Zhu
Locating unknown emission sources in turbulent environments is a challenging yet crucial task, particularly in emergency response scenarios. Existing studies have developed information-theoretic approaches to fuse intermittent information collected by mobile sensors regarding the sources. This fused information is then used to support source-term estimation (STE) in various search algorithms. Among these, the cognitive strategy—a promising information-driven search algorithm—leverages a reward-based action selection mechanism to balance exploration and exploitation during each search step. However, this mechanism is hampered by a high computational load and rigid search trajectories, limiting its application in real-world systems. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel information-driven search method called Clutaxis, based on a global exploration and exploitation tradeoff principle. Specifically, a particle filter is leveraged to maintain the STE. After projecting the particle filter samples onto a 2D search scene, the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) algorithm is used to extract the density information of the samples, which is then used to construct a belief source area (BSA). By leveraging the uncertainty of the BSA, Clutaxis adopts explorative or exploitative actions with no restrictions on motion direction. Through dedicated simulations, the experimental results demonstrate the robustness of Clutaxis to key parameters and its advantages in computational complexity and search performance compared to two state-of-the-art algorithms (Infotaxis and Entrotaxis) and two Clutaxis variants (Clutaxis_ER and Clutaxis_EI).
在动荡环境中定位未知排放源是一项具有挑战性但又至关重要的任务,特别是在应急响应场景中。现有的研究已经发展了信息论方法来融合由移动传感器收集的关于源的间歇性信息。然后使用这些融合的信息来支持各种搜索算法中的源项估计(STE)。其中,认知策略是一种很有前途的信息驱动搜索算法,它利用基于奖励的行为选择机制来平衡每个搜索步骤中的探索和利用。然而,这种机制受到高计算负荷和刚性搜索轨迹的阻碍,限制了其在现实系统中的应用。为了解决这些问题,本文提出了一种基于全局探索和利用权衡原则的信息驱动搜索方法Clutaxis。具体来说,利用粒子过滤器来维持STE。将粒子滤波样本投影到二维搜索场景后,采用基于密度的带噪声应用空间聚类(DBSCAN)算法提取样本的密度信息,并利用该密度信息构建置信源区域(BSA)。通过利用BSA的不确定性,Clutaxis采取不受运动方向限制的探索性或剥削性行为。通过专门的仿真,实验结果证明了Clutaxis对关键参数的鲁棒性,以及与两种最先进的算法(Infotaxis和Entrotaxis)和两种Clutaxis变体(Clutaxis_ER和Clutaxis_EI)相比,其在计算复杂度和搜索性能方面的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Grasping emergency dynamics: A review of group evacuation techniques and strategies in major emergencies 把握紧急情况动态:重大突发事件中的集体疏散技术和策略综述
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.006
Hai Sun , Guorui Han , Xiaowei Zhang , Xuejing Ruan
Major sudden disasters, such as floods, earthquakes, and fires, often cause significant casualties. Emergency evacuation is crucial in mitigating these impacts. Different types of disaster incidents vary significantly in terms of impact scope, suddenness, and urgency. Each type of disaster possesses distinct characteristics, necessitating varying requirements for emergency evacuation. Consequently, we conducted a bibliometric analysis and visual mapping of evacuation processes in major natural disasters from 2004-2023, analyzing 7213 publications from the Web of Science database via VOSviewer and ArcGIS. Our study identified three developmental phases: an initial phase (pre-2011) with 1169 publications, a growth phase (2012-2018) with 2772 publications, and an expansion phase (post-2019) with 3335 publications. This study provides a comprehensive review and classification of emergency evacuation theories and methods in major disaster scenarios. It emphasizes the necessity of assessing the scope and intensity of different types of major emergent disasters, defining and simulating the affected behaviors of the influenced populations, and formulating differentiated emergency evacuation strategies accordingly. Keyword analysis reveals two main trends supporting these findings: an increasing focus on complex evacuation modeling and simulation techniques, manifested in the application of various simulation-optimized microscopic and macroscopic models such as cellular automata, social force models, agent-based models, pedestrian flow, and network flow models, enhancing disaster understanding and prediction capabilities; and the strategic development of tailored evacuation strategies for specific disaster contexts, thereby improving disaster response efficiency. Three key future pathways for safety evacuation research are outlined: refining evacuation behavior models for greater accuracy, improving the coordination of complex, multi-level evacuation procedures, and integrating indoor and outdoor evacuation strategies more seamlessly. It establishes a forward-looking framework for advancing safety evacuation studies in major emergencies.
洪水、地震和火灾等重大突发灾害往往会造成重大人员伤亡。紧急疏散对于减轻这些影响至关重要。不同类型的灾害事件在影响范围、突发性和紧迫性方面存在很大差异。每种类型的灾害都具有不同的特点,因此对紧急疏散的要求也不尽相同。因此,我们通过 VOSviewer 和 ArcGIS 对科学网数据库中的 7213 篇出版物进行了分析,对 2004-2023 年重大自然灾害中的疏散过程进行了文献计量分析和可视化绘图。我们的研究确定了三个发展阶段:初始阶段(2011 年前),共发表 1169 篇论文;增长阶段(2012-2018 年),共发表 2772 篇论文;扩展阶段(2019 年后),共发表 3335 篇论文。本研究对重大灾难情景下的紧急疏散理论和方法进行了全面回顾和分类。它强调了评估不同类型重大突发灾害的范围和强度、定义和模拟受影响人群的受影响行为以及制定相应的差异化紧急疏散策略的必要性。关键词分析揭示了支持这些发现的两大趋势:一是越来越重视复杂的疏散建模和仿真技术,表现为应用各种仿真优化的微观和宏观模型,如蜂窝自动机、社会力模型、基于代理的模型、人流和网络流模型等,增强对灾害的理解和预测能力;二是针对特定灾害背景制定有针对性的疏散策略,从而提高灾害响应效率。报告概述了未来安全疏散研究的三条主要途径:改进疏散行为模型以提高准确性、改善复杂的多层次疏散程序的协调性以及更完美地整合室内外疏散策略。它为推进重大紧急情况下的安全疏散研究建立了一个前瞻性框架。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of firefighters’ protective gloves on physiological responses, psychological responses, and manual performance in a cold environment 低温环境下消防员防护手套对生理反应、心理反应和体力活动的影响
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.07.002
Jie Yang , Xiaoxue Yan
This study aimed to investigate the effects of firefighters' protective gloves on physiological responses, psychological responses, and manual performance in a cold environment through human trials. Twelve participants wearing firefighter protective equipment were exposed to a 16 °C environment, while their hands were exposed to a small chamber of 0 °C with (FPG) and without (CON) firefighting protective gloves. During the trials, physiological responses (core temperature (Tc), the mean skin temperature (Tsk), and heart rate (HR)), psychological responses (thermal sensation vote (TSV) and pain sensation vote (PSV)), and manual performance (handgrip strength, manual dexterity, maximum finger flexion, and tactile sensitivity)) were obtained. The results indicated a significant difference (p < 0.05) between FPG and CON regarding Tsk. Furthermore, pain sensation occurred when the mean skin temperature of the hand was between 15 °C and 20 °C. Gloves significantly (p < 0.05) reduced handgrip strength, manual dexterity, and tactile sensitivity in the cold exposure. This study provides fundamental knowledge for cold strain assessment and high-performance protective glove development with the potential to improve firefighters’ safety and health.
本研究旨在通过人体试验,探讨消防员防护手套对低温环境下消防员生理反应、心理反应和体力活动的影响。12名戴着消防防护装备的参与者暴露在16°C的环境中,而他们的手则暴露在0°C的小房间里,戴着(FPG)和不戴(CON)消防防护手套。在试验过程中,获得了生理反应(核心温度(Tc)、平均皮肤温度(Tsk)和心率(HR))、心理反应(热感觉投票(TSV)和疼痛感觉投票(PSV))和手动性能(握力、手灵巧度、手指最大屈曲度和触觉灵敏度)。结果显示有显著差异(p <;FPG和CON在tk上的差异为0.05)。此外,当手的平均皮肤温度在15°C至20°C之间时,会发生痛觉。手套明显(p <;0.05)暴露在寒冷环境中,手部握力、手的灵巧性和触觉敏感性降低。本研究为冷应变评估和高性能防护手套的开发提供了基础知识,具有改善消防员安全和健康的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
An experimental study of fire development under varying ventilation conditions during the depressurization process in pressurized buildings 受压建筑降压过程中不同通风条件下火灾发展的实验研究
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.07.003
Kaiqiang Wang , Zhigang Shang , Weijun Liu , Kang Wen , Jun Zhang , Bin Yao , Weiguo Song
Hermetic pressurized buildings are a new type of building in high-altitude areas that efficiently addresses issues such as high-altitude reactions. The indoor pressure is higher than the external pressure under working conditions, and pressure relief must be carried out first during emergencies. The emergency pressure relief process during a fire may lead to complex fire behavior different from that in regular buildings. In this study, we focus on the impact of ventilation conditions and the status of doors in such buildings on fire evolution and smoke plume characteristics through experiments. The temperature variation in the fire room and corridor is measured under different ventilation power, ventilation time, and door opening width conditions. This shows that the width of the door has the greatest impact on fire development. A smaller gap in the door opening restricts air circulation between the interior and exterior of the room, resulting in a rapid decrease in the oxygen concentration within the fire room and a decrease in the combustion reaction rate of wood fires. The ventilation power exerts the most significant influence on the temperature variation in the corridor. These findings provide empirical data and a basis for fire science studies in high-altitude hermetic pressurized buildings and can guide existing fire protection design and management for improved safety.
密闭加压建筑是一种在高海拔地区有效解决高空反应等问题的新型建筑。工作条件下,室内压力高于外部压力,紧急情况下必须先进行泄压。火灾中的应急泄压过程可能导致不同于普通建筑的复杂火灾行为。在本研究中,我们通过实验研究了此类建筑的通风条件和门的状态对火灾演变和烟羽特征的影响。在不同通风功率、通风时间、门开宽度条件下,测量火灾室内和走廊内的温度变化。由此可见,门的宽度对火灾的发展影响最大。较小的开门间隙限制了室内和室外的空气流通,导致火灾室内的氧气浓度迅速下降,木材火灾的燃烧反应速率降低。通风功率对走廊内温度变化的影响最为显著。研究结果为高空密闭式加压建筑的火灾科学研究提供了经验数据和基础,可以指导现有的防火设计和管理,提高安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-factor coupled forest fire model based on cellular automata 基于蜂窝自动机的多因素耦合林火模型
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.06.002
Zhou Fangrong , Guo Yuning , Qian Guochao , Ma Yi , Wang Guofang

The risk of forest fires is substantial due to uneven precipitation distributions and abnormal climate change. This study employs cellular automata principles to analyze forest fire behavior, taking into account meteorological elements, combustible material types, and terrain slopes. The Wang Zhengfei model is utilized to compute fire spread speed, and a multifactor coupled forest fire model is developed. Comparisons with experimental data show a mean calculated fire spread speed of 0.69 m/min, which is consistent with the experimental results. Using the forest fire in Anning city, Yunnan Province, as a case study with a mean burned area of 2281 ha, the burned area, rate of change in burned area, and burning area demonstrated an increasing trend, with fluctuating states in the rate of change of the burning area. Employing the controlled variable method to examine forest fire spreading patterns under varying factors such as wind speed, vegetation type, and maximum slope reveals that under wind influence, the fire site adopts an elliptical shape with the downwind direction as the major axis. Quantitatively, when the wind speed increases from 2 m/s to 10 m/s, the burned area expands by a factor of 1.37. The ratio of the combustible material configuration coefficient to the burned area remains consistent across the different vegetation types, and the burned area increases by a factor of 1.92 when the maximum slope increases from 5° to 25°.

由于降水分布不均和气候变化异常,森林火灾的风险很大。本研究采用蜂窝自动机原理分析森林火灾行为,考虑了气象要素、可燃物质类型和地形坡度。利用王正飞模型计算火灾蔓延速度,并建立了多因素耦合林火模型。与实验数据比较显示,计算出的平均火势蔓延速度为 0.69 米/分钟,与实验结果一致。以云南省安宁市平均烧毁面积为 2281 公顷的森林火灾为例,烧毁面积、烧毁面积变化率和烧毁面积均呈上升趋势,烧毁面积变化率呈波动状态。采用控制变量法研究风速、植被类型和最大坡度等因素变化下的林火蔓延规律,发现在风力影响下,火场呈以下风方向为主轴的椭圆形。从数量上看,当风速从 2 米/秒增加到 10 米/秒时,燃烧面积扩大了 1.37 倍。不同植被类型的可燃物配置系数与燃烧面积之比保持一致,当最大坡度从 5° 增加到 25° 时,燃烧面积增加了 1.92 倍。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
安全科学与韧性(英文)
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